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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Smart Grids

Sec. Smart Grid Control

Volume 4 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/frsgr.2025.1617763

CatBoost-Enhanced Convolutional Neural Network Framework with Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Smart-Grid Stability Forecasting

Provisionally accepted
  • 1University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
  • 2Diplomatic Academy of Vienna, Vienna, Vienna, Austria

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

Mobile robots, such as drones, rovers, and autonomous ground units, are becoming more crucial for inspecting, monitoring, and maintaining smart grid infrastructure. These robotic agents are sent to assess electricity lines, substations, offshore wind farms, and other critical components in risky or remote places after severe weather occurrences or system breakdowns. This study proposes a hybrid diagnostic technique designed to optimize robotic operations by providing accurate, interpretable projections of smart grid stability. To employ structured sensor and spatial data simultaneously, the model integrates Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (Deep CNNs) with CatBoost gradientboosted decision trees. The system, which includes Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME), is critical for controlling autonomous robot behavior since it ensures openness and trust in predictions. This CatBoost + DeepCNN architecture outperforms conventional neural network models on test datasets, scoring 98.23%. This backend artificial intelligence system may guide robotic deployment plans, enabling mobile platforms to prioritize at-risk sites, adjust mission goals in response to projected grid instability, and assess their own sensor data in connection to system-wide energy patterns. Our results demonstrate the model's considerable potential for enabling intelligent, resilient, and real-time robotic responses inside modern energy networks.

Keywords: Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME), CatBoost, Smart Grids, Convolutional Neural Network, Power-system stability, Explainable AI

Received: 24 Apr 2025; Accepted: 08 Oct 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Ness. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Stephanie Ness, a01050675@unet.univie.ac.at

Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.