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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Mar. Sci.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Marine Science</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Mar. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">2296-7745</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fmars.2022.929355</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Marine Science</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Original Research</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Assisted Natural Recovery: A Novel Approach to Enhance <italic>Diadema antillarum</italic> Recruitment </article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Hylkema</surname>
<given-names>Alwin</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn001"><sup>*</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1771875"/>   
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Debrot</surname>
<given-names>Adolphe O.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/197320"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>van de Pas</surname>
<given-names>Esther E.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Osinga</surname>
<given-names>Ronald</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/607554"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Murk</surname>
<given-names>Albertinka J.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1078252"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
<institution>Coastal and Marine Systems group, Van Hall Larenstein University of Applied Sciences</institution>, <addr-line>Leeuwarden</addr-line>, <country>Netherlands</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
<institution>Marine Animal Ecology group, Wageningen University, Wageningen University &amp; Research</institution>, <addr-line>Wageningen</addr-line>, <country>Netherlands</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
<institution>Wageningen Marine Research, Wageningen University &amp; Research</institution>, <addr-line>Den Helder</addr-line>, <country>Netherlands</country>
</aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>Edited by: Ra&#xfa;l A. Gonz&#xe1;lez-Pech, The Pennsylvania State University (PSU), United States</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>Reviewed by: Edson A. Vieira, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil; Kelly G&#xf3;mez-Campo, The Pennsylvania State University (PSU), United States</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="corresp" id="fn001">
<p>*Correspondence: Alwin Hylkema, <email xlink:href="mailto:alwin.hylkema@hvhl.nl">alwin.hylkema@hvhl.nl</email>
</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="other" id="fn002">
<p>This article was submitted to Coral Reef Research, a section of the journal Frontiers in Marine Science</p>
</fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>15</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>9</volume>
<elocation-id>929355</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>26</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>07</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#xa9; 2022 Hylkema, Debrot, van de Pas, Osinga and Murk</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2022</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Hylkema, Debrot, van de Pas, Osinga and Murk</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<p>The massive die-off of the sea urchin <italic>Diadema antillarum</italic> in 1983&#x2013;1984 is one the main reasons for low coral recruitment and little coral recovery in the Caribbean. As the natural recovery of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> is slow to non-existent, multiple restoration studies have been attempted. There are currently three different approaches to obtain individuals for restocking: the translocation of wild-collected juveniles or adults, lab-reared juveniles cultured from wild-collected settlers, or lab-reared juveniles cultured from gametes. All three methods are costly and can only be applied on a relatively small scale. We here propose a fourth, new, approach, which we term assisted natural recovery (ANR) of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> populations. ANR, a concept already applied in terrestrial restoration to restore forests and grasslands, can accelerate succession by removing barriers to natural recovery. In this study, performed on the Dutch Caribbean island of Saba, suitable settlement substrate was provided in the form of bio ball streamers that were attached to the reef shortly before the settlement season. At the end of the experiment, reefs with streamers had significantly higher <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruit densities than control reefs without additional settlement substrate, indicating that the lack of settlement substrate is an important factor constraining natural recovery. However, <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruit abundance was low compared to the measured settlement rates, possibly due to low post-settlement survival. The size distribution of recruits showed that recruits almost never became larger than 20&#xa0;mm, which is likely due to predation. We conclude that, next to low settlement availability, low post-settlement survival and high predation on recruits also constrain the natural recovery of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> populations on Saba. To improve the survival of settlers till adults, we propose to 1) reduce predation on settlers by using bio balls or other substrates that can provide shelter to larger individuals and 2) optimize the reef habitat by removing macroalgae, either manually or by facilitating other herbivores. To improve the survival of recruits, we suggest to 1) choose sites with a known lower predation density or 2) protect recruits with a corral around the reef underneath the streamers. The combination of these measures could improve prospects for ANR, and we expect this new approach can contribute to the recovery of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> populations in the future.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>accelerated natural recovery</kwd>
<kwd>Saba</kwd>
<kwd>coral reef</kwd>
<kwd>sea urchin</kwd>
<kwd>Caribbean</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<contract-sponsor id="cn001">Nationaal Regieorgaan Praktijkgericht Onderzoek SIA<named-content content-type="fundref-id">10.13039/501100010409</named-content>
</contract-sponsor>
<counts>
<fig-count count="7"/>
<table-count count="3"/>
<equation-count count="0"/>
<ref-count count="60"/>
<page-count count="11"/>
<word-count count="5741"/>
</counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="s1" sec-type="intro">
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>The accelerated degradation of Caribbean coral reefs started in the 1970s, when diseases decimated the most important reef-building corals (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Gladfelter, 1982</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Aronson &amp; Precht, 2001</xref>). The decennia that followed were characterized by sequential losses in coral cover by hurricanes, global warming, and additional diseases (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">Jackson et al., 2014</xref>). The degradation of Caribbean coral reefs proceeded quicker than in the Indo-Pacific region, largely because of exceptionally low coral recruitment rates (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Precht et al., 2020</xref>). This was mainly a consequence of overfishing of herbivorous fish (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Jackson et al., 2001</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Pandolfi et al., 2003</xref>), followed by a massive die-off of the sea urchin <italic>Diadema antillarum</italic> in 1983 and 1984 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Lessios et al., 1984</xref>). At the time of the die-off, <italic>D. antillarum</italic> was the most abundant remaining herbivore on Caribbean reefs. After 98% of the population had succumbed (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Lessios, 2016</xref>), the cover of macroalgae increased within days (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Carpenter, 1988</xref>) and macroalgae have remained dominant on many Caribbean reefs since then (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">Jackson et al., 2014</xref>). Macroalgae are principal competitors of adult corals (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">Jompa &amp; McCook, 2002</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Box &amp; Mumby, 2007</xref>) and limit coral recruitment (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">McCook et al., 2001</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Box &amp; Mumby, 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Arnold et al., 2010</xref>), thereby reducing the ability of the coral reef to recover from disturbances.</p>
<p>With a few exceptions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Carpenter &amp; Edmunds, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Debrot &amp; Nagelkerken, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Myhre &amp; Acevedo-Guti&#xe9;rrez, 2007</xref>), mostly limited to shallow and sheltered waters, the recovery of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> populations has been very slow to non-existing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Lessios, 2016</xref>). The underlying factors constraining the recovery of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> are not exactly known and will very likely differ per location (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Lessios, 2016</xref>). For instance, studies of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlement rates show that at some locations, for example, around Puerto Rico (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Williams et al., 2011</xref>), the Florida Keys (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Miller et al., 2009</xref>), and Mexico (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Maldonado-S&#xe1;nchez et al., 2019</xref>), settlement rates can be very low throughout the year. At these locations, low fertilization success (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Lessios, 1988</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Lessios, 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Feehan et al., 2016</xref>) and the lack of an upstream larval source-population (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Roberts, 1997</xref>) possibly constrain recovery. At other locations, for example, around Cura&#xe7;ao (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Vermeij et al., 2010</xref>), Puerto Rico (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">Williams et al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Williams et al., 2011</xref>), St. Eustatius (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Hylkema et al., 2022</xref>), and Saba (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Klokman &amp; Hylkema, in prep</xref>), peak settlement rates are in the same order of magnitude as measured before the die-off around Cura&#xe7;ao (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bak, 1985</xref>). Hence, at these locations, other factors seem to constrain the natural recovery of <italic>D. antillarum</italic>.</p>
<p>At the few places where <italic>D. antillarum</italic> densities on the reef actually recovered, this was correlated with a decrease in macroalgae and an increase in coral recruitment (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Edmunds &amp; Carpenter, 2001</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Carpenter &amp; Edmunds, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Myhre &amp; Acevedo-Guti&#xe9;rrez, 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Idjadi et al., 2010</xref>). These results highlight the importance of the recovery of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> for increased resilience of Caribbean coral reefs (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Lessios, 2016</xref>). However, since it could take decades before <italic>D. antillarum</italic> populations recover naturally throughout the Caribbean (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Chiappone et al., 2013</xref>) and a new die-off is again reducing population densities in parts of the Caribbean in 2022 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">AGRRA, 2022</xref>), active intervention might help accelerate <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recovery (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Adam et al., 2015</xref>). Three different methods have so far been attempted to help restore <italic>D. antillarum</italic> populations, and all rely on the restocking of juvenile or adult individuals. These are either obtained by translocating wild <italic>D. antillarum</italic> from recovered populations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Maci&#xe1; et al., 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Burdick, 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Dame, 2008</xref>), by collecting settlers and headstarting them till the juvenile stage in a land-based nursery (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Williams, 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">Williams, 2022</xref>) or by culturing juveniles in captivity through their larval stages starting from gametes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">Pilnick et al., 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Wijers et al. in prep</xref>).</p>
<p>When using wild <italic>D. antillarum</italic> for restocking, a local, stable population is needed with thousands of individuals that can likely be transplanted without too many consequences for the donor location itself. This is seldom the case. Collecting juvenile <italic>D. antillarum</italic> with settlement collectors and raising them in a land-based facility appears more feasible and has already been successfully achieved on Puerto Rico (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Williams, 2017</xref>; Williams, 2021). <italic>D. antillarum</italic> cultivation from gametes is an alternative method to produce juveniles year-round. Despite the sensitive nature of the larvae and the relatively long larval phase (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Eckert, 1998</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Bielmyer et al., 2005</xref>), several lab-based culture runs have recently produced over 100 settlers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">Pilnick et al., 2021</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Wijers et al. in prep</xref>). In contrast to using wild-caught individuals, headstarting collected settlers and culturing juveniles in the laboratory from gametes appear scalable, but the costs per juvenile remain relatively high, limiting the large-scale restoration potential of these methods. To circumvent the limitations of current restoration techniques, we here propose assisted natural recovery (ANR) as a new, scalable approach for restoring <italic>D. antillarum</italic> populations.</p>
<p>ANR is practiced in terrestrial ecosystems to aid the recovery of grasslands (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Coiffait-Gombault et al., 2011</xref>) and forests (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Hardwick et al., 2004</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Shono et al., 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">Mackenzie &amp; Naeth, 2010</xref>). ANR aims to accelerate succession by reducing barriers to natural ecosystem recovery. It is an alternative to replanting practices and can be applied on a large scale at a relatively low cost. As the success of ANR is dependent on natural recovery processes, it only functions if some form of natural succession is already in progress (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Hardwick et al., 2004</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Shono et al., 2007</xref>). For forest regeneration, it often means the introduction of seed banks, the removal of competitors, and the minimization of disturbances (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Hardwick et al., 2004</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Shono et al., 2007</xref>). There are some analogies between forest regeneration and <italic>D. antillarum</italic> restoration. Just like the fact that trees can be replanted, restocking <italic>D. antillarum</italic> is possible. However, it is often resource consuming and therefore remains relatively limited in scale. At the same time, the essential conditions for natural recovery, indicated by high <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlement rates on artificial substrates (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Vermeij et al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">Williams et al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Williams et al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Hylkema et al., 2022</xref>), appear to be present at certain locations. However, high settlement rates on artificial substrates do not always result in natural recovery of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> populations. This discrepancy can most likely be explained by two barriers to natural recovery, either low natural settlement substrate availability (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">Rogers and Lorenzen, 2008</xref>) or low postsettlement survival, for example, through high predation pressure or low shelter availability (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Bechtel et al., 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Vermeij et al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Williams et al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Hylkema et al., 2022</xref>).</p>
<p>ANR of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> might be possible if suitable settlement substrate is provided and/or if post-settlement mortality is reduced. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Hylkema et al. (2022)</xref> compared five different types of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlement collectors. It was concluded that strings of plastic bio balls (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;2</bold>
</xref>; hereinafter termed &#x201c;bio ball streamers&#x201d;) deployed mid-water were the most effective and reproducible method to monitor <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlement. This study investigated if bio ball streamers attached to the reef shortly before the settlement season in an area with high potential settlement rates can enhance actual settlement and will result in an increased recruitment of <italic>D. antillarum</italic>. As such, this study aimed at providing insight whether the availability of suitable settlement substrate is the major barrier in the recovery of <italic>D. antillarum</italic>.</p>
<fig id="f2" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>
<bold>(A)</bold> Patch reef (no. 4) with streamers on which the transect tape is removed after monitoring. <bold>(B)</bold> Streamer with buoy and <bold>(C)</bold> Close-up of bio balls.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-929355-g002.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s2" sec-type="materials|methods">
<title>Materials and Methods</title>
<p>In April 2021, six patch reefs were selected at the Southwestern corner of Saba, Caribbean Netherlands, at the dive site locally known as Ladder Labyrinth. Coral reefs at this location developed on hard substrate of volcanic origin (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">Polunin &amp; Roberts, 1993</xref>). The patch reefs were selected to be similar in terms of high shelter availability, a longest dimension of 6&#x2013;12 m, and at a depth of approximately 15&#xa0;m. This resulted in the selection of 2 smaller reefs and 4 larger reefs at a depth of 12&#x2013;18 m (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">
<bold>Table&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref>). To assign experimental treatments, each reef was paired to the reef with the most similar largest dimension. For each pair, treatment and control were randomly assigned, resulting in three treatment and three control reefs (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref>). Permanent markers were attached to both sides of the widest cross section of each reef to mark the monitoring area.</p>
<table-wrap id="T1" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Perpendicular dimensions, depth, and experimental surface area of the patch reefs.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Reef number</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Longest dimension (m)</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Shortest dimension (m)</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Highest point above sediment (m)</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Depth deepest point (m)</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Experimental area (m<sup>2</sup>)</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Treatment/Control</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">6.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">3.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">13</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">13</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Control</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">12.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">5.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">3.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">17</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">24</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Control</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">12.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">4.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">2.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">17</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">24</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Control</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">6.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">12</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">13</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Treatment</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">3.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">17</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">17</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Treatment</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">11.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">4.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">2.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">15</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">22</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Treatment</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<fig id="f1" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Location of Saba, Caribbean Netherlands in the Caribbean region and location Ladder labyrinth, showing the positions of the experimental reefs and proxy streamers.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-929355-g001.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>To enhance <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlement, nine streamers, consisting of 30 bio balls stringed on a fishing line (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;2</bold>
</xref>), were attached to each treatment reef right before the start of the settlement season (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Hylkema et al., 2022</xref>) in May 2021. The bio balls were 3&#xa0;cm in diameter and made from polypropylene (PP). The streamers were attached to stainless steel rings, which were epoxied into the reef matrix and kept upright using a small buoy on top. Streamers were approximately 1&#xa0;m long and had a planar surface of 0.04 m<sup>2</sup>. The streamers were placed close to the transect line that was deployed between the two permanent markers. The experimental area was a band of reef 1&#xa0;m to each side of the transect line. The control reefs were left undisturbed.</p>
<p>To get an indication of settlement on the streamers attached to the reefs, three extra sets of three streamers were attached to separate cinder blocks. These streamers functioned as a proxy for the streamers on the reef and were replaced monthly to get an indication of settlement on the streamers attached to the reef. Each cinder block was placed at a 2-m distance from a treatment reef on sand. Extra fishing line was used to position each set of proxy streamers at the same depth as the streamers attached to the reef. To determine settlement on the proxy streamers, divers removed the streamers from the cinder block, stored them in a ziplock bag, and immediately attached new streamers. Once on the boat, the ziplock bags were stored in a cooler and transported to land. Each proxy streamer was shaken vigorously in five different white trays, and the number of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers in each tray was precisely determined (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Hylkema et al., 2022</xref>). Used streamers were rinsed in fresh water for 24&#xa0;h and sun-dried before they were redeployed at the next monitoring. To provide insight in the period that <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers remained on the streamers and the suitability of streamers with a longer soaking time as a settlement substrate, six additional sets of three proxy streamers were deployed at the start of the experiment using the above-described methods. Three of these sets were retrieved and analyzed after 3 months and three after 6 months, at the end of the experiment.</p>
<p>The abundance of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruits on all six experimental reefs was determined every month, starting at the beginning of the experiment (May 2021) and ending 6 months later (November 2021) for a total of seven monitoring events. Monitoring was conducted during the day. A transect tape was positioned between the two permanent markers, and the area from 1m left to 1m right of the transect was thoroughly searched by trained observers for <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruits using underwater flashlights. The test size of all recruits was estimated to the nearest millimeter using long-jawed calipers. The search time for recruits was standardized to 10&#xa0;min per reef, excluding the time needed to record and measure the observed <italic>D. antillarum</italic>. After the monitoring, all <italic>D. antillarum</italic> were left undisturbed on the reefs.</p>
<p>To determine in which month <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruits on the reefs could have settled, we used published settlement sizes and growth rates. Cultivation experiments in the laboratory show that the size of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers is 0.5&#xa0;mm (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Eckert, 1998</xref>) and growth rates are linear for the first year (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Idrisi et al., 2003</xref>). The initial growth in the laboratory was on average 3&#xa0;mm per month (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Idrisi et al., 2003</xref>), while observations in the field show that small juveniles in the size range of 4&#x2013;11 mm can grow up to 6.7&#xa0;mm per month (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Randall et al., 1964</xref>). The predicted size ranges per monitoring and settlement month based on settlement and growth parameters from the literature are given in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">
<bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold>
</xref>.</p>
<table-wrap id="T2" position="float">
<label> Table&#xa0;2</label>
<caption> <p>Estimated size range (mm), based on growth rates from<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Idrisi et al. (2003)</xref> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Randall et al. (1964)</xref>, per settlement and monitoring month.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="center" colspan="8">Settlement month</th>
</tr> 
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="center" colspan="2">
</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">April</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">May</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">June</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">July</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">August</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">September</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="7">Monitoring month</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">May</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.5&#x2013;3.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2013;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">June</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">3.5&#x2013;10.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.5&#x2013;3.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2013;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">July</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">6.5&#x2013;16.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">3.5&#x2013;10.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.5&#x2013;3.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2013;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">August</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">9.5&#x2013;23.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">6.5&#x2013;16.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">3.5&#x2013;10.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.5&#x2013;3.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2013;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">September</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">12.5&#x2013;30.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">9.5&#x2013;23.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">6.5&#x2013;16.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">3.5&#x2013;10.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.5&#x2013;3.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2013;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">October</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">15.5&#x2013;36.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">12.5&#x2013;30.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">9.5&#x2013;23.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">6.5&#x2013;16.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">3.5&#x2013;10.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.5&#x2013;3.5</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<sec id="s2_1">
<title>Statistical Analysis</title>
<p>A one-way ANOVA was used to determine if the settlement on the proxy streamers differed by month. Initial model validation, using untransformed data, indicated non-normality of the residuals and heterogeneity of the variance, which was corrected for using a square root transformation of the <italic>D. antillarum</italic> counts per streamer. Tukey <italic>post-hoc</italic> tests were performed to identify the months with significantly different settlement rates.</p>
<p>A Kruskal&#x2013;Wallis test was conducted to determine if soaking time of the streamers had an effect on the number of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> per streamer. Streamers with a soaking time of 3 and 6 months (respectively collected in August and November 2021) were compared with streamers with a soaking time of only 1 month (collected in June 2021). A <italic>post-hoc</italic> Dunn&#x2019;s test was performed to detect differences in settlement densities for different soaking times. To assess the effect of streamers with a longer soaking time on new settlement, Mann&#x2013;Whitney U tests were conducted to compare settlement on streamers with a soaking time of 3 and 6 months with streamers that had a soaking time of only 1 month, all of which were collected on the same day.</p>
    <p>Linear mixed models were used for the statistical inference of the monthly <italic>D. antillarum</italic> abundance and recruit size on the patch reefs. Treatment, monitoring month, monitoring area, and the interaction between treatment and monitoring month were considered as fixed factors. To correct for the monthly repeated counts at the same reefs, reef ID was included as a random factor. Models were run using the lmer function in the R package &#x201c;lme4&#x201d; (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Bates et al., 2015</xref>), and model selection and validation were performed according to <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">Zuur et al. (2009)</xref>. The Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) was used to select the best-fitting model. For recruit density, this was the model including treatment, monitoring month, and their interaction. For the recruit size, this was the model including only monitoring month. Plotting the residuals versus the fitted values revealed heterogeneity of variance, while a qqplot showed that the residuals were not normally distributed. Both issues were resolved when the density and size were square-root transformed. To test in which months treatment significantly affected <italic>D. antillarum</italic> density, treatment was contrasted within month using the package &#x201c;emmeans&#x201d; (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">Lenth and Herve, 2019</xref>).</p>
<p>All statistical analyses were performed with R (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">R Core Team, 2021</xref>) using R studio version 1.2.5001. All graphs were made using the R package &#x201c;ggplot2.&#x201d; P-values &lt;0.05 were considered statistically significant and reported values are means &#xb1; standard deviation, except for the graphs, in which the standard error was used.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s3" sec-type="results">
<title>Results</title>
<sec id="s3_1">
<title>Settlement on the Proxy Streamers</title>
<p>After 1 month (in June 2021), the first <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers were observed on the streamers (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;3</bold>
</xref>). The average number of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers on the proxy streamers (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;4</bold>
</xref>) differed significantly per month (P&lt;0.001, <xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">
<bold>Table&#xa0;3</bold>
</xref>). Tukey <italic>post-hoc</italic> tests revealed that May (P &lt; 0.004 for all comparisons) and June (P &lt; 0.001 for all comparisons) differed significantly from all other months but not from each other (P = 0.239). The average number of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers was 8.6 &#xb1; 3.2 streamer<sup>-1</sup> in May, 14.9 &#xb1; 10.8 streamer<sup>-1</sup> in June, and decreased to approximately 2&#x2013;3 settlers per streamer for the remainder of the study. No significant differences were found between the other months.</p>
<fig id="f3" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;3</label>
<caption>
<p>
<italic>D. antillarum</italic> settler on a bio ball.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-929355-g003.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="f4" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;4</label>
<caption>
<p>
<italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers per streamer per month. The line connects averages (&#xb1; SE) and gray points represent the replicate streamers. Averages sharing the same letter were not significantly different. A single result of 42 <italic>D. antillarum</italic> documented from a streamer in June falls outside the plotted y-axis limits but was used to calculate average (&#xb1; SE).</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-929355-g004.tif"/>
</fig>
<table-wrap id="T3" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;3</label>
<caption>
<p>Statistical inference, explanatory variables, test statistics, degrees of freedom, and P-values per response variable.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Response variable</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Statistical inference</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Explanatory variable(s)</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Test statistic</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Degrees of freedom</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">P- value</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Settlers per proxy streamer</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">ANOVA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Month (1&#x2013;6)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">F = 20.94</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">5, 48</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>&lt;0.001</bold>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Settlers per proxy streamer</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Kruskal&#x2013;Wallis</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Soaking time (1, 3, and 6 months, same day of deployment)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">H = 19.75</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>&lt;0.001</bold>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Settlers per proxy streamer</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mann&#x2013;Whitney U test</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Soaking time (1 and 3 months, same day of retrieval)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">W = 71.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">na</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>0.004</bold>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Settlers per proxy streamer</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mann&#x2013;Whitney U test</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Soaking time (1 and 6 months, same day of retrieval)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">W = 50.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">na</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.376</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Recruits per reef</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">LMM</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Treatment</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">F = 10.34</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>0.032</bold>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Month</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">F = 5.50</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>0.001</bold>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Treatment * month</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">F = 2.64</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>0.042</bold>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Monitoring area</td>
<td valign="top" align="left" colspan="3">Not included in best-fitting model</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Recruit size</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">LMM</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Month</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">F = 2.09</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.068</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Treatment</td>
<td valign="top" align="left" colspan="3">not included in best-fitting model</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn>
<p>LMM, linear mixed model.</p>
<p>Significant effects are in bold.</p>
<p>na, not applicable.</p>
</fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<p>Apart from the proxy streamers that were replaced monthly, 18 additional streamers were deployed at the start of the experiment, of which nine were retrieved after 3 months and nine were retrieved after 6 months. Soaking time had a significant effect on the number of settlers (P &lt; 0.001, <xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">
<bold>Table&#xa0;3</bold>
</xref>). Streamers with a soaking time of 1 month, retrieved in June 2021, had 8.6 &#xb1; 3.2 <italic>D. antillarum</italic>. This decreased significantly to 0.2 &#xb1; 0.4 after 3 months, collected in August 2021, and to 0.4 &#xb1; 0.7 after 6 months, collected at the end of October 2021 (P &lt; 0.001 for both comparisons). Streamers retrieved after 3 and 6 months did not differ significantly in their number of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers.</p>
<p>Settlement on streamers with a soaking time of 3 and 6 months was also compared with streamers that were collected on the same day but had a soaking time of only 1 month. In July 2021, streamers with a soaking time of 1 month had 1.8 &#xb1; 1.4 <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers per streamer, which was significantly higher than the 0.2 &#xb1; 0.4 per streamer with a soaking time of 3 months (P = 0.004, <xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">
<bold>Table&#xa0;3</bold>
</xref>). In October 2021, streamers with a soaking time of 1 month had 0.8 &#xb1; 0.8 <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers per streamer, which was not significantly different to streamers with a soaking time of 6 months, which had 0.4 &#xb1; 0.7 <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers per streamer.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_2">
<title>Recruitment on the Patch Reefs</title>
<p>
<italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruit abundance on the patch reefs (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f5">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;5</bold>
</xref>) was significantly affected by treatment (streamers vs. control, P = 0.032, <xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">
<bold>Table&#xa0;3</bold>
</xref>), month (P = 0.001, <xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">
<bold>Table&#xa0;3</bold>
</xref>), and their interactive effect (P = 0.042, <xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">
<bold>Table&#xa0;3</bold>
</xref>). Monitoring area had no significant effect on the <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruit abundance as was not included in the best-fitting model. At the start of the experiment, reefs with and without streamers both had zero <italic>D. antillarum</italic>. The average <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruit abundance increased on all six patch reefs, independent of treatment, and remained similar till month four, when reefs with streamers had an average of 4.3 &#xb1; 3.2 <italic>D. antillarum</italic> per reef and control reefs had an average of 2.7 &#xb1; 2.1 <italic>D. antillarum</italic> per reef. In month five, the average <italic>D. antillarum</italic> density at the treatment reefs was, for the first time, significantly higher than at the control reefs (P = 0.007). One month later, at the end of the experiment, this effect had strengthened: reefs with streamers had on average 6.3 &#xb1; 5.9 <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruits, which was more than 20 times higher than control reefs without streamers, which had an average of 0.3 &#xb1; 0.6 <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruits per reef. This difference was highly significant (P = 0.001).</p>
<fig id="f5" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;5</label>
<caption>
<p>
<italic>D. antillarum</italic> density on treatment (with streamers) and control (without streamers) reefs as a function of time. Lines connect averages &#xb1; SE and * indicates a significant difference in treatments for that month.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-929355-g005.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_3">
<title>Size Distribution on the Patch Reefs</title>
<p>
<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f6">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;6</bold>
</xref> shows the <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruit size distribution per monitoring month (July&#x2013;October). The average <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruit size was not affected by the monitoring month (P = 0.068, <xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">
<bold>Table&#xa0;3</bold>
</xref>) or treatment (not included in the best-fitting model). In July, the average <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruit size was 10.3 &#xb1; 3.5&#xa0;mm, which corresponded with settlement in April. In August, recruits had a similar average size (11.8 &#xb1; 4.0&#xa0;mm) and their size distribution corresponded most closely with settlement in May. In September, the average recruit size was 13.4 &#xb1; 5.1&#xa0;mm. Half of the recruits were approximately 20&#xa0;mm; these where likely the remaining recruits from the cohort settling in May or possibly April. The other half of the recruits were smaller and had probably settled in June or July. In October, the average recruit size was 10.7 &#xb1; 4.5&#xa0;mm and most of the recruits corresponded in size most closely to the predicted size range for settlement in July or even August.</p>
<fig id="f6" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;6</label>
<caption>
<p>
<italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruit size distribution on control and treatment reefs per monitoring month. The area between vertical lines of the same type (dashed, solid, dotted, etc.) indicate the estimated size range per settlement cohort, based on growth rates from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Idrisi et al. (2003)</xref> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Randall et al (1964)</xref>.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-929355-g006.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s4" sec-type="discussion">
<title>Discussion</title>
<p>Settlement on the proxy streamers revealed that the experiment was conducted at the right time of the year and very likely had been started right before the yearly settlement peak. Settlement on the proxy streamers was highest in May and June and was significantly lower during subsequent months. Settlement on the neighboring island of St. Eustatius in 2019 was also highest in May and June (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Hylkema et al., 2022</xref>). In La Parguera, Puerto tRico, <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlement was highest in July in 2006 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">Williams et al., 2010</xref>) and in September in 2008 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Williams et al., 2011</xref>). The highest average <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlement in this study was 14.9 &#xb1; 10.8 <italic>D. antillarum streamer-<sup>1</sup> month-<sup>1</sup>.</italic> The planar surface area of a streamer with 30 bio balls was 0.04 m<sup>2</sup>, resulting in a settlement density of 372 &#xb1; 270 <italic>D. antillarum m-<sup>2</sup> month-<sup>1</sup>.</italic> This density is in the same order of magnitude as the settlement on collectors documented for most of the locations studied around St. Eustatius in 2019 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Hylkema et al., 2022</xref>), as well as compared to the location with highest settlement rates near Puerto Rico (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">Williams et al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Williams et al., 2011</xref>). These results indicate that the bio ball streamers were able to provide a suitable settlement substrate for <italic>D. antillarum</italic> larvae and thereby likely able to help circumvent one of the key potential barriers to natural recovery (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">Rogers and Lorenzen, 2008</xref>).</p>
<p>The proxy streamers with a soaking time of 3 and 6 months (collected in August and November) contained significantly less settlers compared to proxy streamers with a soaking time of 1 month (collected in June), indicating that <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers remained on the streamers for less than 3 months. <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers have a test diameter of ~0.5 mm (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Eckert, 1998</xref>) and grow 3&#x2013;7 mm month<sup>-1</sup> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Randall et al., 1964</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Idrisi et al., 2003</xref>). The space in between the bio ball layers is 5&#xa0;mm, meaning that settlers outgrew their shelter and probably moved to the outside of the bio balls 1&#x2013;2 months after settlement. They likely migrated to the reef on their own accord or may have been flushed off the bio balls by currents or were eaten by predators. Proxy streamers with a soaking time of 3 months had significantly less settlers compared to streamers with a soaking time of 1 month that were collected on the same day. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bak (1985)</xref> observed that <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers appear to have a preference for relatively clean surfaces with a fresh biofilm. For other sea urchins, the biofilm age has also been found to be important in determining settlement (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Pearce &amp; Scheibling, 1991</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Rahim et al., 2004</xref>). We observed abundant turf and macroalgae growth on the 3- and 6-month old bio balls, which probably made the bio balls less suitable for settlement. In practice, this means that streamers older than 2 months attract less new <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers.</p>
<p>Monthly monitoring revealed an increase of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruits on both control and streamer reefs during the course of the experiment. However, this increase was largest at the treatment reefs, where recruit densities continued to increase till the end of the experiment. In contrast, recruit densities on the control reefs started to decrease halfway through the experiment, after 3 months. This resulted in a significantly higher <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruit abundance on reefs with streamers as opposed to reefs without streamers. The highest number of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruits counted on the monitored surface of a single treatment reef was 13 individuals. This is an order of magnitude lower than what would have been expected based on the total settlement on the nine streamers with each ~15 <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers in the month with the highest settlement. The latter would have resulted in 135 settlers in a single month if all settlers had remained on the reef. During monitoring, we sometimes observed substantial currents at the research location, which might have washed juveniles off the streamers, off the monitored area, and possibly even away from the experimental reefs. As control and treatment reefs were located close to each other, strong currents could even be responsible for depositing some of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> juveniles on the control reefs. However, the reefs just outside the transects were inspected at the end of the experiment and only few <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruits were observed there. It is therefore likely that, next to dislocation by currents, other processes reduced the survival of settlers that outgrew the bio balls and colonized the reefs. Macroalgae, which covered large areas of the reefs during the experiment, are known to harbor large numbers of micropredators such as crabs, shrimps, and worms (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Bechtel et al., 2006</xref>), which could be responsible for high post-settlement mortality. In addition, the dense turf and macroalgae cover of the patch reefs might be a suboptimal habitat for settlers in terms of food (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Vermeij et al., 2010</xref>), while it might also reduce shelter availability by filling small crevices (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Spadaro &amp; Butler, 2021</xref>).</p>
<p>Although new recruits were observed on the treatment reefs every month, the total number of recruits barely increased, indicating a low long-term retention of the recruits. This is confirmed by the average <italic>D. antillarum</italic> test size, which did not increase during the course of the experiment. Size distributions showed that very few recruits made it past a test size of 20&#xa0;mm and every month from the period of July to October, most recruits were derived from a new cohort of settlers. The low retention of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruits could be attributed to migration to other parts of the reef or to predation. Monitored recruits mostly showed a high shelter fidelity and were often seen in the same crevice during multiple monitoring events. They were increasing in size, appeared healthy, were not yet outgrowing their shelter space and then suddenly disappeared, suggesting that predation rather than migration was the most likely factor explaining the limited long-term increase in <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruit density. Among many potential predators, queen triggerfish (<italic>Balistes vetula</italic>), Spanish hogfish (<italic>Bodianus rufus</italic>), pudding wife (<italic>Halichoeres radiatus</italic>), black margate (<italic>Anisotremus surinamensis</italic>), Spanish grunt (<italic>Haemulon macrostomum</italic>), and jolthead porgy (<italic>Calamus bajonado</italic>) are especially known to prey upon <italic>D. antillarum</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Randall et al., 1964</xref>). All these species, with the exception of <italic>H. macrostomum</italic>, were frequently observed on the experimental site and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Harborne et al. (2009)</xref> suggested that even a relatively low predation pressure can be sufficient to prevent <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recovery. It could therefore well be that the predation pressure at the experimental site was too high or the shelter availability too low (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Bodmer et al., 2021</xref>) to support <italic>D. antillarum</italic> population recovery, notwithstanding increased settlement due to the streamers.</p>
<p>
<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f7">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;7</bold>
</xref> summarizes the life cycle of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> and the possible factors constraining its natural recovery. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Hylkema et al. (2022)</xref> demonstrated high peak settlement rates on Saba at certain times of the year, indicating that limited fertilization of gametes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Feehan et al., 2016</xref>) and the lack of upstream adult populations were not the main factors constraining natural recovery. The addition of bio ball streamers in the current study resulted in increased <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruitment, confirming that the availability of suitable settlement substrate was limited on the natural reef (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">Rogers and Lorenzen, 2008</xref>). This can be explained by the high turf and macroalgae cover, limiting the amount of fresh biofilm on the patch reefs. The algae-dominated habitat might also have reduced post-settlement survival, as the algae fill potential shelter spaces (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Spadaro &amp; Butler, 2021</xref>), do not provide the right food for <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Vermeij et al., 2010</xref>), and harbor high densities of micropredators (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Bechtel et al., 2006</xref>). Finally, the high predation of larger juveniles might have reduced post-recruitment survival and prevented <italic>D. antillarum</italic> population recovery.</p>
<fig id="f7" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;7</label>
<caption>
<p>Life cycle of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> (black arrows) and factors constraining (red arrows) or enhancing (blue arrows) <italic>D. antillarum</italic> population development. Factors with an asterisk (*) likely affected D. antillarum recruitment in the present study.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-929355-g007.tif"/>
</fig>  
<p>We conclude that our new approach of assisted natural recovery (ANR) successfully provided a suitable settlement substrate and significantly increased <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recruit densities on patch reefs. However, before ANR can be implemented on a large scale, post-settlement and post-recruitment survival should be improved. To optimize prospects for ANR, we propose to: 1) employ bio balls or other substrates that can provide shelter suitable to larger juveniles, 2) optimize the habitat by removing macroalgae, 3) choose sites with a lower predation pressure, and 4) place corrals around the streamers. Larger bio balls that, in addition to the current 5-mm shelters, also provide larger shelters might be able to maintain <italic>D. antillarum</italic> juveniles safe in mid-water during the intermediate phase between settlement and their ultimate descent to the larger shelter spaces of the reef, thereby improving post-settlement survival. By removing macroalgae from the reefs at the start of the settlement season, the habitat might become more suitable for settlers and less suitable for micropredators, also increasing post-settlement survival. Macroalgae could be removed manually or by restocking adult <italic>D. antillarum</italic> or other herbivores such as reef urchins (<italic>Echinometra viridis</italic>) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Bechtel et al., 2006</xref>) or the Caribbean king crab (<italic>Maguimithrax spinosissimus</italic>) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Spadaro &amp; Butler, 2021</xref>). To select restoration sites with a low predation pressure, it might, paradoxically, be recommended to start ANR outside marine reserves where fishing pressure can reduce predator densities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Edmunds &amp; Carpenter, 2001</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Harborne et al., 2009</xref>). Alternatively, shallower reefs (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Carpenter &amp; Edmunds, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Debrot &amp; Nagelkerken, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Myhre &amp; Acevedo-Guti&#xe9;rrez, 2007</xref>) or reefs with a high shelter availability (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Bodmer et al., 2021</xref>) might increase post-recruitment survival and increase the chance of successful <italic>D. antillarum</italic> recovery. Finally, the post-recruitment survival of <italic>D. antillarum</italic> on locations with a high predation pressure might be enhanced using corrals placed around the streamers, which can protect the juveniles during their first months on the reef (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Williams, 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">Williams, 2022</xref>). The combination of these measures could result in a comprehensive ANR approach. If <italic>D. antillarum</italic> settlement densities are not significantly reduced by the <italic>D. antillarum</italic> die-off taking place in parts of the Caribbean in 2022 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">AGRRA, 2022</xref>), we expect ANR to be able to contribute substantially to <italic>D. antillarum</italic> population recovery in the near future.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s5" sec-type="data-availability">
<title>Data Availability Statement</title>
<p>The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s6" sec-type="author-contributions">
<title>Author Contributions</title>
<p>AH: Conceptualization, Methodology, Writing original draft, Formal analysis, Writing - Review &amp; Editing, Supervision AD: Conceptualization, Writing - Review &amp; Editing EP: Investigation RO: Writing - Review &amp; Editing AM: Writing - Review &amp; Editing. All authors contributed to the article and approved the submitted version.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s7" sec-type="funding-information">
<title>Funding</title>
<p>We declare that all sources of funding received are submitted. This research was conducted in the context of the RAAK PRO Diadema project (project# RAAK.PRO03.005), partly funded by SIA, part of the Dutch Research Council (NWO). The contributions by A.O. (Dolfi) Debrot were funded by Wageningen Marine Research through project 4311500013 R&amp;D Wetenschapsplan.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s8" sec-type="COI-statement">
<title>Conflict of Interest</title>
<p>
The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s9" sec-type="disclaimer">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s Note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.

</p>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<ack>
<title>Acknowledgments</title>
<p>We thank Alex van der Last, Tom Wijers, Michelle Mulken, Fedor den Elzen, Djan Mattijssen, Jan-Luca Mack, and Jasper Bleijenberg for assisting with the recruit counts and the analysis of the proxy streamers. We also thank the SCF, SBMU, and Sea Saba staff, in particular Walter Hynds, Marijn van der Laan, and Tom Brokke, for providing fieldwork assistance and Callum Reid for making the map. We want to thank the two reviewers for their feedback and suggestions on an earlier version of this manuscript. </p>
</ack>
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