AUTHOR=Magnus Jan R. , Peresetsky Anatoly A. TITLE=A Statistical Explanation of the Dunning–Kruger Effect JOURNAL=Frontiers in Psychology VOLUME=13 YEAR=2022 URL=https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/psychology/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2022.840180 DOI=10.3389/fpsyg.2022.840180 ISSN=1664-1078 ABSTRACT=

An explanation of the Dunning–Kruger effect is provided which does not require any psychological explanation, because it is derived as a statistical artifact. This is achieved by specifying a simple statistical model which explicitly takes the (random) boundary constraints into account. The model fits the data almost perfectly.

JEL Classification

A22; C24; C91; D84; D91; I21