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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Neurorobot.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Neurorobotics</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Neurorobot.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">1662-5218</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fnbot.2020.00010</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Neuroscience</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Original Research</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Reduction of Onset Delay in Functional Near-Infrared Spectroscopy: Prediction of HbO/HbR Signals</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Zafar</surname> <given-names>Amad</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/570476/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name><surname>Hong</surname> <given-names>Keum-Shik</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c001"><sup>&#x0002A;</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/122331/overview"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="aff1"><sup>1</sup><institution>School of Mechanical Engineering, Pusan National University</institution>, <addr-line>Busan</addr-line>, <country>South Korea</country></aff>
<aff id="aff2"><sup>2</sup><institution>Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Wah</institution>, <addr-line>Wah Cantonment</addr-line>, <country>Pakistan</country></aff>
<aff id="aff3"><sup>3</sup><institution>Department of Cogno-Mechatronics Engineering, Pusan National University</institution>, <addr-line>Busan</addr-line>, <country>South Korea</country></aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by"><p>Edited by: Ganesh R. Naik, Western Sydney University, Australia</p></fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by"><p>Reviewed by: Michele Luigi Pierro, Vivonics, United States; Uma Shahani, Glasgow Caledonian University, United Kingdom</p></fn>
<corresp id="c001">&#x0002A;Correspondence: Keum-Shik Hong <email>kshong&#x00040;pusan.ac.kr</email></corresp>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>18</day>
<month>02</month>
<year>2020</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2020</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>14</volume>
<elocation-id>10</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>22</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2019</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>30</day>
<month>01</month>
<year>2020</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#x000A9; 2020 Zafar and Hong.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2020</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Zafar and Hong</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"><p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</p></license>
</permissions>
<abstract><p>An intrinsic problem when using hemodynamic responses for the brain-machine interface is the slow nature of the physiological process. In this paper, a novel method that estimates the oxyhemoglobin changes caused by neuronal activations is proposed and validated. In monitoring the time responses of blood-oxygen-level-dependent signals with functional near-infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS), the early trajectories of both oxy- and deoxy-hemoglobins in their phase space are scrutinized. Furthermore, to reduce the detection time, a prediction method based upon a kernel-based recursive least squares (KRLS) algorithm is implemented. In validating the proposed approach, the fNIRS signals of finger tapping tasks measured from the left motor cortex are examined. The results show that the KRLS algorithm using the Gaussian kernel yields the best fitting for both &#x00394;HbO (i.e., 87.5%) and &#x00394;HbR (i.e., 85.2%) at <italic>q</italic> = 15 steps ahead (i.e., 1.63 s ahead at a sampling frequency of 9.19 Hz). This concludes that a neuronal activation can be concluded in about 0.1 s with fNIRS using prediction, which enables an almost real-time practice if combined with EEG.</p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>hemodynamic response</kwd>
<kwd>prediction</kwd>
<kwd>tracking</kwd>
<kwd>vector phase analysis</kwd>
<kwd>brain-machine interface (BMI)</kwd>
<kwd>functional near-infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS)</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<contract-num rid="cn001">NRF-2017 R1A4A1015627</contract-num>
<contract-num rid="cn001">NRF-2017R1A2A1A17069430</contract-num>
<contract-sponsor id="cn001">National Research Foundation of Korea<named-content content-type="fundref-id">10.13039/501100003725</named-content></contract-sponsor>
<counts>
<fig-count count="6"/>
<table-count count="6"/>
<equation-count count="36"/>
<ref-count count="81"/>
<page-count count="14"/>
<word-count count="9722"/>
</counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec sec-type="intro" id="s1">
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Similar to functional magnetic resonance imaging and electroencephalography (EEG), functional near-infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS) is a non-invasive neuroimaging technique that measures hemoglobin oxygenation changes in the brain (Kato et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">1993</xref>; Villringer et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">1993</xref>). fNIRS can measure the absolute as well as relative concentration changes of oxyhemoglobin (HbO/&#x00394;HbO) and deoxyhemoglobin (HbR/&#x00394;HbR) using multiple near-infrared lights within the range of 650&#x0007E;1,000 nm (Pellicer and Del Carmen Bravo, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">2011</xref>; Boas et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">2014</xref>; Nguyen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">2016</xref>). It offers several advantages, including acceptable temporal and spatial resolution (Hong and Naseer, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">2016</xref>; Nguyen and Hong, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">2016</xref>), portability, and low cost (Ferrari and Quaresima, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">2012</xref>). With these advantages, fNIRS has successfully demonstrated its potential as a viable neuroimaging tool for applications to the health care industry (Hong and Yaqub, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">2019</xref>), neurological disorders (Obrig, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">2014</xref>; Ghafoor et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">2019</xref>; Yang et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">2019</xref>), psychiatric disorders (Ohi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">2017</xref>), behavioral and cognitive development (Watanabe et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">2017</xref>; Yaqub et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B74">2018</xref>), and brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) (Nicolas-Alonso and Gomez-Gil, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">2012</xref>; Naseer and Hong, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">2015</xref>; Schudlo and Chau, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">2018</xref>; Shin and Im, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">2018</xref>).</p>
<p>The measured fNIRS signals (i.e., &#x00394;HbO, &#x00394;HbR) can be categorized into three durations (Frostig et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">1990</xref>; Ernst and Hennig, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">1994</xref>): (i) the initial dip, which represents the early extraction of oxygen by the nearby active neurons causing the &#x00394;HbO/&#x00394;HbR to decrease/increase, (ii) the conventional hemodynamic response (HR) that is the large increase in cerebral blood flow (CBF) resulting in an increase/decrease in &#x00394;HbO/&#x00394;HbR, respectively, and (iii) the undershoot before going back to the rest state. The changes in &#x00394;HbO/&#x00394;HbR upon the functional stimulation can be translated into meaningful commands for BCI applications (Matthews et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">2008</xref>). These converted signals can be further used to actuate external devices such as robotic arm/leg or wheelchairs for improving the quality of patient lives (Mcfarland and Wolpaw, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">2010</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">2011</xref>; Ortiz-Rosario and Adeli, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">2013</xref>; Yazdani et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B75">2018</xref>). In particular, fNIRS devices are portable and have shown great potential for BCI applications. The main limitation of fNIRS for BCI is its slow nature of the HR and the inherent delay from the onset of the neuronal activity (Jasdzewski et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">2003</xref>; Cui et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">2010</xref>; Ahn and Jun, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2017</xref>), which restricts its use for online BCI applications as well as hybridization with other rapid techniques such as EEG (Jiao et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">2018</xref>; Li et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">2018</xref>; Yang et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">2018</xref>), magnetoencephalography, etc. Because of this limitation, various features in different temporal windows of 0&#x02013;5, 2&#x02013;7, 0&#x02013;10, 0&#x02013;15, 0&#x02013;17, and 0&#x02013;20 s were used in multi-class classification algorithms to classify HRs associated with the same or different brain regions for fNIRS-BCI applications (Power et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">2011</xref>; Khan et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">2014</xref>; Schudlo and Chau, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">2014</xref>; Gateau et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">2015</xref>; Khan and Hong, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">2015</xref>; Hong et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">2017</xref>; Shin et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">2017</xref>; Liu et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">2018</xref>; Yi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B77">2018</xref>). Thus far, the features frequently used from these windows include signal mean, signal slope, signal peak, skewness, kurtosis, variance, standard deviation, number and sum of peaks, root mean square, median, etc. (Hwang et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">2016</xref>; Naseer et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">2016</xref>; Liu and Hong, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">2017</xref>; Hong et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">2018b</xref>; Wibowo et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">2018</xref>).</p>
<p>Another means of addressing this delay is to utilize the initial dip for fast fNIRS-BCI applications. The initial dip is an early change in oxygenation prior to any subsequent increase in CBF, which is spatially more specific to the site of neuronal activity (Vanzetta and Grinvald, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">2008</xref>; Hong and Zafar, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">2018</xref>). However, there is also a time lag in detecting the initial dip (Hong and Naseer, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">2016</xref>). A previous study by Hong and Naseer (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">2016</xref>) showed that the initial dip could be detected using a vector phase diagram with a single threshold circle. The vector phase diagram is a computationally efficient method to detect both the initial dip and the HR by displaying the trajectories of &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR, as orthogonal components, in the &#x00394;HbO-&#x00394;HbR polar coordinates (Oka et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">2015</xref>). It was further proposed to use <italic>q</italic>-step-ahead prediction scheme in combination with the vector phase diagram to reduce the time lag in detecting the initial dip. They showed that the initial dip could be detected in 0.9 s using the <italic>q</italic>-step-ahead prediction scheme, showing high potential for BCI applications. Later, Zafar and Hong (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B80">2017</xref>) attempted to find the features and temporal window size for classifying the initial dip duration in fNIRS signals of different mental tasks. They showed that the running temporal window size for fNIRS could be reduced from 5 to 2.5 s using initial dip features (i.e., signal mean and signal minimum) in the classification process. Li et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">2017</xref>) also used the mean value of &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR signals in the 0&#x02013;2 s window as an initial dip feature and achieved 85.5% classification accuracy for the classification of left- and right-hand movements. Similarly, Khan and Hong (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">2017</xref>) used signal minimum as an initial dip feature and achieved a classification accuracy of 75.6% in classifying four mental tasks in a reduced window size (i.e., 0&#x02013;2 s).</p>
<p>The use of dual threshold circles in the vector phase diagram was proposed to improve the detection of both initial dip and the conventional HR (Zafar and Hong, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">2018</xref>), see <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">Figure 1</xref>. The threshold circles in the vector phase analysis helps to minimize the false detection of resting-state fluctuation and large fluctuations of &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR signals during the task period. The radius of the inner circle was set to the maximum HbO during the resting state, and the radius of the outer circle was set to the sum of the radius of the inner circle and 30% of the peak value of the main HR. The peak value of the HR was determined through the averaging over trials measured in the training phase. They showed that the use of dual threshold circles in the vector phase diagram resulted in an enhancement of the classification accuracies of two-finger tapping tasks. They also used the signal mean and the minimum signal value in 0&#x02013;2.5 s time window to classify two-finger tapping tasks. However, windows of 0&#x02013;2 s or 0&#x02013;2.5 s are still too large for real-time BCI applications and hybridization of fNIRS with other rapid techniques such as EEG. Furthermore, the previously mentioned <italic>q</italic>-step-ahead prediction scheme by Hong and Naseer (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">2016</xref>) to reduce the delay was an offline analysis, and the validity of the predicted signals with multiple steps was not examined. Knowing the maximal prediction size of the <italic>q</italic>-step-ahead prediction method is important because the error of the predicted signals increases significantly with the increase of the number of step sizes. In addition, for real-time BCI applications, an online scheme is required to reduce the onset delay in fNIRS signals.</p>
<fig id="F1" position="float">
<label>Figure 1</label>
<caption><p>Concept of vector phase diagram with dual threshold circles (Hong and Zafar, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">2018</xref>; Zafar and Hong, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">2018</xref>).</p></caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fnbot-14-00010-g0001.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>In this study, the use of a kernel recursive least squares algorithm (KRLS) is proposed for the <italic>q</italic>-step-ahead prediction of fNIRS signals. Three most commonly used kernels (i.e., Gaussian, polynomial, and sigmoid) are tested to compare the errors in the predicted fNIRS signals. Then, the effectiveness of the proposed prediction scheme was evaluated using fNIRS signals of finger tapping tasks measured from the left motor cortex of eleven subjects. The results of the proposed scheme were compared with those of the commonly used recursive least squares (RLS) algorithm. This paper further presents the applicability of the <italic>q</italic>-step-ahead prediction scheme to reduce the time lag in detecting the initial dips in fNIRS signals.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="methods" id="s2">
<title>Methods</title>
<sec>
<title>Brain Activity Model and Kernel Recursive Least Square</title>
<p>In this paper, a brain activity is modeled in a linear form using the autoregressive moving average with exogenous signals (ARMAX) model as follows.</p>
<disp-formula id="E2"><label>(1)</label><mml:math id="M2"><mml:mtable columnalign='left'><mml:mtr columnalign='left'><mml:mtd columnalign='left'><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle='true'><mml:munderover><mml:mo>&#x02211;</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:msup><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x02212;</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle><mml:mstyle displaystyle='true'><mml:munderover><mml:mo>&#x02211;</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x02212;</mml:mo><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr columnalign='left'><mml:mtd columnalign='left'><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle='true'><mml:munderover><mml:mo>&#x02211;</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>c</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>w</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x02212;</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>c</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&#x022C5;</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>&#x003B5;</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<p>where <italic>i</italic> represents the channel number; <italic>y</italic> is the measured &#x00394;HbO/&#x00394;HbR; <italic>u</italic> is the desired hemodynamic response function (dHRF); <italic>w</italic> is the physiological noise; &#x003B5; is the zero-mean Gaussian noise; <italic>a</italic><sub>n</sub>, <italic>b</italic><sub>m</sub>, <italic>c</italic><sub>p</sub>, and <italic>c</italic><sub>o</sub> are unknown coefficients that are recursively estimated; and <italic>n</italic><sub>o</sub>, <italic>m</italic><sub>o</sub>, and <italic>p</italic><sub>o</sub> are the orders of the system, input, and exogenous signals, respectively. For fNIRS, the exogenous signal <italic>w</italic> consists of specifically three sinusoidal signals representing cardiac, Mayer, and respiration related physiological noises (Abdelnour and Huppert, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">2009</xref>; Nguyen H.-D. et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">2018</xref>). Also, the exogenous signals can be dropped out in the estimation process (i.e., <italic>p</italic><sub>o</sub> = 0) if the prediction/tracking of the measured signal is focused. Nevertheless, the fNIRS signals were low- and high-pass filtered to minimize the effect of the physiological noises before the estimation process. Equation (1) can be written in a simplified vector form as follows.</p>
<disp-formula id="E3"><label>(2)</label><mml:math id="M3"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B8;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E5"><label>(3)</label><mml:math id="M5"><mml:mtable columnalign='left'><mml:mtr columnalign='left'><mml:mtd columnalign='left'><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>[</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x02212;</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>&#x022EF;</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x02212;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr columnalign='left'><mml:mtd columnalign='left'><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x02212;</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>&#x022EF;</mml:mo><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x02212;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mi>w</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x02212;</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>&#x022EF;</mml:mo><mml:mi>w</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x02212;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo>]</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E7"><label>(4)</label><mml:math id="M7"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>&#x003B8;</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy='false'>[</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mtable columnalign='left'><mml:mtr columnalign='left'><mml:mtd columnalign='left'><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>&#x022EF;</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd columnalign='left'><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>&#x022EF;</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd columnalign='left'><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>c</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>&#x022EF;</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>c</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd columnalign='left'><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>c</mml:mi><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy='false'>]</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
<p>where &#x003C6;(<italic>k</italic>) &#x02208; &#x0211C;<sup>(<italic>n</italic> &#x0002B; <italic>m</italic> &#x0002B; <italic>p</italic> &#x0002B; 1) &#x000D7; 1</sup> is the regression vector and superscript <italic>T</italic> stands for the transpose operator. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">Figure 2</xref> shows the estimation/prediction scheme.</p>
<fig id="F2" position="float">
<label>Figure 2</label>
<caption><p>Online estimation/prediction scheme.</p></caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fnbot-14-00010-g0002.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>In this study, dHRF [i.e., <italic>u</italic>(<italic>k</italic>)] was generated by convolving the canonical HRF (cHRF), denoted by <italic>h</italic>(<italic>k</italic>), with a stimulation period, <italic>s</italic>(<italic>k</italic>), as follows.</p>
<disp-formula id="E8"><label>(5)</label><mml:math id="M8"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:munderover accentunder="false" accent="false"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x02211;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>l</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:munderover></mml:mstyle><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>l</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>l</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E9"><label>(6)</label><mml:math id="M9"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>{</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mtable><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;&#x000A0;if&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x02208;</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;&#x000A0;if&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x02208;</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
<p>where <italic>task</italic> and <italic>rest</italic> represent the task period and the rest period, respectively (task = 10 s and rest = 20 s in this study). cHRF was generated as a linear combination of three gamma functions by the following equation (Shan et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">2014</xref>).</p>
<disp-formula id="E10"><label>(7)</label><mml:math id="M10"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:munderover accentunder="false" accent="false"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x02211;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:munderover></mml:mstyle><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B1;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B2;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B1;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B2;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x00393;</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B1;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<p>where <italic>j</italic> represents the number of gamma functions, <italic>A</italic><sub><italic>j</italic></sub> is the amplitude, &#x003B1;<sub><italic>j</italic></sub> and &#x003B2;<sub><italic>j</italic></sub> tune the shape and the scale, respectively, and <italic>k</italic> is the time step (in this work, <italic>A</italic><sub>1</sub> &#x0003D; &#x02212;1.5, <italic>A</italic><sub>2</sub> &#x0003D; 7, <italic>A</italic><sub>3</sub> &#x0003D; &#x02212;2, &#x003B1;<sub>1</sub> &#x0003D; 1.5, &#x003B1;<sub>2</sub> &#x0003D; 6, &#x003B1;<sub>3</sub> &#x0003D; 16, and &#x003B2;<sub>1</sub> &#x0003D; &#x003B2;<sub>2</sub> &#x0003D; &#x003B2;<sub>3</sub> &#x0003D; 1 were used). The unknown coefficients in Equation (2) are estimated and updated using the KRLS based on the optimization of the cost function given by</p>
<disp-formula id="E14"><label>(8)</label><mml:math id="M11"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:munder><mml:mrow><mml:mo class="qopname">min</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B8;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:munder></mml:mstyle><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>J</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>K</mml:mi><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:munderover accentunder="false" accent="false"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x02211;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:munderover></mml:mstyle><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x003BB;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="true">|</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003BA;</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&#x000B7;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mi>&#x003B8;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="true">|</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd columnalign="left"><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x003BB;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>&#x02016;</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003B8;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x02016;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>H</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E44"><label>(9)</label><mml:math id="M14"><mml:mrow><mml:mtable columnalign='left'><mml:mtr columnalign='left'><mml:mtd columnalign='left'><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x003A6;</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy='false'>[</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003BA;</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&#x000B7;</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mi>&#x003BA;</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&#x000B7;</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr columnalign='left'><mml:mtd columnalign='left'><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&#x022EF;</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mi>&#x003BA;</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&#x000B7;</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mo stretchy='false'>]</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
<p>where &#x003BA; represents the Mercer kernel, &#x003A6; is the kernel matrix of all <italic>k</italic> input data points, <italic>R</italic> is a positive number known as the regularization parameter, <italic>H</italic> represents the reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) associated with the Mercer kernel, and &#x003BB; (0.98 in this study) is the forgetting factor. The performances of the following three most commonly used kernels in improving the prediction of the fNIRS signals are tested (Muller et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">2001</xref>):</p>
<p>(i) Gaussian kernel</p>
<disp-formula id="E15"><label>(10)</label><mml:math id="M15"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>&#x003BA;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x02032;</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo class="qopname">exp</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="true">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x02032;</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:mo>|</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C3;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="true">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<p>where &#x003C3; is a scaling factor, and &#x003C6;&#x02032;represents the new upcoming data.</p>
<p>(ii) Polynomial kernel</p>
<disp-formula id="E16"><label>(11)</label><mml:math id="M16"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>&#x003BA;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x02032;</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="true">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x02032;</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mi>c</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="true">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<p>where <italic>c</italic> is a non-negative constant, and <italic>p</italic> is the order of the polynomial kernel.</p>
<p>(iii) Sigmoid kernel</p>
<disp-formula id="E17"><label>(12)</label><mml:math id="M17"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>&#x003BA;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x02032;</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo class="qopname">tanh</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="true">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x02032;</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="true">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<p>where <italic>s</italic> and <italic>t</italic> are suitable non-negative constants.</p>
<p>The basic idea is to map input data points to a high dimensional feature space (i.e., RKHS). This process allows the transformation of linear inner products into RKHS by simply changing their inner product into kernels (Sch&#x000F6;lkopf and Smola, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">2002</xref>; Liu et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">2010</xref>). The transformed feature space is then solved using the linear algorithm. The advantage of kernel-based algorithms is that they have a unique global solution that can be derived by solving a convex optimization problem (Chen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">2014</xref>). Furthermore, if data show a non-linear relationship, linear regression techniques cannot model them adequately. The kernel method can address this issue by moving to another feature space that is more likely to correspond to a linear model. However, the kernel method suffers from the overfitting problem because the Hilbert space induces high dimensionality of data. To address the issue of overfitting, the solution is penalized by limiting it to the L2 norm, as shown in Equation (8) (Evgeniou et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">2000</xref>; Pillonetto et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">2014</xref>), which is solved and updated as follows (Liu et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">2010</xref>).</p>
<disp-formula id="E19"><label>(13)</label><mml:math id="M19"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>&#x003B8;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>&#x003A6;</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>[</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x003BB;</mml:mo><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mo>&#x003A6;</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>&#x003A6;</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>]</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>&#x003B8;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>&#x003A6;</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E20"><label>(14)</label><mml:math id="M20"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>[</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x003BB;</mml:mo><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003BA;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>]</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E22"><label>(15)</label><mml:math id="M22"><mml:mtable columnalign='left'><mml:mtr columnalign='left'><mml:mtd columnalign='left'><mml:mrow><mml:mi>K</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>K</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x02212;</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mi>&#x003BA;</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&#x000B7;</mml:mo><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>[</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BA;</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&#x022EF;</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr columnalign='left'><mml:mtd columnalign='left'><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BA;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy='false'>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x02212;</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo stretchy='false'>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo>]</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E23"><label>(16)</label><mml:math id="M23"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mi>K</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E24"><label>(17)</label><mml:math id="M24"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>&#x003B4;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x003BB;</mml:mo><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003BA;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>z</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mi>K</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E25"><label>(18)</label><mml:math id="M25"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B4;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>[</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mtable style="text-align:axis;" equalrows="false" columnlines="none none none none none none none none none" equalcolumns="false" class="array"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>Q</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B4;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>z</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mrow><mml:mo>]</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E26"><label>(19)</label><mml:math id="M26"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>K</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E27"><label>(20)</label><mml:math id="M27"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>[</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mtable style="text-align:axis;" equalrows="false" columnlines="none none none none none none none none none" equalcolumns="false" class="array"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>z</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B4;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B4;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mrow><mml:mo>]</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<p>As the kernel matrix grows linearly with the number of observations, the computational complexity of KRLS increases. The complexity is reduced by using the approximate linear dependency (ALD) criterion (Engel et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">2004</xref>). The KRLS-ALD algorithm has been implemented using the Matlab<sup>TM</sup> kernel adaptive filtering toolbox (Van Vaerenbergh and Santamar&#x000ED;a, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">2013</xref>; Van Vaerenbergh, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">2017</xref>).</p>
<p>Accordingly, using Equation (2), the estimated brain activity model can be represented as</p>
<disp-formula id="E28"><label>(21)</label><mml:math id="M28"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent='true'><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x0005E;</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B8;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<p>For <italic>q</italic>-step-ahead prediction, Equation (21) can be written as follows.</p>
<disp-formula id="E29"><label>(22)</label><mml:math id="M29"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent='true'><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x0005E;</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C6;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B8;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>^</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<p>The performance of the algorithm was tested using the percentage fitting (%FIT) criterion as follows (Pillonetto et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">2014</xref>).</p>
<disp-formula id="E30"><label>(23)</label><mml:math id="M30"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">FIT</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>100</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="true">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:munderover accentunder="false" accent="false"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x02211;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:munderover></mml:mstyle><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent='true'><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x0005E;</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:munderover accentunder="false" accent="false"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x02211;</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:munderover></mml:mstyle><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>k</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="true">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<p>The performance criterion in (23) quantifies how much of the variance of <italic>y</italic> is captured by the <italic>q</italic>-step-ahead predicted signal (Pillonetto et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">2014</xref>). Furthermore, %FIT criteria measure how accurately the <italic>q</italic>-step-ahead predicted signals are estimated.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Experimental Data</title>
<p>Previously published experimental data (Zafar and Hong, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">2018</xref>) of right-hand (thumb and little) finger tapping sessions from 11 subjects were used for validating the proposed <italic>q</italic>-step-ahead prediction scheme. Brain signals generated by the finger-tapping were acquired from the left motor cortex using the frequency domain fNIRS system (ISS Imagent, ISS Inc.) at a sampling rate of 9.19 Hz. The electrode placement and the corresponding emitter-detector distances are shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">Figure 3A</xref>. A total of 36 channels were formed using emitter-detector pairs.</p>
<fig id="F3" position="float">
<label>Figure 3</label>
<caption><p>Emitter-detector placement and experimental paradigm for the right-hand finger tapping task: <bold>(A)</bold> Emitter-detector placement and their distances, <bold>(B)</bold> experimental paradigm.</p></caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fnbot-14-00010-g0003.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>The experimental paradigm is shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">Figure 3B</xref>. The experimental paradigm consists of two sessions of finger tapping tasks. A session is composed of six trials of 30 s. Each trial includes a 10 s activity task followed by a 20 s rest. During the task period, the subjects were instructed to tap their right-hand finger as fast as they could without paying attention to the number of taps. The raw data (&#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR) obtained from the ISS Imagent data acquisition and analysis software (ISS-Boxy) were pre-processed to remove physiological noises related to respiration, cardiac, and low-frequency drift signals. Fourth-order Butterworth low- and high-pass filters with cutoff frequencies of 0.15 and 0.01 Hz, respectively, were used to minimize the respiration, cardiac, and low-frequency drift signals from the obtained fNIRS signals.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Detection of Initial Dip</title>
<p>The initial dip will be detected through the vector phase analysis with dual threshold circles (Yoshino and Kato, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B78">2012</xref>; Hong and Naseer, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">2016</xref>; Zafar and Hong, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">2018</xref>), see <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">Figure 1</xref>. Vector phase analysis is a polar coordinate plane method defined by &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR as orthogonal vector components. Two other vector components, cerebral oxygen exchange (&#x00394;COE) and cerebral blood volume (&#x00394;CBV), are obtained by rotating the vector coordinate system by 45&#x000B0; counterclockwise using the following equations (Yoshino et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B79">2013</xref>; Khan et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">2018</xref>).</p>
<disp-formula id="E31"><label>(24)</label><mml:math id="M31"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mo>&#x00394;</mml:mo><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">CBV</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x00394;</mml:mo><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">HbO</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mo>&#x00394;</mml:mo><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">HbR</mml:mtext></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E32"><label>(25)</label><mml:math id="M32"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mo>&#x00394;</mml:mo><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">COE</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x00394;</mml:mo><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">HbR</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mo>&#x00394;</mml:mo><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">HbO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<p>The magnitude and the phase of a vector <italic>p</italic> = (&#x00394;HbO, &#x00394;HbR) in the phase plane can be calculated as follows.</p>
<disp-formula id="E33"><label>(26)</label><mml:math id="M33"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x00394;</mml:mo><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">Hb</mml:mtext><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">O</mml:mtext></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mo>&#x00394;</mml:mo><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">Hb</mml:mtext><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">R</mml:mtext></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E34"><label>(27)</label><mml:math id="M34"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mi>&#x02220;</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo class="qopname">tan</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="true">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&#x00394;</mml:mo><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">HbR</mml:mtext></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&#x00394;</mml:mo><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">HbO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="true">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo class="qopname">tan</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="true">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&#x00394;</mml:mo><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">COE</mml:mtext></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mo>&#x00394;</mml:mo><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">CBV</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="true">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mn>45</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>o</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<p>The degree of oxygen exchange is defined by the ratio of &#x00394;COE and &#x00394;CBV. Therefore, the oxygen exchange in the blood vessel is represented by the change in &#x00394;COE. Using the abovementioned four indices, eight phases are defined on the vector phase diagram, see <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">Figure 1</xref>. Phases 1&#x02013;5 (i.e., Phase 1: 0 &#x0003C; &#x00394;HbR &#x0003C; &#x00394;HbO, &#x00394;COE &#x0003C; 0 &#x0003C; &#x00394;CBV; Phase 2: 0 &#x0003C; &#x00394;HbO &#x0003C; &#x00394;HbR, 0 &#x0003C; &#x00394;COE &#x0003C; &#x00394;CBV; Phase 3: &#x00394;HbO &#x0003C; 0 &#x0003C; &#x00394;HbR, 0 &#x0003C; &#x00394;CBV &#x0003C; &#x00394;COE; Phase 4: &#x00394;HbO &#x0003C; 0 &#x0003C; &#x00394;HbR, &#x00394;CBV &#x0003C; 0 &#x0003C; &#x00394;COE; Phase 5: &#x00394;HbO &#x0003C; &#x00394;HbR &#x0003C; 0, &#x00394;CBV &#x0003C; 0 &#x0003C; &#x00394;COE) are defined as the initial dip phases because they reflect an increase in either &#x00394;HbR or &#x00394;COE, whereas Phases 6 to 8 (i.e., Phase 6: &#x00394;HbR &#x0003C; &#x00394;HbO &#x0003C; 0, &#x00394;CBV &#x0003C; &#x00394;COE &#x0003C; 0; Phase 7: &#x00394;HbR &#x0003C; 0 &#x0003C; &#x00394;HbO, &#x00394;COE &#x0003C; &#x00394;CBV &#x0003C; 0; Phase 8: &#x00394;HbR &#x0003C; 0 &#x0003C; &#x00394;HbO, &#x00394;COE &#x0003C; 0 &#x0003C; &#x00394;CBV) are defined as HR phases. If there are no threshold circles in the vector diagram, the resting-state fluctuation and large fluctuations of &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR signals during the task period with &#x00394;COE &#x0003E; 0 can easily be interpreted as an initial dip. Threshold circles (i.e., dual threshold circles) incorporated in the vector phase analysis help in minimizing the detection of false dips (Hong and Naseer, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">2016</xref>; Zafar and Hong, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">2018</xref>). The radius of the first (inner) threshold circle in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">Figure 1</xref> was determined during the resting state period as follows (Hong and Naseer, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">2016</xref>).</p>
<disp-formula id="E35"><label>(28)</label><mml:math id="M35"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo class="qopname">max</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="true">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&#x00394;</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">HbO</mml:mtext></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>g</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mo>&#x00394;</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">HbR</mml:mtext></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mi>g</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="true">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<p>The single (inner) threshold circle can help to separate the resting-state fluctuation from the initial dip and task-related HR. However, a large fluctuation of &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR above the threshold circle can still falsely be interpreted as an initial dip. Therefore, a second (outer) threshold circle as an upper bound is drawn on the vector diagram to separate large &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR fluctuations from the initial dip. The radius for the second threshold circle was determined using the following equation (Zafar and Hong, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">2018</xref>).</p>
<disp-formula id="E36"><label>(29)</label><mml:math id="M36"><mml:mtable class="eqnarray" columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mo>.</mml:mo><mml:mn>3</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mtext class="textrm" mathvariant="normal">SD</mml:mtext></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<p>where <italic>p</italic><sub>1</sub> and SD are the peak value and standard deviation of the averaged &#x00394;HbO trial over several trials from the most active channel, where the most active channel means the channel that shows the largest difference between the maximum &#x00394;HbO values in the resting state and the HR of the first trial during the training stage. The initial dips are detected if the trajectory lies in any phase from Phase 3 to Phase 5 and remains within the two threshold circles within first 2&#x02013;4 s of the task period, and it moves to either Phases 7 or 8, after 2&#x02013;4 s. The first (i.e., inner) threshold circle is used to detect the time instance of the occurrence of an initial dip and the HR. Any trajectory going outside the secondary threshold circle is considered as a false dip or noise.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="results" id="s3">
<title>Results</title>
<p>The data during the resting-state and the first session were used in the training stage, whereas the second session data were used to test the proposed method. The parameters of the Gaussian (i.e., &#x003C3;), polynomial (i.e., <italic>c</italic> and <italic>p</italic>), and sigmoid (i.e., <italic>s</italic> and <italic>t</italic>) kernels were determined iteratively, and the value with the maximum %FIT for each kernel was selected for further analysis. Using the data of 792 channels [i.e., 11 subjects &#x000D7; (36 HbO &#x0002B; 36 HbR)], the values of parameters &#x003C3;, <italic>c, p, s</italic>, and <italic>t</italic> for the Gaussian, polynomial, and sigmoid kernels were found to be 1 in the training stage. For the regularization parameter (<italic>R</italic>), several different values were tested through trial and error, and <italic>R</italic> = 10<sup>&#x02212;8</sup> was found to achieve the best fitting (i.e., %FIT) of the predicted signals. <italic>R</italic> &#x0003E; 10<sup>&#x02212;8</sup> did not affect the %FIT of the predicted signals, but lower values decreased %FIT. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">Figure 4</xref> shows the fitting of the one-step-ahead predicted &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR signals on top of the measured signals (&#x00394;HbO, &#x00394;HbR) using the RLS method and the Gaussian-kernel RLS method for both active (i.e., Ch. 18) and non-active (i.e., Ch. 3) channels of Subject 1, respectively.</p>
<fig id="F4" position="float">
<label>Figure 4</label>
<caption><p>Fitting of &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR signals for active (Ch. 18) and non-active (Ch. 3) channels at <italic>q</italic> = 1 for Sub. 1: <bold>(A,B,E,F)</bold> were obtained by using the RLS method; <bold>(C,D,G,H)</bold> were obtained by using the Gaussian-kernel RLS method.</p></caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fnbot-14-00010-g0004.tif"/>
</fig>
<p><xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Tables 1</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">4</xref> reports the %FIT of &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR for individual subjects using RLS and KRLS. The statistical significance of the %FIT was verified using two-sample <italic>t</italic>-tests. Signal information in the predicted signals (i.e., %FIT) significantly decreases (<italic>p</italic> &#x0003C; 0.05) as the step size increases. <xref ref-type="table" rid="T5">Table 5</xref> shows a comparison of the averaged %FITs of RLS and KRLS with the Gaussian, polynomial, and sigmoid kernels for different <italic>q-</italic>step-ahead predicted fNIRS (&#x00394;HbO, &#x00394;HbR) signals.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T1">
<label>Table 1</label>
<caption><p>Averaged %FIT for &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR over all channels using RLS after training and testing.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Sub</bold>.</th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="10"><bold>%FIT</bold></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th/>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 1 (0.1 s)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 5 (0.54 s)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 10 (1.08 s)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 15 (1.63 s)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 20 (2.17 s)</bold></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th/>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">69.8<break/> &#x000B1; 8.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">68.3<break/> &#x000B1; 6.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">66.6<break/> &#x000B1; 9.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">64.9<break/> &#x000B1; 6.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">62.6<break/> &#x000B1; 10.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">60.8<break/> &#x000B1; 7.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">59.2<break/> &#x000B1; 10.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">57.2<break/> &#x000B1; 8.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">56.6<break/> &#x000B1; 10.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">54.2<break/> &#x000B1; 8.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">65.5<break/> &#x000B1; 9.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">63.7<break/> &#x000B1; 7.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">61.6<break/> &#x000B1; 10.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">59.7<break/> &#x000B1; 8.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">57.1<break/> &#x000B1; 11.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">54.9<break/> &#x000B1; 8.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">52.9<break/> &#x000B1; 12.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">50.5<break/> &#x000B1; 9.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">49.6<break/> &#x000B1; 12.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">46.9<break/> &#x000B1; 10.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">67.0<break/> &#x000B1; 6.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">65.7<break/> &#x000B1; 5.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">63.2<break/> &#x000B1; 7.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">61.6<break/> &#x000B1; 5.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">58.7<break/> &#x000B1; 7.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">56.9<break/> &#x000B1; 6.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">54.8<break/> &#x000B1; 8.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">52.8<break/> &#x000B1; 7.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">51.5<break/> &#x000B1; 8.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">49.4<break/> &#x000B1; 7.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">69.4<break/> &#x000B1; 9.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">68.7<break/> &#x000B1; 6.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">66.0<break/> &#x000B1; 10.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">65.3<break/> &#x000B1; 7.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">61.9<break/> &#x000B1; 11.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">61.3<break/> &#x000B1; 7.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">58.2<break/> &#x000B1; 11.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">57.7<break/> &#x000B1; 8.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">55.0<break/> &#x000B1; 12.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">54.6<break/> &#x000B1; 8.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">65.4<break/> &#x000B1; 7.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">64.4<break/> &#x000B1; 6.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">61.6<break/> &#x000B1; 7.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">60.6<break/> &#x000B1; 6.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">57.1<break/> &#x000B1; 8.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">55.9<break/> &#x000B1; 7.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">53.1<break/> &#x000B1; 8.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">51.7<break/> &#x000B1; 7.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">49.7<break/> &#x000B1; 9.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">48.2<break/> &#x000B1; 8.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">73.0<break/> &#x000B1; 9.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">69.4<break/> &#x000B1; 7.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">70.1<break/> &#x000B1; 10.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">66.1<break/> &#x000B1; 8.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">66.5<break/> &#x000B1; 11.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">62.1<break/> &#x000B1; 9.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">63.3<break/> &#x000B1; 12.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">58.6<break/> &#x000B1; 10.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">60.5<break/> &#x000B1; 13.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">55.6<break/> &#x000B1; 10.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">76.1<break/> &#x000B1; 6.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">75.3<break/> &#x000B1; 4.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">73.2<break/> &#x000B1; 6.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">72.5<break/> &#x000B1; 4.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">69.8<break/> &#x000B1; 6.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">69.2<break/> &#x000B1; 5.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">66.7<break/> &#x000B1; 7.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">66.2<break/> &#x000B1; 5.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">64.1<break/> &#x000B1; 7.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">63.6<break/> &#x000B1; 6.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">73.6<break/> &#x000B1; 8.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">67.9<break/> &#x000B1; 6.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">70.5<break/> &#x000B1; 8.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">64.4<break/> &#x000B1; 6.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">66.9<break/> &#x000B1; 9.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">60.2<break/> &#x000B1; 7.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">63.7<break/> &#x000B1; 10.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">56.5<break/> &#x000B1; 8.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">61.1<break/> &#x000B1; 10.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">53.5<break/> &#x000B1; 8.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">68.8<break/> &#x000B1; 6.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">64.9<break/> &#x000B1; 4.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">65.4<break/> &#x000B1; 7.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">61.2<break/> &#x000B1; 4.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">61.5<break/> &#x000B1; 8.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">56.7<break/> &#x000B1; 5.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">58.0<break/> &#x000B1; 8.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">52.8<break/> &#x000B1; 5.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">55.1<break/> &#x000B1; 8.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">49.6<break/> &#x000B1; 5.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">10</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">76.1<break/> &#x000B1; 9.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">71.3<break/> &#x000B1; 7.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">73.2<break/> &#x000B1; 10.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">67.9<break/> &#x000B1; 7.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">69.7<break/> &#x000B1; 11.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">63.9<break/> &#x000B1; 8.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">66.4<break/> &#x000B1; 11.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">60.3<break/> &#x000B1; 9.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">63.5<break/> &#x000B1; 11.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">57.2<break/> &#x000B1; 9.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">11</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">70.1<break/> &#x000B1; 8.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">66.8<break/> &#x000B1; 6.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">67.0<break/> &#x000B1; 8.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">63.2<break/> &#x000B1; 6.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">63.2<break/> &#x000B1; 9.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">58.9<break/> &#x000B1; 7.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">59.9<break/> &#x000B1; 10.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">55.2<break/> &#x000B1; 7.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">57.2<break/> &#x000B1; 10.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">52.2<break/> &#x000B1; 8.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mean<break/> &#x000B1; SD</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">70.4<break/> &#x000B1; 8.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">67.9<break/> &#x000B1; 6.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">67.1<break/> &#x000B1; 8.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">64.3<break/> &#x000B1; 6.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">63.2<break/> &#x000B1; 9.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">60.1<break/> &#x000B1; 7.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">59.7<break/> &#x000B1; 10.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">56.3<break/> &#x000B1; 7.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">56.7<break/> &#x000B1; 10.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">53.2<break/> &#x000B1; 8.4</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T2">
<label>Table 2</label>
<caption><p>Averaged %FIT for &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR over all channels using KRLS with the Gaussian kernel after training and testing.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Sub</bold>.</th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="10"><bold>%FIT</bold></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th/>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 1 (0.1 s)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 5 (0.54 s)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 10 (1.08 s)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 15 (1.63 s)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 20 (2.17 s)</bold></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th/>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.4<break/> &#x000B1; 0.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.6<break/> &#x000B1; 1.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.7<break/> &#x000B1; 1.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.5<break/> &#x000B1; 1.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">90.4<break/> &#x000B1; 2.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.0<break/> &#x000B1; 2.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.1<break/> &#x000B1; 3.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.6<break/> &#x000B1; 3.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.9<break/> &#x000B1; 4.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.4<break/> &#x000B1; 4.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.6<break/> &#x000B1; 1.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.2<break/> &#x000B1; 4.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.0<break/> &#x000B1; 2.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.4<break/> &#x000B1; 4.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.7<break/> &#x000B1; 4.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.5<break/> &#x000B1; 4.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.5<break/> &#x000B1; 5.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">81.9<break/> &#x000B1; 5.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.7<break/> &#x000B1; 7.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">78.8<break/> &#x000B1; 6.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.3<break/> &#x000B1; 0.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.2<break/> &#x000B1; 4.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.9<break/> &#x000B1; 1.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.4<break/> &#x000B1; 3.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.5<break/> &#x000B1; 3.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.9<break/> &#x000B1; 4.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.3<break/> &#x000B1; 4.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">81.7<break/> &#x000B1; 4.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.4<break/> &#x000B1; 5.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">78.9<break/> &#x000B1; 5.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.7<break/> &#x000B1; 1.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.8<break/> &#x000B1; 1.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.9<break/> &#x000B1; 1.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">90.9<break/> &#x000B1; 2.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">90.4<break/> &#x000B1; 2.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.3<break/> &#x000B1; 3.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.8<break/> &#x000B1; 4.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.9<break/> &#x000B1; 3.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.4<break/> &#x000B1; 5.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">83.6<break/> &#x000B1; 4.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.4<break/> &#x000B1; 2.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.9<break/> &#x000B1; 3.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.3<break/> &#x000B1; 2.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">90.5<break/> &#x000B1; 3.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.5<break/> &#x000B1; 2.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.9<break/> &#x000B1; 3.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.7<break/> &#x000B1; 3.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">83.6<break/> &#x000B1; 4.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.3<break/> &#x000B1; 4.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">80.6<break/> &#x000B1; 4.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.8<break/> &#x000B1; 0.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.1<break/> &#x000B1; 2.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.3<break/> &#x000B1; 1.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.1<break/> &#x000B1; 2.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.2<break/> &#x000B1; 2.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.5<break/> &#x000B1; 3.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.9<break/> &#x000B1; 3.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.9<break/> &#x000B1; 4.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.6<break/> &#x000B1; 5.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">83.6<break/> &#x000B1; 4.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">95.1<break/> &#x000B1; 0.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.9<break/> &#x000B1; 0.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.2<break/> &#x000B1; 1.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.1<break/> &#x000B1; 1.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">90.7<break/> &#x000B1; 2.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">90.8<break/> &#x000B1; 2.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.3<break/> &#x000B1; 4.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.6<break/> &#x000B1; 2.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.1<break/> &#x000B1; 4.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.5<break/> &#x000B1; 3.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.6<break/> &#x000B1; 0.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.2<break/> &#x000B1; 2.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.2<break/> &#x000B1; 1.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.9<break/> &#x000B1; 2.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.5<break/> &#x000B1; 2.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.1<break/> &#x000B1; 3.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.1<break/> &#x000B1; 3.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.0<break/> &#x000B1; 5.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.9<break/> &#x000B1; 4.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.1<break/> &#x000B1; 5.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.3<break/> &#x000B1; 0.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.9<break/> &#x000B1; 0.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.4<break/> &#x000B1; 1.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.0<break/> &#x000B1; 1.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.8<break/> &#x000B1; 2.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.1<break/> &#x000B1; 2.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.3<break/> &#x000B1; 3.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.3<break/> &#x000B1; 3.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.0<break/> &#x000B1; 4.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">83.6<break/> &#x000B1; 4.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">10</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">95.4<break/> &#x000B1; 1.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.4<break/> &#x000B1; 1.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.7<break/> &#x000B1; 1.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.8<break/> &#x000B1; 1.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.5<break/> &#x000B1; 2.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.7<break/> &#x000B1; 2.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.3<break/> &#x000B1; 3.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.8<break/> &#x000B1; 3.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.5<break/> &#x000B1; 4.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">83.3<break/> &#x000B1; 4.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">11</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.4<break/> &#x000B1; 1.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.6<break/> &#x000B1; 1.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.8<break/> &#x000B1; 1.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.7<break/> &#x000B1; 1.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">90.7<break/> &#x000B1; 2.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.1<break/> &#x000B1; 2.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.5<break/> &#x000B1; 3.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.5<break/> &#x000B1; 3.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.6<break/> &#x000B1; 4.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.1<break/> &#x000B1; 4.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mean<break/> &#x000B1; SD</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.6<break/> &#x000B1; 1.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.2<break/> &#x000B1; 2.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.7<break/> &#x000B1; 1.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">90.9<break/> &#x000B1; 2.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">90.1<break/> &#x000B1; 2.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.0<break/> &#x000B1; 3.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.5<break/> &#x000B1; 3.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.2<break/> &#x000B1; 4.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.2<break/> &#x000B1; 4.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.7<break/> &#x000B1; 4.7</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T3">
<label>Table 3</label>
<caption><p>Averaged %FIT for &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR over all channels using KRLS with the polynomial kernel after training and testing.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Sub</bold>.</th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="10"><bold>%FIT</bold></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th/>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 1 (0.1 s)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 5(0.54 s)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 10 (1.08 s)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 15 (1.63 s)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 20 (2.17 s)</bold></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th/>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.5<break/> &#x000B1; 2.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.6<break/> &#x000B1; 2.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.6<break/> &#x000B1; 3.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">90.6<break/> &#x000B1; 2.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.1<break/> &#x000B1; 5.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.1<break/> &#x000B1; 3.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.5<break/> &#x000B1; 6.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.7<break/> &#x000B1; 3.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.1<break/> &#x000B1; 7.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">83.6<break/> &#x000B1; 4.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.3<break/> &#x000B1; 0.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.5<break/> &#x000B1; 14.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.7<break/> &#x000B1; 2.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.7<break/> &#x000B1; 13.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.4<break/> &#x000B1; 4.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">81.0<break/> &#x000B1; 13.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.2<break/> &#x000B1; 5.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">77.5<break/> &#x000B1; 13.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.4<break/> &#x000B1; 7.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">74.4<break/> &#x000B1; 13.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.0<break/> &#x000B1; 1.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">83.1<break/> &#x000B1; 19.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.4<break/> &#x000B1; 1.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">80.4<break/> &#x000B1; 19.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.1<break/> &#x000B1; 3.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">77.1<break/> &#x000B1; 20.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.8<break/> &#x000B1; 4.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">73.8<break/> &#x000B1; 20.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">81.9<break/> &#x000B1; 5.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">71.1<break/> &#x000B1; 21.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.5<break/> &#x000B1; 1.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.5<break/> &#x000B1; 7.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.6<break/> &#x000B1; 1.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.6<break/> &#x000B1; 7.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.9<break/> &#x000B1; 2.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.1<break/> &#x000B1; 7.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.3<break/> &#x000B1; 4.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.5<break/> &#x000B1; 7.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.8<break/> &#x000B1; 5.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">80.3<break/> &#x000B1; 8.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.2<break/> &#x000B1; 1.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">90.5<break/> &#x000B1; 8.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.9<break/> &#x000B1; 2.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.8<break/> &#x000B1; 7.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.1<break/> &#x000B1; 2.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.2<break/> &#x000B1; 7.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.7<break/> &#x000B1; 4.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">80.8<break/> &#x000B1; 7.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">83.1<break/> &#x000B1; 4.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">78.0<break/> &#x000B1; 7.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.7<break/> &#x000B1; 0.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.8<break/> &#x000B1; 4.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.3<break/> &#x000B1; 1.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.7<break/> &#x000B1; 5.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.2<break/> &#x000B1; 2.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.1<break/> &#x000B1; 5.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.0<break/> &#x000B1; 3.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.4<break/> &#x000B1; 6.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.7<break/> &#x000B1; 4.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.1<break/> &#x000B1; 7.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">95.1<break/> &#x000B1; 0.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.1<break/> &#x000B1; 2.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.1<break/> &#x000B1; 1.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.2<break/> &#x000B1; 2.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">90.6<break/> &#x000B1; 2.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.9<break/> &#x000B1; 3.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.2<break/> &#x000B1; 3.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.6<break/> &#x000B1; 3.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.0<break/> &#x000B1; 4.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.5<break/> &#x000B1; 3.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.5<break/> &#x000B1; 0.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.2<break/> &#x000B1; 4.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.1<break/> &#x000B1; 1.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.9<break/> &#x000B1; 4.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.3<break/> &#x000B1; 2.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.0<break/> &#x000B1; 4.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.9<break/> &#x000B1; 3.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">83.2<break/> &#x000B1; 5.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.8<break/> &#x000B1; 4.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">80.8<break/> &#x000B1; 6.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.1<break/> &#x000B1; 0.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.6<break/> &#x000B1; 0.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.2<break/> &#x000B1; 1.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.5<break/> &#x000B1; 1.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.5<break/> &#x000B1; 2.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.5<break/> &#x000B1; 2.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.9<break/> &#x000B1; 3.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.5<break/> &#x000B1; 3.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.6<break/> &#x000B1; 4.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.8<break/> &#x000B1; 4.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">10</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">95.3<break/> &#x000B1; 0.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.8<break/> &#x000B1; 2.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.6<break/> &#x000B1; 1.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.2<break/> &#x000B1; 2.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.4<break/> &#x000B1; 2.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.1<break/> &#x000B1; 2.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.4<break/> &#x000B1; 3.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.2<break/> &#x000B1; 3.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.4<break/> &#x000B1; 4.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.6<break/> &#x000B1; 4.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">11</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.4<break/> &#x000B1; 0.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.3<break/> &#x000B1; 1.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.8<break/> &#x000B1; 1.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.3<break/> &#x000B1; 1.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">90.6<break/> &#x000B1; 2.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.7<break/> &#x000B1; 2.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.4<break/> &#x000B1; 3.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.1<break/> &#x000B1; 3.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.4<break/> &#x000B1; 3.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">83.8<break/> &#x000B1; 4.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mean<break/> &#x000B1; SD</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.4<break/> &#x000B1; 1.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.0<break/> &#x000B1; 6.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.4<break/> &#x000B1; 1.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.7<break/> &#x000B1; 6.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.7<break/> &#x000B1; 2.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.8<break/> &#x000B1; 6.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.1<break/> &#x000B1; 4.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.9<break/> &#x000B1; 7.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.7<break/> &#x000B1; 5.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">80.5<break/> &#x000B1; 7.8</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T4">
<label>Table 4</label>
<caption><p>Averaged %FIT for &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR over all channels using KRLS with the sigmoid kernel after training and testing.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Sub</bold>.</th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="10"><bold>%FIT</bold></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th/>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 1 (0.1 s)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 5 (0.54 s)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 10 (1.08 s)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 15 (1.63 s)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="2"><italic><bold>q</bold></italic> <bold>&#x0003D; 20 (2.17 s)</bold></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th/>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.3<break/> &#x000B1; 13.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">66.1<break/> &#x000B1; 24.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.1<break/> &#x000B1; 12.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">64.2<break/> &#x000B1; 24.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">81.5<break/> &#x000B1; 12.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">61.8<break/> &#x000B1; 23.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">78.9<break/> &#x000B1; 12.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">59.5<break/> &#x000B1; 23.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">76.7<break/> &#x000B1; 12.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">57.4<break/> &#x000B1; 23.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.5<break/> &#x000B1; 9.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">63.6<break/> &#x000B1; 26.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.5<break/> &#x000B1; 9.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">60.9<break/> &#x000B1; 25.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">80.8<break/> &#x000B1; 9.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">57.4<break/> &#x000B1; 23.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">77.3<break/> &#x000B1; 9.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">54.1<break/> &#x000B1; 22.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">74.2<break/> &#x000B1; 9.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">51.2<break/> &#x000B1; 22.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.0<break/> &#x000B1; 13.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">53.8<break/> &#x000B1; 27.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">81.0<break/> &#x000B1; 12.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">51.5<break/> &#x000B1; 26.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">77.2<break/> &#x000B1; 12.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">48.7<break/> &#x000B1; 25.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">73.7<break/> &#x000B1; 12.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">45.8<break/> &#x000B1; 25.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">70.7<break/> &#x000B1; 12.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">43.4<break/> &#x000B1; 24.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.8<break/> &#x000B1; 13.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">61.6<break/> &#x000B1; 27.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.6<break/> &#x000B1; 13.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">59.7<break/> &#x000B1; 26.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">81.7<break/> &#x000B1; 13.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">57.2<break/> &#x000B1; 26.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">78.9<break/> &#x000B1; 13.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">54.7<break/> &#x000B1; 26.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">76.3<break/> &#x000B1; 13.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">52.5<break/> &#x000B1; 26.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.1<break/> &#x000B1; 6.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">70.2<break/> &#x000B1; 19.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.4<break/> &#x000B1; 6.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">67.8<break/> &#x000B1; 18.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.9<break/> &#x000B1; 6.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">64.6<break/> &#x000B1; 18.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">79.7<break/> &#x000B1; 6.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">61.7<break/> &#x000B1; 27.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">76.8<break/> &#x000B1; 7.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">59.1<break/> &#x000B1; 17.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.9<break/> &#x000B1; 10.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">73.9<break/> &#x000B1; 22.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.2<break/> &#x000B1; 10.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">72<break/> &#x000B1; 22.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">83.8<break/> &#x000B1; 10.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">69.4<break/> &#x000B1; 22.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">81.4<break/> &#x000B1; 10.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">66.9<break/> &#x000B1; 21.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">79.1<break/> &#x000B1; 10.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">64.7<break/> &#x000B1; 21.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.0<break/> &#x000B1; 3.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.7<break/> &#x000B1; 16.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.8<break/> &#x000B1; 3.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.8<break/> &#x000B1; 16.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.2<break/> &#x000B1; 3.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">80.4<break/> &#x000B1; 16.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.6<break/> &#x000B1; 4.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">78.1<break/> &#x000B1; 15.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.2<break/> &#x000B1; 5.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">76.0<break/> &#x000B1; 15.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.3<break/> &#x000B1; 16.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">66.8<break/> &#x000B1; 20.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.1<break/> &#x000B1; 16.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">64.8<break/> &#x000B1; 19.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">79.4<break/> &#x000B1; 15.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">62.2<break/> &#x000B1; 19.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">77.1<break/> &#x000B1; 15.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">59.7<break/> &#x000B1; 18.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">74.9<break/> &#x000B1; 15.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">57.4<break/> &#x000B1; 18.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.1<break/> &#x000B1; 5.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.3<break/> &#x000B1; 13.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.7<break/> &#x000B1; 5.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">79.8<break/> &#x000B1; 13.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.8<break/> &#x000B1; 5.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">76.6<break/> &#x000B1; 12.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">83.1<break/> &#x000B1; 5.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">73.7<break/> &#x000B1; 12.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">80.8<break/> &#x000B1; 5.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">71.2<break/> &#x000B1; 12.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">10</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">90.3<break/> &#x000B1; 6.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">75.4<break/> &#x000B1; 18.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.4<break/> &#x000B1; 6.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">73.1<break/> &#x000B1; 17.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.1<break/> &#x000B1; 6.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">70.2<break/> &#x000B1; 17.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">83.8<break/> &#x000B1; 6.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">67.5<break/> &#x000B1; 17.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">81.7<break/> &#x000B1; 7.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">65.1<break/> &#x000B1; 16.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">11</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.3<break/> &#x000B1; 4.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">76.4<break/> &#x000B1; 22.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.4<break/> &#x000B1; 4.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">74.0<break/> &#x000B1; 22.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.9<break/> &#x000B1; 4.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">70.9<break/> &#x000B1; 21.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.5<break/> &#x000B1; 4.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">68.1<break/> &#x000B1; 21.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.4<break/> &#x000B1; 5.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">65.5<break/> &#x000B1; 20.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mean<break/> &#x000B1; SD</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.4<break/> &#x000B1; 9.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">70.4<break/> &#x000B1; 21.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.1<break/> &#x000B1; 9.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">68.2<break/> &#x000B1; 21.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">83.2<break/> &#x000B1; 9.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">65.4<break/> &#x000B1; 20.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">80.4<break/> &#x000B1; 9.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">62.7<break/> &#x000B1; 21.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">77.9<break/> &#x000B1; 9.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">60.3<break/> &#x000B1; 19.9</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T5">
<label>Table 5</label>
<caption><p>Comparison of the averaged %Fits of RLS and KRLS (Gaussian, polynomial, sigmoid) for different <italic>q</italic>-step-ahead predicted &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR signals after training and testing.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold><italic>q</italic>-step</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="8"><bold>%Fit of fNIRS signals</bold></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th/>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="4"><bold>&#x00394;HbO</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="4"><bold>&#x00394;HbR</bold></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th/>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>RLS</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>KRLS with Gaussian</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>KRLS with polynomial</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>KRLS with sigmoid</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>RLS</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>KRLS with Gaussian</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>KRLS with polynomial</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>KRLS with sigmoid</bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">1<break/> (0.1 s)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">70.4<break/> &#x000B1; 8.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.6<break/> &#x000B1; 1.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">94.4<break/> &#x000B1; 1.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.4<break/> &#x000B1; 9.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">67.9<break/> &#x000B1; 6.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">93.2<break/> &#x000B1; 2.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">91.0<break/> &#x000B1; 6.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">70.4<break/> &#x000B1; 21.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">5<break/> (0.54 s)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">67.1<break/> &#x000B1; 8.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.7<break/> &#x000B1; 1.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">92.4<break/> &#x000B1; 1.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">86.1<break/> &#x000B1; 9.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">64.3<break/> &#x000B1; 6.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">90.9<break/> &#x000B1; 2.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.7<break/> &#x000B1; 6.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">68.2<break/> &#x000B1; 21.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">10<break/> (1.08 s)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">63.2<break/> &#x000B1; 9.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">90.1<break/> &#x000B1; 2.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">89.7<break/> &#x000B1; 2.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">83.2<break/> &#x000B1; 9.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">60.1<break/> &#x000B1; 7.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">88.0<break/> &#x000B1; 3.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.8<break/> &#x000B1; 6.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">65.4<break/> &#x000B1; 20.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">15<break/> (1.63 s)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">59.7<break/> &#x000B1; 10.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.5<break/> &#x000B1; 3.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">87.1<break/> &#x000B1; 4.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">80.4<break/> &#x000B1; 9.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">56.3<break/> &#x000B1; 7.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.2<break/> &#x000B1; 4.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.9<break/> &#x000B1; 7.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">62.7<break/> &#x000B1; 21.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">20<break/> (2.17 s)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">56.7<break/> &#x000B1; 10.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">85.2<break/> &#x000B1; 4.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">84.7<break/> &#x000B1; 5.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">77.9<break/> &#x000B1; 9.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">53.2<break/> &#x000B1; 8.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">82.7<break/> &#x000B1; 4.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">80.5<break/> &#x000B1; 7.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">60.3<break/> &#x000B1; 19.9</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<p>A number of previous studies reported that the peak of the initial dip occurred at approximately 1.9&#x02013;2.5 s (Hu and Yacoub, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">2012</xref>; Zafar and Hong, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B80">2017</xref>). Therefore, <italic>q</italic> = 15 (i.e., 1.63 s since the sampling frequency was 9.19 Hz in this study) was selected for further analysis. <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref> shows that KRLS with the Gaussian kernel yielded the best fitting (<italic>p</italic> &#x0003C; 0.05) for the 1.63 s ahead predicted &#x00394;HbO (i.e., 87.5%) and &#x00394;HbR (i.e., 85.2%) signals as compared to all other methods. Therefore, the Gaussian-kernel RLS was further used for reducing the delay in detecting initial dips in the fNIRS signals. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F5">Figure 5</xref> shows the 15-step-ahead predicted &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR signals of active channels for different subjects. It can be clearly seen that the predicted signals are well-ahead (i.e., blue dotted lines) and perfectly tracking the measured signals (solid red line).</p>
<fig id="F5" position="float">
<label>Figure 5</label>
<caption><p>Measured and 1.63 s ahead predicted signals (<italic>q</italic> = 15) of HbO (left) and HbR (right) with the Gaussian-kernel RLS algorithm: <bold>(A)</bold> Sub. 1 (Ch. 21), <bold>(B)</bold> Sub. 8 (Ch. 18), and <bold>(C)</bold> Sub. 10 (Ch. 30).</p></caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fnbot-14-00010-g0005.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>A comparison of vector-phase trajectories using measured and 1.63 s ahead predicted fNIRS signals for Subject 3 is shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6">Figure 6</xref>. <xref ref-type="table" rid="T6">Table 6</xref> shows the times of initial dip detection using 15-step-ahead predicted &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR signals for active channels of all subjects.</p>
<fig id="F6" position="float">
<label>Figure 6</label>
<caption><p>Comparison between measured and predicted (1.63 s) signals (Sub. 3, Ch. 21).</p></caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fnbot-14-00010-g0006.tif"/>
</fig>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T6">
<label>Table 6</label>
<caption><p>Time of initial dip detection using 1.63 s (<italic>q</italic> = 15) ahead prediction.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Sub</bold>.</th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>Channel</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="3"><bold>Time of initial dip detection (sec)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;" colspan="3"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<th/>
<th/>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>Trial 1</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>Trial 2</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>Trial 3</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>Trial 4</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>Trial 5</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>Trial 6</bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">21</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.65</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">18</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.21</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.65</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.65</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">3</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">21</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">29</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.32</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.21</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">33</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.32</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.21</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.21</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">29</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.43</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">17</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.21</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.21</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">21</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.32</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">17</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.21</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.43</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.21</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.21</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">10</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">29</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.32</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.65</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.65</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">33</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Not detected</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s4">
<title>Discussions</title>
<p>The newly emerging neuroimaging modality (i.e., fNIRS) has a disadvantage of inherent onset delay from neuronal activation, which limits its application for rapid BCIs. To overcome this, the use of a kernel method for <italic>q</italic>-step-ahead prediction of fNIRS signals was proposed for the first time. The novelty of this study lies in using an online prediction scheme to reduce this onset delay for online applications.</p>
<p>A previous study by Hong and Naseer (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">2016</xref>) could reduce the delay in detecting initial dip in fNIRS signals to approximately 0.9 s using an offline <italic>q</italic>-step-ahead ARMAX model-based prediction scheme. Our results (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Tables 1</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="table" rid="T5">5</xref>) reveal that the fitting accuracy of the <italic>q</italic>-step-ahead predicted signals decreased significantly (<italic>p</italic> &#x0003C; 0.05) with the increase of prediction step sizes. Therefore, the selection of a proper step size is very crucial to ensure that the predicted signals contain the maximum information of the measured signals.</p>
<p>In this study, a linear combination of three gamma functions was used (i.e., dHRF, see <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">Figure 2</xref>). Most early studies used only s two-gamma-function dHRF to analyze the fNIRS time-series (Abdelnour and Huppert, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">2009</xref>; Ye et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B76">2009</xref>; Hu et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">2010</xref>). A key drawback in using two gamma functions is that the initial dip duration is neglected in the estimation/prediction process. This limitation was overcome by using three gamma functions, which provides an extra degree of freedom by including the initial dip in the dHRF model for better estimation/prediction of the fNIRS signal.</p>
<p>The KRLS algorithm improves the fitting of the predicted signals as compared to the RLS algorithm by moving from the input space to the transformed feature space, i.e., a high dimensional space (see <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Tables 1</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="table" rid="T5">5</xref>). The non-linear relationship in the data cannot be adequately modeled by using linear regression techniques. The advantage of moving to a higher dimensional space is that there is a high probability that the data corresponds to a linear model, and it can be solved using the linear algorithms (Liu et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">2010</xref>). Regarding the kernels, the Gaussian kernel yielded the best fitting of the predicted &#x00394;HbO (i.e., 87.5%) and &#x00394;HbR (i.e., 85.2%) signals at <italic>q</italic> = 15 step-ahead. The polynomial kernel also yielded good results for the &#x00394;HbO signals, but the fitting slightly decreased for the &#x00394;HbR signals. In contrast, the fitting of both &#x00394;HbO and &#x00394;HbR signals significantly decreased for the sigmoid kernel. Furthermore, the fitting of the predicted &#x00394;HbR signals was lower than that of the predicted &#x00394;HbO.</p>
<p>Early studies reported that the peak of initial dip occurred around 1.9&#x02013;2.5 s (Malonek and Grinvald, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">1996</xref>; Yacoub and Hu, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">2001</xref>; Yacoub et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">2001</xref>; Hu and Yacoub, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">2012</xref>; Zafar and Hong, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B80">2017</xref>). From this viewpoint, 1.63 s ahead prediction was selected in this study for an early detection of initial dips. Nevertheless, the peak of an initial dip depends on various factors, such as the type of task performed, the duration of the task period, and the brain area under investigation. The trajectories (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6">Figure 6</xref>) for both measured and predicted signals were almost the same, showing that the predicted signals were well-tracking the measured signals. However, if the fitting of the predicted signal is not adequate, the trajectory can lead to a wrong decision regarding the detection of initial dip or HR. With 1.63 s ahead prediction (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T6">Table 6</xref>), the initial dips were detected in minimum 0.11 s (maximum 0.65 s), which is much lower than that of Hong and Naseer (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">2016</xref>) (i.e., 0.9 s). Furthermore, the initial dip phenomenon did not occur in some trials. In the literature, this issue has been discussed considering several issues. One interesting report is that it is due to the use of caffeine before the experiment (Behzadi and Liu, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">2006</xref>; Hong and Zafar, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">2018</xref>). In addition, the detection time of the initial dip varies among trials and subjects (Hu et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">2013</xref>).</p>
<p>Finally, this study demonstrated a step moving toward the development of a real-time BCI and a brain monitoring system using fNIRS. The significance of this study lies in the fast detection of activity-related responses in fNIRS signals. Even if an initial dip is not present, the inherent onset delay in the conventional HR can be reduced using the proposed <italic>q</italic>-step-head prediction scheme. Moreover, the use of <italic>q</italic>-step-head prediction with improved fitting can help in the hybridization of fNIRS with other rapid modalities such as EEG. Nevertheless, further research is still required to improve the fitting of the predicted fNIRS signals with an accuracy more than 90% using advanced signal processing (Ghafoor et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">2017</xref>; Chen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">2018</xref>; Hong et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">2018a</xref>) and adaptive algorithms (Iqbal et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">2018</xref>; Nguyen Q. C. et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">2018</xref>). In the future, other types of kernels should also be investigated for further improvement of the predicted fNIRS signals. The limitations of this study are as follows: (i) the order of the system (<italic>a</italic><sub>n</sub>) and the input (<italic>b</italic><sub>n</sub>) was set as 1 to ensure low computational complexity. Therefore, the optimal order of the system and the input for the prediction of fNIRS signals should be investigated further. (ii) Exogenous signals were excluded from the estimation/prediction process. These signals should be considered for further improvement of the predicted fNIRS signals in the future.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="conclusions" id="s5">
<title>Conclusion</title>
<p>In this study, the <italic>q</italic>-step-ahead prediction scheme based on KRLS was used to reduce the onset delay from the neuronal activation in fNIRS signals. fNIRS signals of right-hand finger tapping task acquired from the left motor cortex were used to evaluate the performance of the prediction scheme. The results show that the Gaussian kernel yields the best fitting for both &#x00394;HbO (i.e., 87.5%) and &#x00394;HbR (i.e., 85.2%) signals at <italic>q</italic> = 15 step ahead prediction (i.e., 1.63 s with the sampling frequency of 9.19 Hz). The application of the scheme was found to reduce the delay in detecting the initial dip. The improvement in the fitting of 1.63 s ahead predicted fNIRS signals enabled the detection of initial dip in 0.1 s. The reduction in the onset delay is a significant improvement in the development of real-time BCI applications using fNIRS.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="data-availability-statement" id="s6">
<title>Data Availability Statement</title>
<p>The datasets analyzed in this article are not publicly available. Requests to access the datasets should be directed to <email>kshong&#x00040;pusan.ac.kr</email>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s7">
<title>Ethics Statement</title>
<p>The studies involving human participants were reviewed and approved by Pusan National University Institutional Review Board. The patients/participants provided their written informed consent to participate in this study.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s8">
<title>Author Contributions</title>
<p>AZ carried out the data processing and wrote the first draft of the manuscript. K-SH suggested the theoretical aspects of the current study, corrected the manuscript, and supervised the entire process from the beginning.</p>
<sec>
<title>Conflict of Interest</title>
<p>The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
</body>
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<fn fn-type="financial-disclosure"><p><bold>Funding.</bold> This work was supported by the National Research Foundation (NRF) of Korea under the auspices of the Ministry of Science and ICT, Republic of Korea (Grant No. NRF-2017R1A2A1A17069430).</p>
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