ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Earth Sci., 17 June 2026

Sec. Geohazards and Georisks

Volume 14 - 2026 | https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2026.1873654

Landslide susceptibility mapping based on Inter.iamb-Tabu algorithm considering non-landslide sampling

  • School of Architecture Engineering and Geomatics, Shandong University of Technology, Zibo, China

Abstract

Accurate landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) remains challenging because of uncertainty in both model selection and non-landslide sample definition. To address these issues, this paper developed an LSM framework based on the Inter.iamb-Tabu algorithm while explicitly considering non-landslide sampling, using Gangu County, China, as the research area. 124 landslides were established through remote sensing interpretation and field survey. From 14 initial conditioning factors, nine were retained after correlation analysis, single-factor logistic regression and variance inflation factor analysis. Using 10 m×10 m grid cells as the mapping unit, a spatially random strategy was designed to select 26,468 non-landslide samples, and the datasets were divided into training and validation subsets at a ratio of 7: 3. Three improved Bayesian network algorithms, MMPC-Tabu, Fast.iamb-Tabu and Inter.iamb-Tabu, were then compared using Accuracy, Precision, Recall, F1-score and AUC. The results showed that Inter.iamb-Tabu achieved the best predictive performance. In addition, the proposed non-landslide sampling strategy outperformed two conventional methods, confirming its superiority in preserving spatial representativeness and reducing sample contamination. The final susceptibility map indicated that 87.1% of the documented landslides were in high and extreme susceptible areas. These areas were mainly distributed in the loess hilly region, the steep front margins of thick loess layers on the northern and southern mountains, and the secondary and tertiary gullies of the Weihe River valley. The learned DAG and CPTs revealed that slope gradient, elevation, land use and distance from fault were parent nodes of landslide and exerted direct triggering effects. Profile curvature and NDVI served as mutual feedback nodes with landslides, whereas slope aspect, distance from road and SPI mainly exerted indirect effects by interacting with other hazard factors. The proposed framework provides a robust, interpretable and transferable approach for LSM, and can support geohazard mitigation and land-use planning in regions with similar geological and geomorphological settings.

1 Introduction

Landslides occur when the shear stress on a penetrating structural surface exceeds its shear strength (). According to the China Geological Environment Monitoring Institute, a total of 34,218 geological disasters occurred in China between 2020 and 2024, of which landslides accounted for more than 50%. On average, landslides cause over 200 fatalities and billions of yuan in economic losses annually in China (). Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) estimates the probability of landslide occurrence using mathematical models and analyzes its spatial differentiation, providing a theoretical basis for landslide mitigation policies and land use planning (; Yin et al., 2020).

Mathematical models for LSM generally fall into two categories (): statistical models (e.g., logistic regression, analytic hierarchy process, and multivariate statistical methods) () and machine learning methods (e.g., artificial neural networks, support vector machines, and convolutional neural networks (CNN)) (). classified landslides into rock and soil types based on geological conditions and historical inventories, proposed a CNN-based LSM method, and benchmarked its performance against classification and regression trees and multilayer perceptrons. developed an LSM framework for Lin’an District, Zhejiang Province, China, integrating GeoDetector with ensemble learning algorithms, specifically random forest (RF) and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). Yang et al. (2026) integrated multi-source historical landslide data with 15 predictive factors and used several machine learning models (RF, gradient boosting regression trees, XGBoost, and categorical boosting) to generate susceptibility maps. To overcome the limitations of single models, some researchers have proposed hybrid algorithms. Owing to their high generalization ability and robustness, hybrid algorithms often yield significantly better LSM results than single algorithms (). proposed a Buffer-SMOTE-Transformer optimization framework that integrates geospatial buffer sampling to refine negative sample selection, employs SMOTE to address class imbalance, and incorporates a weighted hybrid Transformer network to enhance modeling of complex geographic features. integrated machine learning-based landslide susceptibility with numerical runout modeling to provide an LSM method for the Bhotekoshi watershed, overcoming the limitations of traditional models that focus solely on statistical susceptibility. Bayesian networks describe probabilistic dependencies among variables using a joint probability distribution (). The max-min hill-climbing (MMHC) algorithm is a widely used Bayesian network method (). MMPC-Tabu, Fast.iamb-Tabu, and Inter.iamb-Tabu are hybrid algorithms that improve MMHC with Tabu search (). However, few studies have examined the effectiveness of Bayesian networks for LSM, making this an important direction for future research (Wu RZ. et al., 2025).

A key challenge in LSM is the uncertainty associated with non-landslide sample selection. Traditional selection methods often produce inaccurate susceptibility maps due to limitations in spatial representativeness and sample reliability (Wang et al., 2026). introduced a novel framework combining multiple sampling, ensemble learning, and statistical analysis, generating N sets (N = 1, 10, 100, 500, 1,000) of random non-landslide samples to comprehensively assess the impact of sampling uncertainty on LSM. constructed 12 scenarios (three landslide sample types combined with four machine learning models) to assess the sensitivity of LSM to different non-landslide sampling strategies. Xu et al. (2025) creatively proposed an optimized non-landslide sampling method for the Wanzhou section of the Three Gorges Reservoir, China, selecting non-landslide samples from points with ground deformation rates between -5 mm/yr and +5 mm/yr in very-low susceptibility areas. Zhai et al. (2025) proposed an improved information quantity method for assessing landslide susceptibility in Yongfeng, South China, where non-landslide samples were randomly generated in very-low and low susceptibility areas at least 1,200 m away from any landslide sample. Although these non-landslide sample selection methods have significantly improved the accuracy of LSM results, precisely defining non-landslide samples remains a major challenge (). On the one hand, if only a single attribute is controlled, such as sampling from areas with a slope gradient <5°, the resulting samples have homogeneous characteristics, which may bias the assessment of factor importance (). On the other hand, the stability of some selected non-landslide samples varies; they have simply not experienced sliding during a specific period and may still be susceptible to failure under extreme conditions in the future. Absolute labeling fails to reflect this continuity (). Continuing to conduct research on non-landslide sample selection based on existing studies is of great significance for further improving LSM accuracy.

Geological environmental characteristics and landslide mechanisms vary considerably across regions, and the logical structures of mathematical models also differ. Consequently, the optimal LSM model for a given area cannot be known in advance and must be determined through comparative studies (). Bayesian networks reveal direct and indirect causal relationships between landslides and hazard factors through directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) and conditional probability tables (CPTs), identifying parent nodes and mutual feedback nodes of landslides (). The sampling strategy for non-landslide samples has an even greater impact on the accuracy of LSM than the choice of machine learning model itself. This paper applied three improved Bayesian network-based algorithms (MMPC-Tabu, Fast.iamb-Tabu, and Inter.iamb-Tabu) for LSM in the study area, selected the optimal algorithm based on multiple evaluation metrics, and revealed the influence of each hazard factor on landslide occurrence. In addition, a novel non-landslide sample selection method was proposed, and its effectiveness in improving LSM accuracy was validated. The research flowchart is shown in Figure 1.

FIGURE 1

2 Research area and data

2.1 Research area overview

Gangu County is in southeastern Gansu Province, China, within the transitional zone between the Longxi Loess Plateau and the Qinling Mountains. It lies between 104°58′-105°31′E and 34°31′-35°03′N, covering a total area of 1,572.6 km2, as shown in Figure 2.

FIGURE 2

The region experiences a continental monsoon climate, with an average annual precipitation of 437.3 mm. Rainfall occurs predominantly from July to September, accounting for 51% of the annual total, and exhibits significant interannual variability. The terrain is generally higher in the south and lower in the north, with an average elevation of 1,972 m, ranging from 1,228 m to 2,716 m, giving a relative elevation difference of 1,488 m (Wu YY. et al., 2025). The southern part, formed by the western extension of the Qinling Mountains, is a low-to-medium mountain area underlain by bedrock; the northern part consists of remnant ranges of the Liupan Mountains, characterized by loess hilly and gully terrain. The total river length is 131.1 km, with the Weihe River flowing across the entire region from west to east as the main watercourse. Prolonged fluvial incision has created an undulating landscape of ridges, hillocks, gullies, and valleys. The alluvial plains along the Weihe River are relatively flat, forming a geomorphic pattern of “extensive mountains and limited valleys”. Groundwater in the area consists of unconsolidated rock pore water and clastic rock pore-fissure water, with valley phreatic water serving as the main water supply source ().

Gangu County lies at the convergence zone of multiple structural systems, where neotectonic movements are active, characterized by pronounced differential vertical uplift and subsidence. Exposed strata range from the Proterozoic to the Cenozoic, displaying diverse rock and soil types. Quaternary loess and Neogene red claystone, along with sandy conglomerate, constitute the most significant landslide-prone strata. The loess is widely distributed, characterized by well-developed vertical joints and a loose structure. The major rock groups in the area can be categorized into five types (

):

  • Hard, massive igneous and metamorphic rocks: distributed in the southern Qinling Mountains, including lithologies such as granite, gneiss, and marble.

  • Interbedded soft and hard clastic rocks: including sandstones and shales from the Permian and Triassic.

  • Weak red beds: Neogene claystone and sandy conglomerate, which are prone to softening upon contact with water and represent strata with a high incidence of landslides.

  • Loose Quaternary deposits: including aeolian loess and alluvial-proluvial deposits, which serve as source materials for collapses, landslides, and debris flows.

  • Hard carbonate rocks: distributed with relatively weak karst development.

The geological structure of Gangu County is complex and exhibits strong tectonic activity. The regional structural lineation is generally oriented northwest-west (NWW), consistent with the course of the Weihe River. Folds and faults are well developed, particularly the nearly east-west trending fault zones distributed along both banks of the Weihe River ().

2.2 Research data

The data used in this paper are shown in Table 1.

TABLE 1

DataSource and download addressResolution
Landsat 8 OLI lower truncationU.S. Geological survey (https://www.usgs.gov/landsat-missions/landsat-8-oli-lower-truncation)15 m
Digital elevation model (DEM)Geospatial data cloud (http://www.gscloud.cn/)30 m
Land use dataTsinghua university geospatial database (http://data.ess.tsinghua.edu.cn/)30 m
Fault data of gansu provinceGeological expertise service system (http://geol.cgl.org.cn/index.html)1: 500,000
Precipitation data of gangu countyCHINA meteorological data service center (https://data.cma.cn/)5 km × 5 km
Geological disaster data of gangu countyNational cryosphere desert data center (https://www.ncdc.ac.cn/portal/)30 m

Data used for LSM.

2.3 Landslides of Gangu County

To provide training and validation datasets for LSM, landslides were identified through remote sensing interpretation and field surveys in Gangu County (Wu et al., 2026). The data used were Landsat 8 OLI Lower Truncation images, acquired on 2025-10-09 (02:42:12).

2.3.1 Pre-processing of the remote sensing image

Raw Landsat 8 OLI Lower Truncation images typically contain geometric and radiometric distortions. To correct geometric deformation and radiation changes, ENVI 5.6 was used for pre-processing, including boundary cropping, atmospheric calculation, radiometric calibration, FLAASH correction, and NNDiffuse pan sharpening fusion (

). The specific steps are as follows:

  • The original image was cropped to the boundary of Gangu County to facilitate subsequent operations.

  • The Modular Transfer Function (MODTRAN) was used to calculate atmospheric contributions and estimate atmospheric conditions based on image metadata, improving the accuracy of subsequent applications such as feature classification and change detection.

  • After radiometric calibration and FLAASH correction, the image resolution remained low. NNDiffuse pan sharpening fusion was applied to extract richer surface information and enhance the image’s visualization and analytical capabilities. The pre-processed image is shown in Figure 3.

FIGURE 3

2.3.2 Establishment of interpretation signs

Landslide remote sensing identification is a technique for extracting landslide-related information from remote sensing images through human-computer interaction and visual interpretation (

Zheng et al., 2025

). A key step is establishing interpretation signs that reflect the differences between a landslide and its surrounding geological background. The landslide interpretation signs used in this paper are as follows:

  • Landform signs: local landform inconsistency with the overall landform, and abrupt disruption of continuous landform features.

  • Morphological signs: clearly visible landslide shape and boundary, typically manifested as special planar shapes such as annular, elliptical, or arcuate forms.

  • Tone and color: continuous changes in surface cover color. Poor plant cover results in light coloration, while the sliding mass remains well preserved ().

2.3.3 Landslide remote sensing interpretation results

Areas matching the above interpretation signs were extracted using e-Cognition 9.0 software. Combined with field surveys, a total of 124 landslides were identified. The results show that Gupo Town has the highest number of landslides (33). The total volume of landslides in Gangu County is 12,923,641 m3, and the total area is 2,645,940 m2. The largest landslide is in Gupo Town, with a volume of 241,346 m3 and an area of 37,418 m2. The DEM of the research area was resampled into 10 m×10 m grids using ArcGIS 10.2, resulting in a total of 15,726,358 grids, of which 26,468 correspond to landslide grids. The landslides in Gangu County are shown in Figure 2 and Table 2.

TABLE 2

No.LocationVolumeAreaNo.LocationVolumeAreaNo.LocationVolumeAreaNo.LocationVolumeArea
1Gupo town21110m35124m232Gupo town97473m319652m263Xiejiawan town86709m324153m294Jinshan town20,482 m34032m2
2Gupo town19363m33415m233Gupo town27537m34378m264Xiejiawan town51113m310326m295Jinshan town118424m332714m2
3Gupo town23114m35942m234Wujiahe town148335m338429m265Xiejiawan town204812m332981m296Jinshan town74564m316985m2
4Gupo town63944m310264m235Wujiahe town145071m326915m266Xiejiawan town91784m317124m297Jinshan town169132m328961m2
5Gupo town177479m338921m236Wujiahe town47337m310473m267Xiejiawan town111452m329563m298Jinshan town71017m311473m2
6Gupo town58620m315674m237Wujiahe town144150m336128m268Xiejiawan town52982m311987m299Jinshan town170454m337628m2
7Gupo town170148m328453m238Wujiahe town138438m322807m269Xiejiawan town219122m337845m2100Jinshan town75789m320319m2
8Gupo town174070m340201m239Wujiahe town63362m315342m270Xiejiawan town136970m322491m2101Jinshan town95264m315984m2
9Gupo town54829m39123m240Wujiahe town23287m34129m271Xiejiawan town63158m315672m2102Jinshan town125690m329367m2
10Gupo town101081m325786m241Wujiahe town128659m334586m272Liufeng town230331m341278m2103Jinshan town54345m38465m2
11Gupo town172405m333542m242Wujiahe town115142m317963m273Liufeng town25431m36892m2104Xiping town161239m331248m2
12Gupo town86729m317809m243Wujiahe town130703m329841m274Liufeng town159452m334815m2105Xiping town87152m322637m2
13Gupo town15511m34215m244Wujiahe town42739m38235m275Liufeng town123914m319763m2106Xiping town82376m317792m2
14Gupo town233882m336890m245Daxiangshan town118200m331270m276Liufeng town134389m326248m2107Xiping town205010m335841m2
15Gupo town125574m329547m246Daxiangshan town110744m323714m277Liufeng town52253m313679m2108Xiping town79347m312476m2
16Gupo town72045m313268m247Daxiangshan town103681m316589m278Liufeng town180326m338124m2109Xiping town155453m338195m2
17Gupo town152868m340123m248Daxiangshan town218537m339952m279Liufeng town128343m320835m2110Xiping town85227m321468m2
18Gupo town35906m35867m249Daxiangshan town26365m36743m280Liufeng town94960m317456m2111Xiping town56310m310257m2
19Gupo town153160m331975m250Daxiangshan town137049m328316m281Liufeng town126434m331928m2112Xiping town166429m334529m2
20Gupo town125164m324736m251Daxiangshan town125734m320478m282Liufeng town59937m314237m2113Xiping town118465m318864m2
21Gupo town35715m39042m252Daxiangshan town64080m312765m283Xinxing town236323m339987m2114Panan town134984m326943m2
22Gupo town241346m337418m253Daxiangshan town130841m335749m284Xinxing town150083m323561m2115Panan town47051m313329m2
23Gupo town98216m321305m254Daxiangshan town39974m39318m285Xinxing town48463m310842m2116Panan town11125m32456m2
24Gupo town25671m34862m255Daxiangshan town151537m327304m286Xinxing town141305m336419m2117Panan town19847m35321m2
25Gupo town125731m335219m256Daxiangshan town92563m314623m287Xinxing town95145m318123m2118Panan town61113m310254m2
26Gupo town68682m316834m257Daxiangshan town184434m339158m288Xinxing town128787m327756m2119Panan town79269m318521m2
27Gupo town169402m329107m258Xiejiawan town82894m321587m289Xinxing town77879m312894m2120Panan town61124m39521m2
28Gupo town77515m312543m259Xiejiawan town32275m35489m290Xinxing town138577m335172m2121Panan town13152m32549m2
29Gupo town177049m339876m260Xiejiawan town152846m336742m291Xinxing town102727m319346m2122Panan town13659m33548m2
30Gupo town27301m37521m261Xiejiawan town120362m318836m292Xinxing town127487m326783m2123Panan town24140m35214m2
31Gupo town187824m332894m262Xiejiawan town159405m330479m293Xinxing town97237m315029m2124Panan town32915m310254m2

Landslides in gangu county.

Landslide No. 1 in Table 2 is provided as an example. This landslide is in Jiacang Village, Gupo Town, with a width of approximately 112.3 m, a height of about 87.2 m, and a slope gradient of 76°. The depth of the sliding surface ranges from 2.8 m to 5.1 m. The landslide mass consists of typical Quaternary loess with medium collapsibility, covering an area of 5,124 m2 with a volume of 21,110 m3. A large-scale sliding occurred in August 2022, followed by small-scale collapses during each subsequent rainy season. The surface of the landslide mass is exposed, with almost no vegetation cover. Groundwater seeps from the lower part of the landslide mass year-round, and the moisture content is significantly higher than in the upper part. Currently, cracks are developing at the rear scarp and on both sides of the landslide mass. Although the cracks on the sides and rear scarp have not yet connected, they are wide and have become infiltration pathways for surface water and groundwater. Under the influence of heavy rainfall, a large-scale sliding is highly likely to occur again, as shown in Figure 4.

FIGURE 4

2.4 Screening of hazard factors

Landslide hazard factors include slope gradient, elevation, slope aspect, land use, lithology, distance from fault, distance from river, distance from road, plane curvature, profile curvature, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), topographic wetness index (TWI), sediment transport index (STI) and stream power index (SPI) ().

Plane curvature represents the bending of a point on the ground surface along its contour line, i.e., the horizontal curvature component. Profile curvature is the rate of elevation change along the direction of maximum descent, i.e., the vertical curvature component (Yilmaz, 2009). NDVI assesses vegetation condition by calculating the reflectance difference between visible and near-infrared bands (). TWI reflects the influence of regional topography on runoff flow and accumulation, quantifying topographic control over basic hydrological processes. SPI represents the erosive capacity of surface water flow and can be used to identify strong flow paths formed by water convergence and locations where gully erosion may occur. STI is a comprehensive topographic variable indicating the extent of surface sand and other materials transported by water flow (). The calculation methods for NDVI, TWI, SPI and STI are shown in Equations 14.where: NIR is the near-infrared band reflectance; Red is the red band reflectance; As is the upstream area of surface water flowing per unit contour length, calculated from the cumulative confluence area and upstream flow length; β is the surface gradient.

2.4.1 Correlation analysis

In Bayesian networks, an excessive number of nodes increases the complexity of structure learning, and landslide hazard factors are not completely independent (). To eliminate correlation among hazard factors and improve modeling efficiency, Pearson correlation coefficients (δxy) were calculated for 12 quantitative hazard factors using SPSS 23.0, as shown in Figure 5.

FIGURE 5

Four pairs of hazard factors exhibited δxy > 0.4: STI with slope gradient; TWI with distance from fault; TWI with distance from river; and distance from river with plane curvature. Therefore, STI, TWI and distance from river were excluded.

2.4.2 Single-factor logistic regression

Single-factor logistic regression is a generalized linear model that assesses the individual association between each factor and the outcome variable, thereby screening for statistically significant factors for subsequent analysis (). This method was further used to screen landslide hazard factors, with calculations performed using SPSS 23.0. The results are shown in Table 3.

TABLE 3

Hazard factorβ1ORP
Slope gradient2.1453.4980.034
Elevation1.2552.5440.018
Slope aspect−0.0650.5810.022
Land use0.0540.8320.035
Lithology2.6411.8490.127
Distance from fault−3.4160.0480.012
Distance from road−2.6440.0340.047
Plane curvature1.7890.8240.096
Profile curvature2.0450.9120.034
NDVI−0.8120.7230.037
SPI2.4583.4200.046

Single factor logistic regression results.

Where: β1 is the regression coefficient: positive values indicate that the probability of the event increases with the independent variable, while negative values indicate the opposite; OR (Odds Ratio) represents the multiplicative change in the odds of the event for each one-unit increase in the independent variable; p is the significance value, with p < 0.05 indicating a statistically significant individual association between the independent variable and the outcome variable (). As the p-values for lithology and plane curvature were 0.127 and 0.096, respectively, these two hazard factors were excluded. It should be particularly noted that although lithology is crucial to landslide formation, the assessment model cannot reflect regional differences in the effect of lithology on landslide occurrence because the land surface in the study area is entirely covered by Quaternary loess. This is the main reason for the exclusion of lithology.

2.4.3 Variance inflation factor analysis

Variance inflation factor (VIF) is a measure of the severity of complex collinearity in multiple linear regression models. It represents the ratio of the variance of the regression coefficient estimator to the variance when the independent variables are assumed not to be linearly correlated. When the correlation between independent variables is very low, VIF is close to 1. The larger the VIF, the larger the collinearity. VIF > 10 means there is a serious collinearity problem in the variables, and VIF is shown in Equation 5.where: Ri2 is the correlation coefficient of xi for regression analysis of the other variables.

SPSS23.0 was used to test the collinearities of the 9 remaining hazard factors, and the results are shown in Table 4.

TABLE 4

Hazard factorSlope gradientElevationSlope aspectLand useDistance from faultDistance from roadProfile curvatureNDVISPI
VIF2.4583.0172.7212.3263.7121.4885.4781.2542.659

VIF analysis results.

The VIF of each hazard factor is <10, and the collinearity is low. Consequently, the finally selected landslide hazard factors include: slope gradient, elevation, slope aspect, land use, distance from fault, distance from road, profile curvature, NDVI and SPI.

2.5 Classification of hazard factors

Slope aspect was classified into Plane, North (337.5°–22.5°), Northeast (22.5°–67.5°), East (67.5°–112.5°), Southeast (112.5°–157.5°), South (157.5°–202.5°), Southwest (202.5°–247.5°), West (247.5°–292.5°) and Northwest (292.5°–337.5°). Land use was classified into Cropland, Forest, Grassland, Water body, Built-up land and Unused land. The global minimum variance method was applied to classify the remaining seven quantitative hazard factors. Using slope gradient as an example, the calculation process is as follows:

  • Determine the slope gradient for all 15,726,358 grids in the research area, and arrange all grids in descending order of slope gradient.

  • Set the number of classifications (cn) and breakpoints Di, and calculate the within-class variance for each class as well as the total sum of variances (Vara).

  • Perform a global search for cn and Di using MATLAB R2024b to determine the combination that minimizes Vara.

In this paper, cn was initially set to 5, with initial breakpoints at 18°, 36°, 54° and 72°. The results show that when cn = 8 and the breakpoints are 5.111°, 9.756°, 13.705°, 17.422°, 21.371°, 26.017°, 32.521° and 59.236°, Vara is minimized, representing the optimal number of classifications and breakpoints, as shown in Table 5 and Figure 6.

TABLE 5

Hazard factorClassification
Slope gradient/°0–5.111; 5.111–9.756; 9.756–13.705; 13.705–17.422; 17.422–21.371; 21.371–26.017; 26.017–32.521; 32.521–59.236
Elevation/m1,191–1,380; 1,380–1,522; 1,522–1,636; 1,636–1745; 1745–1863; 1863–2053; 2053–2,311; 2,311–2,693
Distance from fault/m0–4,163.795; 4,163.795–8471.170; 8471.170–12778.544; 12,778.544–17085.919; 17,085.919–21393.294; 21,393.294–25844.247; 25,844.247–30438.780; 30,438.780–36612.684
Distance from road/m0–234.960; 234.960–610.896; 610.896–1,080.815; 1,080.815–1,621.223; 1,621.223–2,255.615; 2,255.615–3171.958; 3171.958–4,323.262; 4,323.262–5991.478
Profile curvature−3.519 to −0.579; −0.579 to −0.285; −0.285 to −0.109; −0.109–0.038; 0.038–0.156; 0.156–0.361; 0.361–0.744; 0.744–3.978
NDVI−0.200–0.165; 0.165–0.237; 0.237–0.274; 0.274–0.320; 0.320–0.368; 0.368–0.436; 0.436–0.519; 0.519–0.760
SPI−13.815 to −9.365; −9.365 to −5.126; −5.126 to −0.994; −0.994–0.278; 0.278–1.444; 1.444–3.033; 3.033–5.682; 5.682–13.206
Slope aspectPlane; north; northeast; east; southeast; south; southwest; west; northwest
Land useCropland; forest; grassland; water body; built-up land; unused land

Hazard factor classification results.

FIGURE 6

3 Methodology

3.1 Bayesian network

A Bayesian network uses a joint probability distribution to describe probabilistic dependencies among variables (). Given a set of random variables X = {X1, …, Xn}, their joint probability P (X1, …, Xn) can be represented as a Bayesian network B=(G, θ), where G is a DAG. In this graph, nodes correspond to random variables, and directed edges represent probabilistic dependencies. A directed edge from Xi to Xj indicates that Xi is a parent of Xj, and Xj is a child of Xi. θ represents the CPTs, which quantify the relationship between each variable and its parents. Constructing a Bayesian network involves three steps: (1) identifying relevant variables and their possible values; (2) obtaining an optimal network structure using machine learning algorithms (structure learning); and (3) computing the CPTs for each node (parameter learning) ().

3.1.1 Structure learning

Structure learning aims to determine the DAG of a Bayesian network by analyzing dependencies among variables. This task is considerably more difficult than parameter learning because the number of possible DAGs grows super-exponentially with the number of nodes. Structure learning methods fall into two categories: constraint-based and score-based. Constraint-based methods use conditional independence tests to decide whether an edge should exist between two variables. Their theoretical foundation is the Markov property of Bayesian networks, which states that each node is conditionally independent of its non-descendants given its parents. Conversely, if two variables are not directly connected by an edge, they should be conditionally independent given some other set of variables. The most classical constraint-based algorithm is the Peter-Clark algorithm ().

Score-based methods formulate structure learning as an optimization problem. They define a scoring function that measures how well a given graph structure fits the observed data and then search the space of possible graphs to maximize this score. The most widely used scoring functions are the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) and the Bayesian Dirichlet equivalent uniform (BDeu) score. Due to the vast space of possible DAGs, heuristic search strategies are essential; the most popular is hill climbing. To overcome local optima, hill climbing is often combined with random restarts (i.e., initiating the search from multiple different starting graphs) or with Tabu search (i.e., forbidding the algorithm from revisiting recently explored graphs) ().

Hybrid methods typically outperform pure constraint-based methods because the subsequent scoring phase can correct errors from independence tests, and they are faster than pure score-based methods due to a drastically reduced search space (). A representative hybrid algorithm is MMHC. The MMHC algorithm consists of two stages. In the first stage, a max-min heuristic search strategy is employed. Specifically, the MaxMinHeuristic function obtains the Candidate Parents and Children (CPC) set for each variable (). This function calculates the minimum association value between the target node T and every other node, and then selects the node corresponding to the maximum of these minimum association values to be included in the CPC. The first stage terminates when, given all subsets of the CPC, the remaining nodes are all independent of T. In the second stage, the Ind(X; T|Z) function removes any nodes from the CPC that were erroneously included in the first stage. If node X and target node T are independent given a conditioning set Z, then X is removed from the CPC. The Ind(X; T|Z) function returns true if X and T are conditionally independent given Z.

3.1.2 Parameter learning

Two fundamental methods exist for parameter estimation in Bayesian networks: maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and Bayesian estimation ().

3.1.2.1 Maximum likelihood estimation

Maximum likelihood estimation assumes that X1, X2, X3, X4 are samples drawn from X (Wu et al., 2020). The joint distribution of X1, X2, X3, X4 is given by Equation 6.where: θ is the parameter to be estimated, θΘ, and Θ is the parameter space (the range of possible values of θ).

Let x1, x2, …, xn be the observed sample values corresponding to X1, X2, …, Xn. The probability that the sample X1, X2, …, Xn takes the specific observations x1, x2, …, xn is given by Equation 7.

L (θ) is the likelihood function of the sample. Maximum likelihood estimation seeks to fix the sample observations x1, x2, … xn and select the parameter value Θ that maximizes L(θ), as expressed in Equation 8.

3.1.2.2 Bayesian estimation

Bayesian estimation treats θ as a random variable and computes its posterior probability distribution. A prior probability distribution P(θ) is chosen to summarize prior knowledge about θ. The effect of the observed data X=(X1, X2, …, Xn) is then summarized by the likelihood function . The prior distribution and the likelihood function are combined using Bayes’ formula to obtain the posterior distribution (). Bayes’ theorem and Bayesian estimation are shown in Equations 9, 10, respectively.

3.1.3 Improvement of the MMHC algorithm

MMPC-Tabu, Fast.iamb-Tabu and Inter.iamb-Tabu are improved algorithms based on MMHC. Their core idea is to use constraint-based algorithms to identify the CPC for each node, thereby greatly reducing the search space. Then, with the candidate set as a constraint, Tabu search is performed within the reduced space to find a DAG that optimizes the network score.

3.1.3.1 MMPC-Tabu

MMPC (max-min parents and children) is the core algorithm used in the skeleton discovery phase of MMHC. The MMPC-Tabu algorithm consists of three stages (Zhong et al., 2022):

Forward selection: The max-min heuristic is applied to progressively add candidate nodes to the CPC until no further node can pass conditional independence tests.

Backward elimination: For each node in the CPC, it is checked whether it is conditionally independent of T given the other nodes in the CPC. If yes, the node is removed from the CPC.

Tabu search: A Tabu List is maintained to record the most recently visited network structures or recently performed operations (e.g., add edge, delete edge, reverse edge).

The initial parameters used in constructing the MMPC-Tabu framework are shown in Table 6.

TABLE 6

ParameterAlphaTabuScoreRestartBlacklistTestWhitelistmax.sx
Value0.0510Bic-g10NULLCor (continuous variables), mi (discrete variables)NULLNULL

Initial parameters of the MMPC-Tabu framework.

3.1.3.2 Fast.iamb-Tabu

Fast.iamb (fast incremental association Markov blanket) belongs to the IAMB algorithm family. Its core idea is to construct the Markov blanket incrementally. The main difference between Fast.iamb and MMPC lies in the heuristic: Fast.iamb employs a maximum association heuristic (typically using mutual information or absolute correlation coefficient) instead of the max-min heuristic. That is, at each step it simply selects the node most strongly associated with T, without considering the minimum association over all conditional subsets as in MMPC (). The initial parameters used in constructing the Fast.iamb-Tabu framework are shown in Table 7.

TABLE 7

ParameterAlphaTestDirectionScoreTabuRestartBlacklistWhitelistOptimized
Value0.05Cor (continuous variables), mi (discrete variables)FALSEBic-g1010NULLNULLTRUE

Initial parameters of the Fast.iamb-Tabu framework.

3.1.3.3 Inter.iamb-tabu

Inter.iamb is also based on the IAMB framework but improves upon classic IAMB’s tendency to accumulate false positives. It adopts an interleaved procedure: after each forward-selection step that adds one variable, a backward-elimination step is immediately performed. This allows false positives to be identified and removed early, preventing them from contaminating subsequent selection steps. Consequently, Inter.iamb-Tabu is more robust than Fast.iamb-Tabu, especially when the sample size is small or when complex dependencies exist among variables (Zhou et al., 2022). The initial parameters used in constructing the Inter.iamb-Tabu framework are shown in Table 8.

TABLE 8

ParameterAlphaTestDirectionScoreTabuRestartBlacklistWhitelistOptimized
Value0.05Cor (continuous variables), mi (discrete variables)FALSEBic-g1010NULLNULLTRUE

Initial parameters of the Inter.iamb-Tabu framework.

3.2 Establishment of training and validation datasets

A 10 m×10 m grid unit was adopted as the basic unit for LSM. The research area contained a total of 15,726,358 grids, of which 26,468 corresponded to landslide grids. An additional 26,468 non-landslide grids were randomly selected to construct the training and validation datasets. The procedure for selecting non-landslide grids using ArcGIS 10.2 was as follows.

  • A total of 310,518 grids were excluded, comprising the 26,468 landslide grids from 124 landslides and all grids within 100 m of any landslide. This left 15,415,840 grids for further selection.

  • Using the reclassification function in ArcGIS 10.2, the remaining 15,415,840 grids were divided into 26,468 spatially contiguous groups. The first 26,467 groups each contained 582 grids, and the 26,468th group contained 12,046 grids.

  • One grid was randomly selected from each of the 26,468 groups, avoiding group boundaries and locations with abrupt topographic changes.

70% of the landslide samples (18,528) and 70% of the non-landslide samples (18,528) were randomly selected as the training dataset, with the remaining 30% of landslide samples (7,940) and 30% of non-landslide samples (7,940) serving as the validation dataset.

3.3 Selection of the optimal modeling method

Multiple assessment metrics were used to select the optimal modeling method, including Accuracy, Precision, Recall, F1-Score, the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) (). The calculation methods are shown in Equations 1115.where: TP is the number of landslide grids correctly predicted, FP is the number of landslide grids incorrectly predicted, TN is the number of non-landslide grids correctly predicted, FN is the number of non-landslide grids incorrectly predicted.

4 Research results

The MMPC-Tabu, Fast.iamb-Tabu and Inter.iamb-Tabu algorithms were trained using the training dataset. The trained models were then applied to the validation dataset to compute output values for each sample. The modeling hardware environment consisted of a CPU i7-6700 processor, 8 GB RAM and a GTX1050 Ti-8G graphics card; the software environment was the Bayesian network learning package in R3.5.0.

In the ROC curve, the x-axis is the FPR and the y-axis is the Recall. The ROC curves for the three algorithms are shown in Figure 7. The calculated values of TP, FP, TN, FN, Accuracy, Precision, Recall, F1-Score and AUC are shown in Table 9.

FIGURE 7

TABLE 9

ParameterTPFPTNFNAccuracyPrecisionRecallF1-scoreAUC
MMPC-tabu7,2027387,0488920.897,3550.907,0530.889,7950.898,3410.893
Fast.iamb-tabu7,3465947,1068340.910,0760.925,1890.898,0440.911,4140.912
Inter.Iamb-tabu7,4185227,2237170.921,9770.934,2570.911,8620.922,9240.927

Assessment metric calculation results.

Considering all assessment metrics, the Inter.iamb-Tabu algorithm achieved the best modeling performance, followed by Fast.iamb-Tabu, while MMPC-Tabu performed the worst.

The trained MMPC-Tabu, Fast.iamb-Tabu and Inter.iamb-Tabu algorithms were used to calculate the probabilities of landslide occurrence for 15726358 grids in the research area. Although the study area is prone to landslides, the landslide area accounts for only 0.168% of the total area. Based on historical hazard experience and natural conditions, the area of regions that are extremely prone to landslides generally does not exceed 10% of the total area (). On the other hand, from the perspective of landslide prevention and control, to improve the efficiency of limited resources (), the delineated High and Extreme susceptible areas should not be too large. Therefore, the probabilities were classified into five levels (from low to high) so that the area percentages of Minimal, Minor, Medium, High and Extreme susceptible areas were 40%, 30%, 15%, 10% and 5%, respectively. The resulting landslide susceptibility maps are shown in Figure 8. The distribution of landslide grids across susceptible levels is shown in Table 10.

FIGURE 8

TABLE 10

Susceptible levelsMMPC-tabuFast.iamb-tabuInter.iamb-tabu
Number of landslide gridsProportion of landslide gridsNumber of landslide gridsProportion of landslide gridsNumber of landslide gridsProportion of landslide grids
Minimal susceptible areas308,2361.96%133,6740.85%97,5030.62%
Minor susceptible areas1,481,4239.42%1,181,0497.51%965,5986.14%
Medium susceptible areas1,975,23112.56%1,923,33412.23%1,858,85711.82%
High susceptible areas3,903,28224.82%3,764,89023.94%3,172,00620.17%
Extreme susceptible areas8,058,18651.24%8,723,41155.47%9,632,39461.25%

Distribution of landslide grids across susceptible levels.

Based on the optimal Inter.iamb-Tabu algorithm, the Minimal, Minor, Medium, High and Extreme susceptible areas accounted for 0.62%, 6.14%, 11.82%, 20.17% and 61.25% of the total research area, respectively, and among the 124 landslides, the numbers falling into these susceptible levels were 1, 4, 11, 26 and 82, respectively. Topographically, the High and Extreme susceptible areas are mainly distributed in the loess hilly region, the steep front margins of thick loess layers on the northern and southern mountains, and the secondary and tertiary gullies of the Weihe River valley (e.g., Goumen Village in Gupo Town, Yijiawan in Jinshan Town and Maiduiping in Liufeng Town). Lithologically, they are primarily distributed in areas where Quaternary loess and Neogene red sandstone and claystone are exposed.

5 Discussions

5.1 Relationship between landslide and hazard-prone environment

Based on the DAG and CPTs generated by the Inter.iamb-Tabu algorithm, the relationship between landslide and element of the hazard-prone environment is analyzed, as shown in Figure 9.

FIGURE 9

The DAG comprises 10 nodes (nine hazard factor nodes and one terminal node), their corresponding CPTs, and 15 directed edges. Slope gradient, elevation, land use and distance from fault are parent nodes of landslide, exerting direct triggering effects on landslide occurrence. For example, slope gradient is classified into eight grades: Grade I (0°–5.111°), Grade II (5.111°–9.756°), Grade III (9.756°–13.705°), Grade IV (13.705°–17.422°), Grade V (17.422°–21.371°), Grade VI (21.371°–26.017°), Grade VII (26.017°–32.521°) and Grade VIII (32.521°–59.236°), with conditional probabilities of 0.0396, 0.0526, 0.0845, 0.1039, 0.1693, 0.2051, 0.3172 and 0.0278, respectively, indicating that landslides are most likely to occur when slope gradient falls within the range of 26.017°–32.521°. Profile curvature and NDVI serve as mutual feedback nodes with respect to landslides. In addition to directly triggering landslides, landslide occurrence can also drive the evolution of the hazard-prone environment, thereby altering profile curvature and NDVI. Slope aspect, distance from road and SPI exhibit mutual feedback relationships with other hazard factors and play an indirect role in landslide occurrence. For instance, distance from road can induce changes in slope gradient and slope aspect and slope aspect can subsequently influence land use, thereby triggering landslides.

5.2 Comparison of non-landslide sample selection methods

Traditional methods for selecting non-landslide samples often produce inaccurate landslide susceptibility maps due to limitations in spatial representativeness and sample reliability. To validate the non-landslide sample selection method proposed in

Section 4.2

, two traditional methods were employed to select non-landslide samples, and the Inter.iamb-Tabu algorithm was used for modeling. The calculated assessment metrics are shown in

Table 11

.

  • Traditional Method 1: Based on field surveys, 26,468 non-landslide grids were randomly selected from areas outside landslide grids.

  • Traditional Method 2: Based on remote sensing interpretation results, 26,468 non-landslide grids were randomly selected from areas with annual surface deformation between −2 mm and 2 mm.

TABLE 11

MethodTPFPTNFNAccuracyPrecisionRecallF1-scoreAUC
Method in Section 4.27,4185227,2237170.921,9770.934,2570.911,8620.922,9240.927
Traditional method 17,2846567,0828580.904660.917380.894620.905,8570.907
Traditional method 27,3655757,1867540.916310.927,5820.907,1310.917,2430.922

Assessment metrics of different methods.

The method proposed in Section 4.2 significantly outperforms Traditional Methods 1 and 2. The underlying reason is that although the traditional methods avoid the misclassification of landslide grids, they restrict certain hazard factors to specific value ranges, thereby losing generalizability. For example, Traditional Method 1 selects non-landslide grids based on field surveys, which cannot cover deep mountainous areas characterized by high slope gradient, high elevation and high NDVI. However, high values of slope gradient, elevation and NDVI do not necessarily lead to landslides. As another example, in Traditional Method 2, areas with large surface deformation are not necessarily landslide-prone zones; rockfalls, debris flows and land subsidence can also cause significant surface deformation.

6 Conclusion

This paper compared MMPC-Tabu, Fast.iamb-Tabu and Inter.iamb-Tabu for LSM in Gangu County and further assessed an optimized non-landslide sampling strategy. By combining a landslide inventory derived from remote-sensing interpretation and field survey with nine screened hazard factors, an interpretable Bayesian-network-based LSM framework was established. The main conclusions are as follows:

  • Among the three algorithms, Inter.iamb-Tabu showed the best predictive performance for LSM in the research area, indicating stronger robustness and discrimination ability than MMPC-Tabu and Fast.iamb-Tabu. The five susceptible levels, Minimal, Minor, Medium, High and Extreme, accounted for 0.62%, 6.14%, 11.82%, 20.17% and 61.25% of the total research area, respectively. Topographically, these high-risk areas were mainly distributed in loess hilly region, steep loess front margins of thick loess layers on the northern and southern mountains, and the secondary and tertiary gullies of the Weihe River valley; lithologically, they were primarily underlain by Quaternary loess and Neogene red sandstone and claystone.

  • The learned DAG and CPTs revealed direct and indirect causal relationships between landslides and hazard factors. Slope gradient, elevation, land use and distance from fault were parent nodes of landslide and exerted direct triggering effects. Profile curvature and NDVI served as mutual feedback nodes with landslides, whereas slope aspect, distance from road and SPI mainly exerted indirect effects by interacting with other hazard factors. These interpretable results enhance the physical plausibility of the susceptibility model.

  • The proposed non-landslide sampling method significantly improved LSM accuracy. The spatially stratified random sampling method was compared with the field-survey-based method and the surface-deformation-based method. The proposed method yielded better results, outperforming the field-survey-based method (AUC = 0.907) and the surface-deformation-based method (AUC = 0.922). This demonstrates that the proposed strategy effectively preserves spatial representativeness and reduces contamination from landslide-affected areas.

  • The proposed framework is effective and transferable for LSM in loess and mountainous terrains. The integration of the Inter.iamb-Tabu algorithm with the proposed non-landslide sampling strategy provides a robust, interpretable, and generalizable methodology for LSM. This framework addresses two key issues, algorithm selection and sampling uncertainty, and can support geohazard mitigation and land-use planning in regions with similar geological and geomorphological settings. It should be noted that the proposed non-landslide sampling strategy selects a buffer zone of 100 m, and comparative studies based on buffer zones of 50 m, 150 m, or 200 m will be addressed in future papers.

Statements

Data availability statement

The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/supplementary material, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.

Author contributions

ZM: Investigation, Project administration, Software, Writing – original draft. CY: Data curation, Investigation, Project administration, Software, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review and editing.

Funding

The author(s) declared that financial support was received for this work and/or its publication. This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 51808327) and the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province (Grant No. ZR2019PEE016).

Conflict of interest

The author(s) declared that this work was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Generative AI statement

The author(s) declared that generative AI was not used in the creation of this manuscript.

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Summary

Keywords

Bayesian network, hazard factor, Inter.iamb-Tabu algorithm, landslide susceptibility assessment, non-landslide sampling

Citation

Ma Z and Yin C (2026) Landslide susceptibility mapping based on Inter.iamb-Tabu algorithm considering non-landslide sampling. Front. Earth Sci. 14:1873654. doi: 10.3389/feart.2026.1873654

Received

06 May 2026

Revised

25 May 2026

Accepted

25 May 2026

Published

17 June 2026

Volume

14 - 2026

Edited by

Hui Lu, Ningbo University, China

Reviewed by

Wenchao Huangfu, Henan Academy of Sciences, China

Xin Zhou, Chongqing Jiaotong University, China

Updates

Copyright

*Correspondence: Chao Yin,

Disclaimer

All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.

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