ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Clim.

Sec. Climate Mobility

Volume 7 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fclim.2025.1465223

This article is part of the Research TopicAddressing Climate Risks in Refugee SettingsView all articles

Refugees and host communities' vulnerability to climate and disaster risks in Rwanda

Provisionally accepted
  • 1University of Minnesota Twin Cities, St. Paul, Minnesota, United States
  • 2University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada
  • 3United States High Commissioner for Refugees, Kigali, Rwanda

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

Climate change hazards pose significant risks to vulnerable populations, particularly refugees residing in camps within environmentally sensitive areas. This study assesses climate and disaster risks in refugee-hosting districts in Rwanda using GIS-based risk mapping, decision science tools (AHP), remote sensing, and econometric analysis. The findings reveal spatial variability in hazard exposure across camps, with Mahama and Mugombwa refugee camps experiencing the highest flood risks, while Gihembe, Kiziba, and Kigeme camps are most susceptible to landslides. Between 2013 and 2021, landslides resulted in the damage of 324 hectares of cropland in Gihembe district and caused 110 fatalities in Kiziba’s district in 2016 alone. The study also finds that Mahama camp is highly vulnerable to drought, reflecting national data indicating that 4.2 million Rwandans were affected by droughts between 1974 and 2018. In addition, Kiziba camp exhibits severe soil erosion, with up to 19 million tons of annual soil loss in its watershed area. This erosion, exacerbated by deforestation due to firewood harvesting and construction material collection, weakens slope stability, intensifying landslide risks and increasing sediment transport into local water sources, thereby impacting water quality. Our results support recent disaster management decisions by the Government of Rwanda and UNHCR, including the closure of Gihembe camp in 2021 due to landslide risks and the relocation of vulnerable populations from Kigeme camp due to erosion-induced ravine formation. While these interventions reduce immediate risks, continued efforts are needed to enhance camp resilience, strengthen early warning systems, and integrate nature-based solutions into long-term disaster risk management.

Keywords: Rwanda, flooding, landslide, natural hazards, Refugee camps

Received: 15 Jul 2024; Accepted: 20 May 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Dampha, Salemi, Polasky, Gebre Egziabher and Rappeport. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence:
Nfamara K Dampha, University of Minnesota Twin Cities, St. Paul, 55108, Minnesota, United States
Colette Salemi, University of Victoria, Victoria, V8P 5C2, British Columbia, Canada

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