Your new experience awaits. Try the new design now and help us make it even better

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW article

Front. Immunol., 05 December 2025

Sec. Microbial Immunology

Volume 16 - 2025 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fimmu.2025.1689904

This article is part of the Research TopicTracing the Evolution of Infection Control for STIs: From Historical Roots to Future DirectionsView all 3 articles

Risk factors of serofast state in patients undergoing syphilis: a meta-analysis of 17 cohort studies

Xin ZengXin Zeng1Yuan OuyangYuan Ouyang1Haoyun WangHaoyun Wang1Linna LiuLinna Liu1Jiaxin ChenJiaxin Chen1Chengbin ZhuChengbin Zhu1Hong HuangHong Huang1Jin LinJin Lin1Yanan NiuYanan Niu1Lan LiaoLan Liao1Na YangNa Yang1Chunlan XiaoChunlan Xiao1Weidong Gong*Weidong Gong2*Peng Liu*Peng Liu1*
  • 1Institute of Pathogenic Biology, Basic Medical School, Hengyang Medical School, University of South China, Hengyang, China
  • 2Affiliated Hengyang Hospital of Hunan Normal University &Hengyang Central Hospital, Hengyang, Hunan, China

Objective: The serofast state in syphilis refers to a persistent serological status where patients maintain stable specific antibody titers despite receiving standardized anti-syphilitic therapy, whose underlying mechanisms remain incompletely elucidated. This study aims to systematically identify risk factors associated with the occurrence of syphilitic serofast state through comprehensive clinical data analysis.

Method: We performed a systematic literature search in PubMed and Embase databases for studies published up to February 20, 2025. A random-effects model was employed for meta-analysis, with effect estimates expressed as relative risk (RR) presented with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Methodological evaluations including sensitivity analyses and publication bias assessment were conducted to assess result robustness.

Results: A total of 17 cohort studies involving 4,662 eligible participants were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled results demonstrated significant associations between serofast state and primary syphilis (RR = 0.65; 95% CI: 0.44-0.96), latent syphilis (RR = 2.14; 95% CI: 1.47-3.11), female gender (RR = 1.19; 95% CI: 1.01-1.41), HIV coinfection (RR = 1.40; 95% CI: 1.09-1.79), and lower rapid plasma reagin (RPR) titers (≤1:32) (RR = 1.47; 95% CI: 1.02-2.13). No statistically significant associations were observed for secondary syphilis (RR = 0.81; 95% CI: 0.59-1.12), age >40 years (RR = 1.41; 95% CI: 0.80-2.49), or benzathine penicillin treatment (RR = 0.99; 95% CI: 0.86-1.13). These findings were validated through leave-one-out sensitivity analysis.

Conclusion: Female gender, HIV coinfection, primary syphilis, latent syphilis, and low rapid plasma reagin (RPR) titers (≤1:32) emerged as significant risk factors for serofast state development, requiring particular attention during therapeutic management to optimize syphilis treatment outcomes.

Introduction

Syphilis is a sexually and vertically transmitted bacterial infection caused by the spirochete Treponema pallidum (13), which invades multiple systemic organs, leading to clinical manifestations such as neurosyphilis, ocular syphilis, and cardiovascular syphilis, severely endangering human health (46). The incidence of syphilis is increasing and remains a global public health issue with the latest estimates from the World Health Organization that approximately 17.7 million adults aged 15 to 49 were infected with syphilis globally in 2012 and an estimated 6.3 million new cases occurred in 2016 (710).

Penicillin is the primary drug for the treatment of syphilis (11, 12). Most patients experience significant improvement in clinical symptoms and serological indicators after standard treatment (13, 14). However, not all patients achieve serological reversal following recommended therapy. In a small number of cases, after adhering to anti-syphilis treatment, the non-treponemal antibody titers decrease to a certain level, cease to decline further, and remains within a specific titer range for a long time. This phenomenon is known as “syphilis serofast” (1519). This clinical phenomenon has sparked considerable debate: whether the persistence of serological positive reactions indicates the presence of an active infectious focus within the body, or only represents an immunological memory response post-treatment. It is noteworthy that serofast state is significantly correlated with the progression of neurosyphilis (20). Currently, there is no unified understanding globally regarding the epidemiological characteristics, pathogenesis, and clinical management strategies for syphilis serofast, making it an important issue that urgently needs to be addressed in the field of syphilis treatment.

Currently, there are two commonly used definitions of serofast state based on the decline in non-treponemal antibody titers: a decline of no more than twofold or no more than fourfold. After considering factors such as the need to balance sensitivity and specificity, ensuring reliable classification of serofast state while maintaining clinical applicability, as well as the consistency of results across studies and the clinical relevance of antibody titer thresholds, we selected the fourfold decline (equivalent to a twofold dilution) as the standard for defining serofast state. Specifically, we define serofast state as a less than fourfold (twofold dilution) reduction in non-treponemal antibody titer between 6- and 12-months post-treatment, or as the persistence of a low titer beyond this period.

Syphilis serofast poses a significant challenge in clinical diagnosis and treatment, exerting a dual threat to both the physical and mental health of patients. This clinical conundrum not only increases the diagnostic and therapeutic difficulties for healthcare providers but also imposes substantial psychological stress on patients. This study systematically analyses the factors influencing the serofast state, aiming to elucidate the characteristic patterns of serological responses. The findings are expected to provide a theoretical foundation for establishing early warning mechanisms and optimizing treatment protocols, and enhance clinicians’ understanding of the serofast phenomenon, thereby improving patient prognosis and alleviating their psychological distress.

Methods

Standard protocol approvals and registrations

This study was conducted and reported in accordance with the Cochrane Handbook and the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) 2020 guidelines (21). The review was registered in PROSPERO with the registration unique identifying number (UIN) of CRD420250650375.

Search strategy

Without restrictions on language or publication year, two independent authors searched PubMed, Embase from their inceptions to February 20,2025 for articles about the factors associated the syphilis serofast state. We combined free words related to syphilis and serodiagnosis, used Medical Subject Headings (MESH) to search PubMed, and used Embase topic entries (Entree) to search Embase. The search terms used syphilis or “T. pallidum” or “Syphilis Serodiagnosis” or “Drug Therapy” or “Treatment Outcome”. In addition, to find potentially relevant articles, the studies cited in relevant reviews and systematic reviews were manually searched. When the queues described in the articles were the same, we kept only the most recent articles or those with the largest sample size. The search strategy used for the databases is presented in Supplementary Table S1.

Selection criteria

The study was performed in accordance with the PECOS guidelines (22). Two reviewers independently assessed the full texts of the studies to determine their eligibility according to the selection criteria, and prospective or retrospective cohort studies involving the factors associated the syphilis serofast state were included.

Only studies that meet the following criteria will be included: (1) Participants: Patients underwent syphilis; (2) Exposure: Risk factors associated with the incidence of serofast state, such as sex, age, HIV-positive, Benzathine penicillin use or syphilis stage; (3) Comparator: comparison group with lower exposure or no exposure to a modifiable risk factor; (4) Outcome: risk of serofast state, presented as the odds ratio (OR) with the corresponding 95% CI; (5) Study design: prospective or retrospective cohort study.

The exclusion criteria include the lack of available full-text articles, reviews, letters, comments, or conference abstracts. We also excluded studies that did not include syphilis or did not report sufficient data to investigate serum fixation factors.

Data extraction

The following basic characteristics were retrieved from each article: first author, year of publication, type of study, place of origin of patients, sample size, observation period, average age, syphilis stage, the definition, and risks of serofast state (Table 1). The two evaluators independently extracted data from the selected literature, recorded the relevant data in the designed data extraction form, evaluated the qualifications of these articles again, and Any disagreement was resolved through discussion with a senior author.

Table 1
www.frontiersin.org

Table 1. Characteristics of studies included in meta-analysis.

Quality assessment

Two authors independently assessed the methodological quality of each qualified study using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) (23). The scale covers three domains, including patient representativeness, exposure and outcome determination, and follow-up adequacy. The total score for each study was 9. A score ≥ 8 indicates high quality (low bias risk) (Table 2) (24).

Table 2
www.frontiersin.org

Table 2. Methodological quality score of the included studies based on the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale (NOS) tool.

Statistical analysis

The data that were extracted from the studies were the correlative factors affecting the syphilis serofast state were statistically analysed using Stata 18.0 software (Stata Corp, College Station, Texas, USA). Fully adjusted effect estimates (RR) for the association in risks of serofast state were used to derive pooled risk estimates, depicted graphically with forest plots. Heterogeneity between studies was assessed by I2 statistics. Publication bias was evaluated by visual evaluation of funnel chart symmetry combined with Egger’s test. In addition, we used the adjustment and filling method put forward by Duvall & Twedie to adjust the risk estimates to assess the potential impact of publication bias (25). Sensitivity analysis was carried out by omitting individual studies to evaluate the stability of the results. Heterogeneity between studies was evaluated by using the Cochrane Q test and I² test, I² ≥ 50 or P < 0.05 was considered to indicate statistical significance (26). To reduce the influence of heterogeneity on the outcome, we used a random effects model.

Results

Literature search

We initially identified 3843 articles through keyword search, and after removing duplicate articles, there were 3668 articles. Through screening of their titles and abstracts, we conducted a full-text review of 95 studies. Ultimately, 17 cohort studies involving 4662 patients met the inclusion criteria and were included in the meta-analysis (20, 2741), while 79 studies were excluded (Figure 1). Among the 79 excluded articles, the reasons for exclusion were serological cure rather than serofast state, lack of control groups, review articles, case reports, and lack of data.

Figure 1
Flowchart illustrating the study selection process. From an initial 3,843 studies identified, 175 duplicates were removed. After screening 3,668 studies, 3,535 were excluded based on title or abstract. Of 95 assessed reports, 79 were excluded for reasons including lack of data and review articles. Ultimately, 17 studies were included in the review.

Figure 1. Flowchart of the study selection. The flow diagram illustrates the systematic search and screening process based on PRISMA guidelines. A total of 3,843 records were identified. After removing 175 duplicates, 3,668 articles were screened, and 17 cohort studies meeting the inclusion criteria were finally included in the meta-analysis.

Baseline characteristics

All included studies were published between 2004 and 2022, and the baseline characteristics are shown in Table 1. Eight studies were conducted in China (20, 28, 29, 3842), three in Poland (3133), two in the United States (35, 36), two in Germany (34, 37), one in Thailand (27), and one in Italy (30). Most studies (11/17) are retrospective cohort studies, while some studies (6/17) are prospective cohort studies. Nine studies defined a state where the RPR titer of syphilis patients neither increased nor decreased 4−fold after treatment as serofast state, while seven studies defined serofast state as a state where the RPR titer did not change or a 2-fold decrease (1-fold dilution) or increase in titer post-treatment. 82.35% (14/17) of the included studies were high-quality studies with a score of ≥ 8 (Table 2).

Risk factors

Gender

A total of 11 studies examined the association between gender and serofast state (20, 28, 29, 31, 32, 35, 3842). The pooled analysis revealed a significant association between female gender and serofast occurrence (RR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.01–1.41) (Figure 2A). Substantial heterogeneity was detected across studies (I² = 71.5%, P < 0.001). Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the combined RR remained stable upon sequential exclusion of individual studies, with estimates ranging from 1.14 (95% CI: 0.96–1.36) to 1.25 (95% CI: 1.07–1.46) (Supplementary Table S2). Visual assessment of the funnel plot indicated general symmetry, suggesting no substantial publication bias (Figure 2B). This observation was further supported by both Egger’s test (P = 0.530) and Begg’s test (P = 0.350).

Figure 2
Four forest plots and four corresponding funnel plots illustrate risk ratios and publication bias assessments from meta-analyses. Panels A, C, E, and G show forest plots with individual study data and weights. Panels B, D, F, and H display funnel plots with pseudo 95% confidence limits, indicating the distribution of study data around the pooled effect estimates. Each plot addresses different subsets of data or analysis methods, emphasizing heterogeneity and publication bias considerations.

Figure 2. Forest and funnel plots showing the associations between serofast state and gender, HIV infection, and syphilis stage. (A) Female gender was significantly associated with an increased risk of serofast state. (B) Funnel plot for gender indicates low risk of publication bias. (C) HIV coinfection was positively associated with serofast state. (D) Funnel plot for HIV shows approximate symmetry. (E) Primary syphilis was significantly associated with a decreased risk of serofast state. (F) Funnel plot for primary syphilis appears symmetric. (G) No significant association was observed between secondary syphilis and serofast state. (H) Funnel plot for secondary syphilis appears symmetric.

HIV

A total of 6 studies examined the association between HIV infection and serofast state (27, 3032, 34, 40). The pooled analysis demonstrated a positive association between HIV and serofast occurrence (RR = 1.40, 95% CI: 1.09–1.79) (Figure 2C). However, no significant heterogeneity was detected across studies (I² = 0.0%, P = 0.688). Sensitivity analysis through sequential exclusion of individual studies revealed stable effect estimates, with RR values ranging from 1.31 (95% CI: 0.97–1.79) to 1.53 (95% CI: 1.12–2.08) (Supplementary Table S2). Visual inspection of the funnel plot revealed general symmetry, suggesting low likelihood of publication bias (Figure 2D). Nevertheless, formal statistical assessment using Egger’s or Begg’s test was not performed due to the limited number of included studies (n < 10), which precludes reliable detection of small-study effects.

Syphilis stages

Primary syphilis

A total of 10 studies examined the association between primary syphilis and serofast state (2729, 34, 35, 3842). Primary syphilis was significantly associated with a reduced risk of serofast occurrence (RR = 0.65, 95% CI: 0.44–0.96) (Figure 2E). Substantial heterogeneity was detected across studies (I² = 76.8%, P < 0.001). Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the combined RR remained stable upon sequential exclusion of individual studies, with estimates ranging from 0.59 (95% CI: 0.40–0.87) to 0.72 (95% CI: 0.48–1.09) (Supplementary Table S2). Visual assessment of the funnel plot indicated general symmetry, suggesting no substantial publication bias (Figure 2F). This observation was further supported by both Egger’s test (P = 0.232) and Begg’s test (P = 0.474).

Secondary syphilis

A total of 11 studies examined the association between secondary syphilis and serofast state (2729, 32, 34, 35, 3842). No significant association was found between secondary syphilis and serofast occurrence (RR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.59–1.12) (Figure 2G). Substantial heterogeneity was detected across studies (I² = 79.9%, P < 0.001). Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the combined RR remained stable upon sequential exclusion of individual studies, with estimates ranging from 0.74 (95% CI: 0.48–1.14) to 0.87 (95% CI: 0.63–1.22) (Supplementary Table S2). Visual assessment of the funnel plot indicated general symmetry, suggesting no substantial publication bias (Figure 2H). This observation was further supported by both Egger’s test (P = 0.586) and Begg’s test (P = 0.276).

Latent syphilis

A total of 10 studies examined the association between latent syphilis and serofast state (2729, 32, 33, 35, 38, 39, 41, 42). The pooled analysis revealed a significant association between latent syphilis and serofast occurrence (RR = 2.14, 95% CI: 1.47–3.11) (Figure 3A). Substantial heterogeneity was detected across studies (I² = 85.8%, P < 0.001). Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the combined RR remained stable upon sequential exclusion of individual studies, with estimates ranging from 1.76 (95% CI: 1.28–2.42) to 2.50 (95% CI: 1.55–4.01) (Supplementary Table S2). Visual assessment of the funnel plot indicated general symmetry, suggesting no substantial publication bias (Figure 3B). This observation was further supported by both Egger’s test (P = 0.116) and Begg’s test (P = 0.210).

Figure 3
Forest plots and funnel plots display meta-analysis results in four panels. Panels A and C show forest plots with risk ratios, confidence intervals, and weights from various studies. Panels B and D feature corresponding funnel plots with pseudo ninety-five percent confidence limits. Panels E and G present additional forest plots, while F and H display their associated funnel plots. Study data includes authors, years, and statistical measures. The visualizations assess study heterogeneity and publication bias.

Figure 3. Forest and funnel plots showing the associations between serofast state and latent syphilis, RPR titres, age, and benzathine penicillin treatment. (A) Latent syphilis was significantly associated with a higher risk of serofast state. (B) Funnel plot for latent syphilis indicates low publication bias. (C) RPR titres ≤1:32 were significantly associated with an increased risk of serofast state. (D) Funnel plot for RPR titres shows mild asymmetry. (E) No significant association was found between age >40 years and serofast state. (F) Funnel plot for age appears symmetric. (G) Benzathine penicillin treatment showed no significant association with serofast state. (H) Funnel plot for benzathine penicillin suggests no evident publication bias.

Baseline titers of non-treponemal serological testing: rapid plasma reagin card assay

Several methods can be used to measure the decline in nontreponemal antibody titers, and different testing methods may influence the results of the study. Based on the large body of research available and the widespread use of the RPR test, we selected RPR as the representative test for this factor in our analysis.

A total of 7 studies examined the association between low rapid plasma reagin (RPR) titers (≤1:32) and serofast state (20, 28, 29, 35, 39, 40, 42). The pooled analysis revealed a significant association between low RPR antibody titers (≤1:32) and serofast occurrence (RR = 1.47; 95% CI: 1.02–2.13) (Figure 3C). However, substantial between-study heterogeneity was detected (I² = 93.5%, P < 0.001), necessitating cautious interpretation of these findings. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the combined RR remained stable upon sequential exclusion of individual studies, with estimates ranging from 1.21 (95% CI: 0.89–1.64) to 1.69 (95% CI: 1.14–2.51) (Supplementary Table S2). Visual inspection of the funnel plot revealed an asymmetrical distribution with smaller-scale studies clustering toward the side of diminished effect magnitudes (Figure 3D). Formal statistical assessment using Egger’s (P = 0.062) and Begg’s (P = 0.230) tests did not achieve conventional significance thresholds for publication bias detection, though this null finding may reflect limited statistical power inherent to meta-analyses with few included studies (n = 7). The observed asymmetry could alternatively arise from clinical heterogeneity across studies (e.g., differential inclusion of syphilis stages) or random variation rather than selective publication bias. Given the methodological constraints imposed by the limited study pool and substantial heterogeneity, these meta-analytic findings should be considered provisional. Definitive characterization of the RPR-serofast relationship will require large-scale prospective cohort studies employing standardized serological monitoring protocols and rigorous control for potential confounders.

Age>40

A total of 6 studies examined the association between advanced age (>40 years) and serofast state (20, 27, 35, 39, 40, 42). No significant association was found between advanced age (>40 years) and serofast occurrence (RR = 1.41; 95% CI: 0.80–2.49) (Figure 3E). Substantial heterogeneity was detected across studies (I² = 94.8%, P < 0.001). Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the combined RR remained stable upon sequential exclusion of individual studies, with estimates ranging from 1.02 (95% CI: 0.79–1.33) to 1.55 (95% CI: 0.87–2.77) (Supplementary Table S2). Funnel plot asymmetry assessment revealed no substantial asymmetry through visual inspection, implying a low likelihood of publication bias (Figure 3F). However, formal statistical evaluation using Egger’s or Begg’s tests was precluded due to insufficient statistical power (n = 6 studies), as current methodological guidelines recommend a minimum of 10 studies for reliable bias detection through regression-based approaches. The null association observed here may reflect true biological independence, insufficient sample sizes, or residual confounding from unmeasured variables (e.g. treatment adherence differences across age groups). Prospective studies stratifying participants by decade-specific age cohorts could elucidate potential non-linear relationships.

Benzathine penicillin

A total of 10 studies examined the association between benzathine penicillin and serofast state (20, 2729, 3439). No significant association was found between benzathine penicillin and serofast occurrence (RR = 0.99; 95% CI: 0.86–1.13). However, no significant heterogeneity was detected across studies (I² = 8.2%, P = 0.367) (Figure 3G). Sensitivity analysis through sequential exclusion of individual studies revealed stable effect estimates, with RR values ranging from 0.97 (95% CI: 0.86–1.10) to 1.02 (95% CI: 0.86–1.20) (Supplementary Table S2). Visual assessment of the funnel plot indicated general symmetry, suggesting no substantial publication bias (Figure 3H). This observation was further supported by both Egger’s test (P = 0.161) and Begg’s test (P = 0.210).

Discussion

Principal findings

This comprehensive meta-analysis synthesizes evidence from 17 cohort studies investigating determinants of serofast state in syphilis management (20, 2741). The pooled data demonstrate statistically robust associations between serofast occurrence and key clinical progression parameters, particularly disease stage at diagnosis (primary vs. latent), gender, HIV coinfection status and low RPR antibody titers (≤1:32) (Table 3). Notably, these risk relationships exhibited consistently elevated effect magnitudes across most stratified subgroups, with findings remaining robust in sensitivity analyses employing sequential exclusion methodologies. Crucially, our analysis failed to establish significant epidemiological associations between serofast persistence and three widely debated factors: advanced age thresholds (>40 years), secondary syphilis and penicillin-based therapeutic regimens (Table 3). The null findings for these variables persisted through multiple analytic frameworks, including random-effects models and influence analyses. We believe that the lack of significant association may reflect differences in study design, follow-up duration, and population characteristics across the included studies. Variations in inclusion criteria, the timing of follow-up, as well as heterogeneity in treatment regimens and patient demographics could account for the discrepancies observed in the literature. Further research with standardized protocols and longer follow-up durations is warranted to better understand the impact of these factors on serofast persistence.

Table 3
www.frontiersin.org

Table 3. Significant and nonsignificant risk factors associated with serofast state.

Comparison with other studies

Our investigation into serofast determinants demonstrates concordance with existing systematic reviews regarding the elevated risk associated with primary/latent syphilis stages and female gender. Notably, our findings align with the conclusions of two prior systematic reviews (43, 44), though critical methodological limitations in these earlier studies warrant discussion. The study of Qin, J., et al. (44), while valuable, exhibited constrained generalizability due to its exclusive focus on Chinese populations and failure to establish associations between RPR titers, HIV coinfection, and serofast outcomes. Similarly, Cao, Q., et al.’s analysis lacks essential statistical validation (43), potentially compromising result reliability. This study is currently the most comprehensive one, involving 4662 participants, aiming to conduct a meta-analysis on the relationship between serofast state and multiple outcomes.

Potential mechanisms

Current understanding of the pathophysiological mechanisms and clinical implications underlying serofast state remains incompletely elucidated (1, 10, 45). Emerging evidence suggests that host immune status and specific T. pallidum subtypes may significantly influence post-therapeutic serological outcomes (14). Recent investigations have revealed substantial cellular immunoregulatory disturbances in serofast patients, particularly involving Th1/Th2 cytokine polarization imbalance and Th17/Treg cell proportion dysregulation (46). Quantitative analysis demonstrates significantly elevated Treg cell populations in peripheral blood samples from serofast cases compared with healthy controls, concurrent with markedly reduced Th17 cell frequencies (47). This immunological perturbation may reflect heightened cellular immunosuppression, potentially resulting in suboptimal antibody production and subsequent development of serological persistence (46).

The pathogenic heterogeneity among T. pallidum strains may constitute a critical determinant in serological outcomes. Lin, L. R., et al. demonstrated Tp-IgM’s utility as a diagnostic biomarker for syphilis recrudescence and active infection (48). Mechanistically, genomic polymorphism in the Tpr gene family facilitates antigenic diversification, enabling immune evasion through epitope variation and contributing to serological persistence (49). Molecular epidemiological studies by Marra, C., et al. identified strain 14d/f as the predominant circulating variant (50), with distinct subtype distributions correlating with differential seroconversion rates. Notably, serofast cases exhibited higher 14i/a subtype prevalence compared to seroreverted counterparts, suggesting subtype-specific virulence factors may increase the possibility of serofast occurrence (11).

Implications

Our research may provide valuable insights for future clinical practice, as it assesses the influence of various factors on the occurrence of serum rapid reactions. In the early stages of syphilis, personalized treatment approaches based on individual patient conditions may help reduce the risk of serofast state. The positive association between HIV infection and serofast persistence suggests that HIV-positive individuals may require more intensive or tailored treatment regimens. Closer monitoring of serologic response, including RPR titers, and more frequent follow-up may be particularly beneficial for this subgroup. While there remains some debate about the long-term health effects of serofast state, we believe that its emergence is often underrecognized by clinicians. This research offers additional considerations for clinicians, particularly in managing patients at risk of serofast state, and may help improve treatment strategies, leading to more effective syphilis management in the future.

Strengths and limitations

This investigation demonstrates three principal methodological strengths in advancing serofast research. First, the relevant articles studied in this meta-analysis are the largest and most comprehensive meta-analysis related to the topic, providing the latest evidence on the potential relationship between primary syphilis, latent syphilis, female gender, HIV, low RPR antibody titers (≤1:32) and serofast state. Second, our meta-analysis covers a wider range, conducting a comprehensive search of literature using subject words and free words, and developing a search strategy without language or date restrictions. In this way, more original articles that meet the inclusion criteria can be found, in order to avoid publication bias and improve the credibility of the results. Third, we adhered to the PRISMA guidelines and used different methods to test the stability of the results, including sensitivity analysis and publication bias test, and the results were consistent with the main analysis.

This study has several methodological limitations that warrant consideration. First, significant heterogeneity was observed among the included studies, which may stem from the absence of standardized diagnostic criteria for serofast state and variations in enrollment protocols, therapeutic regimens, and follow-up schedules across different cohort studies, so we have compiled and organized the differential information that may have an impact on the research conclusions (Table 1). Notably, due to the lack of individual patient-level data, we were unable to perform subgroup analyses to investigate potential confounding factors such as therapeutic regimen variations, high-risk sexual behaviours (e.g. homosexual contact), and racial genetic predispositions. Second, given the inherent limitations of observational cohort studies, our findings only establish associations between serofast state and female gender, primary syphilis, latent syphilis, and HIV co-infection, rather than demonstrating causal relationships. To address these methodological constraints, future multicenter prospective cohort studies are warranted. Finally, we assessed the methodological quality of each included study based on three domains: patient representativeness, exposure and outcome determination, and follow-up adequacy. We identified three high-risk studies in our analysis, which could potentially affect the reliability of our conclusions. However, for the sake of data comprehensiveness and other considerations, we chose to retain these three high-risk studies in our analysis. To mitigate the impact of lower-quality studies on the final conclusions, we employed the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) for quality assessment and applied appropriate weighting. Additionally, we performed sensitivity analysis through leave-one-out methodology to further ensure the robustness of our results.

Conclusions

Current evidence indicates that among syphilis patients undergoing treatment, several factors demonstrate association with the serofast phenomenon - specifically female gender, co-existing HIV infection, primary syphilis, latent syphilis, and low RPR antibody titers (≤1:32). However, confirmation of these risk factors and investigation into their modifiability for serofast prevention require validation through prospective large-scale cohort studies.

Data availability statement

The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.

Author contributions

XZ: Conceptualization, Data curation, Writing – original draft. YO: Data curation, Writing – original draft. HW: Data curation, Writing – original draft. LiL: Writing – original draft, Conceptualization, Investigation. JC: Writing – original draft, Visualization. CZ: Writing – original draft. HH: Writing – original draft. JL: Writing – review & editing. YN: Writing – review & editing. LaL: Writing – review & editing. NY: Writing – review & editing. CX: Writing – review & editing. WG: Writing – review & editing. PL: Writing – review & editing, Supervision.

Funding

The author(s) declared financial support was received for this work and/or its publication. This work was supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province, China (2025JJ60918); Guidance Plan Project of Hengyang City, China (2024017529); Scientific Research Foundation of Hunan Provincial Education Department, China (S202310555230 and S202510555203).

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Generative AI statement

The author(s) declare that no Generative AI was used in the creation of this manuscript.

Any alternative text (alt text) provided alongside figures in this article has been generated by Frontiers with the support of artificial intelligence and reasonable efforts have been made to ensure accuracy, including review by the authors wherever possible. If you identify any issues, please contact us.

Publisher’s note

All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.

Supplementary material

The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fimmu.2025.1689904/full#supplementary-material

References

1. Li W, Yuan W, Huang S, Zou L, Zheng K, and Xie D. Research progress on the mechanism of Treponema pallidum breaking through placental barrier. Microb Pathog. (2023) 185:106392. doi: 10.1016/j.micpath.2023.106392

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

2. Chen J, Huang J, Liu Z, and Xie Y. Treponema pallidum outer membrane proteins: current status and prospects. Pathog Dis. (2022) 80. doi: 10.1093/femspd/ftac023

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

3. Lu S, Zheng K, Wang J, Xu M, Xie Y, Yuan S, et al. Characterization of treponema pallidum dissemination in C57BL/6 mice. Front Immunol. (2020) 11:577129. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2020.577129

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

4. Peeling RW, Mabey D, Kamb ML, Chen XS, Radolf JD, and Benzaken AS. Syphilis. Nat Rev Dis Primers. (2017) 3:17073. doi: 10.1038/nrdp.2017.73

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

5. Radolf JD, Deka RK, Anand A, Šmajs D, Norgard MV, and Yang XF. Treponema pallidum, the syphilis spirochete: making a living as a stealth pathogen. Nat Rev Microbiol. (2016) 14:744–59. doi: 10.1038/nrmicro.2016.141

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

6. Mabey D and Peeling RW. Syphilis, still a major cause of infant mortality. Lancet Infect Dis. (2011) 11:654–5. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(11)70150-5

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

7. Rowley J, Vander Hoorn S, Korenromp E, Low N, Unemo M, Abu-Raddad LJ, et al. Chlamydia, gonorrhoea, trichomoniasis and syphilis: global prevalence and incidence estimates, 2016. Bull World Health Organ. (2019) 97:548–62p. doi: 10.2471/BLT.18.228486

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

8. Arora N, Schuenemann VJ, Jäger G, Peltzer A, Seitz A, Herbig A, et al. Origin of modern syphilis and emergence of a pandemic Treponema pallidum cluster. Nat Microbiol. (2016) 2:16245. doi: 10.1038/nmicrobiol.2016.245

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

9. Duan B, Zhou Y, Wang X, Wang H, Li Y, Zhou X, et al. Congenital syphilis: adverse pregnancy outcomes and neonatal disorders. Infection. (2025). doi: 10.1007/s15010-025-02591-z

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

10. Xu M, Xie Y, Zheng K, Luo H, Tan M, Zhao F, et al. Two potential syphilis vaccine candidates inhibit dissemination of treponema pallidum. Front Immunol. (2021) 12:759474. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2021.759474

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

11. Xiao Y, Liu S, Liu Z, Xie Y, Jiang C, Xu M, et al. Molecular subtyping and surveillance of resistance genes in treponema pallidum DNA from patients with secondary and latent syphilis in Hunan, China. Sex Transm Dis. (2016) 43:310–6. doi: 10.1097/OLQ.0000000000000445

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

12. Luo Y, Xie Y, Chen J, Zhou J, Zhao F, Liu S, et al. Treponema pallidum FlaA2 inducing the release of pro-inflammatory cytokines is mediated via TLR2 in keratinocytes. Microb Pathog. (2022) 173:105879. doi: 10.1016/j.micpath.2022.105879

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

13. Li S, Li W, Jin Y, Wu B, and Wu Y. Advancements in the development of nucleic acid vaccines for syphilis prevention and control. Hum Vaccin Immunother. (2023) 19:2234790. doi: 10.1080/21645515.2023.2234790

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

14. He Y, Chen D, Fu Y, Huo X, Zhao F, Yao L, et al. Immunization with Tp0954, an adhesin of Treponema pallidum, provides protective efficacy in the rabbit model of experimental syphilis. Front Immunol. (2023) 14:1130593. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2023.1130593

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

15. Workowski KA, Bachmann LH, Chan PA, Johnston CM, Muzny CA, Park I, et al. Sexually transmitted infections treatment guidelines, 2021. MMWR Recomm Rep. (2021) 70:1–187. doi: 10.15585/mmwr.rr7004a1

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

16. Seña AC, Zhang XH, Li T, Zheng HP, Yang B, Yang LG, et al. A systematic review of syphilis serological treatment outcomes in HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected persons: rethinking the significance of serological non-responsiveness and the serofast state after therapy. BMC Infect Dis. (2015) 15:479. doi: 10.1186/s12879-015-1209-0

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

17. Liu J, Zhang R, Lian T, Chen Z, Zhang RL, and Wang Q. Plasma exosome-derived microRNAs profiles in patients with serofast status: A cross-sectional study. Int J Gen Med. (2023) 16:1455–69. doi: 10.2147/IJGM.S404545

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

18. Lorenz ZW, Nijhar S, Caufield-Noll C, Ghanem KG, and Hamill MM. The utility of biomarkers in the clinical management of syphilis: A systematic review. Sex Transm Dis. (2023) 50:472–8. doi: 10.1097/OLQ.0000000000001813

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

19. Clement ME, Okeke NL, and Hicks CB. Treatment of syphilis: a systematic review. Jama. (2014) 312:1905–17. doi: 10.1001/jama.2014.13259

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

20. Cai SN, Long J, Chen C, Wan G, and Lun WH. Incidence of asymptomatic neurosyphilis in serofast Chinese syphilis patients. Sci Rep. (2017) 7:15456. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-15641-w

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

21. He Y, Zou W, Han X, Chen C, Zhang A, and Sun N. Cognitive prehabilitation for geriatric patients undergoing elective surgery: a PRISMA-P-compliant protocol for a systematic review. BMJ Open. (2022) 12:e060369. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-060369

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

22. Wolpert F, Berghoff AS, Grossenbacher B, Lareida A, Löb R, Roth P, et al. Venous thromboembolic events in patients with brain metastases: the PICOS score. Eur J Cancer. (2020) 134:75–85. doi: 10.1016/j.ejca.2020.04.018

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

23. Stang A. Critical evaluation of the Newcastle-Ottawa scale for the assessment of the quality of nonrandomized studies in meta-analyses. Eur J Epidemiol. (2010) 25:603–5. doi: 10.1007/s10654-010-9491-z

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

24. Lo CK, Mertz D, and Loeb M. Newcastle-Ottawa Scale: comparing reviewers’ to authors’ assessments. BMC Med Res Methodol. (2014) 14:45. doi: 10.1186/1471-2288-14-45

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

25. Duval S and Tweedie R. Trim and fill: A simple funnel-plot-based method of testing and adjusting for publication bias in meta-analysis. Biometrics. (2000) 56:455–63. doi: 10.1111/j.0006-341X.2000.00455.x

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

26. Higgins JP, Thompson SG, Deeks JJ, and Altman DG. Measuring inconsistency in meta-analyses. Bmj. (2003) 327:557–60. doi: 10.1136/bmj.327.7414.557

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

27. Leeyaphan C, Punyaratabandhu P, Jiamton S, Junsuwan N, Chirachanakul P, Chanyachailert P, et al. Predictors of serological cure after treatment in patients with early syphilis: A retrospective observational study in Thailand. Indian J Dermatol Venereol Leprol. (2019) 85:235. doi: 10.4103/ijdvl.IJDVL_810_17

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

28. Liu J, Zhao TW, Zhou C, Yan HW, and Lun WH. Changes of serofast status in HIV negative asymptomatic neurosyphilis patients after treatment. Front Med (Lausanne). (2022) 9:938016. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2022.938016

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

29. Liu Y, Bian Q, Zhang S, Wang J, Wang Z, and Li J. Is repeated retreatment necessary for HIV-negative serofast early syphilis patients? Exp Ther Med. (2020) 19:255–63. doi: 10.3892/etm.2019.8180

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

30. Marchese V, Tiecco G, Storti S, Degli Antoni M, Calza S, Gulletta M, et al. Syphilis infections, reinfections and serological response in a large italian sexually transmitted disease centre: A monocentric retrospective study. J Clin Med. (2022) 11. doi: 10.3390/jcm11247499

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

31. Pastuszczak M, Jakiela B, and Wojas-Pelc A. Association of interleukin-10 promoter polymorphisms with serofast state after syphilis treatment. Sex Transm Infect. (2019) 95:163–8. doi: 10.1136/sextrans-2018-053753

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

32. Pastuszczak M, Kotnis-Gąska A, Jakubowicz B, and Wojas-Pelc A. Treponema pallidum-specific immune responses and autoimmunity in patients who remain serofast after treatment of syphilis. Postepy Dermatol Alergol. (2019) 36:620–5. doi: 10.5114/ada.2018.77497

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

33. Pastuszczak M, Sitko M, Bociaga-Jasik M, Kucharz J, and Wojas-Pelc A. Lack of antiretroviral therapy is associated with higher risk of neurosyphilis among HIV-infected patients who remain serofast after therapy for early syphilis. Med (Baltimore). (2018) 97:e13171. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000013171

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

34. Paul G, Wesselmann J, Adzic D, Malin JJ, Suarez I, Priesner V, et al. Predictors of serofast state after treatment for early syphilis in HIV-infected patients. HIV Med. (2021) 22:165–71. doi: 10.1111/hiv.12985

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

35. Seña AC, Wolff M, Martin DH, Behets F, Van Damme K, Leone P, et al. Predictors of serological cure and Serofast State after treatment in HIV-negative persons with early syphilis. Clin Infect Dis. (2011) 53:1092–9. doi: 10.1093/cid/cir671

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

36. Smith NH, Musher DM, Huang DB, Rodriguez PS, Dowell ME, Ace W, et al. Response of HIV-infected patients with asymptomatic syphilis to intensive intramuscular therapy with ceftriaxone or procaine penicillin. Int J STD AIDS. (2004) 15:328–32. doi: 10.1177/095646240401500511

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

37. Spornraft-Ragaller P, Abraham S, Lueck C, and Meurer M. Response of HIV-infected patients with syphilis to therapy with penicillin or intravenous ceftriaxone. Eur J Med Res. (2011) 16:47–51. doi: 10.1186/2047-783X-16-2-47

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

38. Wang ZS, Liu XK, and Li J. Serological response to therapy following retreatment of serofast early syphilis patients with benzathine penicillin. J Antimicrob Chemother. (2018) 73:1348–51. doi: 10.1093/jac/dky006

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

39. Wu H, Qi M, Wang H, Liu Q, and Liu Y. Efficacy of minocycline in the treatment of early syphilis. Int J STD AIDS. (2021) 32:648–53. doi: 10.1177/0956462420984695

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

40. Zhang RL, Wang QQ, Zhang JP, and Yang LJ. Molecular subtyping of Treponema pallidum and associated factors of serofast status in early syphilis patients: Identified novel genotype and cytokine marker. PloS One. (2017) 12:e0175477. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0175477

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

41. Zhang X, Shahum A, Yang LG, Xue Y, Wang L, Yang B, et al. Outcomes from re-treatment and cerebrospinal fluid analyses in patients with syphilis who had serological nonresponse or lack of seroreversion after initial therapy. Sex Transm Dis. (2021) 48:443–50. doi: 10.1097/OLQ.0000000000001321

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

42. Tong ML, Lin LR, Liu GL, Zhang HL, Zeng YL, Zheng WH, et al. Factors associated with serological cure and the serofast state of HIV-negative patients with primary, secondary, latent, and tertiary syphilis. PloS One. (2013) 8:e70102. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0070102

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

43. Cao Q, Li Y, Hu Y, He B, Tang Y, Cao T, et al. Serofast status in syphilis: Pathogenesis to therapeutics. Clin Chim Acta. (2024) 560:119754. doi: 10.1016/j.cca.2024.119754

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

44. Qin J, Yang T, Wang H, Feng T, and Liu X. Potential Predictors for Serofast State after Treatment among HIV-Negative Persons with Syphilis in China: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Iran J Public Health. (2015) 44:155–69.

PubMed Abstract | Google Scholar

45. Tang Y, Zhou Y, He B, Cao T, Zhou X, Ning L, et al. Investigation of the immune escape mechanism of Treponema pallidum. Infection. (2023) 51:305–21. doi: 10.1007/s15010-022-01939-z

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

46. Eisenstein EM and Williams CB. The T(reg)/Th17 cell balance: a new paradigm for autoimmunity. Pediatr Res. (2009) 65:26r–31r. doi: 10.1203/PDR.0b013e31819e76c7

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

47. Zhao J, Ma J, Zhang X, Li Q, and Yang X. Equilibrium of Treg/Th17 cells of peripheral blood in syphilitic patients with sero-resistance. Exp Ther Med. (2016) 11:2300–4. doi: 10.3892/etm.2016.3178

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

48. Lin LR, Zheng WH, Tong ML, Fu ZG, Liu GL, Fu JG, et al. Further evaluation of the characteristics of Treponema pallidum-specific IgM antibody in syphilis serofast reaction patients. Diagn Microbiol Infect Dis. (2011) 71:201–7. doi: 10.1016/j.diagmicrobio.2011.07.005

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

49. Giacani L, Molini BJ, Kim EY, Godornes BC, Leader BT, Tantalo LC, et al. Antigenic variation in Treponema pallidum: TprK sequence diversity accumulates in response to immune pressure during experimental syphilis. J Immunol. (2010) 184:3822–9. doi: 10.4049/jimmunol.0902788

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

50. Marra C, Sahi S, Tantalo L, Godornes C, Reid T, Behets F, et al. Enhanced molecular typing of treponema pallidum: geographical distribution of strain types and association with neurosyphilis. J Infect Dis. (2010) 202:1380–8. doi: 10.1086/656533

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

Keywords: syphilis, treponema pallidum, serofast state, serological diagnosis, sexually transmitted disease

Citation: Zeng X, Ouyang Y, Wang H, Liu L, Chen J, Zhu C, Huang H, Lin J, Niu Y, Liao L, Yang N, Xiao C, Gong W and Liu P (2025) Risk factors of serofast state in patients undergoing syphilis: a meta-analysis of 17 cohort studies. Front. Immunol. 16:1689904. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2025.1689904

Received: 21 August 2025; Accepted: 12 November 2025; Revised: 17 October 2025;
Published: 05 December 2025.

Edited by:

Fifonsi Adjidossi Gbeasor-Komlanvi, University of Lomé, Togo

Reviewed by:

Valeria De Giorgi, National Institutes of Health (NIH), United States
Orbe Orihuela Yaneth, National Institute of Public Health (Mexico), Mexico

Copyright © 2025 Zeng, Ouyang, Wang, Liu, Chen, Zhu, Huang, Lin, Niu, Liao, Yang, Xiao, Gong and Liu. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

*Correspondence: Weidong Gong, ZGVubmlzXzEzQDE2My5jb20=; Peng Liu, cGVuZ2xpdUBsaXZlLmNu

Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.