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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Cardiovasc. Med.

Sec. Cardiovascular Epidemiology and Prevention

Systematic Analysis and Comparison of the Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases in China from 1990 to 2021 and Its 15-Year Prediction with Global Levels

Provisionally accepted
Tian-ming  GanTian-ming Gan1HONGHONG  KEHONGHONG KE2Yingjie  YangYingjie Yang1Guanlian  MoGuanlian Mo1Shirong  WangShirong Wang1Jin-yi  LiJin-yi Li1*
  • 1Affiliated Hospital of Guilin Medical University, Guilin, China
  • 2The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

Background and aims: Systematic assessment of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors is crucial for prevention. We used GBD 2021 data to examine long-term trends and epidemiological features of CVDs in China and globally. Methods and results: CVD prevalence, incidence, mortality, and DALYs were analyzed using joinpoint regression, age-period-cohort models, decomposition, ARIMA, and BAPC. From 1990 to 2021, age-standardized mortality and DALY rates declined, but prevalence and case numbers increased, with males bearing a higher burden. Conclusion: Rapid population aging sustains high CVD burden, highlighting the urgent need for targeted prevention and management strategies.

Keywords: Cardiovascular Diseases, disease burden, China, global, gender disparities

Received: 14 Jul 2025; Accepted: 19 Nov 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Gan, KE, Yang, Mo, Wang and Li. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Jin-yi Li, 17834968@qq.com

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