A New “Business as Usual” Climate Scenario and the Stress Response of the Caribbean Coral Montastraea cavernosa

The climate change related decline of shallow (<30 m) coral reef ecosystems has been driven by the mortality of scleractinian corals caused primarily by the phenomenon known as “coral bleaching.” But despite pervasive phase shifts and macroalgal dominance on many coral reefs, some coral species have persisted. One of those species is Montastraea cavernosa which has been categorized as resilient to a range of biotic and abiotic stressors. In order to understand the mechanism(s) of resistance in this coral, we present the results of a thermal stress and ocean acidification (OA) experiment on M. cavernosa, both its brown and orange color morphs, representing conditions predicted by the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 6.0 scenario in the year 2100. We assessed the community response of the prokaryotic microbiome, the photophysiological response of the endosymbiotic Symbiodiniaceae and the molecular responses of critical pathways in the host by quantifying transcript abundances of genes encoding fluorescent proteins, heat shock proteins, antioxidant enzymes and regulators of apoptosis. After a 12 d acclimatization experiment, no visible bleaching was observed in any treatment, and the excitation pressure on photosystem II of the symbiotic Symbiodiniaceae showed no effects of the independent or interactive effects of thermal stress and OA, while only minor, but significant, changes in the prokaryotic microbiome were observed when exposed to RCP 6.0 predicted OA conditions. At the end of the experiment, the host heat shock protein 90 showed an increase in transcript abundance under the combined effects of thermal stress and OA compared to high temperatures alone, but these treatment groups were not significantly different from treatments under normal temperatures. While Bax, an activator of apoptosis, was significantly higher under thermal stress alone compared to control samples. Taken together, M. cavernosa, exhibits ecological stability over time and this may be based on its physiological persistence, resistance and resilience when experimentally exposed to the ecologically realistic RCP 6.0 climate model predictions.


INTRODUCTION
The worldwide decline of coral reefs has been attributed to a variety of natural and anthropogenic stressors Hughes et al., 2018), and we are now in a new epoch of rapid ecological change known as the Anthropocene (Williams et al., 2019). However, climate change and specifically ocean warming (OW) have contributed to multiple incidences of coral bleaching in recent years (Donner et al., 2005;Hoegh-Guldberg et al., 2017;Eakin et al., 2019;Fordyce et al., 2019). In addition, the effect of ocean acidification (OA) on calcification and community composition is believed to be a serious threat to coral reefs Edmunds et al., 2016), and the interaction between the effects of elevated OW and OA is an area of continuing concern (Pandolfi et al., 2011;Kroeker et al., 2013;Boyd et al., 2014;Harborne et al., 2017). These issues are of particular concern in the Caribbean Basin, where 70% of the coral reefs are already listed as threatened, critically endangered, or have undergone a phase shift to algal or soft coral dominated coral reefs (Norström et al., 2009;Dudgeon et al., 2010). The multiple stressors associated with climate change (e.g., Boyd et al., 2014) represent a "tipping point" for these coral reefs that are already severely impacted by hurricanes, overfishing, eutrophication, coastal development, hypoxic events and invasions by non-native species (Hughes et al., 2003(Hughes et al., , 2017Lesser, 2004;Hoegh-Guldberg et al., 2007, Hoegh-Guldberg et al., 2017Lesser and Slattery, 2011;Altieri et al., 2017).
The most significant consequence of climate change on coral reefs, however, is the phenomenon of "bleaching" in scleractinian corals where the primary cause is exposure to thermal stress and/or high irradiances of solar radiation, both its visible and ultraviolet components (Banaszak and Lesser, 2009). Subsequently, this leads to photooxidative stress in the host tissues and symbiotic dinoflagellates in the Family Symbiodiniaceae, followed by expulsion of the algae into the environment (Lesser, 2006(Lesser, , 2011a(Lesser, ,b, 2019. The loss of these photosynthetic endosymbionts, or a change in their community composition (i.e., shuffling) to more resistant communities, can be a significant energetic cost to the host (Muscatine, 1990;Lesser, 2013), a strong selective pressure on corals , and an important influence on the resilience of corals to future climate change (Nyström et al., 2000;Anthony et al., 2015;Suggett et al., 2017). Recent studies have suggested that evolutionary adaptations can occur in corals over short temporal scales Palumbi et al., 2014;Matz et al., 2018;Thomas et al., 2018;DeCarlo et al., 2019;Wright et al., 2019), but under current climate predictions it is clear that there will be "winners" and "losers" at the species level (Loya et al., 2001;Somero, 2010). Community composition changes, however, will also occur (van Woesik et al., 2011) and members of the community who were initially winners will become losers under prolonged, or repeated, exposures to environmental stress (Grottoli et al., 2014;Cacciapaglia and van Woesik, 2015).
Most severe bleaching occurs in the first 15 m depth on a coral reef (e.g., Baird et al., 2018) where irradiances are high (e.g., Lesser, 2000) and experimental evidence has supported a significant, and interactive, role for solar radiation in the bleaching phenomenon (Lesser et al., 1990;Brown et al., 2002;Bhagooli and Hidaka, 2004;Lesser and Farrell, 2004;Lesser, 2010Lesser, , 2011a. Both the host and dinoflagellate symbionts respond by differential expression of stress genes that include heat shock proteins, enzymatic antioxidants, fluorescent proteins and regulators of apoptosis, autophagy or necrosis (Lesser and Farrell, 2004;Baird et al., 2009;Lesser, 2011a,b), or by switching to symbionts with increased organismal functionality (i.e., temperature compensated photophysiology) under environmental stress (Suggett et al., 2017;Lesser, 2019). One way to identify coral phenotypes resistant to environmental stress is to use molecular markers known to respond to multiple environmental stressors (Downs et al., 2000;Tchernov et al., 2004;Kenkel et al., 2011Kenkel et al., , 2014Jin et al., 2016;Louis et al., 2017). We now know that the differential expression of genes involved in upstream pathways that respond to multiple environmental stressors such as quenching the formation of reactive oxygen (ROS) and nitrogen species (RNS), and the activation of downstream pathways related to coral bleaching including apoptosis, autophagy and necrosis (Lesser, 2006(Lesser, , 2011aWeis, 2008), should be successful candidates to identify both resistant and susceptible phenotypes. These genes are highly conserved and have been identified in numerous cnidarians, including scleractinian corals with photoautotrophic endosymbionts in the Symbiodiniaceae (Bhattacharya et al., 2016).
In the Caribbean most species of coral have declined in abundance and percent cover over the past 40 years due to multiple factors that has resulted in a pervasive phase shift from coral to macroalgae cover (Jackson et al., 2014;de Bakker et al., 2016). Some species, such as Montastraea cavernosa, have continued to be a consistently small, and variable, component in many of these communities across the Caribbean on decadal time scales (Jackson et al., 2014). M. cavernosa occurs in three color morphs, cyan, orange and brown/green which express a range of fluorescent proteins as well as fluorescent pigments associated with their symbiotic cyanobacteria (Kelmanson and Matz, 2003;Kao et al., 2007;Jarett et al., 2017). In the Caribbean, shallow populations of M. cavernosa have been categorized based on several phenotypic traits including sensitivity to bleaching, disease susceptibility and mortality, and found to be highly resistant to these biotic and abiotic stressors (Fitt and Warner, 1995;Smith et al., 2013). M. cavernosa also exhibits high resilience, described as a decrease in bleaching and mortality, in the face of repeated bleaching events (Gintert et al., 2018). Quantifying the underlying traits responsible for the ecological and evolutionary phenotypes that lead to the success of populations of M. cavernosa under current, and potentially future, environmental stress is essential (sensu Edmunds et al., 2014).
Here we present the results of an experiment on the Caribbean coral M. cavernosa that exposes both its brown and orange color morphs to OW and OA representing predictions from the RCP 6.0 climate model (Rogelj et al., 2012;Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC], 2014). Both physiological and molecular biomarkers of the host, its Symbiodiniaceae community and its prokaryotic microbiome were used to evaluate their response to future climate change scenarios that represent conditions coral reefs are likely to experience, based on realistic estimates of coal reserves and their use, as well as the absence of any climate change mitigation policies, which suggest that RCP 8.5 represent conditions are unrealistic (Hausfather and Peters, 2020).

Sampling, Experimental Conditions, Design and Statistical Analysis
Samples of both the brown (n = 16) and orange (n = 16) morphs of M. cavernosa were collected from South Perry Reef on Lee Stocking Island in the Bahamas (23 • 47 0.03 N, 76 • 6 5.14 W) at a depth of ∼15 m in August of 2011. All samples represented individual ramets that were collected by chiseling a piece of coral (=ramet) from individual colonies (=genet) in the field. Coral ramets ranged in size from 7.62 to 12.7 cm base diameter and were randomly selected and placed in different treatment groups. These corals were then acclimatized (n = 4 brown and n = 4 orange samples for each treatment group) in ambient seawater pressure of carbon dioxide (pCO 2 ) and temperature for 3 days supplied to corals in individual aquaria (8 L) and placed in a raceway system of flowing seawater while being exposed to daily, full spectrum, solar radiation (∼13 h of light) under neutral density cloth. After 3 days, the seawater for each individual aquarium was supplied from header tanks (n = 2) that passed through a coarse sand filter allowing all corals to access ambient levels of food at ∼1.0 L h −1 for 12 d, a moderate duration experiment as defined by McLachlan et al. (2020), in a fully orthogonal matrix design of CO 2 concentrations and temperature conditions. At the time of the experiment CO 2 concentrations that reflected current pCO 2 (∼390 µatm) conditions and the A2 climate model (pCO 2 of ∼800 µatm) scenario, as well as the current and predicted summer OW from that model ( , 2014). The mean differences in the abiotic factors were significant for both OA (t-test; two-tailed, P < 0.001) and temperature (t-test; two-tailed, P < 0.001). All measured as well as predicted carbonate chemistry values (e.g., pH T values) for each treatment group are presented in Supplementary  Table 1.
The seawater pH values for these conditions were maintained by bubbling, using air stones, one header tank with CO 2 and one with ambient air. pH was held constant using the pHstat approach with WTW 3310 pH meters (accuracy = ±0.005 pH capability). The mean high temperature treatments were maintained using JBJ titanium heaters (accuracy = ±0.5 • C) and monitored using HOBO Water Temperature Pro v2 data loggers (Onset Corp.). The experiment tested four treatments (n = 4 brown and n = 4 orange morphs per treatment); ambient T • C and pH (AmbNorm), ambient T • C and low pH (AmbLow), elevated T • C and normal pH (HiNorm), and elevated T • C and low pH (HiLow) for each color morph. The maximum irradiance of photosynthetically active radiation (PAR; 400-700 nm) under the neutral density cloth, measured with a LI-COR LI-192 cosine corrected underwater quantum sensor, was 450-500 µmol quanta m −2 s −1 representing the downwelling irradiance of the site and depth of collection at midday (e.g., Lesser and Gorbunov, 2001). All treatments, including color morph, and time effects and their interaction, were tested using ANOVA with post hoc multiple comparison testing (i.e., Tukey's HSD), or repeated measures ANOVA, as needed.

Carbonate Chemistry
Independent seawater samples (n = 3) were collected from the experimental aquaria at the end of the experiment and analyzed for total alkalinity (TA) (µmol kg seawater −1 ), total CO 2 (TCO 2 ) (µmol kg seawater −1 ) and the partial pCO 2 (µatm) at the University of New Hampshire Ocean Process Analysis Laboratory. TA was analyzed using an Apollo SciTech AS-A2 automated analyzer, which employs the Gran end-point titration procedure using 0.1 N HCl to pH 4.5 with a precision of 0.1%. The initial pH for the titration was measured on the sample using a Thermo Orion combination electrode (precision = ±0.027 pH units). TCO 2 samples were analyzed immediately after opening the sample bottle. Using a digital syringe, a small amount of sample (0.5 ml) was acidified with 10% phosphoric acid and the evolved CO 2 subsequently measured with a LICOR 6262 non-dispersive infrared gas analyzer. The precision of these measurements averaged ∼0.1% (range 0.05-0.5%). pCO 2 (±4 µatm) was measured using a three-chamber equilibrator and a LiCor 840A non-dispersive infrared CO 2 gas analyzer. Certified reference materials were used to generate standard curves and to ensure the precision of all measurements (Dickson et al., 2007). The pH T and Ca of each sample were then calculated using CO2calc software (Robbins et al., 2010) using the temperature of each treatment, a salinity of 37.0 ppt, and the inorganic carbon dissociation constants from Mehrbach et al. (1973) as refitted by Dickson and Millero (1987). Given that the CO2calc software only required two of three of the directly measured carbonate parameters, TA and pO2 were chosen as inputs and the calculated TCO 2 used as a check against the directly measured TCO 2 .

Active Fluorescence
The quantum yield of photosystem II (PSII) fluorescence was measured using a pulse amplitude modulated (PAM) diving fluorometer (Walz, Inc.) at noon and at 8-10 PM, equivalent to the maximum and minimum irradiances for the beginning (T 0 ) and end (T 12 ) of the experiment. The in vivo fluorescence of chlorophyll varies between a minimum yield, F o , and maximum yield, F m . The difference between F o and F m fluorescent yields (F m -F o ) is the variable fluorescence, F v and the ratio F v /F m or F/F m is the maximum (i.e., dark adapted) and steady state (i.e., in the light), respectively, is the quantum yield of PSII fluorescence Warner et al., 2010). The PAM fluorometer utilized was a blue LED version (470 nm excitation, emission > 630 nm) with the fiber-optic probe held 1 cm from the coral in a perpendicular orientation. A saturation pulse of 0.8 s at 3000 µmol quanta m −2 s −1 was used to record maximal fluorescence (F m ) at a gain setting of 6, and all coral measurements (n = 3 for each sample in each treatment) were taken at the same instrument settings. All quantum yield measurements are ratios and therefore a priori not normally distributed, so these measurements were transformed (Log + 1) prior to analysis and back transformed for presentation. Measurements were taken at the beginning (T 0 ) and end (T 12 ) of the experiment and analyzed for treatment effects; color morph and time of day (i.e., midday or midnight) were each treated as an independent factor using a multifactor, repeated measures, ANOVA with interaction for the analysis of the data.
Additionally, the fluorescence measurements were used to assess the level of excitation over PSII defined as -Prieto et al. (2004). These data are also not a priori normally distributed and were transformed (Arcsine) prior to analysis and back transformed for presentation.

Metagenetic Analysis of 16S rRNA Genes
At the end of the 12 d experiment, samples of coral were preserved in both DNA preservation buffer (Seutin et al., 1991) and RNALater (Qiagen), transferred to the University of New Hampshire frozen, and maintained at −80 • C until processed. Samples preserved in DNA buffer from each treatment; AmbNorm (n = 8), AmbLow (n = 7), HiNorm (n = 7), and HiLow (n = 8) were thawed, and rinsed with sterile 1× phosphate buffered saline (PBS) using an airbrush at a distance of 10-20 cm for ∼2 min. Subsequently, pressurized air from a Husky Pistol Grip Blow Gun fitted to a SCUBA cylinder was used to remove coral tissues into 10 ml of sterile 1× PBS. The tip was wiped with 70% ethanol followed by sterile 1× PBS after each coral sample was processed. The tissue slurry was homogenized for 30 s at medium speed using a tissue homogenizer which was run in 70% ethanol followed by sterile 1× PBS between each sample. Symbiodiniaceae and skeletal debris were pelleted (400 × g, 5 min, 4 • C) and 1.5 ml of the tissue supernatant pipetted off into each of two 2 ml cryovials in DNA buffer (Seutin et al., 1991) for microbial analysis and stored at −20 • C while the pellet was also stored in 1.5 ml of DNA buffer.
DNA was extracted from both coral supernatants and pellets using a modified CTAB (cetyltrimethylammonium bromide) protocol as follows. Lysis took place in the presence of 600 µl 2 × CTAB (0.4 M NaCl, 50 mM Na2 EDTA, pH 8.0) and 1.2 µl 2mercaptoethanol. Mechanical lysis was achieved by the addition of one sterilized steel carbide bead (Qiagen) and 10 min of shaking at 50 Hz in a Tissue-Lyzer (Qiagen). Each sample was then incubated with 5 µl of Proteinase K (20 mg ml −1 stock in 10% SDS) at 55 • C for 4 h. After incubation, samples were centrifuged at 2,000 × g for 1 min to pellet any debris and the liquid portion of the sample transferred to a new microcentrifuge tube. An equal volume of chloroform: isoamyl alcohol (24:1) was added and mixed by inversion. The aqueous phase was isolated by centrifugation for 10 min at 15,000 × g and transferred to a new microcentrifuge tube and mixed with an equal volume of phenol: chloroform: isoamyl alcohol (25:24:1). The aqueous phase was again recovered by centrifugation for 10 min at 15,000 × g and rinsed with an equal volume of chloroform: isoamyl alcohol (24:1). Following a final centrifugation, the aqueous phase was recovered, and DNA precipitated with 2 × volumes of 100% cold ethanol and incubated for 1 h at −20 • C. DNA was pelleted by centrifugation for 20 min at 20,000 × g at 4 • C and the supernatant was subsequently discarded. Pellets were washed with 70% ethanol, pelleted by centrifugation for 20 min at 20,000 × g at 4 • C and then dried at 45 • C for 20 min in a SpeedVac to remove residual ethanol. Pellets were then rehydrated in 50 ul nuclease-free MilliQ water.
DNA was amplified using the polymerase chain reaction (PCR) with primer sets targeting the universal prokaryotic 16S rRNA gene. Degenerate primers designed to amplify the hypervariable region V3-V4 of the 16S rRNA gene were used and included a forward primer 515F (5 -GTGYCAGCMGCCGCGGTAA; Parada et al., 2016) and reverse primer 806R (5 -GGACTACN-VGGGTWTCTAAT; Apprill et al., 2015). Fluidigm linker sequences CS1 (5 -ACACTGACGACATGGTTC-TACA) and CS2 (5 -TACGGTAGCAGAGACTTGGTCT) were added to the 5 end of both forward and reverse primers to facilitate Illumina MiSeq. The 16S rRNA gene PCR consisted of a 25 µl reaction with 12.5 µl AmpliTaq Gold 360 Master Mix (Applied Biosystems), 1.0 µl GC-enhancer, 0.5 µl 515F (10 µM) and 0.5 µl 806R (10 µM), 2.0 µl of DNA template (40-60 ng) and 8.5 µl nuclease free water (Integrated DNA Technologies, Coralville, Iowa). Reactions were performed using the following protocol: initial denaturation for 10 min at 95 • C, 30 cycles of 95 • C for 45 s, 50 • C for 60 s, and 72 • C for 90 s, followed by a 10 min extension at 72 • C. The PCR products were then electrophoresed on a 1% agarose gel. For all DNA extractions both mock extractions (reagent controls) and PCR negative controls (no DNA) were conducted. The PCR products of these extractions, and samples, were run out on electrophoresis gels before sequencing. Even though mock extractions and negative controls showed no bands after PCR, a selection of these samples was submitted for 16S rRNA amplicon sequencing. These sequencing reactions did not reveal significant contamination (<500 reads per sample) and were excluded from downstream analysis because of insufficient reads to analyze with statistical confidence.

Sequencing and Bioinformatics
The 16S rRNA PCR amplicons containing Fluidigm linkers were sequenced on an Illumina MiniSeq System employing V2 chemistry (2 × 150 bp reads) at the University of Illinois at Chicago (UIC) Research Resources Center's Sequencing Core. Amplicon sequence variants (ASVs) were inferred and tabulated across samples using DADA2 (Callahan et al., 2016). Briefly: raw reads were trimmed of the initial 20 bp to remove residual primer and then truncated beyond the first instance of quality scores below 3 ("truncQ = 2"). The maximum expected error during denoising ("maxEE") was 2 and 5 for forward and reverse reads, respectively. The error model was built from the first 100M bases and inspected using "plotErrors." Denoised reads were then merged and chimeric contigs discarded using "mergePairs" and "removeBimeraDenovo, " respectively. Taxonomic ranks were assigned to the inferred ASVs using the SILVA ribosomal reference database release 132, using DADA2 function "assignTaxonomy." Raw 16S rRNA reads were submitted to the NCBI Sequence Read Archive under BioProject accession number PRJNA590192.
Analyses of the prokaryote communities was conducted using PhyloSeq functions in R (McMurdie and Holmes, 2013). All ASVs assigned as "chloroplast" were removed prior to analysis. Any samples recovering fewer than 10,000 total reads were omitted to ensure sufficient sequence coverage before normalization (Supplementary Figure 1). Samples were further filtered to exclude ASVs detected in in only one sample or amounting to less than 10 occurrences across all samples after assessment of ASV prevalence and abundance. Samples were then rarefied to even read depths to normalize for sequencing effort. Alpha diversities and evenness were estimated using the "estimate_richness" and "evenness" functions which calculate several common indices. Samples were ordinated based on Bray-Curtis distance using principal coordinates analysis ("method = PCoA"). In order to assess prokaryotic compositional differences at the class taxonomic level, the rarefied ASV count table was consolidated by rank using the "tax_glom" function. Raw counts were transformed to center log ratios using the "transform" function ("transform = CLR") from the R "microbiome" package (Lahti et al., 2017). A global test of compositional differences among coral color morph, and treatments were then tested using PERMANOVA on sample Aitchison distances (Gloor et al., 2017) with the "adonis" function from the R package "vegan" (Oksanen et al., 2019). Subsequently, any significant global analysis was followed-up with post hoc tests of pairwise compositional differences among treatments and/or color morphs using PERMANOVA with Bonferroni correction of P-values for multiple tests using the "p.adjust" function in R. Global tests for the effect of experimental treatments and color morph on the abundance of dominant prokaryotic classes (i.e., classes comprising ≥ 1% of reads) were conducted using ANOVA and Tukey's HSD for post hoc treatment comparisons.
In this study we were unable to amplify the DNA isolated in the samples collected at the end of the experiment for Symbiodiniaceae ITS2. Given that the same population of corals from the same reef on Lee Stocking Island in the Bahamas were used in the experiment described above as previously analyzed in Jarett et al. (2017), a re-analysis of those Symbiodiniaceae Sanger sequences from brown (n = 3) and orange (n = 3) morphs of M. cavernosa was undertaken using the internal transcribed spacer 2 (ITS2) data from Jarett et al. (2017). Cloned products previously amplified with ITS2 primers from Apprill and Gates (2007) were Sanger sequenced as described by Jarett et al. (2017) and re-analyzed here based on the latest taxonomic revisions of LaJeunesse et al. (2018). Symbiodinaceae taxonomy was assigned to each ITS2 OTU by BLASTn query against a curated Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 database provided in the SymITS2 1 pipeline known as SymTyper  to identify top sequence matches with similarities ≥ 97%.
Analyses of the Symbiodinaceae community variation represented in the cloned PCR products from Jarett et al. (2017) was accomplished using the PhyloSeq functions in R (McMurdie and Holmes, 2013). To reduce the conflation of inter-and intragenomic ITS2 variation (Arif et al., 2014), diversity analyses compared abundances for each of the OTUs clustered at 97% similarity. Alpha diversities were estimated using the Shannon richness index. Samples were ordinated based on Bray-Curtis distance using principal coordinates analysis (method = "PCoA"). In order to assess compositional differences between color morphs, the OTU count table was consolidated by best ITS2 hit using the "tax_glom" function. Compositional differences between color morphs were then tested using PERMANOVA on sample Aitchison distances (Gloor et al., 2017) with the "adonis" function from the R package "vegan" (Oksanen et al., 2019).

Predicted Function of 16S rRNA Communities Using PICRUSt2
Predicted functional capacity was derived from 16S rRNA abundances using PICRUSt2 v2.1.0-b 2 . Briefly, 16S rRNA ASVs inferred by DADA2 were aligned with HMMER (Eddy, 2008) and placed in the provided reference tree using EPA-ng and GAPPA (Barbera et al., 2019). Gene family presence were predicted for 16S rRNA as well as KEGG functions (i.e., EC and KO accessions) using Hidden State Prediction (castor; Louca and Doebeli, 2018) based on 16S rRNA ASV abundances and phylogenetic proximity to reference taxa with available genomes. To minimize error in predicted functional capacity based on gene presence due to poor matches to available genomes, ASVs receiving Nearest-Sequenced-Taxon-Index (NSTI) scores above two were discarded from subsequent analyses. Abundances of biological pathways encoded by prokaryotic microbiomes were then predicted using MinPath (Ye and Doak, 2009). Abundances of KEGG accessions corresponding to metabolic processes of interest were tested for treatment effects using ANOVA and Tukey's HSD for post hoc treatment comparisons.

RNA Extraction
For coral samples in RNALater, coral tissue equaling approximately 0.5 cm 2 with its calcium carbonate skeleton was added to 1 ml Qiazol (Qiagen) containing a 5 mm steel bead (Qiagen) and homogenized for 2 min at 50 hz. Samples were clarified by centrifuging at 12,000 × g for 10 min at 4 • C. The supernatant was saved and incubated for 5 min at room temperature. To each sample 200 µl chloroform was added and shaken vigorously for 15 s before incubating at room temperature for 3 min and centrifuged for 15 min at 12,000 × g in 4 • C. The upper aqueous layer was saved and 500 µl 70% ethanol was added and the sample was mixed by pipetting. Half of the sample was added to a RNeasy mini spin column (Qiagen), centrifuged for 15 s at 8,000 × g. The process was repeated for the remaining sample. The column was washed in 700 µl Buffer RW1 and centrifuged for 15 s at 8,000 × g. An additional wash using 500 µl Buffer RPE was centrifuged for 15 s at 8,000 × g. The column was dried by centrifuging for 2 min at 8,000 × g and RNA was eluted by adding 30 µl RNase-free water before centrifuging for 1 min at 8,000 × g. A second elution was performed by adding the flow through back to the column and centrifuging for 1 min at 8,000 × g.
cDNA Synthesis and Real-Time PCR RNA was treated with TURBO DNase (Thermo Fisher) per manufacturer's directions followed by cDNA generation with ProtoScript R II First Strand cDNA Synthesis Kit (New England BioLabs) per manufacturer's directions using Random Primers and the Easy Protocol. Reactions for Real-time PCR included Luna R Universal qPCR Master Mix (New England BioLabs), used per the manufacturer's instructions. Genes for fluorescent protein gene amplification and quantification included: Gp1 (cyan), Gp3 (green), Gp4, (photoconvertible GFP to RFP) and β-tubulin as the housekeeping gene (Supplementary Table 2; Kao et al., 2007). Primers for the stress response genes Mn superoxide dismutase (MnSOD), Cu/Zn superoxide dismutase (Cu/Zn SOD), Catalase, heat shock protein 70 (HSP 70) and heat shock protein (HSP 90) were developed along with the regulators of apoptosis Bax, Bak, and Bcl-2. These primers were constructed by querying the Acropora millepora database using primer sequences from Skutnik (2016) and blasting them against the NCBI database, and by using the Genbank ID for specific genes (i.e., MnSOD and HSP 70) from Császár et al. (2009) and blasting those sequences against the NCBI database. After obtaining partial or full-length CDs for each gene, they were blasted against the 20coral database 3 used in Bhattacharya et al. (2016). Sequences identified from this database were compiled and conserved regions used for primer development (PrimerQuest, Integrated DNA Technologies) and testing. These primers were used with EF1 as the housekeeping gene (Supplementary Table 2).
Primer location and size were optimized (i.e., similar T m ) to allow primers to be used with the same thermocycler protocol. All primers were blasted to the NCBI database to ensure that they match the target gene. Primer working concentrations were optimized for each reaction (Supplementary Table 2), and a melting curve analysis was done on each product. No primer dimers were observed and technical replicates (n = 3) were done for each sample reaction. Quantitative Real-time PCR was performed using an Applied Biosystems 7300 Fast Real-Time PCR System (Thermo Fisher) using the thermoprofile of 95 • C for 10 min, and 40 cycles of 95 • C for 10 s and 60 • C for 20 s using 1 ng µg −1 cDNA per reaction. Relative expression was calculated from the PCR efficiencies of the target and housekeeping gene, and the crossing point deviation of an unknown versus control sample as described by Pfaffl (2001). Housekeeping genes exhibited no significant differences in expression across all treatments. 3 http://comparative.reefgenomics.org/

Active Fluorescence
The effects of both OW and OA, and color morph on the quantum yield of PSII fluorescence of the Symbiodiniaceae symbionts of M. cavernosa was assessed using both dark-adapted F v /F m and steady state F/F m quantum yields measured at noon and night with a PAM fluorometry ( Table 1). No visible signs of "bleaching" were observed in experimental corals and F v /F m measurements were generally higher, overall, than measurements of F/F m . There were no effects for treatment (ANOVA: F 3 , 4 = 0.184, P = 0.9) or color morph (ANOVA: F 1 , 52 = 0.17, P = 0.68) or their interaction (ANOVA: F 3 , 52 = 1.29, P = 0.29) when the correct variance component estimate for error from the repeated measures assessment of time is used. This suggests that for the quantum yields of PSII fluorescence either no damage to PSII, or increased abilities across all treatments to repair any PSII damage, was occurring ( Table 1). For the maximum excitation pressure (i.e., Q m values) there were also no effect of treatment (ANOVA: F 3 , 4 = 0.153, P = 0.92) or color morph (ANOVA: F 1 , 52 = 0.196, P = 0.66) or their interaction (ANOVA: F 3 , 52 = 0.53, P = 0.67) ( Table 1).

Metagenetic Analysis of 16S rRNA
Samples of the orange (n = 14), and brown morphs of M. cavernosa (n = 16) across all treatments were successfully sequenced and analyzed. A total of 543,317 16S rRNA MiniSeq read pairs were recovered after initial merging and quality trimming with DADA2 and before normalization. After the removal of reads assigned to chloroplasts, 490,880 read pairs remained and ranged from 10,556 to 21,422 reads per sample (average 15,449 ± 3,099) of 253 bp per read. A total of 456 unique ASVs were initially recovered, but any ASVs unique to a single sample or with fewer than 10 total observations were removed from the dataset, leaving a total of 190 unique ASVs for subsequent analyses.
Using the rarefied ASV count table (Supplementary Table 3) classified to the class level, those classes that consisted of greater than 1% of the relative abundance (30 classes) the 16S rRNA prokaryotic community showed significant compositional differences at the class level ( Figure 1A) for treatment effects (PERMANOVA: F 3 , 21 = 2.00, R 2 = 0.184, P = 0.028) but not color morph (PERMANOVA: F 1 , 21 = 1.79, P = 0.108). Samples of M. cavernosa exposed to lower pHs exhibited distinct 16S rRNA communities compared to all other treatments (Figures 1A,B). Post hoc multiple comparisons on the effect of treatment detected significant differences between AmbNorm and AmbLow treatments (PERMANOVA: F 1 , 13 = 2.51, R 2 = 0.162, P = 0.017) ( Figure 1B) and between HiNorm and AmbLow treatments (PERMANOVA: F 1 , 11 = 3.22, R 2 = 0.23, P = 0.014). Significant post hoc differences between treatments for classes of prokaryotes occurred only for the abundance of the taxa Clostridia and Deltaproteobacteria. Clostridia increased in response to thermal stress (ANOVA: F 7 , 21 = 6.97, P = 0.002; Tukey's HSD: AmbNorm versus HiNorm, P = 0.03) while Deltaproteobacteria showed a global effect of treatment (ANOVA F 7 , 21 = 2.9, P = 0.028) with only the HiNorm versus AmbLow comparisons being significantly different (Tukey's HSD: P = 0.046) ( Figure 1B and Supplementary Table 4). Additionally, as a result of the analyses above we conducted a a posteriori analysis of pH alone by placing all samples in a normal or low pH category. The results of this analysis revealed the presence of 23 classes of prokaryotes in the two groups (Supplementary Figure 2). An ANOVA on the abundance in each class showed 10 of these classes were significantly different between normal and low pH treatments (Supplementary Table 5). Notably, the abundance of Melainabacteria, a non-photosynthetic, nitrogen fixing class of bacteria related to the Cyanobacteria decreased, as did the Gammaproteobacteria. Additionally, given that the orange morphs of M. cavernosa are known to contain large populations of cyanobacteria Jarett et al., 2017) we examined the cyanobacterial composition and abundance between orange and brown morphs. For overall compositional differences both treatment (PERMANOVA: F 3 , 28 = 4.78, R 2 = 0.355, P = 0.015) and color (PERMANOVA: F 1 , 28 = 4.79, R 2 = 0.118, P = 0.04) were significant. Specifically, orange morphs showed an increase in the relative abundance of Oxyphotobacteria that was driven by the Order Synechococcales (ANOVA: F 1 , 24 = 5.33, P = 0.03).
For the prokaryotic communities the predicted functional capacity analysis using PICRUSt2 revealed that those genes involved in carbon metabolism were affected significantly by treatment and/or color morph. For the tricarboxylic cycle (TCA), aconitate hydratase (acnA [K01681]) was significantly affected by the interaction between treatment and color morph (ANOVA: Similarly, there were significant treatment and color morph effects on specific predicted functional capacity for genes involved in nitrogen cycling. For ammonification the urease gene (ureC [K01428]) showed a significant effect of color morph (ANOVA: F 1 , 21 = 4.92, P = 0.038) with multiple-comparison testing showing significant predicted gene enrichment (Tukey's HSD, P = 0.05) in the AmbNorm brown morph versus AmbNorm orange morph. Genes for denitrification, nitrate reductase (narG [K00370]), showed a significant effect of color morph (ANOVA: F 1 , 21 = 4.92, P = 0.038) but multiple-comparison testing showed no significant differences in the predicted gene enrichment (Tukey's HSD, P = 0.060) for the AmbNorm brown morph versus AmbNorm orange morph. Genes for nitrogen fixation, nifH [K02588] and nifD [K02586], both showed a significant interaction between treatment and color morph (ANOVA: F 3 , 21 = 6.4, P = 0.003 and ANOVA: F 3 , 21 = 5.3, P = 0.007, respectively), with multiple-comparison testing showing a significant predicted functional capacity (Tukey's HSD, P = 0.023 and P = 0.032, respectively) in the AmbNorm orange morph versus AmbNorm brown morph.
For the orange and brown morphs of M. cavernosa, the 159 cloned sequences for the Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 resulted in 39 unique OTUs clustering at 97% similarity all matching published genotypes in the genus Cladocopium (Clade C). All of the 39 OTUs best-matched one of 12 possible NCBI accessions. There were no significant differences in the diversity of Symbiodiniaceae between orange and brown color morphs of Symbiodiniaceae (Shannon diversity, ANOVA: F 1 , 5 = 0.97, P = 0.381). Coral samples were ordinated based on Bray-Curtis distances and using principal  coordinates analysis (Figure 2A) the Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 community diversity showed no significant compositional differences between orange and brown morphs of M. cavernosa (PERMANOVA: F 1 , 5 = 0.434, R 2 = 0.098, P = 0.6). There were also no compositional differences between color morphs based on top-hit assignments (PERMANOVA: F 1 , 5 = 4.41, R 2 = 0.524, P = 0.1). Most Symbiodiniaceae OTUs (≥85%) from both color morphs at the beginning of the experiment belong to the species Cladocopium sp. (Phylotype C3) with the remaining 15% or less represented by Cladocopium goreaui (Phylotype C1) (Figure 2B).

Relative Gene Expression Using qPCR
At the end of the experiment the differential expression of cyan (Gp1), green (Gp3) and photoconvertible (Gp4) fluorescent proteins, relative to the housekeeping gene, for the orange and brown color morphs of M. cavernosa showed no significant effect of color morph and treatment, or their interaction (ANOVA: cyan, F 7 , 25 = 0.353, P = 0.918; green, F 7 , 25 = 0.844, P = 0.566; photoconvertible, F 7 , 25 = 0.182, P = 0.986) ( Figure 3A). For the antioxidant genes there were no significant effects of color morph or treatment on Catalase (ANOVA: F 7 , 28 = 1.138, P = 0.378) or MnSOD (ANOVA: F 7 , 28 = 0.527, P = 0.805) transcript abundance while for Cu/Zn SOD there was a significant effect of treatment (ANOVA: F 3 , 28 = 3.183, P = 0.045). Multiple comparison testing, however, showed no significant differences ( Figure 3B) between any treatments (Tukey's HSD, P > 0.05). Given these results a Dunnett's Method multiple comparison test was done where treatment groups are compared against an identified control group (i.e., AmbNorm) which resulted in a significant difference between the AmbNorm and HighNorm treatments (Dunnett's Method, P = 0.032). For those genes involved in the heat shock response HSP 70 showed no effect of treatment or color morph (ANOVA: F 7 , 28 = 0.907, P = 0.520). At the end of the experiment HSP 90 showed a significant effect of treatment (ANOVA: F 3 , 28 = 3.463, P = 0.035) with multiple comparison testing showing the HiLow treatment with the greatest expression of HSP 90 transcripts ( Figure 3C), but these were not significantly different from treatments under normal temperatures. Lastly, for the regulators of apoptosis Bcl-2 showed a significant effect of treatment (ANOVA: F 3 , 28 = 3.101, P = 0.049) but multiple comparison testing showed no significant differences between any treatments (Tukey's HSD, P > 0.05). As above, a Dunnett's Method multiple comparison test was done where treatment groups are compared against an identified control group which resulted in no significant treatment differences detected (Dunnett's Method, P > 0.05). For Bak, a significant effect of color morph was detected (ANOVA: F 1 , 28 = 10.940, P = 0.003) with orange morphs expressing ∼2.5 time more transcripts than brown morphs. Bax expression showed a significant effect of treatment (ANOVA: F 3 , 28 = 3.722, P = 0.027) with multiple comparison testing showing significantly higher expression of Bax transcripts in the HiNorm treatment group (Tukey's HSD, P < 0.05) compared to control samples (Figure 3D).

DISCUSSION
On a global scale both elevated OW and OA is proceeding unabated and changing the framework and biological communities of coral reefs in unprecedented ways (Hughes et al., 2003(Hughes et al., , 2017McClenachan et al., 2017;Skirving et al., 2019). In particular, the coral reefs of the Caribbean basin have been affected not only by global climate change but other factors such as eutrophication and overfishing (Hughes et al., 2003(Hughes et al., , 2017. The observed degradation and phase shifts on coral reefs over time underscores the notion that sustaining, or improving, coral reef resilience and recovery is going to be very difficult (Hughes et al., 2010). The experiment presented here was based on the RCP climate model predictions, specifically the RCP 6.0 model (Rogelj et al., 2012; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC], 2014) for temperature exposures. Additionally, this experiment used ecologically realistic irradiances of PAR, unlike most bleaching experiments that utilize sub-saturating irradiances, based on measurements from the site of collection for these corals , but were, in fact, exposed to higher irradiances of UVR with its known adverse effects on corals (Banaszak and Lesser, 2009). The general resistance of this coral to these experimental conditions is evident, but it is also possible that the moderate duration of the experiment (sensu McLachlan et al., 2020) was an insufficient timeframe to elicit a change in the parameters measured here, and that longer duration experiments would be needed to fully describe the response of this coral to RCP 6.0 conditions. We suggest that given the speed that coral reef degradation is currently occurring, it seems to lack any ecological realism to conduct experiments under predicted RCP 8.5 predictions, commonly known as the "business as usual" scenario (Hausfather and Peters, 2020). Based on current models we are quickly surpassing RCP 2.6 conditions, and most coral reef ecosystems would be functionally extinct under RCP 8.5 conditions. Fortunately, the RCP 8.5 scenario actually appears to be unlikely to occur (Hausfather and Peters, 2020), such that we should be looking at the more plausible effects of RCP 4.5 and 6.0 on corals, and coral reefs, and the potential for coral adaptation and acclimatization to those scenarios (Somero, 2010;Bay et al., 2017). The conditions described here are representative of those predicted by the RCP 6.0 (climate model for the year 2100).
Quantifying the physiological impacts of the two primary drivers of coral reef degradation, OW and OA, at the organismal level (Rodolfo-Metalpa et al., 2011;Putnam et al., 2017), is essential in order to make predictions for marine populations, communities, and ultimately ecosystem services in the future (Doney et al., 2009(Doney et al., , 2012Anthony et al., 2011;Logan et al., 2014). Understanding the physiological responses of OW and OA is also essential for guiding the screening of naturally occurring coral phenotypes for potential rearing and explanting for restoration efforts (sensu Morikawa and Palumbi, 2019). Studies that have examined the resistance of corals to predicted changes in OW and OA have resulted in variable results reflecting the interand intraspecific phenotypic plasticity of corals and their Symbiodiniaceae symbionts (Hoadley et al., 2015;Bahr et al.,  2016; Castillo et al., 2018;Cole et al., 2018;Davies et al., 2018). For Symbiodiniaceae, the diversity in phenotypic characters related to the stress response is significant (Díaz-Almeyda et al., 2018;Lesser, 2019), and recent studies, including those on M. cavernosa, have shown that "symbiont shuffling" to stresstolerant Symbiodiniaceae (i.e., Durusdinium trenchi [Phylotype D1a]) can occur after exposure to thermal stress (Silverstein et al., 2015(Silverstein et al., , 2017Cunning et al., 2018). The change to, or addition of, D. trenchi symbionts to the Symbiodiniaceae community potentially adds resistance to future thermal perturbation (Silverstein et al., 2015). While some studies incorporating both long and short-exposures of corals to combined OW and OA conditions have revealed little effect of OA on gene expression or the functional diversity of their Symbiodiniaceae (Baghdasarian et al., 2017;Davies et al., 2018), other studies on the functional responses of corals in response to OW and OA have shown significant effects where OA lowers the thermal response threshold of the coral (e.g., Anthony et al., 2008) when using ecologically relevant irradiances (sensu Lesser, 2019).
For the Symbiodiniaceae community of M. cavernosa used in these experiments, the conservative taxonomic identification of Cladocopium sp. (Phylotype C3) as the dominant species in these experimental corals, as well as the source populations (Jarett et al., 2017) is consistent with other work (e.g., Silverstein et al., 2015) on this species. Despite harboring thermally sensitive Cladocopium sp. (Phylotype C3) this population of M. cavernosa has a long history of exposure to temperatures at, or above, 30 • C during late Summer (Fitt et al., 2000;Smith, 2001;Manzello et al., 2009), and irradiances typical of shallow coral reefs. It therefore seems reasonable that one working hypothesis for the resistance and resilience of M. cavernosa to OW and OA is the selection for resistant Cladocopium sp. (Phylotype C3) phenotypes over time in the absence of any detectable D. trenchi symbionts. Previous work, on the same population of M. cavernosa, has shown that the Symbiodiniaceae communities have robust non-photochemical quenching (qN) capabilities that allowed these corals to maintain high rates of photosynthesis throughout the day without any evidence of photodamage . Those results are consistent with the lack of treatment effects on the quantum yields of, and the excitation pressure on, PSII observed here. This suggests that the community of Symbiodiniaceae in M. cavernosa have either enhanced PSII repair capabilities, downregulation of PSII reaction centers or no significant photodamage Takahashi et al., 2004).
In this experiment there were significant treatment effects observed on the prokaryotic microbiome but for only 2 of 24 classes (Clostridia and Deltaproteobacteria, Supplementary Table 4). For the control treatments for the orange and brown morphs (i.e., AmbNormBr and AmbNormOR) the 16S rRNA sequence composition is similar to previous descriptions for this population of M. cavernosa (Jarett et al., 2017) where the primary difference is the ∼5% of reads assigned to the Class Oxyphotobacteria (Phylum Cyanobacteria) that increases in orange morphs in the low pH treatments ( Figure 1B). Different coral species appear to harbor different "core" prokaryotic communities where differences in the host and Symbiodiniaceae communities may strongly influence the community structure of their prokaryotic microbiome (Bourne et al., 2016;Hernandez-Agreda et al., 2017;Morrow et al., 2018). The prokaryotic microbiome of corals can be sensitive to changes in their environment, especially those changes associated with climate change such as OW and OA (Bourne et al., 2016;Morrow et al., 2018). Many studies have shown shifts in community structure and changes in functional attributes such as the biogeochemical cycling of essential nutrients (e.g., nitrogen), or changes in the community where opportunistic microorganisms can cause stochastic transitions to unstable community states, dysbiosis and disease (Lesser et al., 2007;Bourne et al., 2016;Zaneveld et al., 2017;Morrow et al., 2018). The effects of OW and OA, and their interaction, have been shown to vary between sensitive (=losers) and resistant (=winners) corals Grottoli et al., 2018). Similar to the results for resistant corals, M. cavernosa showed no significant overall changes in its prokaryotic microbiome indicating stability in the face of predicting changes in OW and OA. However, the relative abundance of Class Oxyphotobacteria, Order Synechococcales increases in orange morphs in those treatments experiencing lower pHs suggesting that increasing pCO 2 , as a result of the lower pH, has a significant positive effect on these cyanobacteria as reported for pelagic species (e.g., Levitan et al., 2007).
When the potential range of functional characteristics of the prokaryotic microbiome were examined using a predictive metagenomic approach (i.e., PICRUSt2) there were genes associated with carbon metabolism that showed no effect of OW or OA, but were predicted to be significantly enriched based on color morph with brown morphs always exhibiting greater enrichment. Similarly, nitrogen cycle genes associated with ammonification and denitrification showed no effects of OW or OA but were predicted to be significantly enriched in brown versus orange morphs. Genes for nitrogen fixation, however, were predicted to be significantly enriched in orange morphs as previously shown in a study using the qPCR analysis of nifH genes (Jarett et al., 2017). These differences are consistent with both the known genetic differences between the color morphs of M. cavernosa and the presence of nitrogen fixing bacteria in orange morphs of M. cavernosa (Jarett et al., 2017). Based on the PICRUSt2 analysis there were, however, no differences overall for carbon and nitrogen metabolism between the color morphs.
For the host compartment of M. cavernosa the quantitative analysis of transcript abundance (i.e., qPCR) showed no significant differences between color morphs of M. cavernosa in the expression of fluorescent protein transcripts. Cyan (Gp1), Green (Gp3) and photoconvertible (Gp4) transcripts were highly variable and were not significantly affected by exposure to OW or OA conditions ( Figure 3A). Green fluorescent protein (GFP) can quench superoxide radicals (O 2 − ) (Bou-Abdallah et al., 2006), as can other chromoprotein representatives of fluorescent proteins (Dove et al., 2006), and can also scavenge hydrogen peroxide (H 2 O 2 ), a product of the dismutation of O 2 − (Palmer et al., 2009). The modest antioxidant activity of fluorescent proteins may well be effective because they occur in such high concentrations in corals and other symbiotic cnidarians (Mazel et al., 2003;Dove, 2004;Leutenegger et al., 2007), making it an important contributor to the overall antioxidant defenses in corals.
In addition to fluorescent proteins the expression of HSP 70 and HSP 90 was quantified. Heat shock proteins are highly conserved molecular chaperones that interact with cellular proteins during normal metabolism and in response to environmental stress by targeting proteins for degradation and removal from the cell (Feder and Hofmann, 1999). In addition, heat shock proteins are now known to be regulators of the cell cycle and apoptosis (Beere and Green, 2001;Calderwood and Gong, 2016). As in most metazoans, there are multiple heat shock proteins in the coral host tissues that respond to OW stress (Robbart et al., 2004;Fitt et al., 2009;Kvitt et al., 2016), as do their endosymbiotic Symbiodiniaceae (Rosic et al., 2011), but not OA conditions (Nakamura et al., 2012). For M. cavernosa neither OW or OA independently caused an increase in the expression of HSP 70 transcripts but exposure to the combined effects of OW and OA did result in an increase in HSP 90 transcript abundance compared to OW alone, but these were not significantly different from treatments under normal temperatures ( Figure 3C).
The principal cause of bleaching in corals and other symbiotic cnidarians is the creation of hyperoxic conditions, caused by photosynthetically produced oxygen, acting synergistically with ecologically relevant irradiances of solar radiation, especially UVR, and thermal stress to produce ROS in both host tissues and Symbiodiniaceae beyond their capacity to quench these products of oxygen metabolism (Lesser, 2006(Lesser, , 2011a. Given the important role of light in the generation of photooxidative stress the increased tissue thickness, with its unique optical properties for M. cavernosa, might modulate the amount of photoinhibitory light reaching the endosymbionts (Wangpraseurt et al., 2012;Scheufen et al., 2017). Nonetheless, the production of ROS is inevitable, even in the absence of thermal stress, as it is directly related to pO 2 (Jamieson et al., 1986). As a result, the endosymbiotic Symbiodiniaceae contribute significant amounts of photogenerated O 2 − and H 2 O 2 (Lesser, 1996(Lesser, , 2019Suggett et al., 2008;Saragosti et al., 2010;McGinty et al., 2012), and both host cells (Perez and Weis, 2006) and Symbiodiniaceae also produce nitric oxide (NO · ) (Bouchard and Yamasaki, 2008). Nitric oxide synthase (NOS) activity in corals and sea anemones (Morrall et al., 2000;Trapido-Rosenthal et al., 2005) suggest that NO · production, and subsequently reactive RNS, including the highly reactive peroxynitrite radical (ONOO − ), are produced and are considered important contributors to redox stress and initiation of coral bleaching (Weis, 2008). Despite these known effects of OW and OA under ecologically realistic irradiances for many coral species and their symbionts, for M. cavernosa only Cu/Zn SOD was significantly elevated, and only when corals were exposed to OW. The transcript abundance of all other treatment groups was not significantly different from the control group. In order to understand whether the constitutive expression of antioxidant genes in the host compartment of M. cavernosa contributed to its resilience to OW and OA a comparative study with multiple coral species is required.
Photooxidative stress has been proposed as a mechanism by which multiple environmental stressors, either independently or interactively, cause damage to the endosymbiotic Symbiodiniaceae and the host simultaneously (Lesser and Farrell, 2004), which leads to apoptosis that manifests itself as coral bleaching (Lesser, 2006(Lesser, , 2011a). Cells exposed to oxidative stress, or UVR, can also incur DNA damage (Lesser and Farrell, 2004;Fitt et al., 2009) which if not repaired results in a cellular cascade of molecular events causing apoptosis via a highly conserved intrinsic pathway (Bhattacharya et al., 2016;Kvitt et al., 2016). The tumor suppressor gene, p53, is upregulated in response to DNA damage in corals (Lesser and Farrell, 2004) and coordinates expression of downstream genes including highly conserved anti-apoptotic Bcl-2, and the pro-apoptotic genes, Bak and Bax (Ainsworth et al., 2008(Ainsworth et al., , 2011(Ainsworth et al., , 2016Kvitt et al., 2011Kvitt et al., , 2016Pernice et al., 2011). Here, we observed that only for the pro-apoptotic gene Bax, transcripts were significantly elevated in the HiNorm treatment for M. cavernosa. Current models for apoptosis in corals suggest that host cell populations are represented by cells where apoptosis is suppressed and in others it is promoted (Ainsworth et al., 2011;Tchernov et al., 2011). Therefore, the observed increases in the pro-apoptotic Bax gene are not completely unexpected even for corals that have not bleached, show high functional integrity in the photosynthetic apparatus of their Symbiodiniaceae and low levels of oxidative stress as indicated by their relative expression of antioxidant genes.
When M. cavernosa is exposed to RCP 8.5 predictions for OW and OA a ∼40-50% decrease in rates of calcification occurs (Okazaki et al., 2017). Given the resistance to bleaching and mortality by M. cavernosa shown in this experiment, there is the potential to withstand RCP 6.0 effects on calcification, but that is likely to change significantly if the environment approaches RCP 8.5 conditions. Taken together, under nearterm predicted climate change conditions of both OW and OA the phenotype of M. cavernosa, both its orange and brown morphs, is consistent with resistance to these climate change stressors. Given the recent history of multiple worldwide bleaching events (Eakin et al., 2019;Fordyce et al., 2019), M. cavernosa is a member of the Caribbean coral community whose abundance has been fairly consistent through time (e.g., Jackson et al., 2014), in spite of the overall low coral biodiversity in the Caribbean. The molecular phenotype described above for M. cavernosa from the Bahamas may also represent a strategy of "front-loading" based on previous exposure to OW and OA (sensu Barshis et al., 2013) where the transcripts or proteins of critical genes have already been upregulated in order to respond to future stress events. Given the degree of population differentiation observed in M. cavernosa between geographically separated sites (Brazeau et al., 2013) it is also possible that this population of M. cavernosa is uniquely resistant to the effects of OW and OA and the observed effects from this experiment are not generalizable to other populations of M. cavernosa.
The ecological demographics for M. cavernosa and the results presented here suggest that this coral is persistent, resistant and resilient to past and near future OW and OA conditions. This occurs in the absence of a highly variable environment where resilience to climate change stressors often occurs (Barshis et al., 2013), or in extreme environments where strong directional selection for thermally resistant phenotypes can also occur (Hume et al., 2014;Parker et al., 2020). This makes M. cavernosa a climate change winner in the near-term and reinforces the need to look at both the independent and interactive effects of OW and OA not only at the organismal level, but from a life-history perspective as well (Byrne and Przeslawski, 2013). In addition to studies that incorporate both realistic OW and OA conditions we must also include relevant irradiance, flow and nutrient conditions to fully understand a coral's potential response to future increases in environmental stress.

DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT
The datasets generated for this study can be found in the NCBI Sequence Read Archive under BioProject accession number PRJNA590192.

AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
ML, JJ, and CF designed and performed the research. ML, MT, MP, and KM analyzed the samples and data. ML, MT, and MP wrote the manuscript. All authors contributed to the article and approved the submitted version.
FUNDING Support for this research was provided by the NSF Biological Oceanography program (OCE-1231468 and 1437054) and the NOAA Ocean Exploration Program to ML. All research and sample export/import were done in compliance with the applicable laws of the Bahamas and the United States.