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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Microbiol.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Microbiology</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Microbiol.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">1664-302X</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fmicb.2018.02141</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Microbiology</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Review</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Pierce&#x00027;s Disease of Grapevines: A Review of Control Strategies and an Outline of an Epidemiological Model</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Kyrkou</surname> <given-names>Ifigeneia</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/562289/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Pusa</surname> <given-names>Taneli</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4"><sup>4</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Ellegaard-Jensen</surname> <given-names>Lea</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/604216/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Sagot</surname> <given-names>Marie-France</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name><surname>Hansen</surname> <given-names>Lars Hestbjerg</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c001"><sup>&#x0002A;</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/29930/overview"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="aff1"><sup>1</sup><institution>Laboratory of Environmental Microbiology and Biotechnology, Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University</institution>, <addr-line>Roskilde</addr-line>, <country>Denmark</country></aff>
<aff id="aff2"><sup>2</sup><institution>INRIA Grenoble Rh&#x000F4;ne-Alpes</institution>, <addr-line>Montbonnot-Saint-Martin</addr-line>, <country>France</country></aff>
<aff id="aff3"><sup>3</sup><institution>Laboratoire de Biom&#x000E9;trie et Biologie &#x000C9;volutive, UMR 5558, CNRS, Universit&#x000E9; de Lyon, Universit&#x000E9; Lyon 1</institution>, <addr-line>Villeurbanne</addr-line>, <country>France</country></aff>
<aff id="aff4"><sup>4</sup><institution>Department of Computer, Automatic and Management Engineering, Sapienza University of Rome</institution>, <addr-line>Rome</addr-line>, <country>Italy</country></aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by"><p>Edited by: Essaid Ait Barka, Universit&#x000E9; de Reims Champagne Ardenne, France</p></fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by"><p>Reviewed by: David Gramaje, Instituto de Ciencias de la Vid y del Vino (ICVV), Spain; Massimiliano Morelli, Istituto per la Protezione Sostenibile delle Piante (IPSP), Italy</p></fn>
<corresp id="c001">&#x0002A;Correspondence: Lars Hestbjerg Hansen <email>lhha&#x00040;envs.au.dk</email></corresp>
<fn fn-type="other" id="fn001"><p>This article was submitted to Plant Microbe Interactions, a section of the journal Frontiers in Microbiology</p></fn></author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>12</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2018</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2018</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>9</volume>
<elocation-id>2141</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>06</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2018</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>21</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2018</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#x000A9; 2018 Kyrkou, Pusa, Ellegaard-Jensen, Sagot and Hansen.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2018</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Kyrkou, Pusa, Ellegaard-Jensen, Sagot and Hansen</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"><p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</p></license>
</permissions>
<abstract><p><italic>Xylella fastidiosa</italic> is a notorious plant pathogenic bacterium that represents a threat to crops worldwide. Its subspecies, <italic>Xylella fastidiosa</italic> subsp. <italic>fastidiosa</italic> is the causal agent of Pierce&#x00027;s disease of grapevines. Pierce&#x00027;s disease has presented a serious challenge for the grapevine industry in the United States and turned into an epidemic in Southern California due to the invasion of the insect vector <italic>Homalodisca vitripennis</italic>. In an attempt to minimize the effects of <italic>Xylella fastidiosa</italic> subsp. <italic>fastidiosa</italic> in vineyards, various studies have been developing and testing strategies to prevent the occurrence of Pierce&#x00027;s disease, i.e., prophylactic strategies. Research has also been undertaken to investigate therapeutic strategies to cure vines infected by <italic>Xylella fastidiosa</italic> subsp. <italic>fastidiosa</italic>. This report explicitly reviews all the strategies published to date and specifies their current status. Furthermore, an epidemiological model of <italic>Xylella fastidiosa</italic> subsp. <italic>fastidiosa</italic> is proposed and key parameters for the spread of Pierce&#x00027;s disease deciphered in a sensitivity analysis of all model parameters. Based on these results, it is concluded that future studies should prioritize therapeutic strategies, while investments should only be made in prophylactic strategies that have demonstrated promising results in vineyards.</p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd><italic>Xylella fastidiosa</italic></kwd>
<kwd>grapevine</kwd>
<kwd>Pierce&#x00027;s disease</kwd>
<kwd>control strategies</kwd>
<kwd>prophylactic</kwd>
<kwd>therapeutic</kwd>
<kwd>epidemiological model</kwd>
<kwd><italic>Homalodisca vitripennis</italic></kwd>
</kwd-group>
<contract-num rid="cn001">643063</contract-num>
<contract-num rid="cn002">4184-00070</contract-num>
<contract-sponsor id="cn001">Horizon 2020<named-content content-type="fundref-id">10.13039/501100007601</named-content></contract-sponsor>
<contract-sponsor id="cn002">Det Frie Forskningsr&#x000E5;d<named-content content-type="fundref-id">10.13039/501100004836</named-content></contract-sponsor>
<counts>
<fig-count count="5"/>
<table-count count="8"/>
<equation-count count="15"/>
<ref-count count="189"/>
<page-count count="23"/>
<word-count count="19853"/>
</counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec sec-type="intro" id="s1">
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Pierce&#x00027;s disease (PD) is a disease that affects grapevines (<italic>Vitis vinifera</italic>). The disease is prevalent across the United States (US), from Florida to California, and threatens the country&#x00027;s $30 billion wine industry (Sanscartier et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B168">2012</xref>). Since the 1880s, PD has caused the decline of more than 35,000 acres of vineyards in Southern California (SC) (Galvez et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">2010</xref>). The aetiological agent of PD is a gram-negative, plant-pathogenic bacterium, <italic>Xylella fastidiosa</italic> subsp. <italic>fastidiosa</italic> (<italic>Xff</italic> ; Davis et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">1978</xref>). The species <italic>X. fastidiosa</italic> (XYLEFA) comprises three well-established subspecies, which infect different plant hosts (Almeida and Nunney, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">2015</xref>; Marcelletti and Scortichini, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B136">2016</xref>), while the existence of a fourth and a fifth subspecies is in dispute (Marcelletti and Scortichini, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B136">2016</xref>; Giampetruzzi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">2017</xref>). Generally, XYLEFA is characterized by a wide plant host range, currently reported to include more than 300 different plant species belonging to 187 genera and 68 families (Stancanelli et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B176">2015</xref>). While not all of these hosts are susceptible to PD, XYLEFA negatively affects the yields of many economically important crops other than grapevine, such as almond, mulberry, peach, olive, citrus, and plum (Stancanelli et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B176">2015</xref>). Until recently, the pathogen was primarily found in the US, but in 2013 the first European outbreak was recorded in olive trees in Apulia, Italy (Saponari et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B169">2013</xref>). Lately, numerous XYLEFA incidents in France and Spain are being reported (Godefroid et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B78">2018</xref> and references therein).</p>
<p>XYLEFA is transmitted to host plants by specialized insect vectors (Janse and Obradovic, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B101">2010</xref>). All vectors proven to transmit the pathogen belong to the groups of spittlebugs and sharpshooter leafhoppers (Almeida and Nunney, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">2015</xref>). Specialized XYLEFA vectors can inject the pathogen directly into the xylem of the host plant <italic>via</italic> their sucking mouthparts and as a result of their general feeding habits (Redak et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B160">2004</xref>). In principle, any xylem-sap feeding insect could be a specialized vector in new areas of entry (Almeida et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">2005a</xref>). Plant hosts susceptible to XYLEFA are often heavily colonized by the pathogen (Hill and Purcell, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B88">1995</xref>). However, the mechanisms of specific interactions among XYLEFA subspecies and their susceptible hosts have yet to be resolved (Rapicavoli et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B158">2017</xref>). Killiny et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B105">2013</xref>) propose that the production of exopolysaccharides could be a determinative factor of the bacterium&#x00027;s virulence since exopolysaccharides help XYLEFA colonize its two habitats: the foregut of its vectors and the xylem of its plant hosts (Chatterjee et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">2008</xref>). More specifically, XYLEFA exopolysaccharides seem to be responsible for the appearance of water stress symptoms along with plant-derived physiological responses, such as extensive tylose and gum production (Hopkins, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B91">1989</xref>; Choi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">2013</xref>). Examples of plant defense response mechanisms include cell-wall remodeling and upregulation of plant hormone pathways and defense-related recognition receptors (Rodrigues et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B161">2013</xref>; Giampetruzzi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">2016</xref>; Zaini et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B189">2018</xref>), while the various virulence factors of XYLEFA have been extensively reviewed elsewhere (Rapicavoli et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B158">2017</xref>).</p>
<p>XYLEFA poses a significant threat to susceptible host plants and agriculture worldwide (Almeida and Nunney, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">2015</xref>). This threat is compounded by the bacterium&#x00027;s high levels of genetic plasticity (Nunney et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B145">2014</xref>) and the fact that in the first stages of infection the hosts do not display any symptom (Hopkins, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B90">1981</xref>; Almeida and Nunney, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">2015</xref>). The European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) Plant Health Panel has therefore recommended that the European research community intensify studies on the epidemiology and control of XYLEFA (EFSA PLH Panel, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">2015a</xref>). Several intervention strategies have already been addressed to prevent, suppress, and eliminate the pathogen in vineyards, but as yet there is no strategy available that can cure infected plants in the field (EFSA PLH Panel, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">2015a</xref>).</p>
<p>This review addresses all the strategies that have been proposed thus far. These strategies are divided into groups A and B. Group A lists only prophylactic strategies, i.e., strategies to avoid infection incidents in vineyards, and Group B includes therapeutic strategies, i.e., strategies suggested for controlling the pathogen and excluding it from an infected vineyard. Tables <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">1</xref>, <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">2</xref> list all the promising strategies in groups A and B, respectively and include the current status of each strategy and most recent citations. Furthermore, the <italic>Xff</italic> epidemiological model has been developed to describe the disease dynamics of <italic>Xff</italic> in vineyards. The <italic>Xff</italic> epidemiological model identifies key parameters in the spread of PD that should be pursued by current and future intervention strategies. The framework of this model may assist the future design of more complex models of <italic>Xff</italic> and XYLEFA disease dynamics.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T1">
<label>Table 1</label>
<caption><p>Summary of promising strategies to prevent infection with <italic>Xff</italic> in vineyards (group A).</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead><tr>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Strategy</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Promising case studies</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Status of strategy</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Latest citations</bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Control of insect vectors</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Insecticides (esp. neocotinoids)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Applied in vineyards and nurseries</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Daugherty et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">2015</xref>; Redak et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B159">2017</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Kaolin-based products</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the vineyard</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tubajika et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B180">2007</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Screen barrier</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the vineyard</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Blua et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">2005</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mimetic insecticidal peptides</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Under development</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Federici, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">2005</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Paratransgenesis with E325</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested <italic>in vivo</italic> (GWSS)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Arora, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">2015</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Virus HoCV-1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested <italic>in vivo</italic> (GWSS)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Hunnicutt et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B97">2008</xref>; Falk et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">2014</xref>; Kamita et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B102">2016</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Fungus <italic>I. poprawskii</italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested <italic>in vivo</italic> (GWSS)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Cabanillas and Jones, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">2013</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;">
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Egg parasitoids (esp. <italic>G. ashmeadi</italic>)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in California and French Polynesia</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Grandgirard et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">2008</xref>; CDFA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">2016</xref></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Control of non-vine host plants and vine propagation material</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Removing wild plant hosts</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Applied in vineyards</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">EFSA PLH Panel, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">2015a</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;">
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sanitating <italic>via</italic> long-duration HWT</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Applied in nurseries</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Goheen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B79">1973</xref>; EFSA PLH Panel, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">2015b</xref></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Alteration to cropping techniques</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Roguing vines with persistent PD</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Applied in vineyards</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sisterson and Stenger, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B174">2013</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;">
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Regulated deficit irrigation</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the vineyard</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Krugner and Backus, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B115">2014</xref></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Breeding or engineering PD-resistant/tolerant <italic>V. vinifera</italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">N18-6 &#x000D7; Flame Seedless lines</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the greenhouse</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Lin et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B126">2017</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Hybrid vines with gene PdR1b</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the vineyard</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Walker and Tenscher, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B186">2017</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rootstock TS-50 expressing pPGIP</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the vineyard</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Dandekar et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">2017</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rootstocks expressing CAP</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the vineyard</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Dandekar et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">2017</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">VvPR1 and UT456 transgenes</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the vineyard</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B131">2014</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;">
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Vines expressing RpfF</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the vineyard</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B131">2014</xref></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Control <italic>via</italic> avirulent XYLEFA strains</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Inoculating with strain EB92-1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the vineyard</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Hopkins et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B94">2015</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;">
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Inoculating with strain &#x00394;PD1311</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the greenhouse</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Burr et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">2017</xref></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Control <italic>via</italic> other beneficial bacteria and fungi</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">endophytic fungi and bacteria</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the greenhouse</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rolshausen and Roper, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B162">2016</xref>; Rolshausen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B164">2017</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">DSF-producing/inhibitory strains</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the greenhouse</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B133">2005</xref></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T2">
<label>Table 2</label>
<caption><p>Summary of promising strategies to exclude <italic>Xff</italic> from an infected vineyard (group B).</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead><tr>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Strategy</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Promising case studies</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Status of strategy</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Latest citations</bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;">
<td valign="top" align="left">Bacteriophage cocktails</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Lytic phages Sano, Salvo, Paz &#x00026; Prado</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the greenhouse</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Ahern et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2014</xref>; Das et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">2015</xref></td>
</tr> <tr style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;">
<td valign="top" align="left">Antagonistic bacteria</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Inoculating with <italic>P. phytofirmans</italic> strain PsJN</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the greenhouse</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B128">2015</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B127">2017a</xref></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Natural, antibacterial substances</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Radicinin</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested <italic>in vitro</italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rolshausen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B165">2015</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B164">2017</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Antibiotics tetracycline, gentamicin, ampicillin, kanamycin, novobiocin, chloramphenicol and rifampin</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested <italic>in vitro</italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Kuzina et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B117">2006</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Inoculating with antibiotic streptomycin</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the greenhouse</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Kirkpatrick et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B108">2004</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Antimicrobial peptides PGQ, indolicidin, magainin 2, and dermaseptin</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested <italic>in vitro</italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Kuzina et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B117">2006</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">12 phenolic compounds (esp. catechol, caffeic acid and resveratrol)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested <italic>in vitro</italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Maddox et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B134">2010</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;">
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Inoculating with microelement zinc sulfate/oxide</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the greenhouse</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Kirkpatrick et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B108">2004</xref></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Other defense-stimulating compounds</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Application of ABA by foliar sprays or soil drenches</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested in the greenhouse</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Meyer and Kirkpatrick, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B137">2011</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Iron chelators lactoferrin, EDTA (ethylenediaminetetraacetic acid) and EDDS</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tested <italic>in vitro</italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Koh and Toney, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B113">2005</xref></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap></sec>
<sec id="s2">
<title>Group A: prophylactic strategies</title>
<p>Prophylactic practices against PD are typically aimed at either inoculum reservoirs or modes of dispersal of the pathogen in vineyards, i.e., host plants and insect vectors (Almeida and Purcell, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">2003</xref>). When prophylactic measures deal with alterations to cropping techniques, a combination of practices is highly recommended for optimal results (EFSA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">2016</xref>). A summary of all types of prophylactic strategies discussed below is illustrated in Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">1A</xref>.</p>
<fig id="F1" position="float">
<label>Figure 1</label>
<caption><p>Summary of all types of prophylactic and therapeutic strategies against PD presented in this paper. Prophylactic strategies address healthy vines in an attempt to prevent PD <bold>(A)</bold>, while therapeutic strategies address <italic>Xff</italic>-infected vines in order to cure them of PD <bold>(B)</bold>.</p></caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fmicb-09-02141-g0001.tif"/>
</fig>
<sec>
<title>Control of insect vectors</title>
<p>Maintaining the insect vector populations at low levels has traditionally been attempted <italic>via</italic> foliar and soil-applied insecticide treatments (Almeida et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">2005a</xref>; EFSA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">2015</xref>). Vine-growers have often combined insecticides with a specific type of insect traps, known as yellow sticky traps, either to indicate the necessity for or monitor the efficiency of insecticides in the field (EFSA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">2016</xref>). Moreover, in Californian nurseries citrus plants have typically been fumigated with insecticides (Ancona et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">2010</xref>). The basic vector of <italic>Xff</italic> in vineyards is the glassy-winged sharpshooter [<italic>Homalodisca vitripennis</italic>, formerly known as <italic>H. coagulata</italic> (GWSS)] (Hopkins and Purcell, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B95">2002</xref>). Given that the vast majority of control strategies against <italic>Xff</italic> vectors aim at GWSS, this review focuses on GWSS exclusively. Many studies have tracked the susceptibility of GWSS to different classes of insecticides, in particular neocotinoids, butenolides, pyrethroids, carbamates, and organophosphori (e.g., Bextine et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">2004a</xref>; Prabhaker et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B153">2006</xref>; Tubajika et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B180">2007</xref>). Imidacloprid, a systemic neocotinoid, has proven most efficient against GWSS due to its persistence in the plant tissue, its systemic activity and its selectivity for xylem and phloem-feeding insects (Daugherty et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">2015</xref>). Regardless of its apparent success, imidacloprid has adverse effects on bee health and it is going to be banned within the European Union by the end of 2018 (EFSA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">2018</xref>).</p>
<p>A recent report on systematic monitoring for insecticide resistance in GWSS has detected a pattern of decreasing susceptibility in the vector to most insecticides applied in the last 14 years (Perring et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B151">2016</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B150">2017</xref>). Nonetheless, the higher flow of GWSS recorded in 2017 does not appear to be due to the development of resistance to insecticides (Perring et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B150">2017</xref>). Nevertheless, given the prolonged employment of insecticides, resistance development in the target insects is to be expected in addition to environmental contamination with insecticide residues and effects on non-target organisms (Pimentel, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B152">2005</xref>). Despite those issues, insecticides continue to play a central role in the control of PD, especially in the case of commercial nurseries (Redak et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B159">2017</xref>). Vine-growers often carry out within-vineyard sprays to supplement coordinated, area-wide insecticide sprays (Rapicavoli et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B158">2017</xref>).</p>
<p>Three alternatives to insecticides for GWSS have already been described however. The first is Surround&#x000AE; WP (Engelhard Corporation, Iselin, New Jersey, US), a kaolin-based product. Vineyard trials showed that coating vines with white kaolin both sabotages GWSS preference for grapevine and increases GWSS mortality after 48 h&#x00027; exposure (Wood and McBride, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B188">2001</xref>; Tubajika et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B180">2007</xref>). The second alternative is harpin, a protein-based elicitor that induces the hypersensitive response of plants and is produced by certain phytopathogenic bacteria. Harpin was included in the field study by Tubajika et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B180">2007</xref>). Similar to kaolin, the results of harpin applications in the field suggest that vines treated with this protein have a lower chance of developing PD. Nevertheless, harpin appears to be less lethal to GWSS compared to kaolin. The third alternative is a unique tactic tested by Blua et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">2005</xref>). In order to physically impede GWSS from entering a field, the researchers assessed the impact of a 5-m-high screen barrier on GWSS dispersal and demonstrated that only 6% of GWSS released outside the barrier were able to fly over it and enter the field.</p>
<p>In addition to the above-mentioned conventional methods, there are various organic approaches to control the spread of XYLEFA vectors. One example is mimetic technology, which involves the development of peptides that closely resemble the natural substrates of proteins vital for the survival of an unwanted pest organism. The host organism is then engineered to express the mimetic peptide, which is lethal to the pest. With regard to PD, mimetic insecticidal peptides have been produced in order to control GWSS (Federici, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">2004</xref>). The aim was to make peptides that could bind to transport proteins in the GWSS midgut microvillar membrane or to GWSS salivary enzymes. The best candidate target so far is V-ATPase c, a protein that affects H&#x0002B;/K&#x0002B; transport, which in turn maintains insect gut pH (Federici, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">2005</xref>). Tests are still ongoing to ensure the efficiency of the constructed antibody peptides. Long-term plans include the expression of any successful peptides in transgenic vines (Federici, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">2005</xref>).</p>
<p>Another example is paratransgenic control or paratransgenesis. Paratransgenesis utilizes either genetically modified symbionts or commensal bacteria as vehicles of delivery of anti-pathogen molecules within the insect gut. Subsequently, these molecules block any transmission of the bacteria concerned (Hurwitz et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B99">2011</xref>). With respect to PD control, more than one bacterial candidate has been investigated. In one case, the commensal <italic>Pantoea agglomerans</italic> E325 was chosen, since it is able to persist within the foregut of GWSS (Arora, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">2015</xref>) and deliver anti-<italic>Xylella</italic> effector proteins (Lampe et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B118">2007</xref>). <italic>P. agglomerans</italic> E325 has been engineered to express melittin and a scorpine-like molecule, two antimicrobials that are toxic for XYLEFA (Arora, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">2015</xref>). The manipulated GWSS were less capable of carrying the pathogen than the control GWSS and failed to infect na&#x000EF;ve grapevines with <italic>Xff</italic> (Arora, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">2015</xref>). In another case, a bacterial symbiont of GWSS that can survive within vines, <italic>Alcaligenes xylosoxidans denitrificans</italic>, was selected as the vehicle of delivery (Miller et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B138">2001</xref>; Lauzon et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B120">2003</xref>). The latest reports confirm that <italic>A. xylosoxidans denitrificans</italic> survives in GWSS for just 5 weeks (Bextine et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">2004b</xref>; Ramirez et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B157">2008</xref>). RNA interference also has temporary effects. Falk et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">2007</xref>) investigated various mRNAs that, if blocked by RNA interference, would kill or reduce the survival and/or fecundity of GWSS. The final report concluded that no <italic>in vitro</italic> feeding or transgenic vine essays with RNA-interference-inducers could have consistent phenotypic expression on exposed GWSS (Falk et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">2016</xref>).</p>
<p>Besides biotechnological efforts, naturally occurring parasites have been considered in the &#x0201C;organic combat&#x0201D; against PD. The treatment of PD <italic>via</italic> augmentation of natural enemy populations of its insect vectors has generally been a very popular approach. Hunter et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B98">2004</xref>) examined the potential of a whitefly iridovirus (WFIV). By infecting GWSS with WFIV <italic>via</italic> microinjection and sprays, they succeeded in negatively impacting the vector&#x00027;s fecundity and longevity. They also observed that adult GWSS that acquired the iridovirus could pass it on to other healthy individuals and perhaps lay infected eggs. Following that, Hunnicutt et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B96">2006</xref>) isolated an ssRNA virus, <italic>Homalodisca coagulata</italic> virus-1 (HoCV-1) after detecting sequences of the virus in expressed sequence tag libraries from GWSS. HoCV-1 was able to establish infection regardless of the host plant species or the developmental stage and sex of GWSS, and its host range extended to other sharpshooter species (Hunnicutt et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B97">2008</xref>). Although, infections did not always lead to acute mortality, HoCV-1 coupled with other preventive strategies or engineered to deliver toxic peptides and/or induce systemic RNA interference (RNAi) was able to curb GWSS populations significantly (Bextine et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">2009</xref>). Such combination of strategies is presently being explored (Falk et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">2014</xref>; Kamita et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B102">2016</xref>). Along with HoCV-1, GWSS harbors a dsRNA virus of the genus <italic>Phytoreovirus</italic> designated as <italic>H. vitripennis</italic> reovirus. Even though <italic>H. vitripennis</italic> reovirus is widely distributed among GWSS populations in the US, it has caused no detectable decline in them, thus the contribution of this virus to the biocontrol of GWSS is questionable (Stenger et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B177">2010</xref>).</p>
<p>Other parasites with the potential to regulate GWSS are entomopathogenic fungi, but current knowledge about these fungi is limited. Kanga et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B103">2004</xref>) suggest that the fungi <italic>Pseudogibellula formicarum</italic> and <italic>Metarhizium anisopliae</italic> are likely candidates for the biocontrol of GWSS. Three more fungal candidates have subsequently been added to the list of potential biocontrols: <italic>Hirsutella homalodiscae, Sporothrix</italic> spp. and <italic>Beauveria bassiana</italic> (Boucias et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">2007</xref>; Dara et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">2008</xref>; Lietze et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B124">2011</xref>). The latest case study refers to the fungus <italic>Isaria poprawskii</italic> and investigated its pathogenicity to GWSS (Cabanillas and Jones, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">2013</xref>). <italic>In vitro</italic> trials showed that the fungus is virulent and pathogenic to GWSS nymphs and adults. Ultimately, the study deemed <italic>I. poprawskii</italic> to be a promising biocontrol agent of GWSS because it can cause natural epizootics, has a spectrum that encompasses more than one <italic>Xff</italic> insect vectors, is heat-tolerant, and is easy to culture. Surprisingly, the potential of entomopathogenic bacteria against GWSS, such as the widely-applied <italic>Bacillus thurigiensis</italic>, remains unexplored and should be addressed.</p>
<p>In addition to viral and microbial enemies, the utility of other GWSS enemies has been investigated. Fournier et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">2004</xref>) embarked on a large-scale project with the aim of determining any important predators during the various life stages of GWSS. The project screened the gut concent of GWSS associated predators by egg-specific monoclonal antibody-based, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISA), and by PCR assays using GWSS-specific mitochondrial primers. As many as 1,578 field-collected spider and insect species were identified as predators (Hagler et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B85">2013</xref>). Results indicated that GWSSs, at any life stage, are not the main prey for the generalist predators examined. No other potential predators, such as birds, have been studied, and a subsequent study has corroborated the finding that arthropod predators may not be useful in GWSS regulation (Daugherty et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">2015</xref>). In addition, multiple egg parasitoids of GWSS have been identified. Triapitsyn (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B179">2013</xref>) has produced an exhaustive review that lists more than 20 egg parasitoids of GWSS. A mymarid egg parasitoid, <italic>Gonatocerus ashmeadi</italic>, has successfully been used for the biocontrol of GWSS in French Polynesia and, consequently, released with <italic>G. morgani and G.morrilli</italic> in California (Grandgirard et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">2008</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B82">2009</xref>; CDFA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">2016</xref>).</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Control of non-vine host plants and vine propagation material</title>
<p><italic>Xylella fastidiosa</italic> subsp. <italic>fastidiosa</italic> has a very broad host range that includes common cultivars, as well as wild herbs and weeds (Purcell and Saunders, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B156">1999</xref>; Wistrom and Purcell, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B187">2005</xref>; Stancanelli et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B176">2015</xref>). There have been various reports on host plants that pose a threat to vineyards (Purcell and Saunders, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B156">1999</xref>; Costa et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">2004</xref>; Wistrom and Purcell, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B187">2005</xref>; Sisterson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B175">2010</xref>). Removal of these undesirable plants that serve as reservoirs for the bacterium or its vectors currently constitutes a major preventive strategy in the field (EFSA PLH Panel, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">2015a</xref>). In addition, vineyards should be distanced from non-vine plants that can harbor nymphal and adult stages of <italic>Xff</italic> vectors, such as citrus, alfalfa, almond, maple, cherry, Spanish broom, and western redbud (Janse and Obradovic, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B101">2010</xref>; Sisterson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B175">2010</xref>). Even if non-vine host plants are not nececcarily an important source of inocula, they may still serve as a pool of vectors (Sisterson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B175">2010</xref>). For example, GWSS frequently overwinters in citrus groves located next to vineyards in California (Almeida et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">2005b</xref>). The chances of PD occurring in pest-free areas could be reduced by prohibiting the import of host plants that represent important cultivars (EFSA PLH Panel, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">2015a</xref>). Furthermore, planting certified nursery plants and growth plants under exclusion conditions (screen-house and greenhouse) could prevent the spread of PD (EFSA PLH Panel, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">2015a</xref>).</p>
<p>Hot water treatment (HWT) has been the most popular approach to avoid PD occurrence in nurseries, (Goheen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B79">1973</xref>; EFSA PLH Panel, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">2015b</xref>). There are two different protocols of HWT: a short-duration HWT and a long-duration one (Waite and Morton, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B183">2007</xref>). In order to eliminate any <italic>Xff</italic> infection, grapevine planting material is exposed to long-duration HWT (50&#x000B0;C for 45 min; EFSA PLH Panel, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">2015b</xref>). The planting material can either be vine cuttings or 1-year-old rooted vines. In both instances, it is of vital importance that the planting material is fully dormant otherwise it could be irreparably damaged (Waite and Morton, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B183">2007</xref> and references therein). That said, some varietal-based sensitivity to HWT does exist and is expressed as slower establishment of the treated cuttings in the field (Waite and Morton, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B183">2007</xref> and references therein). Additionally, the success of such treatment can depend upon many pre- and post-HWT propagation practices. For example, long-term cold storage of treated material that has not been properly soaked or ventilated can cause irreparable damages to the plant (Gramaje et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B80">2014</xref> and references therein).</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Alterations to cropping techniques</title>
<p>Cropping techniques are crucial in the attenuation of plant disease risk (Palti, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B148">1981</xref>). Specific practices have been recommended to avoid the occurrence or diminish the spread of PD in vineyards. One example is soil and vegetation management, such as regular rototilling and hand weeding to repress nymphal populations of insect vectors that thrive on herbaceous hosts (EFSA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">2016</xref>). Regular summer and autumn pruning of symptomless vines might also eliminate PD infections (Hopkins and Purcell, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B95">2002</xref>), albeit posing a risk of <italic>Xff</italic> mechanical transmission should pruning tools not be regularly disinfected (Krell et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B114">2007</xref>; Overall and Rebek, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B147">2015</xref>). Indeed, severe pruning might stop <italic>Xff</italic> from reaching the grapevine&#x00027;s permanent structure and establishing a chronic infection (Hopkins and Purcell, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B95">2002</xref>). Nevertheless, severe pruning does not significantly contribute to the recovery of vines infected by <italic>Xff</italic> and should be viewed as a disease strategy of minor efficacy (Daugherty et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">2018</xref>). During the dormant season, entire vines that either have PD symptoms for more than one year or extensive foliar symptoms on most canes and with tip dieback of canes for less than one year must be removed. Such vines are unlikely to recover or produce a significant crop, and roguing them would prevent the rapid spread of PD to adjacent vines (Sisterson and Stenger, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B174">2013</xref>). Specific destruction protocols toward a better management of infested plant residues and tools are still pending, but some examples for XYLEFA involve autoclaving and incineration (Onghia et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B146">2017</xref>).</p>
<p>Another measure is regulated deficit irrigation. In a study comparing fully irrigated plants to water-stressed ones, Krugner and Backus (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B115">2014</xref>) argue that GWSS avoid water-stressed plants and spend shorter periods ingesting their xylem fluid. Thus, provided the grower is aware of the drought-sensitive growth stages of the grapevine varieties, this strategy could be sufficiently effective (Krugner and Backus, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B115">2014</xref>). The importance of low plant water content has previously been underlined by Boisseranc (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">2010</xref>). In this study, Boisseranc identified high levels of soil dryness, soil sulfur content, vine calcium, and boron content as significantly reducing the predicted risk of PD. Recently, additional variables that negatively correlate to increased PD incidence have been pinpointed, of which cation exchange capacity and low soil pH appear to be the most significant (Costello et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">2017</xref>). All the above-mentioned plant and field variables should be considered and potentially incorporated in the regular management of vineyards to control PD.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Breeding or engineering PD-resistant/tolerant <italic>V. vinifera</italic></title>
<p>In grapevine, <italic>V. vinifera</italic> cultivars are susceptible to PD, while resistance is found in other species that are not of sufficiently high quality for wine production. Thus wild, resistant <italic>Vitis spp</italic>. have been used in traditional plant breeding experiments with elite cultivars. Lin et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B126">2017</xref>) report that 15 out of 183 hybrid lines of N18-6 crossed with Flame Seedless developed few to no PD symptoms in greenhouse trials. It is worth noting that N18-6 comes from the cross of DC1-56 (W1521 x Aurelia) x Orlando Seedless (D4-176 x F9-68) and is characterized by a high yield, good flesh texture and flavor. Moreover, N18-6 has been able to survive under high PD pressure in the field. The study is ongoing and is currently focusing on identifying the genetic source of resistance.</p>
<p>Another study, described by Walker and Tenscher (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B186">2017</xref>), has discovered the PD resistance gene <italic>PdR1</italic> (chromosome 14) in <italic>V. arizonica/candicans</italic> line b43-17 (alleles <italic>PdR1a, PdR1b</italic>) and <italic>V. arizonica</italic> line b40-14 (allele <italic>PdR1c</italic>). By backcrossing elite grapevine cultivars with the PdR1b gene they succeeded in reaching progeny of 97% <italic>V. vinifera</italic>. They then refined their selection by evaluating fruit and vine characteristics, performing resistance screenings in the greenhouse, assessing the wine in various wine tastings, and finally establishing field trials. Their most resistant varieties were grown in the field at various PD hotspots in California during a 16-year field trial and have yet to show any PD symptoms. Walker and Tenscher&#x00027;s project, which has been running since 2001, has produced 19 PD-resistant scions and three PD-resistant rootstocks. Research is ongoing to investigate the possibility of breeding PD resistance to grape varieties <italic>via</italic> other means, such as gene <italic>PdR2</italic> (chromosome 8) of <italic>V. arizonica/girdiana</italic> line b42-26, and <italic>V. shuttleworthii</italic> (Walker and Tenscher, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B186">2017</xref>).</p>
<p>A major offshoot of Walker and Tenscher&#x00027;s project has since been initiated (Walker et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B184">2014</xref>). One of the scopes was to identify more resistance genes that map to regions different to <italic>PdR1</italic> (i.e., other than chromosome 14), thus allowing resistance sources to be combined to produce breeding lines of wider resistance to PD (Walker et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B184">2014</xref>). Five additional resistant accessions, T03-16, ANU67, b41-13, b47-32, and A14, were singled out after screening many different <italic>Vitis</italic> species. Accession b46-43 was also tested, but ultimately discarded since the mapping results located its resistance source on chromosome 14, the same as for <italic>PdR1</italic> (Walker et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B185">2017</xref>). The mapping experiments are still underway in order to elucidate the origins of the resistance in the rest of the accessions. To date chromosome 14 has been ruled out as a possibility.</p>
<p>Other than for breeding purposes, different transgenic lines of <italic>V. vinifera</italic> have been produced to protect grapevines from <italic>Xff</italic>. For example, Kirkpatrick et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B112">2012</xref>) produced Hxf-expressing grapevines, i.e., transgenic grapevine lines that are able to express a Hxf protein in their xylem fluid. The research was based on an earlier finding that Hxf proteins (hemagglutinins) are involved in XYLEFA virulence and cell-to-cell aggregation (Guilhabert and Kirkpatrick, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B83">2005</xref>). The conclusion of the study and field trials of transgenic Hxf-expressing grapevines was that even though the Hfx gene seems to delay the spread of XYLEFA, it is unable to provide long-term protection against the bacterium (Gilchrist and Lincoln, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">2016</xref>).</p>
<p>In a different study, <italic>Vitis vinifera</italic> cvs. &#x0201C;Thompson Seedless&#x0201D; (TS) and <italic>Vitis vinifera</italic> cvs. &#x0201C;Chardonnay&#x0201D; (CH) were transformed to express the pear fruit PGIP-encoding gene (<italic>pPGIP</italic>) (Ag&#x000FC;ero et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">2005</xref>). PGIPs (PG-inhibiting proteins) are produced by plants to block cell wall-degrading enzymes (Esquerr&#x000E9;-Tugay&#x000E9; et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">2000</xref>). The latter are typical effector proteins of plant pathogens (Esquerr&#x000E9;-Tugay&#x000E9; et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">2000</xref>). XYLEFA&#x00027;s arsenal includes a polygalacturonase (<italic>Xf</italic> PG), which digests cell wall pectin, and several &#x003B2;-1,4-endo-glucanases (EGase), which digest xyloglucan polymers (Roper et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B166">2007</xref>). Thus, if allowed to express <italic>Xf</italic> PG and EGase the bacterium can move around neighboring xylem vessels by degrading the pit membranes separating those vessels (Harakava et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B86">2001</xref>). This process releases nutrients for the pathogen and eventually leads to vessel occlusion and vine death (Harakava et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B86">2001</xref>). Therefore, lines with high (TS-50, TS-74, TS-201, CH-329, and CH-330), moderate (TS-56, TS-188, CH-168, and CH-327) and low (CH-248 and CH-251) PGIP activity were initially trialed by inoculating the vines with <italic>Xff</italic> under greenhouse conditions. <italic>pPGIP</italic> succeeded in protecting three lines (TS-50, CH-329, and CH-327) against PD, as these developed only mild symptoms of the disease (Harakava et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B86">2001</xref>). Finally, Dandekar et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">2010</xref>) selected line TS-50 to establish a seven-year-long field evaluation. For that study, four different constructs of <italic>pPGIP-</italic>plants were planted in two different PD hotspot locations, either as own-rooted plants or as rootstocks, and were mechanically inoculated with <italic>Xff</italic> (Dandekar et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">2010</xref>). The results of the study supported the hypothesis that TS-50 rootstocks can sufficiently protect the scion from PD (Dandekar et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">2017</xref>).</p>
<p>Plants have developed a first line of defense against invaders, the innate immune response, to detect pathogens and activate defense responses (Janeway and Medzhitov, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B100">2002</xref>). The innate response is not always successful, but Dandekar et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">2012</xref>) hypothesized that if two different types of it are combined in one construct they will manage to efficiently block a pathogen. To exclude <italic>Xff</italic>, they constructed a chimeric antimicrobial protein by joining human neutrophil elastase (HNE), a recognition protein, and cecropin B (CB), a lytic peptide (Gupta, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">2008</xref>). HNE has the advantage of cleaving the most abundant and accessible protein in <italic>Xff</italic> membrane, protein MopB (Dandekar et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">2012</xref>). Moreover, the interaction between CB and HNE would promote both cleavage (HNE) and lysis (CB) of <italic>Xff</italic> (Dandekar et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">2012</xref>). Later, the construct was reformed to comply with US regulations on genetically modified organisms. HNE was replaced by P14a from <italic>V. shuttleworthii</italic>, which, like HNE, functions as a serine protease, and CB was replaced by HAT52 and/or PPC20 (Dandekar et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">2017</xref> and references therein). New constructs and a combination of old and new constructs have been used to transform vines for the 101-14 and 1103 rootstocks (Dandekar et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">2014</xref>). The newly produced transgenic vines are being tested in the greenhouse and in the field (Dandekar et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">2017</xref>). Previous field trials for the old construct (HNE-CB) expressed in a TS rootstock and manually inoculated with <italic>Xff</italic> have been very promising (Dandekar et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">2017</xref>).</p>
<p>Efforts to produce transgenic vines that are resistant to <italic>Xff</italic> have generally been a favored approach in various studies. For example, vines have been engineered to express gene <italic>rpfF</italic> for a diffusible signal factor (DSF) synthase RpfF that originates from XYLEFA (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B129">2010</xref>; Beaulieu et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">2013</xref>). The <italic>rpfF</italic> gene is thus essential for the production of DSF that in turn upregulates factors required for biofilm formation but represses traits necessary for plant colonization (Newman et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B144">2004</xref>). Therefore, a high concentration of DSF moleculesin transgenic vines could be expected to change the quorum sensing of <italic>Xff</italic> and thereby increase attachment and aggregation, and limit systemic spread <italic>via</italic> the xylem (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B129">2010</xref>). DSF-producing transgenic &#x0201C;Freedom&#x0201D; vines were tested in the field and indeed reported to be two to fourfold more resilient to PD after natural or mechanical inoculation with <italic>Xff</italic> (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B131">2014</xref>). Presently, the DSF project is undergoing various improvements to enhance the effect of DSF and reduce costs (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B130">2017b</xref>). These involve the application of fatty acids that are homologous to DSF, transformation of many different vine varieties and rootstocks, as well as the use of a variant of gene <italic>rpfF</italic>, which encodes a protein with sequences that can direct the enzyme to the chloroplast (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B130">2017b</xref>). Interestingly, similar efforts are in progress to transiently express the <italic>rpfF</italic> gene of the olive-infecting XYLEFA strain CoDiRO <italic>in planta</italic> using a TMV-based vector (D&#x00027;Attoma et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">2017</xref>).</p>
<p>Another project dealt with with the generation of transgenic vines that could suppress apoptosis and programmed cell death (PCD), thus rendering the transgenes asymptomatic hosts. Specifically, (Gilchrist et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">2006</xref>) performed functional cDNA screening to identify anti-PCD genes expressed in grapevines, which yielded 12 genes. Transgenic &#x0201C;Freedom&#x0201D; and TS vines over-expressing a variety of those 12 genes were inoculated under greenhouse conditions and were later shown to harbor <italic>Xff</italic> concentrations comparable to those in resistant grapevines (Gilchrist et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B74">2007</xref>; Gilchrist and Lincoln, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">2008</xref>). Finally, two DNA transgenic sequences, VvPR1 and UT456, were selected as the most effective ones (Gilchrist and Lincoln, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">2011</xref>). Between 2012 and 2014, transgenic rootstocks of VvPR1 and UT456 were evaluated in two field sites, under both artificial and natural <italic>Xff</italic> pressure, and found to efficiently protect TS scions against PD (Gilchrist and Lincoln, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">2014</xref>).</p>
<p>In an effort to provide longer-lasting and more robust protection against PD, Gilchrist et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B75">2014</xref>) commenced a project with the aim of combining all DNA constructs mentioned in section Breeding or Engineering PD-Resistant/Tolerant <italic>V. vinifera</italic> in pairs. The combination of transgenes takes place in the rootstock, which was being tested for its efficacy of cross-protecting the susceptible scions 1103 and 101-14 (Gilchrist et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B75">2014</xref>). Dual construct transgenic plants are currently being mechanically inoculated with <italic>Xff</italic> and monitored under greenhouse conditions (Gilchrist et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B76">2017</xref>). Field experiments were planned for spring 2018 and the long-term objective of the project is to combine more than two constructs in a gene (Gilchrist et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B76">2017</xref>).</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Control via avirulent XYLEFA strains</title>
<p>An early report on naturally occurring benign and weakly virulent strains of XYLEFA that could shield susceptible grapevines against <italic>Xff</italic> can be found in Hopkins (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B92">1992</xref>). The hypothesis was that these strains cross-protect susceptible vines and induce systemic acquired resistance if inoculated prior to an infection with a highly virulent <italic>Xff</italic> (Hopkins, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B92">1992</xref>). In 2005, an update on the same project expanded the potential of avirulent and benign strains (Hopkins, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B93">2005</xref>), involving six such strains. Strains PD-1, PD91-2, PD94-1, and PD95-6 were weakly virulent and strains Syc86-1 and EB92-1 were avirulent to grapevines (Hopkins, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B93">2005</xref>). The trials took place both in the greenhouse (6 months) and in three different vineyards (2 years) and involved three different cultivars. Under both conditions, only individuals treated with strain EB92-1 seemed to develop few to no symptoms of PD compared to vines treated with the other five strains (Hopkins, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B93">2005</xref>). Strain EB92-1 was subsequently selected for further testing in the field. After a four-year field trial on Pinot Noir and Cabernet Sauvignon cultivars, the results corroborated the finding that EB92-1 can efficiently protect those cultivars against <italic>Xff</italic> under heavy disease pressure conditions (Hopkins et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B94">2015</xref>).</p>
<p>Likewise, Burr et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">2013</xref>) created the <italic>Xff</italic> disruption strain &#x00394;PD1311 by deleting gene PD1311. PD1311 had previously been discovered to encode a putative acyl-CoA synthetase, and the deletion of this gene was found to render <italic>Xff</italic> non-pathogenic (Burr et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">2013</xref>). Further investigation into the role of PD1311 demonstrated that it participates in biofilm formation and aggregation, and influences motility (Burr et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">2014</xref>). The value of strain &#x00394;PD1311 as a biocontrol agent was also investigated because &#x00394;PD1311 appeared to be avirulent (Burr et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">2015</xref>) and capable of reducing the virulence of <italic>Xff in planta</italic> (Burr et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">2014</xref>). By the time the greenhouse inoculation experiments had been concluded, the suitability of strain &#x00394;PD1311 as a biocontrol agent against PD was confirmed and the need for field tests underlined (Burr et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">2017</xref>). Such an approach seems promising and similar studies are underway (Lin and Shi, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B125">2017</xref>), although the risk that the avirulent strains may revert to virulent by horizontal gene transfer from <italic>Xff</italic> should be taken into account.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Control via other beneficial bacteria and fungi</title>
<p>Plants are naturally colonized by specific beneficial microbes such as plant growth-promoting rhizobacteria and mycorrhizal fungi (Van Wees et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B181">2008</xref>). This microflora promotes plant health by various mechanisms, including the production of antagonistic substances and induction of systemic resistance against pathogens (ISR) (Van Wees et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B181">2008</xref>; Beneduzi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">2012</xref>). This principle has prompted the search for potential beneficial bacteria and fungi to stop <italic>Xff</italic> infections of susceptible hosts. The first study on plant endophytes antagonistic toward <italic>Xff</italic> described 19 absolute inhibitor strains belonging to six different <italic>Bacillus</italic> RFLP groups, <italic>Cellulomonas</italic> sp., <italic>Rahnella</italic> sp., and <italic>Streptomyces</italic> sp. (Kirkpatrick et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B106">2003</xref>). Unfortunately, <italic>in planta</italic> greenhouse trials using five of these isolates showed that they cannot prevent initial <italic>Xff</italic> infections (Kirkpatrick et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B106">2003</xref>).</p>
<p>A follow-up study assessed the six isolates by establishing a field trial. This revealed that two isolates, <italic>Cellulomonas</italic> sp. and a <italic>Bacillus</italic> sp. strain, had great potential to suppress <italic>Xff</italic> (Kirkpatrick et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B109">2005</xref>). Subsequently, the putative <italic>Cellulomonas</italic> sp. strain was sequenced and identified as a <italic>Bacillus subtilis</italic> strain (Kirkpatrick and Wilhelm, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B110">2006</xref>). Unfortunately, continuation of the field trials showed that the <italic>Bacillus subtilis</italic> strain and the other <italic>Bacillus</italic> sp. strain are unable to provide long-term protection to the inoculated vines (Kirkpatrick and Wilhelm, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B111">2007</xref>). Other isolates belonging to the genera <italic>Pseudomonas, Kocuria, Bacillus, Curtobacterium, Pantoea, Paenibacillus, Stenotrophomonas</italic> exhibited a promising inhibition of <italic>Xff</italic> during <italic>in vitro</italic> screenings, but subsequent field trials failed due to inadequate inoculations (Kirkpatrick and Wilhelm, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B110">2006</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B111">2007</xref>). All in all, a significant vine endophyte library has been created by this group. Rolshausen et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B164">2017</xref>) took the next step and showed successful reduction of PD symptoms by <italic>Pseudomonas</italic> sp. and <italic>Achromobacter</italic> sp. These two bacteria were strongly colonizing vines that have escaped PD under great disease pressure and were tested by introducing them <italic>in planta</italic> via needle inoculation of shoots or vacuum infiltration of vines before the rooting stage.</p>
<p>XYLEFA produces a type of &#x0201C;xanthan gum,&#x0201D; which is suggested to enable the pathogen to adhere, aggregate and ultimately clog the xylem vessels (Lee and Cooksey, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B121">2004</xref>). A study on xanthan-gum development by XYLEFA has characterized an endophytic bacterium with high gum-degrading activity, <italic>Acinetobacter johnsonii</italic> strain GX123 (Cooksey and Schiller, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">2003</xref>). The advantage of this isolate is that unlike other endophytes (Hardoim et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B87">2008</xref>) it does not display any plant cellulose-degrading activity, making it safe for <italic>in planta</italic> tests (Cooksey and Schiller, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">2003</xref>). Greenhouse tests on oleander plants evinced that the endophyte can reach a higher titer in the plants and spread faster and further from the inoculation site when it is co-inoculated with <italic>Xff</italic> (Cooksey and Schiller, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">2003</xref>). A year later, all the inoculated plants displayed PD symptoms, but the symptoms of those co-inoculated with <italic>A. johnsonii</italic> GX123 were less severe (Lee and Cooksey, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B121">2004</xref>). The results suggest strain GX123 is a promising biocontrol tool, although more tests are needed to confirm the efficiency of this gum-degrader in vines.</p>
<p>Another virulence factor of <italic>Xff</italic> targeted by researchers through endophytes is DSF. The role of DSF has already been described above. During a 5-year study, Lindow and his collaborators exploited the role of DSF to highjack cell-cell communication in XYLEFA. Among others, they collected grapevines from PD affected vineyards and tomato and cruciferous crop plants infected with pathogens <italic>Xanthomonas campestris</italic> pv. <italic>vessicatoria</italic> and <italic>X. campestris</italic> pv. <italic>campestris</italic> (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B132">2004</xref>). In all, they unraveled two types of disturbance of the cell-cell signaling by the isolates: DSF degradation and another unidentified mode of DSF inhibition (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B132">2004</xref>). They also isolated endophytes that can produce DSF (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B132">2004</xref>). The DSF-producing strains were all <italic>Xanthomonas spp</italic>., while the DSF-inhibitory ones belonged to the genera <italic>Paenibacillus, Pseudomonas, Staphylococcus</italic>, and <italic>Bacillus</italic> (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B132">2004</xref>). To test the potential of all isolate categories, they co-inoculated vines with <italic>Xff</italic> plus either the DSF-producing or the DSF-inhibitory isolates in the greenhouse. In spite of their insufficient systemic spread in the vine, all categories reduced PD symptoms, with DSF-producing isolates appearing to perform slightly better than the DSF-inhibitory isolates (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B132">2004</xref>). Thus, all the isolates proved very promising as protective agents for grapevines against <italic>Xff</italic> (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B133">2005</xref>).</p>
<p>Finally, fungal endophytes have also been considered for the protection of vines against PD. First, Rolshausen et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B163">2010</xref>) isolated endophytic fungi from PD-escape vines. Later, <italic>in vitro</italic> studies revealed seven grapevine endophytic fungi, which can significantly inhibit XYLEFA (Rolshausen and Roper, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B162">2016</xref>). The fungi belong to the genera <italic>Aspergillus, Cochliobolus, Cryptococcus, Discostroma, Geomyces, Phaeosphaeria</italic>, and <italic>Ulocladium</italic> (Rolshausen and Roper, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B162">2016</xref>). <italic>In planta</italic> bioassays showed that <italic>Geomyces</italic> sp., <italic>Cochliobolus</italic> sp., and <italic>Cryptococcus</italic> sp. are able to mitigate PD symptoms under greenhouse conditions (Rolshausen and Roper, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B162">2016</xref>; Rolshausen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B164">2017</xref>). Lastly, the research group investigated the healing potential of natural compounds produced by some of those fungi (further details can be found in the &#x0201C;therapeutic strategies&#x0201D; section below)<xref ref-type="fn" rid="fn0001"><sup>1</sup></xref>.</p>
</sec></sec>
<sec id="s3">
<title>Group B: therapeutic strategies</title>
<p>Curative strategies are crucial for the successful protection of vines against <italic>Xff</italic>. These strategies are characterized by the fact that they directly target susceptible plants and can both protect and cure sick vines by eliminating <italic>Xff</italic>. Most therapeutic strategy mechanisms rely heavily on biological control agents, although some exceptions are also reported. Thus, most of the strategies presented below have the advantages of being environmentally friendly, specific and cost effective. Some of them are also based on natural enemies of <italic>Xff</italic>, which minimizes their ecological impact. This is because <italic>Xff</italic> &#x00027;s natural enemies are normally found only where <italic>Xff</italic> is present and are therefore unable to persist to an ecosystem without it and become invasive. A summary of all types of therapeutic strategies reviewed below is depicted in Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">1B</xref>.</p>
<sec>
<title>Bacteriophages of <italic>Xff</italic></title>
<p>Bacteriophages (phages) are viruses that infect bacteria. Phages are classified into the virulent or the temperate group based on their lifestyle. Phages in the virulent group follow a lytic lifestyle, i.e., they destroy the bacterial cells they infect. A given phage species is capable of infecting one bacterial species with a high degree of specificity, usually in the strain level. Owing to this specificity, different virulent phages are chosen and applied in a cocktail to treat bacterial infections. Generally, a cocktail of distinct phages provides robust protection, due to various available phage receptors, and long-lasting protection due to limited possibilities of resistance development (Gill and Hyman, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B77">2010</xref>). Phage therapy is still in its infancy as far as the treatment of crop infections is concerned. However, there are many examples of bacteriophages being isolated against plant pathogenic bacteria of crops, and phage cocktail applications are gradually becoming more common (Doss et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">2017</xref> and references therein). Even though the mechanism of bacteriophage cocktails could fit in either category of the control strategies described in this review, its therapeutic character is emphasized here.</p>
<p>In the case of XYLEFA, a temperate phage was induced from a <italic>Xff</italic> strain supernatant (Summer et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B178">2010</xref>). Phage therapy applies only virulent phages since temperate phages are unstable and could incorporate into the host genome, accidentally transfer genes (transduction) and/or confer superinfection exclusion (Gill and Hyman, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B77">2010</xref>). The first virulent phages against XYLEFA have recently been described by Ahern et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2014</xref>). The group isolated four broad-host range phages, i.e., phages that could infect many different strains of XYLEFA and some strains of <italic>Xanthomonas</italic> species. Two of the isolated phages, Sano and Salvo, belong to the family of <italic>Siphoviridae</italic>, while the other two, Prado and Paz, belong to the family of <italic>Podoviridae</italic> (Ahern et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2014</xref>). Grapevines were inoculated, either pre or post-<italic>Xff</italic> infection, with a cocktail of all four phages, using a titer of 1 &#x000D7; 10<sup>10</sup> PFU/ml. In both experiments, the phage cocktail was able to fully protect vines against <italic>Xff</italic> infection in greenhouse experiments (Das et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">2015</xref>). In another greenhouse-based study, GWSS were used as vectors of phage Paz. Even though GWSS were able to efficiently acquire phage Paz, they could not transmit it to cowpea plants (Bhowmick et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">2016</xref>). All in all, phage therapy is a promising field and more studies are needed to investigate the potential of phages for treating PD and plant bacterial infections in general.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Antagonistic bacterium <italic>paraburkholderia phytofirmans</italic> strain PsJN</title>
<p>The use of biocontrol bacteria against <italic>Xff</italic> has been presented in the &#x0201C;preventive strategies&#x0201D; section. Nevertheless, <italic>Paraburkholderia phytofirmans</italic> strain PsJN is also therapeutic since it has been quite successful in curing infected vines. PsJN was first isolated from onion roots (Sessitsch et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B171">2005</xref>) and successfully colonized vines epiphytically and endophytically during in planta trials (Compant et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">2008</xref>). Although the titer and spread of PsJN within the vines 6 weeks after inoculation resembled that of XYLEFA, population sizes measured 12 weeks after inoculation were quite low (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B128">2015</xref>). <italic>In planta</italic> experiments demonstrated that the endophyte can inhibit growth of XYLEFA in various vine cultivars when co-inoculated or even when inoculated 30 days after the pathogen (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B127">2017a</xref>). Another attractive characteristic is that PsJN can control PD not only when inoculated but also when applied foliarly, provided it is combined with a penetrative surfactant (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B128">2015</xref>). Field experiments and further attempts to decipher how PsJN mediates control of PD are in progress (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B127">2017a</xref>). Results indicate that PD mitigation does not derive from a putative <italic>rpfF</italic> gene of PsJN. Instead, a small molecule, active in low concentrations may interfere with <italic>Xff</italic> quorum-sensing regulation and biofilm formation (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B127">2017a</xref>). Furthermore, it is hypothesized that, together with the signaling molecule, PsJN may trigger host immune defense responses (Lindow et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B127">2017a</xref>).</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Natural, antibacterial substances</title>
<p>Up to now, the application of chemical compounds has played a leading role in agriculture and been a widespread practice for controlling plant pathogens in the field. However, recent legislation, such as Directive 2009/128/EC (European Parliament Council, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">2009</xref>), requires the reduction of synthetic pesticides in agriculture owing to their environmental impact and risks to human health (Dayan et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">2009</xref>). Thus, there is a particular requirement to discover and develop more natural pesticides to replace their chemical counterparts (Dayan et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">2009</xref>). Fortunately, the alternative of applying natural product-based compounds is not wholly new to agricultural scientists.</p>
<p>In the case of PD, researchers have tried to identify and evaluate various natural, antibacterial substances against <italic>Xff</italic>. One such study assessed the use of fungal natural products that can inhibit XYLEFA <italic>in vitro</italic> (Rolshausen and Roper, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B162">2016</xref>). First, radicinin produced by <italic>Cochliobolus</italic> sp., and later crude extracts from the endophytes <italic>Eurotium</italic> sp., <italic>Geomyces</italic> sp., and <italic>Ulocladium</italic> sp. successfully inhibited XYLEFA <italic>in vitro</italic> (Rolshausen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B165">2015</xref>). Radicinin is a known, naturally produced fungal compound, and its antibacterial and phytotoxic properties are well described (Aldrich et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">2015</xref> and references therein). Radicinin&#x00027;s mode of action against XYLEFA is <italic>via</italic> a mechanism that involves inactivation of <italic>Xff</italic> proteases (Aldrich et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">2015</xref>). Radicinin is currently being tested for its curing potential <italic>in planta</italic> under greenhouse conditions (Rolshausen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B164">2017</xref>).</p>
<p>In another study on antibacterial molecules, (Kuzina et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B117">2006</xref>) screened PD and other XYLEFA strains using various antibiotics and antimicrobial peptides. Earlier, Kirkpatrick et al. had tested the antibiotic tetracycline <italic>in vitro</italic> (Kirkpatrick et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B107">2001</xref>) and the antibiotic streptomycin <italic>in planta</italic> (Kirkpatrick et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B108">2004</xref>) and found them to be effective against XYLEFA. The study of those antibiotics was moved to the field and a report on their effect is still pending. The study of Kuzina et al. was restricted to <italic>in vitro</italic> assays, but is still noteworthy due to the extent of the antibacterial molecules tested. Of the 12 antibiotics tested, the best candidates for XYLEFA control were gentamicin (0.5&#x02013;1 &#x003BC;g/ml), tetracycline (1&#x02013;4 &#x003BC;g/ml), ampicillin, kanamycin, and novobiocin (4&#x02013;8 &#x003BC;g/ml), chloramphenicol (1&#x02013;8 &#x003BC;g/ml), and rifampin (2&#x02013;8 &#x003BC;g/ml) (ibid). Moreover, out of the 18 antimicrobial peptides tested, only four, namely PGQ, indolicidin, magainin 2, and dermaseptin, strongly inhibited all XYLEFA strains in the study (Kuzina et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B117">2006</xref>). On the one hand, further studies are necessary to develop the right delivery system of those molecules to grapevines (Kuzina et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B117">2006</xref>). On the other hand, it is less likely that any antibacterial molecules will be permitted for in planta applications against <italic>Xff</italic>, because of their adverse killing of other plant beneficial microbes and their use in human therapy.</p>
<p>A similar study investigated the anti-Xylella effect of 12 phenolic compounds <italic>in vitro</italic> (Maddox et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B134">2010</xref>). The researchers studied two PD strains and two strains infecting almond for their sensitivity to caffeic acid, catechin, p-coumaric acid, resveratrol, rutin, sinapic acid, catechol, coumarin, ferulic acid, gallic acid, naringenin, and quercetin (Maddox et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B134">2010</xref>). All the tested compounds were able to efficiently inhibit <italic>Xff</italic>, but catechol, caffeic acid and resveratrol had the greatest effect (Maddox et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B134">2010</xref>). Nonetheless, the mechanism of inhibition of those compounds remains unknown. Lastly, potted PD-infected vines were inoculated with the microelement zinc sulfate/oxide (Kirkpatrick et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B108">2004</xref>). The vines were assessed over a three-year period and exhibited noteworthy recovery from PD (Kirkpatrick et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B108">2004</xref>). Even though no results of field studies have been published yet, the use of phenolics may be restricted, owing to their wide range of inhibition that can also impact beneficial microbes of vines.</p>
<p>Other molecules with antibacterial properties have been tested <italic>in planta</italic> and produced promising results. Nevertheless, the host challenged was not grapevine so they will only be mentioned briefly here. N-Acetylcysteine, a molecule used in medicine to disrupt disulfide bonds in mucus, was able to reduce citrus variegated chlorosis symptoms <italic>in planta</italic> (Muranaka et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B141">2013</xref>). In another study an antimicrobial peptide from a tarantula spider, gomesin, interfered with two citrus variegated chlorosis strains and reduced their virulence <italic>in planta</italic> (Foga&#x000E7;a et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">2010</xref>). Generally, the combination of molecules that can reduce biofilm formation of XYLEFA with antimicrobial compounds is of good potential and should be considered in future. This is significant considering that biofilms greatly increase bacterial resistance to antimicrobial compounds (Mah and O&#x00027;Toole, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B135">2001</xref>). On the other hand, strategies of biofilm reduction can be efficient during the early stages of XYLEFA infection. In later stages, reduction of virulence has been attempted following the opposite approach, i.e., increased adhesiveness and reduced motility, such as in the study of Lindow et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B131">2014</xref>).</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Other defense-stimulating compounds</title>
<p>Defense-stimulating compounds have also been included in trials against <italic>Xff</italic>. The first case study, by Meyer and Kirkpatrick (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B137">2011</xref>), investigated the curative effect of ABA. This is a typical plant hormone that regulates plant growth, seed dormancy, and stomatal function. In addition to these roles, ABA is an important factor in plant responses to a disease. In a greenhouse trial, Meyer and Kirkpatrick (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B137">2011</xref>) applied ABA to grapevines infected by <italic>Xff via</italic> foliar sprays or soil drenches. The trial ran for three consecutive years and the exogenous ABA applications were performed using one naturally occurring and one synthetic ABA (Meyer and Kirkpatrick, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B137">2011</xref>). The treated vines exhibited significant recovery from PD, and the researchers further noted a significant rise in the phenolic compound concentration in those vines. This implied a positive correlation between successful ABA treatments and the content of phenolic compounds in the sap (Meyer and Kirkpatrick, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B137">2011</xref>). Other than ABA, metal chelators have been recommended for the inhibition of <italic>Xff</italic>. Koh and Toney (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B113">2005</xref>) reported that biofilm formation can be blocked <italic>via</italic> iron chelators such as lactoferrin, EDTA (ethylenediaminetetraacetic acid) and EDDS (ethylenediamine-N, N&#x02032;-disuccinic acid). It was hypothesized that the possible mechanism of action is connected to iron deprivation for XYLEFA (Koh and Toney, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B113">2005</xref>).</p>
<p>This review concerns control strategies already tested but many more studies could serve as a source of inspiration for the development of efficient strategies against <italic>Xff</italic>. For example, a recent study by Zaini et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B189">2018</xref>) has specified various response mechanisms of vines to <italic>Xff</italic> infection that could be exploited, including accumulation of gamma-aminobutyric acid and upregulation of phytoalexins. As presented in this first section, various prophylactic and therapeutic strategies have already been proposed in order to minimize the effects of <italic>Xff</italic> in vineyards. A substantial number of these strategies appear promising. To evaluate the efficacy of all current and future approaches, the following section will model the spread of <italic>Xff</italic> in a population of vines.</p></sec></sec>
<sec id="s4">
<title><italic>Xff</italic> epidemiological model</title>
<sec>
<title>Description of the <italic>Xff</italic> epidemiological model</title>
<p>This section elaborates an epidemiological model of <italic>Xff</italic> with the aim of deciphering key parameters for the spread of PD. To the authors&#x00027; knowledge, only one relevant model has so far been published (Perring et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B149">2003</xref>). Given that the model of Perring et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B149">2003</xref>) is still in a preliminary form, the <italic>Xff</italic> epidemiological model made in the following section was based on a malaria model by Chitnis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">2005</xref>). To calibrate the present model, SC was used as a reference due to the consistency of studies and the severity of PD there (Rapicavoli et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B158">2017</xref>). Even though the model presented here is expected to be applicable to any high-transmission region of <italic>Xff</italic>, it would be advisable to perform these analyses again with suitable parameter values. This will allow users to verify whether the significance of various parameters remains as reported here for the new regions of interest.</p>
<sec>
<title>Definition of the vine state variables of the <italic>Xff</italic> epidemiological model</title>
<p>This model describes the dynamics of a vine population under high PD pressure. The <italic>Xff</italic> epidemiological model (Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">2</xref>) divides the vine population into three classes: healthy (S<sub>h</sub>), latent (L<sub>h</sub>), and symptomatic (I<sub>h</sub>). A vine becomes latent only after an infected GWSS vector manages to probe the vine and successfully inject <italic>Xff</italic> into the vine&#x00027;s xylem (Killiny and Almeida, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B104">2014</xref>). Generally, a probe involves all GWSS behaviors starting from the penetration of its stylet and ending with stylet withdrawal (Sandanayaka and Backus, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B167">2008</xref>). Once in the latent stage, a vine does not yet display any PD symptoms, but harbors sufficient <italic>Xff</italic> titers to infect a healthy GWSS (Hill and Purcell, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B89">1997</xref>; Schaad et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B170">2002</xref>). Latent vines can then either recover or start developing symptoms. Vines that enter the latent stage in late summer often recover and revert to the healthy stage if the following winter is cold. Low winter temperatures are hostile to <italic>Xff</italic> growth and do not allow the pathogen to become established inside the vine (Feil and Purcell, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">2001</xref>; Purcell, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B154">2013</xref>). Furthermore, severe winter pruning may enhance, but not replace, the curing effect of low temperatures (Daugherty et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">2018</xref>). Vines that entered the latent stage during early spring and summer become symptomatic within two to 12 months (Hopkins and Purcell, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B95">2002</xref>). Symptomatic vines cannot recover and will decline within a year of infection at the earliest (Varela et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B182">2015</xref>).</p>
<fig id="F2" position="float">
<label>Figure 2</label>
<caption><p>Schematic of the <italic>Xff</italic> epidemiological model showing the transition of the vine and GWSS populations to different stages due to <italic>Xff</italic> presence. State variables referring to the stages of GWSS are healthy <italic>S</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub> and infected <italic>I</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub>. State variables referring to the stages of vines are healthy <italic>S</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub>, latent <italic>L</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> and symptomatic <italic>I</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub>. Displayed on each transition between the state variables are the rates at which they happen in the model (see Equations 1&#x02013;5). The model parameters can be found in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">4</xref>.</p></caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fmicb-09-02141-g0002.tif"/>
</fig></sec>
<sec>
<title>Definition of the GWSS state variables of the <italic>Xff</italic> epidemiological model</title>
<p>As experience in the case of SC, GWSS is the insect vector likely to lead a vine population to a PD epidemic (Rapicavoli et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B158">2017</xref>). For the <italic>Xff</italic> model, the GWSS population was divided into two classes: healthy (S<sub>v</sub>) and infected (I<sub>v</sub>). A healthy GWSS would pass into the infected stage only after successfully probing a vine that is either latent or symptomatic. Generally, plants other than vine can also infect GWSS (Almeida et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">2005a</xref>; Janse and Obradovic, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B101">2010</xref>). However, such plant hosts are either non-existent or inconsiderable sources of infection in SC (Mizell et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B140">2008a</xref>; Almeida and Nunney, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">2015</xref>), the region used in this model as a reference. In GWSS, <italic>Xff</italic> multiplies in the vector&#x00027;s foregut (Purcell et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B155">1979</xref>) and can be transmitted by that GWSS in less than an hour (Almeida and Purcell, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">2003</xref>). GWSS has neither transovarial nor transstadial transmission of <italic>Xff</italic>, but nymphs of the vector may carry <italic>Xff</italic>, and adults that acquire <italic>Xff</italic> remain infected for life (Almeida et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">2005a</xref>; Chatterjee et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">2008</xref>). New GWSS are born at a constant per capita birth rate. For the <italic>Xff</italic> model, it was assumed that GWSS are &#x0201C;born&#x0201D; as adults. This is a simplifying but realistic assumption, since the adult stage lasts substantially longer and is generally more active in the dispersal of <italic>Xff</italic> than any nymphal stage of GWSS (Mizell et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B140">2008a</xref>; Lauzi&#x000E8;re and S&#x000E9;tamou, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B119">2010</xref>). The acquisition of <italic>Xff</italic> appears to have no effect on GWSS longevity or fertility (Mizell et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B139">2008b</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Differential equations of the <italic>Xff</italic> epidemiological model</title>
<p>To model the spread of <italic>Xff</italic> in a population of vines, the following system of differential equations was used:
<disp-formula id="E1"><label>(1)</label><mml:math id="M1"><mml:mtable columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C8;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BB;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E2"><label>(2)</label><mml:math id="M2"><mml:mtable columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>I</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BB;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>I</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E3"><label>(3)</label><mml:math id="M3"><mml:mtable columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C8;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BB;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003B3;</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E4"><label>(4)</label><mml:math id="M4"><mml:mtable columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BB;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003B3;</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003BD;</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E5"><label>(5)</label><mml:math id="M5"><mml:mtable columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>I</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003BD;</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>I</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
The state variables of the model are shown in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">3</xref> and the parameters used in the model are shown in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">4</xref>.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T3">
<label>Table 3</label>
<caption><p>State variables of the <italic>Xff</italic> epidemiological model.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>N<sub><italic>v</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Total number of GWSS</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>S<sub><italic>v</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Number of healthy GWSS</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>I<sub><italic>v</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Number of infected GWSS</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>N<sub><italic>h</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Total number of vines</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>S<sub><italic>h</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Number of healthy vines</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>L<sub><italic>h</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Number of latent vines</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>I<sub><italic>h</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Number of symptomatic vines</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T4">
<label>Table 4</label>
<caption><p>Parameters of the <italic>Xff</italic> epidemiological model.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003C8;<sub><italic>v</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Per capita birth rate of GWSS, time <sup>&#x02212;1</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003C8;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Per capita replacement rate of (missing) vines, time <sup>&#x02212;1</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>N<sub><italic>h</italic>0</sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">The maximum number of vines, unit</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>1</sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Density-independent part of GWSS death rate, time <sup>&#x02212;1</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>2</sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Density-dependent part of GWSS death rate, vector <sup>&#x02212;1</sup>&#x000D7; time <sup>&#x02212;1</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>f</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub>(<italic>N</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub>) &#x0003D; &#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>1</sub>&#x0002B; &#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>2</sub><italic>N</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Per capita density-dependent death rate of GWSS, time <sup>&#x02212;1</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003BC;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PD-independent death and removal rate of vines, time <sup>&#x02212;1</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003BC;<sub><italic>x</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PD-induced removal rate of vines, time <sup>&#x02212;1</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M12"><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BB;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B2;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>&#x003C3;</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>I</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:math></inline-formula></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Per capita inoculation rate for GWSS, time <sup>&#x02212;1</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M13"><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BB;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B2;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mi>&#x003C3;</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>I</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:math></inline-formula></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Per capita inoculation rate for vines, time <sup>&#x02212;1</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Probability of transmission from vine to GWSS during a probe, dimensionless</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003B2;<sub><italic>vh</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Probability of transmission from GWSS to vine during a probe, dimensionless</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x003C3;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Number of probes a GWSS performs on vines per unit of time, dimensionless</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x003BD;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rate of progression from latent to symptomatic vine, time <sup>&#x02212;1</sup></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x003B3;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rate of recovery for latent vines, time <sup>&#x02212;1</sup></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Expression of the differential equations in the fractional system</title>
<p>To facilitate analysis, state variables over the total populations were expressed as
<disp-formula id="E6"><mml:math id="M6"><mml:mtable columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>I</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>;</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x02003;</mml:mtext><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>;</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x02003;</mml:mtext><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>;</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x02003;</mml:mtext><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>l</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>;</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x02003;</mml:mtext><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>I</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
in order to arrive at an equivalent system in terms of fractional quantities
<disp-formula id="E7"><label>(6)</label><mml:math id="M7"><mml:mtable columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BB;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C8;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E8"><label>(7)</label><mml:math id="M8"><mml:mtable columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C8;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E9"><label>(8)</label><mml:math id="M9"><mml:mtable columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C8;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>l</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BB;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003B3;</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>l</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E10"><label>(9)</label><mml:math id="M10"><mml:mtable columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>l</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BB;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>&#x003B3;</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>l</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>l</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>l</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
<disp-formula id="E11"><label>(10)</label><mml:math id="M11"><mml:mtable columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>l</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
</sec></sec>
<sec>
<title>Baseline parameter values</title>
<p>As mentioned earlier, baseline parameter values were chosen that refer to SC. These values are presented below (Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T5">5</xref>) and an explanation given for their selection. All the values utilized are estimates from the literature.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T5">
<label>Table 5</label>
<caption><p>Baseline parameter values applied to calibrate the <italic>Xff</italic> epidemiological model.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003C8;<sub><italic>v</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.32, 2.1 eggs per female per day, 30% of which survive</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003C8;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1/365, giving an average replacement time of 365 days</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>N<sub><italic>h</italic>0</sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">10000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>1</sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.01, giving an average lifetime of 100 days</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>2</sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1.55 &#x000D7; 10<sup>&#x02212;5</sup>, which leads to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M14"><mml:mrow><mml:mfrac bevelled='true'><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003BC;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1.1 &#x000D7; 10<sup>&#x02212;4</sup>, giving an average lifetime of 25 years</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003BC;<sub><italic>x</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1/180, giving an expected time of vine removal once symptomatic of 180 days</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003B2;<sub><italic>vh</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.35</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x003C3;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1.5, GWSS performs 5 probes, 30% of which are on vines</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x003BD;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1/120, average time of progressing 120 days</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x003B3;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.0033, giving a 28% chance of recovery once a vine has become latent</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<sec>
<title>Model parameters for GWSS</title>
<p>Since vines contract PD only <italic>via</italic> specialized insect vectors, parameters that describe GWSS behavior are essential to this model. Only the adult stage of the GWSS life cycle was included, thus the birth rate was adjusted to account for egg and nymphal survival. One female GWSS lays 2.1 eggs per day on average during the active oviposition period (S&#x000E9;tamou and Jones, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B172">2005</xref>). It was assumed that eggs are produced through a constant per capita birth rate, and that 50% of all female GWSS lay eggs every day (Sisterson, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B173">2008</xref>). Based on the values given by Lauzi&#x000E8;re and S&#x000E9;tamou (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B119">2010</xref>), it was estimated that 30% of the total number of eggs would survive due to environmental pressures, such as egg parasitism, rather than greenhouse conditions. Therefore the per capita birth rate, &#x003C8;<sub><italic>v</italic></sub>, of GWSS was 0.32 per day and the per capita density-dependent death rate of GWSS was (&#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>1</sub> &#x0002B; &#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>2</sub> &#x000D7; <italic>N</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub>).</p>
<p>The density-independent part of the death rate of GWSS, &#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>1</sub>, was set at 1/100 per day, which is in agreement with the already reported longevity of this vector (Lauzi&#x000E8;re and S&#x000E9;tamou, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B119">2010</xref>). The density-dependent part, &#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>2</sub>, is the parameter that largely controls the equilibrium size of the GWSS population. For most of this analysis, a GWSS population of approximately twice the size of the vine population was used, in conditions when PD is not present. This estimate was based on Krugner et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B116">2012</xref>), the 2016 Citrus Acreage Report (NASS/CDFA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B142">2017a</xref>) and the 2016 Grape Acreage Report (NASS/CDFA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B143">2017b</xref>). To obtain such a size of GWSS population, &#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>2</sub> was set accordingly. However, &#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>2</sub> was also varied to simulate situations with different numbers of GWSS per vine (spatial distribution of vectors) and to explore how this affects the disease dynamics (Figures <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">3</xref>, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">4</xref>).</p>
<fig id="F3" position="float">
<label>Figure 3</label>
<caption><p>Equilibrium prevalence of PD in the GWSS population <bold>(A)</bold> and in the vine population <bold>(B)</bold>, as a function of GWSS density, i.e., the relation between the equilibrium total number of GWSS, <italic>N</italic><sup>&#x0002A;</sup>and the maximum number of vines <italic>N</italic><sub><italic>h</italic>0</sub>. The equilibrium values are presented using the expression of the state variables in the fractional system. These are infected GWSS over the total number of GWSS <italic>i</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub>, healthy vines over the maximum number of vines <italic>s</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub>, latent vines over the maximum number of vines <italic>l</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> and infected vines over the maximum number of vines <italic>i</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub>. Denoted as <italic>N</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub>/<italic>N</italic><sub><italic>h</italic>0</sub> is the number of vines in the population at a given time over the maximum number of vines. To obtain the equilibria at different GWSS densities, a numerical simulation was run with each value, starting from an initial low level of infection (<italic>i</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub> &#x0003D; 0.1 and <italic>s</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> &#x0003D; 1) until the system had converged to a steady state. Other parameter values remain as in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T5">5</xref>. The plot shows that PD becomes endemic at a GWSS density of &#x0007E;0.01 GWSS per vine.</p></caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fmicb-09-02141-g0003.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="F4" position="float">
<label>Figure 4</label>
<caption><p>A numerical simulation of the model, with parameter values given in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T5">5</xref>, in order to confirm the existence of a stable endemic equilibrium. The initial conditions for the state variables (Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">3</xref>) were: <italic>S</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> &#x0003D; 10,000; <italic>L</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> &#x0003D; 0; <italic>I</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub> &#x0003D; 0; <italic>S</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub> &#x0003D; 18,000; <italic>I</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub> &#x0003D; 2,000. The plot shows that a stable endemic equilibrium is indeed established within &#x0007E;2 years for both the GWSS and vine populations (<bold>A,B</bold>, respectively).</p></caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fmicb-09-02141-g0004.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>The probability of transmission from vine to vector during a probe, &#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub>, is known as vector acquisition efficiency in the XYLEFA vector literature, and the probability of transmission from vector to vine during a probe, &#x003B2;<sub><italic>vh</italic></sub>, as vector inoculation efficiency. GWSS acquisition efficiency is poor when the titer of <italic>Xff</italic> in the vine is low and can increase when probing duration increases, but only for a period of up to 6 h (Almeida and Purcell, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">2003</xref> and references therein). GWSS inoculation efficiency for a GWSS individual depends on probing duration (Almeida and Purcell, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">2003</xref>). Nevertheless, the existence of other factors affecting GWSS inoculation and acquisition efficiency should be clarified in order to design successful control strategies (Daugherty and Almeida, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">2009</xref>). Both probability values were extracted from the literature (Almeida and Purcell, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">2003</xref>).</p>
<p>The number of probes on vines were set per unit of time at &#x003C3; &#x0003D; 1.5, after combining information on the number of probes (Sandanayaka and Backus, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B167">2008</xref>) and GWSS preference for vine (Daane et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">2003</xref>; Mizell et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B140">2008a</xref>). Moreover, the impact of seasonality and field conditions were also incorporated because they reduce the number of probes a GWSS can perform on a host plant (Blua and Morgan, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">2003</xref>). It should be noted that this definition of &#x003C3; describes a fairly local situation, where it is assumed that the total number of probes the GWSS population performs is distributed evenly across all vines. Therefore, this model does not account for vector aggregation and swarm behavior, although it is acknowledged that these factors can significantly influence disease spread. This concept also affects the per capita rate of inoculation, &#x003BB;, which is a function of the number of probes on vines, the proportion of infected vectors, and the probability of transmission per probe.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Model parameters for vines</title>
<p>The vine population is an artificial one, and its maximum size <italic>N</italic><sub><italic>h</italic>0</sub> considered to be the number that the vine-grower aims to maintain. Vines are being removed at a constant rate, &#x003BC;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub>, because of age and other diseases. The PD-independent death and removal rate of vines, was set at 1.1 &#x000D7; 10<sup>&#x02212;4</sup> per day to reach an average lifespan of 25 years. This choice is in accordance with practices of Californian vineyards (Alston et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">2013</xref>). In SC, vine-growers are advised to rogue vines within the first year of PD symptom development (Varela et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B182">2015</xref>). Vines start showing symptoms within two to 12 months of infection (Hopkins and Purcell, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B95">2002</xref>). Considering these two factors, the PD-induced death and removal rate of vines, &#x003BC;<sub><italic>x</italic></sub>, was estimated to be equal to 1/180 per day, so that the average time it takes for a symptomatic vine to be removed is 6 months. The missing vines, corresponding to the difference between <italic>N</italic><sub><italic>h</italic>0</sub> and <italic>N</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub>, are being replaced at a constant per capita rate &#x003C8;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub>. Consequently, in the absence of PD, vines have a stable population level <italic>N</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> &#x0003C; <italic>N</italic><sub><italic>h</italic>0</sub>.</p>
<p>The per capita replacement of missing vines, &#x003C8;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub>, was set at 1/365 per day to reflect viticulture guidelines and nurseries&#x00027; responsiveness (Alston et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">2013</xref>; Daniels et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">2017</xref>). It was assumed that all vines that enter the population from a nursery are free of <italic>Xff</italic>. Latent vines recover at a constant rate, &#x003B3;, or progress to the symptomatic stage at a constant rate, &#x003BD;. It was gauged that the cold-curing effect and severe winter pruning support a 28% chance of recovery (Lieth et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B123">2011</xref>; Daugherty et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">2018</xref>), thus &#x003B3; &#x0003D; 0.0033 per day. Alternatively, latent vines become symptomatic in an average of 120 days (Li et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B122">2002</xref>), thus the progression from latent to symptomatic vine, &#x003BD;, was estimated to be 1/120 per day.</p>
</sec></sec>
<sec>
<title>Disease-free equilibria</title>
<p>The dynamics of the total number of GWSS <italic>N</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub> is not affected by the disease. Hence, the equilibrium number of GWSS is always given by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M15"><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mo>&#x02194;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:math></inline-formula> or <inline-formula><mml:math id="M16"><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C8;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:math></inline-formula>. Clearly, the non-trivial equilibrium exists only if &#x003C8;<sub><italic>v</italic></sub> &#x0003E; &#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>1</sub>, and is asymptotically stable. It is denoted by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M17"><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
<p>For the vine, in the absence of disease the only dynamics are:
<disp-formula id="E12"><mml:math id="M18"><mml:mrow><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C8;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
that is the non-PD-related death and removal, and subsequent replacement. This gives the disease-free equilibrium for vine <inline-formula><mml:math id="M19"><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C8;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C8;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:math></inline-formula>, which equals approximately 0.96 for the parameter values in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T5">5</xref>. Taken together, the disease-free equilibrium of the whole system is <inline-formula><mml:math id="M20"><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>l</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Basic reproduction number</title>
<p>The basic reproduction number <italic>R</italic><sub>0</sub> is a metric to determine whether an infection will spread in a healthy population. There are different definitions and ways to calculate it. Generally, though, <italic>R</italic><sub>0</sub> aims to approximate the number of secondary infections one infected individual will cause when it enters a fully susceptible population. Thus <italic>R</italic><sub>0</sub> &#x0003C; 1 would mean the disease will not establish itself. Following Diekmann et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">2009</xref>), the basic reproduction number was calculated using
<disp-formula id="E13"><mml:math id="M21"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>R</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>K</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>K</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
where <italic>K</italic><sub><italic>vh</italic></sub> and <italic>K</italic><sub><italic>hv</italic></sub> are, respectively, the number of vines one infected GWSS is expected to infect and the number of GWSS to which one infected vine is expected to transmit the pathogen, assuming a completely healthy population. <italic>K</italic><sub><italic>vh</italic></sub> and <italic>K</italic><sub><italic>hv</italic></sub> are given by
<disp-formula id="E14"><mml:math id="M22"><mml:mtable columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>K</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C3;</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B2;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mn>2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>K</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C3;</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B2;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B3;</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B3;</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003C3;</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003B2;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>&#x0002B;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x003BC;</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
<p><italic>K</italic><sub><italic>vh</italic></sub> translates as the product of GWSS expected lifetime and the rate at which the vector successfully inoculates a vine. <italic>K</italic><sub><italic>hv</italic></sub> equals the expected time the vine spends at the latent stage multiplied by the number of successful transmissions to a GWSS. The second summand of <italic>K</italic><sub><italic>hv</italic></sub> describes the same, but for the symptomatic stage, multiplied by the probability of transitioning from the latent to the symptomatic stage. Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F5">5</xref> displays how the basic reproduction number depends on the probing rate, &#x003C3;, and GWSS density, i.e., the relation between the equilibrium total number of GWSS, <italic>N</italic><sup>&#x0002A;</sup>and the maximum number of vines<italic>N</italic><sub><italic>h</italic>0</sub>. Specifically, it shows that a combined increase in GWSS density and probing rate positively affects the chances of establishment of endemic PD in the vine population.</p>
<fig id="F5" position="float">
<label>Figure 5</label>
<caption><p>The basic reproduction number <italic>R</italic><sub>0</sub> indicates whether a disease can establish itself in a healthy population through an initial infection. Namely when <italic>R</italic><sub>0</sub> &#x0003C; 1, the disease-free equilibrium of the whole system, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M23"><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>l</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>v</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mn>0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>&#x000A0;</mml:mtext><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> is stable and a small number of infected individuals will not cause endemic PD. GWSS density is defined as <inline-formula><mml:math id="M24"><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mn>0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, which is the relation between the equilibrium total number of GWSS, <italic>N</italic><sup>&#x0002A;</sup>, and the maximum number of vines <italic>N</italic><sub><italic>h</italic>0</sub>. The plot shows how the combined increase in GWSS density and probing rate positively affects <italic>R</italic><sub>0</sub>. The rest of the model parameters are fixed to the values given in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T5">5</xref>.</p></caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fmicb-09-02141-g0005.tif"/>
</fig></sec>
<sec>
<title>Endemic equilibrium</title>
<p>An endemic equilibrium is a steady state solution in which the disease will persist in the system. Numerical simulations of this system indicate that there is a unique endemic equilibrium and that it is asymptotically stable when <italic>R</italic><sub>0</sub> &#x0003E; 1. To examine how GWSS density affects the equilibria, simulations were performed for different values of GWSS density. For each value of vector density, a numerical simulation was started with a small initial number of infected individuals (<italic>i</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub> &#x0003D; 0.1 and <italic>s</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> &#x0003D; 1) and run until sufficient convergence was achieved. The obtained results are displayed in Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">3</xref> and show that PD becomes endemic at a GWSS density of approximately 0.01 GWSS per vine (Figures <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">3A,B</xref>).</p>
<p>To show that this system indeed reaches an endemic equilibrium for the baseline parameter values of Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T5">5</xref>, a numerical simulation was run starting from a low initial <italic>Xff</italic> presence in the system (<italic>S</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> &#x0003D; 10,000; <italic>L</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> &#x0003D; 0; <italic>I</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub> &#x0003D; 0; <italic>S</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub> &#x0003D; 18,000; <italic>I</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub> &#x0003D; 2,000). The simulation yielded persistence of <italic>Xff</italic> in the system and establishment of a stable endemic equilibrium within approximately two years for both the GWSS and vine populations (Figures <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">4A,B</xref>, respectively).</p>
<p>Unfortunately, the aforementioned equilibria could not be solved analytically. Rigorous proof of their existence and type falls outside the scope of this paper.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Sensitivity analysis and identification of key parameters for PD control</title>
<p>The aim of this model was to assess the importance of different parameters of PD epidemiology and, through them, suggest which control strategies would be more efficient against <italic>Xff</italic> spread. To that end, a sensitivity analysis was performed for the model parameters following the approach detailed in Arriola and Hyman (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">2009</xref>). The normalized sensitivity index of output <italic>u</italic> to parameter <italic>p</italic> is defined as
<disp-formula id="E15"><label>(11)</label><mml:math id="M25"><mml:mtable columnalign="left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:msub><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>u</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac><mml:mfrac><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x02202;</mml:mi><mml:mi>u</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>&#x02202;</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
This estimates how the output <italic>u</italic> changes when small perturbations are made to the value of <italic>p</italic>. By calculating the sensitivity index for the basic reproduction number, <italic>R</italic><sub>0</sub>, it could be determined which parameters of the model are responsible for the initial transmission of <italic>Xff</italic>. Meanwhile, the sensitivity index was also calculated for the endemic equilibrium and therefore key parameters that induce PD prevalence pinpointed. Given the analytical expression for <italic>R</italic><sub>0</sub>, its sensitivity to the 12 parameters of the <italic>Xff</italic> model could be directly computed. For the endemic equilibrium, a linear system for each parameter was solved first in order to find an expression for <italic>S</italic><sub><italic>up</italic></sub>. This expression was then evaluated at the numerically solved equilibrium value of the state variables. The results of the sensitivity analysis for the different parameters of this model are presented in Tables <xref ref-type="table" rid="T6">6</xref>, <xref ref-type="table" rid="T7">7</xref>.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T6">
<label>Table 6</label>
<caption><p>Sensitivity indices of the basic reproduction number <italic>R</italic><sub>0</sub> to the parameters, evaluated at the values given in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T5">5</xref>.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead><tr>
<th valign="top" align="center" colspan="2"><italic><bold>R</bold></italic><sub><bold>0</bold></sub></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003C8;<sub><italic>v</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.016</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003C8;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02212;0.019</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>N<sub><italic>h</italic>0</sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02212;0.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>1</sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02212;0.016</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>2</sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02212;0.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003BC;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.0088</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003BC;<sub><italic>x</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02212;0.29</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003B2;<sub><italic>vh</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x003C3;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x003BD;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02212;0.057</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x003B3;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02212;0.14</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T7">
<label>Table 7</label>
<caption><p>Sensitivity indices of the endemic equilibrium values of the state variables to the parameters, evaluated at the values given in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T5">5</xref>.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead><tr>
<th/>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold><italic>i<sub><italic>v</italic></sub></italic></bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold><italic>N<sub><italic>v</italic></sub></italic></bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold><italic>s<sub><italic>h</italic></sub></italic></bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold><italic>l<sub><italic>h</italic></sub></italic></bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold><italic>i<sub><italic>h</italic></sub></italic></bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003C8;<sub><italic>v</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.77</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">1.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.27</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.00079</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.0023</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003C8;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.76</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.55</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">1.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>N<sub><italic>h</italic>0</sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.0038</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">1.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.003</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.0088</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>1</sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.00012</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.032</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.032</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.000096</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.00028</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>2</sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.0038</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;1.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">1.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.003</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.0088</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003BC;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.012</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.00025</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.0056</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.036</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003BC;<sub><italic>x</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.014</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.048</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.088</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.72</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.77</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.77</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.0023</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.0067</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003B2;<sub><italic>vh</italic></sub></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.0038</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;1.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.0030</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.0088</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x003C3;</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.77</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;1.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.0052</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.016</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x003BD;</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.27</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.18</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.81</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.56</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x003B3;</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.0011</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">0.28</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.00083</td>
<td valign="top" align="char" char=".">&#x02212;0.0025</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<p>The most sensitive parameter for <italic>R</italic><sub>0</sub> is the number of probes a GWSS performs on a vine per unit of time, &#x003C3;. The sign of this sensitivity index means that as <italic>S</italic><sub><italic>R</italic>0&#x003C3;</sub> &#x0003D; 1, decreasing (or increasing) &#x003C3; by 10% would decrease (or increase) <italic>R</italic><sub>0</sub> by 10%. In other words, the initial transmission of <italic>Xff</italic> would decrease (or increase) by 10%. Other noteworthy parameters are the probability of transmission from vine to GWSS during a probe, &#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub>, and the probability of transmission from GWSS to a vine during a probe, &#x003B2;<sub><italic>vh</italic></sub>. Similar to &#x003C3;, these two parameters are positively correlated to <italic>R</italic><sub>0</sub>. Finally, the maximum number of vines, <italic>N</italic><sub><italic>h</italic>0</sub>, and the density-dependent part of GWSS death rate, &#x003BC;<sub>2<italic>v</italic></sub>, significantly affect <italic>R</italic><sub>0</sub>, and are negatively correlated to it. For most of the parameters, the sign of the sensitivity index of <italic>R</italic><sub>0</sub> agrees with an intuitive expectation. Exceptions are the rate of progression from latent to symptomatic, &#x003BD;, the maximum number of vines, <italic>N</italic><sub><italic>h</italic>0</sub>, and the PD-independent death and removal rate of vines, &#x003BC;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub>.</p>
<p>According to these results (Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T6">6</xref>), the reproduction number increases when the rate of progression from latent to symptomatic decreases. This is because latent vines are a source of infection that cannot be traced and removed by the vine-grower. Thus, the existence of more latent vines in a population would mean more frequent encounters with <italic>Xff</italic> for GWSS. The reproduction number also increases when the maximum number of vines decreases. This is interpreted as being due to a shrinkage of probing options for GWSS. As the maximum number of vines drops, the chances rise that healthy GWSS would end up probing on vines with PD and successfully acquiring the pathogen. Furthermore, the chances that infected GWSS feed on a healthy vine and successfully inoculate <italic>Xff</italic> also rise, causing an overall increase in transmission. Lastly, the reproduction number increases as the PD-independent death and removal rate increases. This happens because the vine population becomes smaller, which enhances the possibility that GWSS would feed on a vine with PD and acquire the pathogen. However, the increase in death and removal also decreases the lifetime of a vine, which has the opposite effect, so the change in the reproduction number is negligible.</p>
<p>According to the sensitivity index of the state parameter <italic>i</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> for the endemic equilibrium, the most influential model parameter for <italic>i</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> is &#x003C8;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub> (Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T7">7</xref>). The same parameter seems to be quite important for <italic>l</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub>, as well. Another noteworthy parameter for <italic>i</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> is &#x003BC;<sub><italic>x</italic></sub> and for both <italic>i</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> and <italic>l</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> is &#x003BD;. At this point, it should be stressed that the three vine state variables of the fractional system, <italic>s</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub>, <italic>l</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> and <italic>i</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub>, are expressed in relation to the maximum number of vines, <italic>N</italic><sub><italic>h</italic>0</sub>, which is a constant parameter. For this reason, when &#x003C8;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub> changes, <italic>s</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub>, <italic>l</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub>, and <italic>i</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> change in the same direction (increase or decrease simultaneously). Nevertheless, the reason why there is an increase in <italic>s</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub>, <italic>l</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub>, and <italic>i</italic><sub><italic>h</italic></sub> when &#x003C8;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub> increases may be difficult to explain. The increase in the per capita replacement rate of vines would lead to an increase in the size of the vine population because the empty spots of the removed vines in the vineyard would be filled in. As a result, there would ultimately be an increase in all three vine stages related to a <italic>Xff</italic> infection. In situations such as the one analyzed here, i.e., when the disease is established in the population, most of this increase would end up mainly boosting the number of latent and infected vines. This would eventually mean that there are fewer healthy vines in relation to vines harboring <italic>Xff</italic> and, by extension, more infected GWSS, just as this model predicts (see <italic>i</italic><sub><italic>v</italic></sub> in relation to &#x003C8;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub>).</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Effectiveness of control strategies for regions with high PD pressure</title>
<p>Subgroups of current control strategies that share a mode of function are defined above. Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T8">8</xref> links the parameters of this model with all the types of control strategies described in the first part of the review (Tables <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">1</xref>, <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">2</xref>).</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T8">
<label>Table 8</label>
<caption><p>Overview of control strategies and the model parameters that represent them.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead><tr>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Control strategies</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Relevant parameters</bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Control of insect vectors</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003C8;<sub><italic>v</italic></sub>, &#x003BC;<sub><italic>v</italic>1</sub>, &#x003C3;, &#x003B2;<sub><italic>vh</italic></sub>, &#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub></italic></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Control of non-vine host plants and vine propagation material</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">None due to model assumptions</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Alteration to cropping techniques</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003C3;, &#x003BC;<sub><italic>x</italic></sub>, &#x003B3;</italic></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Breeding or engineering PD-resistant/-tolerant <italic>V. vinifera</italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub>, &#x003B3;</italic></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Control via avirulent XYLEFA strains</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub>, &#x003B3;</italic></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Control via other beneficial bacteria and fungi</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub>, &#x003B3;</italic></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Bacteriophages of <italic>Xff</italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub>, &#x003BC;<sub><italic>x</italic></sub>, &#x003B3;</italic>, and <italic><bold>v</bold></italic></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Antagonistic bacteria</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub>, &#x003BC;<sub><italic>x</italic></sub>, &#x003B3;</italic>, and <italic><bold>v</bold></italic></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Natural, antibacterial substances</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub>, &#x003BC;<sub><italic>x</italic></sub>, &#x003B3;</italic>, and <italic><bold>v</bold></italic></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Other defense-stimulating compounds</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"><italic>&#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub>, &#x003BC;<sub><italic>x</italic></sub>, &#x003B3;</italic>, and <italic><bold>v</bold></italic></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<p><italic>Parameters &#x003C3;, &#x003B2;<sub>vh</sub>, &#x003B2;<sub>hv</sub>, &#x003BC;<sub>x</sub>, and v, shown by the sensitivity analysis to be key parameters for PD control, are in bold</italic>.</p>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<p>Based on the results of the sensitivity analysis and on Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T8">8</xref>, it can be deduced that strategies reducing mainly &#x003C3;, but also &#x003B2;<sub><italic>vh</italic></sub> and &#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub>, could undermine an initial <italic>Xff</italic> spread. Therefore, GWSS control strategies linked with &#x003C3; are crucial for reducing the incidence of PD in recently invaded areas. Such strategies are those impeding GWSS from feeding on vines or those rendering vines an unpleasant food source for GWSS. Existing strategies that target &#x003C3; are screen barriers that protect vineyards from GWSSs, coating vines with kaolin and harpin-based products, and regulated deficit irrigation. A strategy that could decrease &#x003B2;<sub><italic>vh</italic></sub> and &#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub> is the release of major GWSS predators since their presence would reduce GWSS probing duration on vines. Parameter &#x003B2;<sub><italic>vh</italic></sub> could also be minimized <italic>via</italic> paratransgenesis, while &#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub> appears to be affected by many more strategies. By definition, these involve all prophylactic strategies that breed or engineer resistance/tolerance in vines and that control <italic>Xff</italic> using avirulent XYLEFA strains, beneficial bacteria and fungi (i.e., pre-infection stage). Furthermore, &#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub> is affected by all therapeutic strategies (i.e., post-infection stage). As regards <italic>N</italic><sub><italic>h</italic>0</sub> and &#x003BC;<sub>2<italic>v</italic></sub>, the analysis demonstrated their negative impact on <italic>Xff</italic> transmission. Unfortunately, <italic>N</italic><sub><italic>h</italic>0</sub> and &#x003BC;<sub>2<italic>v</italic></sub> are parameters over which there is no control as they are determined by land availability and vine productivity, and GWSS population dynamics, respectively.</p>
<p>These results, though, combined with the literature review indicate a positive connection between mainly &#x003C8;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub>, but also <italic>v</italic> and the prevalence of PD in a vine population. Moreover, a decrease in &#x003BC;<sub><italic>x</italic></sub> is partially responsible for the eventual successful establishment of <italic>Xff</italic>. Parameter &#x003C8;<sub><italic>h</italic></sub> cannot be managed by a PD control strategy since it strictly depends on the budget of vine-growers and nurseries&#x00027; responsiveness. Evidently, a strategy directly reducing &#x003BC;<sub><italic>x</italic></sub> is the roguing of vines that have developed persistent PD. Parameter <italic>v</italic> does not relate to any strategy of breeding or engineering resistance/tolerance in vines, or strategies that control <italic>Xff</italic> using avirulent XYLEFA strains, beneficial bacteria and fungi. This is correct, given that any preventive strategy is not applicable when the vine reaches the symptomatic stage. Conversely, both <italic>v</italic> and &#x003BC;<sub><italic>x</italic></sub> can be controlled by all the therapeutic strategies mentioned.</p>
<p>Overall, this model shows that all studied therapeutic strategies affect three key parameters: &#x003B2;<sub><italic>hv</italic></sub>, &#x003BC;<sub><italic>x</italic></sub>, and <italic>v</italic>. These parameters appear to contribute by blocking an initial spread of PD and are also extremely promising against <italic>Xff</italic> establishment in a vine population. Hence, it is suggested that research on and application of those strategies need to be prioritized. For areas in which <italic>Xff</italic> is not yet persistent in the majority of vines, vine-growers are advised to principally employ strategies that reduce GWSS preference for vines and vine accessibility. Lastly, the model suggests regular inspection of vineyards to monitor PD symptom severity and expeditious removal of problematic vines. This mode of management may significantly impede <italic>Xff</italic> transmission in a healthy vine population.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s5">
<title>General conclusions</title>
<p>There has been a systematic effort to reduce the presence of <italic>Xff</italic> in vineyards for more than 20 years. To that end, a plethora of approaches has been studied. Considering that the threat of XYLEFA-associated diseases is now increasingly widespread, researchers need to direct their attention toward improving those prophylactic strategies that have already been successful in vineyards. Furthermore, future studies should also focus on therapeutic strategies, such as successful field application of bacteriophage cocktails or other antagonistic microorganisms, since curing infected vines appears to be vital for the survival of the wine industry in PD-demarcated areas. This statement is supported by the results of the numerical simulation of the developed model. It is proposed that alternative strategies, should be designed only when already promising control strategies consistently fail to render the expected results in vineyards. In such an event, researchers should consider the importance of the parameters determined by this model as being crucial to the initial spread and establishment of <italic>Xff</italic> in a healthy vine population. Nonetheless, it should also be borne in mind that the evaluation of key parameters here was based on a model that considered SC, which is a region facing high PD pressure. Shifts regarding the importance of different parameters are to be expected in areas where PD epidemiology has different characteristics.</p></sec>
<sec id="s6">
<title>Author contributions</title>
<p>IK conceived the idea, performed the literature search and collection of data, wrote the review part, designed figures and the model, performed the calculations, contributed to writing the modeling part, and interpreted the results. TP designed the model and the computational framework, ran the model, performed the calculations and analyses, designed figures, contributed to writing the modeling part. LE-J, M-FS, and LH discussed the results and reviewed the manuscript. M-FS and LH were in charge of overall direction and planning.</p>
<sec>
<title>Conflict of interest statement</title>
<p>The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p></sec>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<ack><p>We would like to acknowledge Ariena van Bruggen and Alexander Byth Carstens for contributing to conceiving the original idea for this manuscript. We would also like to thank Julia Harding, Patsy McGaughy, Jennifer Van Court, Andrew Walker, Rodrigo Almeida, Tracy Clevel and Monica Cooper, and Julie McNamara for helpful discussions.</p>
</ack>
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<glossary>
<def-list>
<title>Abbreviations</title>
<def-item><term>XYLEFA</term>
<def><p><italic>Xylella fastidiosa</italic></p></def></def-item>
<def-item><term><italic>Xff</italic></term>
<def><p><italic>Xylella fastidiosa</italic> subsp. <italic>fastidiosa</italic></p></def></def-item>
<def-item><term>PD</term>
<def><p>Pierce&#x00027;s disease</p></def></def-item>
<def-item><term>GWSS</term>
<def><p>glassy-winged sharpshooter</p></def></def-item>
<def-item><term>SC</term>
<def><p>Southern California.</p></def></def-item>
</def-list>
</glossary>
<fn-group>
<fn id="fn0001"><p><sup>1</sup>Readers of this review should be warned that Rolshausen et al. have significantly relied on the Proceedings of Pierce&#x00027;s Disease Research Symposia to publish updates of their project on fungal anti-<italic>Xff</italic> endophytes. The purpose of this review is to offer the readers a complete and detailed overview of all attempts to control <italic>Xff</italic>. Thus, even if not always peer-reviewed, the authors believe that overlooking this project from the review would be reductive.</p></fn>
</fn-group>
<fn-group>
<fn fn-type="financial-disclosure"><p><bold>Funding.</bold> This study was funded by the Horizon 2020 Program of the European Commission within the Marie Sk&#x00142;odowska-Curie Innovative Training Network MicroWine (grant number 643063) and the Danish Research Council for Technology and Production Grants DFF&#x02212;4184-00070 (Phytoprotect).</p></fn>
</fn-group>
</back>
</article>