AUTHOR=Giannini Tereza Cristina , Acosta André Luis , Costa Wilian França , Miranda Leonardo , Pinto Carlos Eduardo , Watanabe Maurício Takashi Coutinho , Zappi Daniela Cristina , Giulietti Ana Maria , Imperatriz-Fonseca Vera Lucia 

TITLE=Flora of Ferruginous Outcrops Under Climate Change: A Study in the Cangas of Carajás (Eastern Amazon)

JOURNAL=Frontiers in Plant Science

VOLUME=Volume 12 - 2021

YEAR=2021

URL=https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/plant-science/articles/10.3389/fpls.2021.699034

DOI=10.3389/fpls.2021.699034

ISSN=1664-462X

ABSTRACT=Climate change has impacted biodiversity, altering the geographical distributions of species and their interspecific interactions. This study aims to evaluate the impact of climate changes on the flora of naturally open areas on ferruginous (canga) outcrops in the eastern Amazon and on interactions with their main functional pollinator group through pollination syndromes. We evaluated 608 plant species of two protected areas located in the eastern Amazon Biome. We classified each plant species into eight pollination syndromes. We estimated the effects of climate change on each species using species distribution modelling. Then we analyzed our results building ensemble models for each type of pollination syndrome. Most the plant species will potentially face reduction of suitable habitats and the scenarios showed that 42% of them may not find suitable areas in the study area. We found no significant difference between pollination syndromes related to the potential effect of climate change. The most climatically stable areas are those to the north and west of the state of Pará. Plant species of outcrops in eastern Amazon can be severely affected by climate change, independently of their main functional pollinator group. Urgent strategies for protecting species and their interactions are necessary.