ORIGINAL RESEARCH article
Front. Water
Sec. Water and Critical Zone
Volume 7 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/frwa.2025.1638541
This article is part of the Research TopicUtilizing Well-Instrumented Critical Zone Sites: Infrastructure, Data Integration, and Advancements in Earth System ResearchView all 3 articles
The scale of influence: how different drivers determine CO2 production at event, daily, and seasonal scales
Provisionally accepted- 1University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, United States
- 2University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign Prairie Research Institute, Champaign, United States
- 3University of Nebraska Omaha, Omaha, United States
- 4Purdue University, West Lafayette, United States
- 5Northwestern University, Evanston, United States
- 6The University of Oklahoma, Norman, United States
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Soil carbon is the largest active terrestrial reservoir in the carbon cycle, and potential feedbacks involving soil carbon play an important role in future climate change. Understanding how combinations of factors, such as vegetation, temperature, and soil moisture, affect soil carbon dioxide (CO2) production in various environments across sub-daily to seasonal timescales is essential to accurately predict climate impacts on the carbon cycle. However, in-situ high resolution data are rare and often measure surface fluxes instead of deeper soil fluxes. Here we present a quantitative accounting of factors governing CO2 production in agricultural and prairie soils, using high-resolution monitoring of below-ground soil CO2 concentrations and estimates of soil respiration fluxes. Across sites, we find that Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) tends to predict soil CO2 concentration and production more effectively than soil temperature at daily timescales. At the time scale of a rain event, rain frequently leads to rapid drops in CO2 concentration due to soil CO2 abiotically equilibrating with rain water followed by prolonged increases in inferred CO2 production. This pattern was only visible due to the high resolution of the soil CO2 concentration data. We also found that prairie soils, which host a greater diversity of plant species, have a higher rate of CO2 production than agricultural soils under comparable climate drivers. Finally, we examine how the temporal resolution of soil CO2 data affects the magnitude of environmental correlations. These findings highlight that seasonal environmental and vegetation conditions strongly influence local soil CO2 responses.
Keywords: soil CO2, soil carbon, agricultural soils, Prairie soils, critical Zone
Received: 30 May 2025; Accepted: 03 Oct 2025.
Copyright: © 2025 Saccardi, Dere, Goodwell, Druhan, Welp, Blair, Bauer, Haken, Jimenez-Castaneda, Filley and Kumar. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
* Correspondence: Brian Saccardi, ddbbssbrian@gmail.com
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