Your new experience awaits. Try the new design now and help us make it even better

ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Med.

Sec. Hepatobiliary Diseases

Volume 12 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fmed.2025.1670396

This article is part of the Research TopicDigital Technologies in Hepatology: Diagnosis, Treatment, and Epidemiological InsightsView all 15 articles

Establishing a Nomogram for Post-Hepatectomy Liver Failure Prediction in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Preoperative and Perioperative Parameters

Provisionally accepted
Jingheng  ZhangJingheng Zhang1*Danni  WangDanni Wang2Qingmei  MaQingmei Ma3Lei  ZhangLei Zhang3Jinxia  HouJinxia Hou3Zhemei  ZhangZhemei Zhang3Jing  WuJing Wu3
  • 1Department of Outpatient, Gansu Provincial Hospital, Lanzhou, China
  • 2Department of Clinical Laboratory, Gansu Provincial Hospital,, lanzhou, China
  • 3Department of Clinical Laboratory, Gansu Provincial Hospital, Lanzhou, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

OBJECTIVE: Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is a severe complication for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients post-surgery. This study explores PHLF risk factors and creates a nomogram for prediction using pre-and intraoperative factors. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 654 patients who underwent hepatectomy. Eligible patients were randomly divided into training and internal validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio. Key variables for nomogram construction were determined through integrated LASSO and multivariate logistic regression analyses. The nomogram's performance was evaluated using ROC curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: Among 228 eligible patients included in the study, 55 developed PHLF. Seven independent predictors were identified and incorporated into the nomogram: liver cirrhosis, total bilirubin (TBIL), prothrombin time (PT), ALBI, FIB4, ascites, and intraoperative blood loss. The nomogram demonstrated excellent predictive performance, with AUC of 0.880 in the training cohort and 0.879 in the validation cohort. Calibration curve and decision curve analysis show that nomogram has significant clinical application value in predicting PHLF probability. CONCLUSION: We have developed and validated a novel PHLF risk prediction model that integrates preoperative and intraoperative parameters, along with various liver function scoring systems, enabling more comprehensive and accurate prediction of PHLF risk in HCC patients.

Keywords: hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF), nomogram, Preoperative, Perioperative

Received: 21 Jul 2025; Accepted: 05 Sep 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Zhang, Wang, Ma, Zhang, Hou, Zhang and Wu. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Jingheng Zhang, Department of Outpatient, Gansu Provincial Hospital, Lanzhou, China

Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.