AUTHOR=Wang Cong , Li Jingyue , Luo Tingli , Zhu Shenglin , Zhao Mingda , Jia Yicai , Liu Yefu TITLE=Detection of circulating tumor cells that predicts the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for locally advanced triple-negative breast cancer JOURNAL=Frontiers in Medicine VOLUME=Volume 12 - 2025 YEAR=2025 URL=https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/medicine/articles/10.3389/fmed.2025.1536971 DOI=10.3389/fmed.2025.1536971 ISSN=2296-858X ABSTRACT=ObjectiveThis study aims to assess the predictive potential of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and circulating tumor stem cells (CTSCs) in locally advanced triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) compared to the RECIST 1.1 standard.MethodsWe analyzed 112 patients with TNBC at the Liaoning Tumor Hospital. CTCs and CTSCs were evaluated before NAC, on the first NAC cycle day, and after NAC. We assessed the ability of positive CTSCs after the first cycle to predict NAC resistance (requiring regimen change) with a 91% specificity. Additionally, we analyzed CTC dynamics during the first NAC cycle to predict efficacy (often reaching MP4 or MP5) with 87% sensitivity and 80% specificity.ResultsPositive CTSCs post-first cycle predicted NAC resistance with high specificity (91%). The gradual decline in CTCs during the first NAC cycle indicated NAC efficacy, allowing the regimen to continue with a sensitivity of 87% and specificity of 80%.ConclusionThis study suggests that positive CTSCs after the first NAC cycle predict resistance, thereby facilitating early detection (≥ 6 weeks earlier than RECIST). Gradual CTC reduction during the first cycle predicts efficacy, enabling regimen continuation. CTCs and CTSCs show promise as predictive markers for NAC efficacy in patients with locally advanced TNBC.