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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Med.

Sec. Geriatric Medicine

Volume 12 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fmed.2025.1655263

Constructing the prediction model based on DXA between sarcopenia and BMD in middle-aged and elderly men with T2DM

Provisionally accepted
Guoyang  ZhangGuoyang ZhangLidan  HuangLidan HuangLiangzhong  LiaoLiangzhong Liao*
  • Traditional Chinese Hospital of Xiamen, Xiamen, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

Objective: To explore the relationship between sarcopenia and bone mineral density (BMD) in middle-aged and elderly male patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), construct a prediction model for sarcopenia based on dual -energy X -ray absorptiometry (DXA), and evaluate its clinical value.A total of 523 middle-aged and elderly male patients with T2DM in the hospital from January 2021 to December 2024 were selected and divided into the training set (366 cases) and the validation set (157 cases) at a ratio of 7:3. The BMD Tvalue was measured by DXA, and clinical data were collected. A prediction model was constructed using multivariate logistic regression in the training set, and the model efficacy was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).The incidence of sarcopenia was 27.05% (99/366) in the training set and 28.02% (44/157) in the validation set. Multivariate analysis showed that age, HbA1c, and HOMA-IR were independent risk factors for sarcopenia, while the lumbar L1-L4 Tvalue, and femoral neck T-value were independent protective factors for sarcopenia (P<0.05). The C-index of the nomogram model were 0.773 (in the training set) and 0.750 (in the validation set) respectively. The calibration curve showed good agreement between predicted and actual values, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test were significant (all P> 0.05). The ROC curve showed the area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram model for predicting the risk of sarcopenia was 0.773 (95%CI: 0.652 -0.895) and 0.750 (95%CI: 0.686 -0.814) in the training set and the validation set, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity were 0.714, 0.887 and 0.688, 0.796 respectively.The prediction model constructed based on DXA can effectively predict the risk of sarcopenia in middle-aged and elderly male patients with T2DM, providing a basis for clinical early screening and intervention.

Keywords: type 2 diabetes mellitus, Sarcopenia, bone mineral density, Dual -energy X -ray absorptiometry, Prediction model

Received: 30 Jun 2025; Accepted: 31 Jul 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Zhang, Huang and Liao. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Liangzhong Liao, Traditional Chinese Hospital of Xiamen, Xiamen, China

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