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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Environ. Econ.

Sec. Economics of Climate Change

Spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of carbon footprint pressure in China's equipment manufacturing industry

Provisionally accepted
Jun  ZhouJun ZhouYajun  DuanYajun DuanSicheng  DingSicheng DingLifang  LuLifang LuChunwei  LiuChunwei Liu*
  • Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

This paper takes China's equipment manufacturing industry as the main research object. Based on the theory of vegetation carbon sequestration, the carbon footprint pressure index (ECFP) of equipment manufacturing industry in 30 provinces in China is constructed and analyzed. First, the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of China's ECFP were analyzed using exploratory elliptical deviation and standard elliptical deviation. Secondly, Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index decomposition (LMDI) was used to decompose and analyze the influencing factors of ECFP, and the relationship between ECFP and the industry's economic development was investigated using the Tapio model. Finally, the extended STIRPAT model is constructed by combining the LMDI results, and the spatial effects of ECFP are analyzed using a spatial econometric model. The study results show that ECFP continued to rise along the eastern seaboard from 2003 to 2020, and gradually spread inland. The number of practitioners, the economic impact, and the technology effect are the main influences on ECFP. Some eastern regions have achieved decoupling of economic growth from ECFP, while the effect of decoupling has been erratic in the central and western regions. Green technology innovations dampen the rise in ECFP in both the short and long term while being able to reduce ECFP in regional neighborhoods. In addition, Research investment and Industrial structure are the main reasons for higher local ECFP, but technology transfer and industrial agglomeration, reduce the ECFP of neighboring regions. Based on these findings, it is recommended that the government accelerate regional innovation synergies and increase investment in green technology innovation.

Keywords: Equipment manufacturing industry, Carbon footprint pressure, vegetation carbon sequestration, Spatial econometric model, Influencing factors

Received: 19 Aug 2025; Accepted: 29 Oct 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Zhou, Duan, Ding, Lu and Liu. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Chunwei Liu, liuchunwei@yeah.net

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