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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Nucl. Eng.

Sec. Radioactive Waste Management

This article is part of the Research TopicAdvanced Modeling Techniques in Radioactive Waste DisposalView all 4 articles

Modeling glass degradation and release of radionuclides from vitrified waste for performance assessment simulations

Provisionally accepted
Stefan  FinsterleStefan Finsterle1*Jeffrey  R. McLachlanJeffrey R. McLachlan2Michael  J. Hannon Jr.Michael J. Hannon Jr.3Jesse  SloaneJesse Sloane4Rebecca  AbergelRebecca Abergel2Per  F. PetersonPer F. Peterson2
  • 1Finsterle GeoConsulting, LLC, Kensington, United States
  • 2University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, United States
  • 3Hannon Clean Energy, LLC, Bloomington, United States
  • 4Deep Isolation Nuclear, Inc., Berkeley, United States

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

The release of radionuclides initially encapsulated in a slowly degrading solid waste form and contained in an eventually corroding canister defines the source term for numerical simulations for the assessment of a geologic repository for high-level radioactive waste. While the details of waste degradation, canister corrosion, and dissolution and mobilization of the radionuclides in pore water include complex chemical reaction and transport processes that are coupled to the thermal, hydrological, microbiological, and mechanical conditions in the repository, the source-term model suitable for use in a numerical performance assessment model should be a defensible abstraction of these mechanisms. We developed a radiological source-term model and implemented it into a non-isothermal flow and transport simulator. While the proposed source-term model is applicable to various waste forms, canister systems, and disposal concepts, we specifically considered radionuclide releases from vitrified high-level waste placed in a cylindrical canister disposed in a deep vertical borehole repository. In this model, waste degradation is a function of temperature, and it can be adjusted to evaluate the influence of and propagate uncertainties in pH, passivation reactions, and chemical conditions as well as geometrical factors. The time-dependent, congruent release of safety-relevant radionuclides present in the decaying inventory is then calculated. Finally, the radionuclides are mobilized by diffusive and advective transport according to the thermo-hydraulic conditions prevailing in the near field of the repository, from where they migrate through the geosphere to the accessible environment. We examine the influence of the source-term model's parameters on performance assessment calculations through sensitivity and uncertainty propagation analyses, identifying influential factors and confirming the upper bound of their impact. These considerations align with the overarching goal of repository design, which is to demonstrate that engineered and natural barriers can collectively delay radionuclide migration for timescales far exceeding human planning, thereby providing multiple, redundant barriers against environmental contamination.

Keywords: ITOUGH2, Performance assessment model, Radioactive waste disposal, radionuclide source-term model, Vitrified waste, Waste degradation

Received: 22 Oct 2025; Accepted: 28 Nov 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Finsterle, McLachlan, Hannon Jr., Sloane, Abergel and Peterson. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Stefan Finsterle

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