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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Mar. Sci.

Sec. Coastal Ocean Processes

Volume 12 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fmars.2025.1673292

Potential impacts of typhoon tracks on storm surge and typhoon wave in the Beibu Gulf: A case study of Super Typhoon Rammasun

Provisionally accepted
Zhiyuan  WuZhiyuan Wu1Shuai  ZhangShuai Zhang1Wen  WeiWen Wei2*Kai  GaoKai Gao1Jie  ChenJie Chen1Changbo  JiangChangbo Jiang1Bin  DengBin Deng1
  • 1Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha, China
  • 2Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

Frequent typhoons in the Beibu Gulf pose a significant threat to marine and coastal infrastructure. To address this issue, we applied a fully integrated tide-surge-wave model using the Holland typhoon model and Delft3D-FLOW-WAVE. The model simulates storm surge and typhoon waves generated by Super Typhoon Rammasun (2014). We generated five idealized typhoon tracks by systematically shifting Rammasun's track to evaluate their potential impacts on storm surge and waves. The results indicate that nearshore storm surges in the Beibu Gulf exhibit a distinct rise-then-fall pattern, with the maximum surge occurring on the right-hand side of the typhoon track. Surge magnitude diminishes as the track shifts eastward. Significant wave heights undergo marked spatial redistribution upon the typhoon's entry into the Gulf, transitioning from left-to right-biased asymmetry during passage. Coastal ports in the Beibu Gulf and the eastern Leizhou Peninsula experience pronounced positive surges, while the highest surge and wave intensities occur along northeastern Hainan Island and both sides of the Qiongzhou Strait. Although based on idealized tracks, this study offers critical insights for optimizing coastal disaster mitigation against extreme typhoons in the region.

Keywords: storm surge, Typhoon wave, Coupled tide-surge-wave model, potentialimpact, Beibu Gulf, Delft3D

Received: 25 Jul 2025; Accepted: 29 Aug 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Wu, Zhang, Wei, Gao, Chen, Jiang and Deng. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Wen Wei, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China

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