AUTHOR=OOUCHI KAZUYOSHI , Satoh Masaki , Yamada Yohei , Tomita Hirofumi , Sugi Masato TITLE=A hypothesis and a case-study projection of an influence of MJO modulation on boreal-summer tropical cyclogenesis in a warmer climate with a global non-hydrostatic model: a transition toward the central Pacific? JOURNAL=Frontiers in Earth Science VOLUME=2 YEAR=2014 URL=https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/earth-science/articles/10.3389/feart.2014.00001 DOI=10.3389/feart.2014.00001 ISSN=2296-6463 ABSTRACT=
The eastward shift of the enhanced activity of tropical cyclone to the central Pacific is a robust projection result for a future warmer climate, and is shared by most of the state-of-the-art climate models. The shift has been argued to originate from the underlying El-Ñino like sea surface temperature (SST) forcing. This study explores the possibility that the change of the activity of the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) can be an additional, if not alternative, contributor to the shift, using the dataset of Yamada et al. (