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About this Research Topic

Manuscript Submission Deadline 10 August 2023
Manuscript Extension Submission Deadline 10 September 2023

Unexpected events, colloquially known as "black swans", not only influence the stock market but also have an impact on the living conditions on our planet. Such extreme events can be very destructive and are difficult to record because they occur infrequently. Forecasts of the strength and frequency of ...

Unexpected events, colloquially known as "black swans", not only influence the stock market but also have an impact on the living conditions on our planet. Such extreme events can be very destructive and are difficult to record because they occur infrequently. Forecasts of the strength and frequency of extreme events are enormously important in many areas. To find out how changes in external factors, like climate change in the geophysical context, impact extremes is crucial. For this, an in-depth physical and statistical description of such events is necessary. This Research Topic tries to give such a description in the field of geophysical fluid dynamics. In this field, there is a wide spectrum of events ranging from freak waves in the ocean, Earth's core magnetic field variability to weather and climate extremes that all might be treated and understood with related physical and statistical procedures.

The goal of this collection is to give an overview on recent advances on the understanding of extreme events in the field of geophysical fluid dynamics. Presently the risk posed by extreme events in a future and changed climate is on everyone’s mind. Virtually all aspects of these changes have a dynamic origin and are, in a broader sense, part of the discipline of geophysical flows. In recent years, great advances have been made in the understanding of extreme events that also lead to the development of protection systems, e.g. the establishment of Tsunami warning centers around the globe and a faster early warning system of extreme weather. Heat waves related to atmospheric blocking and jet stream anomalies have become more predictable. We aim to present a synopsis of recent theoretical and more applied achievements in extreme events analysis in the field of geophysical fluid dynamics.

Extreme events can either be very large, very rare or both. We are interested in Original Research and Review Articles on physical and statistical aspects of extreme events in geophysical flows. This covers extreme ocean waves posing a danger to shipping traffic, Tsunamis that can threaten life in coastal areas as well as extreme storm events, heat waves and cold spells in the atmosphere. Also the impact of extreme events in the middle atmosphere like sudden stratospheric warmings on weather and climate are of great interest. Methods applied to extreme values range from dynamical system theory to the analysis of probability distributions and all can be part of this Research Topic. Aside from such theoretical and statistical approaches, observational, and laboratory studies are also very welcome.

This Research Topic has been realized in collaboration with Dr. Costanza Rodda , at Imperial College London.

Keywords: extreme events, extreme waves, heat waves, tsunamis, blocking heights, floods, climate change, jet stream, polar jet, Rossby waves


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