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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Pharmacol.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Pharmacology</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Pharmacol.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">1663-9812</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">764854</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fphar.2022.764854</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Pharmacology</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Systematic Review</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Systematic Review and Meta-analysis: Association of Aspirin With Incidence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma</article-title>
<alt-title alt-title-type="left-running-head">Zhou et&#x20;al.</alt-title>
<alt-title alt-title-type="right-running-head">Aspirin and Incidence of HCC</alt-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Zhou</surname>
<given-names>Xueliang</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="fn" rid="fn1">
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1286515/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Zhang</surname>
<given-names>Tengfei</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="fn" rid="fn1">
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1459035/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Sun</surname>
<given-names>Yali</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="fn" rid="fn1">
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1499689/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Li</surname>
<given-names>Chunwei</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Ding</surname>
<given-names>Xianfei</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1469561/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Zhu</surname>
<given-names>Yanhui</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Li</surname>
<given-names>Lifeng</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c001">&#x2a;</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/769208/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Fan</surname>
<given-names>Zhirui</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c001">&#x2a;</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
<institution>Department of Interventional Radiology</institution>, <institution>The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University</institution>, <addr-line>Zhengzhou</addr-line>, <country>China</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
<institution>Cancer Centre, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University</institution>, <addr-line>Zhengzhou</addr-line>, <country>China</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
<institution>General ICU</institution>, <institution>The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University</institution>, <institution>Henan Key Laboratory of Critical Care Medicine</institution>, <addr-line>Zhengzhou</addr-line>, <country>China</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
<institution>Internet Medical and System Applications of National Engineering Laboratory</institution>, <addr-line>Zhengzhou</addr-line>, <country>China</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
<institution>Integrated Traditional and Western Medicine</institution>, <institution>The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University</institution>, <addr-line>Zhengzhou</addr-line>, <country>China</country>
</aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>
<bold>Edited by:</bold> <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/22599/overview">David Sacerdoti</ext-link>, University of Verona, Italy</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>
<bold>Reviewed by:</bold> <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/351274/overview">Zhipeng Liu</ext-link>, Purdue University, United&#x20;States</p>
<p>
<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/694486/overview">Andrea Dalbeni</ext-link>, Verona University Hospital, Italy</p>
</fn>
<corresp id="c001">&#x2a;Correspondence: Zhirui Fan, <email>fanzhirui88@126.com</email>; Lifeng Li, <email>lilifeng0317@163.com</email>
</corresp>
<fn fn-type="equal" id="fn1">
<label>
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</label>
<p>These authors have equally contributed to this&#x20;work.</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="other">
<p>This article was submitted to Gastrointestinal and Hepatic Pharmacology, a section of the journal Frontiers in Pharmacology</p>
</fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>01</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>13</volume>
<elocation-id>764854</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>26</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2021</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>31</day>
<month>01</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#xa9; 2022 Zhou, Zhang, Sun, Li, Ding, Zhu, Li and Fan.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2022</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Zhou, Zhang, Sun, Li, Ding, Zhu, Li and Fan</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these&#x20;terms.</p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<p>
<bold>Aim:</bold> To explore the relationship between the use of aspirin and the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).</p>
<p>
<bold>Methods:</bold> MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science and Cochrane CENTRAL databases were searched systematically from the earliest available date to 13 March 2020. The primary outcome was incidence of HCC, and the secondary outcomes were recurrence and mortality of HCC. The results were expressed as the Hazard Ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Based on the heterogeneity evaluated with the <italic>I</italic>
<sup>
<italic>2</italic>
</sup> statistic, a meta-analysis was performed using either a random- or fixed-effects&#x20;model.</p>
<p>
<bold>Results:</bold> A total of sixteen articles (2781100 participants) were included. There was lower incidence of HCC in aspirin users than those in non-aspirin users (HR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.46-0.69; <italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.001). Subgroup analysis further showed that the incidence of liver cancer in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis (HR, 0.14; 95% CI, 0.09-0.22; <italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.001) and virus hepatitis (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.62-0.74; <italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.001) who use aspirin was lower than that of patients who do not use aspirin. In addition, aspirin was found to associate with decreased risk of HCC mortality (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.65-0.78; <italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.001), not HCC recurrence (HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.15-1.76; <italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3d; 0.291).</p>
<p>
<bold>Conclusions:</bold> Aspirin use is significantly associated with the low incidence rate of liver cancer.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>hepatocellular carcinoma</kwd>
<kwd>aspirin</kwd>
<kwd>HCC</kwd>
<kwd>meta-analysis</kwd>
<kwd>systematic review 3</kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="s1">
<title>1 Introduction</title>
<p>Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounts for a large proportion of cancer deaths worldwide ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Torre et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bray et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>)), and the incidence of HCC is predicted to increase in the future ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Torre et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bray et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>)). HCC can grow at an exponential rate; its recurrence can occur after a therapy and its subsequent metastasis can lead to mortality, making it the second cause of death of cancer patients ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Torre et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bray et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>)). The current diagnosis of HCC remains ineffective; thus, it is important that preventive methods are developed ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Torre et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bray et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>)). The main risk factors for HCC are chronic hepatitis and virus infection, in particular hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV), and long-term drinking ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Chen et&#x20;al., 1991</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Degos et&#x20;al., 2000</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">Yeh et&#x20;al., 2010</xref>)). Several studies have suggested that chronic hepatitis inflammation could induce HCC((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">Raza et&#x20;al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">Hossain et&#x20;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">Li et&#x20;al., 2013a</xref>)), especially occurring through the cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) pathway ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Cheng et&#x20;al., 2004</xref>)). Thus, modulation of the inflammatory pathways may become a novel method that can restrict HCC development.</p>
<p>Aspirin is a COX inhibitor frequently used to reduce the risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease-related death, owing to its antiplatelet effect. Moreover, aspirin has been shown to play a role in preventing lung cancer, colorectal cancer and prostate cancer ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Cao et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Lapi et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">Ye et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>)). It has been also shown to have a beneficial effect in liver, such as lowering the risk of hepatic inflammation, fibrosis, and HCC, according to the data from chronic hepatitis animal model ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Cao et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Lapi et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">Ye et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>)). The mechanisms underlying the chemopreventive effect of aspirin, however, remain unknown. Recent studies have explored the associations between HCC and the chemopreventive effect of aspirin that is associated with chronic inflammation. Beside the inflammatory process ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">Sitia et&#x20;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Carrat 2014</xref>)), aspirin has been suggested to modulate immune response of liver and promote the liver injury mediated by immune and carcinogenesis ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">Semple et&#x20;al., 2011</xref>)). This information demonstrates that aspirin plays roles in pathogenesis of&#x20;HCC.</p>
<p>Given the evidence of aspirin&#x2019;s chemopreventive effect, it may potentially be prevent HCC. Recent articles have indicated that due to anti-inflammation and immune modulation effect of aspirin ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Sahasrabuddhe et&#x20;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Petrick et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Hwang et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>)), number of HCC incidence in patients taking aspirin is lower compared with that in patients without aspirin. Conversely, several studies have reported that use of aspirin has no notable effect on the incidence of HCC ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Sahasrabuddhe et&#x20;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Petrick et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Hwang et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>)). Given such equivocal information, it is necessary to compile and evaluate data from available articles to determine whether aspirin is beneficial for preventing the incidence of&#x20;HCC.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2">
<title>2 Methods</title>
<sec id="s2-1">
<title>2.1 Search Strategy</title>
<p>The meta-analysis was performed based on the Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology guidelines and the protocol of this study in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analysis (PRISMA) checklist ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">Stroup et&#x20;al., 2000</xref>)). And the PRISMA checklist is shown in <xref ref-type="sec" rid="s9">Supplementary Table S1</xref>. Articles written in English language published from the earliest possible date to 13 March 2020 in the MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science and Cochrane CENTRAL databases and were searched using a combination of MeSH/Emtree and title/abstract keywords. The keywords were &#x201c;Acetylsalicylic acid,&#x201d; &#x201c;Aspirin,&#x201d; &#x201c;Hepatocellular Carcinoma,&#x201d; &#x201c;Liver cancer,&#x201d; &#x201c;Hepatic cellular cancer,&#x201d; and &#x201c;HCC&#x201d;. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="s9">Supplementary Table S2</xref> showed the detailed search strategy.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-2">
<title>2.2 Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria</title>
<sec id="s2-2-1">
<title>2.2.1 Incidence</title>
<p>The inclusion criteria of this study are as follows (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Torre et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>): they enrolled patients using aspirin and non-aspirin for prevention or treatment (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bray et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>); they counted the HCC incidence of aspirin and non-aspirin users (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">McGlynn and London 2011</xref>); they were adults patients (age &#x2265;18&#xa0;years) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Altekruse et&#x20;al., 2012</xref>); they were observational studies or clinical trials (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Villanueva 2019</xref>); they were written in English. The articles were excluded when (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Torre et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>): These studies lacked the results of the correlation between the use of aspirin and HCC incidence rate and hazard ratio (HR), relative risk, odd ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI), or did not provide raw data (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bray et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>).; they were reviews, commentaries, editorials, conference abstracts, or animal studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">McGlynn and London 2011</xref>); they assessed the impact of aspirin combined with other NSAIDs on the incidence of&#x20;HCC.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-2-2">
<title>2.2.2 Recurrence and Mortality</title>
<p>The inclusion criteria of this study are as follows (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Torre et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>): they enrolled HCC patients who used aspirin and non-aspirin (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bray et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>); they counted the HCC recurrence, mortality of patients using aspirin and non-aspirin (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">McGlynn and London 2011</xref>); they were adults patients (age &#x2265;18&#xa0;years) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Altekruse et&#x20;al., 2012</xref>); they were observational studies or clinical trials (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Villanueva 2019</xref>); they were written in English. The articles were excluded when (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Torre et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>): the studies lacked outcome data for correlation between the use of aspirin and HCC recurrence, mortality with hazard ratio (HR), relative risk, or odd ratio(OR) value and 95% confidence interval (CI), or not provide the raw data as we can calculate out the result (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bray et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>); they were reviews, commentaries, editorials, conference abstracts, or animal studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">McGlynn and London 2011</xref>); they assessed the effect of aspirin in combination with other NSAIDs on the recurrence, mortality of&#x20;HCC.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-3">
<title>2.3 Inclusion of Studies and Data Extraction</title>
<p>These articles were first extracted based on the inclusion criteria by two investigators; after that, the differences between them were determined by another investigator. The articles that were included into this study contain the following information: first author&#x2019;s name, year of publication, area where the study was conducted, study design, study period, total number of aspirin/no-aspirin users, HCC number of aspirin/no-aspirin users, liver disease status, primary and secondary outcomes, definition of aspirin user, aspirin dose, adjusted variables. We show these in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table&#x20;1</xref> and <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">Table&#x20;2</xref>. Aspirin users was defined as people who had used aspirin before or after HCC, and the specific information was shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">Table&#x20;2</xref>. If available, the HR and its related 95% CI were extracted directly from the original article. If not, the HR and 95% CI were calculated according to the raw data in the study. In addition, several case-control studies of this meta-analysis only provide the odd ratio not HR ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Yang et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Shen et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>)), so we treated the odd ratio is approximately equivalent to the HR value and then to pooled together because the incidence of HCC is far below 5% (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Akinyemiju et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>), namely if research results are rare in all subjects and subgroups, people can usually ignore the differences between various relative risk measures (such as odds ratio, ratio and risk ratio) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Greenland 1987</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Siristatidis et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Grant 2014</xref>).</p>
<table-wrap id="T1" position="float">
<label>TABLE 1</label>
<caption>
<p>Baseline characteristics for studies included in the meta-analysis.</p>
</caption>
<table>
<thead valign="top">
<tr>
<th rowspan="2" align="left">Study</th>
<th rowspan="2" align="center">Region</th>
<th rowspan="2" align="center">Study design</th>
<th rowspan="2" align="center">Study period</th>
<th rowspan="2" align="center">Total number of aspirin/no-aspirin users</th>
<th rowspan="2" align="center">HCC number of aspirin/no-aspirin users</th>
<th rowspan="2" align="center">Liver disease status</th>
<th rowspan="2" align="center">Reason for aspirin</th>
<th align="center">Primary outcome (HR, 95% CI)</th>
<th align="center">Secondary outcome (HR, 95% CI)</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th align="center">Incidence</th>
<th align="center">Recurrence</th>
<th align="center">Mortality</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody valign="top">
<tr>
<td align="left">Jacobs et&#x20;al. (2012)<sup>41</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">America</td>
<td align="left">RC</td>
<td align="center">1997&#x2013;2018</td>
<td align="center">23869/76270</td>
<td align="center">22/15</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">0.52 (0.30&#x2013;0.93)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Sahasrabuddhe et&#x20;al. (2012)<sup>21</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">America</td>
<td align="left">PC</td>
<td align="center">1995&#x2013;2008</td>
<td align="center">219291/81213</td>
<td align="center">159/90</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="center">0.59 (0.45&#x2013;0.77)</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Yeh et&#x20;al. (2014)<sup>44</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Taiwan</td>
<td align="left">RC</td>
<td align="center">01/1997-12/2010</td>
<td align="center">377/15197</td>
<td align="center">9812/5762</td>
<td align="left">Curative liver resection</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">0.82 (0.64&#x2013;1.06)</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Petrick et&#x20;al. (2015)<sup>20</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">America</td>
<td align="left">RC</td>
<td align="center">1985&#x2013;2010</td>
<td align="center">477470/606663</td>
<td align="center">368/313</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="center">0.68 (0.57&#x2013;0.81)</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Li et&#x20;al. (2016)<sup>42</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Chinese (Mainland)</td>
<td align="left">RC</td>
<td align="center">01/2008-12/2013</td>
<td align="center">60/60</td>
<td align="center">60/60</td>
<td align="left">unresectable HCC</td>
<td align="left">treatment of cardiovascular disease, transient ischemic attack, and arthritis</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">0.498 (0.28&#x2013;0.888)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Yang et&#x20;al. (2016)<sup>22</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Britain</td>
<td align="left">RCC</td>
<td align="center">1988&#x2013;2011</td>
<td align="center">1670/4165</td>
<td align="center">376/819</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="center">1.11 (0.86&#x2013;1.44)</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Hwang et&#x20;al. (2018)<sup>19</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Korea</td>
<td align="left">RC</td>
<td align="center">01/2007-12/2013</td>
<td align="center">64782/395973</td>
<td align="center">382/1954</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="center">0.87 (0.77&#x2013;0.98)</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Simon et&#x20;al. (2018)<sup>36</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">America</td>
<td align="left">PC</td>
<td align="center">1980&#x2013;2012</td>
<td align="center">58855/74516</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="left">Headache, musculoskeletal pain and primary cardiovascular disease prevention (NHS), and cardiovascular disease risk reduction, pain, and headache (HPFS)</td>
<td align="center">0.51 (0.34&#x2013;0.77)</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Du et&#x20;al. (2019)<sup>40</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Chinese (Mainland)</td>
<td align="left">RC</td>
<td align="center">01/2000-12/2014</td>
<td align="center">59/205</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="left">HBV, HCV, cirrhotic, after splenectomy</td>
<td align="left">Postoperative long-term low-dose aspirin administration</td>
<td align="center">0.16 (0.04&#x2013;0.88)</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">0.281 (0.049&#x2013;0.96)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Lee et&#x20;al. (2019)<sup>34</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Taiwan</td>
<td align="left">RC</td>
<td align="center">01/1997-12/2012</td>
<td align="center">2123/8492</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="left">HBV</td>
<td align="left">antiplatelet therapy for cardiovascular diseases</td>
<td align="center">0.71 (0.58&#x2013;0.86)</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Tsoi et&#x20;al. (2019)<sup>35</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Chinese (Mainland)</td>
<td align="left">RC</td>
<td align="center">2000&#x2013;2013</td>
<td align="center">204170/408339</td>
<td align="center">1984/7386</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="left">to prevent cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases</td>
<td align="center">0.49 (0.45&#x2013;0.53)</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Young et&#x20;al. (2019)<sup>43</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Taiwan</td>
<td align="left">RC</td>
<td align="center">10/2007-05/2014</td>
<td align="center">15/415</td>
<td align="center">15/32</td>
<td align="left">HBV, curative resection of HCC</td>
<td align="left">coronary artery disease, type 2 diabetes mellitus or before the surgery of HCC</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">0.221 (0.054&#x2013;0.915)</td>
<td align="center">0.582 (0.143&#x2013;2.365)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Liao et&#x20;al. (2020)<sup>37</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Taiwan</td>
<td align="left">RC</td>
<td align="center">2000&#x2013;2012</td>
<td align="center">1911/1911</td>
<td align="center">131/147</td>
<td align="left">HCV</td>
<td align="left">treated with aspirin</td>
<td align="center">0.56 (0.43&#x2013;0.72)</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Shen et&#x20;al. (2020)<sup>24</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">America</td>
<td align="left">RCC</td>
<td align="center">01/2011-02/2016</td>
<td align="center">676/1129</td>
<td align="center">186/466</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="center">0.39 (0.30&#x2013;0.52)</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Shin et&#x20;al. (2020)<sup>38</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Korea</td>
<td align="left">RC</td>
<td align="center">08/2003-05/2016</td>
<td align="center">224/725</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="left">alcoholic cirrhosis</td>
<td align="left">aspirin therapy</td>
<td align="center">0.14 (0.09&#x2013;0.22)</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Simon et&#x20;al. (2020)<sup>39</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Sweden</td>
<td align="left">RCC</td>
<td align="center">07/2005-12/2013</td>
<td align="center">14205/36070</td>
<td align="center">338/1274</td>
<td align="left">HBV, HCV</td>
<td align="left">cardiovascular prevention</td>
<td align="center">0.69 (0.62&#x2013;0.76)</td>
<td align="center">NA</td>
<td align="center">0.73 (0.67&#x2013;0.81)</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn>
<p>PC, prospective cohort; RC, retrospective cohort; RCC, retrospective case-control; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; HBV, hepatitis B virus; HCV, hepatitis C virus; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; NA, not available.</p>
</fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<table-wrap id="T2" position="float">
<label>TABLE 2</label>
<caption>
<p>Definition of aspirin user, aspirin dose and adjusted variables.</p>
</caption>
<table>
<thead valign="top">
<tr>
<th align="left">Study</th>
<th align="center">Definition of aspirin user</th>
<th align="center">Aspirin dose</th>
<th align="center">Adjusted variables</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody valign="top">
<tr>
<td align="left">Jacobs et&#x20;al. (2012)<sup>41</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Use 30 or 31&#xa0;days per month of either low-dose or adult-strength aspirin</td>
<td align="left">Low-dose or adult-dose aspirin</td>
<td align="left">Age, sex, race, education, smoking, history of heart disease, stroke, diabetes, hypertension, cholesterol-lowering drug use (current), aspirin use in the year 1982, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use, and history of colorectal endoscopy (ever)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Sahasrabuddhe et&#x20;al. (2012)<sup>21</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Self-reported aspirin use</td>
<td align="left">Monthly (&#x2264;2&#x2013;3&#x20;times per month), weekly (1&#x2013;2&#x20;times to 5&#x2013;6&#x20;times per week), or daily use (&#x2265;1&#x20;times per day)</td>
<td align="left">Age, sex, race, cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, diabetes, and body mass index</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Yeh et&#x20;al. (2014)<sup>44</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Retrieved from the pharmacy register data set</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="left">Age, sex, extent of liver resection, chronic viral hepatitis status, comorbidities, and the use of drugs such as statin and metformin</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Petrick et&#x20;al. (2015)<sup>20</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Get from ten US-based prospective cohort studies</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="left">Age, sex, race, cohort, body mass index, smoking, drinking, diabetes</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Li et&#x20;al. (2016)<sup>42</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Administered at least 100&#xa0;mg/day of aspirin continuously for more than 3&#xa0;months</td>
<td align="left">&#x2265;100&#xa0;mg/day</td>
<td align="left">Age, gender, date of HCC diagnosis, Child-Pugh score, following treatment after the initial TACE, tumor size, tumor number, vascular invasion, and metastasis the initial date of HCC diagnosis</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Yang et&#x20;al. (2016)<sup>22</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Having two or more aspirin prescriptions recorded prior to the index date of the individual</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="left">Body mass index, smoking status, alcohol-related disorders, hepatitis B or C virus infection, diabetes, rare metabolic disorders, and use of paracetamol, antidiabetic medications, and statins</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Hwang et&#x20;al. (2018)<sup>19</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Used more than 365 DDDs of aspirin</td>
<td align="left">&#x2265;365 DDDs</td>
<td align="left">Age, sex, body mass index, health behaviors (cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, and physical activity), concurrent medication, category of blood pressure, fasting plasma glucose and total cholesterol, socioeconomic status, and Charlson comorbidity index score</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Simon et&#x20;al. (2018)<sup>36</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">&#x2265;standard-dose [325-mg] tablets per week</td>
<td align="left">&#x2265;325&#xa0;mg/week</td>
<td align="left">Body mass index, alcohol intake, smoking status, physical activity, diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, Regular multivitamin use, regular use of oral antidiabetic medications, regular use of statins, regular use of non-aspirin nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Du et&#x20;al. (2019)<sup>40</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Taking 100&#xa0;mg/d aspirin within 7&#xa0;days</td>
<td align="left">100&#xa0;mg/d</td>
<td align="left">Gender, AST, INR, surgical method, postoperative early aspirin</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Lee et&#x20;al. (2019)<sup>34</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Received daily aspirin for 90 or more days</td>
<td align="left">&#x2264;100&#xa0;mg/d</td>
<td align="left">Age, male sex, liver cirrhosis, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, hypertension, statin use, metformin use, and Nucleoside analogues use</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Tsoi et&#x20;al. (2019)<sup>35</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Adults with aspirin prescription for at least 6&#xa0;months</td>
<td align="left">The median dose of aspirin was 80&#xa0;mg</td>
<td align="left">Age, sex</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Young et&#x20;al. (2019)<sup>43</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Continuous use of aspirin for at least 30&#xa0;days before tumor recurrence</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="left">Age, sex, and other covariates</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Liao et&#x20;al. (2020)<sup>37</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="left">Age, sex, comorbidities, drugs, diagnosis year, and index year</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Shen et&#x20;al. (2020)<sup>24</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">At least once per week over a duration of 3&#xa0;months or more</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
<td align="left">Age, gender, race, education, household income, and marital status</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Shin et&#x20;al. (2020)<sup>38</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Who were treated with aspirin more than 6&#xa0;months</td>
<td align="left">100&#xa0;mg/day</td>
<td align="left">NA</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Simon et&#x20;al. (2020)<sup>39</sup>
</td>
<td align="left">Identified by their first filled prescriptions for 90 or more consecutive doses of aspirin</td>
<td align="left">Low-dose aspirin (&#x2264;160&#xa0;mg)</td>
<td align="left">Sex; continuous years since diagnosis of hepatitis B or hepatitis C; liver disease severity, hypertension, obesity, or alcohol abuse or misuse; and use of insulin, metformin, and statins, and so on</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn>
<p>US, United&#x20;States; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; INR, international normalized ratio; DDD, defined daily dose; NA, not available.</p>
</fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-4">
<title>2.4 Assessment of Risk of Bias</title>
<p>We included thirteen cohort studies and three case-control studies in this meta-analysis. The Newcastle Ottawa scale (NOS) was used to assess the risk of bias for each outcome in all included studies ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">BS et&#x20;al., 2021</xref>)). According to the study population selection, comparability, and adequacy of the outcome data, a total of nine points were obtained articles with seven to nine points are considered high-quality articles ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Yang et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Shen et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>)) Publication bias was assessed for the primary outcome only. The result of the NOS was shown in <xref ref-type="sec" rid="s9">Supplementary Table&#x20;S3</xref>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-5">
<title>2.5 Primary and Secondary Outcomes</title>
<p>The main study outcome of this meta-analysis was incidence of HCC, and the secondary outcomes were recurrence and mortality of&#x20;HCC.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-6">
<title>2.6 Statistical Analysis</title>
<p>Heterogeneity between articles was presented as HRs and 95% CIs, and were determined using a random or fixed effect model. Heterogeneity was further assessed by Chi<sup>2</sup> and <italic>I</italic>
<sup>2</sup> test, in which the percentage of variability was determined (not sampling error) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Higgins and Thompson 2002</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Higgins et&#x20;al., 2003</xref>). Articles with <italic>p</italic> values &#x3c;0.10 or <italic>I</italic>
<sup>2</sup> value &#x3e;50% was considered having substantial heterogeneity. If there is heterogeneity, subgroup analysis will be conducted to explore the potential sources of heterogeneity and consider whether the random effects model can be used for meta-analysis. In addition, Begg funnel plot and Egger&#x2019;s linear regression were used to evaluate the potential publication bias of the main results of the included studies ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Begg and Mazumdar 1994</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">Stuck et&#x20;al., 1998</xref>)). Dissymmetry was evaluated visually by Funnel plots. For Egger&#x2019;s tests, <italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.1 indicated a significantly small study size. The robustness of the results for primary outcome was evaluated by one-way sensitivity analysis. All statistical analyses were conducted using STATA 14.0 (College Station, Texas 77845 United&#x20;States, Serial number: 401406267051). Differences for which <italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.05 (two-sided) were considered statistically significant.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s3">
<title>3 Results</title>
<sec id="s3-1">
<title>3.1 Included Studies</title>
<p>A total of 915 relevant articles were searched, among which 191 articles were duplicates and were removed. After the initial search, 64 articles that discuss problems related to the main goal of this study were selected. Finally, 16 articles ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Sahasrabuddhe et&#x20;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Petrick et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Yang et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Hwang et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>), (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Sahasrabuddhe et&#x20;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Petrick et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Yang et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Hwang et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>), (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Jacobs et&#x20;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">Yeh et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Li et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Simon et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Du et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Lee et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">Tsoi et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Liao et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Shin et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Simon et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">Young et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>)), in which 2781100 patients were involved, and selected (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">Figure&#x20;1</xref>).</p>
<fig id="F1" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 1</label>
<caption>
<p>Workflow for database search used in the meta-analysis.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fphar-13-764854-g001.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-2">
<title>3.2 Characteristics of Included Studies</title>
<p>The included articles were observational studies that reported the relationship between aspirin and HCC. Among which, twelve articles reported the relationship between aspirin and incidence of HCC((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Sahasrabuddhe et&#x20;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Petrick et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Yang et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Hwang et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>), (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Sahasrabuddhe et&#x20;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Petrick et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Yang et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Hwang et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>), (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Simon et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Du et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Lee et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">Tsoi et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Liao et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Shin et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Simon et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>)), two articles showed the relation between aspirin and recurrence of HCC((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">Yeh et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">Young et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>)), and five articles indicated the connection between aspirin and mortality of HCC((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Jacobs et&#x20;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Li et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Du et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Simon et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">Young et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>)). All the included articles gained NOS of greater than or equal to 7 points, suggesting that there is a low risk of bias. The characteristics of the included articles are shown as <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table&#x20;1</xref> and <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">Table&#x20;2</xref>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-3">
<title>3.3 Primary and Secondary Outcome</title>
<p>A random-effects model was used to perform in this meta-analysis for incidence and recurrence due to substantial heterogeneity (<italic>I</italic>
<sup>2</sup> &#x3d; 92.5%, 68.7%, respectively), and fixed-effects model was used to perform in this meta-analysis for mortality due to mild heterogeneity (<italic>I</italic>
<sup>2</sup> &#x3d; 26.4%) between studies. The pooled results from these studies showed that aspirin is associated with lower incidence of HCC (HR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.46-0.69, <italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.001; <italic>I</italic>
<sup>2</sup> &#x3d; 92.5%; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">Figure&#x20;2</xref>). These articles suggest that aspirin is associated with a lower risk of HCC mortality (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.65-0.78; <italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.001; <italic>I</italic>
<sup>2</sup> &#x3d; 26.4%; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">Figure&#x20;3</xref>), not HCC recurrence (HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.15-1.76; <italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3d; 0.291; <italic>I</italic>
<sup>2</sup> &#x3d; 68.7%; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">Figure&#x20;4</xref>).</p>
<fig id="F2" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 2</label>
<caption>
<p>Meta-analysis of overall pooled HRs with 95% CIs across studies for primary outcomes. Forest plot showing the significance of the relationship between aspirin use and incidence risk of HCC according to the random-effects&#x20;model.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fphar-13-764854-g002.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="F3" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 3</label>
<caption>
<p>Meta-analysis of overall pooled HRs with 95% CIs across studies for secondary outcomes. Forest plot showing the significance of the relationship between aspirin use and mortality of HCC according to the fixed-effects&#x20;model.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fphar-13-764854-g003.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="F4" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 4</label>
<caption>
<p>Meta-analysis of overall pooled HRs with 95% CIs across studies for secondary outcomes. Forest plot showing the significance of the relationship between aspirin use and recurrence of HCC according to the random-effects&#x20;model.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fphar-13-764854-g004.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-4">
<title>3.4 Subgroup Analysis</title>
<p>Subgroup analysis further showed that use of aspirin is linked to a lower incidence of HCC in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis (HR, 0.14; 95% CI, 0.09-0.22; <italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.001; <italic>I</italic>
<sup>2</sup> &#x3d; 0%; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F5">Figure&#x20;5</xref>), virus hepatitis (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.62-0.74; <italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.001; <italic>I</italic>
<sup>2</sup> &#x3d; 48.1%; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6">Figure&#x20;6</xref>). Obviously, aspirin is associated with a lower incidence rate of liver cancer in alcoholic cirrhosis.</p>
<fig id="F5" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 5</label>
<caption>
<p>Meta-analysis of overall pooled HRs with 95% CIs across studies for primary outcomes in subgroup analyses. Forest plot showing the significance of the relationship between aspirin use and incidence risk of HCC in alcoholic cirrhosis patients according to the fixed-effects model.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fphar-13-764854-g005.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="F6" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 6</label>
<caption>
<p>Meta-analysis of overall pooled HRs with 95% CIs across studies for primary outcomes in subgroup analyses. Forest plot showing the significance of the relationship between aspirin use and incidence risk of HCC in virus hepatitis patients according to the fixed-effects&#x20;model.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fphar-13-764854-g006.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-5">
<title>3.5 Sensitivity Analyses</title>
<p>Since the included studies were observational studies, the risk of bias was low (<xref ref-type="sec" rid="s9">Supplementary Table S3</xref>), we did not conduct a sensitivity analysis of the methodological criteria. So we conduct a sensitivity analysis to evaluate the effect of any one study on the pooled HRs and 95% CIs by removing one individual study at a time. The results showed that the meta-analysis is robust and reliable (<xref ref-type="sec" rid="s9">Supplementary Figure&#x20;S1</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-6">
<title>3.6 Publication Bias</title>
<p>We employed the funnel plots (<xref ref-type="sec" rid="s9">Supplementary Figure S2</xref>) and the egger&#x2019;s regression asymmetry tests (<xref ref-type="sec" rid="s9">Supplementary Figure S3</xref>) to evaluate potential publication bias of the included studies. We observed a slight asymmetry in the funnel plots and the Egger&#x2019;s Publication bias plot. However the results of Egger&#x2019;s regression asymmetry tests confirmed no publication bias exist in these studies (<italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3d; 0.594).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s4">
<title>4 Discussion</title>
<p>Evaluation of studies that enrolled 2781100 participants demonstrated that the incidence of HCC was lower in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis and virus hepatitis who use aspirin than that of patients who do not use aspirin, but also the mortality of HCC was lower in aspirin users than those in non-aspirin users. This finding suggests that the use of aspirin was associated with decreased risk of HCC and the risk of HCC mortality. However, clinical trials should be further conducted to confirm this suggestion.</p>
<p>Aspirin is a first-line nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID), which has been reported to have chemo-protective effects, according to epidemiological researches. Studies ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Gann et&#x20;al., 1993</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Cook et&#x20;al., 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Flossmann and Rothwell 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Burn et&#x20;al., 2011</xref>)), in which patients with different genders and are from different regions were enrolled, have indicated the association between aspirin and cancer risk. While some recent studies have reported that NSAID ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Sahasrabuddhe et&#x20;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Petrick et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>)), especially for aspirin, may be able to protect against incidence risk of HCC, other studies have indicated that non-aspirin NSAID could also reduce the number of HCC incidence ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Pang et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">Tao et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>)). Thus, to further clarify this, we evaluated several studies ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Pang et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">Tao et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>), (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Simon et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Liao et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Shin et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>), (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">Oh et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>)), in which aspirin users and non-aspirin users were compared. Our investigation suggested that aspirin was associated with a reduced risk of HCC. And the subgroup analysis result of our meta-analysis also indicated that aspirin use was associated with a reduced incidence of HCC in virus hepatitis and alcoholic cirrhosis patients. Similar effects or mechanisms have also been observed in chronic hepatitis patients ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Maini and Schurich 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">Sitia et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>)). The presence of hepatitis virus causes CD8<sup>&#x2b;</sup> lymphocytes to secret many inflammatory factors involving in the dealing with infection; inability to timely clear the virus can lead to failure of the liver. Although numerous articles have demonstrated that aspirin users has a significantly lower incidence of HCC compared with non-aspirin users ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Maini and Schurich 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">Sitia et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>), (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Maini and Schurich 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">Sitia et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>), (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Maini and Schurich 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">Sitia et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>), (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Maini and Schurich 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">Sitia et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>), (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Simon et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>), (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Lee et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>)), contradictory results have been reported by some studies ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Chiu et&#x20;al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Kim et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>), (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Chiu et&#x20;al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Kim et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>)). Moreover, a meta-analysis that included 5 studies for incidence and 2 studies for mortality reported aspirin use could reduce the incidence risk of HCC((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Chiu et&#x20;al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Kim et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>)), and also the 2-years and 4-years mortalities in patients with HCC. And the result is consistent with our meta-analysis. However another meta-analysis that included 5 studies reported aspirin use could not reduce the incidence risk of HCC((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Chiu et&#x20;al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Kim et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>)). In addition, A recent meta-analysis included 8 cohort studies by Wang et&#x20;al. focused on the dose-response effect of aspirin use and incidence risk of HCC((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Chiu et&#x20;al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Kim et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>)), and which reported that the higher the aspirin dose, the lower incidence risk of HCC. However, all these three previous meta-analysis may lead to the in-reliable result as their small number of included studies ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Pang et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">Tao et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Wang et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>)). Besides, we also look forward to more studies on the dose dependence or time dependence between aspirin and HCC occur. In all, the majority of evidences shown above indicate that use of aspirin could reduce the incidence risk of HCC, also aspirin use and lower mortality in HCC patients.</p>
<p>Several mechanisms may support the beneficial effects of aspirin on the incidence risk of HCC. Aspirin has a very short half-life in the serum; it selectively inhibits the platelet COX-1. Patients with inflammation-related cancer, including HCC, have increased levels of pro-inflammatory factor, COX-2 enzyme ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Lim et&#x20;al., 2000</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">Yip-Schneider et&#x20;al., 2000</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">Singh et&#x20;al., 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Chan et&#x20;al., 2007</xref>)). Animal studies have suggested that aspirin at high doses is required to completely inhibit COX-2 ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">Kern et&#x20;al., 2002</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Foder&#xe0; et&#x20;al., 2004</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Chen et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>)). Additionally, higher COX-2 levels can induce the hepatocarcinogenesis-related inflammatory factor cascades, such as protein kinase 3 (PK-3) and nuclear factor &#x3ba;B (NF-&#x3ba;B) pathways ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">Iannacone et&#x20;al., 2005</xref>)). Aspirin at high doses could block the NF-&#x3ba;B and PK-3 pathways ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Chan et&#x20;al., 1998</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Leng et&#x20;al., 2003</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Patrono et&#x20;al., 2005</xref>)). The mechanisms in which use of aspirin may benefit HCC patients with HBV are as follows: while platelets accelerate HBV-related liver injury by retaining inflammation (69), aspirin exerts its anti-inflammation by inhibiting the production of thromboxane A2 and relevant platelet activation pathways ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Cattaneo 2004</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Aiolfi and Sitia 2015</xref>)). Moreover, the use of aspirin antiplatelet therapy reduces the frequency of platelet immune cell interaction and intrahepatic platelet accumulation, thereby limiting the transport of hepatic immune cells, which can prevent the development of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and subsequent HCC((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Malehmir et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>)). Other studies have suggested that anti-platelet therapy can diminish not only the intrahepatic HBV-specific CD8 T&#x20;cells ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Cattaneo 2004</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Aiolfi and Sitia 2015</xref>)), but also normal inflammatory cells; as a result, HCC is developing in the construction of HBV transgenic animal model. A study of a xenograft nude mouse model have also indicated that use of aspirin could inhibit growth and/or death of HCC tumor ((<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Cattaneo 2004</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Aiolfi and Sitia 2015</xref>), (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Li et&#x20;al., 2013b</xref>)).</p>
<p>This study has several advantages. First, the total sample sizes are sufficient for this meta-analysis; therefore, the bias from sample sizes can be diminished; Second, it is the first systematic review and meta-analysis to analyses the incidence of HCC in aspirin users in patients with virus hepatitis and alcoholic cirrhosis. Third, the results shown in the NOS quality list showed that this article may have a risk of bias, suggesting the methodology used in the original studies has higher quality; Moreover, the outcome data in the included studies were adjusted into the primary and secondary outcomes; hence, analyses of effects of aspirin on the incidence, and recurrence and mortality of HCC were conducted separately. Furthermore, the synthetic HR and its 95% CI were obtained using the generic inverse variance methods of random-effect models; thus, the obtained HR indicates the sum effect of aspirin on HCC incidence. More importantly, although all the included studies are observational studies, the main confounding variables that impacted the primary results that were adjusted in most of original articles. Finally the sensitivity analysis results suggested that the meta-analysis employed in this study is robust and reliable.</p>
<p>Despite the above strengths, this study has some limitation: First, high heterogeneity was observed in the sum effect of aspirin on the incidence of HCC, suggesting the results presented here may be different from those in the original articles (NOS assessment, however, indicated that the conclusions presented here is reliable); Second, aspirin dose and period of use were varied in the original studies, which may affect the results shown in this study and may be the source of heterogeneity; therefore, further researches are needed; Third, the small included studies for aspirin use and incidence of HCC in alcoholic cirrhosis patients may lead to the in-reliable result. However, it is clear that use of aspirin has a significant reduction in the incidence of HCC in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis and virus hepatitis. Fourth, this study evaluate only the preventive or therapeutic effect of aspirin on HCC patients, not its safety, administration initiation or continuation; Finally, more importantly, although the included articles have a low risk of bias, this study did not include randomized controlled trials, which may be one of the most important disadvantages.</p>
<p>This article presents the first meta-analysis that elaborate on the beneficial effect of aspirin on HCC incidence in patients with or without virus hepatitis and alcoholic cirrhosis. The analysis indicated that aspirin could decrease the incidence risk of HCC including virus hepatitis, especially for patients with alcoholic cirrhosis, and also the mortality of HCC. However, further clinical trials are encouraged to be conducted to support the present results.</p>
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<back>
<sec id="s5">
<title>Data Availability Statement</title>
<p>The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/<xref ref-type="sec" rid="s9">Supplementary Material</xref>, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding authors.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s6">
<title>Author Contributions</title>
<p>Conceptualization, ZF and LL; Data curation, XZ; Formal analysis, XZ; Funding acquisition, ZF and LL; Investigation, LM and YS; Methodology, YS and CL; Project administration, XZ and YS; Software, YZ and LM; Validation, LL; Visualization, LM; Writing&#x2013;original draft, XD and YZ; Writing&#x2013;review and editing,&#x20;XZ.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s7">
<title>Funding</title>
<p>This study was supported by the Special Project of Traditional Chinese Medicine Research in Henan Province (Grant No. 20-21ZY2311), Henan Province Medical Science and Technology Research Project Joint Construction Project (Grant No. LHGJ20190003, LHGJ20190055), Young and Middle-aged Health Science and Technology Innovation Talents in 2020 (Grant No. YXKC2020049), and Key scientific research projects of higher education institutions in Henan Province (Grant No. 21A320036).</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="COI-statement" id="s8">
<title>Conflict of Interest</title>
<p>The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s10" sec-type="disclaimer">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s Note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p>
</sec>
<ack>
<p>We would like to thank Chinese Evidence Based Medicine Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University provided the Stata 14.0 statistical software.</p>
</ack>
<sec id="s9">
<title>Supplementary Material</title>
<p>The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphar.2022.764854/full#supplementary-material">https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphar.2022.764854/full&#x23;supplementary-material</ext-link>
</p>
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