Skip to main content

ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Microbiol., 05 January 2024
Sec. Evolutionary and Genomic Microbiology
This article is part of the Research Topic Last Universal Common Ancestor and Origin of Life: What Uncultivated Bacteria, Archaea, and Extremophiles Can Tell Us View all 6 articles

Challenges in estimating effective population sizes from metagenome-assembled genomes

  • 1Shenzhen Research Institute of the Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China
  • 2State Key Laboratory of Lake Science and Environment, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing, China

Effective population size (Ne) plays a critical role in shaping the relative efficiency between natural selection and genetic drift, thereby serving as a cornerstone for understanding microbial ecological dynamics. Direct Ne estimation relies on neutral genetic diversity within closely related genomes, which is, however, often constrained by the culturing difficulties for the vast majority of prokaryotic lineages. Metagenome-assembled genomes (MAGs) offer a high-throughput alternative for genomic data acquisition, yet their accuracy in Ne estimation has not been fully verified. This study examines the Thermococcus genus, comprising 66 isolated strains and 29 MAGs, to evaluate the reliability of MAGs in Ne estimation. Despite the even distribution across the Thermococcus phylogeny and the comparable internal average nucleotide identity (ANI) between isolate populations and MAG populations, our results reveal consistently lower Ne estimates from MAG populations. This trend of underestimation is also observed in various MAG populations across three other bacterial genera. The underrepresentation of genetic variation in MAGs, including loss of allele frequency data and variable genomic segments, likely contributes to the underestimation of Ne. Our findings underscore the necessity for caution when employing MAGs for evolutionary studies, which often depend on high-quality genome assemblies and nucleotide-level diversity.

1 Introduction

Natural selection and genetic drift serve as two primary mechanisms driving the genetic variability in natural populations. Natural selection acts to favor advantageous alleles and purge deleterious variants, while genetic drift functions through stochastic processes (Kirchberger et al., 2020). The interplay between these forces is largely influenced by the effective population size (Ne), a parameter that characterizes the size of an idealized population, with nonoverlapping generations that has the same specified genetic properties as in the observed population (Charlesworth, 2009; Crow, 2017). Elevated Ne values enhance the efficiency of natural selection, whereas reduced Ne amplifies the impact of neutral drift (Batut et al., 2014). Initially proposed for eukaryotic populations (Wright, 1931), the concept of Ne has been further nuanced into contemporary Ne and long-term Ne, each addressing distinct temporal scales (Hare et al., 2011). Contemporary Ne pertains to the most recent generations and is frequently employed in agricultural breeding and wildlife conservation (Nadachowska-Brzyska et al., 2022). In contrast, microbial research predominantly focuses on long-term Ne, a harmonic mean calculated over a continuous lineage since the most recent common ancestor. This long-term Ne (hereafter Ne) has been implicated in microbial mutation rates (Lynch et al., 2016) and pangenomic evolution (Andreani et al., 2017; McInerney et al., 2017). Additionally, Ne plays a critical role in shaping microbial genome sizes. For example, free-living bacteria with small genomes, such as high-light adapted II (HLII) Prochlorococcus, are postulated to possess an extraordinarily large Ne (e.g., 109–13), thereby facilitating their genome reduction process through strong natural selection (Giovannoni et al., 2014). However, our recent study challenges this hypothetical large Ne and reports a substantially smaller Ne of approximately 107, highlighting the significance of genetic drift in microbial genome reduction (Chen et al., 2021). Ne directly affects the core assumptions made by researchers when understanding microbial evolution, so estimating Ne is fundamental for microbial evolution research.

In microbial population analyses, Ne can be calculated using the formula πs = 2 × Ne × μ, where μ represents the spontaneous mutation rate and πs denotes the neutral genetic diversity. However, the direct calculation of Ne presents several challenges: (i) the determination of mutation rates via mutation accumulation experiments is time-consuming and restricted to specific microbial lineages amenable to grow on solid media; (ii) the estimation of neutral genetic diversity hinges on the availability of panmictic populations, which require a large number of closely related genomes (Luo et al., 2017). While mutation rates have been measured for over 35 bacterial and archaeal lineages, comprehensive genomic datasets for panmictic populations are extant for only 22 of these lineages (Chen et al., 2021). These limitations are likely attributed to the inherent difficulties in culturing a majority of prokaryotic lineages (Rinke et al., 2013) and the lack of targeted isolation efforts for required panmictic populations, thereby hindering the Ne estimation for both existing and future lineages with mutation rate available. In the absence of suitable genomic datasets, Ne estimation risks becoming potentially inaccurate.

Metagenomic sequencing provides a high-throughput alternative for obtaining microbial genomic information from environmental samples (Nayfach et al., 2020). This approach has been employed in various evolutionary studies and has demonstrated performance comparable to that of isolates (Anderson et al., 2017; Ngugi et al., 2023). Nonetheless, the reliability of metagenome-assembled genomes (MAGs) for accurate Ne estimation remains an unresolved issue. To address this, we first focused on the Thermococcus genus, a hyperthermophilic archaeon with mutation rate measured recently in our previous analysis (Gu et al., 2021). A large number of public isolates and MAG genomes makes this genus an ideal lineage to assess the performance of MAGs in Ne estimation. Despite the unbiased phylogenetic distribution and comparable internal average nucleotide identity (ANI) between isolate populations (solely consists of isolates) and MAG populations (solely consists of MAGs), the Ne estimates derived from MAGs were significantly smaller than those based on isolates. The underestimation of Ne in MAG populations was also found in three other microbial lineages. These results emphasize the imperative for caution when employing MAGs in evolutionary studies that demand high-quality genomic data.

2 Materials and methods

2.1 Construction of phylogenomic tree

A comprehensive dataset of 95 genome assemblies affiliated with the Thermococcus genus (taxon ID 2263) was downloaded from the NCBI database as of October 2022. This collected dataset included 66 isolates and 29 metagenome-assembled genomes (MAGs). Phylogenomic analysis was conducted based on 53 single-copy genes (AR53), which are universally conserved in the Archaea domain and have undergone minimal recombination events (Parks et al., 2017). The gene sequence extraction, alignment, and trimming were performed using the ‘classify_wf’ function in GTDB-tk v1.7.0 (Chaumeil et al., 2019) with default parameters. Subsequently, the phylogenomic tree was generated using IQ-TREE v2.2.0 (Minh et al., 2020) with the ‘-m MFP’ option, which employs the ModelFinder (Kalyaanamoorthy et al., 2017) to determine the best-fit substitution model (LG + R10 in this study). The phylogeny was rooted using the last common ancestor (LCA) of T. litoralis and T. sibiricus according to the reference Archaea tree in the GTDB database (release207) and visualized using iTOL (Letunic and Bork, 2021).

2.2 Delineation of population boundary

The boundary of panmictic populations was delineated using PopCOGenT (Arevalo et al., 2019) in the ‘single-cell’ mode to account for the incompleteness of MAGs. PopCOGenT functions on the principle that recent homologous recombination events can eliminate single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), thereby generating identical genomic regions between donor and recipient. Consequently, genomes subject to frequent gene transfers are expected to manifest an enrichment of identical genomic regions as opposed to an accumulation of SNPs in genomes devoid of recent gene flow. This gene flow prediction relies on pairwise genome comparisons, making PopCOGenT a suitable tool for analyzing partial genome sequences. As PopCOGenT was designed for closely related genomes at approximately species level (Arevalo et al., 2019), the public genomes were first grouped into preliminary clusters where members share pairwise ANI no less than 90%, a threshold below which genomes were less likely to be assigned to the same species (Tsementzi et al., 2016). We employed dRep v3.4.0 (Olm et al., 2017) with ‘-pa 0.90 -ps 0.90’ settings to predict preliminary clusters, which were then used for population delineation. According the PopCOGenT, genomes exhibiting nucleotide diversity below 0.0355% should be classified into a single clonal complex due to insufficient mutations to identify homologous recombination events (Arevalo et al., 2019). Multiple redundant members within a clonal complex may underestimate the neutral genetic diversity (πs) and effective population size (Ne) owing to their high genomic identity (Chen et al., 2021; Gu et al., 2021). To avoid underestimation, a single representative genome was retained for each clonal complex. Consequently, only populations comprising at least two non-redundant members were kept for the estimation of πs and Ne.

2.3 Estimation of πs and Ne

The procedures below were conducted for each population individually. To control for potential biases from varying gene prediction algorithms in prior research, protein-coding genes were re-annotated from the collected Thermococcus genomes using Prodigal v2.6.3 (Hyatt et al., 2010) with the ‘-p meta’ option. Orthologous gene families were subsequently identified across each population’s genomes using OrthoFinder v2.2.1 (Emms and Kelly, 2019) with default parameters. Single-copy orthologous gene families were aligned at the amino acid level using MAFFT v.7.464 (Katoh and Standley, 2013) and imposed onto the corresponding nucleotide sequences. To minimize the influence of natural selection, πs estimation was performed based on fourfold degenerate sites, which are largely neutral and less affected by natural selection, as identified by the ‘get4foldSites’.1 The πs calculation was conducted in accordance with our previous publication (Chen et al., 2021). Finally, the median πs across all single-copy gene families was used to compute Ne based on the equation πs = 2 × Ne × μ, where μ represents the spontaneous mutation rate of type strain T. eurythermalis A501 (71.57 × 10−10 base substitutions per cell division per nucleotide site) (Gu et al., 2021). The Ne estimation was also carried out based on the mean πs across all single-copy orthologous gene families within each population.

2.4 Measurement of genomic and evolutionary features

The sequencing quality and genomic features of the collected Thermococcus genomes were assessed using CheckM v1.1.3 (Parks et al., 2015). Taking into account the potential incompleteness and misassembly in MAGs, the estimated genome size was calculated as the assembled genome size divided by the sum of its completeness and contamination (Parks et al., 2017). Within each population, pairwise ANI was calculated using FastANI v1.3 (Jain et al., 2018) with default parameters. To quantify the relative rates and effects of recombination versus mutation, core genome alignments were first executed using Parsnp v1.2 (Treangen et al., 2014) with default parameters for genome assemblies within each Thermococcus population. Specifically, MAG populations M-1, M-4, and M-5 were excluded from the Parsnp analysis because the their genomes differ in assembly size over 30% (Treangen et al., 2014). Next, ClonalFrameML v1.1 (Didelot and Wilson, 2015) was implemented to estimate the relative rates and effects of recombination versus mutation for each population.

2.5 Comparison of genomic and evolutionary features

To determine the most suitable statistical approach for downstream analyses, either phylogenetically dependent or independent, phylogenetic signals in genomic features and evolutionary attributes were assessed between isolate populations and MAG populations. This was represented using Pagel’s λ calculated using the ‘phylosig’ function in the ‘phytools’ R package (Revell, 2012), with values ranging from 0 to 1 to indicating the absence or presence of a strong phylogenetic signal, respectively. A pronounced phylogenetic signal was observed in GC content, necessitating the use of the phylogenetically dependent ‘phylANOVA’ function in the ‘phytools’ R package (Revell, 2012) for statistical comparison. In contrast, no phylogenetic signal was detected in the population classification or other features. Accordingly, the phylogenetically independent Mann–Whitney U test was employed for comparative analyses for estimated genome size, coding density, internal ANI, Ne, and relative rates and effects of recombination versus mutation.

2.6 Updating the analysis with expanded genomic datasets

To determine whether the observed trends in Thermococcus are broadly applicable, we expanded our analyses to three bacterial genera: Flavobacterium, Agrobacterium, and Lactococcus. They were selected from the 22 microbial lineages with mutation rate and panmictic populations available (Chen et al., 2021). We excluded other lineages due to either a scarcity of MAG populations or the costly computational demands for analyzing a large number of genomes (over 7,000). The same approaches mentioned above were employed for each lineage to delineate their populations, estimate Ne, and measure and compare genomic and evolutionary features. The only change in this step was the replacement of AR53 with 120 bacterial single-copy genes (BAC120) (Parks et al., 2017) during the construction of phylogenomic trees.

3 Results

3.1 Genome sampling and population delineation

A total of 66 isolated strains and 29 metagenome-assembled genomes (MAGs) affiliated with the Thermococcus genus were collected from the NCBI database (Supplementary Table S1). Of these MAGs, 24 exhibited genomic completeness exceeding 50% and contamination below 5% as assessed by CheckM, thus meeting the criteria for medium or high sequencing quality (Bowers et al., 2017). This number was refined to 20 when completeness and contamination were evaluated using a customized gene set comprising 289 single-copy orthologous gene families shared across all genomes of isolates (Figure 1 and Supplementary Table S1). The 95 Thermococcus genomes were partitioned into 66 distinct populations by PopCOGenT. Among these, 45 populations were constituted of only one genome, while the remaining 21 populations each comprised two to four genomes (Figure 2A). Notably, three populations were identified as harboring clonal complexes (see the Materials and Methods section). To mitigate the potential bias in Ne estimation induced by these clonal complexes, only one representative genome was retained from each complex for subsequent analyses. This led to the exclusion of two entire populations (I-3 and I-8) consisting solely of clonal complexes. Additionally, one genome (T. sp. GR5) was retained as a representative in population I-7, while T. sp. GR4 and T. sp. GR7 were discarded as they form complex together with T. sp. GR5. As a result, 19 populations were retained for downstream analyses (Figure 2A and Supplementary Table S2). Among them, 11 are isolate populations and eight are MAG populations.

FIGURE 1
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 1. Phylogenetic topology of Thermococcus genomes. The phylogenomic tree was constructed based on 53 conserved single-copy genes in Archaea (AR53) using GTDB-tk and IQ-TREE. Nodes supported by bootstrap values exceeding 95% are denoted by solid circles in the phylogenomic tree. The genome IDs of isolates and MAGs are colored in red and blue, respectively. Genomic features including completeness, contamination, estimated genome size, GC content, and coding density, are shown using heatmaps after the phylogeny. The legend for these heatmaps is located at the upper-left corner. Populations delineated by PopCOGenT, comprising at least two members, are annotated adjacent to the heatmaps. Isolate populations and MAG populations used for Ne estimation are marked with red and blue shades, respectively. Within each clonal complex, members are indicated by italicized population IDs. Genomes excluded from Ne estimation are not shaded. Pairwise ANI over 90% are shown on the right of populations.

FIGURE 2
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 2. Impact of MAGs on Ne estimation. Isolate populations and MAG populations are colored in red and blue, respectively. (A) The Ne estimation for 19 Thermococcus populations, excluding populations I-3 and I-8 due to their composition solely of clonal complexes. The phylogenetic tree is pruned from that is shown in Figure 1, with genome IDs from one representative genome annotated. Population IDs and the number of genomes with each population are indicated. The ‘100% - ANI%’ depicting genetic diversity within each population and Ne estimates are shown using heatmaps after the phylogeny. The legend for these heatmaps is located below the phylogeny. (B) Comparison of whole genomic divergence (100% - ANI%) and Ne between isolate populations and MAG populations as shown in violin plots. Statistic comparisons are conducted using Mann–Whitney U test due to the lack of phylogenetic signals (Pagel’s λ = 0). Non-significant p values (p > 0.05) are marked as n.s… Ne estimations based on the median and mean πs across all single-copy orthologous gene families are presented in the middle and right panels, respectively. (C) The relationship between Ne and whole genomic divergence (100% - ANI%) in both isolate populations and MAG populations.

3.2 Impact of MAGs on Ne estimation

The 19 Thermococcus populations were uniformly distributed across the phylogenomic tree (Pagel’s λ = 0; Figure 2A), suggesting an anticipated congruence in genomic and evolutionary characteristics between isolate populations and MAG populations. The internal average nucleotide identity (ANI) within each population ranges from 95.6 to 99.3% (Supplementary Tables S2,S3), conforming to the operational criteria for defining a prokaryotic species at a 95% ANI threshold (Jain et al., 2018). Given that ANI serves as an indicator of genomic divergence across both fourfold degenerate sites and other genomic regions, it is posited to exhibit a positive correlation with neutral diversity and Ne under certain conditions (Schloissnig et al., 2013). No significant difference was observed in the whole genomic divergence, which was represented by 100% - ANI%, between isolate populations and MAG populations (Figure 2B), thereby facilitating the comparability of Ne estimation across these population categories.

Variability in microbial mutation rates can occur in different species even within the same genus. For instance, mutation rates in Vibrio cholerae, V. fischeri, and V. shilonii have been estimated to range from 1.07 × 10−10 to 2.29 × 10−10 base substitutions per cell division per site (Dillon et al., 2017; Strauss et al., 2017). However, in the absence of mutation rate data for other Thermococcus lineages, we utilized a spontaneous mutation rate of 71.57 × 10−10 base substitutions per cell division per site from T. eurythermalis A501 as a representative value for all Thermococcus populations (Gu et al., 2021). Initial Ne estimations were derived using the median value of neutral genetic diversity (πs) across all single-copy orthologous gene families within each population. In this case, two populations, I-10 and M-7, exhibited zero Ne due to the absence of neutral genetic diversity in over half of their gene families. The remaining ten isolate populations displayed estimated Ne values ranging from 1.55 × 106 to 4.68 × 106 (Figure 2), consistent with our prior estimates (4.22 × 106) based on seven T. eurythermalis genomes with an internal ANI of 95.4% (Chen et al., 2021; Gu et al., 2021). Surprisingly, the estimated Ne values for the remaining seven MAG populations varied from 0.42 × 106 to 1.34 × 106, significantly lower than those of isolate populations (Mann–Whitney U test, p = 0.003). This pattern persisted when Ne was calculated using mean πs values (Figure 2B). Moreover, a positive correlation between Ne and whole genomic divergence (100% - ANI%) was observed in isolate populations (R2 = 0.48, p = 0.01; Figure 2C) as expected (Schloissnig et al., 2013). However, this correlation was absent in MAG populations (R2 = 0.08, p = 0.5), raising questions about the reliability of incorporating MAGs in Ne estimations.

To assess the consistency of the aforementioned Thermococcus findings across other prokaryotic lineages, the same analyses were conducted for three bacterial genera: Flavobacterium, Agrobacterium, and Lactococcus. A total of 985, 546, and 625 genome assemblies were downloaded from the NCBI GenBank for each lineage (Supplementary Table S4). Applying the same criteria, we categorized Flavobacterium genomes into 40 isolate populations and 15 MAG populations, Agrobacterium genomes into 23 isolate populations and five MAG populations, and Lactococcus genomes into 13 isolate populations and 10 MAG populations (Supplementary Table S5). The number of genomes within these populations ranges from two to 136, with a median of two genomes (Supplementary Table S5).

Consistent with Thermococcus, both isolate populations and MAG populations in Agrobacterium and Lactococcus lineages are evenly distributed across the phylogenomic tree (Pagel’s λ = 0 for Agrobacterium and Lactococcus; Supplementary Figure S1), while a weak phylogenetic signal in the population distribution was found in Flavobacterium lineage (Pagel’s λ = 0.4). Furthermore, the whole genomic divergence (100% - ANI%) did not exhibit significant differences between isolate populations and MAG populations in each lineage. The mean value of Ne estimates derived from MAG populations are slightly lower than those from isolate populations across all three lineages, although this difference does not reach statistical significance (Figure 3). Of particular interest, there is a positive correlation between the whole genomic divergence (100%-ANI%) and Ne estimates in isolate populations in all four investigated genera (Figure 2C, 3), which could be used to determine an expected Ne value given a genomic divergence level. However, both Flavobacterium and Agrobacterium exhibit two MAG populations each, displaying Ne estimates that significantly deviated from such regression line (Figures 3A,B). This finding suggests that these four MAG populations may tend to underestimate Ne compared to their corresponding isolate populations at similar levels of genetic divergence, underscoring the limitations of MAGs in accurately estimating Ne.

FIGURE 3
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 3. (A–C) Impact of MAGs on Ne estimation using three additional bacterial genera. The results mirror those in Figure 2, adapting it to Flavobacterium, Agrobacterium, and Lactococcus genera. The corresponding phylogenetic trees are shown in Supplementary Figure S1.

3.3 Comparison of other genomic and evolutionary features between isolate and MAG populations

As mentioned earlier, isolate populations and MAG populations were expected to exhibit comparable genomic attributes due to their even distribution across the phylogenomic trees (Figure 2A and Supplementary Figure S1). To further assess the utility of MAGs in ecological studies, we conducted a comparative analysis of estimated genome size, GC content, and coding density between these two population categories. The estimated genome size was significantly smaller in MAG populations affiliated with Thermococcus and Flavobacterium lineages (Supplementary Figure S2). Additionally, a significantly lower coding density was observed in Flavobacterium and Agrobacterium lineages (Supplementary Figure S2). These results highlighted a systematic bias in genomic features in MAGs, a concern that that may have broader implications for metagenomic studies (Meziti et al., 2021).

MAGs have been previously demonstrated to provide robust estimates of microbial recombination rates and effects, akin to those derived from isolates in a recent investigation targeting Prochlorococcus and freshwater clade LD12 (Ngugi et al., 2023). Our study corroborated this observation, revealing that the relative frequency (ρ/θ) and effect (r/m) of recombination to mutation in each of the four lineages were largely congruent between MAG populations and isolate populations (Supplementary Figure S2). Nevertheless, it should be noted that the generalizability of this pattern to other microbial lineages remains an open question. Given the inherent risk of chimeric assembly in MAGs (Taş et al., 2021), exercising caution is recommended when employing MAGs for evolutionary estimations.

4 Discussion

Metagenomic sequencing provides an important resource in ecological research, shedding light on both microbial diversity and metabolic capabilities (Sunagawa et al., 2015). Despite its utility, the suitability of MAGs for evolutionary analyses, which frequently depend on high-quality genome assemblies and nucleotide-level diversity, remains an open question. In this study, we assessed the performance of MAGs in estimating Ne, which is an important parameter in population genetics determining the relative contribution of natural selection and genetic drift. Our analysis of the Thermococcus revealed a significant underestimation of Ne in MAG populations compared to their isolate counterparts. Similar trends were observed in the Flavobacterium and Agrobacterium lineages. These two genera each possess two MAG populations showing significantly lower Ne values than isolate populations showing comparable genomic divergence, which would normally indicate similar levels of neutral diversity (Ne). These findings indicate that MAGs are not able to ensure an accurate estimation of Ne, underscoring the need for caution in their use for evolutionary research.

The biased Ne estimation may be a result of the inherent limitations of MAGs. These include the loss of allele frequency information during the metagenomic assembly process and the inability to retrieve highly variable genomic fragments during the binning process. On one hand, MAGs typically represent the most abundant allelic variants in the wild population (Crits-Christoph et al., 2020), so they often fail to capture rare variants from the environments. This omission likely results in an insufficient representation of population diversity, contributing to the underestimation of Ne. On the other hand, MAGs are often characterized by the absence of genomic fragments subjected to frequent gene flows, such as prophages, plasmids, and other mobile elements (Meziti et al., 2021). These fragments usually exhibit accelerated evolutionary rate and larger genetic variation (Rodríguez-Beltrán et al., 2021), and their absence in MAGs may further skew Ne estimates downward. This is also evidenced by the smaller genome sizes estimated in MAGs, based on a set of conserved core genes (Parks et al., 2015).

The challenges highlighted in above may be partially overcome by the advancements in metagenomic methodologies. First, metagenomic read recruitment is a promising approach to capture more genetic diversity in wild populations. Indeed, the existing computational tools based on metagenomic recruitment have been successfully applied to investigate microbial recombination (Lin and Kussell, 2019) and nucleotide diversity (Olm et al., 2021) from environmental samples, thereby providing valuable insights especially in extreme habitats where microbial isolates are challenging to obtain (Peng et al., 2023). Nevertheless, the related tools for Ne estimation remain to be further developed, with several challenges remains. One major issue is accurately defining population boundaries and determining appropriate read mapping similarity (Nowinski et al., 2023), which can vary across genes within the same population, especially in complex environmental communities (Bahram et al., 2018). Another limitation is the dependency on high-quality reference genomes, necessitating improved culturing techniques and a broader collection of isolate genomes (Xian et al., 2020). Second, the completeness and quality of MAGs could be improved by hybrid metagenomic assembly that incorporating long-read and short-read data (Bertrand et al., 2019). Such high-quality MAGs could also serve as reference genomes for recruitment-based methods. In addition to isolates and MAGs, single amplified genomes (SAGs) offer an alternative, though more costly, genomic resource for Ne estimation, generally yielding reliable results akin to isolated genomes (Chen et al., 2021). In summary, MAGs are not able to estimate Ne accurately based on the existing tools, while isolates and SAGs are more reliable for this purpose. Nevertheless, the potential for refining methodologies to improve Ne estimation using metagenomic data warrants further exploration.

Data availability statement

The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/Supplementary material, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.

Author contributions

XW: Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Writing – review & editing. XF: conceptualization, funding acquisition, writing original draft, review and editing.

Funding

The author(s) declare financial support was received for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article. This study was supported by the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation 2022M722220 (XW) and 2022M712195 (XF); Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation 2023A1515012162 (XF).

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Publisher’s note

All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.

Supplementary material

The Supplementary material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmicb.2023.1331583/full#supplementary-material

Footnotes

References

Anderson, R. E., Reveillaud, J., Reddington, E., Delmont, T. O., Eren, A. M., McDermott, J. M., et al. (2017). Genomic variation in microbial populations inhabiting the marine subseafloor at deep-sea hydrothermal vents. Nat. Commun. 8:1114. doi: 10.1038/s41467-017-01228-6

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Andreani, N. A., Hesse, E., and Vos, M. (2017). Prokaryote genome fluidity is dependent on effective population size. ISME J. 11, 1719–1721. doi: 10.1038/ismej.2017.36

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Arevalo, P., VanInsberghe, D., Elsherbini, J., Gore, J., and Polz, M. F. (2019). A reverse ecology approach based on a biological definition of microbial populations. Cells 178, 820–834.e14. doi: 10.1016/j.cell.2019.06.033

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Bahram, M., Hildebrand, F., Forslund, S. K., Anderson, J. L., Soudzilovskaia, N. A., Bodegom, P. M., et al. (2018). Structure and function of the global topsoil microbiome. Nature 560, 233–237. doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0386-6

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Batut, B., Knibbe, C., Marais, G., and Daubin, V. (2014). Reductive genome evolution at both ends of the bacterial population size spectrum, nature reviews. Microbiology 12, 841–850. doi: 10.1038/nrmicro3331

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Bertrand, D., Shaw, J., Kalathiyappan, M., Ng, A. H. Q., Kumar, M. S., Li, C., et al. (2019). Hybrid metagenomic assembly enables high-resolution analysis of resistance determinants and mobile elements in human microbiomes. Nat. Biotechnol. 37, 937–944. doi: 10.1038/s41587-019-0191-2

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Bowers, R. M., Kyrpides, N. C., Stepanauskas, R., Harmon-Smith, M., Doud, D., Reddy, T. B. K., et al. (2017). Minimum information about a single amplified genome (MISAG) and a metagenome-assembled genome (MIMAG) of bacteria and archaea. Nat. Biotechnol. 35, 725–731. doi: 10.1038/nbt.3893

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Charlesworth, B. (2009). Fundamental concepts in genetics: effective population size and patterns of molecular evolution and variation, nature reviews. Genetics 10, 195–205. doi: 10.1038/nrg2526

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Chaumeil, P.-A., Mussig, A. J., Hugenholtz, P., and Parks, D. H. (2019). GTDB-Tk: a toolkit to classify genomes with the genome taxonomy database. Bioinformatics (Oxford, England) 36, 1925–1927. doi: 10.1093/bioinformatics/btz848

CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Chen, Z., Wang, X., Song, Y., Zeng, Q., Zhang, Y., and Luo, H. (2021). Prochlorococcus have low global mutation rate and small effective population size. Nature ecology & evolution 6, 183–194. doi: 10.1038/s41559-021-01591-0

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Crits-Christoph, A., Olm, M. R., Diamond, S., Bouma-Gregson, K., and Banfield, J. F. (2020). Soil bacterial populations are shaped by recombination and gene-specific selection across a grassland meadow. ISME J. 14, 1834–1846. doi: 10.1038/s41396-020-0655-x

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Crow, J. F. (2017). An introduction to population genetics theory Scientific Publishers (India).

Google Scholar

Didelot, X., and Wilson, D. J. (2015). ClonalFrameML: efficient inference of recombination in whole bacterial genomes. PLoS Comput. Biol. 11:e1004041. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004041

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Dillon, M. M., Sung, W., Sebra, R., Lynch, M., and Cooper, V. S. (2017). Genome-wide biases in the rate and molecular Spectrum of spontaneous mutations in vibrio cholerae and Vibrio fischeri. Mol. Biol. Evol. 34, 93–109. doi: 10.1093/molbev/msw224

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Emms, D. M., and Kelly, S. (2019). OrthoFinder: phylogenetic orthology inference for comparative genomics. Genome Biol. 20:238. doi: 10.1186/s13059-019-1832-y

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Giovannoni, S. J., Cameron Thrash, J., and Temperton, B. (2014). Implications of streamlining theory for microbial ecology. ISME J. 8, 1553–1565. doi: 10.1038/ismej.2014.60

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Gu, J., Wang, X., Ma, X., Sun, Y., Xiao, X., and Luo, H. (2021). Unexpectedly high mutation rate of a deep-sea hyperthermophilic anaerobic archaeon. ISME J. 15, 1862–1869. doi: 10.1038/s41396-020-00888-5

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Hare, M. P., Nunney, L., Schwartz, M. K., Ruzzante, D. E., Burford, M., Waples, R. S., et al. (2011). Understanding and estimating effective population size for practical application in marine species management. Conservation biology: the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology 25, 438–449. doi: 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2010.01637.x

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Hyatt, D., Chen, G.-L., Locascio, P. F., Land, M. L., Larimer, F. W., and Hauser, L. J. (2010). Prodigal: prokaryotic gene recognition and translation initiation site identification. BMC bioinformatics 11:119. doi: 10.1186/1471-2105-11-119

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Jain, C., Rodriguez-R, L. M., Phillippy, A. M., Konstantinidis, K. T., and Aluru, S. (2018). High throughput ANI analysis of 90K prokaryotic genomes reveals clear species boundaries. Nat. Commun. 9:5114. doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-07641-9

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Kalyaanamoorthy, S., Minh, B. Q., Wong, T. K. F., Haeseler, A., and Jermiin, L. S. (2017). ModelFinder: fast model selection for accurate phylogenetic estimates. Nat. Methods 14, 587–589. doi: 10.1038/nmeth.4285

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Katoh, K., and Standley, D. M. (2013). MAFFT multiple sequence alignment software version 7: improvements in performance and usability. Mol. Biol. Evol. 30, 772–780. doi: 10.1093/molbev/mst010

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Kirchberger, P. C., Schmidt, M. L., and Ochman, H. (2020). The ingenuity of bacterial genomes. Annu. Rev. Microbiol. 74, 815–834. doi: 10.1146/annurev-micro-020518-115822

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Letunic, I., and Bork, P. (2021). Interactive tree of life (iTOL) v5: an online tool for phylogenetic tree display and annotation. Nucleic Acids Res. 49, W293–W296. doi: 10.1093/nar/gkab301

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Lin, M., and Kussell, E. (2019). Inferring bacterial recombination rates from large-scale sequencing datasets. Nat. Methods 16, 199–204. doi: 10.1038/s41592-018-0293-7

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Luo, H., Huang, Y., Stepanauskas, R., and Tang, J. (2017). Excess of non-conservative amino acid changes in marine bacterioplankton lineages with reduced genomes. Nat. Microbiol. 2:17091. doi: 10.1038/nmicrobiol.2017.91

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Lynch, M., Ackerman, M. S., Gout, J.-F., Long, H., Sung, W., Thomas, W. K., et al. (2016). Genetic drift, selection and the evolution of the mutation rate, nature reviews. Nat. Rev. Genet. 17, 704–714. doi: 10.1038/nrg.2016.104

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

McInerney, J. O., McNally, A., and O’Connell, M. J. (2017). Why prokaryotes have pangenomes. Nat. Microbiol. 2:17040. doi: 10.1038/nmicrobiol.2017.40

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Meziti, A., Rodriguez-R, L. M., Hatt, J. K., Peña-Gonzalez, A., Levy, K., and Konstantinidis, K.T. (2021) The reliability of metagenome-assembled genomes (MAGs) in representing natural populations: Insights from comparing MAGs against isolate genomes derived from the same fecal sample, applied and environmental microbiology. Appl. Environ. Microbiol. 87:e02593-20. doi: 10.1128/AEM.02593-20

CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Minh, B. Q., Schmidt, H. A., Chernomor, O., Schrempf, D., and Woodhams, M. D., Haeseler, A. von, and Lanfear, R. (2020) IQ-TREE 2: new models and efficient methods for phylogenetic inference in the genomic era, Mol. Biol. Evol., 37, 1530–1534, doi: 10.1093/molbev/msaa015

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Nadachowska-Brzyska, K., Konczal, M., and Babik, W. (2022). Navigating the temporal continuum of effective population size. Methods Ecol. Evol. 13, 22–41. doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.13740

CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Nayfach, S., Roux, S., Seshadri, R., Udwary, D., Varghese, N., Schulz, F., et al. (2020). A genomic catalog of Earth’s microbiomes. Nat. Biotechnol. 39, 499–509. doi: 10.1038/s41587-020-0718-6

CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Ngugi, D. K., Salcher, M. M., Andrei, A.-S., Ghai, R., Klotz, F., Chiriac, M.-C., et al. (2023). Postglacial adaptations enabled colonization and quasi-clonal dispersal of ammonia-oxidizing archaea in modern European large lakes. Sci. Adv. 9:eadc9392. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adc9392

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Nowinski, B., Feng, X., Preston, C. M., Birch, J. M., Luo, H., Whitman, W. B., et al. (2023). Ecological divergence of syntopic marine bacterial species is shaped by gene content and expression. ISME J. 17, 813–822. doi: 10.1038/s41396-023-01390-4

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Olm, M. R., Brown, C. T., Brooks, B., and Banfield, J. F. (2017). dRep: a tool for fast and accurate genomic comparisons that enables improved genome recovery from metagenomes through de-replication. ISME J. 11, 2864–2868. doi: 10.1038/ismej.2017.126

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Olm, M. R., Crits-Christoph, A., Bouma-Gregson, K., Firek, B. A., Morowitz, M. J., and Banfield, J. F. (2021). inStrain profiles population microdiversity from metagenomic data and sensitively detects shared microbial strains. Nat. Biotechnol. 39, 727–736. doi: 10.1038/s41587-020-00797-0

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Parks, D. H., Imelfort, M., Skennerton, C. T., Hugenholtz, P., and Tyson, G. W. (2015). CheckM: assessing the quality of microbial genomes recovered from isolates, single cells, and metagenomes. Genome Res. 25, 1043–1055. doi: 10.1101/gr.186072.114

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Parks, D. H., Rinke, C., Chuvochina, M., Chaumeil, P.-A., Woodcroft, B. J., Evans, P. N., et al. (2017). Recovery of nearly 8,000 metagenome-assembled genomes substantially expands the tree of life. Nat. Microbiol. 2, 1533–1542. doi: 10.1038/s41564-017-0012-7

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Peng, Y., Lu, Z., Pan, D., Shi, L.-D., Zhao, Z., Liu, Q., et al. (2023). Viruses in deep-sea cold seep sediments harbor diverse survival mechanisms and remain genetically conserved within species. ISME J. 17, 1774–1784. doi: 10.1038/s41396-023-01491-0

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Revell, L. J. (2012). Phytools: an R package for phylogenetic comparative biology (and other things). Methods Ecol. Evol. 3, 217–223. doi: 10.1111/j.2041-210X.2011.00169.x

CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Rinke, C., Schwientek, P., Sczyrba, A., Ivanova, N. N., Anderson, I. J., Cheng, J.-F., et al. (2013). Insights into the phylogeny and coding potential of microbial dark matter. Nature 499, 431–437. doi: 10.1038/nature12352

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Rodríguez-Beltrán, J., DelaFuente, J., León-Sampedro, R., MacLean, R. C., and San Millán, Á. (2021). Beyond horizontal gene transfer: the role of plasmids in bacterial evolution, nature reviews. Nat. Rev. Microbiol. 19, 347–359. doi: 10.1038/s41579-020-00497-1

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Schloissnig, S., Arumugam, M., Sunagawa, S., Mitreva, M., Tap, J., Zhu, A., et al. (2013). Genomic variation landscape of the human gut microbiome. Nature 493, 45–50. doi: 10.1038/nature11711

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Strauss, C., Long, H., Patterson, C.E., Te, R., and Lynch, M. (2017) Genome-wide mutation rate response to pH change in the coral reef pathogen Vibrio shilonii AK1, MBio, 8:10-1128. doi: 10.1128/mBio.01021-17

CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Sunagawa, S., Coelho, L. P., Chaffron, S., Kultima, J. R., Labadie, K., Salazar, G., et al. (2015). Ocean plankton. Structure and function of the global ocean microbiome, Science 348:1261359. doi: 10.1126/science.1261359

CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Taş, N., Jong, A. E.De, Li, Y., Trubl, G., Xue, Y., and Dove, N. C. (2021). Metagenomic tools in microbial ecology research, Curr. Opin. Biotechnol., 67, 184–191, doi: 10.1016/j.copbio.2021.01.019

CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Treangen, T. J., Ondov, B. D., Koren, S., and Phillippy, A. M. (2014). The harvest suite for rapid core-genome alignment and visualization of thousands of intraspecific microbial genomes. Genome Biol. 15:524. doi: 10.1186/s13059-014-0524-x

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Tsementzi, D., Wu, J., Deutsch, S., Nath, S., Rodriguez-R, L. M., Burns, A. S., et al. (2016). SAR11 bacteria linked to ocean anoxia and nitrogen loss. Nature 536, 179–183. doi: 10.1038/nature19068

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Wright, S. (1931). Evolution in Mendelian populations. Genetics 16, 97–159. doi: 10.1093/genetics/16.2.97

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Xian, W.-D., Salam, N., Li, M.-M., Zhou, E.-M., Yin, Y.-R., Liu, Z.-T., et al. (2020). Network-directed efficient isolation of previously uncultivated Chloroflexi and related bacteria in hot spring microbial mats. NPJ biofilms and microbiomes 6:20. doi: 10.1038/s41522-020-0131-4

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Keywords: metagenomics, effective population size, microbial evolution, natural selection, genetic drift

Citation: Wang X and Feng X (2024) Challenges in estimating effective population sizes from metagenome-assembled genomes. Front. Microbiol. 14:1331583. doi: 10.3389/fmicb.2023.1331583

Received: 01 November 2023; Accepted: 15 December 2023;
Published: 05 January 2024.

Edited by:

Wen-Jun Li, Sun Yat-sen University, China

Reviewed by:

Paulina Corral, Sevilla University, Spain
Kelle Cardin Freel, University of Hawaii at Manoa, United States

Copyright © 2024 Wang and Feng. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

*Correspondence: Xiaoyuan Feng, asdfeng188@gmail.com

These authors have contributed equally to this work

Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.