Abstract
Background:
Postoperative complications remain a significant challenge, especially in settings where healthcare access and infrastructure disparities exacerbate. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to determine the pooled incidence and risk factors of postoperative complications among patients undergoing essential surgery in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA).
Method:
PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, Web of Science, and Google Scholar were searched from January 2010 to November 2022 for completed studies reporting the incidence and risk factors associated with postoperative complications among patients undergoing essential surgery in SSA. Severity of postoperative complications was ranked based on the Clavien-Dindo classification system, while risk factors were classified into three groups based on the Donabedian structure-process-outcome quality evaluation framework. Studies quality was appraised using the JBI Meta-Analysis of Statistics Assessment and Review Instrument (JBI-MAStARI), and data were analyzed using Comprehensive Meta-Analysis (CMA) software. The study protocol adhered to the PRISMA guidelines and was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42023414342).
Results:
The meta-analysis included 19 studies (10 cohort and 9 cross-sectional) comprising a total of 24,136 patients. The pooled incidence of postoperative complications in SSA was 20.2% (95% CI: 18.7%–21.8%), with a substantial heterogeneity of incidence observed. The incidence varied from 14.6% to 27.5% based on the Clavien-Dindo classification. The random-effects model indicated significant heterogeneity among the studies (Q = 54.202, I = 66.791%, p < 0.001). Contributing factors to postoperative complications were: structure-related factors, which included the availability and accessibility of resources, as well as the quality of both the surgical facility and the hospital.; process-related factors, which encompassed surgical skills, adherence to protocols, evidence-based practices, and the quality of postoperative care; and patient outcome-related factors such as age, comorbidities, alcohol use, and overall patient health status.
Conclusion:
The meta-analysis reveals a high frequency of postoperative complications in SSA, with noticeable discrepancies among the studies. The analysis highlights a range of factors, encompassing structural, procedural, and patient outcome-related aspects, that contribute to these complications. The findings underscore the necessity for targeted interventions aimed at reducing complications and improving the overall quality of surgical care in the region.
Systematic Reviews Registration:
https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/, identifier (CRD42023414342).
Introduction
Surgery is an essential aspect of healthcare globally, playing a significant role in preventing, diagnosing and treating various medical conditions (1). Emergency and essential surgical care, according to the World Health Organization, refers to the provision of surgical services that are crucial for addressing life-threatening conditions, preventing disability, and improving overall health outcomes in a community or population (2). However, postoperative complications remain a significant challenge, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where healthcare access and infrastructure disparities exacerbate (3).
Quality of surgical care is crucial for optimal patient outcomes. Quality of care refers to healthcare services that meet patient needs and expectations while achieving desired health outcomes (4). The Donabedian quality model examines healthcare quality using three elements: structure, process, and outcome (5). To provide appropriate care, it is necessary to have sufficient access to staff, equipment, and facilities. Research has shown that a shortage of these resources is linked to a higher incidence of postoperative complications (6, 7). A high-quality process involves promptly recognizing and managing complications, and utilizing the best techniques to minimize them (8). A high-quality outcome in the context of healthcare, particularly in surgery, refers to achieving the best possible results for the patient following a procedure or treatment (9). By evaluating these elements, the Donabedian model assesses the quality of care for post-operative complications, reflecting the overall quality of care offered.
Post-operative complications refer to adverse events or outcomes that occur as a result of a surgical procedure. Surgical complications can encompass a wide range of issues, including infections, bleeding, organ damage, adverse reactions to anesthesia, wound complications (such as dehiscence or hernias), blood clots, and surgical errors (10).
Surgical patients in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) confront formidable hurdles stemming from deficient healthcare facilities, scarce resources, inadequate infrastructure, and insufficient professional training, all of which elevate the risk of postoperative complications and exacerbate the burden of surgical diseases in the region (11). However, comprehensively understanding these challenges is impeded by the lack of standardization in data collection and reporting, as well as by variations in study populations and settings. This inconsistency hinders accurate assessment of complication prevalence and severity, complicating efforts to address these issues effectively (12).
Therefore, a comprehensive synthesis of the available literature is necessary to identify common patterns and risk factors for postoperative complications in SSA. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to provide a comprehensive overview of the aggregated incidence and risk factors of postoperative complications among surgical patients in SSA.
Methods
Study design
The protocol for this systematic review and meta-analysis has been registered at the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) database, ID: CRD42023414342, and adhered to the PRISMA guidelines for the design and reporting of the results.
Search strategy
PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, Web of Science, and Google Scholar were searched from January 2010 to November 2022 for completed studies that reported the incidence and risk factors of postoperative complications among patients undergoing Emergency & essential surgery in SSA. The year 2010 marked a pivotal period where significant attention was drawn to the burden of surgical disease in sub-Saharan Africa, as highlighted in existing literature (13). Additional studies were searched manually from reference lists of some important articles. Controlled medical subject headings (MeSHs) terms and keywords words were used in different combinations using Boolean Operators. The keywords included surgery, postoperative, incidence, risk, and sub-Saharan Africa.
Eligibility criteria
PICOS (participants, interventions, comparison, outcomes, and study designs) design was used to establish the eligibility criteria.
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Participants: Patients of any age in SSA undergoing essential surgery.
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Intervention: Emergency and Essential surgery, which was referred to, based on the WHO guidelines (11), as a set of surgical procedures that are considered crucial for addressing substantial health needs.
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Comparison: Articles with or without a comparator were eligible.
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Outcomes: Primary outcome: incidence of postoperative complications, with the severity of the surgical complications ranked based on the Clavien Dindo classification system (14). Secondary outcome: risk factors for postoperative complications which are categorized into three groups based on the Donabedian structure-process-outcome framework for evaluation of quality of healthcare and services.
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Study design: No restrictions on study designs.
The classification of outcomes was conducted by the authors of the manuscript during the study's methodology and data analysis phases.
Studies were excluded if done outside SSA, carried out in animal models, not reported in the English language, or were non-empirical publications such as reviews, editorials, commentaries, or conference abstracts.
Study selection
Two independent authors screened the titles and abstracts of identified studies based on selection criteria and using a standardized form that guided their evaluation process. Studies that were duplicates or did not meet the inclusion criteria in the initial title and abstract searches were excluded and full texts of the remaining studies were further evaluated. Any disagreements between the authors were resolved through discussions. Mendeley Desktop Version 1.19.8 software was used to control potential duplicates.
Data extraction
The Joanna Briggs Institute Meta-Analysis Of Statistics Assessment And Review Instrument (JBI-MAStARI) was used to extract descriptive data from the included articles. The data extracted include surname of the first author, year of publication, country, study population, sample size, data collection method(s), outcome measures, data analysis, and any study limitations reported by the author.
Assessment of risk of bias
Studies that matched the inclusion criteria were appraised using the JBI System for the Unified Management, Assessment, and Review of Information (JBI-SUMARI) tool (15). The JBI-MAStARI was used to evaluate studies with quantitative evidence. The evaluation was conducted by two independent reviewers. The appraisal tool had nine risk of bias questions that the reviewers used to score each article as low (0–3), moderate (4–6), or high quality (15).
Heterogeneity was evaluated using standard statistical tests (chi-square and I2) and subgroup analysis if statistical pooling was not feasible.
Statistical analysis
Comprehensive Meta-Analysis (CMA) software was used to do the meta-analysis. Effect sizes were expressed as event rates for categorical data with a 95% confidence interval (CI). The study's outcomes of interest were measured as categorical or continuous variables, and odds ratios or regression coefficients were collected, along with data on potential confounding factors.
Results
Characteristics of included studies
A total of 1,927 potentially relevant records were identified in the initial search of the databases, of which 1,868 remained after removing 59 duplicates. After title and abstract screening, 1,764 studies were excluded and the remaining 104 articles were analyzed in full-text, of which 19 met the inclusion criteria and were included in the final analysis (Figure 1).
Figure 1
The table summarizes the characteristics of the 19 articles included in a meta-analysis conducted across various countries in sub-Saharan Africa between 2007 and 2021. Out of the 19 included articles, nine were cross-sectional studies, with three of the nine rated as high quality. Nine of the studies used systematic random sampling to select participants, while the remaining articles followed a cohort study design, with five out of ten rated as high quality. The samples taken were representative, and outcomes were measured using structured questionnaires. The outcomes focused on postoperative complications, mortality, and surgical site infections across neurosurgery, trauma surgery, and abdominal surgery. All studies controlled for confounding factors and employed various statistical tests for data analysis. Limitations identified included potential selection bias, poor follow-up, and generalizability concerns, highlighting the challenges and considerations in the studies (Table 1).
Table 1
| No | 1st author, year of publication | Aim(s) and study design & type of hospital | Country & year of study | Population & sample size | Data collection method (s), & tools | Outcome measure & type of surgery | Measures of quality & data analysis | Limitations identified by the author(s) | Quality score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Abaver et al. (16) | Determine etiology and incidence of hospital-acquired infections and their associated risk factors following neurosurgical procedures; multi-center, cross-sectional | South Africa; October 2013–September 2014 | All inpatients who had had a neurosurgical procedure at & *1,688 | Electronic data extraction tool | Surgical site infection & neurology | Chi-square | Not stated | M |
| 2. | Botchey et al. (17) | Quantify the burden of injuries and patient outcomes; prospective cohort, single center | Kenya; January 2014–June 2015 | Patients presenting at the emergency department with at least 1 injury & *8,701 | Paper based Structured questionnaire based on International Classification of Diseases codes | In-hospital death & Trauma | Bivariate and multivariate logistic regressions | Potential selection bias due to single hospital-based trauma registry; low utilization of formal medical services likely underestimates the number of injured patients; prehospital deaths likely missed due to transportation | M |
| 3. | Derseh et al. (18) | Assess results after surgery for intestinal obstruction; hospital-based, multi-center, cross-sectional | Ethiopia; 01 January 2014–31 December 2017 | All patients surgically treated for intestinal obstruction *254 | Structured data abstraction sheet (from medical chart) | Postoperative complication(Dehiscence, SSI, Pneumonia, Shock and Death | Bivariate LR & MVLR | Not stated | M |
| 4. | Grema et al. (19) | Provide an overview of the spectrum of typhoid ileal perforation cases and their outcome; cross-sectional, single center | Nigeria; January–December 2016 | All patients admitted with typhoid ileal perforation & *471 | Data abstraction sheet from chart | Postoperative complication, gastro intestinal | Not specified; Fisher's exact test | Generalizability | M |
| 5. | Henry et al. (20) | Investigate the association between elevated serum lactate and outcomes following major abdominal surgery; cohort, single center | Uganda; March–November 2020 | All patients admitted for major abdominal surgery & *246 | Structured paper based data abstraction form | In hospital mortality, gastero intestinal | Not specified; logistic regression | Random error at the time of sampling | H |
| 6. | Hernandez et al. (21) | Externally validate grading system in patients with appendicitis; multicenter, cohort | South Africa; 2010–2016 | Patients with acute appendicitis & *1,415 patients | Semi-structured questionnaire | Post-operative complication, gastero intestinal | Mortality and POC; Uni and Multivariate analysis | Generalizability to LMIC population | H |
| 7. | Legesse et al. (22) | Identify risk factors associated with in-hospital postoperative complications; multi-center, cohort | Ethiopia; 27 May–22 August 2017 | Pediatric patients undergoing surgery & *2,048 | Pretested paper based data collection tool | Incidence of in-hospital postoperative complications, gastero intestinal | Bivariate LR,MVLR,X2 or Fisher's exact tests, t-test or Manne_Whitney U-test | Not stated | H |
| 8. | Mawalla et al. (23) | Establish the prevalence, pattern, and predictors of surgical site infection; cross-sectional, single center | Tanzania; July 2009–March 2010 | All patients who underwent major surgery in surgical wards & *265 | Paper based standardized data abstraction form | Incidence of surgical site infection, gastero-Intestinal | BVLR & MVLR | Low participation rate, poor follow-up | M |
| 9. | Onen et al. (24) | Evaluate performance of SAS in predicting outcomes in patients undergoing laparotomy; single-center & cohort | Uganda; January–April 2021 | Adult patients undergoing laparotomy & *151 | Structured data abstraction sheet (from medical chart) & telephone | Post-operative complication, gastero intestinal | Bivariate LR & MVLR | Over-estimation of study variable | H |
| 10. | Muchuweti and Jönsson (7) | Prospectively determine frequency and risk factors for abdominal SSIs; multi-center, cohort | Zimbabwe; May 2007–June 2008 | All patients above 15 years undergoing elective or emergency abdominal operations & *285 | Interviewer-administered structured questionnaire (telephone) | Incidence of SSI & Gastero Intestinal | Bivariate LR & MVLR | Not stated | M |
| 11. | Osinaike et al. (25) | Determine post-operative complications, critical care admissions, and mortality following elective surgery; multi-center, cohort | Nigeria; July 9–16 2018 | Admitted patients undergoing elective surgery with a planned overnight hospital stay following surgery & *1,425 | Paper case record form | In-hospital postoperative complications & mortality | Bivariate LR & MVLR | Not stated | M |
| 12 | Torborg et al. (26) | Identify risk factors associated with in-hospital postoperative complication; multi-center, cohort | South Africa; 22 May–22 August 2017 | Pediatrics patients (aged <16yrs) undergoing surgery & *2,048 | Interviewer-administered structured questionnaire | Incidence of in-hospital postoperative complication, gastro intestinal | Bivariate LR MVLR,X2 or Fisher's exact tests, t-test or Manne_Whitney U-test | H | |
| 13. | Mohamed et al. (27) | Investigate the time interval from emergency department presentation to TBI management interventions for patients presenting with TBI; single-center, cross-sectional | Uganda; 2016–2017 | All patients presenting to the emergency department with suspected or documented TBI & 3,944 | Data abstraction sheet from chart and Semi-structured questionnaire | Time of first intervention delivery & neurology | Pearson's χ2, &logistic regression | Selection bias, generalizability | H |
| 14. | Ntudu et al. (28) | Determine the relationships among the causes, characteristics, patterns and outcomes of abdominal injury patients undergoing operations; cohort | Tanzania; August 2016–August 2017 | All patients undergoing operations with a diagnosis of abdominal trauma & *210 | Electronic (ODK) Pre-tested questionnaire | Outcome of surgical intervention, gastero intestinal | Bivariable analysis Multivariable analysis. | Selective bias, &small sample size | H |
| 15. | Weldu et al. (11) | Assess prevalence and associated factors of surgical site infections; cross-sectional | Ethiopia; 02 February–31 March 2016 | All post-operative patients & *281 | Interviewer-administered Piloted questionnaire (Papeer form) | Surgical site infection | Bivariable analysis; Multivariable analysis. | Single hospital generalizability Recall bias and social desirability bias | H |
| 16 | Mangi et al. (29) | to identify risk factors associated with in-hospital postoperative complication & multi-center cohort study design | South Africa & Jan 22, 2017, and Jun 22, 2019 | Pediatrics patients undergoing surgery & *432 | Face to face interview | incidence of in-hospital postoperative complication, gastero Intestinal | Bivariate LR MVLR | Prone to recall bias | H |
| 17 | Sincavage et al. (9) | Identify risk factors associated with in-hospital postoperative complication in patients with appendicitis; multicenter, cohort | Tanzania; July–September 2016 | Patients with acute appendicitis & *734 patients | Data abstraction sheet from chart and Semi-structured questionnaire | Post-operative complication, gastero intestinal | Mortality and POC, Univariate and Multi analysis | Generalizability | H |
| 18. | Laeke et al. (30) | Assess the pattern of CS rates according to the Robson classification and describe maternal and perinatal outcomes; multicenter, ohort | Ethiopia; 02 September–31 March 2018 | All post-operative patients & *381 | Interviewer-administered structured questionnaire | Surgical site infection | Bivariable analysis Multivariable analysis. | Single hospital, generalizability, &recall and social desirability biases | H |
| 19. | Kintu et al. (31) | Assess results after surgery for intestinal obstruction in a hospital; multi-center, cross-sectional | Mali; 01 January 2014–31 December 2019 | All patients surgically treated for intestinal obstruction *354 | Paper based Data (Sociodemographic and clinical) abstraction sheet from chart | Postoperative complication, gastero intestinal | Bivariate LR & MVLR | Not stated | M |
Characteristics of the studies included in the review.
Represents the sample size of the included article.
POC, post-operative complication.
The records of studies excluded in the full-text reviews with underlying reasons are summarized in Supplementary File S1. Findings from methodological quality assessment of the cross-sectional and cohort studies included in the meta-analysis are summarized in Table 2.
Table 2
| First author, year of publication | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q5 | Q6 | Q7 | Q8 | Q9 | Q10 | Q11 | Overall quality of the study |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cross-sectional studies | ||||||||||||
| Weldu et al. (11) | N | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | 7/8 (High) | |||
| Abaver et al. (16) | N | Y | Y | Y | U | N | Y | Y | 5/8 (Moderate) | |||
| Derseh et al. (18) | N | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | 7/8 (High) | |||
| Grema et al. (19) | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | N | Y | Y | 7/8 (High) | |||
| Mawalla et al. (23) | Y | Y | Y | Y | U | N | N | Y | 6/8 (Moderate) | |||
| Mangi et al. (29) | N | Y | Y | N | Y | N | Y | Y | 6/8 (Moderate) | |||
| Sincavage et al. (9) | Y | Y | Y | Y | U | N | N | Y | 6/8 (Moderate) | |||
| Osinaike et al. (25) | Y | N | Y | Y | N | Y | Y | Y | 6/8 (Moderate) | |||
| Mohamed et al. (27) | N | Y | Y | Y | N | Y | Y | Y | 6/8 (Moderate) | |||
| # studies achieved compliance | 4 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 9 | ||||
| Cohort studies | ||||||||||||
| Botchey et al. (17) | N | Y | Y | Y | Y | N | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | 9/11 (High) |
| Henry et al. (20) | N | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | 9/11 (High) |
| Hernandez et al. (21) | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | N | Y | Y | 7/11 (Moderate) |
| Legesse et al. (22) | N | Y | Y | Y | N | Y | Y | Y | N | Y | Y | 7/11 (Moderate) |
| Muchuweti and Jönsson (7) | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | N | Y | Y | N | Y | Y | 7/11 (Moderate) |
| Torborg et al. (26) | N | Y | N | Y | Y | N | Y | Y | N | Y | Y | 7/11 (Moderate) |
| Ntudu et al. (28) | Y | Y | N | Y | N | Y | Y | Y | N | Y | Y | 7/11 (Moderate) |
| Kintu et al. (31) | N | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | 9/11 (High) |
| Onen et al. (24) | Y | Y | N | Y | N | Y | Y | Y | N | Y | Y | 7/11 (Moderate) |
| Laeke et al. (30) | Y | N | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | 9/11 (High) |
| # studies achieved compliance | 5 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 10 | |
Methodological quality assessment of cross-sectional and cohort studies.
Criteria were adapted from the JBI Critical Appraisal Checklist for descriptive/case series research. For Cross sectional studies: (1) was the study based on a random or pseudo-random sample? (2) Were the criteria for inclusion in the sample clearly defined? (3) Were confounding factors identified and strategies to deal with them stated? (4) Were outcomes assessed using objective criteria? (5) If comparisons were being made, was there sufficient description of the groups? (6) Were the outcomes of people who withdrew described and included in the analysis? (7) Were outcomes measured in a reliable way? (8) Was appropriate statistical analysis used? High quality: meets ≥7 criteria, Moderate quality: meets ≥4 criteria, Low quality: <4 criteria.
For Cohort studies: (1) were the two groups similar and recruited from the same population? (2) Were the exposures measured similarly to assign people to both exposed and unexposed groups? (3) Was the exposure measured in a valid and reliable way? (4) Were confounding factors identified? (5) Were strategies to deal with confounding factors stated? (6) were the groups/participants free of the outcome at the start of the study (or at the moment of exposure)? (7) Were the outcomes measured in a valid and reliable way? (8) Was the follow up time reported and sufficient to be long enough for outcomes to occur? (9) Was follow up complete, and if not, were the reasons to loss to follow up described and explored? (10) Were strategies to address incomplete follow up utilized? (11) Was appropriate statistical analysis used? Each item was rated Y = Yes, N = No or U = Unclear. Unclear was awarded where not enough information was provided. Cut-off points for determining the quality of the study are as follows:—Low quality: Score of 0–3—Moderate quality: Score of 4–6 and High quality: Score of 7–9.
Incidence of postoperative complications
In the meta-analysis of the nineteen studies, a total of 24,136 patients were included, with 2,372 experiencing postoperative complications after undergoing essential surgery. The overall incidence of postoperative complications was calculated to be 20.2% (95% CI: 18.7%–21.8%) using the random-effects model, showing significant heterogeneity among the studies. The incidence ranged from 14.6% to 27.5% based on the Clavein-Dindo classification system (Figure 2).
Figure 2
Donabedian quality measures
Nineteen studies utilized the Donabedian quality model to evaluate healthcare quality using the three dimensions of structure, process, and outcome across diverse settings. Among 19 studies, fourteen (73.6%) evaluated the structure and process, 12 (80%) evaluated Process relate factor seventeen (89.5%) and nineteen (100%) articles were Outcome related factors evaluated the process. The studies focus on a range of topics, including surgical site infections, postoperative complications, mortality, risk factors for poor outcomes, and predictors of in-hospital death.
The identified factors have been categorized into three groups—structure, process, and outcomes—based on the Donabedian framework for the evaluation of the quality of healthcare and services. Overview of the statistically significant factors identified in the studies (Table 3).
Table 3
| First Author, year of publication | Factors contributing to postoperative complications | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Structure-related factors: Healthcare system factors, including availability and accessibility of resources, staffing, quality of surgical facility | Process-related factors: Factors related to the surgical process itself, including surgical skill, use of evidence-based practices, adherence to established protocols, quality of postoperative care | Patient outcome-related factors: Patient's overall health status, comorbidities, age, and other individual characteristics that may impact the outcome of the surgery | |
| Abaver et al. (16) | Prolonged stay in the hospital (>30 days) | Patient age | |
| Botchey et al. (17) | Mechanisim of injury & prehospital care | Use of drain; Use of iodine alone in skin preparation; Duration of operation ≥3 h, | Presence of pre-morbid illness(Cigarette smoking & longer prehospital times, and severe injury severity scores |
| Derseh et al. (18) | Admission path (from emergecy deprt,) & rocess of diagnosis and initial management duration of illness, and preoperative diagnoses | Preoperative diagnosis Gangrenous small bowel & | Age group of ≥55 & Duration of illness of ≥24 |
| Grema et al. (19) | Need for ICU admission & availablity of emergency case operating room separately | Type of surgery (Emergency laparotomy) | High-SAS category |
| Henry et al. (20) | Pre-surgical antibiotics & avialblity of safety protocol | Duration between diagnosis & surgery for emergencies (days); Longer than a day; Duration of surgery >1.5 h | Age >18 years & Presence of Comorbidities |
| Hernandez et al. (21) | Reduced access to advanced imaging techniques | inability of power prognostic clinical decision making tools (Alvarado score) & Greater than 3 days of preoperative symptoms | late presentation of patient & presence of peritonitis at admission |
| Legesse et al. (22) | Preoperative hospital stays more than 7 days | Duration of operation more than 1 h; Administering antimicrobial prophylaxis before 1 h of operation | Patients charactersitcs (Age, Sex) & Presence of comorbidities |
| Mawalla et al. (23) | Availablity Essential surgical equipments and supplies | Use of drain; Use of iodine alone in skin preparation; Duration of operation ≥3 h | Presence of pre-morbid illness (Cigarette smoking |
| Onen et al. (24) | Interrupted or poor referral linkage between health facilities | delays in making diagnosis and surgical intervention & Anesthesia related | Patients charactersitcs (Age, Sex) & High SAS classification, Presence of comorbidities |
| Torborg et al. (26) | Turn over of trained manpower and hospital infrastructure (beds, OR light and table) | Urgency of surgery Routine; Severity of surgery (major) &Identification of risk factors for perioperative complications | ASA physical status; Infective indication for surgery |
| Mohamed et al. (27) | Availability of CT-scan & staffing trained manpower | Duration of operation >1.5 h | Patients charactersitcs (Age, Sex) & Presence of comorbidities |
| Ntudu et al. (28) | Mode of transport to hospital & Mechanism of injury | Severe injury on the NISS | |
| Weldu et al. (11) | Post-operative hospital stays from 8 to 14 days | Use of local anesthesia; Dirty incision classification | Patients charactersitcs (Age, Sex) & Presence of comorbidities & History of alcohol use |
| Osinaike et al. (25) | Emergency surgery & surgical checklist uses | Age of patient >35 years & pre-existing comorbidity | |
| Muchuweti and Jönsson (7) | Length of hospital stay Duration & Time of detection of SSI and type of bacteria & Length of operation Duration | Urgency of surgery Routine; Severity of surgery (major) & prophylactic antibiotics | ASA physical status II |
| Sincavage et al. (9) | Postoperative disposition &Postoperative length of stay | Patients charactersitcs (Age, Sex) & Presence of comorbidities & ASA physical status classification | |
| Laeke et al. (30) | deficits within both prehospital and hospital care | length of hospital stay | Age, and admission GCS score, |
| Mangi et al. (29) | Interruption of miniblood bank | Demographic characteristics (age,) & Pre-operative anaemia | |
| Traut et al. (34) | Duration of operation & adherance to safety checklist | Patients charactersitcs (Age, Sex) & Presence of comorbidities | |
Summary of the statistically significant risk factors of postoperative complications in Sub-saharan Africa.
ICU, intensive care uni; CT, computerized tomograph; SAS, Surgical Apgrar Scor; ASA, American Society of anesthesiologist; NISS, new injury severity score.
Structure-related factors
Among the nineteen studies, seventeen clearly have pinpointed structural factors that influence surgical procedures. The identified factors encompass various aspects of both prehospital and hospital care (25). These include the mechanism of injury, Patient admission path(direct from emergency department to Operating room or Surgical ward/unit), and the process of diagnosis and initial management (17). Factors like the duration of illness, preoperative diagnoses, and the need for ICU admission were also highlighted (19) Moreover, the availability of emergency case operating rooms, pre-surgical antibiotics, and essential surgical equipment were crucial considerations (20, 29). Issues such as reduced access to advanced imaging techniques, interrupted referral linkages between health facilities, and turnover of trained manpower contribute to deficits in care. Additionally, factors like staffing of trained manpower, mode of transport to the hospital, and the length of post-operative hospital stays further impact patient outcomes. Detection time of surgical site infections, types of bacteria involved, and the duration of operations also play significant roles in determining outcomes (22, 32).
Process-related factors
Among the nineteen studies, seventeen clearly delineate process-related factors influencing surgical outcomes. Prolonged hospital stays exceeding 30 days and the implementation of specific procedures such as drains and iodine skin preparation emerge as prevalent risk factors for postoperative complications (16, 33). Factors like preoperative diagnosis of gangrenous small bowel, emergency laparotomy, and extended time between diagnosis and surgical intervention were identified as contributors to adverse outcomes (21). Additionally, the administration of antimicrobial prophylaxis within one hour of operation was recognized as a significant risk factor, Urgency and severity of surgery, operation duration surpassing 1.5 h, the use of local anesthesia, and dirty incision classification further underscore the complexity of adverse process-related outcomes (34).
Patient outcome-related factors
All included studies have highlighted different risk factors influencing surgical outcomes and leading to postoperative complications (16, 18). Notably, patient age has emerged as a common factor, with individuals aged 35 years or older, at higher risk of complications (23) Additionally, pre-existing illnesses and comorbidities significantly contribute to adverse effects (23, 28). Factors such as smoking and a history of alcohol use was linked to increased postoperative complication risks (30). Other significant contributors include the presence of peritonitis upon admission, pre-anesthesia medical comorbidities classified by the ASA Physical Status Classification System, and severe injury defined by the New Injury Severity Score (26), Moreover, the use of drains during surgery and iodine alone in skin preparation was associated with elevated complication risks following abdominal surgery (16, 33).
Heterogeneity
The random-effects model indicated significant heterogeneity among the studies (Q-value = 54.202, p < 0.001, I-squared = 66.791%), demonstrating that the variation in effect sizes was not purely random. The Tau-squared value of 0.029 indicated a substantial degree of heterogeneity among the studies.
Subgroup analysis
The pooled incidence of postoperative complications based on the Clavein-Dindo classification system in the seven cross-sectional studies was 20.8% (95% CI: 18.6%–23.2%), while the pooled incidence in the remaining cohort studies was 19.7% (95% CI: 17.6%–21.9%). The difference in incidence between the two study designs was statistically significant (p = 0.001). Therefore, the type of study design appears to be a significant source of heterogeneity (Figure 3).
Figure 3
Sensitivity analysis
The results showed that no individual study significantly affected the overall incidence estimate of post-operative complications by more than 1%, indicating that our results were robust and not driven by a single study.
Publication bias
The funnel plot revealed asymmetry pinpointed to the left (Figure 4), suggesting a potential publication bias in the included studies. To further investigate this, Egger's test was conducted, yielding a significant result (p < 0.339), providing additional evidence for the absence of publication bias.
Figure 4
Discussion
Postoperative complications are adverse events that occur after surgery and can significantly impact a patient's recovery and outcome. According to this meta-analysis, these complications may be influenced by patient-related factors such as age, pre-morbid illness, smoking, alcohol use, and severity of injury, as well as process-related factors such as duration of operation, use of drains, skin preparation, antimicrobial prophylaxis, and type of surgery.
Structure-related factors
Structure-related factors within healthcare systems play a pivotal role in shaping surgical outcomes, encompassing various elements such as resource availability, staffing levels, and the quality of surgical facilities. Our analysis underscores the significant impact of these factors on patient care and the overall success of surgical interventions.
The mechanism of injury and pre-hospital care set the stage for subsequent treatment outcomes. Adequate pre-hospital care, including timely assessment and stabilization of patients, is crucial in optimizing outcomes and minimizing the risk of complications upon hospital admission (35, 36). However, deficits in pre-hospital care, such as delays in transport or inadequate emergency medical services, can impede timely access to surgical intervention and exacerbate patient outcomes (37).
The admission path from the emergency department to the operating room or surgical unit is another critical determinant of surgical outcomes. Efficient processes for triage, diagnosis, and initial management are essential in expediting care delivery and facilitating prompt surgical intervention when indicated (38). However, interruptions or delays in this pathway can prolong the time to surgery and increase the risk of adverse outcomes (38).
The availability of resources, including access to intensive care units (ICUs) and emergency case operating rooms is paramount in ensuring timely and appropriate surgical care. Adequate staffing levels and the presence of trained manpower are essential for delivering high-quality surgical services and responding effectively to surgical emergencies (39). Similarly, the availability of essential surgical equipment and supplies is vital in facilitating safe and efficient surgical procedures (9).
Challenges such as interrupted or poor referral linkages between health facilities can hinder access to specialized care and delay surgical intervention, particularly in rural or underserved areas (40, 41). Moreover, high turnover rates of trained manpower and inadequate hospital infrastructure pose significant challenges to maintaining consistent surgical services and may contribute to variations in care quality (42, 43).
Access to advanced imaging techniques, such as computed tomography (CT) scans, is essential for accurate preoperative evaluation and surgical planning (44). However, reduced access to these resources may limit diagnostic capabilities and hinder the timely identification of surgical conditions, potentially leading to delayed or suboptimal treatment.
Postoperative care, including the duration of hospital stays and the detection of surgical site infections (SSIs), also reflects structural factors within healthcare systems (44). Prolonged hospital stays may indicate underlying issues such as inadequate postoperative care or challenges in discharge planning. Similarly, delays in SSI detection may stem from deficiencies in infection control measures or limited access to diagnostic resources (45).
Process-related factors
Process-related factors play a critical role in determining surgical outcomes, encompassing various aspects of the surgical process itself. Factors such as surgical skill, adherence to established protocols, and the use of evidence-based practices are fundamental in ensuring the success of surgical interventions (46, 47). However, our analysis highlights several specific process-related factors that significantly impact postoperative complications.
Prolonged hospital stays exceeding 30 days emerged as a notable risk factor for adverse outcomes. Extended hospitalization not only increases the risk of nosocomial infections but also reflects underlying systemic issues in healthcare delivery, such as delayed discharge planning and inadequate postoperative care (46, 47).
The use of drains and iodine alone in skin preparation during surgery has also been associated with increased postoperative complications. While drains are often employed to prevent fluid accumulation and facilitate wound healing, their indiscriminate use may introduce the risk of infection and other complications (48, 49). Similarly, the use of iodine alone in skin preparation, rather than more comprehensive preoperative skin antisepsis methods, may predispose patients to surgical site infections (50).
Furthermore, the duration of the operation emerged as a significant determinant of postoperative complications. Operations lasting more than three hours pose inherent challenges, including prolonged exposure to anaesthesia and increased surgical stress, which can heighten the risk of adverse outcomes (50).
Preoperative factors, such as the diagnosis of gangrenous small bowel and the necessity for emergency laparotomy, also contribute to adverse surgical outcomes. These conditions often require urgent surgical intervention, leaving little time for thorough preoperative optimization and increasing the complexity of the procedure, thereby elevating the risk of complications (50).
Additionally, delays in making diagnoses and interventions, particularly in emergency settings, exacerbate the risk of adverse outcomes. Prompt recognition and timely intervention are crucial in mitigating the progression of surgical conditions and preventing complications associated with delayed treatment (51).
Anesthesia-related factors, such as the choice of anesthesia and adherence to safety protocols, also influence surgical outcomes. Local anesthesia may offer advantages in certain procedures but must be carefully selected based on patient factors and procedural requirements to minimize complications (52).
The urgency and severity of surgery, as well as the use of prophylactic antibiotics, are further determinants of postoperative complications. Routine surgeries may carry lower inherent risks compared to major or emergency procedures, while the timely administration of prophylactic antibiotics is essential in preventing surgical site infections and reducing the overall risk of complications (53).
Postoperative disposition and length of hospital stay also impact patient outcomes. Efficient postoperative care and discharge planning are crucial in facilitating patient recovery and reducing the risk of complications associated with prolonged hospitalization (54).
Patient outcome-related factors
Patient outcome-related factors play a crucial role in determining the success of surgical interventions, encompassing various individual characteristics such as overall health status, comorbidities, age, and other demographic factors (55). Our analysis highlights the significance of these factors in predicting surgical outcomes and guiding patient management strategies.
Advanced age has consistently emerged as a significant predictor of surgical outcomes, with individuals aged 35 years and above being at higher risk of adverse events. The presence of pre-morbid illnesses, including factors such as cigarette smoking, longer pre-hospital times, and severe injury severity scores, further compounds the risk of postoperative complications (56).
Patients with comorbidities, such as pre-existing medical conditions or a high severity of illness as indicated by the High-SAS category, are particularly vulnerable to adverse surgical outcomes (57). Additionally, late presentation of patients, especially those with symptoms of peritonitis upon admission, poses challenges in timely intervention and may exacerbate postoperative morbidity and mortality rates (58).
Demographic characteristics, including age and sex, interact with the presence of comorbidities to influence surgical outcomes. Notably, older patients with pre-existing comorbidities are at heightened risk, underscoring the importance of comprehensive preoperative evaluation and risk stratification in this population (10).
The American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status classification system provides valuable insights into patients' overall health status and perioperative risk, with higher ASA classifications correlating with increased complication rates (10). Similarly, the New Injury Severity Score (NISS) serves as a predictor of postoperative outcomes, reflecting the severity of traumatic injuries and guiding treatment decisions (10).
Other patient-related factors, such as a history of alcohol use, pre-operative anemia, and admission Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, further contribute to the complexity of surgical risk assessment (10). Understanding these factors and their interplay is essential for tailoring treatment plans and optimizing patient outcomes.
Conclusion
Our meta-analysis highlights the prevalence of postoperative complications affecting 20.2% of essential surgery procedures in Sub-Saharan countries.
Structural factors significantly influence surgical outcomes and patient care delivery. Addressing challenges related to resource availability, staffing, infrastructure, and care coordination is essential to optimize surgical services and improve patient outcomes. By investing in robust healthcare systems and implementing strategies to overcome barriers, policymakers and healthcare providers can enhance the quality and accessibility of surgical care.
Recognizing and addressing process-related factors are crucial for optimizing surgical outcomes. Prioritizing evidence-based practices, adhering to established protocols, and implementing comprehensive perioperative care strategies can effectively minimize the risk of postoperative complications and enhance patient safety and satisfaction.
Patient outcome-related factors play a pivotal role in shaping surgical outcomes and should be meticulously considered in preoperative assessment and perioperative management. By identifying high-risk patients, implementing evidence-based interventions, and fostering multidisciplinary collaboration, healthcare providers can mitigate the impact of these factors and elevate the overall quality of surgical care.
Statements
Data availability statement
The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/Supplementary Material, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.
Author contributions
DY: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal Analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Software, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. TM: Software, Supervision, Validation, Writing – review & editing. DD: Software, Supervision, Validation, Writing – review & editing. DK: Software, Supervision, Validation, Writing – review & editing.
Funding
The author(s) declare that financial support was received for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
The work was supported by St. Paul’s Hospital Millennium Medical College, Ethiopia. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the St. Paul’s Hospital Millennium Medical College or the University of Oslo.
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
Publisher’s note
All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.
Supplementary material
The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/frhs.2024.1353788/full#supplementary-material
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Summary
Keywords
quality measure, essential surgery, postoperative complications, meta-analysis, Sub-Saharan Africa
Citation
Yadeta DA, Manyazewal T, Demessie DB and Kleive D (2024) Incidence and predictors of postoperative complications in Sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Front. Health Serv. 4:1353788. doi: 10.3389/frhs.2024.1353788
Received
30 January 2024
Accepted
17 April 2024
Published
09 May 2024
Volume
4 - 2024
Edited by
Kelly Smith, University of Toronto, Canada
Reviewed by
Helen Higham, University of Oxford, United Kingdom
Nicholas Meo, University of Washington Medical Center, United States
Charles Vincent, University of Oxford, United Kingdom
Updates
Copyright
© 2024 Yadeta, Manyazewal, Demessie and Kleive.
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
*Correspondence: Daniel Aboma Yadeta daniel.aboma@sphmmc.edu.et
Disclaimer
All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.