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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Neurol.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Neurology</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Neurol.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">1664-2295</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fneur.2015.00186</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Neuroscience</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Review</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Fluid Biomarkers in Clinical Trials of Alzheimer&#x02019;s Disease Therapeutics</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name><surname>Ritter</surname> <given-names>Aaron</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1">&#x0002A;</xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://frontiersin.org/people/u/197684"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Cummings</surname> <given-names>Jeffrey</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://frontiersin.org/people/u/264661"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="aff1"><sup>1</sup><institution>Cleveland Clinic Lou Ruvo Center for Brain Health</institution>, <addr-line>Las Vegas, NV</addr-line>, <country>USA</country></aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by"><p>Edited by: Charlotte Elisabeth Teunissen, VU University Medical Center Amsterdam, Netherlands</p></fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by"><p>Reviewed by: Ricardo Insausti, University of Castilla-La Mancha, Spain; Douglas Galasko, University of California San Diego, USA</p></fn>
<corresp content-type="corresp" id="cor1">&#x0002A;Correspondence: Aaron Ritter, Cleveland Clinic Lou Ruvo Center for Brain Health, 888 West Bonneville Avenue, Las Vegas, NV 89016, USA, <email>rittera&#x00040;ccf.org</email></corresp>
<fn fn-type="other" id="fn001"><p>Specialty section: This article was submitted to Neurodegeneration, a section of the journal Frontiers in Neurology</p></fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>31</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2015</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2015</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>6</volume>
<elocation-id>186</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>20</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2015</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>10</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2015</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#x000A9; 2015 Ritter and Cummings.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2015</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Ritter and Cummings</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"><p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</p></license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<p>With the demographic shift of the global population toward longer life expectancy, the number of people living with Alzheimer&#x02019;s disease (AD) has rapidly expanded and is projected to triple by the year 2050. Current treatments provide symptomatic relief but do not affect the underlying pathology of the disease. Therapies that prevent or slow the progression of the disease are urgently needed to avoid this growing public health emergency. Insights gained from decades of research have begun to unlock the pathophysiology of this complex disease and have provided targets for disease-modifying therapies. In the last decade, few therapeutic agents designed to modify the underlying disease process have progressed to clinical trials and none have been brought to market. With the focus on disease modification, biomarkers promise to play an increasingly important role in clinical trials. Six biomarkers have now been included in diagnostic criteria for AD and are regularly incorporated into clinical trials. Three biomarkers are neuroimaging measures&#x02009;&#x02013;&#x02009;hippocampal atrophy measured by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), amyloid uptake as measured by Pittsburg compound B positron emission tomography (PiB-PET), and decreased fluorodeoxyglucose (18F) uptake as measured by PET (FDG-PET)&#x02009;&#x02013;&#x02009;and three are sampled from fluid sources&#x02009;&#x02013;&#x02009;cerebrospinal fluid levels of amyloid &#x003B2;42 (A&#x003B2;42), total tau, and phosphorylated tau. Fluid biomarkers are important because they can provide information regarding the underlying biochemical processes that are occurring in the brain. The purpose of this paper is to review the literature regarding the existing and emerging fluid biomarkers and to examine how fluid biomarkers have been incorporated into clinical trials.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>Alzheimer&#x02019;s disease</kwd>
<kwd>amyloid cascade hypothesis</kwd>
<kwd>amyloid beta</kwd>
<kwd>tau</kwd>
<kwd>clinical trials</kwd>
<kwd>drugs</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<counts>
<fig-count count="2"/>
<table-count count="3"/>
<equation-count count="0"/>
<ref-count count="216"/>
<page-count count="17"/>
<word-count count="16858"/>
</counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="S1" sec-type="introduction">
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Alzheimer&#x02019;s disease (AD), the most common cause of dementia, is a progressive neurodegenerative disorder that becomes more prevalent with increasing age. Currently, there are more than 44&#x02009;&#x000AD;million people worldwide living with dementia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">1</xref>). As the demographics of the global population shift toward longer life, it is projected that this number will be more than triple by the year 2050. With the estimated cost of dementia already exceeding 1% of the world&#x02019;s gross domestic product (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">1</xref>), this rapid increase constitutes a looming public health emergency. Available therapies for AD were approved based on their ability to improve the symptoms of the disease but do not alter underlying pathophysiologic processes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2</xref>). In order to ease the public health burden posed by AD, drugs with disease-modifying properties are urgently needed.</p>
<p>Insights gained from decades of AD research have begun to elucidate the pathophysiology underlying this complex disease. It is now widely accepted that the chain of biochemical events thought to be responsible for AD are triggered many years prior to symptom onset (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">3</xref>). While an enhanced understanding of the two characteristic pathological changes seen in AD&#x02009;&#x02013;&#x02009;plaques composed of amyloid &#x003B2; (A&#x003B2;) and neurofibrillary tangles (NFTs) composed of hyperphoshorylated tau&#x02009;&#x02013;&#x02009;have yielded targets that may be amenable to pharmacological intervention, no therapeutics with potentially disease-modifying properties have advanced past Phase III trials. A number of theories have been proposed to explain this failure: (1) selection of patients based on clinical diagnosis can be inaccurate, leading to the inclusion of large number of patients without AD in clinical trials (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">4</xref>): (2) the timing of interventions designed to clear amyloid&#x02009;&#x02013;&#x02009;at stages when subjects have already begun to manifest the symptoms of mild to moderate dementia&#x02009;&#x02013;&#x02009;is too late in the disease course to affect cognitive change (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">6</xref>): (3) the progression of the disease is too gradual to demonstrate drug&#x02013;placebo differences in &#x0201C;typical length&#x0201D; drug trials (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>): (4) candidate agents have been permitted to advance to Phase III trials without strong evidence of target engagement or disease modification from preclinical models or early clinical trials (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">8</xref>).</p>
<p>New strategies are needed to address the high failure rate in AD drug development. New trial designs, centralized rating and review, more predictive models in preclinical testing, improved clinical outcome measures, and more stringent testing of drugs in Phase II are all strategies that may improve success rates. While proof of efficacy of AD treatments will ultimately depend on demonstration of benefit on clinical measures, biological markers (biomarkers) of underlying disease processes will take on enhanced significance, especially as trials move toward enrolling subjects earlier in the disease process.</p>
<p>Aided by the development of biomarkers, AD is now considered one clinical disease with a continuum through several clinical stages (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>). Reflecting this change in disease conception, several biomarkers have now been accepted widely enough that they have been incorporated into the two most recent research criteria (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">9</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">12</xref>). Three of these biomarkers are imaging biomarkers: hippocampal atrophy as detected by structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI); decreased uptake of (18F) in characteristic regions on positron emission tomography (FDG-PET); and increased amyloid tracer retention on PET (PiB-PET). Three biomarkers are cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) protein levels: low CSF levels of amyloid &#x003B2;42 (A&#x003B2;42) and elevated CSF levels of total (t-tau) and phosphorylated tau (p-tau). Imaging biomarkers are important because they can provide crucial information about topographical changes in the brain. There are a number of excellent reviews describing their use in both clinical practice and drug trials (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">13</xref>). They will not be described here. The focus of this contribution is fluid biomarkers. The purpose of this paper is to review the literature regarding the existing and emerging fluid biomarkers and to examine how fluid biomarkers have been incorporated into clinical trials.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S2">
<title>Fluid Biomarkers Regularly Incorporated into Clinical Trials</title>
<sec id="S2-1">
<title>CSF A&#x003B2;42</title>
<p>A picture of the complex chain of events leading to AD has emerged over the last three decades. The leading theory to explain the pathophysiological changes in AD is the amyloid cascade hypothesis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">14</xref>). Based largely on models derived from familial cases of AD&#x02009;&#x02013;&#x02009;in which, one of three autosomal dominantly inherited mutations results in pathological aggregation and accumulation of A&#x003B2;&#x02009;&#x02013;&#x02009;the amyloid cascade hypothesis posits that the pathological accumulation of amyloid triggers a complex sequence of biochemical events ultimately leading to widespread synaptic dysfunction, neuronal dysfunction, and cell death. An overview of the initial steps involved in A&#x003B2; production is provided in Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">1</xref>.</p>
<fig position="float" id="F1">
<label>Figure 1</label>
<caption><p><bold>The amyloidogenic pathway</bold>. In the amyloidogenic pathway, The amyloid precursor protein (APP) is processed in two sequential steps: (1) in the first step, APP is cleaved by BACE1 yielding a membrane-bound fragment and releasing sAPP into the interstitial space. (2) In the second step, gamma secretase cleaves the remaining membrane-bound fragment releasing an abeta 42 fragment.</p></caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fneur-06-00186-g001.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>The amount of A&#x003B2; in the brain is determined by a balance between A&#x003B2; production and degradation/clearance mechanisms (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">15</xref>). Several enzymes, such as neprilysin, insulin-degrading enzyme, plasminogen inhibitor, break down A&#x003B2; in the interstitial space (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">16</xref>). Fragments that are not degraded in the brain are actively transported across the blood&#x02013;brain barrier (BBB) or diffuse into the CSF space (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">17</xref>). The two transport proteins responsible for A&#x003B2; efflux from the brain are the low density lipoprotein receptor related protein-1 (LRP-1) and Apo J (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">15</xref>). Once in blood, A&#x003B2; is rapidly taken up by plasma proteins and transported to the liver for further degradation. A dynamic equilibrium exists between the amount of A&#x003B2; in the CSF and the amount of A&#x003B2; in the plasma space, and a small amount of non-neuronal A&#x003B2; is found in the CSF. A transport protein known as the receptor for advanced end products (RAGE) is responsible for the influx of A&#x003B2; from the serum into the CNS. The amount of amyloid in the brain is a highly regulated process and it is estimated that the entire load of soluble A&#x003B2; is turned over twice per day (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">17</xref>).</p>
<p>In AD, there is a significant decrease in A&#x003B2; clearance (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">18</xref>) resulting in dramatic increases (100&#x02013;1,000 fold) in the amount of A&#x003B2; in the brain (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">17</xref>). A&#x003B2; fragments consisting of 42 amino acids (A&#x003B2;42) are particularly prone to aggregation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">19</xref>). As amyloid concentrations rise, A&#x003B2;42 fragments rapidly aggregate into oligomers of various sizes and conformations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">20</xref>). A&#x003B2; oligomers are neurotoxic and have been shown to inhibit memory, disrupt long-term potentiation, and impair synaptic function in animal models (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">21</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">22</xref>). Emerging data is beginning to clarify the role that A&#x003B2; oligomers play in triggering AD pathophysiology (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">23</xref>). In addition to oligomerizing, A&#x003B2; fragments also fibrillize into cross-&#x003B2;-sheets, forming the insoluble plaques that constitute the main neuropathological finding in AD. The primary role of amyloid plaques seems to be to serve as large reservoirs of soluble amyloid (the amount of insoluble fibrillar A&#x003B2; is 100-fold greater than the amount of soluble A&#x003B2; in the brain) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">24</xref>). Plaques may serve to buffer any changes in the amount of circulating amyloid. Plaques, however, are not entirely benign species as array tomography has revealed that they are surrounded by a ring of dystrophic and disfigured neurons (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">25</xref>), implying that they exert local neurotoxic effects (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">26</xref>). Plaque burden, however, correlates poorly with disease severity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">27</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">28</xref>) and it is now widely thought that A&#x003B2;&#x02019;s primary role in the pathogenesis of AD is by triggering another pathological process (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">29</xref>).</p>
<p>Several commercially available, CSF enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs) have been developed that detect CSF A&#x003B2;. CSF assays for A&#x003B2; detect soluble monomeric species. In AD, levels of CSF A&#x003B2; 40 remain stable while A&#x003B2;42 levels have consistently been shown drop to &#x0003C;50% of normal (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">30</xref>). The reduction in CSF A&#x003B2;42 levels is generally thought to reflect both the sequestration of A&#x003B2;42 in insoluble plaques (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">27</xref>) and aggregation into oligomeric species (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">31</xref>). Post-mortem studies have also reported correlations between low CSF A&#x003B2;42 and increased amyloid plaque load (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">32</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">33</xref>). With the development of amyloid PET imaging (which allows for the direct visualization of fibrillar amyloid), the relationship between low CSF A&#x003B2;42 levels and amyloid plaque has been established <italic>in vivo</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">34</xref>) and has been confirmed in many different studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">35</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">36</xref>). Although low CSF A&#x003B2;42 levels and increased fibrillar uptake on PET scan generally correspond with one another and are often used interchangeably to diagnose AD, it is important to note that they are not detecting the same form of amyloid (CSF assays detect monomeric, soluble amyloid while PET imaging detects fibrillar plaque). The discrepancy between the two measures has been illustrated in several studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">37</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">38</xref>). A recent study using cross-sectional data found that 20% of cognitively normal subjects had low CSF A&#x003B2;42 levels but negative PET scans. This discrepancy was seen in only 6% of subjects with dementia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">38</xref>). PET scan positivity was also found to correlate closely with increased CSF tau levels. The authors interpreted these findings to suggest that CSF A&#x003B2;42 &#x0201C;positivity&#x0201D; comes earlier in the disease progression than amyloid uptake on PET scan. If this finding is verified in longitudinal studies, it would suggest that low levels of CSF A&#x003B2;42 may be a marker of early disease processes while amyloid scanning would have utility as a marker of disease progression.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S2-2">
<title>CSF tau</title>
<p>Neurofibrillary tangles composed of hyperphosphorylated tau are the second major neuropathologic finding in AD. Tau is a ubiquitous intracellular protein that promotes cellular stability through interactions with microtubule proteins (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">39</xref>). Consequently, tau plays a key role in maintaining neuronal integrity, cellular signaling, and axonal transport. The dynamic relationship that exists between tau and microtubule proteins is driven by the phosphorylation state of tau, which is under the control of a variety of kinases and phosphatases (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">40</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">41</xref>). In AD, for reasons that remain to be elucidated, the phosphorylation state of tau increases (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">42</xref>). Various theories have been proposed to explain this phenomenon. A leading theory is that it is a direct response to the toxic effects of A&#x003B2; accumulation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">43</xref>); however, other potential causes include neuroinflammation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">44</xref>), oxidative stress (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">45</xref>), genetic factors (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">46</xref>), or even infection (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">47</xref>). Tau hyperphosphorylation is a key step in the pathogenesis of AD because hyperphorsphorylated tau no longer binds to microtubule proteins (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">48</xref>). This leads to higher cytosolic concentrations of unbound tau. Unbound, hyperphosphorylated tau is susceptible to aggregation, protein trapping, and misfolding (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">49</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">50</xref>). Aggregated fibrils consisting of hyperphosphorylaed tau comprise the helical filaments in NFTs. The accumulation of NFTs within neuronal axons is toxic to cells. Both the loss of normal physiological function (i.e., loss of cellular integrity) and the gain of toxicity induced by NFT accretion are thought to contribute to neuronal dysfunction in AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">50</xref>).</p>
<p>In AD, NFT accumulation proceeds through the brain in a stereotypical pattern, appearing first in the locus coeruleus and the entorhinal cortex, proceeding next to the hippocampus, and then spreading to the temporal cortex and neocortical association areas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">51</xref>). Neuropathological studies have reported correlations between NFT formation and neuronal loss, both of which increase in parallel with AD disease progression (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">52</xref>). Understanding the intercellular spread of NFT as it progresses through the brain has been the focus of recent investigation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">53</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">54</xref>). In mouse models, injection of filamentous tau induces NFT formation at the injection site that over time progresses to neighboring and synaptically connected brain regions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">55</xref>). This finding suggests that tau exhibits prion-like behavior as it spreads from highly focal brain regions to involvement of limbic, paralimbic, and neocortical regions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">56</xref>).</p>
<p>In AD, CSF levels of t-tau increase to 3&#x000D7; normal (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">57</xref>). Increases in CSF t-tau have been associated with both NFT burden and Braak staging (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">33</xref>). Elevations in CSF t-tau, however, are not specific to AD as transient elevations are found following stroke (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">58</xref>) and traumatic brain injury (TBI) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">59</xref>). This finding suggests that elevated CSF t-tau levels are reflective of non-specific neuronal injury and cell death. The highest levels of CSF t-tau are found in Creutzfeldt&#x02013;Jakob disease (CJD), a disease characterized by accelerated neurodegeneration (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">60</xref>). It is also important to note that tau secretion is an active physiological process, occurring independently of neuronal injury (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">56</xref>). In AD, an additional source of CSF tau is the residence of this molecule in extracellular space during its passage from neuron to neuron. More research is needed to fully understand the composition of CSF t-tau levels in AD.</p>
<p>In addition to detecting total tau (t-tau), several ELISAs have been developed that reflect the phosphorylation state of tau. In AD, CSF levels of p-tau increase to approximately twice normal levels. Commonly used assays measure tau phosphorylation at residue either 181 or 231, both of which increase to similar levels in AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">61</xref>). Autopsy studies reveal that CSF p-tau correlates with NFT burden in AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">62</xref>). Because levels of p-tau are thought to reflect both NFT load and phosphorylation state, elevations in p-tau are generally thought to be a more specific finding in AD than elevations in CSF t-tau (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">61</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">63</xref>). Dissociations between high t-tau and normal p-tau levels have been reported in several dementing diseases including CJD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">64</xref>), frontotemporal dementia, and vascular dementia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">61</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S2-3">
<title>Utility of CSF A&#x003B2;42, t-tau, and p-tau</title>
<p>Used individually, CSF markers (CSF A&#x003B2;42 or tau) demonstrate good sensitivity in distinguishing subjects with AD from non-controls (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">41</xref>); however, several studies have reported poor specificity in distinguishing subjects with AD from non-AD dementias (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">65</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">67</xref>). Diagnostic precision has also been shown to decrease with increasing age (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">68</xref>). Diagnostic accuracy increases considerably when these measures are combined into a so-called &#x0201C;AD signature&#x0201D; consisting of low A&#x003B2;42 and elevated total and p-tau. This signature demonstrates 80&#x02013;95% sensitivity and specificity in identifying subjects with AD in the dementia phase of disease (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>) and has been shown to be highly predictive of AD pathology at autopsy (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">28</xref>). The ability of CSF biomarkers to identify subjects harboring AD pathology is considerably better than the accuracy of a diagnosis made on clinical grounds alone. In a study looking at 919 autopsy-confirmed cases of AD that comprise the National Alzheimer&#x02019;s Coordinating Center (NACC) database, clinical diagnosis was 71&#x02013;88% sensitive but only 44&#x02013;71% specific in predicting AD pathology at autopsy (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">69</xref>). The challenge of accurately identifying subjects with AD pathology based on clinical diagnosis alone has also been demonstrated in clinical trials that have incorporated amyloid PET scans (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">4</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">70</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">71</xref>). Data from several clinical trials suggest that a substantial percentage of subjects enrolled in clinical trials do not actually have evidence of AD pathology on PET scan. For example, in the Phase III trial of bapineuzumab &#x0003E;35% of APOE &#x003B5;4&#x02009;non-carriers had negative amyloid scans (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">70</xref>). As it is unlikely that compounds with putative anti-AD properties will produce clinical benefits in subjects without AD pathology, inaccurate inclusion rates increase the likelihood of trial failure. Incorporating CSF biomarkers into inclusion criteria is a strategy that can be used to enrich patient samples, increase a trial&#x02019;s statistical power, and ensure that candidate compounds are being accurately tested against the AD substrates they are designed to ameliorate.</p>
<p>The temporal relationship among A&#x003B2;42, t-tau, and p-tau levels has been the subject of much exploration and several models have been proposed to explain the complex dynamics that exist between CSF biomarkers and disease progression (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">43</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">72</xref>). There is now convincing evidence that CSF A&#x003B2;42 and tau levels convert from normal to &#x0201C;pathologic&#x0201D; years before the onset of clinical symptoms, providing a powerful tool to assess which individuals are at risk for developing AD dementia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">73</xref>). Decreases in CSF A&#x003B2;42 are typically appreciated before changes in CSF tau, and in accordance with the amyloid cascade hypothesis, suggest that amyloid accumulation drives tau pathology. Examining a cohort of subjects with autosomal dominant AD, Bateman et al. demonstrated that changes in A&#x003B2;42 can be fully appreciated 25&#x02009;years before expected symptom onset and changes in tau 15&#x02009;years before expected symptoms onset (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">3</xref>). In cohorts without AD mutations, several studies have reported that decreases in CSF A&#x003B2;42 (with or without changes in CSF tau) can be detected in cognitively normal subjects and predict the development of cognitive decline (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B74">74</xref>) and dementia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B75">75</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B76">76</xref>). CSF biomarkers have also showed good sensitivity (83&#x02013;95%) and specificity (71&#x02013;90%) in predicting which subjects with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) will progress to develop AD dementia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B77">77</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B80">80</xref>). The accurate identification of patients in this early stage of the disease is important because MCI is a non-specific syndrome and only around 50% of subjects with MCI are thought to have AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">81</xref>). Using CSF biomarkers to accurately identify subjects harboring AD pathology as early as possible in the disease course will allow for testing of candidate compounds earlier in the disease course and at time points that may prove more amenable to pharmacological intervention.</p>
<p>While the CSF biomarkers discussed above provide a powerful window into the pathological processes occurring in AD, several limitations deserve mention. An innate limitation of all fluid biomarkers is that they lack anatomical precision (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B82">82</xref>). Unlike imaging biomarkers, CSF biomarkers do not provide insight into the topographic distribution of pathological changes in the brain. Another limitation of current CSF biomarkers is that aside from small increases in t-tau (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B83">83</xref>), they remain fairly stable during the dementia phase of disease (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">84</xref>). Therefore, current CSF biomarkers have limited utility in disease staging or prognosis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">73</xref>). Furthermore, because only weak associations between CSF biomarkers and clinical measures have been reported (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B85">85</xref>), it is unknown if drug-induced changes in these measures will result in clinically meaningful effects (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">16</xref>). Unknown variables include when interventions need to be timed and to what degree a biomarker change may be correlated with a clinical outcome (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B86">86</xref>). An additional limitation of CSF biomarkers is the high degree of variability and lack of assay standardization that exists among laboratories. A 2013 study analyzing data from Alzheimer&#x02019;s Association quality control program reported a 20&#x02013;30% discrepancy among laboratories in measuring CSF biomarkers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">68</xref>). This is too high for globally accepted reference ranges to be assigned (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B87">87</xref>). Quality control and standardization projects have been initiated with the intent of improving precision and reproducibility across laboratories (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="S3">
<title>Emerging CSF Biomarkers</title>
<p>Given the limitations of the currently used CSF biomarkers, substantial research has been devoted to finding and validating additional CSF biomarkers. Guided by an enhanced understanding of the neurobiological changes in AD, several promising candidate markers have been identified. Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">1</xref> summarizes the development of CSF candidates.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T1">
<label>Table 1</label>
<caption><p><bold>Candidate CSF biomarkers</bold>.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Biomarker</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">Role in the pathogenesis of AD</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">Evidence for clinical utility</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">CSF BACE1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Transmembrane secretase responsible for the rate-limiting step in the generation of amyloid</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Increased CSF BACE in AD in some (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B94">94</xref>) but not all studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B209">209</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Increased CSF BACE levels predicted which subjects with MCI progressed to dementia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B96">96</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">CSF sAPP</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Byproduct of BACE activity</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Increased CSF levels in MCI (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B98">98</xref>), AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B99">99</xref>), and incipient AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B100">100</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Elevated CSF levels were not predictive of subjects converting from MCI to dementia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B79">79</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">CSF A&#x003B2; oligomers</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Neurotoxic species that inhibit memory, long-term potentiation, and synaptic function</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Low levels make detection difficult (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B103">103</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B104">104</xref>) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B105">105</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Inverse correlation between CSF A&#x003B2; oligomers and MMSE score (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B104">104</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B105">105</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">CSF A&#x003B2;38</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">A&#x003B2; fragment consisting of 38 amino acids</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Increased CSF levels do not correlate with amyloid uptake on PET scan (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B110">110</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">CSF levels did not discriminate between healthy controls and subjects with AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B111">111</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">CSF visinin-like protein-1 (VILIP-1)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Neuronal calcium sensor protein that functions in membrane trafficking</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">CSF VILIP-1 levels correlated with elevated CSF t-tau and p-tau and decreased brain volumes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B115">115</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Elevated CSF levels predicted cognitive decline in subjects with MCI (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B117">117</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">CSF F2-isoprostanes</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Markers of lipid peroxidation caused by free radicals</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Increased CSF levels in AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B121">121</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Increased CSF levels predicted cognitive decline in MCI (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B122">122</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Increased CSF levels improved diagnostic accuracy when combined with MRI and memory testing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B123">123</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">YLK-40</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Marker of plaque-associated neuroinflammation secreted by activated microglia</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Elevated CSF levels in early AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B126">126</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Elevated CSF levels predicted cognitive decline in MCI (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B127">127</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Neurogranin</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Synaptic protein involved in plasticity and long-term potentiation</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Elevated CSF levels in AD but not MCI (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B130">130</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Elevated CSF levels predict conversion from MCI to AD and predicted a more rapid rate of decline in subjects with MCI and a positive amyloid PET scan (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B131">131</xref>)</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<sec id="S3-1">
<title>Amyloid-related CSF biomarker candidates</title>
</sec>
<sec id="S3-2">
<title>BACE1</title>
<p>BACE1 is an aspartic protease that catalyzes the rate-limiting step in the generation of A&#x003B2;42 (Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">1</xref>). BACE1 also plays a role in the processing of other membrane proteins, such as neuregulin (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B88">88</xref>), and is thought to influence myelination (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B89">89</xref>) and synaptic plasticity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B90">90</xref>). Because of its diverse and important role in normal brain functioning, BACE1 activity is synchronized by a variety of complicated regulatory mechanisms at both the transcriptional and translational levels (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B91">91</xref>). Increased levels of BACE1 and indicators of BACE1 activity have been found in the brains of patients with AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B92">92</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B93">93</xref>). Elevations in CSF BACE1 have also been detected in the CSF of patients with AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B94">94</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B95">95</xref>) and subjects with MCI who later went on to develop AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B96">96</xref>). Several explanations have been proposed to account for the increases in CSF BACE1 in AD. Increased CSF BACE1 levels have been found to correlate with increases in CSF t-tau (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B96">96</xref>) and one possibility is that BACE1 release into the CSF is a product of a non-specific release of proteins from injured or dying neurons. New research, however, suggests a more complicated picture, in which, normal regulatory controls on BACE1 activity are lost. Faghihi et al., for example, has reported that a non-coding antisense RNA that stabilizes BACE1 mRNA and results in increased BACE1 activity is increased in the brains of subjects with AD. Furthermore, <italic>in vitro</italic> exposure of cells to A&#x003B2;42 induces this antisense RNA, laying the groundwork for a deleterious feed-forward cycle of AD disease progression, in which, increased levels of A&#x003B2; induce the expression of increased BACE1 activity and further A&#x003B2; production (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B97">97</xref>). CSF BACE1 will be important in establishing target engagement in compounds with putative BACE1 inhibiting properties.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S3-3">
<title>sAPP-&#x003B2;</title>
<p>The first step in APP processing is the proteolytic cleavage by BACE1. This cleavage yields two products, one of which is the membrane bound fragment (which then undergoes further processing by gamma secretase to eventually form A&#x003B2;) and the other, a larger amino acid fragment, sAPP-&#x003B2;, which is secreted into the interstitial space. Levels of CSF sAPP-&#x003B2; may serve as an indirect marker of BACE activity and A&#x003B2; production. Studies looking at the clinical correlation between CSF sAPP-&#x003B2; have generally been positive and elevated levels of sAPP-&#x003B2; have been reported in MCI (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B98">98</xref>), AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B99">99</xref>), and patients with incipient AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B100">100</xref>). However, not all studies have demonstrated meaningful clinical correlations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B79">79</xref>). Changes in CSF levels of sAPP-&#x003B2; may eventually be used in clinical trials to provide evidence of target engagement and to monitor for drug effects.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S3-4">
<title>A&#x003B2; oligomers</title>
<p><italic>In vitro</italic> exposure of A&#x003B2; oligomers to hippocampal neurons quickly impairs synaptic function and is more toxic than exposure to monomeric or fibrillar forms of amyloid (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B101">101</xref>). This finding, in conjunction with reports from several animal models that demonstrate neuroanatomical and behavioral abnormalities before the appearance of plaques (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">25</xref>), has led the field to consider the role of A&#x003B2; oligomers in AD pathogenesis. The steady state of A&#x003B2; oligomers in the CSF is very low&#x02009;&#x02013;&#x02009;&#x0003C;0.02% of total CSF A&#x003B2; levels (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B102">102</xref>)&#x02009;&#x02013;&#x02009;and attempts to detect them standard assays have failed (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B101">101</xref>) while other attempts have produced variable results (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B103">103</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B105">105</xref>). Recently, Hong et al. were able to demonstrate that A&#x003B2; oligomers in the interstitial fluid were quickly sequestered onto cellular membranes, displaying a particular affinity for GM1 gangliosides (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B102">102</xref>). In this study, A&#x003B2; oligomers demonstrated a higher binding affinity for cell membranes than monomeric A&#x003B2; species, potentially explaining the low contribution of oligomers to the overall composition of CSF A&#x003B2; levels. The authors were also able to detect low levels of GM1-bound A&#x003B2; in human CSF. These levels correlated with CSF A&#x003B2;42. Further investigation is needed to determine if CSF GM1-bound A&#x003B2; will prove useful as a biomarker in AD. It is also important to note that soluble A&#x003B2; oligomers may have utility as a progression biomarker, as two studies&#x02009;&#x02013;&#x02009;one using flow cytometry (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B105">105</xref>) and the other using ELISA (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B104">104</xref>)&#x02009;&#x02013;&#x02009;have reported an inverse correlation between levels of CSF A&#x003B2; oligomers and score on MMSE. The challenges of reliably quantifying A&#x003B2; oligomers in CSF will need to be overcome before the potential of this biomarker can be fully realized.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S3-5">
<title>A&#x003B2; isoforms</title>
<p>While most A&#x003B2; species exist as peptide fragments consisting of either 40 or 42 amino acids, isoforms of varying length have also been detected in the CSF of patients with AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B106">106</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B108">108</xref>). One small study reported that a particular CSF amyloid &#x0201C;signature&#x0201D; consisting of A&#x003B2;16, A&#x003B2;33, A&#x003B2;39, and A&#x003B2;42 could distinguish subjects with AD from controls with an accuracy of 86% (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B106">106</xref>). The performance of A&#x003B2;38 has been investigated in a number of studies and as an exploratory measure in a phase II trial of avagacestat (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B109">109</xref>). The utility of CSF A&#x003B2;38 appears to be limited given that levels do not correlate with amyloid uptake on PET (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B110">110</xref>) and did not discriminate controls from subjects with AD in another study (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B111">111</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S3-6">
<title>Non-amyloid CSF biomarker candidates</title>
<p>Cerebrospinal fluid markers that reflect processes that occur after amyloid deposition, including neurodegeneration, synapse loss, neuroinflammation, oxidative stress, etc. may also provide diagnostic and prognostic utility. A select group of candidates will be discussed here. For a comprehensive review, the reader is directed to the review by Fagan and Perrin (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B112">112</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S3-7">
<title>Visinin-like protein-1</title>
<p>Visinin-like protein-1 (VILIP-1) is a neuronal calcium sensor protein that can be detected in most regions of the brain (sparing the caudate and putamen) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B113">113</xref>). It belongs to a family of proteins thought to play a role in membrane trafficking (Braunewell Cell Tissue Res) and is thought to play a role in calcium-mediated neuronal death (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B114">114</xref>). CSF levels of VILIP-1 have shown to correlate with CSF t-tau, p-tau, and brain volumes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B115">115</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B116">116</xref>). High levels of CSF VILIP-1 have also been reported to predict the cognitive decline in a cohort of patients with mild AD followed over a period of 2.6&#x02009;years (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B117">117</xref>). Several studies have shown that higher levels of CSF VILIP-1 are seen in AD than other dementing diseases, such as dementia with Lewy bodies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B114">114</xref>), frontotemporal dementia, and progressive supranuclear palsy (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B117">117</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S3-8">
<title>F2-isoprostanes</title>
<p>There is a growing body of evidence suggesting that oxidative damage plays a key role in the pathogenesis of AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B118">118</xref>). F2-isoprostanes are markers of lipid peroxidation caused by free radicals (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B119">119</xref>). Increased levels of F2-isoprostanes are found in AD brains (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B120">120</xref>) and in the CSF of patients with AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B121">121</xref>). Elevated levels of CSF F2-isoprostanes have also been shown to correlate with eventual cognitive decline in MCI (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B122">122</xref>) and improve diagnostic accuracy of AD when combined with memory testing and MRI (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B123">123</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S3-9">
<title>YKL-40</title>
<p>Neuropathological, biochemical, and genetic studies indicate that alterations in neuroinflammatory pathways play a role in the pathogenesis of AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B124">124</xref>). YKL-40 is a marker of plaque-associated neuroinflammation that is secreted by activated microglia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B125">125</xref>). Several studies suggest that YKL-40 may be an early marker of AD as levels have been shown to be increased in the preclinical phase (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B116">116</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B126">126</xref>) and to predict cognitive decline in early stage dementia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B127">127</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S3-10">
<title>Neurogranin</title>
<p>Neurogranin is a synaptic protein that is enriched in forebrain areas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B128">128</xref>). It is thought to be involved in synaptic plasticity and long-term potentiation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B129">129</xref>). Elevated levels of neurogranin have been reported in the CSF of subjects with AD (but not MCI) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B130">130</xref>). Elevated levels of CSF neurogranin have been shown to predict conversion from MCI to AD and to predict a more rapid rate of decline in subjects with MCI and a positive amyloid PET scan (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B131">131</xref>).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="S4">
<title>Serum Biomarkers</title>
<p>The process of obtaining CSF fluid by lumbar puncture (LP) is invasive and associated with a small but significant risk of post-LP headache (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B132">132</xref>). Given the negative public perception of the LP procedure, it is unlikely that all patients in a clinical trial would agree to have CSF sampling. Serum samples are easily obtained and readily accepted by patients. The development of a reliable serum biomarker could potentially be integrated into a multi-stage screening and diagnostic process, to provide valuable information about which patients should proceed to more expensive/invasive testing, and to monitor disease progression (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B133">133</xref>). Currently, there has been little success in finding reliable serum biomarkers in AD or MCI (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">41</xref>). Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">2</xref> summarizes the findings regarding candidate serum biomarkers in AD.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T2">
<label>Table 2</label>
<caption><p><bold>Candidate non-CSF biomarkers</bold>.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Biomarker</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">Role in the pathogenesis of AD</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">Evidence for clinical utility</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Serum A&#x003B2;40</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Major byproduct of APP processing</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Associated with increased risk of AD dementia in some but not all studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B134">134</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B135">135</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Serum A&#x003B2;42</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Primary component amyloid plaques</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Associated with increased risk of AD dementia in some but not all studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B136">136</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Serum tau</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NFTs composed of hyperphosphorylated tau comprise major neuropathological finding in AD</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Undetectable by traditional assays (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B148">148</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Ultra-sensitive assays have detected and report increased levels in AD compared to normal but with considerable overlap; do not discriminate between subjects with MCI who remained stable and those who progressed to AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B150">150</xref>)</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<sec id="S4-1">
<title>Serum A&#x003B2;</title>
<p>Despite being the focus of intense investigation, the utility of serum A&#x003B2; as AD biomarkers has not been fully defined. Serum A&#x003B2; (40,42) levels in AD show considerable overlap with non-AD controls, which limits its use as a diagnostic marker (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B92">92</xref>). The use of serum A&#x003B2; as a marker of risk is also unclear as some studies have reported an increased risk with increased A&#x003B2;40 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B134">134</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B135">135</xref>) or A&#x003B2;42 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B136">136</xref>) while others have reported that increased risk is associated with low levels of A&#x003B2;42 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B137">137</xref>). In addition, several studies have failed to find an association between serum A&#x003B2; levels and AD risk (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B138">138</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B139">139</xref>). One meta-analysis reported that a low A&#x003B2;42:A&#x003B2;40 ratio was associated with an increased risk of AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B140">140</xref>); however, the generalizability of this analysis is limited by the heterogeneity of included studies. Little is known about the prognostic value of serum levels of A&#x003B2;. One study has reported that higher baseline levels of serum A&#x003B2;42 were associated with faster rates of cognitive decline over a 1-year period in subjects with AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B141">141</xref>). The small sample size and the lack of follow-up analysis of plasma levels means that additional research is needed to determine if serum levels can be used for patient stratification. Changes in serum A&#x003B2; levels have also been detected in several clinical trials and have been used as evidence to support claims of target engagement (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">71</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B142">142</xref>). Further investigation is needed to clarify the association between serum A&#x003B2; levels and AD pathophysiology.</p>
<p>One potential explanation for the discrepancy between the performance of CSF A&#x003B2; and serum A&#x003B2; is that serum levels do not accurately reflect CSF A&#x003B2; levels (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B143">143</xref>). The majority of CSF A&#x003B2; is of neuronal origin and is thought to directly reflect A&#x003B2; production in the brain. Serum A&#x003B2;, on the other hand, is derived from a variety of non-neuronal sources including the liver, bone, muscle, kidney, pancreas, and platelets (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">66</xref>). The physiologic milieu in the CSF is also drastically different from the serum compartment. In the serum, there are 300&#x000D7; more A&#x003B2; binding proteins than in the CSF (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">15</xref>) and the majority of A&#x003B2; in the serum is protein bound (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B144">144</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S4-2">
<title>Serum tau</title>
<p>Transient elevations in serum tau are detected in response to neuronal injury from ischemic stroke (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B145">145</xref>), hypoxic brain injury during cardiac arrest (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B146">146</xref>), and TBI (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B147">147</xref>). There is considerable evidence that the biochemical regulation of tau is dependent on which biological compartment it resides. For example, following neuronal injury, CSF tau may stay elevated for weeks while in the serum, tau is cleared rapidly, returning to normal levels within hours (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">58</xref>). As a result, serum tau levels are not thought to accurately reflect CSF tau levels. In a small study using a sandwich ELISA, serum tau levels were essentially undetectable in patients with AD despite having elevated CSF t-tau levels (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B148">148</xref>). More recently, ultra-sensitive assays have been developed that have captured changes in serum tau levels following TBI (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B146">146</xref>) and cardiac arrest (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B149">149</xref>). This assay has been tested in one cohort with AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B150">150</xref>). In this study, higher serum tau levels were seen in patients with AD as compared to subjects with MCI and controls; however, a considerable degree of overlap was noted across the three groups, limiting its diagnostic utility (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B150">150</xref>). Additionally, serum tau levels did not discriminate between subjects with MCI who remained stable and those with MCI who went on to develop AD.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S4-3">
<title>Other serum markers</title>
<p>Other novel serum targets for development include F2-isoprostanes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B151">151</xref>) and plasma complement factor H (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B152">152</xref>); however, the results of studies looking at these candidates have been disappointing and do not support their application as diagnostic or prognostic factors at this time.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S4-4">
<title>Proteomic approaches</title>
<p>An alternative approach to developing serum biomarkers in AD is to identify a characteristic profile of protein markers, which, taken together, would constitute a pathological &#x0201C;fingerprint&#x0201D; (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B133">133</xref>). Significant interest in proteomic strategies was generated following a study, which identified a characteristic pattern of 18 abnormal plasma signaling and inflammatory proteins in a sample of patients with AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B153">153</xref>). Applied to a pre-existing data set, this profile correctly identified subjects with AD from healthy controls with 90% accuracy. In addition, this profile predicted conversion from MCI to dementia in 20 of 22 patients (followed up to 6&#x02009;years). With advances in bioinformatics, the numbers of trials employing proteomic approaches have increased. Using pre-existing data sets, a number of proteomic profiles have been identified, which have shown high diagnostic accuracy (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B154">154</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B157">157</xref>). Challenges to the proteomic approach include successful replication of findings across studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B154">154</xref>) and whether profiles can reach appropriate standardization levels to be replicated across laboratories (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B133">133</xref>). Guidelines designed to approach these challenges have recently been published (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B158">158</xref>). No consensus has been reached on a specific proteomic profile that provides reliable information in AD.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S4-5">
<title>Urine and saliva</title>
<p>Urine and saliva are appealing targets for biomarker development due to their ease of collection. Molecules sampled from these sources, however, are subjected to filtration and metabolic processing and may not reflect biochemical changes occurring in the brain. For this reason, AD research has largely ignored these biological compartments (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B159">159</xref>). One small study detected reduced acetylcholinesterase activity in the saliva of patients with AD compared to normal controls (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B160">160</xref>) while another found no difference (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B161">161</xref>). Increased levels of salivary A&#x003B2;42 have been demonstrated in patients with mild AD compared to normal controls and patients with Parkinson&#x02019;s disease (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B162">162</xref>). In another study using mass spectroscopy, an increased salivary p-tau to t-tau ratio was found in AD patients compared to normal controls (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B163">163</xref>). More research is needed on these readily accessible fluids to determine if they contain meaningful information on brain states.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="S5">
<title>Use of Fluid Biomarkers in Clinical Trials</title>
<p>The scope of use of fluid biomarkers in clinical trials is described below. Here, we describe the results of several clinical trials in which fluid biomarkers were included among outcome measures. Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">3</xref> summarizes the results of these studies as well as others that are not described.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T3">
<label>Table 3</label>
<caption><p><bold>Fluid biomarkers in clinical trials</bold>.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Compound</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">Mechanism of action</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">Relevant clinical outcome</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">Fluid biomarker outcome</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">AN1792</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Active immunization against full-length A&#x003B2;42</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PII: halted because of the development of meningoencephalitis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B169">169</xref>)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PII: reduction in CSF tau; no change in CSF A&#x003B2;42 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B169">169</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">CAD106</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Active immunization against A&#x003B2; fragment</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PI: well tolerated in subject with AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B176">176</xref>)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PI: no changes in CSF A&#x003B2;40, A&#x003B2;42, p-tau, or t-tau; increase in total serum plasma A&#x003B2; and decrease in free A&#x003B2; (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B176">176</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Bapineuzumab</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Monoclonal antibody directed against N-terminus of A&#x003B2;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PII: <italic>post hoc</italic> analysis showed effect on cognition in APOE &#x003B5;4 non-carriers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B185">185</xref>)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PII: reduction in CSF p-tau and t-tau; no effect on CSF A&#x003B2;40 or 42 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B186">186</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">PIII: two separate studies (one with APOE &#x003B5;4 carriers and one with non-carriers) failed to reach clinical endpoints (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">70</xref>)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PIII: decrease in CSF p-tau (carriers); no effect on any CSF measures (A&#x003B2;42, p-tau, t-tau) in non-carriers; no effect on A&#x003B2;42 in carriers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">70</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Development of MRI changes in &#x0007E;20% of treated patients (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B210">210</xref>)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Solanezumab</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Monoclonal antibody against middle portion of A&#x003B2;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PIII: two large trials failed to reach clinical endpoints. A pooled analysis of the two trials demonstrated an effect on cognition in subjects with mild dementia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B142">142</xref>)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PII: increase in serum and CSF A&#x003B2;40 and 42 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B190">190</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">PIII: increase in both CSF A&#x003B2;40 and 42; no effect on CSF p-tau or t-tau; increases in serum A&#x003B2;40 and 42 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B142">142</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Crenezumab</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Monoclonal antibody against middle portion of A&#x003B2;; built on IgG1 backbone</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PI: well tolerated in subjects with mild to moderate AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B211">211</xref>)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PI: increase in serum A&#x003B2; levels (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B211">211</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Gantenerumab</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Entirely humanized monoclonal antibody binds the N-terminus of A&#x003B2; fibrils</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PIII: results not yet published, trial discontinued</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No fluid biomarker data have been reported</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Ponezumab</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Humanized monoclonal antibody binds the C-terminus of A&#x003B2;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PI: well tolerated in subjects with AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B212">212</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B214">214</xref>)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PI: increase in serum and CSF A&#x003B2; levels w/single dose (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B212">212</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tramiprosate</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Molecule that binds A&#x003B2; and prevents aggregation</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PIII: no benefit on clinical endpoints (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B215">215</xref>)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PII: reduction in CSF A&#x003B2;42 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">216</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Avagacestat</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Gamma secretase inhibitor</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PII: well tolerated at low doses; at doses found to have CSF effects, a trend worsening cognition was detected (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B109">109</xref>)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PII: at higher, poorly tolerated doses, reductions in CSF A&#x003B2; 38, 40, and 42 were reported. Non-significant trend toward reduction in CSF p-tau and t-tau at all doses</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">No changes in CSF A&#x003B2; at lower doses (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B109">109</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Semagacestat</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Gamma secretase inhibitor</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PIII: preplanned analysis showed an association with worsening cognitive and functional outcomes resulting in early termination (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">71</xref>)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">PII: no effect on CSF A&#x003B2;40 or 42; reduction in plasma A&#x003B2;40 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B201">201</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">PI: dose-dependent reduction in A&#x003B2; production as measured by SILK (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">18</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="left">PIII: no changes in CSF A&#x003B2; or t-tau; p-tau remained the same (increased in placebo) dose-dependent reduction in serum A&#x003B2;40 and 42 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">71</xref>)</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<sec id="S5-1">
<title>Active amyloid immunization strategies</title>
<p>The impetus for the development of amyloid immunotherapy strategies came from a landmark study involving the PDAPP transgenic mouse, which overexpresses mutant human APP. In this study, it was shown that amyloid plaque deposition could be prevented by immunizing mice against A&#x003B2;42 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B164">164</xref>). Subsequent studies reported that active immunization attenuated memory changes and reduced behavioral impairment (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B165">165</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B166">166</xref>). Testing in several different models revealed that the greatest benefit was seen when immunization was achieved before the expected age of amyloid deposition (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B164">164</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B167">167</xref>), signifying that immunization strategies work best in a clearance paradigm (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B167">167</xref>).</p>
<p>Composed of a full-length synthetic A&#x003B2;42 molecule, AN1792 was the first anti-amyloid vaccine evaluated in clinical trials. Despite appearing safe and demonstrating efficacy on an exploratory measure of functional decline in Phase I (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B168">168</xref>), further development of AN1792 was halted after 6% of subjects developed meningoencephalitis during Phase II testing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B169">169</xref>). While the exact cause of this response remains unknown, the type of T-cell response (Th2-biased in the Phase I study and Th1-biased in the Phase II study) differed between the two studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B170">170</xref>). Treatment was terminated early (only 20% developed the predetermined antibody response), but double-blind assessments were continued during the entire 12-month period. Antibody response was associated with two positive clinical effects: improvement on composite scores of memory function and, in an extended follow-up study, significantly less functional decline (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B171">171</xref>). CSF monitoring in a subset of 11 subjects deemed &#x0201C;antibody responders&#x0201D; showed significant reductions in CSF t-tau (&#x02212;204&#x02009;&#x000B1;&#x02009;pg/mL) at 1&#x02009;year. Changes in CSF A&#x003B2;42 levels were not appreciated (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B169">169</xref>).</p>
<p>Several post-mortem neuropathological studies have been completed on subjects receiving the AN1792 vaccine (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B172">172</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B175">175</xref>). Because of the small number of participants and lack of information about baseline (or pretreatment) plaque burden, it is difficult to make definitive conclusions about these studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">8</xref>). Nonetheless, several interesting findings have been reported including reductions in plaque load (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B174">174</xref>) and decreased microglial activation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B173">173</xref>). Evidence of pathological change was not, however, associated with improvement in survival time or time to severe dementia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B174">174</xref>). Only one study (examining five brains) reported evidence of a reduction in tau pathology (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B175">175</xref>).</p>
<p>It is difficult to make accurate assessments regarding the CSF and neuropathological data from the AN1792 trials given the small sample sizes and the heterogeneity of the reported findings. According to the amyloid hypothesis, an active immune response would likely only be beneficial if achieved prior to the event that triggers the cascade (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">29</xref>). From a fluid biomarker perspective, it is unknown if the dramatic changes in CSF t-tau had any association with the positive signal seen on several clinical metrics. This is one of many unanswered questions that remain after this trial. Clearly, additional study is required to fully inform decisions about whether active immunization strategies can be efficacious in the treatment or prevention of AD. Several vaccines designed to illicit a safer B-cell response, including ACC-001, CAD106, V950, and Affitope AD02, are in various stages of clinical testing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B86">86</xref>). The results of both Phase I and IIa testing have been published for CAD106 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B176">176</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B177">177</xref>). Although the vaccine appears much safer than AN1792, neither study demonstrated a significant biomarker or clinical effect.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S5-2">
<title>Passive amyloid immunization strategies</title>
<p>Passive immunization strategies involve the infusion of humanized monoclonal antibodies designed to bind amyloid species. Preclinical studies have shown that passively administered antibodies can enter the CNS and bind to various forms of amyloid (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B178">178</xref>). Compounds in this class differ depending on what domain within the A&#x003B2; fragment they bind (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B179">179</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S5-3">
<title>Bapineuzumab</title>
<p>Bapineuzumab is a humanized monoclonal antibody directed against the N-terminus of A&#x003B2;. Recognition of the N-terminus ensures that bapineuzumab can attach to both soluble and insoluble amyloid species. Several theories have been proposed to explain bapineuzumab&#x02019;s mechanism of action including direct inhibition of plaque formation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B180">180</xref>) and antibody-mediated triggering of microglial cells to clear plaques (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B181">181</xref>). In preclinical models, bapineuzumab-treated PDAPP mice show reduced cortical amyloid plaque burdens (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B178">178</xref>). As with other amyloid therapies, treatment with bapineuzumab appears most effective for preventing rather than clearing pre-existing plaques (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">6</xref>). One potential explanation for the inability of bapineuzumab to clear existing plaques is proposed by Demattos et al. who hypothesize that in advanced disease, bapineuzumab is unable to bind plaques because it is saturated by soluble amyloid species that surround mature plaques (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B182">182</xref>). Infusion of bapineuzumab has also been associated with an increased incidence of microhemorrhage, which is thought to be due to its binding to vascular amyloid (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B183">183</xref>).</p>
<p>A Phase II study was undertaken to assess the safety of bapineuzumab in subjects with mild to moderate AD dementia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B184">184</xref>). Higher rates of edema known as amyloid-related imaging abnormalities (ARIA) were seen at higher infusion doses and in subjects possessing the APOE &#x003B5;4 genotype. Although clinical benefits were not initially detected, a <italic>post hoc</italic> analysis using multiple comparisons suggested possible benefits on both cognition and function (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B185">185</xref>). The biomarker data from Phase II testing also detected a possible disease-modifying signal as CSF data (<italic>n</italic>&#x02009;&#x0003D;&#x02009;27) showed significant reductions in p-tau (&#x02212;9.9&#x02009;pg/mL) and a trend toward reduction in t-tau (&#x02212;72.3&#x02009;pg/mL) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B186">186</xref>). In a smaller trial using an identical protocol, change in amyloid uptake as measured by PET scan was assessed as a primary outcome. In this trial, treatment with bapineuzumab (<italic>N</italic>&#x02009;&#x0003D;&#x02009;20) was associated with reduced cortical binding compared with baseline (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">4</xref>).</p>
<p>Based on the positive signals seen in the Phase II trials, bapineuzumab advanced to Phase III testing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">9</xref>). To reduce the risk of ARIA-E, dose selection was based on APOE &#x003B5;4 status. Included in the secondary analysis was amyloid PET, volumetric MRI, and CSF biomarkers. Results of this study were disappointing as primary endpoints were not met. Although there were some signs of a positive biomarker effect, the signal was much weaker in Phase III testing than had been seen in the Phase II trial. APOE &#x003B5;4 carriers (<italic>N</italic>&#x02009;&#x0003D;&#x02009;127) experienced significant but small reductions in CSF p-tau (&#x02212;5.8&#x02009;pg/mL) compared to the placebo comparison group. In non-carriers, significant reductions in CSF p-tau were reported but only at the highest dose (&#x02212;8.17&#x02009;pg/mL). No significant changes were noted in CSF A&#x003B2;42 levels or t-tau levels. In both APOE &#x003B5;4 carriers and non-carriers, amyloid uptake (as measured by PET scan) remained unchanged during the course of the trial.</p>
<p>The interpretation of outcome data from the bapineuzumab trials is complicated by the finding that a significant percentage of participants (6% of APOE &#x003B5;4 carriers and 36% of APOE &#x003B5;4 non-carriers) did not have evidence of amyloid pathology on PET scan. Nonetheless, the reduction of CSF p-tau is notable and suggests that passive immunization strategies targeting amyloid may be able to effect key pathological processes. Additional studies are needed to replicate this finding. The preclinical data suggest that bapineuzumab may be more effective when timed earlier in the disease course or at higher doses (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B182">182</xref>). The candidacy of bapineuzumab, however, is limited by ARIA-E.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S5-4">
<title>Solanezumab</title>
<p>Solanezumab is a humanized monoclonal antibody directed against the middle amino acid section of A&#x003B2;. Because this epitope is not accessible on amyloid plaques, solanezumab only binds soluble A&#x003B2; species and does not bind A&#x003B2; plaques (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B187">187</xref>) or oligomers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B188">188</xref>). In mouse models, infused solanezumab rapidly binds and completely sequesters plasma A&#x003B2; (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B187">187</xref>). By capturing the entire pool of soluble A&#x003B2;, solanezumab prevents this pool of amyloid from re-entering the brain, potentially shifting the amyloid gradient toward plaque dissolution and efflux out of the brain (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">29</xref>). According to this hypothesis, solanezumab acts as a &#x0201C;peripheral sink&#x0201D; as it draws amyloid out of the brain. In mouse models, peripheral administration of solanezumab results in rapid, 1,000-fold increases in plasma A&#x003B2; and significant reductions in plaque deposition (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B187">187</xref>). Not all preclinical data on solanezumab has been positive as one study found that treatment neither prevented nor reduced amyloid deposition (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B189">189</xref>). Unlike bapinezumab, solanezumab has not been associated with ARIA-E in either preclinical or human testing.</p>
<p>In a Phase II testing, treatment with solanezumab was associated with dose-related increases in both plasma and CSF levels of A&#x003B2;40 and 42 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B190">190</xref>). Notably, both antibody-bound and antibody-free levels of CSF A&#x003B2;42 increased. Increases in unbound CSF A&#x003B2;42 could be interpreted as evidence of A&#x003B2;42 leaving plaques and diffusing down the gradient to replace sequestered plasma A&#x003B2; species consistent with the peripheral sink hypothesis. Amyloid PET scanning would have been informative in determining if the source of the increased unbound A&#x003B2;42 was in fact from plaque.</p>
<p>Solanezumab advanced to two large Phase III trials known as EXPEDITION 1 and 2 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B142">142</xref>). Although both trials failed to meet primary endpoints, identical study designs allowed for pooling of data across the two studies. In the pooled analysis, the subgroup identified as having mild AD showed statistically significant slower rates of cognitive decline and positive trends on functional measures (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B185">185</xref>). Consistent with the Phase II trial, serum levels of both A&#x003B2;40 and 42 increased following infusion and remained significantly elevated during the entire trial. In a smaller subset of patients with CSF data (<italic>N</italic>&#x02009;&#x0003D;&#x02009;44), significant increases were seen in both total CSF A&#x003B2;40 and 42, but unlike the Phase II trial, there were no significant changes in unbound A&#x003B2;42. Treatment was also not associated with changes in CSF tau, volumetric MRI, or amyloid PET.</p>
<p>Any interpretation of outcome data from the Phase III study of solanezumab must be tempered by the finding that a significant percentage (&#x0003E;20%) of enrollees who underwent amyloid PET scanning during the trial had negative scans (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">29</xref>). The dramatic increases in both serum and CSF levels of A&#x003B2; species in those treated with solanezumab could be interpreted as evidence of amyloid mobilization in the CNS. Whether antibody-mediated sequestration of soluble amyloid is enough to drive deposited amyloid out of plaque is still unknown and was not demonstrated in this trial with PET scanning (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B187">187</xref>). Clearly, the preclinical evidence regarding solanezumab has suggested a more profound effect on amyloid plaque prevention than clearance, and, as with other anti-amyloid therapies, treatment may prove more effective earlier in the disease course. Two ongoing trials of solanezumab&#x02009;&#x02013;&#x02009;one enrolling patients with mild AD and the other enrolling cognitively subjects&#x02009;&#x02013;&#x02009;will hope to shed light on these lingering issues.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S5-5">
<title>Gamma secretase inhibitors</title>
<p>Gamma secretase is a multi-unit enzyme complex that facilitates the second enzymatic step in the processing of APP to A&#x003B2;. It consists of four subunits: nicastrin, presenilin-1 (PSEN1), anterior pharynx-defective-1, and presenilin-2 (PSEN2). Mutations in the genes that code for PSEN1 or PSEN2 cause early-onset AD by increasing the fractional production of A&#x003B2;42 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">27</xref>). In animal models, compounds that decrease gamma secretase activity have been shown to reduce A&#x003B2;42 synthesis and improve behavioral and cognitive symptoms (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B191">191</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B192">192</xref>). Development of safe gamma secretase inhibitors is complicated by the enzyme&#x02019;s crucial role in the regulation of Notch protein signaling pathways. Notch signaling is involved in cell fate pathways in rapidly dividing cells and disruption of normal Notch protein function can result in adverse gastrointestinal, hematologic, and dermatologic effects (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B193">193</xref>). Safe gamma secretase inhibitors must show a selective preference for A&#x003B2; inhibition over disruption of Notch signaling pathways.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S5-6">
<title>Semagacestat</title>
<p>Semagacestat is a gamma secretase inhibitor that demonstrates selective inhibition of APP processing over Notch inhibition in several <italic>in vitro</italic> studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B194">194</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B195">195</xref>). Not all studies have reported this preference, and in the most recent study (published after the Phase III trials were completed) semagacestat showed greater affinitiy for inhibiting Notch signaling pathways than BACE (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B196">196</xref>). In animal models, semagacestat reduces soluble A&#x003B2; in brain, CSF, and serum. Because studies using microdialysis show significant reductions in interstitial amyloid, there was also hope that gamma secretase inhibition would drive the amyloid gradient and promote the dissolution of amyloid out of plaques and into the interstitial space (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B197">197</xref>). Data from several mouse models suggested that although gamma secretase reduced soluble A&#x003B2; levels and prevented the formation of new plaques, there was little evidence that treatment promoted the clearance of pre-existing plaques (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B198">198</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B199">199</xref>).</p>
<p>Early human testing of semagacestat was enriched by the use of stable isotope labeling kinetics (SILK) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">18</xref>). By continuously labeling and monitoring soluble A&#x003B2; in the CSF, SILK provides an estimation of the production and clearance of A&#x003B2; over a specified period of time (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B200">200</xref>). Using SILK, it was shown that single doses of semagacestat caused dramatic reductions in A&#x003B2; production in healthy human subjects. This finding provided convincing evidence of target engagement and semagacestat advanced to additional testing. In a 14 week Phase II study powered to detect safety, treatment was associated with significant reductions in serum A&#x003B2;40, but somewhat surprisingly, not with significant changes in either CSF A&#x003B2;40 or A&#x003B2;42 (<italic>post hoc</italic> analyses suggested a trend toward CSF A&#x003B2;40 reduction) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B201">201</xref>).</p>
<p>Two large multicenter trials enrolling more than 2,000 patients have been conducted (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">71</xref>). Known as the IDENTITY 1 and IDENTITY 2, both trials were terminated early after a preplanned interim analysis revealed that treatment was associated with an increased incidence of adverse side effects. Patients receiving active treatment experienced skin cancers, GI symptoms, and dermatological side effects at twice the rate of those receiving placebo. In the modified intention-to-treat population, treatment was associated with worsening cognition and functional status. Biomarker from IDENTIY included both serum and CSF biomarkers as well as neuroimaging. Significant dose-dependent reductions in both serum A&#x003B2;40 and 42 were seen with treatment. Notably, the reduction in serum A&#x003B2;40 was more than twice that seen for A&#x003B2;42. CSF monitoring of A&#x003B2; (40,42) and tau was done in a smaller subset of patients (<italic>N</italic>&#x02009;&#x0003D;&#x02009;47). Although no significant changes were seen in either A&#x003B2; or t-tau, there was a significant reduction in p-tau levels, which was greater in the lower dose group (8% vs. 4%). Changes in amyloid uptake were not appreciated in 59 patients with multiple amyloid PET scans. Worsening cognition and an increased rate of side effects were also seen in Phase II testing of avagacestat, another gamma secretase inhibitor (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B109">109</xref>).</p>
<p>Unless gamma secretase inhibitors without Notch signaling inhibition can be developed (and definitively proven <italic>in vitro</italic>), it is unwise to devote further resources to gamma secretase inhibition as a viable treatment for AD. Inhibition of A&#x003B2; production, however, remains a promising option for AD therapies. Biomarker data from the semagacestat trial, which showed significant (albeit, modest) reductions in CSF p-tau levels, may indicate that reducing A&#x003B2; production may alter the neuropathological process of AD. An alternative pathway to reduce A&#x003B2; production is with BACE1 inhibition. Several lines of research support the role of BACE1 activity in the pathogenesis of AD including two studies that have reported allelic variations, that reduce BACE1 activity, are protective against AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B202">202</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B203">203</xref>). A significant barrier to BACE1 inhibitor development is that its large active site requires the development of bulky compounds that do not pass through the BBB into the brain (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B204">204</xref>). Nonetheless, several BACE1 inhibitors have been developed and are entering clinical testing. Preliminary data suggest that BACE1 inhibitors significantly reduce CSF A&#x003B2;42 levels (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B205">205</xref>).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="S6">
<title>Conclusion</title>
<p>Aided by the development of several validated biomarkers, the concept of AD has drastically changed over the past 30&#x02009;years. Reflected in new research criteria, AD is now seen as a disease that progress through several stages (ranging from a prodromal/asymptomatic stage to mildly symptomatic to frank dementia) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>). We now know that the biological processes that lead to the disease are triggered years to decades before the onset of symptoms (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">9</xref>). Fluid biomarkers, which provide a window into the complex biochemical process in the brain, will take on an enhanced role in overcoming the challenges of developing therapeutic agents with disease-modifying properties. Three CSF fluid biomarkers (consisting of low A&#x003B2;42 and elevated t-tau and p-tau) are now widely accepted and commonly used in both clinical practice and research. When combined, these three biomarkers constitute an &#x0201C;AD signature&#x0201D; that better predicts the presence of AD pathology on autopsy than a diagnosis made on clinical grounds&#x02009;(<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">73</xref>). Because changes in these biomarkers can be detected years before the dementia phase of disease, they have also been shown to demonstrate good accuracy in identifying individuals at risk for disease progression (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B77">77</xref>). As a result, they should be used to enhance clinical trial enrichment strategies, especially as trials move toward enrolling patients earlier in the disease course. Less is known about their utility in tracking disease progression or monitoring therapeutic responses. There are some data to suggest that CSF tau tracks more closely with disease progression (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">52</xref>) and may be better suited in this role than A&#x003B2;. It is still unknown if drug-induced changes in these markers will result in clinically meaningful benefits.</p>
<p>Due to several shortcomings in the current fluid biomarkers, it is imperative that new biomarkers be developed. Several promising new candidates have emerged with good preliminary data to support their further development. These include CSF BACE1 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B96">96</xref>), VILIP-1, and YLK-40 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B116">116</xref>). The matching of a biomarker with a particular drug designed to modulate that aspect of AD pathophysiology (CSF BACE1 with a BACE1 inhibitor) has the potential to provide information about target engagement, inform dosing decisions, and to monitor for drug effects. Perhaps, the most promising of all emerging approaches is the development of proteomics. With further development of biotechnology that promises to increase the capacity to analyze larger datasets, it seems likely that an &#x0201C;AD fingerprint&#x0201D; composed of several fluid biomarkers will emerge that will enhance our ability to identify, stage, and maybe even chose appropriate treatments for AD.</p>
<p>Several candidate agents with potential disease-modifying properties have advanced to Phase III testing, each has failed to meet clinical endpoints. A few trials have included biomarker data as secondary outcomes. Owing to the heterogeneity of the findings and lack of correlation with clinical metrics, these results are difficult to interpret. The slow progression of the disease, complicated pathophysiology, and difficulty in accurately modeling the pathology of sporadic AD in animal models present formidable challenges to clinical trial design and implementation. Biomarkers, however, have the ability to answer questions more quickly and effectively about target engagement, patient selection, and disease monitoring. In preclinical studies, biomarkers can be used to verify that a candidate agent is having its proposed effect on the biological systems it is designed to target. Because animal models are limited in their ability to replicate all of the behavioral and pathological features of AD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B206">206</xref>), testing in multiple animals may improve the predictive value of clinical testing. Preclinical testing should also include biomarker data that are translatable to humans (including both CSF and serum). CSF testing in larger animals like guinea pigs and canines can provide valuable information about a candidate drug&#x02019;s effects in the CSF and may improve upon information derived from mouse models (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B207">207</xref>). As a candidate compound advances to early clinical testing in humans, an early priority should be to confirm that biomarker changes demonstrated in preclinical testing are seen in humans (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">8</xref>). This can be tested with smaller, proof of concept trials that are powered to pre-specified endpoints. It is at this stage that go, no-go decisions can be made about advancing to longer, more expensive trials. If an agent is to be labeled with a claim of disease modification, support may come from biomarker data in Phase III trials. Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">2</xref> illustrates a potential model for a standard parallel group design. Groups receiving active treatment and placebo would be compared based on clinical measures and a biomarker known to exert an effect on the underlying pathophysiology. A drug&#x02013;placebo difference would be supported by differences on clinical measures (cognition, function, or global outcomes); while an effect on disease pathology would be demonstrated by showing a significant difference on biomarker measures of disease progression (for example, CSF t-tau). A statistically significant correlation between these two measures could potentially be used to support a claim for disease modification (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B208">208</xref>).</p>
<fig position="float" id="F2">
<label>Figure 2</label>
<caption><p><bold>Standard parallel group design to demonstrate disease modification groups receiving active treatment and placebo would be compared on clinical measures while an effect on disease pathology would be demonstrated by showing differences on a biomarker measure of disease progression</bold>. A correlation between drug&#x02013;placebo difference and a biomarker outcome could potentially support a claim of disease modification.</p></caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fneur-06-00186-g002.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="S7">
<title>Conflict of Interest Statement</title>
<p>The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
</body>
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