Abstract
In exercise science, the crossover effect denotes that fat oxidation is the primary fuel at rest and during low-intensity exercise with a shift towards an increased reliance on carbohydrate oxidation at moderate to high exercise intensities. This model makes four predictions: First, >50% of energy comes from carbohydrate oxidation at ≥60% of maximum oxygen consumption (VO2max), termed the crossover point. Second, each individual has a maximum fat oxidation capacity (FATMAX) at an exercise intensity lower than the crossover point. FATMAX values are typically 0.3–0.6 g/min. Third, fat oxidation is minimized during exercise ≥85%VO2max, making carbohydrates the predominant energetic substrate during high-intensity exercise, especially at >85%VO2max. Fourth, high-carbohydrate low-fat (HCLF) diets will produce superior exercise performances via maximizing pre-exercise storage of this predominant exercise substrate. In a series of recent publications evaluating the metabolic and performance effects of low-carbohydrate high-fat (LCHF/ketogenic) diet adaptations during exercise of different intensities, we provide findings that challenge this model and these four predictions. First, we show that adaptation to the LCHF diet shifts the crossover point to a higher %VO2max (>80%VO2max) than previously reported. Second, substantially higher FATMAX values (>1.5 g/min) can be measured in athletes adapted to the LCHF diet. Third, endurance athletes exercising at >85%VO2max, whilst performing 6 × 800 m running intervals, measured the highest rates of fat oxidation yet reported in humans. Peak fat oxidation rates measured at 86.4 ± 6.2%VO2max were 1.58 ± 0.33 g/min with 30% of subjects achieving >1.85 g/min. These studies challenge the prevailing doctrine that carbohydrates are the predominant oxidized fuel during high-intensity exercise. We recently found that 30% of middle-aged competitive athletes presented with pre-diabetic glycemic values while on an HCLF diet, which was reversed on LCHF. We speculate that these rapid changes between diet, insulin, glucose homeostasis, and fat oxidation might be linked by diet-induced changes in mitochondrial function and insulin action. Together, we demonstrate evidence that challenges the current crossover concept and demonstrate evidence that a LCHF diet may also reverse features of pre-diabetes and future metabolic disease risk, demonstrating the impact of dietary choice has extended beyond physical performance even in athletic populations.
Exercise crossover concept
A time-honored physiological principle is that energy metabolism during exercise of increasing intensity changes from a predominance of energy derived from fat oxidation at lower exercise intensities to an increased reliance on carbohydrate oxidation at higher exercise intensities (; ; Venables et al., 1985; Jeukendrup and Wallis, 2005; Randell et al., 2017; ). Ultimately at the highest exercise intensities, expressed as a percentage of maximal oxygen consumption (VO2max), carbohydrate becomes the exclusive or obligatory fuel. Above an exercise intensity of 85%VO2max, humans are no longer able to extract any energy from fat oxidation (; ; Venables et al., 1985; Jeukendrup and Wallis, 2005; Randell et al., 2017; ; Vest et al., 2018; ; ; ; ; Kolodziej and O'Halloran, 2021; Kenney et al., 2021). This concept is depicted graphically [Figure 1; (; Kenney et al., 2021)] as the “crossover” point which is defined as “the power output at which energy from carbohydrates-derived fuels predominates over energy from lipids, with further increases in power eliciting a relative increment in carbohydrate utilization and a decrement in lipid oxidation” (). The proposed explanations for this phenomenon are the following: “2. Lipid is the major fuel (approximately 60%) for non-contracting muscle and the body at rest. 3. Energy flux, as determined by exercise intensity, is the major factor determining the balance of substrate oxidation during exercise. Thus, moderate and greater exercise intensities increase contraction-induced muscle glycogenolysis and glycolysis, increase recruitment of fast-twitch muscle fibers, increase sympathetic nervous system (SNS) activity and downregulate mitochondrial fatty acid uptake. 4. Glycogen and glucose utilization scale exponentially to relative exercise power output with a greater gain in glycogen than in glucose use at high power. The relationship between free fatty acid (FFA) flux and power output is an inverted hyperbola. Consequently, at high power outputs, the role of lipid oxidation is diminished. 5. Factors such as endurance training, energy supply, as influenced by dietary manipulation, and prior exercise play secondary roles in determining the balance of substrate utilization during exercise” [(), p. 889]. In addition, “Prior endurance training results in muscular biochemical adaptations that enhance lipid oxidation as well as decrease the SNS response to given submaximal exercise stresses. These adaptations promote lipid oxidation during mild-to moderate-intensity exercise. In contrast, increases in exercise intensity are conceived to increase contraction-induced muscle glycogenolysis, alter the pattern of fiber type recruitment, and increase SNS activity” [(), p. 2253]. Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) increases carbohydrate oxidation at low exercise intensities () and elevates SNS activity (Huggett et al., 2003; Thackeray et al., 2012). According to this interpretation, the point at which this crossover from fat to carbohydrate oxidation occurs with increasing intensity is relatively fixed so that “factors such as endurance training, energy supply as influenced by dietary manipulation, and prior exercise play secondary role in determining the balance of substrate oxidation during exercise” [(), p.889].
FIGURE 1
The crossover concept (
FIGURE 2

According to the crossover concept, rates of fat oxidation initially increase during exercise of low to moderate intensity reaching a maximal rate of fat oxidation (MFO) at between 60%–65%VO2max (FATMAX) before falling steeply as the exercise intensity increases further. The model predicts that the rate of fat oxidation reaches zero at exercise intensities greater than 85%VO2max. Redrawn from reference (
Low-carbohydrate high-fat diets and the crossover point
Substrate oxidation
In 2016 Volek et al. (Volek et al., 2016) reported much higher rates of fat oxidation in ultramarathon runners chronically adapted to an LCHF diet. Peak rates of fat oxidation were significantly higher in these runners than in a control group who followed the traditional high-carbohydrate low-fat (HCLF) diet but were otherwise matched for athletic caliber and VO2max [1.6 g/min vs. 0.7 g/min; Figure 2 in ref (Volek et al., 2016)]. Peak rates of fat oxidation also occurred at a higher %VO2max in the ultramarathoners eating the LCHF diet [70% vs. 55%; Figure 2 in reference (Volek et al., 2016)]. A reasonable conclusion might be that the higher rates of fat oxidation in ultramarathoners habituated to the LCHF diet is likely due to whole-body metabolic adaptions (Kolodziej and O'Halloran, 2021;
Other studies have since reported higher rates of fat oxidation during exercise of moderate to high intensity in athletes adapted over shorter durations to the LCHF diet—1.22 g/min at 71%VO2max (
Since Prins et al. (2019) performed VO2max tests in their subjects when eating either the LCHF or HCLF diets for 6 weeks, they were able to study the effects of this dietary change on the crossover point during progressive exercise to exhaustion [(Prins et al., 2023b); Figure 3]. Interestingly, Figure 3 (left panel) shows that when eating the HCLF diet subjects did not show a definitive crossover point. Instead, they derived more than 50% of their energy from carbohydrate oxidation at all exercise intensities. Peak rates of fat oxidation (0.53 g/min) were achieved at 60%VO2max after which values fell progressively, reaching close to zero (0.09 g/min) at 100%VO2max. In contrast, when following the LCHF diet, subjects generated 50% or more of their energy requirements from fat even at exercise intensities up to 90%VO2max, reaching the crossover point at ∼85%VO2max (Figure 3; right panel). When subjects ate the LCHF diet, they showed progressive, exponential changes in carbohydrate oxidation with increasing exercise intensity as predicted in Figure 1. Figure 4 includes the data for peak rates of fat oxidation measured in that study (Prins et al., 2023b) as well as data from Achten and Jeukendrup (
FIGURE 3

Relative contribution (%) of carbohydrate and fat to energy expenditure during exercise across a range of intensities in response to consuming a HCLF (left panel) or LCHF (right panel) diet for 6 weeks. Left panel; energy expenditure on HCLF diet; Right panel; energy expenditure on LCHF diet, n = 7. Data: Mean ± SD. *p < 0.05, **p < 0.01, ***p < 0.001, significant difference between LCHF and HCLF. This is reproduced from reference (Prins et al., 2023b). The orange box in the left panel indicates high rates of carbohydrate oxidation at low exercise intensities with no obvious crossover point when following the HCLF diet. In contrast rates of carbohydrate oxidation are low when following the LCHF diet (orange box in right panel) and there is a clear crossover point at about 85%VO2max (arrow). Redrawn from reference (Prins et al., 2023b).
FIGURE 4

Changes in rates of fat oxidation with increasing exercise intensity (%VO2max) in three different studies (
These data from two separate research groups therefore unequivocally disprove the popular concept that human athletes are unable to extract any meaningful degree of energy from fat oxidation during exercise at intensities >85%VO2max (Figure 2) (
FIGURE 5

Distribution of Respiratory Exchange Ratios (RER) at rest in 61 subjects in the study of Goedecke et al. (
FIGURE 6

The publication of Kolodziej and O’Halloran (Kolodziej and O’Halloran, 2021) includes this figure which differs substantially from the more usual graph shown in Figure 1. Note that the rate of carbohydrate oxidation of ∼30%–40% at rest and during low-intensity exercise is substantially higher than values in Figure 1. Also, the crossover point occurs at less than 40%VO2max. Reproduced from (Kolodziej and O’Halloran, 2021).
These findings identify a crucial paradox: If the key (obligatory) role of carbohydrate oxidation during exercise is to provide the energy required for high-intensity exercise (>75%VO2max) (
Fat oxidation, mitochondria and insulin
The most recent publication of Prins et al. (2023a) provides more evidence of these paradoxical findings. They studied a group of highly trained recreationally competitive athletes who completed a 1609 m time trial (TT) and subsequently a high-intensity interval running session (6 × 800 m) on a laboratory treadmill following 4 weeks/31 days of adaptation to both the HCLF and LCHF diets. Unexpectedly, subjects exercising at >85%VO2max during the 6 × 800 m repetitions when adapted to the LCHF diet achieved the highest average rates of fat oxidation yet measured in humans: peak fat oxidation rates measured at 86.40% ± 6.24% VO2max were 1.58 ± 0.33 g/min with 30% of subjects achieving values > 1.85 g/min. Since these athletes were not of Olympic ability but were well-trained middle-aged athletes, this suggests that a key driver of oxidating so much fat and extending the crossover point to ∼85%VO2max is probably not superior athletic ability. Although training-induced increases in physical fitness levels are known to lower blood insulin concentrations and increase insulin action in various populations (
Glycogen content
Additionally findings from Prins et al., (Prins et al., 2023a), demonstrated that performance during the 1609 mTT was unaffected by the LCHF diet. However, whilst the glycogen content of the leg muscles of recreational athletes eating the LCHF diet may be reduced (Phinney et al., 1983; Webster et al., 2016), they are not zero. Thus, one possible explanation for this unexpected finding could be that recreational athletes eating the LCHF diet still have sufficient muscle glycogen to power one maximal effort lasting ∼6 min. To examine this possibility, the authors included another exercise test involving 6 × 800 m interval running repetitions on a treadmill. This form of repetitive high-intensity exercise rapidly depletes muscle glycogen stores (Impey et al., 2020). Therefore, according to the prevailing hypothesis of an obligatory role for muscle glycogen use during high-intensity exercise (Noakes, 2022), when subjects followed the LCHF diet, muscle glycogen depletion would prematurely limit their exercise performance in the latter stages of the interval session. But the key finding was that exercise performance during the 6 × 800 m repetitions was unaffected by the LCHF diet (LCHF: 1236.1 ± 69.2 s; HCLF: 1254.0 ± 101.2 s). This suggests that despite a predicted greater muscle glycogen depletion following the LCHF diet, athletes performed equally well on either diet. These findings are also in line with recent reviews which show equivalent exercise performance across a range of athletic contexts in subjects when they followed either the LCHF (<50 g carbohydrates/day) or the HCLF diets (McSwiney et al., 2019; Murphy et al., 2021; Noakes, 2022). However, some data suggests that low muscle glycogen may not universally impede high-intensity performance (Vigh-Larsen et al., 2021). However, this appears to be governed by duration of high-intensity exercise and its resulting impact on muscle glycogen content. As an example, one study demonstrated that reduced muscle glycogen content following 3 min of high-intensity exercise did not impede performance (
Glucose homeostasis in athletes
Dysglycemia
As different diets can produce markedly different metabolic effects, they may also have important impacts on acute- and/or long-term health for athletes. Maffetone and Laursen described the fit but unhealthy athlete in 2015, citing modern-day highly processed, high glycemic diets as a contributing factor (Maffetone and Laursen, 2015). Another unexpected finding from Prins et al. was that 30% (3 of 10) of athletes showed evidence of pre-diabetic blood glucose (100–125 mg/dL) values while eating their usual HCLF diet (Prins et al., 2023a), consistent with pre-diabetes interstitial glucose values using analogous technology (Yost et al., 2020); this phenotype disappeared when they ate a LCHF diet. Importantly, these pre-diabetic glucose values could not be explained by underlying demographics, body composition or physical activity differences as pre-diabetic subjects had near equivalent age (pre-diabetic: 41.7 years/o; cohort: 39.3 years/o), running experience (pre-diabetic: 8.7 years; cohort: 9.7 years), body weight (pre-diabetic: 84.0 kg; cohort: 86.7 kg), BMI (pre-diabetic: 25.4 kg/m2; cohort: 26.2 kg/m2), body fat percentage (pre-diabetic: 14.8%; cohort: 15.7%) and VO2max (pre-diabetic: 61.0 mL/kg/min; cohort: 58.7 mL/kg/min) when compared to the entire cohort (Prins et al., 2023a). Figure 7 demonstrate 24-hour multiday glycemic averages captured across five studies [(Thomas et al., 2016;
FIGURE 7

Multiday averages of minute-by-minute continual glucose monitoring from 73 athletes of different fitness calibers are presented across 5 different studies (Thomas et al., 2016;
Potential limitations of these assessments include acute exercise-induce hyperglycemia, intensified training mitochondrial dysfunction, method of capture, differences between fasting, post-prandial and 24-hour glucose, and glycemic bias (improvements) from continuous glucose monitoring devices. Acute exercise training (Ishihara et al., 2020; Prins et al., 2023a) has been demonstrated to elevate glucose values during exercise. Multiweek intensified training has also been demonstrated to induce short-term mitochondrial and glycemic dysfunction (
In line with these observation in athletes engaging in regular exercise,
Dysglycemia, mitochondria and insulin
Mitochondrial and insulin biology may partially, or completely, explain these observations (Thomas et al., 2016;
Conclusion
In summary, the evidence presented here shows that when adapted to the LCHF diet athletes burn more fat at much higher exercise intensities than is predicted by the crossover concept, and athletes burn more carbohydrates during low-intensity exercise than is allowed by the crossover concept which theorizes that carbohydrate contribution to energy production at low exercise intensities is very low since carbohydrate is the obligatory fuel for high-intensity exercise. Of note, recent findings also suggest that LCHF is not an inherently inferior nutritional approach for physical performance and LCHF diets may have important health implications, particularly improved glycemic control, even for athletes engaging in regular exercise. The diet-induced shift in the crossover point produced by the LCHF diet may be explained by the dietary-induced changes on mitochondrial function, lower blood insulin concentrations and the resulting biochemical changes which allow augmented adipose tissue lipolysis and whole-body rates of fat oxidation across a wide range of exercise intensities without marked decrement in performance. The crossover curve cannot explain the high carbohydrate oxidation at low exercise intensities since that curve predicts very low or minimal carbohydrate contribution to fuel oxidation during low-intensity exercise. But we and others have observed substantial amounts of carbohydrate oxidation at rest (Figure 5) and during low-intensity exercise (Figure 3; left panel). This requires a different explanation and should encourage a reconsideration of the true biological basis for the crossover curve.
In his 1971 Banting Memorial Lecture entitled Physiology of Insulin in Man, George Cahill wrote: “The Rules of the game. Mammals and particularly man, appear to abide by several general metabolic guidelines relating to fuel homeostasis. These rules, for those so interested, provide fertile ground for teleologic speculation since they have or must have had major survival value. One of these is to maintain glucose levels within very narrow limits, returning the level rapidly to the norm if perturbed in either direction” [(
Statements
Author contributions
TN developed the first draft. TN and AK wrote sections of the manuscript. All authors contributed to the manuscript revision, read, and approved the submitted version.
Acknowledgments
The authors thank Levels, Inc. for providing continuous glucose monitors and software for data capture and subject support for both PP and AK unpublished work and prior work (Prins et al., 2023a). The authors thank Mikael Flockhart and Filip Larsen for providing data from their prior CGM analysis (
Conflict of interest
TN and JV are authors of low-carbohydrate nutrition books. TN book royalties go to The TN Foundation which contributes to the Eat Better South Africa Campaign. JV receives royalties from book sales; is a founder, and has equity in, Virta Health; and is a science advisor for Simply Good Foods and CookKeto. DD is an inventor of patents on the use of exogenous ketones, advisor for Levels Health, Readout Health, and co-owner of Ketone Technologies LLC, which does consulting and public speaking events. AK is a patent inventor and has consulted for Simply Good Foods.
The remaining author declares that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
Publisher’s note
All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.
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Summary
Keywords
low carbohydrate, ketogenic diet (KD), crossover concept, exercise, fat, oxidation, prediabetes, continuous glucose monitor (CGM)
Citation
Noakes TD, Prins PJ, Volek JS, D’Agostino DP and Koutnik AP (2023) Low carbohydrate high fat ketogenic diets on the exercise crossover point and glucose homeostasis. Front. Physiol. 14:1150265. doi: 10.3389/fphys.2023.1150265
Received
23 January 2023
Accepted
17 March 2023
Published
28 March 2023
Volume
14 - 2023
Edited by
Jørgen Jensen, Norwegian School of Sport Sciences, Norway
Reviewed by
Daniel James Plews, AUT University, New Zealand
Todd Anthony Astorino, California State University San Marcos, United States
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Copyright
© 2023 Noakes, Prins, Volek, D’Agostino and Koutnik.
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
*Correspondence: A. P. Koutnik, akoutnik@ihmc.org
This article was submitted to Metabolic Physiology, a section of the journal Frontiers in Physiology
Disclaimer
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