AUTHOR=Zhao Chunlong , Zhou Zheyu , Zhang Jiarun , Cao Shuya , Xu Jiawei , Wang Cheng , Chen Jun , Xu Xiaoliang , Chen Chaobo , Han Bing 

TITLE=A novel dynamic nomogram based on contrast-enhanced computed tomography radiomics for prediction of glypican-3-positive hepatocellular carcinoma

JOURNAL=Frontiers in Oncology

VOLUME=Volume 15 - 2025

YEAR=2025

URL=https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/oncology/articles/10.3389/fonc.2025.1640697

DOI=10.3389/fonc.2025.1640697

ISSN=2234-943X

ABSTRACT=BackgroundThe 5-year overall survival of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is still poor. Since glypican-3 (GPC3) is highly expressed in most HCC but not in healthy or non-malignant livers, it may become an ideal therapeutic target for HCC. Thus, this study aimed to construct a dynamic nomogram based on contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) radiomics for predicting GPC3 expression.MethodsThe medical data of consecutive HCC patients from Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital (from January 2020 to August 2023) were retrospectively reviewed. Based on the immunohistochemistry analysis, GPC3-positive was defined as a positive cell rate ≥ 10% (2+ and 3+). The 3D Slicer software and PyRadiomics were used to extract radiomics features on the arterial phase (AP) and venous phase (VP). A radiomics score (Radscore) was constructed using the most predictive features identified by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to screen clinical risk factors associated with GPC3-positive. Finally, the Radscore and clinical risk factors were incorporated using logistic regression classification to construct a nomogram.Results181 HCC patients were included according to the inclusion criteria. Among them, 106 were GPC3-positive, and 75 were GPC3-negative. Five radiomics features were finally screened, including three AP and two VP features. The nomogram model combining clinical risk factors (alpha-fetoprotein [AFP] ≥ 10 ng/mL, hepatitis B virus surface antigen [HBsAg]-negative, and age) and the Radscore (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] = 0.794) was superior to the clinical (AUROC = 0.724) and radiomics models (AUROC = 0.722), with good consistency in the calibration curve. The decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated that the nomogram had the highest net benefit for predicting GPC3-positive. The dynamic nomogram is freely available as a mobile application at https://zheyuzhou.shinyapps.io/GPC3nomogram/.ConclusionsSince the intra-tumor heterogeneity of HCC and potential complications brought by liver biopsy, our clinical prediction tool identified GPC3 status satisfactorily and might be helpful in clinical decision-making.