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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Mar. Sci.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Marine Science</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Mar. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">2296-7745</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fmars.2022.892219</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Marine Science</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Original Research</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Effects of varying types and amounts of herbivory and nutrient enrichment on a tropicalizing seagrass meadow</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Rodriguez</surname><given-names>Alexandra R.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn001"><sup>*</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1444578"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Marco-M&#xe9;ndez</surname><given-names>Candela</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1822502"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Campbell</surname><given-names>Justin</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Heck</surname><given-names>Kenneth L.</given-names> <suffix>Jr</suffix>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4"><sup>4</sup></xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="aff1"><sup>1</sup><institution>Dauphin Island Sea Lab</institution>, <addr-line>Dauphin Island, AL</addr-line>, <country>United States</country></aff>
<aff id="aff2"><sup>2</sup><institution>Department of Marine Ecology, Center of Advanced Studies of Blanes</institution>, <addr-line>Blanes</addr-line>, <country>Spain</country></aff>
<aff id="aff3"><sup>3</sup><institution>Institute of Environment, Coastlines and Oceans Division, and Department of Biological Sciences, Florida International University</institution>, <addr-line>Miami, FL</addr-line>, <country>United States</country></aff>
<aff id="aff4"><sup>4</sup><institution>School of Marine and Environmental Sciences, University of South Alabama</institution>, <addr-line>Mobile, AL</addr-line>, <country>United States</country></aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>Edited by: Angel Borja, Technology Center Expert in Marine and Food Innovation (AZTI), Spain</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>Reviewed by: Christian Todd Hayes, Waynesburg University, United States; Savanna Barry, University of Florida, United States</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="corresp" id="fn001">
<p>*Correspondence: Alexandra R. Rodriguez, <email xlink:href="mailto:arodriguez@disl.edu">arodriguez@disl.edu</email>
</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="other" id="fn002">
<p>This article was submitted to Marine Ecosystem Ecology, a section of the journal Frontiers in Marine Science</p>
</fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>20</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>9</volume>
<elocation-id>892219</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>08</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>06</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#xa9; 2022 Rodriguez, Marco-M&#xe9;ndez, Campbell and Heck</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2022</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Rodriguez, Marco-M&#xe9;ndez, Campbell and Heck</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<p>Climate change is impacting marine ecosystem community dynamics on a global scale. While many have assessed direct effects of climate change, indirect effects on marine ecosystems produced by biotic interactions remain poorly understood. For example, warming-induced range expansions and increased consumption rates of herbivores can lead to significant and unexpected changes in seagrass-dominated ecosystems. To better understand the threats tropicalization presents for the functioning of turtlegrass (<italic>Thalassia testudinum</italic>) meadows, we focused on the extensive turtlegrass beds of St. Joseph Bay, Florida in the northern Gulf of Mexico, a location with increasing numbers of tropically-associated green turtles. Our goals were to investigate experimentally how different grazing rates (natural and simulated),including high levels reflective of green turtle herbivory, coupled with nutrient supply, might alter turtlegrass structure and functioning in a higher latitude, subtropical turtlegrass meadow. We found that 4 months of varying levels of herbivory did not affect turtlegrass productivity, while 7 months of herbivory reduced percent cover, and 10 months reduced shoot density. Nutrient additions had few important effects. Ten months into the study, a massive recruitment of the herbivorous sea urchin (<italic>Lytechinus variegatus</italic>), whose densities reached 19 urchins/m<sup>2</sup> completely overgrazed our study area and a large portion of the lush turtlegrass meadows of St. Joseph Bay. While local turtlegrass overgrazing had been previously noted at these urchin densities, a total loss of seagrass in such a large area has rarely ever been recorded. Overgrazing of the kind we observed, likely a result of both urchin and increasing green turtle grazing, can result in the loss of many key ecosystem services. As tropicalization continues, understanding how changes in biotic interactions, such as increased herbivory, affect higher latitude seagrass meadows will be necessary for their proper management and conservation.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>seagrass</kwd>
<kwd>sea urchin</kwd>
<kwd>green turtles</kwd>
<kwd>herbivory</kwd>
<kwd>grazing</kwd>
<kwd><italic>Thalassia testudinum</italic>
</kwd>
<kwd><italic>Lytechinus variegatus</italic>
</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<contract-sponsor id="cn001">Division of Ocean Sciences<named-content content-type="fundref-id">10.13039/100000141</named-content>
</contract-sponsor>
<counts>
<fig-count count="10"/>
<table-count count="2"/>
<equation-count count="0"/>
<ref-count count="69"/>
<page-count count="16"/>
<word-count count="6706"/>
</counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="s1" sec-type="intro">
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Climate change is altering the ecological functioning of a wide range of terrestrial and marine communities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Estes et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">Verg&#xe9;s et&#xa0;al., 2014a</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">Verg&#xe9;s et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">Wernberg et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>). And it is well documented that climate-induced shifts in the relative abundances and geographic ranges of species can create transient and novel communities, with potentially unanticipated and dramatic effects on ecosystem structure (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Blois et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">Verg&#xe9;s et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Zarco-Perello et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>). Some of the most instructive examples of such effects come from a growing number of studies of the &#x2018;tropicalization&#x2019; of temperate kelp forests, in which warmer temperatures allow range expansions of tropical, mobile herbivores, resulting in greatly increased grazing on these temperate macroalgae that had previously been isolated from intense herbivory (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">Verg&#xe9;s et&#xa0;al., 2014a</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">Verg&#xe9;s et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">Wernberg et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>).</p>
<p>When herbivory exerts strong top-down control on foundational species that in turn leads to large-scale changes in ecosystem properties, the consequences of poleward shifts in the ranges of tropical herbivores may easily outweigh the direct effects of warming on the ecological performance of basal species (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">Verg&#xe9;s et&#xa0;al., 2014b</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">Verg&#xe9;s et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">Wernberg et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>). As is well-known, herbivory is particularly intense in marine environments, with nearly 70% of benthic production being consumed by grazers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Poore et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>). As tropical herbivores expand their ranges with warming temperatures, they can and do impose powerful effects on native communities. The massive disappearance of kelp (<italic>Ecklonia</italic> spp.) and fucoid (<italic>Sargassum</italic> spp.) beds in southern Japan represents one of the best-documented cases. In total, several thousand hectares of temperate kelp habitat were initially converted to rocky barrens, and subsequently colonized by reef-building corals, producing a dramatic phase shift (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">Serisawa et&#xa0;al., 2004</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Tanaka et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>). These effects were largely attributed to a combination of direct negative thermal effects on kelp survival, and increased consumption of algal biomass by rabbitfish (<italic>Siganus</italic> spp.) and parrotfish (<italic>Calotomus japonicas</italic>). Similar trends have been documented in southeastern and southwestern Australia, where kelp decline and the appearance of algal turfs has followed increases in tropical herbivores and rates of algal grazing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">Verg&#xe9;s et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">Wernberg et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Zarco-Perello et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>), as well as in the southern Mediterranean where rabbitfish immigrating from the Red Sea have become increasingly abundant and macroalgae less so (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">Verg&#xe9;s et&#xa0;al., 2014b</xref>).</p>
<p>In the Western Atlantic, seagrass meadows represent a foundational marine ecosystem that is undergoing tropicalization, although predictions of ecological changes in response to shifts in biotic interactions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Heck et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>) have yet to be fully developed and tested. Seagrasses are ubiquitous in coastal waters where they provide key ecosystem services, including high rates of primary production, nutrient cycling, and habitat provisioning (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Orth et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Waycott et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>) across the tropical and subtropical Western Atlantic. Turtlegrass (<italic>Thalassia testudinum</italic>) is a climax marine species that spans more than 30&#xb0; of latitude and provides thousands of km<sup>2</sup> of benthic habitat. This species is critical for structuring the benthic seascape and supporting a fisheries industry previously valued at nearly $3,500/ha<sup>1</sup> year<sup>1</sup> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Costanza et&#xa0;al., 1997</xref>). Apart from the conventional stressors that promote seagrass decline, such as poor water quality, meadows near the northern range boundary of turtlegrass in the northern Gulf of Mexico (nGOM) are currently under the looming influence of tropicalization. This area is warming and experiencing fewer freezes than in the past, and many tropically-associated species are moving northward along Gulf coastlines and becoming established (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Osland et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>).</p>
<p>Warming has also been linked to increases in tropical herbivores in the nGOM, notably in the parrotfish (<italic>Nicholsina usta)</italic>, which consumes seagrass at nearly five times the rate of native sea urchin and fish grazers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Fodrie et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Heck et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>), along with other seagrass megaherbivores, especially juvenile green sea turtles (<italic>Chelonia mydas</italic>) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Avens et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Williams et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Rodriguez and Heck, 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Rodriguez and Heck, 2021</xref>). High green turtle abundances (resulting from successful conservation efforts) and their impressive rates of seagrass consumption have been responsible for large declines of turtlegrass beds in Bermuda and Mexico, as well as seagrass meadows in several Indian Ocean locations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">Kelkar et&#xa0;al., 2013b</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Kelkar et&#xa0;al., 2013a</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Molina Hern&#xe1;ndez and van Tussenbroek, 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Fourqurean et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Gangal et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>).</p>
<p>Artificial clipping (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Holzer and McGlathery, 2016</xref>) and natural grazing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Fourqurean et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Molina Hern&#xe1;ndez and van Tussenbroek, 2014</xref>) experiments have documented impacts on turtlegrass structure and function; however, higher latitude seagrass meadows cope with lower irradiance (particularly in the winter) and, because of reduced amounts of solar energy for photosynthesis, might be expected to be less resilient to increased grazing than tropical turtlegrass meadows (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Manuel et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>). Reduced solar insolation can play a major role in influencing seagrass productivity, abundance, morphology, and depth distribution (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Backman and Barilotti, 1976</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Dennison, 1987</xref>), including for turtlegrass near the northern extent of its range in the Gulf of Mexico (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Herzka and Dunton, 1997</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Lee and Dunton, 1997</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Major and Dunton, 2002</xref>). Herbivory and seasonality have been found to have synergistic effects on turtlegrass. For instance, in St. Joseph Bay, Florida (30&#xb0;N, 85.5&#xb0;W), <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Valentine and Heck (1991)</xref> found that sea urchin herbivory increased turtlegrass primary productivity during the summer months, but during fall and winter <italic>Lytechinus variegatus</italic> overgrazed localized turtlegrass patches. Similarly, in Perdido Bay, in northwest Florida, (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">Ibarra-Obando et&#xa0;al., 2004</xref>) found that while simulated green turtle herbivory itself produced few significant effects, simulated herbivory under low light conditions decreased turtlegrass productivity.</p>
<p>Prior work in Bermuda has demonstrated that nutrient-replete seagrass beds (which display high regrowth rates) may be more resilient to tropicalization-induced grazing <italic>via</italic> the rapid replacement of lost tissue (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Holzer and McGlathery, 2016</xref>). Moreover, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Christianen et&#xa0;al. (2012)</xref> documented strong interactions between turtle grazing and nutrient availability, whereby grazing increased productivity and tolerance to high nutrient loads. While such interactions between grazing and nutrient enrichment have been documented for terrestrial communities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Bakker et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>), they have yet to be broadly tested with marine species, particularly where there is significant consumption of seagrass biomass (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Heck and Valentine, 2006</xref>).</p>
<p>Here we describe the results of an experiment that was designed to evaluate the separate and interacting effects of 1) grazing (natural and simulated at two intensities &#x2013; a full clip mimicking severe grazing and a half clip mimicking moderate grazing) and 2) nutrient enrichment on turtlegrass structure and functioning in a subtropical turtlegrass meadow experiencing increasing rates of green turtle herbivory.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2">
<title>Methods</title>
<sec id="s2_1">
<title>Study site</title>
<p>Located in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, St. Joseph Bay (30&#xb0;N, 85.5&#xb0;W) is a shallow semi-enclosed bay. Salinities range from 30 to 36 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Stewart and Gorsline, 1962</xref>), and temperatures from 8&#xb0; to 30&#xb0;C (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">Valentine and Heck, 1993</xref>), making this a warm temperate or subtropical bay, and one of few in the Gulf of Mexico with little freshwater input. St. Joseph Bay has a tidal range of approximately 0.47 m, very low current flow, and highly organic sediments (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Stewart and Gorsline, 1962</xref>). Seagrass meadows cover about 2,900 ha and are comprised of turtlegrass (<italic>Thalassia testudinum</italic>), shoal grass (<italic>Halodule wrightii</italic>), and manatee grass (<italic>Syringodium filiforme</italic>), with <italic>T. testudinum</italic> being the dominant species (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Yarbro and Carlson, 2016</xref>). Our experiment took place in the southern part of the bay, which contains several relatively deep channels and extensive, shallow (~ 0.5&#x2013;1.5 m) lush <italic>T. testudinum</italic> beds (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1"><bold>Figure&#xa0;1</bold></xref>). This location was chosen because the Bay&#x2019;s primary seagrass herbivores have been known to reside and graze there (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">Lamont et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Rodriguez and Heck, 2020</xref>).</p>
<fig id="f1" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Study area in St. Joseph Bay, Florida in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. Experimental array (yellow star) is located in the southern turtlegrass beds of St. Joseph Bay.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-892219-g001.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_2">
<title>Herbivores in St. Joseph Bay</title>
<p>The current resident macroherbivores in the study area are <italic>L. variegatus</italic> and, more recently due to successful conservation efforts and warming temperatures, the green turtle (<italic>Chelonia mydas)</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Rodriguez and Heck, 2020</xref>). Herbivorous fishes currently are relatively rare in St. Joseph Bay. Though pinfish <italic>(Lagodon rhomboides</italic>) are present, only 20 cm size classes and above are herbivorous, which only constitute 3% of the pinfish population in St. Joseph Bay (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">Prado and Heck, 2011</xref>). While emerald parrotfish, <italic>Nicholsina usta</italic>, primarily feed on seagrasses (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">Prado and Heck, 2011</xref>), and occur north and south of the Bay, they do not currently exist in St Joseph Bay (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Fodrie et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>). While the West Indian manatee (<italic>Trichechus manatus</italic>) has been sighted in St. Joseph Bay, there is yet no record of manatee herbivory. However, as waters continue to warm it is quite likely that tropicalization of the northern Gulf of Mexico will allow additional tropical herbivores, including parrotfish such as <italic>N. usta</italic> and the West Indian manatee, to expand their ranges and increase grazing intensity in the Bay.</p>
<p>Green turtles are present in St. Joseph Bay year-round (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">McMichael, 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Lamont and Iverson, 2018</xref>). Neritic juvenile green turtles are the life stage primarily found in St. Joseph Bay. Though loggerhead and Kemp&#x2019;s ridley turtles are present, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Foley et&#xa0;al. (2007)</xref> found that green turtles comprised &gt; 96% of the turtles collected in St. Joseph Bay during a 2001 cold stunning event, which is the first published sighting of green turtles in St. Joseph Bay, though they likely existed here historically. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Avens et&#xa0;al. (2012)</xref> saw similar proportions of green turtles during a 2010 cold stunning event (&gt; 95%), and the most recent cold stunning in 2018 continued this trend, with &gt; 95% of the ~1,250 turtles stunned being juvenile green turtles (M. Lamont, USGS, personal communication). After examining gastrointestinal (GI) tracts of cold-stunned turtles, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Foley et&#xa0;al. (2007)</xref> confirmed that turtlegrass was a major diet component of the juvenile green turtles in St. Joseph Bay, and <italic>T. testudinum</italic> was present in the GI tract of all examined turtles. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Williams et&#xa0;al. (2014)</xref> also found turtlegrass to be the major diet item in the juvenile <italic>C. mydas</italic> in St. Joseph Bay.</p>
<p><italic>Lytechinus variegatus</italic> feed on green and decayed seagrass (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Marco-M&#xe9;ndez et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>), and their consumption rates vary seasonally (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Rodriguez and Heck, 2021</xref>). As was observed in this and previous studies, these urchins can reach densities over 100/m<sup>2</sup> as they forage in fronts (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Camp et&#xa0;al., 1973</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Rose et&#xa0;al., 1999</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Peterson et&#xa0;al., 2002</xref>). <italic>L. variegatus</italic> and <italic>C. mydas</italic> exhibit different feeding strategies. <italic>L. variegatus</italic> occurs in constantly moving aggregations and feeds on aboveground seagrass biomass and detritus, taking small bites from leaf edges, and sometimes completely removing aboveground biomass (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Valentine and Heck, 1991</xref>). <italic>C. mydas</italic> can exhibit different foraging strategies, but they generally completely crop aboveground biomass starting at the base of the shoot (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Bjorndal, 1980</xref>). In St. Joseph Bay, at least some green turtles have been found to regraze plots ranging in size from &lt; 0.1 to 10 m<sup>2</sup>, thereby maintaining a mosaic of grazed and ungrazed plots and moving between them, especially wherever structure is available (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Rodriguez and Heck, 2020</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_3">
<title>Field surveys</title>
<p>Invertebrate community surveys were performed by securing a 50 m transect tape with PVC poles and deploying a 1 m<sup>2</sup> quadrat every 5 m along the transect tape. The transect tape was adjacent to the location of the caging experiment (see below) and the seagrass and sediment were carefully checked for cryptic organisms. Invertebrates visible to the naked eye were identified in the field to the lowest taxonomic level possible and abundances along quadrats were averaged by sampling date.</p>
<p><italic>Thalassia testudinum</italic> tethering experiments were used to measure turtlegrass consumption rates and we used two sets of six replicate ropes (cf. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Kirsch et&#xa0;al., 2002</xref>). The two deployments were approximately 30 m apart. Each replicate rope was attached at 0.25 m intervals to two wire stakes and had six clothespins, each of which secured a turtlegrass shoot. Photos of roughly similar-sized shoots were taken before and after deployment on a white surface with a ruler in the picture for scale. Before and after deployment images were analyzed using ImageJ to estimate changes in leaf area due to consumption by herbivores. Invertebrate surveys and tethering experiments were carried out at approximately monthly intervals for 1 year. The experiment ranged from April 2018 to May 2019, though only results through March 2019 will be presented due to the confounding effects of a massive urchin recruitment event that occurred at that time.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_4">
<title>Caging experiment design</title>
<p>Experimental plots (0.25 m<sup>2</sup>) were established in a 5 x 10 grid layout with a minimum separation of 2 m. Each plot was bounded by four vertical PVC stakes driven into the sediment at the corners, along with one vertical PVC stake in the center for the attachment of slow-release fertilizer. Plots were randomly assigned to two broad categories, (1) those examining natural grazing x fertilization and (2) those examining simulated grazing x fertilization (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2"><bold>Figure&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). Category 1 (natural grazing) was created by assigning plots to a variety of caging treatments that used aquaculture grade plastic mesh with 1 cm openings: full cages (no herbivore access which was prevented by mesh cages), partial cages (herbivore access possible with 1 side open but the top in place to control for shading), and uncaged plots (full herbivore access). These treatments were crossed with 2 levels of fertilization (unenriched and enriched) for a total of 6 treatments, each replicated five times (n=5).</p>
<fig id="f2" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>Graphical representation of treatments (n=5) established at our study site. Treatments included two broad categories: natural grazing (full cages, partial cages and uncaged plots) x fertilization; and simulated grazing (no clip, half clip and full clip) x fertilization.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-892219-g002.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>Category 2 (simulated grazing) was created by completely enclosing plots in cages, within which artificial clipping and fertilization was imposed in a 2-way factorial design (3 clipping levels and 2 fertilization levels, n=5 for each treatment). Therefore, the site contained 10 treatments with 50 individual plots (the &#x2018;full cage&#x2019; treatments of Category 1 and &#x2018;no clipping&#x2019; treatments of Category 2 are the same and have been combined). All plots were initially trenched around the borders using dive knives to limit carbohydrate translocation into the plots, and cages were scrubbed with soft brushes to remove fouling at two-week intervals.</p>
<p>The effects of increased grazing due to tropicalization was simulated by artificially clipping turtlegrass shoots within full mesh exclosures, a technique previously demonstrated to effectively replicate macrograzer activity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Moran and Bjorndal, 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Christianen et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Holzer and McGlathery, 2016</xref>). Three levels of clipping were implemented and maintained for the duration of the experiment: no clipping, half clipping, and full clipping. Half clipping was based upon empirical estimates of future seagrass consumption by smaller herbivores (Emerald parrotfish <italic>Nicholsina usta</italic>, Pinfish <italic>Lagodon rhomboides</italic>, and Planehead filefish <italic>Stephanolepis hispidus</italic>) within the northern Gulf of Mexico (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Heck et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>). For this level, at two-week intervals, an estimated 30% of the height of the turtlegrass canopy, as measured by a handheld ruler, was trimmed with stainless steel shears.</p>
<p>Full clipping replicated more intense grazing by larger megaherbivores (green turtles) and was based upon prior estimates of turtle grazing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Bjorndal, 1980</xref>). For this treatment, at two-week intervals, turtlegrass was clipped just above the leaf/sheath junction, or ~1&#x2013;2 cm above the sediment surface (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Moran and Bjorndal, 2005</xref>). In addition, a 10 cm trimmed border around the clipped plots was maintained to limit shading (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Holzer and McGlathery, 2016</xref>). Clipped seagrass was removed from the plots.</p>
<p>Cage treatments will be referred to as: Control (open uncaged plots), Partial cages (cages with 1 side open), Full cage No clip (full caging treatment with no simulated herbivory), Full cage Half clip (full caging treatment with 30% of canopy clipped every 2 weeks), Full cage Full clip (full caging treatment with simulated clipping down to 1-2 cm above the sediment surface). Potential shading impacts were investigated by measuring photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) (Odyssey Integrating Light Sensor, New Zealand) within a Full cage as well as outside of the experimental array. PAR measurements were logged every 6 minutes.</p>
<p>Pilot testing of our proposed fertilization technique (cf. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Campbell et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>) produced loading rates of approximately 0.32 g N and 0.13 g P plot<sup>-1</sup> day<sup>-1</sup>, similar to rates in prior studies documenting the effects of eutrophication in coastal habitats (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Ferdie and Fourqurean, 2004</xref>). Enrichment plots received a 350 g fertilizer bag (filled with slow-release Osmocote fertilizer, NPK 14-14-14) attached to their center posts. These nutrient ratios were selected to ensure a balanced supply of elemental resources, and this technique also allowed consistent nutrient delivery across a wide range of temperatures. To ensure consistent nutrient delivery, all bags were replaced once every four weeks. Nutrient delivery at each plot was measured by recollecting used nutrient bags and calculating the mass of Osmocote lost over the four-week period.</p>
<p>While the experiment ran for 1 full year, in February 2019 (9 months into the experiment), <italic>L. variegatus</italic> started appearing in at densities up to 20/m<sup>2</sup> at the experimental array. One month later (ten months into the experiment) urchin recruitment had destroyed the experimental array and overgrazed the adjacent seagrass. Urchins were removed from the cages every two weeks but were never fully eradicated from the full cages until the experiment&#x2019;s conclusion on May 1st, 2019. Given the loss of the grazing treatments, we concluded that data gathered after March 2019 could not be used for comparisons among treatments because three months of extensive urchin grazing had confounded treatment effects.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_5">
<title>Turtlegrass response variables</title>
<p>Turtlegrass growth was measured using a leaf marking technique (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">Zieman, 1974</xref>) on all shoots within a haphazardly placed 7.62 cm diameter PVC ring inside each plot. All shoots were pierced with a hypodermic needle at the shoot base near the leaf/sediment interface and harvested after 8 days of growth. In the laboratory, new growth of the harvested shoots was dried at 60&#xb0;C for at least 48 hours and weighed. Area-specific productivity (g/m<sup>2</sup> day<sup>1</sup>) was then calculated. Shoot density was estimated by enumerating shoots within replicate 7.62 cm PVC rings in each plot and reporting their average. Percent cover was visually estimated by the same observer at intervals of 5%.</p>
<p>Because our original intention was to present results after the conclusion of the experiment, the sampling schedule for the different response variables varied. Turtlegrass productivity was measured four months after the experiment began and turtlegrass shoot density was estimated at four, seven and ten months after beginning the experiment. Percent cover of turtlegrass was estimated at the start and at four and seven months after beginning the experiment. While percent cover is often related to shoot density, we have analyzed and reported both for completeness.</p>
<p>An unanticipated massive recruitment of the variegated sea urchin, a species known for episodic recruitment in Gulf of Mexico seagrass meadows (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Camp et&#xa0;al., 1973</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Rose et&#xa0;al., 1999</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Peterson et&#xa0;al., 2002</xref>), and a common resident consumer of turtlegrass in the GOM and the Caribbean (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Vadas and Fenchel, 1982</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">Valentine et&#xa0;al., 1997</xref>), occurred during our study. The results of this large increase in the abundance of seagrass-consuming urchins and their breaching of experimental exclosures was first noted in late February and brought a premature end to our experiment.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_6">
<title>Data analysis</title>
<p>Turtlegrass primary production and shoot density were analyzed using 2-way analyses of variance (ANOVA) with the two main factors being Cage type and Nutrient enrichment (n=5). Shoot density was analyzed using 2-way ANOVAs of values that were estimated 4 and 10 months into the experiment. Turtlegrass percent cover was analyzed using a Before-After, Control-Impact (BACI) design because percent cover was estimated in all plots before the experiment began. In these analyses, control treatment values were subtracted from caged treatment values, then each cage treatment (Partial, Full cage No clip, Full cage Half clip, Full cage Full clip) was tested using a two-way ANOVA, with date collected and nutrient enrichment as the two factors. To test whether there was a significant reduction of light in caged areas, light availability measured as PAR at the seagrass canopy height was compared between a sensor placed within a full cage and a sensor placed outside of the experimental array using a t-test. For all t-tests and ANOVAs, normality was tested using a Shapiro-Wilk test, Levene&#x2019;s test of equality was used to check data for homogeneity of variance, and post-hoc comparisons were made with a Tukey analysis after assumptions were met. All analyses were performed in RStudio with R language for statistical computing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">R Core Team, 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">R Studio Team, 2019</xref>).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s3" sec-type="results">
<title>Results</title>
<sec id="s3_1">
<title>Field surveys</title>
<p>The macroinvertebrate community consisted mostly of the herbivorous sea urchin, <italic>Lytechinus variegatus</italic>, which was found on every sampling date (n = 18) and averaged 5.12 &#xb1; 1.11 urchins/m<sup>2</sup> throughout the year (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3"><bold>Figure&#xa0;3</bold></xref>). In February 2019, a large urchin recruitment event produced an urchin front that reached densities of nearly 20 individuals/m<sup>2</sup> as they moved into our experimental array (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4"><bold>Figure&#xa0;4A</bold></xref>). By the end of March, they were established within the cages (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4"><bold>Figure&#xa0;4B</bold></xref>). By April, urchin densities started to decline as they moved out of the area (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3"><bold>Figures&#xa0;3</bold></xref>, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4"><bold>4C</bold></xref>, and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f5"><bold>5</bold></xref>). Among other macroinvertebrates observed, the rigid pen shell <italic>Atrina rigida</italic> was found on 16 of the 18 sampling dates, but only averaged 1.13 &#xb1; 0.05 individuals/m<sup>2</sup>. Throughout the year, the commercially important bay scallop (<italic>Argopectin irradians</italic>) averaged densities 1.175 &#xb1; 1.11 scallops/m<sup>2</sup> with the highest density seen on September 17, 2018.</p>
<fig id="f3" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;3</label>
<caption>
<p>Macroinvertebrate survey results throughout the experimental period. The dates along the x-axis represent the dates surveys took place.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-892219-g003.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="f4" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;4</label>
<caption>
<p><bold>(A)</bold> Urchins (<italic>Lytechinus variegatus</italic>) after recruitment into the study area; <bold>(B)</bold> urchins breaching cages; and <bold>(C)</bold> study area after urchin overgrazing.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-892219-g004.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="f5" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;5</label>
<caption>
<p>Consumption rates, cm<sup>2</sup> day<sup>-1</sup>, (&#xb1; 1 SE) of monthly turtlegrass (<italic>Thalassia testudinum</italic>) tethering experiments.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-892219-g005.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>Turtlegrass consumption rate averaged 0.956 &#xb1; 0.089 cm<sup>2</sup> day<sup>-1</sup> throughout the 10 sampling periods (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f5"><bold>Figure&#xa0;5</bold></xref>). As expected, when <italic>L. variegatus</italic> density increased (beginning sometime in February but first recorded in March), so too did the average daily turtlegrass consumption rate, rising more than 10-fold to as much as 3 cm<sup>2</sup> day<sup>-1</sup> after the urchin recruitment event. Based on our inspection of grazing scars on the tethered shoots, we concluded that 141 of 661 leaves analyzed throughout the experiment showed evidence of grazing. Of these 141 leaves with evidence of grazing, 126 leaves had evidence of urchin grazing, 18 leaves had evidence of fish grazing, and 3 leaves had unidentifiable grazing scars.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_2">
<title>Caging and simulated grazing experiment</title>
<p>Of 254 days during the experiment where both PAR loggers were deployed, there were no detectable differences in light levels between the sensor within the Full cage (46.40 &#xb1; 93.76 [SD] &#xb5;mol photons m<sup>-2</sup> s<sup>-1</sup>) and the sensor outside the experimental array (45.46 &#xb1; 99.93 [SD] &#xb5;mol photons m<sup>-2</sup> s<sup>-1</sup>) [t(<sub>98086</sub>) = 1.5311, p&#xa0;= 0.126].</p>
<p>In August 2018, 4 months into the experiment, there were no differences in <italic>T. testudinum</italic> primary production values between Cage types [F<sub>(4,38)</sub> = 0.497, p = 0.738], or nutrient-enriched plots [F<sub>(1,38)</sub> = 0.019, p = 0.891], and there was no significant interaction between the two factors [F<sub>(4,38)</sub> = 2.109, p = 0.099] (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1"><bold>Table&#xa0;1</bold></xref>; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f6"><bold>Figure&#xa0;6</bold></xref>).</p>
<table-wrap id="T1" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>2-way Analysis of Variance results on <italic>Thalassia testudinum</italic> response variables during a caging experiment testing Cage types and Nutrient enrichment as the Treatment variables.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Response Variable</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Treatment</th>
<th valign="top" colspan="4" align="center">4 months (Aug 2018)</th>
<th valign="top" colspan="4" align="center">10 months (March 2019)</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="center"/>
<th valign="top" align="center"/>
<th valign="top" align="center">DFn</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">DFd</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">F</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">p</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">DFn</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">DFd</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">F</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">p</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Production</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Cage type</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">38</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.497</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.738</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">(g dw/m<sup>2</sup> dy<sup>1</sup>)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Nutrients</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">38</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.019</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.891</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Interaction</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">38</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.109</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.099</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Shoot Density</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Cage type</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">40</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.472</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.060</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">38</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">6.871</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&lt; 0.001</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">(shoots/m<sup>2</sup>)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Nutrients</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">40</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.196</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.660</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">38</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.273</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.140</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Interaction</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">40</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.818</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.521</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">38</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.271</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.298</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<fig id="f6" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;6</label>
<caption>
<p>Mean <italic>Thalassia testudinum</italic> primary production values (&#xb1; 1 SE) 4 months into the caging study. Full exclusion cage treatments also contained simulated grazing treatments. No clip = no clipping treatment. Half clip = top half of leaf clipping treatment. Full clip = fully clipped leaves (~1-2 cm above the sediment).</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-892219-g006.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>Four months into the experiment, there was a measurable difference in shoot densities between Cage types [F<sub>(4,40)</sub> = 2.472, p = 0.060], but no differences between nutrient treatments [F<sub>(140),</sub> = 0.196, p = 0.660], and no interactions between the two factors [F<sub>(4,40)</sub> = 0.818, p = 0.521]. The full simulated grazing treatment in full exclusion cages resulted in fewer turtlegrass shoots than in the uncaged, open control plots (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f7"><bold>Figure&#xa0;7</bold></xref>; p &lt; 0.001). Ten months into the experiment, there was a large difference in shoot densities between Cage types [F<sub>(4,38)</sub> = 6.871, p &lt; 0.001], but not between nutrient treatments [F<sub>(1,38)</sub> = 2.273, p = 0.140], and no interactive effects [F<sub>(4,38)</sub> = 1.271, p = 0.298]. Post-hoc comparisons revealed that the Control treatment had higher turtlegrass shoot densities than all the Full Cage treatments, regardless of clipping regime.</p>
<fig id="f7" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;7</label>
<caption>
<p><italic>Thalassia testudinum</italic> shoot density means (&#xb1; 1 SE) after 4 and 10 months of the caging experiment. Full exclusion cage treatments also contained simulated grazing treatments. Full, None = full cage, no clipping treatment. Full, Half = full cage, top half of leaf clipping treatment. Full, Full = full cage, fully clipped leaves (~1-2 cm above the sediment).</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-892219-g007.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>For percent cover (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>), in the partial cages (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f8"><bold>Figure&#xa0;8A</bold></xref>) there was a difference in partial cage-control treatments means between dates [F<sub>(2,24)</sub> = 9.371, p &lt; 0.001], but no differences between nutrient treatments [F<sub>(1,24)</sub> = 2.247, p = 0.147], and no interactive effects between the factors [F<sub>(2,24)</sub> = 0.427, p = 0.657]. Post-hoc comparisons revealed that percent cover partial-control values 7 months into the experiment were lower than at the start of the experiment (p &lt; 0.0001) and after 4 months into the experiment (p = 0.019), likely due to a structural effect where partial cages experienced greater herbivory due to green turtles being attracted to cage structure, which has been documented in this area before (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Rodriguez and Heck, 2020</xref>), and was anecdotally noted within a few weeks of the experiment&#x2019;s start. In the full cage treatment with no simulated grazing (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f8"><bold>Figure&#xa0;8B</bold></xref>), there was a difference in treatment-control means between dates [F<sub>(3,24)</sub> = 6.419, p = 0.006], but no differences between nutrient treatments [F<sub>(1,24)</sub> = 0.122, p = 0.730], and there were no interactive effects between the factors [F<sub>(3,24)</sub> = 0.527, p = 0.597]. Post-hoc comparisons revealed that 7 months of treatment resulted in less turtlegrass percent cover in the full cage no clipping-control values than recorded at the beginning of the experiment (p = 0.004). In the full cage treatment with the half leaf clipping treatment (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f8"><bold>Figure&#xa0;8C</bold></xref>), there was again a difference in treatment-control means between dates [F<sub>(2,23)</sub> = 31.185, p &lt; 0.001], but no differences between nutrient treatments [F<sub>(1,23)</sub> = 0.662, p = 0.471], and no evidence of interactive effects between the factors [F<sub>(2,23)</sub> = 0.072, p = 0.930]. Post-hoc comparisons revealed that percent cover Full cage Half clip-control values 7 months into the experiment were lower than at the start of the experiment (p &lt; 0.0001) and after 4 months into the experiment (p &lt; 0.001).</p>
<table-wrap id="T2" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>Results of BACI (Before-After Control-Impact) design on <italic>Thalassia testudinum</italic> percent cover during a 7-month caging experiment.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Cage Type</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Treatment</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">DFn</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">DFd</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">F</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">p</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Partial Cage</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Date collected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">24</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">9.371</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&lt; 0.001</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Nutrients</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">24</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.247</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.147</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Interaction</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">24</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.427</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.657</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Full Cage</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Date collected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">24</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">6.419</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.006</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">No Clip</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Nutrients</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">24</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.122</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.730</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Interaction</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">24</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.527</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.597</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Full Cage</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Date collected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">23</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">31.185</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&lt; 0.001</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Half Clip</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Nutrients</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">23</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.662</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.424</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Interaction</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">23</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.072</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.930</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Full Cage</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Date collected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">23</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">59.631</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&lt; 0.001</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Full Clip</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Nutrients</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">23</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.548</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.072</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Interaction</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">23</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.020</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.155</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn id="fnT1_1">
<p>In this design, Control treatment means were subtracted from caged treatment values, then each Cage treatment was tested in a 2-way Analysis of Variance with Date collected (4 months and 7 months into the experiment) and Nutrient enrichment as factors.</p>
</fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<fig id="f8" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;8</label>
<caption>
<p>Thalassia testudinum percent cover treatment-control values (&#xb1; 1 SE) for <bold>(A)</bold> Partial cages, <bold>(B)</bold> Full cages with no clipping treatment, <bold>(C)</bold> Full cages with half clipping treatment, and <bold>(D)</bold> Full cages with full clipping treatment throughout the caging study. The dotted line represents where there would be no difference between the treatment and control values.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-892219-g008.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>In the full cage treatment with full simulated grazing (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f8"><bold>Figures&#xa0;8D</bold></xref>, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f9"><bold>9</bold></xref>), there was a difference in treatment-control means between dates [F<sub>(2,34)</sub> = 59.631, p &lt; 0.001], and nutrient-enriched treatments had a higher percent cover treatment-control means (i.e., nutrient addition mitigated some simulated herbivory effects [F<sub>(1,23)</sub> = 3.548, p = 0.072]), but there were no interactive effects between the factors [F<sub>(223)</sub> = 2.020, p = 0.155]. Post-hoc comparisons revealed after 4 months treatment values were less than control values when compared to the beginning of the experiment (p &lt; 0.001), and 7 months of treatment effects resulted in lower percent cover for the full cage full clipping-control values than at the beginning of the experiment (p &lt; 0.001) and 4 months into the experiment (p &lt; 0.001).</p>
<fig id="f9" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;9</label>
<caption>
<p><italic>Thalassia testudinum</italic> percent cover treatment-control values (&#xb1; 1 SE) for the full exclusion cage, full simulated grazing treatment with and without nutrient enrichment throughout the caging study.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-892219-g009.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s4" sec-type="discussion">
<title>Discussion</title>
<p>The macroinvertebrate community consisted mostly of the herbivorous variegated sea urchin, <italic>Lytechinus variegatus</italic>, which was found on every sampling date throughout the year. By April after most turtlegrass in the area had been consumed, urchin densities declined as they moved out of the area (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3"><bold>Figures&#xa0;3</bold></xref>, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4"><bold>4C</bold></xref>, and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f5"><bold>5</bold></xref>). As expected, when <italic>L. variegatus</italic> density increased (beginning sometime in February but first recorded in March), so too did the average daily turtlegrass consumption rate, which rose more than 10-fold after the urchin recruitment event. Thus, most of the consumption of the tethered <italic>T. testudinum</italic> shoots was done by urchins, with 86% of grazed leaves having evidence of urchin grazing. Fourteen percent of the grazed leaves had evidence of consumption by fish, but leaves showed no evidence of grazing by green turtles even though many green turtles were observed in the area and turtle grazing was apparent around the cage margins (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f10"><bold>Figure&#xa0;10B</bold></xref>).</p>
<fig id="f10" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;10</label>
<caption>
<p><bold>(A)</bold> green turtle (<italic>Chelonia mydas</italic>) grazed area adjacent to one of the cages; and <bold>(B)</bold> a juvenile green turtle entering a grazed patch near a temperature sensor just outside our experimental cage array.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-892219-g010.tif"/>
</fig>
<p><italic>Lytechinus variegatus</italic> densities at the experimental site were like previous studies in St. Joseph Bay. For example, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Valentine and Heck (1991)</xref> reported <italic>L. variegatus</italic> densities in five sites to range between means of 12.5 and 24.6 individuals m<sup>&#x2212;2</sup> and up to 140 ind. m<sup>&#x2212;2</sup>. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Beddingfield and McClintock (2000)</xref> found <italic>L. variegatus</italic> density means (&#xb1; 1 SD) to be 13.35 &#xb1; 7.5, 2.34 &#xb1; 3.4, and 0.46 &#xb1; 0.4 ind. m<sup>&#x2212;2</sup> in <italic>T. testudinum</italic>, and <italic>H. wrightii</italic>, and <italic>S. filiforme-</italic>dominated sites, respectively, and reported densities up to 35 m<sup>&#x2212;2</sup>. Between 2017 and 2018 at two sites sampled after Hurricane Michael, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Challener et&#xa0;al. (2019)</xref> reported mean densities (&#xb1; 1 SD) between 2.90 &#xb1; 2.38 and 10.90 &#xb1; 7.02 ind. m<sup>&#x2212;2</sup>. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Rodriguez and Heck (2021)</xref> estimated <italic>L. variegatus</italic> mean densities across 24 sites around the bay in May 2016 and August 2019 and calculated means (&#xb1; 1 SE) of 6.27 &#xb1; 0.09 ind. m<sup>&#x2212;2</sup> and 5.33 &#xb1; 0.08 ind. m<sup>&#x2212;2</sup>, with an upper limit of 56 ind. m<sup>&#x2212;2</sup>. While urchin means in most studies remain below the density suggested by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Valentine and Heck (1991)</xref> required to overgraze seagrass meadows, high enough densities for overgrazing are common, though spatially heterogeneous, in St. Joseph Bay, and lead to local <italic>T. testudinum</italic> loss.</p>
<p>Before the massive urchin recruitment, nutrient enrichment failed to produce important detectable effects on turtlegrass in any of the treatments. Turtlegrass primary productivity, for example, showed no important differences between grazing treatments, nutrient enrichment levels, or interactions between these factors after four months (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f6"><bold>Figure&#xa0;6</bold></xref>). These results differed from those of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Campbell et&#xa0;al. (2018)</xref>, who tested the effects of nutrient enrichment and altered mesograzer and macrograzer herbivory in turtlegrass meadows at lower latitudes than the 30<sup>0</sup>N St. Joseph Bay. Their study sites ranged from approximately 9-27<sup>0</sup>N, with negative nutrient effects pronounced at the tropical locations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Campbell et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). However, the negative nutrient effects were caused by enhanced consumption of the nutrient-rich leaves by bucktooth parrotfish, a species known to preferentially consume N-rich seagrass tissue (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Goecker et&#xa0;al., 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">Prado and Heck, 2011</xref>). In the highest latitude site in the Indian River Lagoon (27<sup>0</sup>N), where parrotfish were rare, nutrient effects were small and more similar to our results. Thus, the preference for N-rich leaves shown by vertebrates but not invertebrate grazers like urchins (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Valentine and Heck, 2021</xref>), seems to be an important determinant of the effects of nutrient enrichment. And while the emerald parrotfish, <italic>N. usta</italic>, occur north and south of St. Joseph Bay, they do not currently exist there (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Fodrie et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>). Though fish grazing was observed in about 14% of grazed leaves, the area removed by fish grazing was small. However, as waters during winter continue to warm, it is likely that tropicalization of the northern Gulf of Mexico will allow tropical herbivores, including parrotfish such as <italic>N. usta</italic> and the West Indian manatee to expand their ranges and become established, thereby increasing grazing intensity in the Bay.</p>
<p>Turtlegrass shoot densities and percent cover also failed to show important nutrient effects or any interaction between nutrient enrichment and clipping, although simulated herbivory produced greatly reduced shoot densities and percent cover, especially in the full cage, full clip cages (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f7"><bold>Figures&#xa0;7</bold></xref>&#x2013;<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f9"><bold>9</bold></xref>). While nutrient enrichment partially appeared to mitigate the effects of the full cage, full clip simulated grazing on the loss of turtlegrass (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f9"><bold>Figure&#xa0;9</bold></xref>), there is some evidence that grazers preferentially fed on nutrient-enriched open cage controls (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f7"><bold>Figure&#xa0;7</bold></xref>), which would negate this compensatory effect. We hypothesize that this preferential grazing was seen in the partial cages but not in the open control plots, because herbivores are attracted to structure. As observed previously (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Rodriguez and Heck, 2020</xref>), turtle grazing within our experimental cage array was much greater than that observed in surrounding areas of St Joseph Bay, and it was concentrated near the cage structures. This means that studies of turtle grazing that use exclusion cages or other structures must be aware of the potential for enhanced grazing near structures, and is relevant to studies that establish control areas near cages because grazing in the vicinity of cages is likely to be much higher than in areas lacking structure. It would therefore be useful to review the results of prior studies to ensure that estimates of turtle consumption were not biased by their attraction to structures installed by researchers.</p>
<p>The nearly complete loss of turtlegrass from the entire study area after several months of urchin grazing (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4"><bold>Figure&#xa0;4C</bold></xref>) is a dramatic result best explained by the combined effects of urchin and green turtle herbivory. Previously, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Valentine and Heck (1991)</xref> have shown that densities of urchins greater than 20 individuals/m<sup>2</sup> were sufficient to totally denude turtlegrass during spring when growth rates were relatively low compared to higher rates observed in the warmer, sunny months. Because urchin densities nearly reached average densities of 20 m<sup>-2</sup> in spring 2019, this could have been sufficient to denude turtlegrass in our study area. However, although not quantified, green turtle grazing was also occurring at the study site (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Rodriguez and Heck, 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Rodriguez and Heck, 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f10"><bold>Figure&#xa0;10</bold></xref>). Even though we were able to keep turtles from interfering with the treatments, and turtles did not consume tethered seagrass leaves, our cage structures and water quality sampling instruments attracted turtles within days of deployment, and their grazing scars surrounding the cages and instruments were clearly observed throughout the experiment (see <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f10"><bold>Figure&#xa0;10A</bold></xref>). Thus, it appears that the combination of turtle grazing and the massive urchin recruitment was sufficient to almost completely denude the entire study area. This was remarkable, especially since we chose the area for our experiment because of its lush, extensive stands of turtlegrass. Some observations shortly after the conclusion of the experiment indicated that there were a few scattered turtlegrass shoots remaining in the area, but it is unknown at this time whether turtlegrass will be able to recover to its former condition.</p>
<p>In conclusion, we found little evidence for nutrient effects but clear evidence of grazing effects, even before urchins recruited in such large numbers that they breached our cages (approximately 10 months into the experiment). It should be noted that because of the urchin recruitment event in early 2019, most results presented are from the warmer portion of the <italic>T. testudinum</italic> growing season in 2018. We have previously shown that <italic>T. testudinum</italic> primary production differs vastly seasonally and that, while <italic>T. testudinum</italic> exhibits some compensatory growth during summer, urchin grazing dramatically reduced productivity in the winter (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Rodriguez and Heck, 2021</xref>). Because St. Joseph Bay is a relatively high latitude turtlegrass meadow, it is likely that reduced solar insolation during winter exacerbated grazing effects in this study, as has been noted in Bermuda, another high latitude location (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Manuel et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>). We also found that urchin densities of 20/m<sup>2</sup>, combined with green turtle grazing, were sufficient to almost completely denude several hundred hectares of very dense turtlegrass. Our findings validate previous studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Valentine and Heck, 1991</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">Valentine et&#xa0;al., 1997</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Beddingfield and McClintock, 1999</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Rose et&#xa0;al., 1999</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Valentine et&#xa0;al., 2000</xref>) and demonstrate that <italic>L. variegatus</italic> herbivory remains critically important in structuring seagrass meadows of St. Joseph Bay. Further, if green turtle densities (and possibly other tropical herbivores) continue to increase in St. Joseph Bay as expected, and urchin densities remain near levels we recorded in February and March of 2019, seagrass meadows in the Bay may soon be greatly reduced in size and stature (cf. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Rodriguez and Heck, 2021</xref>), similar to what has been observed in Bermuda and Mexico after increases in green turtle abundance and grazing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Fourqurean et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Molina Hern&#xe1;ndez and van Tussenbroek, 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Fourqurean et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>). Therefore, top-down control of macroherbivores may eventually be necessary (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Heithaus et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>) to find the balance between herbivore- and seagrass-dominated systems that will maximize the ecosystem services provided by seagrasses (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Scott et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s5" sec-type="data-availability">
<title>Data availability statement</title>
<p>The datasets presented in this study can be found in online repositories. The names of the repository/repositories and accession number(s) can be found below: <uri xlink:href="https://www.bco-dmo.org/project/750843">https://www.bco-dmo.org/project/750843</uri>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s6" sec-type="author-contributions">
<title>Author contributions</title>
<p>Conceptualization and methodology: KH, JC. Formal analysis: AR. Investigation: AR, CM-M &amp; KH. Resources: KH, JC. Data curation: AR &amp; KH. Writing: AR, KH, &amp; CM-M. Project administration: AR, JC. Funding acquisition: KH, JC. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript. All authors contributed to the article and approved the submitted version.</p>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<sec id="s7" sec-type="funding-information">
<title>Funding</title>
<p>This research was funded by the National Science Foundation Division of Ocean Sciences Grant Number 2019022 and NSF Dauphin Island Sea Lab Grant Number 1737144.</p>
</sec>
<ack>
<title>Acknowledgments</title>
<p>We thank current and past members of the Marine Ecology lab at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab (DISL) for their field and laboratoryassistance, in particular Samantha Linhardt. We would like to thank the Thalassia Experimental Network, in particular Olivia Rhoades andCalvin Munson. We also thank Presnell&#x2019;s Bayside Marina and RV Resort in Port St. Joe, FL for allowing us to use their boat launch and boat slips. We acknowledge the National Science Foundation Biological Oceanography Program for funding this project.</p>
</ack>
<sec id="s8" sec-type="COI-statement">
<title>Conflict of interest</title>
<p>The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s9" sec-type="disclaimer">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p>
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