Your new experience awaits. Try the new design now and help us make it even better

ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Med., 24 November 2025

Sec. Intensive Care Medicine and Anesthesiology

Volume 12 - 2025 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fmed.2025.1651531

This article is part of the Research TopicExtracorporeal Organ Support: Innovations and Challenges in Critical CareView all 13 articles

Prognostic accuracy of oxygen debt for mortality in patients undergoing venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation therapy: a retrospective cohort study

  • 1Extracorporeal Life Support Unit, Department of Critical Care Medicine, Fundación Clínica Shaio, Bogotá, Colombia
  • 2Critical Medicine and Intensive Care, Msc Mechanical Ventilation and Respiratory Support, Department of Investigation, Fundación Clínica Shaio, Bogotá, Colombia
  • 3Facultad de Medicina, Doctorado en Ciencias Clínicas, Universidad de La Sabana, Chía, Cundinamarca, Colombia
  • 4School of Medicine, Universidad de La Sabana, Chía, Cundinamarca, Colombia
  • 5Department of Medicine, Critical Care Resident, Universidad de La Sabana, Chía, Cundinamarca, Colombia
  • 6Clinical Cardiology, Intensive Care Department, Fundación Clínica Shaio, Bogotá, Colombia

Background: Cardiogenic shock is associated with high mortality. Prognostic scales, such as Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II), and Survival After Venoarterial ECMO (SAVE), have been used to estimate mortality risk or survival probability. However, their performance remains limited in the context of Venoarterial Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation (VA-ECMO) therapy. This study aimed to validate oxygen debt (DEOx) as a predictor of 28-day mortality in critically ill patients receiving VA-ECMO and to compare its prognostic accuracy with that of the SAVE, SOFA, and APACHE II scores.

Methods: This retrospective cohort study included patients with cardiogenic shock admitted to the intensive care unit. All patients were prescribed VA-ECMO therapy in accordance with criteria by the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization. Upon initiation of ECMO, the APACHE II, SOFA, and SAVE scores, calculated 6 h prior to cannulation, and the DEOx score were compared for their predictive ability for 28-day mortality.

Results: A total of 157 patients were included, with a mortality of 40% (63/157). Of these, 56.7% (89/157) were male. Mean DEOx was 11.4 mL O₂/kg. Mean age was 46.6 years (standard deviation 13.8). In multivariate analysis, variables independently associated with 28-day mortality included DEOx (odds ratio [OR]: 1.04; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01–1.06; p = 0.001), pre-ECMO infection (OR: 2.86; 95% CI: 1.20–6.80; p = 0.018), hypertension (OR: 2.66; 95% CI: 1.22–5.78; p = 0.014), and APACHE II (OR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.01–1.16; p = 0.018). Area under the curve (AUC) analysis revealed weak discrimination and similar performance regarding the primary outcome. DEOx showed the highest discrimination (AUC 0.663, 95% CI 0.49–0.77), followed by SAVE transformed to mortality (0.625), APACHE II (0.611), and SOFA (0.595).

Conclusion: In adults receiving VA-ECMO for refractory cardiogenic shock, DEOx measured 6 h before ECMO cannulation showed modest discrimination for 28-day mortality and higher specificity than SOFA and SAVE at pre-specified thresholds. These findings support DEOx as a potential complementary early risk indicator; however, we did not evaluate integrated models with existing scores. Prospective, multicentre studies should evaluate whether adding DEOx to APACHE II/SOFA/SAVE improves prognostic performance and supports earlier intervention.

Introduction

The management of critically ill patients in an intensive care unit (ICU) focuses on ensuring adequate oxygen delivery (DO₂) to maintain a balance between oxygen delivery and consumption (VO₂). Failure to sustain this balance leads to oxygen debt (DEOx), which reflects a shift from aerobic to anaerobic metabolism and is associated with organ dysfunction and increased mortality (1, 2). Although its definition may vary, DEOx is commonly understood as the difference between expected and measured VO₂ during states of shock, representing the amount of oxygen not delivered due critically reduced DO₂ (3). Despite its strong pathophysiological basis, its clinical application remains limited. However, it offers an objective measurement that is independent of variables such as age, body surface area, or temperature, and it can be calculated using base excess (BE) and lactate levels obtained through arterial blood gas analysis (1, 4). Numerous studies have linked these parameters to adverse outcomes in conditions such as hemorrhagic shock, postoperative states, and, more recently, severe SARS-CoV-2 infection (3, 59).

Cardiogenic shock is a critical condition characterized by impaired DO₂ secondary to myocardial dysfunction. The estimated incidence of 408 cases per 100,000 individuals and mortality rate of approximately 37%, even with the use of circulatory support strategies (1012). Venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO), as recommended by the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization (ELSO®), is employed in patients with refractory cardiogenic shock as a bridge to decision-making, recovery, heart transplantation, or the use of ventricular assist devices (1012) according to the Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions (SCAI), mechanical support is required in 30% of patients classified as stage D or E, with mortality rates ranging from 68 to 77%, respectively. Survival in patients with VA-ECMO ranges from 29 to 63.1%, and early initiation remains a significant clinical challenge (1216).

Several prognostic tools are currently available for assessing multiorgan dysfunction syndrome, including the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) (17), the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II), and Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II) (18, 19). In addition, the Survival After Venoarterial ECMO (SAVE) score can predict in-hospital survival in patients with VA-ECMO support (20). However, each of these tools has intrinsic limitations, such as overestimating the risk in patients with multiple comorbidities or advanced age, underestimation in those with extracorporeal support, and relying on laboratory data that may not be immediately available upon ICU admission (21, 22). Furthermore, none of these scoring systems incorporates the variables used to calculate DEOx, suggesting that DEOx may provide complementary prognostic information.

Although interest in the prognostic role of DEOx is increasing, no studies to date have evaluated its predictive value in patients receiving VA-ECMO support. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the performance of DEOx—using an indirect quantitative calculation—as a predictor of 28-day mortality in ICU patients undergoing VA-ECMO therapy, and to compare its prognostic utility against the SAVE, SOFA, and APACHE II scores.

Materials and methods

Study type

This retrospective cohort study included patients admitted to ICU with a diagnosis of cardiogenic shock SCAI D and E (14, 23) of our facility with indications for VA-ECMO support as ascertained using the ELSO® criteria (12). The participant sample was drawn from patients meeting the study criteria who were treated at the Fundación Clínica Shaio in Bogotá DC, Colombia, between 8th August, 2019 and 31st October, 2024.

Study population

Subjects aged ≥18 years with a diagnosis of cardiogenic shock according to Ponikowski et al. and indications for VA-ECMO therapy based on the ELSO® criteria were determined (12, 23). To minimize transcription bias from the clinical records, the data were reviewed by at least two different evaluators and verified at the time of transcription. Each investigator provided a personal username and password and entered the data into a specifically designed online data acquisition system. Subjects with complete clinical information in the REDCap (24) information system during the entire period of care and for whom SAVE (20), APACHE II (19), SOFA (17) and DEOx scores (1, 25) could be calculated were included. Mortality data were extracted from notifications in death records and data provided in the medical history. Patients who died within the first 6 h of VA-ECMO admission, those with unreliable arterial or venous blood gas data, terminal chronic liver or kidney failure upon admission, status epilepticus, salicylate or alcohol intoxication, diabetic ketoacidosis, pediatric populations, and pregnant women were excluded, as were patients cannulated in VV mode or those requiring a change to VAV mode.

Study variables

Data were abstracted from admission and progress notes in the electronic medical record by ICU-trained physicians following a previously standardized protocol, and included sociodemographic characteristics, comorbidities (Charlson Index) (26), admission clinical variables, laboratory and blood gas results and APACHE II (19), SOFA (17) and SAVE (20) scores. The scores were calculated 6 h before VA-ECMO cannulation, using the worst recorded physiological values available at that time. Specifically: (1) SOFA followed the original six-organ system described by Vincent et al. (17) (respiratory, coagulation, liver, cardiovascular, central nervous system, and renal domains; PaO₂/FiO₂, platelets, bilirubin, vasopressor/MAP criteria, GCS, and creatinine/urine output); (2) APACHE II followed Knaus et al. (19), comprising 12 acute physiologic variables, age, and chronic health points; and (3) SAVE followed Schmidt et al. (20) (Survival After Veno-Arterial ECMO score; integer point system per original coefficients). Full item lists, thresholds, and scoring ranges for each system, along with the DEOx calculation (DEOx = 6.322 × lactate − 2.311 × base excess − 9.013), are provided in Supplementary Table S3.

The data used for analyses and score computation, including arterial blood gas (ABG) measurements (pH, PaO₂, and PaCO₂), lactate, and base excess (BE), were abstracted from the 6 h prior to VA-ECMO cannulation. When multiple measurements were available within this window, we used the worst value for analysis (peak lactate, most negative BE, lowest PaO₂/FiO₂, highest PaCO₂). Patients without at least one ABG in this window were excluded from analyses that required these variables.

We also recorded ICU length of stay, days on VA-ECMO, and days of invasive mechanical ventilation and vasopressor support. All abstractions were reviewed by the research team to ensure that inclusion criteria were met and to prevent inconsistencies or scoring errors.

This report adheres to the STROBE statement for cohort studies; the completed STROBE checklist is provided as Supplementary Checklist S1.

Sample size

The sample size required was calculated using the equation proposed by Obuchowski (27) for determining the confidence intervals (CIs) in diagnostic tests, along with the validity data from the original studies of SOFA (17), APACHE II (19) and SAVE (20), which report sensitivities between 65 and 92% and specificities between 62 and 90% for predicting mortality outcomes. For a 95% CI, 90% power, mortality proportion of 40%, alpha error of 0.05 and precision of 10% with Yates correction. This resulted in a minimum requirement of 135 participants.

Statistical analysis

Quantitative variables were summarized as mean ± standard deviation (SD) when approximately normally distributed and as median (interquartile range, IQR) when skewed or non-normal; categorical variables as counts (percentages). Distributional assumptions were evaluated using Shapiro–Wilk tests and Q–Q plots. All tests were two-sided with α = 0.05. A bivariate analysis compared survivors and non-survivors at 28 days. Quantitative variables were compared using Student’s t-test or the Mann–Whitney U test for variables with normal or skewed distributions, respectively. Qualitative variables were compared using the chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test as appropriate.

We performed a multivariable logistic regression of 28-day mortality, excluding subjects with missing data. Variables with p-values <0.20 in the bivariate analysis and those judged biologically plausible were considered (28). The strength of the correlation between each variable and the proposed outcomes was estimated as an odds ratio (OR) and adjusted OR using a logistic regression model.

In multivariable logistic regression, DEOx, APACHE II, SOFA, and SAVE were entered as continuous variables and standardized (z-scores); ORs reflect the change in odds of 28-day mortality per 1 SD increase. Linearity with the log-odds was evaluated using restricted cubic splines (3 knots) and the Box–Tidwell approach; no material non-linearities were detected.

Sensitivity analyses. For clinical interpretability, we also evaluated pre-specified binary thresholds (DEOx ≥3.78 mL O₂/kg; SOFA ≥6; APACHE II ≥ 12; SAVE <−2 after transforming survival to mortality). Physiologic and ABG variables were analyzed using the 24 h post-cannulation window defined in Study variables.

Using the scores obtained from APACHE II, SOFA, SAVE and DEOx corrected for different confounding variables, we calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (LR+) and negative likelihood ratio (LR−), along with the areas under the curve (AUCs) and 95% CIs, at the pre-specified thresholds as detailed in the methods (DEOx 3.78 mL O₂/kg anchored to human cohorts; SOFA, APACHE II, and SAVE per their original descriptions/validations). AUROCs were compared with the DeLong test (Bonferroni-adjusted). Analyses were performed in Stata 17.0 (StataCorp, College Station, TX, United States).

Discrimination was compared using AUROC (primary, threshold-independent). For DEOx, because no VA-ECMO–specific cut-off is standardized, we pre-specified a threshold of 3.78 mL O₂/kg, anchored to human cohorts in severe COVID-19 that linked higher oxygen debt with worse outcomes (3, 9). For comparator scores, thresholds were pre-specified from the literature: SOFA [17; VA-ECMO validation (29)], APACHE II (19), and SAVE (20; survival transformed to mortality and anchored to original risk classes). Full item definitions and sources are summarized in Supplementary Table S3.

Cut-off points used for descriptive operating characteristics in Table 1 followed the thresholds reported or implied by the original studies (APACHE II ≥ 12; SOFA ≥6; SAVE <−2 when transformed from survival to mortality) and are detailed in Supplementary Table S3.

Table 1
www.frontiersin.org

Table 1. Patients’ baseline characteristics.

Results

A total of 420 patients were admitted to the ICU for ECMO therapy during the study period, of which 263 patients did not meet the inclusion criteria, leaving 157 subjects for the final analysis, where 63/157 (40%) died, showing an average DEOx value of 11.4 mL O2/kg. Figure 1 illustrates the flow of subjects into the study.

Figure 1
Flowchart detailing patient selection for a VA-ECMO study. From 420 ECMO admissions, 263 were included, with exclusions for timing, ECMO type, and incomplete data. For the VA-ECMO study, 157 were chosen, with 63 reporting mortality (DEOx 23.6 mLO2/kg, SAVE score 0) and 94 surviving (DEOx 4.3 mLO2/kg, SAVE score 1).

Figure 1. Study subject admission flowchart.

Study population characteristics

The mean age of the patients was 46.6 years (SD: 13.8), with 56.7% (89/157) being male. Time from admission to ECMO initiation: 1.7 days (IQR 1.1–2.3); duration of mechanical ventilation: 11.9 days (IQR 10.2–13.6) and left ventricle ejection fraction 33.4% (IQR: 29.2–37.6). The most prevalent comorbidities were arterial hypertension (21.6%), diabetes mellitus (15.3%) and valvulopathy (15.3%). A significant relationship was found between mortality and ICU length, infection before ECMO and hypertension. Table 2 summarizes the baseline characteristics of the population and their relationship with mortality. Unless otherwise specified, quantitative variables are presented as mean ± SD (normal distributions) or median (IQR) (skewed distributions).

Table 2
www.frontiersin.org

Table 2. Pre-ECMO cardiovascular conditions.

Regarding pre-cannulation cardiovascular conditions, no statistically significant differences were found between patients who survived and those who died. Although cardiac arrest before ECMO and cardiopulmonary bypass use before ECMO were slightly more frequent in non-survivors, these differences did not reach statistical significance. Similarly, the use of vasoactive/inotropic support was high, with no relevant differences between groups. Norepinephrine was the most frequently used drug (94.9%), followed by vasopressin (83.4%) and adrenaline (31.2%), with no significant differences in administered doses. Table 3 summarizes the pre-cannulation cardiovascular conditions, and the Supplementary Tables S1, S2 describes the causes of cardiogenic shock and those related to surgical events.

Table 3
www.frontiersin.org

Table 3. Additional characteristics related to VA-ECMO use.

The prognostic scores showed statistically significant differences between patients who died and those who survived for APACHE II, SAVE score and DEOx. Additionally, red blood cell (RBC) transfusions were significantly more frequent in non-survivors (84.1% vs. 68.1% in survivors, p = 0.024), the use of fresh frozen plasma was higher among patients who died (65.1% vs. 45.7%, p = 0.017) and heparin use was significantly higher among survivors (67.1%) than among non-survivors (47.6%) (p = 0.015). Table 4 summarizes the additional clinical conditions associated with mortality.

Table 4
www.frontiersin.org

Table 4. Factors associated with mortality in VA-ECMO.

Multivariate analysis

DEOx demonstrated a statistically significant association as an independent variable for 28-day mortality. The variables with the highest OR were infection before ECMO with an OR of 2.86 (95% CI: 1.20–6.80; p = 0.018), hypertension with an OR of 2.66 (95% CI: 1.22–5.78; p = 0.014), APACHE II score with an OR of 1.08 (95% CI: 1.01–1.16; p = 0.018) and DEOx with an OR of 1.04 (95% CI: 1.01–1.06, p = 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, the variables independently associated with the studied outcomes are presented in Tables 5, 6.

Table 5
www.frontiersin.org

Table 5. Factors associated with 28-day mortality in VA-ECMO (multivariable logistic regression; predictors entered as standardized z-scores).

Table 6
www.frontiersin.org

Table 6. Prediction of mortality by prognostic scores for VA-ECMO.

28-day mortality performance of APACHE II, SOFA, SAVE, and DEOx

For 28-day mortality, the AUROC values were 0.663 for DEOx (95% CI 0.49–0.77), 0.611 for APACHE II (95% CI 0.51–0.71), 0.595 for SOFA (95% CI 0.49–0.69), and 0.625 for SAVE after reversing its orientation from survival to mortality calculated as 1-survival (untransformed AUROC for survival 0.375, 95% CI 0.27–0.47). Pairwise DeLong comparisons showed overall differences across curves (p < 0.001; Bonferroni-adjusted p < 0.001). AUROC estimates for all four tools are summarized in Table 1 and displayed in Figure 2.

Figure 2
ROC curve illustrating the performance of four scoring systems: DEOx (AUROC 0.663, blue), SAVE (AUROC 0.375, red), APACHE II (AUROC 0.611, grey), and SOFA (AUROC 0.596, yellow) compared to the reference line (black). Sensitivity is plotted against 1-Specificity. P-value is less than 0.001 with Bonferroni Adjustment.

Figure 2. DEOx vs. 28-day mortality in VA-ECMO.

At the pre-specified cut-offs, SAVE had the highest sensitivity (75.4%; cut-off < −2), whereas DEOx provided the highest specificity (56.3% at 3.78 mL O₂/kg). Operating characteristics for DEOx in Table 1 were computed at the pre-specified threshold of 3.78 mL O₂/kg (anchored to human cohorts), while thresholds for SOFA, APACHE II, and SAVE were pre-specified from their original descriptions/validations. Threshold-based operating characteristics (sensitivity, specificity, LR+, LR−) for each score are reported in Table 1; for item-level composition and operational definitions of each score (see Supplementary Table S3).

Discussion

This study is the first to evaluate DEOx as a predictor of 28-day mortality among patients undergoing VA-ECMO support. Although the predictive capacity of DEOx as a single variable was limited, it outperformed the SOFA score and was comparable to established tools such as APACHE II and SAVE, all of which were calculated 6 h prior to ECMO cannulation, with higher specificity for mortality prediction. Several reports have described higher AUROC values for the SAVE (20), SOFA (29), and APACHE II scores (30) —frequently exceeding 0.8—when predicting mortality in VA-ECMO patients. In contrast, all scores in our study exhibited lower discrimination. This discrepancy may be attributed to differences in patient characteristics and timing of score assessment. In our cohort, pre-ECMO infection was present in 16.6% of patients and hypertension in 21.6%, both independently associated with increased mortality. To assess a pre-cannulation state, all scores were calculated 6 h prior to ECMO cannulation, a period that still reflects the patient’s condition before the pronounced hemodynamic and metabolic instability of the initial post-cannulation phase (20, 29). Finally, as a single-center retrospective study, site-specific practices, including center volume, may have influenced observed performance (31, 32). These considerations underscore the need to contextualize prognostic score performance and support the complementary value of DEOx, particularly for early (<24 h) risk stratification. A modified version of the SAVE score, proposed by Santore et al. (59) integrates pre-ECMO lactate and bicarbonate values to improve predictive accuracy for in-hospital mortality. Although not included in our comparative analysis due to limited access to the exact scoring algorithm, this approach conceptually supports the inclusion of metabolic parameters, such as those used in the DEOx calculation as prognostic indicators. Given that DEOx incorporates both lactate and base excess, our findings align with the physiological rationale underpinning this modified score. Future studies should compare DEOx directly against this and other metabolically enriched prognostic models to assess incremental predictive value (59).

In our cohort, discrimination for 28-day mortality was modest across all four tools—AUROC 0.663 for DEOx (95% CI 0.49–0.77), 0.611 for APACHE II (95% CI 0.51–0.71), 0.595 for SOFA (95% CI 0.49–0.69), and 0.625 for SAVE after transforming survival to mortality; pairwise comparison with the DeLong test (Bonferroni-adjusted) indicated overall differences across curves (p < 0.001). Operating characteristics diverged: DEOx provided the highest specificity (56.3%) and the most favorable LR + 1.48 and LR − 0.63, whereas SAVE yielded the highest sensitivity (75.4%) but very low specificity (20.2%) and suboptimal likelihood ratios at the predefined threshold; SOFA and APACHE II showed intermediate, more balanced profiles. These operating points correspond to the values reported in Table 1. These findings are consistent with the constructs each score captures: DEOx reflects early metabolic debt (lactate and base excess), SOFA concurrent organ dysfunction, APACHE II acute physiologic derangement plus chronic health status, and SAVE modeled survival probability (transformed here to mortality). All scores were calculated within the first 24 h post-cannulation, a phase of hemodynamic instability that may attenuate discrimination relative to later assessments. Clinically, this pattern supports a complementary strategy: DEOx as a rule-in aid for high-risk identification, with APACHE II/SOFA providing broader physiologic context, and SAVE offering sensitivity but limited specificity; thus, DEOx should complement rather than replace established scores.

Perez-Garzon et al. (3) reported a difference of 3.37 mL O2/kg DEOx between survivors and non-survivors in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection, suggesting that higher DEOx values suggest a higher risk of mortality, while in our cohort this difference was higher, reaching 19.3 mL O2/kg. Similarly, in human cohorts with severe COVID-19, DEOx values around 3.78 mL O₂/kg have been reported in association with metabolic derangement and worse outcomes (3, 9), processes that are central to the pathophysiology of cardiogenic shock (3335) Shoemaker et al. (6) measured DEOx in 100 high-risk post-surgical patients and found that non-survivors had a cumulative deficit of 26.8 ± 32.1 L/m2 compared with survivors (8.0 ± 10.9 L/m2). Beyond its role in mortality prediction, DEOx has been proposed as a predictor of the need for orotracheal intubation in patients treated with high-flow nasal cannulas and as a marker of acute intestinal injury in SARS-CoV-2 (8, 9). The study by Kurniawati et al. (36) found that correction of DEOx within the first 24 h after ECMO support initiation was positively correlated with survival. These findings underscore that not only the magnitude of accumulated DEOx is clinically relevant but also the capacity to rapidly restore efficient aerobic metabolism—highlighting the importance of minimizing the duration of oxygen debt to improve patient outcomes (37); in the present VA-ECMO cohort this value is considered only as a sensitivity benchmark, whereas our primary analysis relies on threshold-independent discrimination and a cohort-optimized Youden cut-off.

The prognostic value of lactate and BE have been recognized as marker of severity, clinical progression and mortality in critically ill patients (3639). In cardiogenic shock requiring mechanical circulatory support, higher admission lactate and lower 24-h lactate clearance were independently associated with increased mortality in external cohorts (40). Consistently, higher lactate at 24 h has also been linked to worse outcomes (41). By integrating lactate and BE into a single construct, DEOx may better reflect the transition to anaerobic metabolism and its impact on survival (36). In addition, Smuszkiewicz et al. (42) reported that BE <−9.5 mmol/L was associated with a four-fold increase in mortality risk (adjusted hazard ratio: 4.22; 95% CI: 2.21–8.05; p < 0.0001). Rajsic et al. (43) conducted a meta-analysis of 32 studies involving 12,756 adults on VA-ECMO, and identified infection (including sepsis and ICU-acquired pneumonia) as associated with higher in-hospital mortality (p = 0.017). Similarly, Vogel et al. (44) reported that patients with pre-ECMO bacteremia were at greater risk of infectious complications (OR: 2.12; 95% CI: 1.92–2.34; p < 0.001), contributing to worse clinical outcomes. Fernando et al. (45), in their retrospective cohort study of 15,172 patients on VA-ECMO, reported age >40 years (OR: 1.26, 95% CI: 1.08–1.47) as an independent mortality factor and Hashem et al. (46) showed in a meta-analysis of 931 patients that age >65 years predicted increased mortality (OR: 4.61, 95% CI: 1.63–13.03, p < 0.01). In a cohort of 312 patients who were weaned from support, they found that, compared to survivors, non-survivors were older (66.6 ± 14.0 vs. 58.7 ± 13.8 years; p < 0.001) and had a higher prevalence of comorbidities, including hypertension (62.5% vs. 40.2%; p = 0.005), diabetes mellitus (56.3% vs. 33.6%; p = 0.006), dyslipidaemia (41.7% vs. 18.2%, p = 0.003) and chronic kidney disease (14.5% vs. 3.7%; p < 0.001) (8). In the logistic regression analysis, systemic arterial hypertension was independently associated with in-hospital mortality (inverse association; OR: 0.40; 95% CI: 0.211–0.768; p < 0.006) (47). Similarly, Vigneshwar et al. (39) found higher in-hospital mortality in VA-ECMO patients with systemic arterial hypertension (41.6% vs. 33.4%; p = 0.02).

Regarding transfusions, Deatrick et al. (38) reported a 3% increase in mortality per unit of RBCs transfused in adults on ECMO after multivariable adjustment (OR of 1.03, 95% CI: 1.00–1.06, p = 0.04). Quin et al. (48) documented transfusion of blood products as an independent risk factor for mortality (adjusted OR: 1.09; 95% CI: 1.01–1.18; p = 0.035), and Guimbretière et al. (49) observed a mortality > 80% in patients with high transfusion requirements (≥19 units of RBCs, ≥5 units of platelets, or ≥12 units of FFP). Similarly, Li et al. (50), confirmed in a meta-analysis of 8 studies (n = 794) that higher total RBC volumes were significantly associated with increased mortality (Standardized weighted difference 0.62; 95% CI: 1.06–0.18; p = 0.006; I2 = 79.7%; p-heterogeneity = 0.001), supporting a restrictive transfusion strategy in critically ill patients without an optimal threshold, especially VA-ECMO (51, 52). Luo et al. (53) reported FFP transfusion as an independent factor for in-hospital ECMO mortality (OR 1.09, 95% CI: 1.01–1.18; p = 0.035). These findings are consistent with ours, in which a higher transfusion rate were documented in non-survivors, aligning with recommendations against prophylactic hemocomponent use (54).

The ELSO® 2022 registry reported a higher incidence of thrombotic and hemorrhagic complications in VA-ECMO compared with VV-ECMO. The rate of circuit thrombosis was 0.225 per 1,000 h of support, whereas the rate of major thrombotic events, such as cerebral infarction, was 0.208/1,000 h. Hemorrhagic complications were more frequent (0.871/1,000 h), highlighting the need for anticoagulation with strict monitoring (43). Lv et al. (55) showed in a meta-analysis (7 studies, n = 553) that low-dose unfractionated heparin (aPTT 40–60 s) was associated with a significant reduction in bleeding—especially gastrointestinal (OR 0.36, 95% CI 0.20–0.64)—and surgical-site bleeding (OR 0.43, 95% CI 0.20–0.94), without increasing thrombotic complications, ECMO withdrawal, or mortality (OR 0.81, 95% CI 0.42–1.56). Garzón-Ruiz et al. (56) reported that targeting PTT < 60 s was protective, with a 30% reduction in bleeding for PTT 50–60 s, 22% for PTT 40–50 s, and 47% for PTT ≤ 40 s, without differences in thrombotic events. These observations are consistent with our data, which showed improved survival associated with heparin use.

We did not derive or validate a composite model integrating DEOx with established scores; therefore, any potential gain from combining DEOx with APACHE II, SOFA, or SAVE remains to be tested in prospective, multicentre cohorts.

Our study has limitations inherent in its retrospective design. First, there is a risk of information bias, as the analysis depends on the quality of clinical records. However, the institution has a concurrent data-collection system staffed by clinicians trained by the research group (57). Second, being a single-center study, extrapolation of results may be limited, although internal validity is supported by the standardized methodology, data cross-verification, multiple analysis approaches, and ELSO® Gold-Center certification. Third, DEOx estimation depends on the quality and timing of arterial blood gas factors we addressed through predefined exclusion criteria and standardized timing. Moreover, we analyzed a single DEOx value without incorporating temporal trajectories, which may offer additional prognostic insight in future studies. Lastly, while DEOx was compared with validated systems such as APACHE II and SOFA, these scores also have known limitations in ECMO populations, and the lack of an external validation cohort restricts generalizability. Future multicenter prospective studies are essential to establish DEOx as a validated prognostic tool in VA-ECMO therapy.

Conclusion

The DEOx as a predictor of 28-day mortality in critically ill patients with cardiogenic shock indicated for VA-ECMO therapy was similar to APACHE II and SAVE, and superior to the SOFA scores. The correlation of DEOx with these scales may be useful for making early interventions in critically ill patients, with easy clinical applicability at the patient’s bedside. Prospective studies are needed to evaluate its usefulness for continuous monitoring and decision-making during VA-ECMO support.

Data availability statement

The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.

Ethics statement

The studies involving humans were approved by Ethics Committee of Fundación Clínica Shaio, Bogotá D. C., Colombia (Code # DIB 23-24). The studies were conducted in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements. Written informed consent for participation was not required from the participants or the participants’ legal guardians/next of kin because Informed consent was waived due to the retrospective nature of the study, in accordance with local regulations. The study followed the “Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE)” guidelines for observational cohort studies (58).

Author contributions

MP-G: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. HR-A: Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. AO-R: Formal analysis, Resources, Validation, Visualization, Writing – review & editing. AQ-A: Data curation, Formal analysis, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. CP-H: Funding acquisition, Resources, Supervision, Validation, Writing – original draft.

Funding

The author(s) declare that financial support was received for the research and/or publication of this article. The authors declare that this project was funded by Fundación Clínica Shaio, code DIB 23-24.

Acknowledgments

We would like to thank the Fundación Clínica Shaio for providing the technological resources needed to quickly gather data, and to the healthcare personnel involved in the care of ECMO-supported patients who assisted in managing these patients in our country, as well as to the researchers involved in this work.

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Generative AI statement

The authors declare that no Gen AI was used in the creation of this manuscript.

Any alternative text (alt text) provided alongside figures in this article has been generated by Frontiers with the support of artificial intelligence and reasonable efforts have been made to ensure accuracy, including review by the authors wherever possible. If you identify any issues, please contact us.

Publisher’s note

All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.

Supplementary material

The Supplementary material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed.2025.1651531/full#supplementary-material

References

1. Dunham, CM, Siegel, JH, Weireter, L, Fabian, M, Goodarzi, S, Guadalupi, P, et al. Oxygen debt and metabolic acidemia as quantitative predictors of mortality and the severity of the ischemic insult in hemorrhagic shock. Crit Care Med. (1991) 19:231–43. doi: 10.1097/00003246-199102000-00020

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

2. Siegel, JH, Fabian, M, Smith, JA, Kingston, EP, Steele, KA, and Wells, MR. Oxygen debt criteria quantify the effectiveness of early partial resuscitation after hypovolemic hemorrhagic shock. J Trauma. (2003) 52:442–50.

Google Scholar

3. Perez-Garzon, M, Poveda-Henao, C, Bastidas-Goyes, A, and Robayo-Amortegui, H. Oxygen debt as predictor of mortality and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome in severe COVID-19 patients: a retrospective study. J Intensive Care Med. (2023) 39:358–67. doi: 10.1177/08850666231208433

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

4. Rixen, D, and Siegel, JH. Bench-to-bedside review: oxygen debt and its metabolic correlates as quantifiers of the severity of hemorrhagic and posttraumatic shock. Crit Care. (2005) 9:441–53. doi: 10.1186/cc3526

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

5. Convertino, VA, Lye, KR, Koons, NJ, and Joyner, MJ. Physiological comparison of hemorrhagic shock and max: a conceptual framework for defining the limitation of oxygen delivery. Exp Biol Med. (2019) 244:637–48. doi: 10.1177/1535370219851380

Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

6. Shoemaker, WC, Appel, PL, and Kram, HB. Role of oxygen debt in the development of organ failure sepsis, and death in high-risk surgical patients. Chest. (1992) 102:208–15. doi: 10.1378/chest.102.1.208

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

7. Shoemaker, WC, Appel, PL, and Kram, HB. Tissue oxygen debt as a determinant of lethal and nonlethal postoperative organ failure. Crit Care Med. (1988) 16:1117–20. doi: 10.1097/00003246-198811000-00007

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

8. Robayo-Amortegui, H, Forero-Delgadillo, A, Pérez-Garzón, M, Poveda-Henao, C, Muñoz-Claros, C, Bayona-Solano, A, et al. Severe gastrointestinal injury associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection: thrombosis or inflammation? A retrospective case series study. Medicine. (2022) 101:1188. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000031188

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

9. Michel, PG, Claudia, PH, Andrea, RS, Maria, DA, and Henry, RA. Oxygen debt as a predictor of high-flow nasal cannula therapy failure in SARS-CoV-2 patients with acute respiratory failure: a retrospective cohort study. Heart Lung. (2024) 64:176–81. doi: 10.1016/j.hrtlng.2023.10.013

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

10. Maclaren, G, Brodie, D, Lorusso, R, Peek, G, Thiagarajan, R, and Vercaemst, L. Extracorporeal life support: the ELSO red book. 6th ed. Ann Arbor, MI: Extracorporeal Life Support Organization (2021).

Google Scholar

11. Baran, DA, Grines, CL, Bailey, S, Burkhoff, D, Hall, SA, Henry, TD, et al. SCAI clinical expert consensus statement on the classification of cardiogenic shock. Catheter Cardiovasc Interv. (2019) 94:29–37. doi: 10.1002/ccd.28329

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

12. Lorusso, R, Shekar, K, MacLaren, G, Schmidt, M, Pellegrino, V, Meyns, B, et al. ELSO interim guidelines for Venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in adult cardiac patients. ASAIO J. (2021) 67:827–44. doi: 10.1097/MAT.0000000000001510

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

13. Becher, PM, Schrage, B, Sinning, CR, Schmack, B, Fluschnik, N, Schwarzl, M, et al. Venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation for cardiopulmonary support: insights from a German registry. Circulation. (2018) 138:2298–300. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.118.036691

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

14. Naidu, SS, Baran, DA, Jentzer, JC, Hollenberg, SM, van Diepen, S, Basir, MB, et al. SCAI shock stage classification expert consensus update: a review and incorporation of validation studies. J Am Coll Cardiol. (2022) 79:933–46. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2021.12.012

Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

15. ECLS. Extracorporeal life support organization, international summary, registry report. Ann Arbor, MI: ELSO. (2019).

Google Scholar

16. Koziol, KJ, Isath, A, Rao, S, Gregory, V, Ohira, S, Van Diepen, S, et al. Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) in management of cardiogenic shock. J Clin Med. (2023) 12:5576. doi: 10.3390/jcm12175576

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

17. Vincent, JL, De Mendonça, A, Cantraine, F, Moreno, R, Takala, J, Suter, PM, et al. Use of the SOFA score to assess the incidence of organ dysfunction/failure in intensive care units: results of a multicenter, prospective study. Crit Care Med. (1998) 26:1793–800. doi: 10.1097/00003246-199811000-00016

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

18. Gall, JR, Lemeshow, S, and Saulnier, F. A new simplified acute physiology score (SAPS II) based on a European/north American multicenter study. JAMA. (1993) 270:57–63. doi: 10.1001/jama.270.24.2957

Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

19. Knaus, WA, Draper, EA, Wagner, DP, and Zimmerman, JE. APACHE II: a severity of disease classification system. Crit Care Med. (1985) 13:818–29. doi: 10.1097/00003246-198510000-00009

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

20. Schmidt, M, Burrell, A, Roberts, L, Bailey, M, Sheldrake, J, Rycus, PT, et al. Predicting survival after ECMO for refractory cardiogenic shock: the survival after veno-arterial-ECMO (SAVE)-score. Eur Heart J. (2015) 36:2246–56. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehv194

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

21. Rapsang, AG, and Shyam, DC. Scoring systems in the intensive care unit: a compendium. Indian J Crit Care Med. (2014) 18:220–8. doi: 10.4103/0972-5229.130573

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

22. Moreno, R, Rhodes, A, Piquilloud, L, Hernandez, G, Takala, J, Gershengorn, HB, et al. The sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score: has the time come for an update? Crit Care. (2023) 27:15. doi: 10.1186/s13054-022-04290-9

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

23. Ponikowski, P, Voors, AA, Anker, SD, Bueno, H, Cleland, JGF, Coats, AJS, et al. ESC guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure: the task force for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC). Developed with the special contribution of the heart failure association (HFA) of the ESC. Eur J Heart Fail. (2016) 18:891–975. doi: 10.1002/ejhf.592

Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

24. Harris, PA, Taylor, R, Thielke, R, Payne, J, Gonzalez, N, and Conde, JG. Research electronic data capture (REDCap)-a metadata-driven methodology and workflow process for providing translational research informatics support. J Biomed Inform. (2009) 42:377–81. doi: 10.1016/j.jbi.2008.08.010

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

25. Mohler, JG, and Armstrong, BW. The oxygen deficit and debt for normal and non-athletic men. Respir Physiol. (1973) 17:248–62. doi: 10.1016/0034-5687(73)90066-2

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

26. Charlson, ME, Pompei, P, Ales, KL, and MacKenzie, CR. A new method of classifying prognostic comorbidity in longitudinal studies: development and validation. J Chronic Dis. (1987) 40:373–83. doi: 10.1016/0021-9681(87)90171-8

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

27. Obuchowski, NA. Sample size calculations in studies of test accuracy. Stat Methods Med Res. (1998) 7:371–92. doi: 10.1177/096228029800700405

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

28. Kleinbaum, DGD, and Klein, M. Survival Analysis: A Self-Learning Text. 3rd ed. (Statistics for Biology and Health). New York, NY: Springer. (2011)

Google Scholar

29. Laimoud, M, and Alanazi, M. The validity of SOFA score to predict mortality in adult patients with cardiogenic shock on venoarterial ECMO. Crit Care Res Pract. (2020) 2020:3129864. doi: 10.1155/2020/3129864

Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

30. Prognostic value of APACHE II and SAVE scores in adult patients treated with extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR). (2022). Cohorte ECPR; APACHE II AUC 0.81; SAVE AUC 0.86. Disponible Como pre-print/full-text en ResearchGate

Google Scholar

31. Becher, PM, Goßling, A, Schrage, B, Twerenbold, R, Fluschnik, N, Seiffert, M, et al. Procedural volume and outcomes in patients undergoing VA-ECMO support. J Heart Lung Transplant. (2020) 24:291. doi: 10.1186/s13054-020-03016-z

Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

32. Verma, A, Hadaya, J, Williamson, C, Kronen, E, Sakowitz, S, Bakhtiyar, SS, et al. A contemporary analysis of the volume–outcome relationship for ECMO in the United States. Surgery. (2023) 173:1405–10. doi: 10.1016/j.surg.2023.02.004

Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

33. Lang, CN, Kaier, K, Zotzmann, V, Stachon, P, Pottgiesser, T, von zur Muehlen, C, et al. Cardiogenic shock: incidence, survival and mechanical circulatory support usage 2007–2017-insights from a national registry. Clin Res Cardiol. (2021) 110:1421–30. doi: 10.1007/s00392-020-01781-z

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

34. Lüsebrink, E, Binzenhöfer, L, Adamo, M, Lorusso, R, Mebazaa, A, Morrow, DA, et al. Cardiogenic shock. Lancet. (2024) 404:2006–20. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01818-X

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

35. Thiele, H, De Waha-Thiele, S, Freund,, Anne,, Zeymer, U, Desch, S, et al. State of the art by management of cardiogenic shock. EuroIntervention. (2021) 17:e825–e41. doi: 10.4244/EIJ-D-20-01213

Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

36. Kurniawati, ER, Teerenstra, S, Vranken, NPA, Sharma, AS, Maessen, JG, and Weerwind, PW. Oxygen debt repayment in the early phase of veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation: a cluster analysis. BMC Cardiovasc Disord. (2022) 22:363. doi: 10.1186/s12872-022-02794-4

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

37. Barbee, RW, Reynolds, PS, and Ward, KR. Assessing shock resuscitation strategies by oxygen debt repayment. Shock. (2010) 33:113–22. doi: 10.1097/SHK.0b013e3181b8569d

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

38. Deatrick, KB, Mazzeffi, MA, Galvagno, SM, Boswell, K, Kaczoroswki, DJ, Rabinowitz, RP, et al. Breathing life Back into the kidney – continuous renal replacement therapy and Veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. ASAIO J. (2021) 67:208–12. doi: 10.1097/MAT.0000000000001210

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

39. Vigneshwar, NG, Kohtz, PD, Lucas, MT, Bronsert, M, Weyant, JM, Masood, FM, et al. Clinical predictors of in-hospital mortality in venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. J Card Surg. (2020) 35:2512–21. doi: 10.1111/jocs.14758

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

40. Scolari, FL, Schneider, D, Fogazzi, DV, Gus, M, Rover, MM, Bonatto, MG, et al. Association between serum lactate levels and mortality in patients with cardiogenic shock receiving mechanical circulatory support: a multicenter retrospective cohort study. BMC Cardiovasc Disord. (2020) 20:496. doi: 10.1186/s12872-020-01785-7

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

41. Klemm, G, Markart, S, Hermann, A, Staudinger, T, Hengstenberg, C, Heinz, G, et al. Lactate as a predictor of 30-day mortality in cardiogenic shock. J Clin Med. (2024) 13:1932. doi: 10.3390/jcm13071932

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

42. Smuszkiewicz, P, Jawień, N, Szrama, J, Lubarska, M, Kusza, K, and Guzik, P. Admission lactate concentration, base excess, and Alactic Base excess predict the 28-day inward mortality in shock patients. J Clin Med. (2022) 11:6125. doi: 10.3390/jcm11206125

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

43. Rajsic, S, Treml, B, Jadzic, D, Breitkopf, R, Oberleitner, C, Popovic Krneta, M, et al. Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation for cardiogenic shock: a meta-analysis of mortality and complications. Ann Intensive Care. (2022) 12:93. doi: 10.1186/s13613-022-01067-9

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

44. Vogel, AM, Lew, DF, Kao, LS, and Lally, KP. Defining risk for infectious complications on extracorporeal life support. J Pediatr Surg. (2011) 46:2260–4. doi: 10.1016/j.jpedsurg.2011.09.013

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

45. Fernando, SM, MacLaren, G, Barbaro, RP, Mathew, R, Munshi, L, Madahar, P, et al. Age and associated outcomes among patients receiving venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation–analysis of the extracorporeal life support organization registry. Intensive Care Med. (2023) 49:1456–66. doi: 10.1007/s00134-023-07199-1

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

46. Hashem, A, Mohamed, MS, Alabdullah, K, Elkhapery, A, Khalouf, A, Saadi, S, et al. Predictors of mortality in patients with refractory cardiac arrest supported with VA-ECMO: a systematic review and a Meta-analysis. Curr Probl Cardiol. (2023) 48:101658. doi: 10.1016/j.cpcardiol.2023.101658

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

47. Jeong, JH, Kook, H, Lee, SH, Joo, HJ, Park, JH, Hong, SJ, et al. Predictors of in-hospital mortality after successful weaning of venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in cardiogenic shock. Sci Rep. (2023) 13:17529. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-44679-2

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

48. Qin, CX, Yesantharao, LV, Merkel, KR, Goswami, DK, Garcia, AV, Whitman, GJR, et al. Blood utilization and clinical outcomes in extracorporeal membrane oxygenation patients. Anesth Analg. (2020) 131:901–8. doi: 10.1213/ANE.0000000000004807

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

49. Guimbretière, G, Anselmi, A, Roisne, A, Lelong, B, Corbineau, H, Langanay, T, et al. Prognostic impact of blood product transfusion in VA and VV ECMO. Perfusion. (2019) 34:246–53. doi: 10.1177/0267659118814690

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

50. Li, Y, Wang, J, Li, C, Wang, L, and Chen, Y. Prognostic of red blood cell transfusion during extracorporeal membrane oxygenation therapy on mortality: a meta-analysis. Perfusion. (2024) 39:713–21. doi: 10.1177/02676591231157234

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

51. Tenure, R, Kiefer, JJ, and Augoustides, JG. Blood transfusion in extracorporeal membrane oxygenation—defining thresholds and unresolved questions. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth. (2021) 35:1203–4. doi: 10.1053/j.jvca.2020.11.019

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

52. Carson, JL, Guyatt, G, Heddle, NM, Grossman, BJ, Cohn, CS, Fung, MK, et al. Clinical practice guidelines from the AABB: red blood cell transfusion thresholds and storage. JAMA. (2016) 316:2025–35. doi: 10.1001/jama.2016.9185

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

53. Luo, Z, Qin, L, Xu, S, Yang, X, Peng, Z, and Huang, C. Impact of fresh frozen plasma transfusion on mortality in extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. Perfusion. (2024) 39:294–303. doi: 10.1177/02676591221137034

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

54. Yataco, A C, Soghier, I, Hebert, P C, Belley-Cote, E, Disselkamp, M, Flynn, D, et al. Transfusion of fresh frozen plasma and platelets in critically ill adults an American College of Chest Physicians clinical practice guideline. Chest [Internet]. (2025). Available online at: https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S001236922500279X (Accessed January 29, 2025).

Google Scholar

55. Lv, X, Deng, M, Wang, L, Dong, Y, Chen, L, and Dai, X. Low vs standardized dose anticoagulation regimens for extracorporeal membrane oxygenation: a meta-analysis. PLoS One. (2021) 16:9854. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0249854

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

56. Garzón Ruiz, JP, Giraldo Bejarano, E, Mercado Díaz, MA, and Pardo Turriago, R. Anticoagulation in ECMO: target values to reduce hemorrhagic complications in adults. A retrospective cohort study. ASAIO J. (2025) 71:744–51. doi: 10.1097/MAT.0000000000002415

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

57. Pannucci, CJ, and Wilkins, EG. Identifying and avoiding bias in research. Plast Reconstr Surg. (2010) 126:619–25. doi: 10.1097/PRS.0b013e3181de24bc

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

58. Noah, N. The STROBE initiative STrengthening the reporting of OBservational studies in epidemiology (STROBE). Epidemiol Infect. (2008) 136:865. doi: 10.1017/S0950268808000733

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

59. Santore, LA, Schurr, JW, and Noubani, M. SAVE score with lactate modification predicts in-hospital mortality in patients with ongoing cardiac arrest during VA-ECMO cannulation. Int J Artif Organs. (2021) 44:787–790. doi: 10.1177/03913988211021878

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

Glossary

DEOx - Oxygen Debt

ECLSU - Extracorporeal Life Support Unit

ICU - Intensive Care Unit

DO2 - Oxygen Delivery

VO2 - Oxygen Consumption

VA-ECMO - Extracorporeal Venoarterial Membrane Oxygenation

ELSO® - Extracorporeal Life Support Organization

SCAI - Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Intervention

SOFA - Sequential Organ Failure Assessment

APACHE II - Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II

SAVE - Survival After Venoarterial ECMO

VV - Venovenous

VAV - Venoarteriovenous

BMI - Body Mass Index

BE - Base Excess

AUC - Area Under the Curve

IQR - Interquartile Ranges

SD - Standard Deviation

OR - Odds Ratio

AUROC - Area Under Receiver Operating Characteristic

CI - Confidence Interval

RBCs - Red Blood Cells

FFP - Fresh Frozen Plasma

Keywords: VA-ECMO, oxygen debt, mortality, intensive care, SOFA, APACHE II

Citation: Perez-Garzon M, Robayo-Amortegui H, Ochoa-Ricardo A, Quintero-Altare A and Poveda-Henao C (2025) Prognostic accuracy of oxygen debt for mortality in patients undergoing venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation therapy: a retrospective cohort study. Front. Med. 12:1651531. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2025.1651531

Received: 21 June 2025; Accepted: 27 October 2025;
Published: 24 November 2025.

Edited by:

Danica Momcicevic, University Clinical Centre of the Republic of Srpska, Bosnia and Herzegovina

Reviewed by:

Muammar Emir Ananta, University of Indonesia, Indonesia
Alison Grazioli, University of Maryland Medical Center, United States

Copyright © 2025 Perez-Garzon, Robayo-Amortegui, Ochoa-Ricardo, Quintero-Altare and Poveda-Henao. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

*Correspondence: Henry Robayo-Amortegui, aGVucnkucm9iYXlvQHNoYWlv

Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.