ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Cardiovasc. Med., 09 May 2025

Sec. Lipids in Cardiovascular Disease

Volume 12 - 2025 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fcvm.2025.1580359

This article is part of the Research TopicHDL and Cardiovascular Disease: Mechanisms, Clinical Relevance, and Therapeutic ImpactsView all 4 articles

Association of platelet-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and its cumulative exposure with cardiovascular disease risk: a prospective cohort study in Chinese population


Honglian LuoHonglian Luo1Gang LiGang Li1Yan Chen
&#x;Yan Chen1*Yun Shen
&#x;Yun Shen2*Wei Shen
&#x;
Wei Shen1*
  • 1Department of Neurology, Wuhan Fourth Hospital (Wuhan Puai Hospital), Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China
  • 2Division of Population and Public Health Science, Pennington Biomedical Research Center, Baton Rouge, LA, United States

Objective: This study aimed to investigate the association of platelet-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (PHR) and its cumulative exposure with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk.

Methods: The investigation utilized data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Platelet-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio was calculated as platelet count (×10⁹/L)/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (mmol/L), and a cumulative platelet-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (Cumulative PHR) was derived for longitudinal assessment. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to evaluate the association between PHR, cumulative PHR, and CVD risk across three models with increasing adjustments for confounders. Restricted cubic splines (RCS) regressions were utilized to examine if there were non-linear relationships. Subgroup analyses were conducted to enhance the reliability of the study findings. Furthermore, predictive performance was assessed using concordance index (C-index), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

Results: A total of 7,063 participants aged 45 and older were included, of whom 1,433 (20.29%) experienced a cardiovascular disease. Participants with CVD had higher PHR (167.93 vs. 156.84, P < 0.001) and Log PHR (5.12 vs. 5.06, P < 0.001) values compared to non-CVD participants. Multivariable logistic regression revealed that Log PHR was independently associated with CVD risk [Odds ratio (OR) per-unit: 1.30, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.13–1.49, P < 0.001; OR per- standard deviation (SD): 1.13, 95% CI: 1.06–1.21, P < 0.001]. Log cumulative PHR showed similar associations (OR per-unit: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.05–1.71, P = 0.02). Participants in the highest quartile of Log PHR had a nearly 1.32-fold higher risk of CVD compared to the lowest quartile (OR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.10–1.57, P = 0.002). Addition of Log PHR and Log cumulative PHR slightly improved predictive performance metrics of baseline model.

Conclusion: Both Log PHR and Log cumulative PHR are independently associated with increased CVD risk and slightly improved the predictive performance of the baseline risk model. Future research should focus on its clinical implementation and integration into existing risk assessment frameworks.

Introduction

Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) remain a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, particularly among middle-aged and older adults (1). In China, the aging population and increasing prevalence of metabolic disorders have contributed to a significant burden of CVD, necessitating improved risk stratification and early detection strategies (2). Traditional risk factors, such as hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia, are well-established contributors to CVD, however, emerging biomarkers that integrate thrombosis, inflammatory and lipid-related components may provide additional predictive value (35).

The platelet-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (PHR) has recently been proposed as a novel biomarker reflecting thrombosis, inflammatory, and lipid metabolism status (68). Platelets play a crucial role in hemostasis and atherogenesis, while high-density lipoprotein cholesterol is known for its protective cardiovascular effects, including anti-inflammatory and antioxidative properties. Our hypothesis is that an elevated PHR may indicate a prothrombotic and pro-inflammatory state, which could contribute to the development and progression of CVD. Despite its potential clinical relevance, studies examining the association of both the PHR and its cumulative exposure with CVD outcomes are limited, particularly in large prospective cohort studies.

In this study, we aim to investigate the association between the PHR and its cumulative exposure and the incidence of CVD in middle-aged and older Chinese adults using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS).

Methods

Study design and population

The China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) is a nationally representative longitudinal survey focusing on Chinese residents aged 45 and older (9). Initiated to address the challenges of an aging population, CHARLS aimed to provide high-quality data on the health, economic, and social conditions of middle-aged and elderly individuals in China. The baseline national survey was conducted between 2011 and 2012, across 150 counties/districts and 450 villages/resident committees. Participants were re-interviewed biennially to track changes over time. In our study, we performed a secondary analysis using data from the CHARLS. Our analysis incorporated data from four waves (2011, 2013, 2015, and 2018). After excluding participants with incomplete follow-up data, pre-existing CVD or cancer, or missing baseline measurements (platelet count, lipid profile and covariates), 7,063 individuals were included in the final cohort. To examine the relationship between cumulative PHR and CVD risk, we identified 4,420 participants who had complete laboratory data (platelet count and lipid profile) at both baseline and third wave (2015), and remained CVD-free during this period. The participant selection process is showed in Figure 1. The study protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Peking University (IRB00001052-11015), and all participants provided written informed consent prior to enrollment.

Figure 1
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 1. Flow chart of the study participants’ selection process.

Baseline data collection

The CHARLS baseline survey, conducted in 2011–2012, included both self-reported data and objective health measures to ensure high data quality and accuracy. The survey comprehensively captured information across multiple domains through structured data collection modules. Blood samples were collected from participants who provided informed consent. Samples were analyzed for key biomarkers. In this secondary analysis, we extracted data from CHARLS database in terms of age, sex, marital status, education level, residence place, smoking status, alcohol consumption, total cholesterol (TC), triglyceride (TG), BMI, and histories of diseases including hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, history of dyslipidemia medication use, chronic lung disease (CLD), chronic kidney disease (CKD). Key laboratory biomarkers in this analysis included platelet count and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c).

Exposure variables

The exposure of this analysis was the PHR, which was calculated as the plasma platelet count (109/L) divided by the plasma high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level (mmol/L). Since CHARLS was a longitudinal study, we further defined PHR as baseline PHR and cumulative PHR in the analysis. Cumulative PHR was calculated as Cumulative PHR = [(PHR2012 + PHR2015)/2] × (2015 − 2012) (1012).

Ascertainment of incident CVD events

The primary outcome of our study was the incidence of new-onset CVDs. CVD status was determined based on self-reported physician diagnoses of heart diseases or stroke. At each follow-up wave, participants were asked whether a doctor had ever informed them that they had experienced a heart attack, coronary heart disease, angina, congestive heart failure, or any other heart-related condition. Similarly, they were asked whether they had ever been diagnosed with a stroke. Individuals who affirmed a diagnosis of either heart disease or stroke were classified as having CVD. For the cohort examining the association between PHR and CVD, follow-up commenced at wave 1 (2011), whereas for the cohort investigating cumulative PHR and CVD, follow-up began at wave 3 (2015) (Figure 1). Participants were monitored until they experienced their first CVD event or reached the censoring date, whichever occurred first. While self-reported CVD diagnosis has inherent limitations, several validation studies have demonstrated reasonable agreement between self-reported physician-diagnosed diseases and medical record verification in population surveys (1315). In addition, several previous articles have been published in which CVD was also diagnosed based on questionnaire items in CHARLS (1622).

Statistical analysis

Descriptive statistics were used to summarize the baseline characteristics of the study population, stratified by CVD status (non-CVD vs. CVD). Continuous variables were expressed as median (interquartile range) and compared using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test, while categorical variables were presented as frequencies (percentages) and compared using the chi-square test or Fisher's exact test, where appropriate. PHR was subjected to a log transformation and expressed as Log PHR in our analysis due to its non-normal distribution in the original values. First, collinearity among variables was assessed using the variance inflation factor (VIF), with a threshold of VIF < 10 considered acceptable. To evaluate the association between the PHR and CVD risk, multivariable logistic regression models were employed. Three progressively adjusted models were constructed. Model 1 adjusted for age and sex. Model 2 further adjusted for marital status, residence place, education level, smoking status, alcohol consumption, TC, TG, and BMI. Model 3 additionally adjusted for hypertension, diabetes mellitus, history of dyslipidemia medication use, chronic lung disease, chronic kidney disease. PHR was analyzed both as a continuous variable (per-unit and per-SD increases) and as a categorical variable (quartiles, with Q1 as the reference group). The odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were reported for each model. A P-value for trend was calculated to examine the dose-response relationship across quartiles of PHR. Cumulative metrics of PHR were analyzed using multivariable logistic regression models, following the same adjustment strategy across three models as described above. The OR and 95% CI per-unit, per-SD increases, and quartiles of cumulative PHR were reported.

In addition, restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression models were applied to investigate the nonlinear association of Log PHR and Log cumulative PHR with CVD risk. The overall P-value for association and the P-value for nonlinearity were calculated to determine whether the relationship between Log PHR, Log cumulative PHR, and CVD risk followed a linear or nonlinear pattern.

To assess the robustness of the findings across different sample characteristics, we conducted subgroup analyses based on age, sex, smoking status, alcohol consumption, BMI, hypertension, diabetes, CLD and CKD. Furthermore, these stratified factors were considered as predetermined potential modifiers of the effects. To evaluate the diversity of the association among subgroups, we incorporated interaction variables and employed likelihood ratio tests.

Furthermore, to evaluate the predictive performance of PHR and cumulative PHR for CVD risk, improvements in predictive ability were assessed using the concordance index (C-index), net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) indices (23). Comparisons were made between baseline models and models incorporating PHR or cumulative PHR. All statistical results, including effect sizes, confidence intervals, and P values, are reported in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and STROBE (Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology) guidelines (24).

All statistical analyses were performed using R software (v4.3.3). A two-sided P value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

Baseline characteristics of participants

Table 1 presents the baseline characteristics for the cohort of exploring the association between PHR and CVD, stratified by cardiovascular disease (CVD) status. A total of 7,063 participants were included, with 5,630 (79.71%) in the non-CVD group and 1,433 (20.29%) in the CVD group. Participants with CVD were significantly older than those without CVD (median age: 60 years [54.00, 67.00] vs. 57 years [51.00, 64.00], P < 0.001). The platelet-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (PHR) was also higher among individuals with CVD (167.93 [120.66, 226.57] vs. 156.84 [115.71, 210.63], P < 0.001), and this difference remained significant when PHR was log-transformed (Log (PHR): 5.12 [4.79, 5.42] vs. 5.06 [4.75, 5.35], P < 0.001). There were significant sex differences, with a higher proportion of females in the CVD group (56.80%) compared to the non-CVD group (52.77%) (P = 0.006). Marital status, education level and residence place were not significantly different between the groups (P = 0.16, 0.07, and 0.64, respectively). Obesity (BMI ≥ 28) was significantly more prevalent in individuals with CVD (16.40% vs. 9.59%, P < 0.001). Similarly, hypertension (48.36% vs. 34.44%, P < 0.001), diabetes (17.38% vs. 12.38%, P < 0.001), and dyslipidemia (45.64% vs. 37.21%, P < 0.001) were all more common among those with CVD. Use of lipid-lowering drugs was higher in the CVD group (6.77% vs. 3.06%, P < 0.001), as were the prevalences of chronic liver disease (CLD) (12.70% vs. 8.40%, P < 0.001) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) (5.86% vs. 4.51%, P = 0.04). In addition, baseline characteristics stratified by CVD status for the cohort of exploring the association between cumulative PHR and CVD are presented in Table 2.

Table 1
www.frontiersin.org

Table 1. Baseline characteristics stratified by CVD status for the PHR cohort.

Table 2
www.frontiersin.org

Table 2. Baseline characteristics stratified by CVD status for the cumulative PHR cohort.

The association between the Log PHR and CVD

Collinearity diagnostics showed that Variance Inflation Factors (VIF) for all covariates were below the threshold of 10, indicating no significant collinearity (Supplementary Tables S1, S2). Table 3 presents the results of multivariable logistic regression models assessing the association between the logarithm of the platelet-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (Log PHR) and CVD. Across all models, higher Log PHR was significantly associated with an increased risk of CVD. In the per-unit increase analysis, Log PHR was significantly associated with CVD in Model 1 (OR: 1.39, 95% CI: 1.23–1.57, P < 0.001), Model 2 (OR: 1.31, 95% CI: 1.14–1.50, P < 0.001), and Model 3 (OR: 1.30, 95% CI: 1.13–1.49, P < 0.001), even after adjusting for multiple covariates including demographic factors, lifestyle behaviors, lipid levels, and comorbidities. Similarly, in the per-standard deviation (SD) increase analysis, Log PHR remained a significant predictor of CVD, with OR of 1.17 (95% CI: 1.10–1.24, P < 0.001) in Model 1, 1.14 (95% CI: 1.07–1.21, P < 0.001) in Model 2, and 1.13 (95% CI: 1.06–1.21, P < 0.001) in Model 3. When Log PHR was analyzed as a categorical variable (quartiles), individuals in the highest quartile (Q4) had a significantly higher risk of CVD compared to those in the lowest quartile (Q1). The OR for Q4 were 1.44 (95% CI: 1.22–1.70, P < 0.001) in Model 1, 1.33 (95% CI: 1.12–1.59, P = 0.001) in Model 2, and 1.32 (95% CI: 1.10–1.57, P = 0.002) in Model 3. The trend across quartiles was statistically significant in all models (P for trend <0.001) (Table 3 and Figure 2).

Table 3
www.frontiersin.org

Table 3. Multivariable logistic regression models of the association between Log PHR and CVD.

Figure 2
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 2. Risk of CVD according to Log (cumulative PHR) quartiles in different adjustment models. Crude model: without adjusting for covariates. Model 1: adjusted for age and sex. Model 2: further adjusted for marital status, residence place, education level, smoking status, alcohol consumption TC, TG, and BMI. Model 3: additionally adjusted for hypertension, diabetes, history of dyslipidemia medication use, chronic lung disease, chronic kidney disease. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals are shown, with the lowest quartile (Q1) as reference.

The association between the Log cumulative PHR and CVD

Table 4 presents the results of multivariable logistic regression models examining the association between the cumulative platelet-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (Log cumulative PHR) and CVD. Across all models, higher Log cumulative PHR was significantly associated with an increased risk of CVD. For each unit increase in Log cumulative PHR, the odds of CVD were significantly elevated in Model 1 (OR: 1.40, 95% CI: 1.12–1.76, P = 0.004), Model 2 (OR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.08–1.76, P = 0.01), and Model 3 (OR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.05–1.71, P = 0.02), even after adjusting for a range of demographic, lifestyle, and clinical covariates. Similarly, in the per-standard deviation (SD) increase analysis, Log cumulative PHR remained a significant predictor of CVD, with OR of 1.15 (95% CI: 1.05–1.26, P = 0.004) in Model 1, 1.14 (95% CI: 1.03–1.26, P = 0.01) in Model 2, and 1.13 (95% CI: 1.02–1.24, P = 0.02) in Model 3. When Log cumulative PHR was analyzed as a categorical variable (quartiles), individuals in the highest quartile (Q4) exhibited a significantly greater risk of CVD compared to those in the lowest quartile (Q1). The odds ratios for Q4 were 1.44 (95% CI: 1.11–1.87, P = 0.01) in Model 1, 1.41 (95% CI: 1.07–1.85, P = 0.01) in Model 2, and 1.33 (95% CI: 1.01–1.76, P = 0.04) in Model 3. The P-trend values were significant across all models (P for trend = 0.004, 0.01, and 0.03, respectively), indicating a dose-response relationship between cumulative Log PHR and CVD risk. In contrast, the second and third quartiles (Q2 and Q3) did not show statistically significant associations with CVD, suggesting that the increased risk is primarily driven by those in the highest cumulative Log PHR category (Table 4 and Figure 3).

Table 4
www.frontiersin.org

Table 4. Multivariable logistic regression models of the association between Log (cumulative PHR) and CVD.

Figure 3
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 3. Risk of CVD according to Log (cumulative PHR) quartiles in different adjustment models. Crude model: without adjusting for covariates. Model 1: adjusted for age and sex. Model 2: further adjusted for marital status, residence place, education level, smoking status, alcohol consumption TC, TG, and BMI. Model 3: additionally adjusted for hypertension, diabetes, history of dyslipidemia medication use, chronic lung disease, chronic kidney disease. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals are shown, with the lowest quartile (Q1) as reference.

Exploring the potential nonlinear association of Log PHR, Log cumulative PHR and CVD

We further performed the RCS analysis, which revealed a significant overall association between Log PHR and CVD risk (P for overall <0.05) (Figure 4). However, there was no evidence of nonlinearity in this association (P for nonlinearity >0.05). The spline curve demonstrated a positive and graded linear association between Log PHR and CVD risk. Similar results were found when using Log cumulative PHR as the exposure (Figure 5).

Figure 4
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 4. Restricted cubic spline analysis of the association between Log PHR and CVD risk. (A) Crude model: without adjusting for covariates. (B) Model 1: adjusted for age and sex. (C) Model 2: further adjusted for marital status, residence place, education level, smoking status, alcohol consumption TC, TG, and BMI. (D) Model 3: additionally adjusted for hypertension, diabetes, history of dyslipidemia medication use, chronic lung disease, chronic kidney disease.

Figure 5
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 5. Restricted cubic spline analysis of the association between Log (cumulative PHR) and CVD risk. (A) Crude model: without adjusting for covariates. (B) Model 1: adjusted for age and sex. (C) Model 2: further adjusted for marital status, residence place, education level, smoking status, alcohol consumption, TC, TG, and BMI. (D) Model 3: additionally adjusted for hypertension, diabetes, history of dyslipidemia medication use, chronic lung disease, chronic kidney disease.

Subgroup analysis

Figure 6 presents the stratified analysis of the association between Log PHR and CVD across different subgroups, with OR and 95% CI displayed for each category. The association between Log PHR and CVD was significant in both age and sex groups. Among participants with BMI < 28, the association remained significant (OR: 1.235, 95% CI: 1.080–1.413, P = 0.002), whereas in those with BMI ≥ 28, the association was not statistically significant (OR: 1.293, 95% CI: 0.920–1.823, P = 0.140; P for interaction = 0.806). Both smokers (OR: 1.442, 95% CI: 1.149–1.813, P = 0.002) and non-smokers (OR: 1.276, 95% CI: 1.103–1.478, P = 0.001) exhibited a significant association (P for interaction = 0.378). For alcohol consumption, the association was significant among non-drinkers (OR: 1.381, 95% CI: 1.189–1.606, P < 0.001) but not among drinkers (OR: 1.164, 95% CI: 0.936–1.449, P = 0.173; P for interaction = 0.207). The association remained significant in both hypertensive (OR: 1.264, 95% CI: 1.056–1.515, P = 0.011) and non-hypertensive individuals (OR: 1.299, 95% CI: 1.097–1.540, P = 0.003; P for interaction = 0.828). Participants without diabetes had a significant association (OR: 1.266, 95% CI: 1.106–1.451, P < 0.001), while those with diabetes exhibited a stronger association (OR: 1.436, 95% CI: 1.067–1.936, P = 0.017; P for interaction = 0.451). In chronic lung disease (CLD) stratification, the association was significant in participants without CLD (OR: 1.397, 95% CI: 1.223–1.596, P < 0.001), but not in those with CLD (OR: 1.051, 95% CI: 0.760–1.457, P = 0.765; P for interaction = 0.114). For chronic kidney disease (CKD), the association was significant in individuals without CKD (OR: 1.315, 95% CI: 1.158–1.493, P < 0.001), but marginal in those with CKD (OR: 1.636, 95% CI: 0.991–2.744, P = 0.058; P for interaction = 0.411). Results of the subgroup analyses examining the relationship between cumulative PHR and CVD are shown in Supplementary Figure 1.

Figure 6
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 6. The forest plot showed the correlation between Log PHR and the risk of CVD (OR 95%).

Predictive ability of the PHR and cumulative PHR

The inclusion of Log PHR in the baseline model resulted in a slight improvement in the C-index (0.638, 95% CI: 0.622–0.654) compared to the baseline model alone (0.636, 95% CI: 0.620–0.652). Similarly, adding Log cumulative PHR improved the C-index (0.638, 95% CI: 0.613–0.663) compared to the baseline model (0.634, 95% CI: 0.609–0.660), though these differences did not reach statistical significance (Supplementary Tables S3, S4). However, the addition of Log PHR significantly improved risk classification, as indicated by an NRI of 0.1093 (P < 0.001) and an IDI of 0.0022 (P < 0.001). Likewise, incorporating Log cumulative PHR led to a significant NRI of 0.1163 (P = 0.011), though its IDI (0.0012) was only borderline significant (P = 0.053). While these findings suggest that Log PHR and Log cumulative PHR may enhance CVD risk stratification, their impact on overall model discrimination remains modest.

Discussion

This large-scale prospective cohort study examined the association between the PHR and CVD risk in middle-aged and older adults in China. The findings indicated that an elevated Log PHR and Log cumulative PHR were significantly associated with an increased risk of CVD, even after adjusting for demographic, lifestyle, and clinical covariates. This association remained robust across most subgroups, and a significant dose-response relationship was observed, suggesting that PHR may serve as a novel biomarker integrating inflammatory and lipid-related pathways in the pathogenesis of CVD.

These results aligned with prior research highlighting the role of platelet-related and lipid-based markers in predicting CVD risk (25). Platelets contributed to thrombosis and inflammation, whereas HDL-C exerts cardioprotective, anti-inflammatory, and antioxidative effects (26, 27). The balance between these two components, reflected in PHR, provided additional insights into an individual's cardiovascular risk profile. While previous studies have examined platelet count (28, 29) and HDL-C (30, 31) separately in relation to CVD outcomes, few have investigated their combined impact through PHR and cumulative PHR. The current study extended existing knowledge by demonstrating the independent predictive value of PHR and cumulative PHR in a nationally representative cohort.

Several pathophysiological mechanisms may explain the observed association between higher PHR and increased CVD risk. Elevated platelet counts have been linked to platelet activation, endothelial dysfunction, and increased thrombus formation, all of which contributed to CVD development (3234). HDL-C, known for its anti-inflammatory, antioxidative, and endothelial-protective properties, played a crucial role in cardiovascular health. Lower HDL-C levels may impair these protective functions, further promoting atherosclerosis (3537). The cumulative PHR metric accounted for long-term exposure to an adverse platelet-lipid balance, reinforcing the importance of sustained inflammation and lipid dysfunction in CVD progression. These findings suggested that PHR may reflect both acute and chronic prothrombotic states, thereby improving risk stratification for cardiovascular events.

Despite the overall robust associations, certain findings from our subgroup analyses merit careful interpretation. The nonsignificant associations between PHR and CVD observed in some participant subgroups (e.g., those with obesity, chronic lung disease, or chronic kidney disease) might reflect a common underlying mechanism. These conditions share pathophysiological features characterized by low-grade chronic inflammation, which may alter both platelet reactivity and HDL functionality (38, 39). The systemic inflammatory state can enhance platelet activation while simultaneously modifying HDL composition and function (40, 41), potentially disrupting the conventional relationship between platelets and HDL-C that forms the basis of PHR's predictive utility. Previous studies have demonstrated altered platelet indices and lipid profiles in these conditions (42, 43), suggesting that the predictive value of PHR might need specific validation in populations with conditions that significantly affect platelet-HDL interactions.

In addition, although findings in the study may have potential clinical implications, the modest improvement in predictive performance metrics (NRI, IDI and C-index) warrants careful interpretation. While this increment may appear small in absolute terms, it is comparable to improvements typically observed in cardiovascular disease prediction when adding some established biomarkers to risk models (4446). Previous research has demonstrated that even modest enhancements in discrimination indices can translate to meaningful clinical benefits, particularly for high-risk patient stratification. Importantly, PHR utilizes components (platelet count and HDL-c) that are routinely measured in many clinical settings. Unlike novel biomarkers requiring specialized testing, PHR can be derived from existing laboratory data without imposing significant additional costs. Clinically, identifying individuals at high risk for CVD remains a priority. The ease of calculating PHR from readily available laboratory tests, combined with its potential mechanistic significance in reflecting both inflammatory and lipid-related pathways, justifies further exploration of its clinical utility. Further studies are needed to explore how PHR can be effectively incorporated into clinical decision-making and whether it can guide personalized therapeutic interventions.

Strengths and limitations

This study has several strengths. The use of a large, nationally representative cohort (CHARLS) enhanced the generalizability of the findings to middle-aged and older Chinese adults. Longitudinal study design allowed for the assessment of cumulative exposure to PHR, providing a more comprehensive understanding of its impact on CVD risk. The study employed robust statistical adjustments, controlling multiple confounders and validating the findings across different analytical models. Despite these strengths, the study has limitations. First, cardiovascular diseases in this study were ascertained through self-reported physician diagnoses, which could potentially introduce recall bias or diagnostic misclassification. To strengthen the validity of these findings, future research should incorporate clinically verified cardiovascular outcomes and medical record documentation. Second, although our method for calculating cumulative exposure has been used in previous CHARLS-based studies, the approach may oversimplify the temporal dynamics of exposure over time. Future studies with multiple measurements over time are needed to validate these findings. Third, although major CVD risk factors were adjusted, the possibility of residual confounding remains due to unmeasured factors such as genetic predisposition and dietary habits. Furthermore, the findings were derived from CHARLS participants aged 45 years and older, which may limit generalizability to younger populations with different risk factor profiles. Additionally, as the study population is predominantly Chinese, the results may not fully capture the genetic, regional, and environmental variations found in non-Asian or multi-ethnic populations. External validation in diverse cohorts is warranted.

Conclusion

In conclusion, this study demonstrated that elevated Log PHR and Log cumulative PHR were significantly associated with an increased risk of CVD in middle-aged and older Chinese adults. This relationship was robust across multiple models and subgroups, indicating that PHR could be a potential biomarker for cardiovascular risk stratification. Given that PHR can be easily calculated from routine laboratory measurements, future research should focus on its clinical implementation and integration into existing risk assessment frameworks.

Data availability statement

The datasets presented in this study can be found in online repositories. The names of the repository/repositories and accession number(s) can be found below: http://charls.pku.edu.cn/.

Ethics statement

The studies involving humans were approved by Institutional Review Board of Peking University (IRB00001052-11015). The studies were conducted in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements. The participants provided their written informed consent to participate in this study.

Author contributions

HL: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – original draft. GL: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – original draft. YC: Project administration, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. YS: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Project administration, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. WS: Conceptualization, Project administration, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing.

Funding

The author(s) declare that no financial support was received for the research and/or publication of this article.

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the selfless contributions of the participants in the CHARLS study and the statistical assistance of Kangchao Zheng.

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

The author(s) declared that they were an editorial board member of Frontiers, at the time of submission. This had no impact on the peer review process and the final decision.

Generative AI statement

The author(s) declare that no Generative AI was used in the creation of this manuscript.

Publisher's note

All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.

Supplementary material

The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2025.1580359/full#supplementary-material

Abbreviations

PHR, platelet-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio; CHARLS, China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study; Cumulative PHR, cumulative platelet-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio; RCS, restricted cubic spline; C-index, concordance index; NRI, net reclassification improvement; IDI, integrated discrimination improvement; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; HDL-c, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; TC, total cholesterol; TG, triglyceride; CLD, chronic lung disease; CKD, chronic kidney disease.

References

1. GBD 2021 Diseases and Injuries Collaborators. Global incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 371 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2021. Lancet. (2024) 403:2133–61. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00757-8

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

2. GBD 2021 Risk Factors Collaborators. Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2021. Lancet. (2024) 403:2162–203. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00933-4

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

3. Almohaimeed GM, Alonazi AS, Bin Dayel AF, Alshammari TK, Alghibiwi HK, Alamin MA, et al. Interplay between senescence and macrophages in diabetic cardiomyopathy: a review of the potential role of GDF-15 and klotho. Biomedicines. (2024) 12:759. doi: 10.3390/biomedicines12040759

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

4. Wang B, Wang J, Liu C, Hu X. The potential of platelet to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (PHR) as a novel biomarker for heart failure. Sci Rep. (2024) 14:23283. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-75453-7

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

5. Hou X, Zhu M, Zhu Z, Li Y, Chen X, Zhang X. Association between platelet-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and future stroke risk: a national cohort study based on CHARLS. Front Neurol. (2024) 15:1479245. doi: 10.3389/fneur.2024.1479245

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

6. Zhao H, Zhao Y, Fang Y, Zhou W, Zhang W, Peng J. The relationship between novel inflammatory markers and serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D among US adults. Immun Inflamm Dis. (2025) 13:e70115. doi: 10.1002/iid3.70115

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

7. Chen P, Zhu M, Guo M, Shi D, Chen Z, Du J. Platelet to high density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio is associated with diabetes and prediabetes in NHANES 2005 to 2018. Sci Rep. (2024) 14:30082. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-81637-y

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

8. Chen J, Wang B, Liu C, Li C, Meng T, Wang J, et al. Association between platelet to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (PHR) and hypertension: evidence from NHANES 2005-2018. Lipids Health Dis. (2024) 23:346. doi: 10.1186/s12944-024-02342-3

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

9. Zhao Y, Hu Y, Smith JP, Strauss J, Yang G. Cohort profile: the China health and retirement longitudinal study (CHARLS). Int J Epidemiol. (2014) 43:61–8. doi: 10.1093/ije/dys203

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

10. Zou Y, Lu S, Li D, Huang X, Wang C, Xie G, et al. Exposure of cumulative atherogenic index of plasma and the development of prediabetes in middle-aged and elderly individuals: evidence from the CHARLS cohort study. Cardiovasc Diabetol. (2024) 23:355. doi: 10.1186/s12933-024-02449-y

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

11. Zeng P, Li M, Cao J, Zeng L, Jiang C, Lin F. Association of metabolic syndrome severity with frailty progression among Chinese middle and old-aged adults: a longitudinal study. Cardiovasc Diabetol. (2024) 23:302. doi: 10.1186/s12933-024-02379-9

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

12. Yan J, Zhang M, He Q. Association of changes and cumulative measures of triglyceride-glucose index-body mass index with hypertension risk: a prospective cohort study. BMC Public Health. (2024) 24:2652. doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-20154-z

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

13. Ning M, Zhang Q, Yang M. Comparison of self-reported and biomedical data on hypertension and diabetes: findings from the China health and retirement longitudinal study (CHARLS). BMJ Open. (2016) 6:e009836. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-009836

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

14. Yuan X, Liu T, Wu L, Zou Z-Y, Li C. Validity of self-reported diabetes among middle-aged and older Chinese adults: the China health and retirement longitudinal study. BMJ Open. (2015) 5:e006633. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2014-006633

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

15. Choe S, Lee J, Lee J, Kang D, Lee J-K, Shin A. Validity of self-reported stroke and myocardial infarction in Korea: the health examinees (HEXA) study. J Prev Med Pub Health. (2019) 52:377–83. doi: 10.3961/jpmph.19.089

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

16. Qiao J, Chen X, Pang J, Fei H, Liu Z, Cheng F, et al. Relationship between triglyceride glucose-body mass index baselines and variation with future cardiovascular diseases risk in the middle-aged and elderly individuals. Front Endocrinol. (2025) 16:1514660. doi: 10.3389/fendo.2025.1514660

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

17. Huang Q, Jiang Z, Shi B, Meng J, Shu L, Hu F, et al. Characterisation of cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence and machine learning risk prediction in middle-aged and elderly populations: data from the China health and retirement longitudinal study (CHARLS). BMC Public Health. (2025) 25:518. doi: 10.1186/s12889-025-21609-7

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

18. Zhang J, Sun Z, Li Y, Yang Y, Liu W, Huang M, et al. Association between the cumulative estimated glucose disposal rate and incident cardiovascular disease in individuals over the age of 50 years and without diabetes: data from two large cohorts in China and the United States. Cardiovasc Diabetol. (2025) 24:51. doi: 10.1186/s12933-025-02575-1

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

19. Hu Y, Liang Y, Li J, Li X, Yu M, Cui W. Correlation between atherogenic index of plasma and cardiovascular disease risk across cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome stages 0-3: a nationwide prospective cohort study. Cardiovasc Diabetol. (2025) 24:40. doi: 10.1186/s12933-025-02593-z

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

20. Yan L, Zhou Z, Wu X, Qiu Y, Liu Z, Luo L, et al. Association between the changes in the estimated glucose disposal rate and new-onset cardiovascular disease in middle-aged and elderly individuals: a nationwide prospective cohort study in China. Diabetes Obes Metab. (2025) 27:1859–67. doi: 10.1111/dom.16179

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

21. Xu J, Yin T, Pan M, Qin L, Zhang L, Wang X, et al. The mediating effect of TyG-related indicators between long-term exposure to particulate matter and cardiovascular disease: evidence from a national longitudinal cohort study. Lipids Health Dis. (2024) 23:319. doi: 10.1186/s12944-024-02305-8

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

22. Zhao M, Xiao M, Tan Q, Ji J, Lu F. Cumulative residual cholesterol predicts the risk of cardiovascular disease in the general population aged 45 years and older. Lipids Health Dis. (2024) 23:19. doi: 10.1186/s12944-023-02000-0

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

23. Pencina MJ, D’Agostino RB, D’Agostino RB, Vasan RS. Evaluating the added predictive ability of a new marker: from area under the ROC curve to reclassification and beyond. Stat Med. (2008) 27:157–72; discussion 207–12. doi: 10.1002/sim.2929

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

24. von Elm E, Altman DG, Egger M, Pocock SJ, Gøtzsche PC, Vandenbroucke JP, STROBE Initiative. The strengthening the reporting of observational studies in epidemiology (STROBE) statement: guidelines for reporting observational studies. J Clin Epidemiol. (2008) 61:344–9. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2007.11.008

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

25. Zhang H, Xu Y, Xu Y. The value of the platelet/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio in predicting depression and its cardiovascular disease mortality: a population-based observational study. Front Endocrinol. (2024) 15:1402336. doi: 10.3389/fendo.2024.1402336

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

26. Gawaz M, Langer H, May AE. Platelets in inflammation and atherogenesis. J Clin Invest. (2005) 115:3378–84. doi: 10.1172/JCI27196

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

27. Nagao M, Nakajima H, Toh R, Hirata K-I, Ishida T. Cardioprotective effects of high-density lipoprotein beyond its anti-atherogenic action. J Atheroscler Thromb. (2018) 25:985–93. doi: 10.5551/jat.RV17025

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

28. Gregg D, Goldschmidt-Clermont PJ. Cardiology patient page. Platelets and cardiovascular disease. Circulation. (2003) 108:e88–90. doi: 10.1161/01.CIR.0000086897.15588.4B

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

29. Vinholt PJ, Hvas AM, Frederiksen H, Bathum L, Jørgensen MK, Nybo M. Platelet count is associated with cardiovascular disease, cancer and mortality: a population-based cohort study. Thromb Res. (2016) 148:136–42. doi: 10.1016/j.thromres.2016.08.012

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

30. Liu X, Zhang Y, Luo D, Chen B, Lai C, He C, et al. Association between non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and cardiometabolic multimorbidity among middle-aged and older adults in China. BMC Public Health. (2025) 25:570. doi: 10.1186/s12889-025-21757-w

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

31. Shen Y, Shi L, Nauman E, Katzmarzyk PT, Price-Haywood EG, Bazzano AN, et al. Inverse association between HDL (high-density lipoprotein) cholesterol and stroke risk among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Stroke. (2019) 50:291–7. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.118.023682

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

32. Zhou X, Wang Z, Liao W, Yin Q, Xiong C, Zheng Y, et al. Influence of sodium ferulate on neutrophil extracellular traps-platelet activation-mediated endothelial dysfunction in immune small vasculitis. Cytojournal. (2024) 21:76. doi: 10.25259/Cytojournal_153_2024

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

33. Ekholm M, Jekell A, Lundwall K, Alfredsson J, Lindahl TL, Wallén H, et al. Alterations in platelet activity and endothelial glycocalyx biomarkers by treatment with an angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor or an alpha-1 adrenoceptor antagonist in patients with hypertension: results from the DoRa study. Platelets. (2024) 35:2437768. doi: 10.1080/09537104.2024.2437768

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

34. Swieringa F, Heemskerk JWM, Assinger A. Platelet activation and signaling in thrombus formation. Blood. (2025):blood.2024025320. doi: 10.1182/blood.2024025320

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

35. Hashem C, Altin SE, Guyton JR, Boden WE. Nonlinearity of the inverse relationship between high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol and incident cardiovascular risk: is it time to revisit the “HDL hypothesis”? J Clin Lipidol. (2024) 19:238–46. doi: 10.1016/j.jacl.2024.12.009

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

36. Liang L, Peng F, Wang L, Lin C, Chi H. Effects of exercise on high-density lipoprotein levels in middle-aged and older individuals: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Medicine. (2025) 104:e41493. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000041493

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

37. Brunham LR. The role of high-density lipoproteins in sepsis. J Lipid Res. (2025) 66:100728. doi: 10.1016/j.jlr.2024.100728

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

38. Blokhin IO, Lentz SR. Mechanisms of thrombosis in obesity. Curr Opin Hematol. (2013) 20:437–44. doi: 10.1097/MOH.0b013e3283634443

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

39. Rader DJ, Hovingh GK. HDL and cardiovascular disease. Lancet. (2014) 384:618–25. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)61217-4

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

40. Ragnoli B, Chiazza F, Tarsi G, Malerba M. Biological pathways and mechanisms linking COPD and cardiovascular disease. Ther Adv Chronic Dis. (2025) 16:20406223251314286. doi: 10.1177/20406223251314286

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

41. Vaziri ND. HDL abnormalities in nephrotic syndrome and chronic kidney disease. Nat Rev Nephrol. (2016) 12:37–47. doi: 10.1038/nrneph.2015.180

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

42. Abdel-Moneim A, Mahmoud B, Sultan EA, Mahmoud R. Relationship of leukocytes, platelet indices and adipocytokines in metabolic syndrome patients. Diabetes Metab Syndr. (2019) 13:874–80. doi: 10.1016/j.dsx.2018.12.016

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

43. Zewinger S, Speer T, Kleber ME, Scharnagl H, Woitas R, Lepper PM, et al. HDL cholesterol is not associated with lower mortality in patients with kidney dysfunction. J Am Soc Nephrol. (2014) 25:1073–82. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2013050482

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

44. The Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration. C-reactive protein, fibrinogen, and cardiovascular disease prediction. N Engl J Med. (2012) 367:1310–20. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1107477

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

45. Di Castelnuovo A, Veronesi G, Costanzo S, Zeller T, Schnabel RB, De Curtis A, et al. NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) and the risk of stroke. Stroke. (2019) 50:610–7. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.118.023218

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

46. Nambi V, Chambless L, Folsom AR, He M, Hu Y, Mosley T, et al. Carotid intima-media thickness and presence or absence of plaque improves prediction of coronary heart disease risk: the ARIC (atherosclerosis risk in communities) study. J Am Coll Cardiol. (2010) 55:1600–7. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2009.11.075

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

Keywords: cardiovascular diseases, platelet-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio, cumulative platelet-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio, CHARLS, risk prediction, cohort study

Citation: Luo H, Li G, Chen Y, Shen Y and Shen W (2025) Association of platelet-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and its cumulative exposure with cardiovascular disease risk: a prospective cohort study in Chinese population. Front. Cardiovasc. Med. 12:1580359. doi: 10.3389/fcvm.2025.1580359

Received: 20 February 2025; Accepted: 25 April 2025;
Published: 9 May 2025.

Edited by:

Yanqiao Zhang, University of Arizona, United States

Reviewed by:

Jiaman Xu, Boston University, United States
Jiahe Li, University of Pittsburgh, United States
Bingyu Li, Tongji University, China

Copyright: © 2025 Luo, Li, Chen, Shen and Shen. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

*Correspondence: Yan Chen, NjQ4MzI3MjY2QHFxLmNvbQ==; Yun Shen, eXVuLnNoZW5AcGJyYy5lZHU=; Wei Shen, c2hlbndlaTE5NzFAMTI2LmNvbQ==

These authors have contributed equally to this work

Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.