Acute Kidney Injury After Myocardial Infarction: Prognostic Implications via Dual Robust Methods

Pan Guo¹Fang Tao²Lili Du³Hongmei Yang¹Wenguang Wang¹Chunpeng Ma¹Xile Bi¹Lin Ren¹Hongtao Yin¹Lixiang Ma^1*

• ¹Department of Cardiology, Qinhuangdao First Hospital, Qinhuangdao, Qinhuangdao, China
• ²Medical Department, Qinhuangdao First Hospital, Qinhuangdao, Qinhuangdao, China
• ³Department of Cardiology, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin, China

Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) following acute myocardial infarction (AMI) notably affects patient outcomes. The impact of KDIGO AKI staging on post-discharge short- and long-term outcomes, particularly early-stage AKI, is not well understood. This study evaluates the prognostic implications of various KDIGO stages in AMI patients.Methods: Utilizing the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (version 3.0) database, this retrospective cohort study included adult patients primarily diagnosed with AMI. Statistical analyses, including doubly robust estimation, propensity score matching, logistic regression, and Cox regression, were performed. The study compared Non-AKI (KDIGO stage 0) with Mild-AKI (maximum KDIGO stage 1 during hospitalization), and Normal-or-mild AKI (KDIGO stages 0–1) with Moderate-to-severe AKI (KDIGO stages 2–3).Results: Among 5,715 patients analyzed, 4,306 (75.36%) developed AKI. Doubly robust analysis revealed no significant differences in outcomes between Non-AKI and Mild-AKI groups (28-day mortality: OR 0.97, 95% CI 0.68-1.38; 180-day mortality: HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.76-1.18; 1-year mortality: HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.81-1.20). However, Moderate-to-severe AKI was significantly associated with worse outcomes compared to Normal-or-mild AKI (28-day mortality: OR 1.67, 95% CI 1.36-2.05; 180-day mortality: HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.10; 1-year mortality: HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.07-1.38; all p<0.001). Subgroup analyses revealed that patients under 65 years with Mild-AKI showed higher risks of 180-day and 1-year mortality compared to Non-AKI, while Moderate-to-severe AKI consistently demonstrated worse outcomes across all subgroups (age, SOFA score, heart failure status, and renal disease status). These findings were robust across multiple sensitivity analyses.Conclusions: Patients with Mild-AKI can be considered as having “subclinical AKI,” with prognoses similar to Non-AKI patients. In contrast, Moderate-to-severe AKI significantly worsens prognosis compared to Normal-or-mild AKI.