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<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Water</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Water</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Water</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">2624-9375</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/frwa.2020.562304</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Water</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Review</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Toward Urban Water Security: Broadening the Use of Machine Learning Methods for Mitigating Urban Water Hazards</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Allen-Dumas</surname> <given-names>Melissa R.</given-names></name>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/629367/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name><surname>Xu</surname> <given-names>Haowen</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c001"><sup>&#x0002A;</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1106141/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Kurte</surname> <given-names>Kuldeep R.</given-names></name>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1105555/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Rastogi</surname> <given-names>Deeksha</given-names></name>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff><institution>Computational Urban Sciences Group, Computational Sciences and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Climate Change Science Institute</institution>, <addr-line>Oak Ridge, TN</addr-line>, <country>United States</country></aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by"><p>Edited by: Chaopeng Shen, Pennsylvania State University (PSU), United States</p></fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by"><p>Reviewed by: Andrea Cominola, Technical University of Berlin, Germany; Xi Chen, University of Cincinnati, United States</p></fn>
<corresp id="c001">&#x0002A;Correspondence: Haowen Xu <email>xuh4&#x00040;ornl.gov</email></corresp>
<fn fn-type="other" id="fn001"><p>This article was submitted to Water and Hydrocomplexity, a section of the journal Frontiers in Water</p></fn></author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>29</day>
<month>01</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2020</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2</volume>
<elocation-id>562304</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>14</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2020</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>15</day>
<month>05</month>
<year>2020</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#x000A9; 2021 Allen-Dumas, Xu, Kurte and Rastogi.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2021</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Allen-Dumas, Xu, Kurte and Rastogi</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"><p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</p></license>
</permissions>
<abstract><p>Due to the complex interactions of human activity and the hydrological cycle, achieving urban water security requires comprehensive planning processes that address urban water hazards using a holistic approach. However, the effective implementation of such an approach requires the collection and curation of large amounts of disparate data, and reliable methods for modeling processes that may be co-evolutionary yet traditionally represented in non-integrable ways. In recent decades, many hydrological studies have utilized advanced machine learning and information technologies to approximate and predict physical processes, yet none have synthesized these methods into a comprehensive urban water security plan. In this paper, we review ways in which advanced machine learning techniques have been applied to specific aspects of the hydrological cycle and discuss their potential applications for addressing challenges in mitigating multiple water hazards over urban areas. We also describe a vision that integrates these machine learning applications into a comprehensive watershed-to-community planning workflow for smart-cities management of urban water resources.</p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>urban water security</kwd>
<kwd>hazard mitigation</kwd>
<kwd>machine learning</kwd>
<kwd>watershed modeling</kwd>
<kwd>integrated water resource management</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<contract-sponsor id="cn001">Oak Ridge National Laboratory<named-content content-type="fundref-id">10.13039/100006228</named-content></contract-sponsor>
<counts>
<fig-count count="2"/>
<table-count count="1"/>
<equation-count count="0"/>
<ref-count count="261"/>
<page-count count="27"/>
<word-count count="23186"/>
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</article-meta>
<notes notes-type="disclaimer"><p>This manuscript has been authored by UT-Battelle LLC under contract DE-AC05-00OR22725 with the US Department of Energy (DOE). The US government retains and the publisher, by accepting the article for publication, acknowledges that the US government retains a nonexclusive, paid-up, irrevocable worldwide license to publish or reproduce the published form of this manuscript, or allow others to do so, for US government purposes. DOE will provide public access to these results of federally sponsored research in accordance with the DOE Public Access Plan (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://energy.gov/downloads/doe-public-access-plan">http://energy.gov/downloads/doe-public-access-plan</ext-link>).</p></notes>
</front>
<body>
<sec sec-type="intro" id="s1">
<title>1. Introduction</title>
<p>A recent United Nations report projects that 60% of the world&#x00027;s total population will live in cities by the year 2030 (U.N., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B229">2018</xref>). This highly-urbanized population will face vulnerability to water-related hazards in many ways. For example, the combined effect of natural changes and human intervention on the landscape can lead to flooding, drought, and morphologic instabilities (e.g., stream erosion and instability, erosion, and sedimentation at structures) in and around urban areas, as well as deterioration of water quality, riverine ecology, and natural habitats (Crossman et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">2013</xref>; Krajewski et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B125">2016</xref>). Because of the accelerated pace of anthropogenic activity, hazard frequency, and intensity is exacerbated requiring immediate delivery of science-based solutions for mitigation, resilience, and adaptation that can be quickly deployed in any hazard-prone area. Mitigating these urban water hazards is challenging for watershed management and the urban planning community (Eriksson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">2015</xref>) due to the following hydro-complexities. First, these hazards exist in a variety of forms (e.g., floods, droughts, increased soil erosion, and water pollution) and are associated with multiple urban risks (e.g., property inundation and infrastructure failure, water shortage, landslide, and eco-habitat deterioration) (Carson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">2018</xref>). Second, these urban water hazards may occur separately or in a multi-hazard chain (Kappes et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B114">2012</xref>; Komendantova et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B123">2014</xref>), in which the occurrence of one hazard (e.g., urban flooding) may trigger another hazard (e.g., bank erosion and landslide). Third, the occurrences of different urban water hazards are connected through the flow of the water and watershed processes over a range of spatial scales (Souch&#x000E8;re et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B217">2010</xref>; Santelmann et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B203">2019</xref>), pressing the need for multiscale mitigation strategies that target hazard drivers at both watershed and urban neighborhood scale (Bertolotto et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">2007</xref>; Xu et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B247">2019b</xref>).</p>
<p>Given these challenges, a holistic approach to water security is articulated by Ait Kadi and Arriens (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">2012</xref>), as one that produces a world in which each community has access to enough water for social and economic development, and for ecosystems in and beyond those communities; and where those communities are protected from floods, droughts, landslides, erosion, and waterborne diseases (Carson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">2018</xref>; Aboelnga et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">2019</xref>). Additionally, ensuring urban water security is a complex endeavor, as it involves dynamic processes and requires the interaction and participation of multiple planning actors (stakeholders, resource managers, and policy makers) to safeguard the integrity and security of urban water systems and assets in a continuous, physical, and legal manner. Subsequently, these actors must formulate policies and make investments using robust, adaptive, and accessible strategies that balance the socioeconomic and ecological benefits and urban sustainability with the cost of mitigation measures and management practices, and increase the resilience and preparedness of urban communities against extreme weather and natural disasters (Medema et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B144">2014</xref>; Carson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">2018</xref>).</p>
<p>Fundamentally, these methods must have the capability of identifying and assessing the risk of multiple interconnected urban water hazards simultaneously (Kappes et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B114">2012</xref>; Komendantova et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B123">2014</xref>). Further, these methods must include system-based techniques for providing generalized predictions and acquiring unseen data in order to obtain reliable and accurate depictions of both current and future states of water resources in both urban areas and their associated watersheds. The projections and updates provided through these techniques must be easy to interpret and to understand, so that researchers, decision makers, and communities can readily obtain useful insights that support the planning of urban water resources, including the mitigation of existing hazards and the prevention of future hazards (Carson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">2018</xref>; Zaidi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B256">2018</xref>).</p>
<p>To fulfill these management needs, comprehensive disaster management frameworks are proposed to promote the collaborative planning and management of water, land, and related resources (Selin and Chevez, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B206">1995</xref>; Emerson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">2012</xref>). These frameworks are developed to reduce the risk of multiple water hazards equitably without compromising the sustainability of vital ecosystems. Examples of these frameworks include Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM), Adaptive Management (AM), and the Ecosystem Approach (EA) (Cardwell et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">2009</xref>; D&#x000F6;rendahl, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">2013</xref>; Palmer et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B171">2013</xref>; Carson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">2018</xref>). In general, these frameworks entail a series of planning processes that can be categorized into four major stages (Yu et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B255">2018</xref>; Sun and Scanlon, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B220">2019</xref>):</p>
<list list-type="order">
<list-item><p>Long-term planning and mitigation</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Early warning and prediction of hazards</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Rapid response and rescue</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Recovery and restoration.</p></list-item>
</list>
<p>Within the long-term planning and mitigation stage, we summarize here a list of common planning processes from several planning frameworks (Yoe and Orth, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B254">1996</xref>; NRCS, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B164">2003</xref>; USEPA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B232">2012</xref>), and we address machine learning (ML) methods for application to these processes throughout the paper. These steps are as follows:</p>
<list list-type="order">
<list-item><p>Identification and assessment of multi-hazard risk in urban water systems.</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Determination of the objectives of urban water planning and hazard mitigation.</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Inventory of useful data resources that can define urban water hazards and risks, indicate the performances of existing urban water systems, and reflect the current state of the urban water system and the watershed to which it pertains.</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Identification, evaluation, and selection of Best Management Practices (BMPs) from a variety of planning alternatives for water quality improvement, stormwater management, and erosion controls (NRCS, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B166">2011</xref>; USEPA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B233">2018</xref>).</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Evaluation of the performance and effectiveness of the implemented plan by examining information and monitoring data collected from pilot studies.</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Identification, evaluation, and selection of proposed modifications for ongoing or existing plans and implementation schedules based on the future scenarios of urban water.</p></list-item>
</list>
<p>Despite the usefulness of these planning directives, the implementation of these processes is sophisticated and faces both methodological and technical challenges. Methodological challenges are associated with the long-term planning and mitigation processes and include: (a) assessing the multi-hazard risk and vulnerability of a municipal water system (Kappes et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B114">2012</xref>; Jetten et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B108">2014</xref>; Lambert, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B131">2014</xref>), and (b) optimizing the selection of the BMPs from a variety of mitigation alternatives based on multiple criteria and objectives (FHWA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">2000</xref>). Technical challenges are associated with the implementation of multiple planning processes. One of the major technical challenges is related to the discovery and integration of a large volume of interdisciplinary data and simulation models (Adamala, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">2017</xref>), which is essential for supporting the multi-hazard risk assessment in the long-term planning and mitigation process, as well as for informing rapid response and rescue during a hazardous event. These information resources can provide data-driven and model-driven insights for informing the current and future state of urban water systems and watersheds. Another major technical challenge is related to the accurate and timely prediction of hazardous events, which help facilitate early warning and prevention of hazard.</p>
<p>Conventionally, these challenges are approached using domain models and human justification of decision-makers, and therefore require computation- and labor-intensive efforts for coupling multiple models and investigating the underlying physical processes of different hazards. In recent decades, developments in advanced ML techniques has offered a more time efficient method for overcoming these challenges in an intelligent manner. Many review papers have enumerated ML and big data applications for enhancing various water resources management related applications and hydrological analysis (Adamala, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">2017</xref>; Holzbecher et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B100">2019</xref>) and for mitigating a specific water hazard, such as flooding (Mosavi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B157">2018</xref>), water pollution (Haghiabi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B90">2018</xref>), and erosion (Abdulkadir et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">2019</xref>). In this paper, we explore and discuss benefits and potential opportunities of the ML applications for enhancing the mitigation of multiple urban water hazards. Herein, we review a selection of successful studies that apply various ML techniques and hybrid modeling techniques (i.e., the fusion of ML methods with process-based domain models) to overcome challenges encountered by different planning processes for integrated urban water management. Hybrid models are a mixture of inductive (data-driven) and deductive (process-based) approaches (Goldstein and Coco, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B82">2015</xref>; Hajigholizadeh et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B91">2018</xref>; Frame, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">2019</xref>) and are referred to by Goldstein and Coco (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B82">2015</xref>) as the use of empiricisms built from ML in process-based models. Other researchers (e.g., Karpatne et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B116">2016</xref>) approach hybrid modeling from the opposite direction&#x02014;as &#x0201C;theory-guided data science,&#x0201D; in which data analysis, given sufficient grounding in physical principles, can represent causative relationships among parameters.</p>
<p>Additionally, we provide a vision for ways in which ML techniques can be used to facilitate different processes in the planning framework for the future. Different from previous review articles that focus on the machine learning application in the water management sector (Sun and Scanlon, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B220">2019</xref>; Chen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">2020</xref>), we review innovative and application-ready machine learning solutions to facilitate urban water hazard mitigation from the practical aspect of addressing technical and methodological challenges in water resources and disaster management frameworks. The target audience of this paper includes watershed management authorities (WMAs), urban and regional planners, and research professionals in the water resources management sectors. To retrieve the relevant literature in this field that applies various ML techniques for urban water management, we conducted searches using tools such as Google scholar (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://scholar.google.com">https://scholar.google.com</ext-link>) and Scopus (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.scopus.com">https://www.scopus.com</ext-link>). <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">Figure 1</xref> shows the result of the query: <italic>(&#x0201C;Random Forest&#x0201D; OR &#x0201C;Artificial Intelligence&#x0201D; OR &#x0201C;ANN&#x0201D; OR &#x0201C;Support Vector Machine&#x0201D; OR &#x0201C;ANN&#x0201D; OR &#x0201C;Artificial Neural Network&#x0201D; OR &#x0201C;Neural Network&#x0201D; OR &#x0201C;SVM&#x0201D; OR &#x0201C;Machine Learning&#x0201D;) AND (&#x0201C;water management&#x0201D; OR &#x0201C;water resources management&#x0201D; OR &#x0201C;watershed management&#x0201D; OR &#x0201C;watershed planning&#x0201D; OR &#x0201C;urban water systems&#x0201D; OR &#x0201C;multi-hazard&#x0201D; OR &#x0201C;water hazard&#x0201D; OR &#x0201C;flood disaster&#x0201D; OR &#x0201C;water pollution&#x0201D;) AND [EXCLUDE (PUBYEAR, 2020)]</italic>. We executed the query for years 1999&#x02013;2019, and excluded year 2020. The above query retrieved a total of 46,145 documents from Scopus such that either article title, list of keywords or abstract satisfies the query. It is clear from <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">Figure 1A</xref> that there is a significant growth in ML based approaches for water related areas such as water management and urban water hazards. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">Figure 1B</xref> shows the top four scientific journals which receive research on ML application to water related areas. The graph in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">Figure 1B</xref> also confirms the increasing trends in the applications of ML techniques in water management and hazards.</p>
<fig id="F1" position="float">
<label>Figure 1</label>
<caption><p>Research trend showing increased application of machine learning techniques in water management and hazard (Copyright 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Scopus&#x000AE; is a registered trademark of Elsevier B.V). <bold>(A)</bold> Documents per year during 1999&#x02013;2019. <bold>(B)</bold> Documents per year source during 1999&#x02013;2019.</p></caption>
<graphic xlink:href="frwa-02-562304-g0001.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>Among the thousands of literature identifies from the Scopus, we select a handful of studies that are either published in recent years or are most relevant to and practical for improving specific processes and steps in the generic hazard mitigation stages and long-term water planning frameworks that are discussed early in the introduction section. We also consider the diversity and novelty of the machine learning techniques during the selection of studies for more detailed reviews and discussions. Based on the challenge and planning process targeted by these studies, we divide our review here into the following sections. Section 2 reviews the predictive data analytics powered by various ML techniques that help planners predict water-related hazards (e.g., flood, drought, water quality, and soil erosion and sediment transport). Multiple applications of hybrid modeling are also discussed in this section. Additionally, a subsection reviewing innovative combinations of ML and remote sensing technologies for disaster management is included, as remote sensing technologies are increasingly applied for improving the discovery and extraction of useful information and features (e.g., land use and land cover, flood inundation extent, and reservoir storage from satellite imagery) that are critical for early warning of hazards and rapid response and rescue during hazardous events (Hodgson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B98">2010</xref>). Section 3 presents the ML applications for the identification and assessment of water-related multi-hazard risks and vulnerability (e.g., building inundation, infrastructure failure, and economic loss) in urban water systems. In section 4, we review a few case studies that utilize ML algorithms to optimize the selection of urban BMPs, which can improve long-term planning and mitigation and recovery and restoration processes. Finally, in section 5, we present our vision for the application of next-generation ML techniques to efficient generation of mitigation strategies in response to urban water hazards. ML methods and their performance as applied to each issue are summarized in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T1">
<label>Table 1</label>
<caption><p>Machine learning methods discussed in each section.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead><tr>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Topic</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Machine learning</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Summary</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>References</bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Atmosphere (section 2.1.1)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">ANN</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Use of ANN has proved to be efficient in analyzing and representing complex, non-linear relationships between multiple atmospheric and hydrological parameters. Compared with the traditional modeling approach, ANNs have varying performance and are less time consuming.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sahoo et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B202">2017</xref>; Zaidi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B256">2018</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">SVM</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">The performance of SVMs for forecasting regional rainfall varies across the geographic area. For non-stationary time series forecasting, DSVMs generalize better than the standard SVMs. The evaluation of these methods is conducted using both real data and simulated data.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Cao and Gu, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">2002</xref>; Mohanty and Mohapatra, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B153">2018</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Anomaly detection</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Various anomaly detection algorithms have been proposed for detecting point anomalies to improve hydrological and climate data quality, as well as to mine potentially meaningful pattern anomalies within a given time series or spatio-temporal data.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Chandola et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">2009a</xref>; Das and Parthasarathy, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">2009</xref>; Sun et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B221">2017</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Catchment (section 2.1.2)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Evolutionary algorithms</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Genetic programming approach performs better than the traditional hydrological models during scenarios where surface water movement and water losses are poorly understood.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Whigham and Crapper, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B241">2001</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Cellular automata (CA)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">The CA technique provides a versatile approach for modeling complex physical systems using a simplified 5-feature cell-based system. Compared with physically-based models, CA can dramatically reduce computational load, while providing a minimum required accuracy for rapid flood analysis in large-scale applications.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Guidolin et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B86">2016</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rivers (section 2.1.3)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">ANN</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Compared with statistical models, ANNs tend to perform better for simulations containing non-linear patterns. Among popular ANNs, FFBPNN has been proven to have the best performances by many studies, and GRNN performs better than RBFNN in most cases. Thus, ANNs can serves as helpful tools for predicting river floods, as well as for mitigating missing flow data records.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Shamseldin, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B208">2010</xref>; Badrzadeh et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">2013</xref>; Tayyab et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B227">2016</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Urban Flood (section 2.1.4)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">ANN, Bayesian linear regression, boosted decision tree regression, decision forest regression, linear regression</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Noymanee et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B163">2017</xref>) compared multiple ML techniques for predicting urban flood peak using a list of error metrics. The performance of different ML techniques varies for predicting urban flood stage at different timestamps. The study demonstrated that for predicting flood peaks, ANNs and Boosted trees performed best.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Noymanee et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B163">2017</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Indirect effects (section 2.1.5)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Reinforcement learning with agent-based models</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yang S. et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B251">2019</xref>) used two studies to demonstrate the effect of Reinforcement learning with agent-based models in supporting the decisions of recovery actions after a flood disaster. The case that adopts the ML technique outperformed the other case and achieved a shorter recovery time.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yang S. et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B251">2019</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Drought prediction (section 2.2.1)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">ARF, BRT, Cubist</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Model performance varies by drought type and across different regions. Park et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B174">2016</xref>) demonstrated a case study showing that boosted random forests generally produced better results than the other two models for both arid and humid regions.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Park et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B174">2016</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">CART, random forests</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Kuswanto and Naufal (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B130">2019</xref>) used a case study (based on both the TRMM and MERRA-2 datasets) to demonstrate that random forests perform well for prediction of droughts in East Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Kuswanto and Naufal, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B130">2019</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">CART, BRT, random forests, MARS, FDA, SVM</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rahmati et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B190">2019</xref>) demonstrated that the performance of different models varies when predicting the risk for different types of hazards. For example, the SVM model showed the highest accuracy for avalanches, while BRT demonstrated the best performance for flood hazards.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rahmati et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B190">2019</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">ANN, SVR</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">For predicting the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) (in this case SPI 3, SPI 12, and SPI 24), a meteorological drought index, the wavelet boosting ANN (WBS-ANN) and wavelet boosting SVR (WBS-SVR) models produced better prediction results compared to the SVM.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Belayneh et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">2016</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">XGBoost</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Zhang R. et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B259">2019</xref>) demonstrated that the incorporation of non-linear and lag effects of predictors into the XGBoost method can significantly improve prediction accuracy of Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and drought, providing a new modeling strategy for drought predictions based on multistation data.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Zhang R. et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B259">2019</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">W-QEISS</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Zaniolo et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B257">2018</xref>) applied a variable subset selection algorithm to improve the FRIDA&#x00027;s (FRamework for Index-based Drought Analysis) capability for automating the design of basin-customized drought indexes across different types of basins. The algorithm is based on a Wrapper for Quasi-Equally Informative Subset Selection (W-QEISS) and is capable of maximizing the wrapper accuracy, minimizing the number of selected variables, and optimizing relevance and redundancy of the subset.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Zaniolo et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B257">2018</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Water quality prediction (section 2.3)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">ANN</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Several studies have shown the ability of ANNs to simulate water quality variables and to produce simulated values for un-gauged locations.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Palani et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B170">2008</xref>; Singh et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B215">2009</xref>; Garc&#x000ED;a-Alba et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B78">2019</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">XGBoost, RF</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Lu and Ma (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B140">2020</xref>) evaluated the prediction performances of two novel hybrid decision tree-based ML models (based on XGBoost and RF) using the absolute percentage errors. The RF-based model has the best performance for predicting temperature, dissolved oxygen, and specific conductance, and the XGBoost-based model is best for predicting the pH value, turbidity, and fluorescent dissolved organic matter.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Lu and Ma, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B140">2020</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Random forests, M5P, RT, REPT</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Bui et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">2020</xref>) demonstrated the capability of hybrid algorithms to improve the predictive power of several standalone ML models. Among these models, the Hybrid BA-RT showed the best performance.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Bui et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">2020</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Soil erosion (section 2.4)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tree-based ML methods</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rahmati et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B189">2017</xref>) found that many tree-based models (e.g., RF, RBF-SVM, BRT, and P-SVM) performed excellently both in the degree of fit and in performance for predicting gully headcuts. Hosseinalizadeh et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B102">2019</xref>) proved that random forests were the most effective of these models for predicting and mapping gully headcuts in the future.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rahmati et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B189">2017</xref>; Hosseinalizadeh et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B102">2019</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">SVM</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mustafa et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B159">2018</xref>) demonstrated that SVMs with different kernel functions have different performance levels for predicting soil erosion. They found that the polynomial kernel function had the highest performance, followed by linear and radial basis functions. Pourghasemi et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B184">2017</xref>) explored multiple individual and ensemble ML methods (e.g., ABB, SVM, maximum entropy) for soil erosion prediction and concluded that the ANN-SVM ensemble performed best.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Pourghasemi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B184">2017</xref>; Mustafa et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B159">2018</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">ANN</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rahmati et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B189">2017</xref>) demonstrated that the ANN could be applied to produce accurate and robust gully erosion susceptibility maps for decision-making and soil and water management practices, even though the random forests outperform ANN in many cases. Abdollahzadeh et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2011</xref>) demonstrated that ANN outperforms Multi Linear Regression (MLR) for predicting soil erosion.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Abdollahzadeh et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2011</xref>; Pourghasemi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B184">2017</xref>; Rahmati et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B189">2017</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sediment transport (section 2.4.1)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">ANN</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">The performance of ANN varies based on the training dataset (e.g., the time span and data quality) and the type of sediment for prediction. These ANN predictions are often tested against domain models and theories.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tayfur, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B225">2002</xref>; Lin and Montazeri Namin, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B136">2005</xref>; Bhattacharya et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">2007</xref>; Yang et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B250">2009</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Adaptive-network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Wieprecht et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B242">2013</xref>) demonstrated that the ANFIS approach could be a useful alternative technique for predicting both bedload and total bed-material load. Lin and Montazeri Namin (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B136">2005</xref>) found that the method can be used to model both uniform and non-uniform suspended sediment. Bakhtyar et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">2008</xref>) revealed that the ANFIS model provides higher accuracy and reliability for longshore sediment transport techniques than other methods, such as Fuzzy Inference System and CERC.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Lin and Montazeri Namin, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B136">2005</xref>; Bakhtyar et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">2008</xref>; Wieprecht et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B242">2013</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">M5 model trees</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Goyal (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">2014</xref>) presented a comparative evaluation of the performance of M5 Model Tree and wavelet regression vs. ANN clearly demonstrating that M5 Model Tree and wavelet regression outperform ANN models in estimation of sediment yield. Onderka (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B168">2012</xref>) compared the M5 model tree with the conventional power-law rating curves, and concluded that the M5 model has better performance for modeling suspended sediments in a headwater catchment.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Onderka, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B168">2012</xref>; Goyal, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">2014</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sediment load (section 2.4.1)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Random forests</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Francke et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">2008</xref>) demonstrated that Random forests and quantile regression forests, compared with generalized linear models, are more accurate and favorable for reproducing sediment dynamics.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Francke et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">2008</xref>; L&#x000F3;pez-Taraz&#x000F3;n et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B139">2012</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Genetic algorithms (GA)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yadav et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B249">2019b</xref>) suggested that GA models outperform other models, such as ANN and SVM, for estimating suspended sediment yield. Altunkaynak (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">2009</xref>) found that GA models outperform the regression method for predicting sediment loads.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Altunkaynak, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">2009</xref>; Yadav et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B249">2019b</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Unsupervised techniques</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">These methods are self-organizing, and their results are often validated using domain models and knowledge. For example, Xu et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B246">2019a</xref>) used the concept of geological landform regions to verify the clustering results of sedimentation potential from a self-organizing map.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Ahmed et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">2018</xref>; Xu et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B246">2019a</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Urban infrastructure (section 2.4.1)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Random forests</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Xu et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B246">2019a</xref>) demonstrated decent performance of random forests for forecasting sedimentation risks at culverts by validating the results with field inspection.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Xu et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B246">2019a</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">ANFIS</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Azamathulla et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">2011</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">2012</xref>) demonstrated that the ANFIS approach can give more satisfactory results for predicting both the scour depth at culvert outlets and sediment transport in clean sewers compared with other methods (regression equations and ANN).</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Azamathulla et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">2011</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">2012</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Flood management with RS (section 2.5.1)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">ANN</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tsintikidis et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B228">1997</xref>) used a shallow neural network with one hidden layer to estimate rainfall from a passive microwave radiometer SSM/I data. The network considered brightness temperature and associated polarization information as inputs and it output the rainfall rates.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tsintikidis et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B228">1997</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Random forests</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">K&#x000FC;hnlein et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B127">2014</xref>) performed a precipitation estimate using random forests with satellite-derived information on cloud-op height, cloud-top temperature, cloud phase, and cloud water path retrieved from Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI). Feng et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">2015</xref>) developed a random forest based approach to map accurately a flooded area using high-resolution (0.2 m) imagery obtained from Unmanned Areal Vehicle (UAV) imagery.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">K&#x000FC;hnlein et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B127">2014</xref>; Feng et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">2015</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">K-NN</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Shahabi et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B207">2020</xref>) employed a ML ensemble method with four different k-nearest neighbor (kNN) algorithms for flood detection and susceptibility mapping using Sentinel-1 images to generate the flood inventory and SRTM DEM to obtain various flood-related conditioning factors.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Shahabi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B207">2020</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">LSTM</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">A spatio-temporal sequence forecasting using Convolutional Long-Short Term Memory (ConvLSTM) for precipitation nowcasting. RADAR echo data in 2D from a ground-based RADAR was used in this study. ConvLSTM forecasted the echo data.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Shi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B211">2015</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">CNN</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Pan et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B172">2019</xref>) used CNN to improve the precipitation estimates from NWP models. Based on the work by Hong et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B101">2004</xref>), Hayatbini et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B96">2019</xref>) proposed a CNN model to estimate precipitation using geostationary satellite data GOES-16. Jain et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B107">2020</xref>) used water indices with CNN to detect flood water. Potnis et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B182">2019</xref>) used a CNN based architecture called ERFNet to detect flooded urban regions from high resolution Worldview-2 satellite imagery. Jiang et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B109">2020</xref>) proposed an approach to obtain waterlogging depth from video images using CNN.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Hong et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B101">2004</xref>; Hayatbini et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B96">2019</xref>; Pan et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B172">2019</xref>; Potnis et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B182">2019</xref>; Jain et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B107">2020</xref>; Jiang et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B109">2020</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Knowledge-based approaches</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Kurte et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B129">2017</xref>) used a semantics-driven framework to enable spatial relationships based semantic queries to detect flooded regions from satellite imagery and further extended the framework (Kurte et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B128">2019</xref>) to accommodate temporal dimension that enabled spatio-temporal queries over flooded regions. In a similar approach, Potnis et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B181">2018</xref>) developed a flood scene ontology (FSO) which formally defines complex classes such as <italic>Accessible Residential Buildings</italic>, to classify flooded regions in urban area from satellite imagery.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Kurte et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B129">2017</xref>; Potnis et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B181">2018</xref>; Kurte et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B128">2019</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Water quality monitoring with RS (section 2.5.2)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">ANN</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Dogan et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">2009</xref>) used ANN to improve the accuracy of biological oxygen demand (BOD) estimation from RS imagery. Wu et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B245">2014</xref>) used ANN for TSS turbidity estimations to analyze data measured with a hyperspectral spectroradiometer. Hafeez et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B89">2019</xref>) compared various ML techniques for estimating water quality indicators form RS imagery and found that ANN worked well. Govedarica and Jakovljevi&#x00107; (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B83">2019</xref>) found that the SVM algorithm worked better than ANN with Landsat 8 data and ANN worked better than SVM when Sentinel-2 data was used for water quality monitoring.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Dogan et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">2009</xref>; Wu et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B245">2014</xref>; Govedarica and Jakovljevi&#x00107;, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B83">2019</xref>; Hafeez et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B89">2019</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">SVM</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Wang et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B238">2011</xref>) used the support vector regression (SVR) method to retrieve various water quality estimators from SPOT-5 satellite data. Huo et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B106">2014</xref>) used genetic algorithms combined with support vector machines (GA-SVM) to build an inversion model for eutrophic indicators such as Chl-a from Landsat ETM imagery.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Wang et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B238">2011</xref>; Huo et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B106">2014</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Impervious surface detection with RS (section 2.5.3)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Random forests</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Bian et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">2019</xref>) used a random forest algorithm and time-series data from multiple satellites HJ-1A/B and GF-1/2 to estimate the changes in the impervious surface percentage over the years 2009&#x02013;2017.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Bian et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">2019</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">PBL, PUL, SVM</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yao et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B253">2017</xref>) adopted a one-class classification approach to detect impervious surfaces using high-resolution GF-1 satellite images, and found that Presence and Background Learning (PBL) and Positive Unlabeled Learning (PUL) outperformed SVM models.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yao et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B253">2017</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">CNN</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Zhang H. et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B258">2019</xref>) used a deep CNN approach with data fusion from optical and SAR satellites WV-3, Sentinel-2, and Radarsat-2. Similar other works, Sun et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B222">2019</xref>) (used 3D CNN with WV-3 and LiDAR), McGlinchy et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B143">2019</xref>) (used UNet with WV-2), show increasing trends of using deep learning based approaches with multi-satellite data fusion.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">McGlinchy et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B143">2019</xref>; Sun et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B222">2019</xref>; Zhang Z. et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B260">2019</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Multi-hazard assessment (section 3)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">BRT, GAM, SVM</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rahmati et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B190">2019</xref>) investigated and mapped multi-hazard exposure using a combination of ML models. They found that the different ML models differed in their accuracy in predicting the different hazards, but that the applied ML models were nevertheless useful and generalizable for multi-risk mapping.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rahmati et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B190">2019</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Random forests, RBF neural network</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Chen et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">2019</xref>) evaluated the risk of regional flood disaster in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region. They discovered that the level of urban flood disaster is closely related to rainfall, topography, economic development, land use, soil erosion, urban flood control investment, and disaster emergency response capability.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Chen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">2019</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Random forests, SOM</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Xu et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B246">2019a</xref>) showed that ML application can be used not only for multi-risk assessment and hazard prediction but also for exploring the complex and interconnected processes behind multiple hazards.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Xu et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B246">2019a</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">Random forests</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Pourghasemi et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B183">2020</xref>) developed the Sendai framework, which used random forests to produce a reasonable understanding of the factors controlling flood, forest fire, and landslide occurrence, and to produce a multi-hazard probability map for facilitating integrated and comprehensive watershed management and land use planning.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Pourghasemi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B183">2020</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="left">LSTM</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yang T. et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B252">2019</xref>) used long short-term memory units (LSTM) to improve the timing component of the amplitude of peak discharge for flood simulations generated by global hydrological models over different climate zones.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yang T. et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B252">2019</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Best management practices (BMP)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">GA/adaptive search</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Hadka and Reed (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B88">2013</xref>) developed a high-performance adaptive search &#x0201C;Borg&#x0201D; algorithm, which was shown to be the most scalable and the best performing of five best performing multi-objective optimization algorithms applied to rainfall-runoff calibration, long-term groundwater monitoring, and risk-based water supply portfolio planning. Others applied GA-based optimization models to find solutions to water quality problems for several watersheds in the United States by connecting non-point pollution reduction models with economic components.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Srivastava et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B218">2002</xref>; Hadka and Reed, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B88">2013</xref>; Limbrunner et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B135">2013</xref>; Reed and Kollat, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B193">2013</xref>; Chen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">2015</xref></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s2">
<title>2. Early Warning and Prediction of Urban Water Hazards</title>
<p>The capability to predict timely and accurate occurrence, intensity, and frequency of natural hazards is essential to every planning process that develops disaster preparedness and response to ensure public safety and mitigate unfavorable consequences associated with hazardous events (de Goyet et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">2006</xref>). Traditionally, hydrological processes that contribute to water-related hazards have been analyzed using probabilistic modeling and physics based modeling approaches. The probabilistic approaches are devised to estimate the available stock over relatively short future time horizons (Philbrick and Kitanidis, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B178">1999</xref>). However, since the overall global climate is changing, rainfall data in any given area are non-stationary; thus the past does not necessarily predict the future, and the information given in recent data points may be more predictive than that of the data points from the more distant past (Tay and Cao, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B224">2002</xref>). Limitations of probabilistic methods to produce realistic and specific results for water security planning have required the employment of physics based models for these predictions. Modeling hazardous events using physics based approaches requires the theoretical understanding of the atmospheric, land, and human processes and their interconnections; along with dynamics behind multiple hazards. However, many physics based models are designed to simulate pristine watersheds where hydrology is assumed to behave in a &#x0201C;pure&#x0201D; way, untainted by human interference (Joslin, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B110">2016</xref>); therefore these physics based models are not suitable alone for predicting water-related hazards in urban watersheds. In addition, physics based models require large parallel machines and long periods of time for computation, neither of which may be available to water managers. Compared with the traditional modeling approaches, predictive data analytics powered by ML models can directly extract knowledge of natural disaster processes based on previous disaster occurrences and geo-environmental factors without prior knowledge (Pham et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B177">2016</xref>; Rahmati et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B190">2019</xref>). Unlike physics based modeling approaches, ML techniques can provide a bridge between physics based and probabilistic models because they can highlight patterns, trends, and regularities in data without requiring detailed understanding of the physical processes (Dibike and Solomatine, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">2000</xref>; Rahmati et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B190">2019</xref>), even when data are sparse, and with less complexity of construction and at relatively low computational cost (Mekanik et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B145">2013</xref>).</p>
<p>Based on the scientific reasoning behind them, ML applications for predicting water-related parameters can be categorized either as inductive, whereby classifications are made based on statistical similarity in the hydrologic data directly; or deductive, whereby environmental variables (e.g., watershed characteristics) are analyzed as key drivers of hydrology to create classification (Wagener et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B237">2007</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B236">2010</xref>; Olden et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B167">2012</xref>; Auerbach et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">2015</xref>). Because the inductive approach requires abundant hydrologic data (although all watersheds are ungauged at some point with unavailable or insufficient measurements; Joslin, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B110">2016</xref>) many studies have favored the deductive approach, which classifies rivers and watersheds based on readily available environmental data that reflect the main drivers of hydrologic processes (Auerbach et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">2015</xref>). Many researchers have utilized the deductive approach to relate stream condition (e.g., flow regimes, biodiversity, streamflow) with upstream watershed characteristics for different water resource management purposes (Poff and Allan, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B180">1995</xref>; Snelder and Biggs, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B216">2007</xref>; Carlisle et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">2008</xref>; Reidy Liermann et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B195">2012</xref>; Rice et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B196">2015</xref>). The rationale for deductive classification methods, such as hydrologic regionalization, environmental regionalization, and environmental classification is to group river hydrological characteristics by spatial representation (e.g., river basin, region, catchment) based on environmental, hydrological, physical, and climatic similarity (Olden et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B167">2012</xref>) to develop reliable class and empirical relationships between predictor and watershed characterizations.</p>
<sec>
<title>2.1. Floods</title>
<p>Long term processes of change, including changes in climate, shifts in population, and increases in urbanization, will likely increase future urban flood risk changing the assumptions upon which flood risk analysis and management has long been based (Gangrade et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B76">2019</xref>), and requiring new tools for risk assessment (Milly et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B150">2008</xref>). In order to understand how to predict floods and to mitigate their effects on urban areas using new tools, it is important to understand the events that lead to flooding. The locations and processes that contribute to floods include atmospheric processes, catchment-level floods, river flooding, and accumulation of water in flood-prone urban areas (Merz et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B148">2010</xref>). We discuss next the ML methods applied to each of these processes.</p>
<sec>
<title>2.1.1. Atmospheric Process Methods</title>
<p>One ML method that is used to capture the underlying relationship between independent and dependent variables in atmospheric processes is Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). ANNs are interconnected networks comprising an input layer, some number of hidden layers, and an output layer. Each layer contains several processors, or nodes, referred to as artificial neurons. The neurons in each layer are connected to the neurons in the previous and next layers, and they transfer information from one layer to the next. Synaptic weights and biases, along with activation functions applied to the input layer, modulate the input signals sent from one layer to the next. The processed information is then sent as output to the connected neurons in the output layer (Zounemat-Kermani et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B261">2020</xref>). The power of ANNs is their ability to learn functional relationships, with minimal empirical error, between these variables. Additionally, the use of activation functions with ANNs allows them to handle non-linear data effectively (Zaidi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B256">2018</xref>). In fact, many water related studies (e.g., Sahoo et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B202">2017</xref>) using ANNs have shown that complex, reproducible, non-linear relationships exist among, for example, precipitation, temperature, streamflow, climate indices, irrigation demand, and groundwater levels.</p>
<p>Another ML method that has been used for predicting average rainfall is a classification algorithm known as Support Vector Machines (SVM) (e.g., Mohanty and Mohapatra, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B153">2018</xref>). This method, developed by Vapnik (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B235">1995</xref>), is based on <italic>Structural Risk Minimization</italic>, which, rather than minimizing empirical error, as ANNs do, minimizes an upper bound of the generalization error &#x003B5;. Dynamic Support Vector Machines (DSVMs), a modified version of the SVM, can be used to accommodate the structural changes in non-stationary rainfall data because it uses, instead of a static &#x003B5; and static regularization constants, an exponentially decreasing &#x003B5;, and exponentially increasing regularization constants (Cao and Gu, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">2002</xref>) to allow room for analysis of changing patterns in the data.</p>
<p>The probabilities of hydrological extreme events such as floods and drought are modeled using different distributions from those that predict future average values. Traditionally, these events and their return periods are estimated with distributions associated with Extreme Value Theory (e.g., Kao and Ganguly, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B113">2011</xref>). However, ML techniques for anomaly detection have begun to be applied to hydrological extremes problems. Anomaly detection is the identification of outliers in the data, or items that differ significantly from the overall trend of the data. Typically, anomalous data is related to issues such as measurement equipment failure or an extreme hydrological event. For example, Das and Parthasarathy (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">2009</xref>) used unsupervised spatio-temporal distance-based and neighborhood-based anomaly detection method with global climate data to identify extreme drought and heavy rainfall at specific locations. Characterization of short-term and long-term future extreme events have also been made with anomaly detection using trends found in historical time series. For these analyses, techniques such as kernel-based (rule-based classification), window-based (examination of the data in smaller &#x0201C;windows&#x0201D; in space or time), predictive, and segmentation (partitioning data into even smaller, possibly unequal, segments) algorithms are employed along with anomaly detection for locating extremely low and extremely high temperature and precipitation events (Chandola et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">2009b</xref>). In the case of the research by Sun et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B221">2017</xref>), a density-based method was applied to anomaly detection in a hydrological time series. That is, the data were transformed to a piecewise linear representation through the important feature points of the data before mapping their slope, length, and mean to three-dimensional space for examination.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.1.2. Catchment-Level Methods</title>
<p>Flood models at the catchment level analyze mainly issues of runoff generation and concentration leading to flood discharge. Because flood flow predictions are complex, non-linear, and not well-understood, ML may be required to <italic>evolve</italic> algorithms to derive characteristics of a particular flow. One way of evolving these algorithms is with the use of genetic programming, or genetic algorithms (GA), which produce, using routines imitating Darwin&#x00027;s &#x0201C;natural selection,&#x0201D; algorithms directed to perform tasks defined by a set of training examples. Whigham and Crapper (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B241">2001</xref>) applied a type of genetic programming system to discover rainfall-runoff relationships for two meteorologically and topographically different catchments, one in Wales and one in Australia, and compared the results to those obtained with a traditional deterministic lumped parameter model. While both models did well when rainfall and runoff were correlated, the genetically programmed model performed better on the more poorly correlated data because it was allowed not to assume any underlying relationships, only to demonstrate its &#x0201C;fitness&#x0201D; to solve the problem.</p>
<p>Guidolin et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B86">2016</xref>) used a two-dimensional cellular-automata-based model employing simple transition rules and a weight-based system to model catchment-level runoff. This diffusive-like method is designed to work with various general grids (rectangular, hexagonal, triangular) and with different neighborhood types (e.g., Moore or von Neumann). It also allows for model parallelization to increase its efficiency in large compute environments. To propagate a flood using this method, ratios of water to be transferred from a central cell to downstream neighbor cells are calculated using a weight-based system, with water volume transferred limited by Manning&#x00027;s formula (Manning et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B141">1890</xref>), and the critical flow equation. Water velocity and an adaptive time step are evaluated within a larger updated timestep. The results of the emergent behavior of this process shows good agreement with much more computationally intensive physical methods.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.1.3. Machine Learning for Analyzing River Floods</title>
<p>Flood hazard in rivers can be characterized by the probability and intensity of large river flows and their consequent inundations, and it depends on the atmospheric and catchment processes preceding river flood generation (Merz et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B148">2010</xref>). In fact, river floods are generally defined in hydrological terms by their water level or amount of discharge. Thus, Shamseldin (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B208">2010</xref>) explore the use of ANN for forecasting discharge from the Blue Nile river in Sudan. The type of neural network they chose was that of a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) feedforward network, a non-linear input&#x02013;output model consisting of a network of interconnected neurons, or computational units, linked together by connection pathways. The input layer is essentially a set vectors of independent variable values, whereas the output layer is a set of possible dependent variable vectors of values. Between these two layers is a hidden layer containing an unknown number of neurons which are usually estimated by a trial-and-error procedure based on a mathematical non-linear transfer function (Shamseldin, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B208">2010</xref>). Input variables in this case were weighted historical rainfall estimates, weighted seasonal rainfall estimates, and seasonal expectation of discharge; and the output variables were the river discharge values. Results showed strong correlation with observations for the river.</p>
<p>In addition to the multilayer perceptron ANN approach, other types of ANNs have been used to analyze river floods. For example, Tayyab et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B227">2016</xref>) applied and compared three different types of ANNs to predict stream discharge for the Jinsha River Basin in China. The methods included feedforward back propagation neural networks (FFBPNN), generalized regression neural networks (GRNN), and radial basis function neural networks (RBFNN). The differences among these approaches lies in the hidden layer functions and activation functions that are applied to the problem. Badrzadeh et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">2013</xref>) expanded on these ANN approaches by coupling wavelet (transforms that identify trends in the data normally not revealed by signal analysis approaches and also help to de-noise a dataset) multi-resolution analysis and adaptive neuro-fuzzy interface system (ANFIS) techniques (integration of neural networks and fuzzy logic) as preprocessing techniques to the ANN and show improved daily river flow forecasting over the use of ANNs alone, especially for long lead times. Mosavi et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B157">2018</xref>) demonstrated the application of ANNs, neuro-fuzzy, SVM, and support vector regression (SVR) (SVM with regression only), in forecasting river floods and predicting the runoff hydrograph. The robustness of these techniques was evaluated and was found to be in good agreement with the observations.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.1.4. Methods for Addressing Flood-Prone Urban Areas</title>
<p>Building resilience to natural disasters is one of the most pressing challenges for achieving sustainable urban development in flood-prone regions (Chang et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">2019</xref>). River flooding in urban areas can cause high levels of damage, and while a relationship between hydrological characteristics and damaging floods may exist, knowing about an area&#x00027;s hydrological characteristics does not always indicate understanding of its vulnerability to damaging floods (Pielke, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B179">2000</xref>). This understanding is imperative for hazard-mitigation planning for urban areas because these areas&#x00027; responses to rainfall extremes tend to be faster than those for natural surfaces (Rodriguez et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B197">2003</xref>). Thus, strategies for flood mitigation in these areas such as detention ponds, soakaways, permeable concrete, and green spaces, or upstream solutions such as river training and construction of dams and levees (Shamseldin, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B208">2010</xref>) should be evaluated and implemented based on a thorough understanding of flood risks and responses of the area. For example, for predicting urban floods for the city of Pattani south of Thailand, Noymanee et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B163">2017</xref>) examined the entire Pattani basin, which includes two dams for water management: a diversion-type, Pattani Dam, and a hydropower plant, Bang Lang Dam. It is known that the most frequent floods are a result of overflow from flash flooding of the Pattani Dam rushing toward the city. The researchers acknowledge that a comprehensive approach to controlling floods in the area must include both structural and non-structural measures such as the development of improved technology for data management of the drainage network, and an increase in the sensors&#x00027; frequency and extent of coverage. Thus, Noymanee et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B163">2017</xref>) tested five different ML methods using open data pertaining to the area hydrology, the dam structures, the drainage network, and the technological components of the dams to explain the occurrence of extreme floods estimating dam water levels and cumulative precipitation amounts to forecast flood peaks in the urban area. The five methods tested included an ANN, Bayesian linear regression (statistical inference using Bayes&#x00027; theorem), boosted decision tree regression and decision forest regression (both similar to random forest analysis discussed in section 2.2.1) and linear regression. Results showed the lowest error and highest correlation with the observations in the urban area from the Bayesian linear regression. This favorable result for that method may have occurred because it was informed by probability distributions drawn from prior data.</p>
<p>Often, in order to understand and manage risks of urban flooding beyond purely hydrological considerations, integration of decision support tools with predictive models is instructive. For example, one study (Rozos, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B200">2019</xref>), combined a hydrological model, a demand management model called a network flow programming model (NFP), and an Feed Forward Neural Network (FFNN) to simulate a water supply system in Athens, Greece. The NFP optimizes and simulates the operation of a water supply system given hydrological inputs. FFNNs are the simplest type of ANN, whereby information moves in a forward direction from input nodes to the hidden layer to the output nodes (Mosavi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B157">2018</xref>) and they lend themselves to multi-model coupling. In this case, the NFP used synthetic data of a length capable of capturing the risk of each policy. Then the penalty functions of the NFP were selected to reflect the operating policies with different levels of risk acceptance. This process provided a large set of training data over a long period of time that was then used as input to the FFNN. This process allowed optimal decisions to be identified and made for the Athens system.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.1.5. Predicting Indirect Flood Effects in Urban Areas</title>
<p>Indirect flood effects are those that cause damage to assets outside the flooded area. These assets can be physical, economic, social, or ecological in nature with impacts lasting for days, months, or even years after a large flooding event (Costello et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">2019</xref>). In order to evaluate the extent of these effects, multi-agent-based simulations have been applied. Agent-based models simulate actions and interactions of autonomous agents, which can be individual actors or groups of actors, to assess the effects of these individual actions on the system as a whole. In one study (Yang S. et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B251">2019</xref>), reinforcement learning, which rewards software agents for actions taken to maximize their cumulative reward, was used with the agent-based simulation for the optimization of post-disaster recovery for both individual companies and supply chains for Tokyo, Japan. That study showed improved indirect damage estimation accuracy and mitigation potential over statistical methods and rough empirical models.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.2. Drought</title>
<p>Drought is a prolonged period of precipitation deficit that may occur at varying spatiotemporal scales ranging from local to regional, lasting for weeks, months, multiple years, or even decades (Pendergrass et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B175">2020</xref>; Hao et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B95">2018</xref>). Drought may be exacerbated by extreme heat, soil moisture deficit, land atmosphere feedbacks, sea surface temperature anomalies, atmospheric circulation, and human activities such as land use and land cover changes and increased water demand (Cook et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">2007</xref>; Dai, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">2011</xref>; Kam et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B112">2014</xref>). Droughts are high-impact weather hazards that affect agriculture, economy, ecosystem, water supply, and human lives (Hao et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B95">2018</xref>). Over the past two decades, the total cost associated with drought is estimated to be billions of dollars (Huntingford et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B105">2019</xref>). In a warming climate, the duration and intensity of drought is further projected to increase (Pag&#x000E1;n et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B169">2016</xref>; Pendergrass et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B175">2020</xref>). Therefore, an advancement in the capability of timely prediction and development of early warning systems is crucial for drought risk management and strategic planning.</p>
<sec>
<title>2.2.1. Advancement in the Use of Machine Learning Techniques for Drought Prediction</title>
<p>Drought is a complex weather hazard (Van Loon, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B234">2015</xref>); therefore, a comprehensive understanding of the physical mechanisms that drive drought is essential to improving drought prediction (Huang et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B104">2016</xref>). Numerous studies have been conducted to understand the intricate physical processes that lead to the extreme low moisture conditions of drought. Scientists have employed dynamical methods that involve climate and hydrological model simulations, statistical models using a suite of predictors and drought indices, as well as hybrid models for drought prediction (Fern&#x000E1;ndez et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">2009</xref>; Dutra et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">2014</xref>; AghaKouchak, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">2015</xref>; Mo and Lyon, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B152">2015</xref>; Wood et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B244">2015</xref>; Hao et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B94">2017</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B95">2018</xref>).</p>
<p>During the last decade, there has been an increase in the use of ML techniques to improve drought predictability (Hao et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B95">2018</xref>). For instance, random forest ML algorithms have been increasingly used in drought prediction studies (Park et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B174">2016</xref>; Kuswanto and Naufal, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B130">2019</xref>; Rahmati et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B188">2020</xref>). Random forests are extensions of decision tree analysis that start with classification trees&#x02013;types of decision trees that can be grown together as a &#x0201C;forest&#x0201D; in a computational system. They provide highly accurate classification and characterization of complex predictor variable interactions while maintaining flexible analytical technique selection (Allen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">2018</xref>). Random forests also provide the capability to deal with the issue of overfitting and multicollinearity as compared to the traditional linear regression models (Konapala and Mishra, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B124">2020</xref>). Park et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B174">2016</xref>) employed random forests, boosted regression tree, and Cubist ML algorithms (rule-based model trees on which the terminal leaves contain linear regression models) for meteorological and agricultural drought monitoring using 16 remote sensing based drought factors over arid and humid regions in the United States. Their findings suggest that among the three approaches, random forests provide the best performance for Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) prediction. Similarly, Kuswanto and Naufal (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B130">2019</xref>) found the performance of random forests to be optimal when using SPI derived from Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA-2) for drought prediction over the East Nusa Tenggara Province in Indonesia. A more recent study, Rahmati et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B188">2020</xref>) compared the performance of six different ML techniques [classification and regression trees (CART), boosted regression trees (BRT), random forests, multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), flexible discriminant analysis (FDA), and SVM] for mapping agricultural drought hazard in the southeast region of Queensland, Australia. Similar to Park et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B174">2016</xref>) and Kuswanto and Naufal (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B130">2019</xref>), they found that random forests had the best goodness-of-fit and predictive performance among the six models. Zaniolo et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B257">2018</xref>) contributed to the FRIDA (FRamework for Index-based Drought Analysis) for the automatic design of basin-customized drought indexes across different types of basins by applying a ML-powered variable selection algorithm. The algorithm is based on a Wrapper for Quasi-Equally Informative Subset Selection (W-QEISS), which applies a multi-objective evolutionary algorithm to identify Pareto-efficient subsets of variables. This technique is able to maximize the wrapper accuracy, minimize the number of selected variables, and optimize relevance and redundancy of the subset. As a result, the framework is able to build an index that represents a surrogate of the drought conditions in a basin through the computation and combination of all the relevant available information regarding the water cycle in the system identified using the feature selection algorithm.</p>
<p>ANN ML techniques (see section 2.1.1) have also been used for drought forecasting (Mishra et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B151">2007</xref>; Morid et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B155">2007</xref>; Belayneh and Adamowski, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">2012</xref>; Belayneh et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">2014</xref>). Belayneh et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">2016</xref>) coupled a wavelet transform data processing technique (see section 2.1.3), bootstrapping and boosting ensemble approaches with ANN and Support Vector Regression (SVR) (see section 2.1.1) for drought prediction in the Awash river basin of Ethiopia. Bootstrapping is a resampling technique with replacement that was used to create bootstrap ANN and SVR ensemble models to reduce model prediction uncertainty. Boosting techniques improve the performance of an algorithm by producing a series of models focusing on training cases that were not well predicted previously. The researchers found that the coupled models showed an improved performance and provided more robust SPI predictions as compared to either of ANN or SVR alone.</p>
<p>ANN models can be limited by model interpretability, local minima traps, and computational efficiency issues. Thus, alternatively, XGBoost has been gaining popularity due to its high execution speed and improved model performance as compared to other ML techniques such as SVM, ANN, and random forests (Fan et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">2018</xref>; Shimoda et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B213">2018</xref>; Zhang R. et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B259">2019</xref>). XGBoost is an ensemble technique that implements a gradient boost decision tree algorithm to produce an ensemble of weak prediction models. Models are subsequently added to improve errors until an optimum performance is achieved. Zhang R. et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B259">2019</xref>) compared the performance of XGBoost with a traditional statistical model and an ANN model for Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) prediction with a lead time of 1&#x02013;6 months for 32 weather stations in the Shaanxi Province of China. In their study, the XGBoost model showed the best performance for SPEI prediction, achieved highest user&#x00027;s and producer&#x00027;s accuracies and was much faster than the ANN model.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.3. Water Quality</title>
<p>The deterioration of water quality in both groundwater and surface water has become a major concern causing negative impacts on human well-being, eco-systems, water supply, and infrastructure around the world (UN, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B231">2012</xref>; Khan and See, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B120">2016</xref>). According to United Nations (UN), more than 880 million people are living in water scarcity without adequate safe drinking water, and 2.6 billion people lack access to basic sanitation due to water shortage (UN, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B230">2010</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B231">2012</xref>). Effective management of water supply systems and watersheds often requires reliable and timely approaches for predicting water quality and forecasting future water quality trends (Wang et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B239">2017</xref>; Bui et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">2020</xref>). Based on established water quality standards (Nowell and Resek, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B162">1994</xref>; EPA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">2012</xref>), water quality is often estimated using a combination of water quality parameters that reflect the physical, biological, or chemical characteristics of the air, watershed hydrology, soils, and sediment transported in the aquatic system (Hou et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B103">2013</xref>; EPA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">2019</xref>). Developing accurate and timely prediction of water quality is a challenging effort. The traditional approaches utilize water quality models for analyzing and predicting water quality parameters. Most of these models consist of mathematical representations of physical mechanisms that determine (a) the fate, transport, and degradation of pollutants within a water body, and (b) the movement of pollutants from land-based sources to a water body (Refsgaard and Henriksen, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B194">2004</xref>). Despite their usefulness for modeling specific scenarios, water quality models can only provide one line of evidence that serves as an imperfect approximation of reality (Kebede, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B118">2009</xref>). This is because of process complexity of the water quality problems in that (1) there is a large number of interconnected multi-domain processes (e.g., physical transport, hydrological, chemical, and biological); and that (2) many underlying mechanisms that may affect water quality are still unknown. Complex water quality models often involve time-consuming and labor-intensive processes (Ahmed et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">2019</xref>), rendering them costly and ineffective for supporting many time-critical water resources management tasks that have limited budgets. Compared with process-based (mechanistic) models, the newly emerging data-driven approaches for water quality predictions often rely on a large volume of water quality and hydrological data from various sources (Khan and See, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B120">2016</xref>). Examples of these data sources include the United States Geological Survey (USGS) online resource&#x02014;National Water Information System (NWIS) and the United States Environmental Protection Agency&#x00027;s (USEPA) STORET Data Warehouse (Beran and Piasecki, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">2008</xref>). These analyses normally consider the combined effect of multiple water quality parameters, such as ammoniacal nitrogen (NH3-N), suspended solid (SS), dissolved oxygen (DO), pH, and salinity. As many of these parameters are dynamic and affected by natural watershed hydrology, their influences on water quality may vary across watersheds (EPA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">2019</xref>). In different watersheds, some parameters may have greater and more noticeable influences on water quality than others (Khan and See, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B120">2016</xref>). In response to this challenge, the water quality index (WQI) has been proposed as a representation of several water quality variables simultaneously considered. However, calculating WQI using traditional approaches consumes time and is often filled with errors during derivations of sub-indices (Bui et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">2020</xref>). To address these limitations and improve water quality analysis and prediction, researchers have applied many ML techniques (Khan and See, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B120">2016</xref>; Ahmed et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">2019</xref>; Bui et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">2020</xref>), as well as developed a few hybrid approaches that combine various traditional methods with ML techniques (Taskaya-Temizel and Casey, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B223">2005</xref>; Wang et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B239">2017</xref>). We discuss the application of some of these approaches next.</p>
<p>Palani et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B170">2008</xref>) and Singh et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B215">2009</xref>) applied ANN models to predict river and coastal water quality in India and Singapore respectively. Each found that the ANN-computed values of water quality indicators were in close agreement with their respective measured values in the river water. Garc&#x000ED;a-Alba et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B78">2019</xref>) developed an ANN model to estimate bathing water quality in estuaries and found that ANN models are able to estimate <italic>Escherichia coli</italic> concentrations comparable to those extimated by process-based models, and at much lower computational cost. In more recent studies, combinations of multiple ML and data analytic techniques applied to a problem are preferred to analysis with a single ML technique. For example, Lu and Ma (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B140">2020</xref>) proposed coupling two ML models to improve water quality prediction: XGBoost (section 2.2.1), and a random forest algorithm (section 2.2.1). They found that while the hybrid XGBoost model performed better for PH values, turbidity, and fluorescent dissolved organic matter predictions, and the random forest model performed better for temperature, dissolved oxygen, and specific conductance prediction; the combined performance of the two models was the best for optimizing the calculation of a water quality index. Barzegar et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">2020</xref>) applied two standalone deep learning (DL) models, a convolutional neural network (CNN), an ANN with a convolutional activation function, and the long short-term memory (LSTM) model, which includes feedback in addition to feedforward networks, and a combined CNN&#x02013;LSTM model to predict two water quality variables, dissolved oxygen (DO; mg/L), and chlorophyll-a (Chl-a; &#x003BC;/<italic>L</italic>), in the Small Prespa Lake in Greece. Assessment of the model performance using statistical metrics, showed that LSTM outperformed the CNN model for DO prediction, but the standalone DL models yielded similar performances for Chl-a prediction. The combined CNN&#x02013;LSTM model, however, outperformed the standalone models for predicting both DO and Chl-a. By coupling the LSTM and CNN models, both the low and high levels of water quality parameters were successfully captured, particularly for the DO concentrations (Barzegar et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">2020</xref>). Similar successful approaches involving the coupling of multiple ML algorithms for the short-term prediction of water quality parameters include Li et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B133">2018</xref>) and Lu and Ma (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B140">2020</xref>). Bui et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">2020</xref>) applied four standalone algorithms [random forests and three variants: M5P (similar to Cubist, section 2.2.1), random tree (RT), reduced error pruning tree (REPT)], and developed 12 algorithm combinations among these methods to predict water quality in northern Iran. They found fecal coliform concentrations to have the most effect and total solids to have the least effect on the predictions. Finally, Read et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B191">2019</xref>) integrated theory with state-of-the-art ML techniques to improve predictions of water quality related parameters guided by physical laws. The study presented a use case for a Process-Guided Deep Learning (PGDL) hybrid modeling framework for predicting depth-specific lake water temperature, which serves as an important water quality parameter. The PGDL consisted of three primary components: a deep learning (many-layered neural network) model with temporal awareness (long short-term memory recurrence), theory-based feedback (model penalties for violating conversation of energy), and model pre-training to initialize the network with synthetic data (water temperature predictions from a process-based model) (Read et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B191">2019</xref>). Through the use case the researchers demonstrated that the integration of scientific knowledge into deep learning tools shows promise for improving predictions of many important environmental variables.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.4. Soil Erosion and Sediment Transport</title>
<p>Erosion and sedimentation are naturally occurring processes that include the detachment, transportation, and deposition of soil particles through the action of wind, water, and ice (NRCS, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B165">2008</xref>). However, excessive soil erosion and sedimentation rates are results of anthropogenic activities (e.g., urbanization and agriculture) where soil surfaces are exposed and initially not revegetated (e.g., construction sites). Without proper mitigation, erosion and sedimentation in urban areas can cause a series of adverse impacts to the environment and urban areas (Guy, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B87">1970</xref>; Hewett et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B97">2018</xref>), which include water pollution, degradation of aquatic habitat, infrastructure damage (e.g., sediment blockage in urban waterways, storm sewer, and stream crossings, as well as silting of roadways, utility supply networks, and fences), increase in water-treatment costs, and stream bank instabilities (e.g., gullying and land-slides) (NRCS, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B165">2008</xref>).</p>
<sec>
<title>2.4.1. Machine Learning Techniques for Sediment Research</title>
<p>To tackle sediment-related problems, the predictions of sediment production and transport are required to inform urban planning and watershed management communities of the major source of sediment and erosion-prone areas. Conventionally, these predictions are addressed through a wide variety of erosion and sediment transport models (Merritt et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B147">2003</xref>; Nearing et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B160">2005</xref>). Despite the usefulness and maturity of these traditional approaches, the prediction of sediment-related parameters (e.g., soil losses, in-stream sediment load, and sediment delivery ratio) is still challenging because of the following model limitations: (a) running many physically-based erosion and sediment transport models are time- and resource-intensive, and requires the consideration of more physical processes in addition to the hydrological process making models are less applicable to sediment-related predictions in large watersheds and areas (Abaci and Papanicolaou, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">2009</xref>); (b) most models are designed to simulate a specific type of erosion (e.g., rill, gully, and stream bank erosion) and sediment transport (e.g., suspended load and bed load) (Wischmeier and Smith, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B243">1978</xref>; Ganasri and Gowda, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B75">2015</xref>), while sediment-related problems in urban areas and urban waterways often entail multiple types of erosions and sediment transport therefore requiring the integration of a variety of models; and (c) most erosion and sediment transport models do not cover sediment transport and deposition at man-made structures (Rowley, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B199">2014</xref>) in urban areas. A comparative study conducted by Liang et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B134">2019</xref>) showed that data-driven models can effectively inform and complement the simulations conducted with physics based models. Currently, there are many studies that utilize various ML methods to address various issues in sediment research. We summarize a list of example studies by their application areas and their applied ML methods:</p>
<list list-type="order">
<list-item><p>Modeling sediment transport
<list list-type="alpha-lower">
<list-item><p>Artificial neural networks (Tayfur, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B225">2002</xref>; Lin and Montazeri Namin, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B136">2005</xref>; Bhattacharya et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">2007</xref>; Yang et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B250">2009</xref>),</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Adaptive-network-based fuzzy inference system: (Lin and Montazeri Namin, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B136">2005</xref>; Bakhtyar et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">2008</xref>; Wieprecht et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B242">2013</xref>),</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>M5 Model trees (Onderka, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B168">2012</xref>; Goyal, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">2014</xref>).</p></list-item>
</list></p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Predicting sediment load
<list list-type="alpha-lower">
<list-item><p>Random forests (Francke et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">2008</xref>; L&#x000F3;pez-Taraz&#x000F3;n et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B139">2012</xref>),</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Genetic algorithms (Altunkaynak, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">2009</xref>; Yadav et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B249">2019b</xref>),</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Unsupervised techniques (Ahmed et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">2018</xref>; Xu et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B246">2019a</xref>).</p></list-item>
</list></p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Predicting soil erosion
<list list-type="alpha-lower">
<list-item><p>Tree-based ML methods (e.g., random forest, gradient boosted regression tree, na&#x000EF;ve Bayes tree, and tree ensemble models) (Rahmati et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B189">2017</xref>; Hosseinalizadeh et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B102">2019</xref>),</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Support vector machine (SVM) (Pourghasemi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B184">2017</xref>; Mustafa et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B159">2018</xref>),</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Artificial neural networks (Abdollahzadeh et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2011</xref>; Pourghasemi et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B184">2017</xref>; Rahmati et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B189">2017</xref>).</p></list-item>
</list></p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Sediment-related impacts on urban infrastructure
<list list-type="alpha-lower">
<list-item><p>Random forest (Xu et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B246">2019a</xref>),</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Adaptive-Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) (Azamathulla et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">2011</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">2012</xref>).</p></list-item>
</list></p></list-item></list>
<p>In general, erosion and sediment research is a broad subject that provides numerous opportunities for ML applications. By reviewing the above-mentioned example studies, we have summarized that (a) compared with traditional erosion and sedimentation transport models, ML methods are easier and cheaper (Cigizoglu, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">2002</xref>; Tayfur and Guldal, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B226">2006</xref>; Yadav et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B248">2019a</xref>), and can be readily applied to solve complex sediment problems that entail human factors and multiple erosion and sediment transport processes (Xu et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B246">2019a</xref>), (b) ML models that rely on field data generally produce better and more reliable results than those obtained from experimental models (Kitsikoudis et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B121">2014</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.4.2. Hybrid Modeling Techniques for Sediment Research</title>
<p>In addition to its application to previously described hydrological studies, hybrid modeling has also been applied to sediment research (Merritt et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B147">2003</xref>; Hajigholizadeh et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B91">2018</xref>). Through the fusion of inductive data-driven models and deductive process-based models (Goldstein and Coco, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B82">2015</xref>), hybrid models inherit the strengths of both the ML methods and physics-based models in a single model that has an increased performance in terms of speed (Babovic et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">2001</xref>; Hall, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B93">2004</xref>), accuracy (Krasnopolsky and Fox-Rabinovitz, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B126">2005</xref>; Goldstein and Coco, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B82">2015</xref>), and the capability of addressing soil-water problems with complex and multi-scale physical processes (Hajigholizadeh et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B91">2018</xref>). An additional benefit of hybrid modeling is that ML models and data can be directly coupled to improve the calibration of process-based models (Knaapen and Hulscher, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B122">2003</xref>; Ruessink, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B201">2005</xref>; Mekonnen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B146">2012</xref>). Hajigholizadeh et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B91">2018</xref>) summarized a table of hybrid modeling applications that integrate statistical models with process-based models in sediment research including:</p>
<list list-type="bullet">
<list-item><p>Modified Morgan, Morgan and Finney (MMMF) (Morgan et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B154">1984</xref>),</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Sediment river network model (SEDNET) (Prosser et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B185">2001</xref>),</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Erosion Assessment Tool of MIKE BASIN &#x00026; MILW (SEAGIS) (DHI, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">2003</xref>),</p></list-item>
<list-item><p>Automated Geospatial Watershed Assessment (AGWA) (Scott et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B205">2002</xref>).</p></list-item>
</list>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.5. Application of Machine Learning to Remotely-Sensed Data for Water Hazard Prediction and Mitigation</title>
<p>Remotely-sensed (RS) data, due to its wide spatial coverage, provides a synoptic view of disaster affected areas. It is also frequently available during the disaster response phase providing a temporal overview of the disaster situation. Due to the recent advancements in satellite sensor technology, RS data is now available at various spatial resolutions (i.e., low, medium, and high) affording local, regional, and global coverage, and various spectral resolutions, from a few spectral bands in optical sensors to several hundreds of spectral bands in hyperspectral sensors. Additionally, advancements in the RS field have resulted in a continuous growth in Earth Observation (EO) data archives. Due to these characteristics, RS data is a potential data source for each stage during hydrological pre-event planning and post-event countermeasures (Ge et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">2020</xref>). Nevertheless, it is not always possible and is often dangerous to conduct ground surveys of disaster affected areas. Often the disaster destroys the transportation and communication facilities making ground-based survey impossible. In such time-critical situations, the proper selection of the sensor type, spatial resolution, and satellite revisit period is crucial, as pre-disaster and ancillary data can provide a wide coverage of the disaster affected area (Ge et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">2020</xref>). Despite these occasional limitations, various powerful approaches have been developed recently in the context of advanced ML and computer vision to exploit the wealth of information that can be found in RS data to address various urban water hazards related events (Kurte et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B129">2017</xref>).</p>
<sec>
<title>2.5.1. Flood Management</title>
<p>Over the last two decades, RS data have successfully contributed to various stages of flood management (Rahman and Di, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B186">2017</xref>) such as flood risk assessment and flood emergency planning and management. Flood risk assessment requires the performance of flood hazard assessment, exposure risk assessment, and vulnerability assessment. As a part of the flood hazard assessment, RS data have been analyzed for flood forecasting and evaluation of flood inundation. As a part of flood emergency planning and management, RS data have been widely used in flood early warning systems, rescue and relief operations, post-flood damage assessment and policy making. Various recent approaches have used advanced ML techniques and RS during various stages of flood management.</p>
<p>Flood forecasting requires accurate estimation of rainfall. Although satellite RS has limited direct applicability to flood forecasting, it has been widely used for precipitation estimation, which is an important input for flood forecasting models. In the late 90s, Tsintikidis et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B228">1997</xref>) used a shallow neural network with one hidden layer to estimate rainfall from a passive microwave radiometer SSM/I data. The network considered brightness temperature and associated polarization information as inputs and it output the rainfall rates. A random forest based ML algorithm was used to estimate the precipitation which used satellite-derived information on cloud-top height, cloud-top temperature, cloud phase, and cloud water path retrieved from the Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI) (K&#x000FC;hnlein et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B127">2014</xref>). Recently, Shi et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B211">2015</xref>) proposed a spatio-temporal sequence forecasting approach using Convolutional Long-Short Term Memory (ConvLSTM) with RADAR echo data in 2D from a ground-based RADAR for precipitation nowcasting by forecasting the RADAR echo data. Pan et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B172">2019</xref>) proposed a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) based approach to improve the precipitation estimates from numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. The authors stated that the method outperformed reanalysis precipitation products as well as statistical downscaling (SD) products using linear regression, nearest neighbors, random forests, or fully connected deep neural networks. In an another recent work, Hayatbini et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B96">2019</xref>) proposed a precipitation estimation framework using a fully convolutional neural network and the advanced baseline imager data from GOES-16, a multispectral geostationary satellite. Specifically, they proposed that the U-net CNN architecture could perform rain/no-rain classification using satellite imagery. The study was based on the earlier work of Hong et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B101">2004</xref>) on precipitation estimation using remote sensing data and an ANN.</p>
<p>Flash flood susceptibility mapping is another important process in flood risk assessment. Recently, Costache et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">2019</xref>) used a Digital Elevation Model (DEM) with 30 m spatial resolution obtained from Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM), and which was developed using the technique called SAR interferometry, to derive seven flash-related conditioning factors such as slope angle, aspect, profile curvature, and other factors. In addition, the authors used aerial imagery from Google Earth to delineate the torrential areas along with the land use/cover data, CORINE, which was derived from Sentinel-2 and Landsat-8 RS images. K-nearest neighbors (kNN), K-Start (KS), and Anlytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) algorithms were then applied to obtain the flash-flood susceptibility mapping. Thus, RS techniques played a crucial role in obtaining eight out of 10 flash-flood conditioning factors. In a similar work, Shahabi et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B207">2020</xref>) used a ML ensemble method with four different k-nearest neighbor (kNN) algorithms for flood detection and susceptibility mapping. Authors used Sentinel-1 images to generate the flood inventory and SRTM DEM to obtain various flood-related conditioning factors. These two works show that ML ensemble methods are gaining traction in flood susceptibility mapping.</p>
<p>Mapping of flooded areas is important to performing damage assessment, deploying rescue and relief operations and developing policies. An example of applying RS and ML to this undertaking is Feng et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">2015</xref>), who developed a random forest based approach to map accurately a flooded area using high-resolution (0.2 m) imagery obtained from Unmanned Areal Vehicle (UAV) imagery. The data were obtained for Yuyao City of Zhejiang Province in Eastern China during the flooding that occurred due to the extreme rainfall event on October 7, 2013. Additionally, Jain et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B107">2020</xref>) developed a hybrid approach to combine the strength of the traditional water indices from RS imagery and generalization capability of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN). The authors proposed a new water index which minimized cloud interference in the RS image and used it with a pre-trained VGG-16 model (Simonyan and Zisserman, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B214">2014</xref>) and a transfer learning based approach to re-train the model for a new task of flood water detection. In a similar work, Potnis et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B182">2019</xref>) used an Encoder-Decoder Neural Network based on the Efficient Residual Factorized Convnet (ERFNet) architecture for multi-class segmentation of urban floods satellite imagery from WorldView-2 of floods in Srinagar, India during September 2014. Recently, Jiang et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B109">2020</xref>) proposed an approach to obtain waterlogging depth from video images using CNN. The approach generated synthetic images from the set of images of reference objects and flood surface, which was further used to train the CNN model to obtain the waterlogging depth. This method can also be employed to obtain waterlogging depth from the images taken of the flooded area using recent drone-based video surveillance. Cervone et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">2017</xref>) added to these techniques a methodology to fuse social media data with the RS data during a flood situation to improve the flood mapping capability.</p>
<p>Recently, a few approaches to model the semantics in RS images were proposed for flood detection and mapping. Kurte et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B129">2017</xref>) proposed a semantics enabled framework to model the spatial relationships among various regions in the RS images to enable spatial-relationships-based queries such as <italic>Retrieve all images in the ALI repository having Built Up region externally connected to the Stagnated Flood Water</italic>. Later this work was extended to accommodate the temporal aspect to enable the spatio-temporal semantic queries such as <italic>Show road segments which were completely submerged during 9th September 2014 to 22nd September 2014</italic> (Kurte et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B128">2019</xref>). In a similar semantics based approach, Potnis et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B181">2018</xref>) developed a flood scene ontology (FSO) which formally defines complex classes such as <italic>Flooded_Residential_Buildings, Accessible_Residential_Buildings, Operational_Roads</italic>. After detecting various objects in the RS imagery using any supervised classification approach, the ontology can be used to infer complex classes which are very important for flood mapping.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.5.2. Water Quality Monitoring</title>
<p>RS data has been used over the past 50 years to monitor water quality. For instance, RS data can be used to measure water turbidity, or lack of transparency, which is a good measure of the water quality. Clear water shows high absorptivity in the infra-red and near-infrared wavelength regions. It also shows some reflectivity in the visible regions. Reflectivity in this application can reveal variations in water quality due to salinity, temperature, and turbidity. In the past decade, much research has been published in which remote sensing and ML approaches are used to estimate additional water quality parameters. For example, Dogan et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">2009</xref>) explored the non-linear capability of ANN to improve the accuracy of biological oxygen demand (BOD) estimation. Wu et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B245">2014</xref>) compared multiple regression (MR) with ANN for total suspended solid (TSS) turbidity estimations using data measured with a hyperspectral spectroradiometer and found that the non-linear transformation function of ANN performed better than MR. Wang et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B238">2011</xref>) used the support vector regression (SVR) method to retrieve various water quality estimators from SPOT-5 satellite data. SVRs showed potential in solving problems with small sample size, non-linearity, or high dimension (Vapnik, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B235">1995</xref>). Huo et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B106">2014</xref>) stated that the lakes near urban areas or inside urban areas are becoming eutrophied or even hypereutrophied due to excessive urbanization and a fast growing economy. The authors used genetic algorithms combined with support vector machines (GA-SVM) to build an inversion model for eutrophic indicators such as Chl-a from Landsat ETM imagery. They showed that the GA-SVM based method had better prediction accuracy than the traditional statistical regression methods and ANN based approaches. According to Sharaf El Din et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B209">2017</xref>), modeling water quality using satellite data is a complex problem, and conventional regression-based approaches can not perform well while modeling such complex relationships between water quality and RS data. The authors claimed that the proposed Landsat8-based-BPNN&#x02014;back propagation neural network&#x02014;to estimate water quality (both optical and non-optical) worked better than SVM-based methods. Moreover, the authors mentioned that, compared to the BPNN-based methods, the SVM-based methods could produce very different results due to differences in parameter selections, kernel-selection, high algorithmic complexity, and extensive memory requirement. The developed model showed <italic>R</italic><sup>2</sup> &#x0003E; 0.9 for the water quality indicators such turbidity, total suspended solids (TSS), chemical oxygen demand (COD), biological oxygen demand (BOD), and dissolved oxygen (DO). Recently, Hafeez et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B89">2019</xref>) compared several ML techniques including artificial neural networks, random forests, cubist regression, and support vector regression for estimating the concentrations of suspended solids (SS), Chl-a, and turbidity using Landsat data. The results showed that the ANN-based model achieved the highest accuracy in estimating the above mentioned water quality indicators. In an another recent study, Govedarica and Jakovljevi&#x00107; (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B83">2019</xref>) used 4-years of time-series data of <italic>in-situ</italic> monitoring of surface water bodies for the calibration and validation of a water quality estimation based on SVM and ANN algorithms using Landsat 8 data. The work also compared the estimations based on Landsat 8 with the Sentinel-2 data and found that, due to higher spatial and spectral resolution, Sentinel-2 data is a better alternative for water quality monitoring. Interestingly, the results showed that SVM produced more accurate results than ANN when used with Landsat data, whereas ANN provided better estimation accuracy for turbidity and TSS than SVM, and lower accuracy for TN and TP than SVM when used with Sentinel-2 data. Finally, Wang et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B239">2017</xref>) conducted a study that combined a ML algorithm and remote sensing spectral indices [difference index (DI), ratio index (RI), and normalized difference index (NDI)] through fractional derivatives methods and in turn establishes a model for estimating and assessing the water quality index (WQI) (2.3). For this study, the WQI was calculated using sensitive wave bands and a spectral index of hyperspectral data, and particle swarm optimization (Kennedy and Eberhart, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B119">1995</xref>; Shi and Eberhart, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B212">1998</xref>)&#x02014;support vector regression models (PSO-SVR), which deploy a population of candidate solutions over the SVR search space. Through comparisons of the predictive effects of the 22 water quality index estimations determined by the PSO-SVR, Wang et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B239">2017</xref>) demonstrated that the model based on RI, DI, and NDI values of the 1.6 order was better performing than the others for predicting the water quality index of the semi-arid area of central Asia [R2 (0.92), RMSE = 58.4, RPD (2.81) and a slope of curve fitting of 0.97].</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.5.3. Impervious Surface Detection</title>
<p>Urban impervious surfaces such as roads, driveways, sidewalks, and parking lots prevent water from infiltrating into soil, which has impacts on urban hydrology, groundwater, and water quality. Impervious surfaces facilitate pollutant&#x00027;s movements to nearby water bodies during heavy rain and urban flooding (Hall and Hossain, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B92">2020</xref>). In the context of ML, identifying impervious surfaces from RS data is fundamentally a classification approach. However, many index-based approaches for sighting impervious surfaces using RS (e.g., Weng, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B240">2012</xref>) focus on the developments in this area that use ML algorithms. Recently, Yao et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B253">2017</xref>) adopted a one-class classification approach to detect impervious surfaces using high-resolution GF-1 satellite images, and found that Presence and Background Learning (PBL) and Positive Unlabeled Learning (PUL) outperformed SVM models in detecting impervious surfaces. Miao et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B149">2019</xref>) also used a one class classification technique and Landsat-8 imagery for impervious surface classification. In a similar study, Bian et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">2019</xref>) used a random forest algorithm and time-series data from multiple satellites HJ-1A/B and GF-1/2 to estimate the changes in the impervious surface percentage over the years 2009&#x02013;2017. Lin et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B137">2019</xref>) addressed the challenges in detecting impervious surfaces due to the diversity of land use and shadow effects in high-resolution satellite imagery using a dictionary sparse representation classification and data fusion approach with WV-2, GeoEye-1, TerraSAR-X, and LiDAR. Zhang H. et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B258">2019</xref>) addressed similar issues by using a deep CNN approach with data fusion from optical and SAR satellites WV-3, Sentinel-2, and Radarsat-2. Similar other works, Sun et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B222">2019</xref>) (used 3D CNN with WV-3 and LiDAR), McGlinchy et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B143">2019</xref>) (used UNet with WV-2), show increasing trends of using deep learning based approaches with multi-satellite data fusion.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s3">
<title>3. Identification and Assessment of Multi-Hazard Risk</title>
<p>Multi-hazard identification and compound risk assessment inform effective planning activities and strategies (FEMA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">2015</xref>), and help water managers prioritize attention, investment, and recourse (Dickson-Anderson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">2016</xref>) to target the most urgent and the highest impact risks. Risk is defined as a combination of hazard, exposure, and vulnerability (Garrick and Hall, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B80">2014</xref>). Because exposure in urban areas is relatively high due to the high density of population and man-made structures (Hoekstra et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B99">2018</xref>), cities without proper preparedness and adaptation strategies are vulnerable to a wide variety of urban water hazards (Shaw et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B210">2016</xref>; Eldho et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">2018</xref>; Hoekstra et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B99">2018</xref>; Gangrade et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B76">2019</xref>; Rahmasary et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B187">2019</xref>) that are often causally linked to further hazards. Additionally, coincidental hazards may occur, resulting in a compounding effect overwhelming the ability of local or national governments to respond (Liu and Huang, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B138">2014</xref>). For example, a specific urban water hazard such as flooding can lead to multiple risks (Dai et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">2017</xref>; Cook et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">2019</xref>) that include inundation of building structures, damage to infrastructure, and/or the spread of water-borne diseases (Gangrade et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B77">2018</xref>; Pereira, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B176">2018</xref>). Consequently, multi-hazard risk assessment techniques must be conducted in the urban water management sector in a manner that considers the combined effects and interactive reactions of multiple urban water hazards in urban areas (Garcia-Aristizabal and Marzocchi, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B79">2013</xref>; Gruber and Mergili, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B85">2013</xref>; FEMA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">2015</xref>; Karlsson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B115">2017</xref>).</p>
<p>Despite its usefulness for hazard mitigation planning, multi-hazard risk assessment has been under-emphasized in natural disaster management and planning (Rahmati et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B190">2019</xref>) due to the difficulty of analyzing the risk for more than one hazard in the same area, and of analyzing their interaction. In the past, studies have focused primarily on forecasting and controlling hazards, and their physical processes (Kalantari et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B111">2019</xref>) in natural areas, without considering the social and economic impacts of these hazards in urban areas (e.g., hazard effects on buildings, infrastructures, and agriculture). Previous studies, which intended to analyze hazard risk and social vulnerabilities, only analyzed the risks of single hazards separately (B&#x000FC;hler et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">2013</xref>; Statham et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B219">2017</xref>) using physical or statistical models [e.g., flood impact using the HEC-FIA model (Lehman and Light, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B132">2016</xref>) or economic damage to fisheries caused by surface water pollution using AQUATOX model (Park et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B173">2008</xref>)]. In general, most past studies do not consider the multi-hazard chain (hazard interaction) and the combined risk of coupled hazard events (Garcia-Aristizabal and Marzocchi, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B79">2013</xref>; Rahmati et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B190">2019</xref>). Although a few studies (Freeman and Warner, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B74">2001</xref>; Newman et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B161">2017</xref>) analyze the components of different types of vulnerability and risk by evaluating physical, social, and economic consequences of a chain of urban hazards, developing a systematic approach for multi-hazard risk assessment using conventional modeling methods faces multiple challenges. These challenges are primarily associated with (a) integrating multiple physical or statistical models and domain-data that only target single hazards to simulate a multi-hazard chain and predict the combined effect of multiple urban water hazards, and (b) in-depth understanding of hazards, including interconnections between different hazards, and dynamics behind multiple hazards. In the presence of hydro-complexities, many underlying mechanisms of urban water hazards remain unknown. Therefore, conventional methods based on physical modeling alone may not be the best way to assess multi-hazard risk in urban water systems.</p>
<p>In recent years, advanced ML methods have been used to develop innovative multi-hazard risk assessment frameworks and workflows, which are able to address the challenges associated with conventional risk assessment techniques. The feasibility of applying ML to multi-hazard risk assessment is shown by the following: (a) ML is a subfield of artificial intelligence and data-driven analysis where ML models can easily identify trends, patterns, and empirical relationships in a large volume of data without considering detailed physical processes behind a phenomenon, such as the interactive reactions between multiple water hazards (Dibike and Solomatine, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">2000</xref>; Rahmati et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B190">2019</xref>), and (b) ML models are capable of handling data that are multi-dimensional and multi-domain (Anzai, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">2012</xref>). In this section, we review several ML workflows and applications that are designed to support the analysis of multi-hazard risk for mitigating water-related hazards.</p>
<p>For example, Rahmati et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B190">2019</xref>) investigated and mapped multi-hazard exposure using several ML models including BRT (Boosted Regression Trees), GAM (Generalized Additive Model, a regression which can include linear or non-linear predictor variables and predicted values potentially following any of a variety of probability distribution functions), and SVM (Support Vector Machines), and they evaluated the performance of these ML models using threshold-dependent and threshold-independent methods. The study consists of several steps: (1) selection of predictive factors for modeling multiple hazards (e.g., flood, landslide, soil erosion, and debris flow), (2) creation of Multi-Hazard Inventory using records from road organization and the regional water company (RWC) to document the occurrence of various hazards, (3) application of ML models to predict and map the exposure of multiple hazards, and (4) evaluation of the accuracy of these models. The results of this study indicate that (a) different ML models differed in their accuracy of predicting the different hazards (Rahmati et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B190">2019</xref>), and (b) the applied ML models are useful and generalizable for multi-risk mapping around the world.</p>
<p>Another example of a multi-hazard multi-model approach is Chen et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">2019</xref>), in which the researchers evaluate the risk of regional flood disaster in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region. Based on the driving force, pressure, state, impact, and response (DPSIR) conceptual framework, the study first applies a random forest algorithm to screen important indices of flood risk. They then construct a radial basis function (RBF) neural network to evaluate the flood risk level. In this study, the radial basis function is the activation function for the ANN. The study approaches the urban flood risk assessment as a multi-classification problem using ML methods and indicates that only a few of the previous studies use ML theory to assess the urban flood disaster risks that are complex and associated with multiple sources and contributing factors. The study concludes that the level of urban flood disaster is closely related to rainfall, topography, economic development, land use, soil erosion, urban flood control investment, and disaster emergency response capability, shedding light on effective regulation measures for improving flood prevention in urban environments.</p>
<sec>
<title>3.1. Exploration of Complex and Interconnected Hazards and Risks</title>
<p>To explore complex and interconnected hazards and risks, Xu et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B246">2019a</xref>) present a visual analytics framework that combines various types of ML applications (e.g., feature selection, classification, and multivariate clustering analysis) with different geo-visualization techniques to analyze multi-hazard risk at culverts due to flooding and sedimentation. ML models applied in this study include the classification schemes, random forests and Self Organizing Maps (SOM), and are used for exploratory data analysis, aiming to improve the understanding of the factors and interconnected hazards (e.g., flooding, excessive erosion, and sediment transport in rivers) that contribute to the sedimentation and flood over-topping of culverts (transportation infrastructure). The results of the study show that ML application can be used not only for multi-risk assessment and hazard prediction but also for exploring the complex and interconnected processes behind multiple hazards. Additionally, the same framework can be readily extended to analyze multiple hazards at other hydraulic structures, such as bridges and weirs. Pourghasemi et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B183">2020</xref>) presented a ML workflow, debuted as the Sendai framework, for assessing and mapping multi-hazard risk susceptibility, with an overall objective of reducing hazard risk and increasing sustainable development in urban areas. The workflow entails three main steps: (1) data preparation for obtaining the location of various hazards (floods, forest fires, and landslides), (2) recognition of the most important factors contributing to the occurrence of different hazards using the Boruta algorithm (a wrapper around random forest classification that iteratively removes irrelevant features from the data), and (3) construction of multi-hazard susceptibility maps along with validation processes using the random forest model and the preparation of a Multi-hazard Probability Index (MHPI) for the study area. The significance of the Sendai framework is that it (a) creates a reasonable understanding of the factors controlling flood and forest fire through ML-powered variable ranking and landslide occurrence, and (b) produces a multi-hazard probability map for facilitating integrated and comprehensive watershed management and land use planning.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>3.2. Hybrid Modeling for Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment</title>
<p>A few researchers have applied hybrid models to water-related multi-hazard risk assessment. For example, Yang T. et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B252">2019</xref>) used long short-term memory units (LSTM) to improve the timing component of the amplitude of peak discharge for flood simulations produced with global hydrological models over different climate zones. Hajigholizadeh et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B91">2018</xref>) used hybrid models for predicting and assessing water erosion vulnerability and risks, as well as for the optimization of management strategies for agricultural or soil and water conservation practices. Application of hybrid models to these multi-hazard hydrological risks is still emerging within the domain, but the utility of this approach continues to be demonstrated across a variety of hydrological applications.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s4">
<title>4. Selection of Best Management Practices</title>
<p>The proper selection and placement of Best Management Practices (BMPs) is a critical planning process that helps many watershed and urban planning communities effectively mitigate water-related hazards and manage urban water resources (e.g., stormwater management, water pollution reduction, and erosion controls) (Cheng et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">2006</xref>; NRCS, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B166">2011</xref>; USEPA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B233">2018</xref>). These BMPs are carefully selected from a pool of planning and mitigation alternatives that exists in various forms. Based on their spatial scales, these alternatives can be categorized as either localized alternatives, which are city-scale practices for protecting the municipal water supply and infrastructure through structural actions and non-structural actions, and watershed alternatives, which represent the management of land cover and land-use at the watershed scale (Carson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">2018</xref>). The selection of BMPs is a complex multi-objective optimization problem that requires the consideration of multiple planning objectives and criteria, which aim to maximize the environmental and social benefits for multiple urban communities, while minimizing the economic cost for the implementation of these management practices (Maringanti et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B142">2008</xref>; Rodriguez et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B198">2011</xref>). The development and advancement in GA (section 2.4.1) have provided watershed management communities with a method for solving complicated optimization problems that are associated with the selection of BMPs. GA are capable of handling complex and irregular solution spaces when searching for a global optimum (Chambers, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">2000</xref>; Rodriguez et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B198">2011</xref>) in a multiobjective optimization. Multiobjective optimization has been defined as &#x0201C;vector optimization&#x0201D; (Cohon and Marks, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">1975</xref>) for which the objective function is a vector containing scalar objectives subject to a set of constraints, and for which Pareto optimal solutions show the best performance. Reed et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B192">2013</xref>) evaluated a variety of multiobjective optimization GA as applied to rainfall-runoff calibration, long-term groundwater monitoring, and risk-based water supply portfolio planning. They found five best performing algorithms, of which their high-performance adaptive search Borg algorithm (Hadka and Reed, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B88">2013</xref>) was the most scalable and the best performing, and has shown particular stakeholder usefulness in its incorporation into a visual and interactive decision support framework (Reed and Kollat, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B193">2013</xref>).</p>
<p>In the water quality management sector, several studies applied GA-based optimization models to find optimal solutions to water quality problems for several watersheds in the United States by connecting non-point pollution reduction models with economic components (Srivastava et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B218">2002</xref>; Chen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">2015</xref>). In the stormwater management sector, Limbrunner et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B135">2013</xref>) applied classic optimization techniques to stormwater and non-point source pollution management at the watershed scale, and compared their effectiveness for finding optimal solutions to that of genetic algorithms, and linear and dynamic programming. Dynamic programming proved to find the most efficient solution to the sediment-management-optimization problem.</p>
<p>In addition to the optimization of planning alternatives, ML methods can enable selection for optimal management practices (Savic, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B204">2019</xref>). AI-driven applications are envisioned to learn from the human decision-making process, during which best management practices are selected by planners and watershed managers based on their past experiences.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s5">
<title>5. Vision: New Applications of Machine Learning to Urban Water Security</title>
<p>In order to ensure high-quality and timely water availability in the right quantities for urban areas, water resources must be managed well. In order for water resources to be managed well, a planning system leading to actions that promote sustainability and urban water security must be in place at the municipal level. We have shown that ML can help with this system as it applies to every stage of disaster management and planning, as outlined sequentially on the left hand side of <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">Figure 2</xref> and shown as an interconnected and cyclical process on the right side. That is, we have outlined a variety of ML applications for facilitating the individual disaster management stages and planning processes. For long-term planning and mitigation, we have presented studies that use ML methods to identify and assesses multi-hazard risks and vulnerability in urban water systems, taking into account socio-economic factors and the multi-hazard chain. We have also discussed how ML can help optimize the selection of urban best management practices for reducing water pollution and supporting storm water management. For early warning and hazards prediction, we have examined a range of ML applications for supporting the prediction of various water-hazard related parameters. We included studies that combine ML methods with process-based models (e.g., conceptual and physics-based hydrological and sediment transport models) into hybrid models to increase the accuracy and speed of the predictions for water hazard-related parameters. We have also discussed how innovative combinations of ML and remote sensing technologies can improve the discovery and extraction of useful hazard information and features that are critical to early-warning, rapid response and rescue, and recovery and restoration.</p>
<fig id="F2" position="float">
<label>Figure 2</label>
<caption><p>Potential ML opportunities for improving both the generic hazard mitigation stages <bold>(left)</bold> and detailed long-term planning steps <bold>(right)</bold>.</p></caption>
<graphic xlink:href="frwa-02-562304-g0002.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>Our vision is that these methods can be combined into ML water management workflows that build on those already in use for characterizing and predicting multi-hazard hydrological events. By weaving together the ML methods we have described, long-term management processes including the six steps shown on the right hand side of <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">Figure 2</xref> and outlined in the introduction can be captured. For example, risks associated with flood, drought and water quality can be identified using genetic algorithms, artificial neural networks, support vector machines, random forests, and other types of regression and hybrid models. Then planning objectives can be determined by weighing social risk and adaptive capacity using agent-based models, boosted regression trees, generalized additive models, and support vector machines. To inventory data, ground-based and satellite-based data can be reckoned, cataloged, and formatted for use in spatial-relationships-based queries, k-nearest neighbors, analytical hierarchy processes, and convolutional neural networks. To select mitigation approaches, classification schemes can be used along with multi-criteria decision methods. Uncertainty estimates can be used to evaluate the mitigation approaches selected. Finally, the insight gained from the ML results may be discussed by the planners to modify and implement the approaches determined.</p>
<p>ML is often not the first choice of analytical tools for planners for a variety of reasons. The first is that reasonably robust methods with known uncertainty for analyzing water risks are well established and accepted in the water management community. ML methods are less proven even if they often can perform better on data than the traditional methods. To address the uncertainty in ML methods, some researchers (e.g., Morrison et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B156">2003</xref>; Duncan, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">2014</xref>) use metrics such as Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves for scoring the diagnostic ability of a binary (or higher dimensional) classifier system, or alternative goodness-of-fit measures for evaluating the reliability of ML output. Others (e.g., Munaf&#x000F2; and Smith, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B158">2018</xref>) suggest a method of investigation called <italic>triangulation</italic>, in which multiple approaches (at least 3) are used to address one question. The uncertainty associated with a complete model chain is large, especially at the required level of decision-making under climate change, urbanization (Dessai et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">2009</xref>), and the accumulation of uncertainty at each level of the assessment (Merz et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B148">2010</xref>). However, while each ML method may have its own strengths, weaknesses, and unrelated assumptions, uncertainty quantification can help assign some degree of confidence to results obtained.</p>
<p>We observe that many aspects of urban water security and hazard modeling are still underrepresented as ML problems, in particular, those pertaining to the prediction of indirect effects of water-related hazards and their associated risks. Additionally, the use of ML techniques often requires additional mathematical and computational training (and often large high performance compute resources) beyond traditional statistical methods, and time constraints of working water managers may not allow for this additional training. Nevertheless, understanding the development of sustainable urban water management planning, we can draw lessons from history and devise sensible approaches for the future that include ML. If we view hydrological systems as &#x0201C;structurally co-constituted of natural, engineered, and social elements,&#x0201D; (Brelsford et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">2020</xref>), we may more readily employ ML to integrate disparate data and discover new perspectives on management practices based on the new patterns these methods reveal. In the near future, We also envision an increase in the applications of the hybrid modeling approaches (i.e., theory-guided ML) (Mekonnen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B146">2012</xref>; Karpatne et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B117">2017</xref>; Frame, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">2019</xref>) in the urban water management sector through the integration of data-driven ML methods and conventional process-based domain models.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s6">
<title>Author Contributions</title>
<p>MA-D suggested the focus on urban hydrology, co-wrote the introduction and vision sections, and wrote the text on machine learning for flooding. HX developed the outline and organization of the paper based on urban water management practices, co-wrote the introduction and vision, and wrote the text for multi-hazard risk, soil erosion and sediment transport, and selection of best management practices. KK co-wrote the introduction, provided the research trend analysis on the historical application of machine learning to water management and hazard, and wrote the text on applications of machine learning to disaster management using remote sensing. DR wrote the sections on machine learning application to drought and water quality characterization and prediction. All authors edited and revised the document throughout.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="COI-statement" id="conf1">
<title>Conflict of Interest</title>
<p>The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
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<fn-group>
<fn fn-type="financial-disclosure"><p><bold>Funding.</bold> Funding was provided by the Oak Ridge National Laboratory Computational Science and Engineering Division.</p></fn>
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