SYSTEMATIC REVIEW article

Front. Cardiovasc. Med., 09 January 2026

Sec. Coronary Artery Disease

Volume 12 - 2025 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fcvm.2025.1670418

Serum uric acid level and prognosis of acute coronary syndrome: a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis

  • 1. Changchun University of Chinese Medicine, Changchun, Jilin, China

  • 2. The Fifth People’s Hospital of Qingdao, Qingdao, Shandong, China

  • 3. Affiliated Hospital to Changchun University of Chinese Medicine, Changchun, Jilin, China

  • 4. Weifang Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Weifang, Shandong, China

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Abstract

Background:

This study aims to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis evaluating the association between serum uric acid (SUA) concentrations and clinical outcomes in individuals diagnosed with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).

Methods:

PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched up to March 2025. Stata (15.1) was employed to assess heterogeneity, perform sensitivity analyses, evaluate publication bias, and execute subgroup analyses.

Results:

A total of 40 cohort studies involving 105,609 ACS patients were included. The results showed that patients with high serum uric acid (HSUA) had significantly higher risks of all-cause mortality [Hazard Ratio [HR] = 1.81, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.47–2.22, p < 0.001; Odds Ratio [OR] = 1.97, 95% CI: 1.29–2.99, p < 0.05], major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) (HR = 1.40, 95% CI: 1.15–1.71, p < 0.05; OR=2.25, 95% CI: 1.73–2.92, p < 0.001), cardiovascular mortality (HR = 2.58, 95% CI: 1.67–3.98, p < 0.001), stroke [risk ratio (RR) = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.08–1.48, p < 0.05], and heart failure (RR = 1.90, 95% CI: 1.72–2.11, p < 0.001) compared to those with non-HSUA level. However, there was no significant effect on the risk of revascularization (RR = 1.09, 95% CI: 0.80–1.47, p = 0.594). Subgroup analyses suggested that follow-up time, type of ACS, treatment methods, and region might influence the observed associations. Additionally, SUA level was also nonlinearly related to all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Conclusion:

HSUA level is strongly associated with poor clinical outcomes in ACS patients, including mortality and major cardiovascular events. Given the nonlinear relationship with mortality, SUA could serve as a potentially valuable clinical marker. However, further multicenter studies are needed to confirm these findings.

1 Introduction

Every year, millions of people die from acute coronary syndrome (ACS). This makes the search for reliable prognostic markers more important than ever. Unstable angina, non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI), and ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) are all types of ACS. It is still a major cause of illness and death around the world (1). The risks of death, heart failure, and recurrent events are high for survivors. There has been advancement in reperfusion treatments and instruments such as the GRACE score (2). However, because of unresolved residual risks, many patients continue to fall through the cracks. This emphasizes the necessity of easily accessible and adjustable biomarkers (3). Serum uric acid (SUA), traditionally regarded as a culprit in gout due to its role as a byproduct of purine metabolism, has now emerged as a multifaceted player in cardiovascular pathology. It exerts effects through mechanisms such as NLRP3 inflammasome activation, promotion of oxidative stress, and endothelial dysfunction (4, 5). High serum uric acid (HSUA) levels are linked to worse outcomes in ACS, such as bigger infarcts, worse left ventricular function, and higher death rates (6). Some studies, on the other hand, don't find a link (7). This makes people wonder if SUA is a cause of ACS.

There were problems with previous meta-analyses (8), such as small sample sizes, big differences in the makeup of the populations studied, and not enough research into dose-response or subgroup effects. The number of people around the world with hyperuricemia is going up (9). We need to take a closer look at the role of SUA in predicting the outcome of ACS. In this systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies with more than 100,000 ACS patients, we first looked at the combined risks of death from any cause, death from heart disease, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Next, we looked at how different doses affected different groups of people based on the type of ACS, how long the follow-up lasted, and where the people lived. The goal of this study is to give stronger clinical evidence about how well SUA predicts the outcome in ACS patients and to support more personalized care.

2 Methods

2.1 Literature search

This PRISMA-compliant meta-analysis was prospectively registered on the PROSPERO international prospective register of systematic reviews (Registration ID: CRD420251013025) (10). The Cochrane Library, Embase, Web of Science, and PubMed were retrieved between the database's creation and March 2025. Among the search terms were unstable angina, myocardial infarction, acute coronary syndrome, and uric acid. Supplementary Table S1 provides more search details.

2.2 Screening criteria

Two researchers, Zongle Sun and Ju Hui, first checked titles and abstracts and then analyzed the full text of the literature. Any doubts were resolved by discussion with Yan Wang. The screening followed the following rules.

2.3 Inclusion criteria

The following requirements were satisfied by eligible studies: (i) patients diagnosed with ACS; (ii) the exposed group included ACS patients with high serum uric acid (HSUA); (iii) the control group included ACS patients with non-HSUA; (iv) primary outcomes included all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, MACE, stroke, revascularization, and heart failure; and (v) cohort design.

2.4 Exclusion criteria

The following studies were excluded: (i) animal experiments; (ii) meta, review, meeting, abstract, case report, guideline; (iii) duplicate articles; (iv) no available data for analysis.

2.5 Data extraction

Zongle Sun and Ju Hui, the authors, will filter articles based on the chosen inclusion criteria. Discussions with Yan Wang, the third researcher, about the final inclusion criteria will settle any disagreements. Author names, publication year, country of origin, study design, sample size, demographic characteristics (age, gender), follow-up time, data analysis methods, classification of SUA, type of ACS, treatment methods, and outcomes are among the information that will be included.

2.6 Definition of outcome indicators

The definition of HSUA varied among the included studies. In most studies, HSUA was defined as SUA levels >7.0 mg/dL in men and >6.0 mg/dL in women, whereas others used study-specific cut-off values or quantile-based categories. To maintain consistency with the original data, we adopted the definitions reported by each study and summarized them in Supplementary Table S2.

The definition of MACE varied among studies. Most defined MACE as a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and non-fatal stroke, while some also included revascularization, heart failure, or unstable angina. To maintain consistency and transparency, the original definitions were retained and summarized in Supplementary Table S2.

Short term outcome indicators: (i) all-cause mortality within 30 days and cardiovascular mortality within 30 days, both of which include deaths occurring during hospitalization; (ii) MACE within 30 days; (iii) other adverse clinical outcomes within 30 days, such as revascularization, stroke, and heart failure.Middle to long term outcome indicators: (i) all-cause mortality at 6 months or longer and cardiovascular mortality at 6 months or longer; (ii) MACE at 6 months or longer; (iii) other adverse clinical outcomes at 6 months or longer, such as revascularization, stroke, and heart failure. More details are provided in Supplementary Table S2.

2.7 Quality evaluation

Two reviewers independently assessed study quality using a domain-adapted Newcastle–Ottawa Scale (NOS) (11); Consultation with a third reviewer was used to settle any disputes. The adaptation follows domain-specific practices reported in the literature and prespecifies thresholds for exposure ascertainment, outcome assessment, adequacy of follow-up, and comparability. Full scoring criteria are provided in the Supplementary Tables S3 and S4.

2.8 Statistical analysis

Stata (15.1) software was used to analyze the data. A random-effects model with the DerSimonian and Laird weighted technique was used to conduct the meta-analysis (12). To address variations in reported effect measures across studies, analyses were stratified by the type of effect measure: hazard ratio (HR) for time-to-event outcomes and odds ratio (OR) or relative risk (RR) for binary outcomes. Where studies reported RR or OR, these were pooled separately after transforming RR to OR using standard methods to ensure consistency within that stratum; HR were not transformed or pooled with OR/RR due to their distinct statistical interpretations and underlying assumptions. Separate forest plots were generated for each stratum (e.g., one for HR and one for OR) to estimate overall effects without combining incompatible measures (13). Meta-analysis of the studies was depicted as forest plots to estimate the overall RR, OR and HR. I2 statistics were used to assess study heterogeneity and were classed as follows: Because of the significant heterogeneity shown by I2 ≥ 50%, a random-effects model was used to account for between-study variation (14). Sensitivity analysis (leave-one-out method) identified potential sources of heterogeneity. Subgroup analyses stratified studies by control group type. For analyses with I2 < 50%, a fixed-effects model was applied, assuming a common effect size across studies. Methods for evaluating potential bias in publications included Egger's test and the funnel plot (15). When conducting two-tailed tests, statistical significance was defined as a two-tailed p-value < 0.05 in all analyses. We conducted a dose-response analysis using a recognized technique in order to thoroughly describe the dose-response relationship (1618). For this method, at least three quantitative exposure categories have to have their total number of participants and cases, HR estimates, and variance estimates. The associated risk estimate for each study was based on the median/mean uric acid levels for each category. For categories lacking reported median/mean UA values, the central tendency was estimated by taking the midpoint of the upper and lower category boundaries. The interval's width was assumed to be identical to that of the nearest category if either the highest or lowest category was open-ended (19). When the reference category utilized in the analysis was not the lowest group, risk estimates were converted using the Hamling et al. (20) technique. In order to investigate the possible correlation between the risk of cardiovascular events and uric acid levels, we used restricted cubic splines to model exposure levels. Three knots were positioned at the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles of the exposure distribution. The null hypothesis that the coefficient of the second spline term was equal to zero was tested in order to determine nonlinearity. Every statistical test had a significance threshold of p < 0.05 and was two-sided.

3 Results

3.1 Literature search and screening process

The literature search yielded 9,824 potentially relevant articles. Automated deduplication reduced this to 3,087 unique publications. Screening of titles and abstracts further narrowed the set to 64 articles, which were then subjected to full-text review. Ultimately, 40 articles were included in the analysis. The details can be found in Figure 1.

Figure 1

Flowchart depicting the identification and screening process of studies for review. Initially, 9,824 records were identified from databases. After removing 3,087 duplicates, 6,737 records were screened. From these, 6,662 were excluded for reasons such as reviews, animal experiments, and non-English literature. Seventy-five reports were sought for retrieval, with 11 not retrieved. Sixty-four reports were assessed for eligibility, and 24 were excluded due to issues like incomplete data. Ultimately, 40 studies were included in the review.

Flowchart of the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses.

3.2 Methodological quality and baseline characteristics of selected studies

A total of 40 (6, 7, 2158) studies, encompassing various countries and regions, were included. These comprised both prospective and retrospective cohort studies conducted between 2005 and 2025, involving 105,609 ACS patients with sample sizes ranging from 184 to 27,959. Participant demographics varied in age, gender, ACS type, follow-up time, data analysis methods, classification of SUA, and treatment methods. All-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, MACE, heart failure, stroke, and revascularization were the main outcomes evaluated, as indicated in Table 1 and Supplementary Table S2. Subgroup analysis will be conducted from four aspects: follow-up time, type of ACS, treatment methods, and region. Quality assessment using the NOS demonstrated the following score distribution among included studies: 36 studies ≥6 points, 3 studies with 5 points, and 1 study at 4 points (Supplementary Table S4).

Table 1

Author Publication year Country Study design Sample size Age Gender (male/female) Data analysis methods Type of ACS Follow-up time Treatment methods Outcome
Akpek et al. (21) 2011 Turkey Prospective cohort study 289 60.00 221/67 Multivariate analysis STEMI 1 year PCI Mace/Revascularization
Basar et al. (22) 2011 Turkey Retrospective cohort study 185 58.74 148/37 Multivariate analysis STEMI In-hospital period PCI All-Cause Mortality
Chen et al. (23) 2012 China Retrospective cohort study 502 61.27 417/85 Multivariate analysis STEMI In-hospital period/24.3 months/5 years PCI/non-PCI Stroke/Heart failure
Kaya et al. (24) 2012 Turkey Prospective cohort study 2,249 57.14 1,853/396 Multivariate analysis STEMI average of 2.8 years PCI Cardiovascular Mortality/Mace/Revascularization/Stroke/Heart failure
Krishnan et al. (25) 2012 America Prospective cohort study 4,352 54.90 3,877/475 Univariate Analysis STEMI/NSTEMI 1 year PCI/non-PCI All-Cause Mortality/Cardiovascular Mortality
Ndrepepa et al. (26) 2012 Germany Prospective cohort study 5,124 67.87 3,762/1,362 Multivariate analysis ACS In-hospital period PCI All-Cause Mortality
Omidvar et al. (27) 2012 Iran Prospective cohort study 184 58.00 129/55 Multivariate analysis STEMI In-hospital period PCI/non-PCI All-Cause Mortality
Wang et al. (28) 2012 China Prospective cohort study 276 56.41 ± 11.22 221/55 Multivariate analysis STEMI 3.5 years PCI No-reflow Phenomenon
Levantesi et al. (29) 2013 Italy Retrospective cohort study 10,840 59.30 9,247/1,593 Multivariate analysis STEMI/NSTEMI 1 year PCI/non-PCI All-Cause Mortality/Cardiovascular Mortality
Timóteo et al. (30) 2013 Portugal Retrospective cohort study 683 64.00 471/212 Multivariate analysis ACS 6 months PCI/non-PCI All-Cause Mortality
Akgul et al. (31) 2014 Turkey Prospective cohort study 434 55.40 341/93 Multivariate analysis STEMI In-hospital period PCI/non-PCI All-Cause Mortality/Revascularization/Stroke/Heart failure
Gazi et al. (32) 2014 Turkey Retrospective cohort study 586 61.02 467/119 Multivariate analysis STEMI In-hospital period PCI/non-PCI Cardiovascular Mortality/Heart failure
Karim et al. (33) 2015 Indonesia Retrospective cohort study 251 57.10 169/82 Univariate Analysis ACS 1 year PCI/non-PCI Mace/Revascularization
Lazzeri et al. (34) 2015 Italy Prospective cohort study 329 77.20 177/152 Multivariate analysis STEMI 3 years PCI All-Cause Mortality
Von Lueder et al. (35) 2015 Multiple countries Retrospective cohort study 12,677 65.25 9,065/3,612 Multivariate analysis STEMI/NSTEMI 20 months PCI/non-PCI All-Cause Mortality/Cardiovascular Mortality
Hajizadeh et al. (36) 2016 Iran Prospective cohort study 608 62.60 437/171 Multivariate analysis STEMI In-hospital period PCI/non-PCI Stroke
Ranjith et al. (40) 2016 South Africa Retrospective cohort study 2,683 57.10 1,740/943 Multivariate analysis STEMI/NSTEMI 30 days/1 year PCI/non-PCI Cardiovascular Mortality/Mace/Stroke/Heart failure
Liu et al. (7) 2017 China Retrospective cohort study 944 57.69 831/113 Multivariate analysis STEMI In-hospital period PCI All-Cause Mortality
Magnoni et al. (37) 2017 Italy Retrospective cohort study 1,548 62.71 1,121/427 Multivariate analysis ACS In-hospital period PCI/non-PCI All-Cause Mortality
Morn et al. (38) 2017 Mexico Retrospective cohort study 795 59.00 668/127 Multivariate analysis STEMI The median follow-up period of 365 days PCI/non-PCI All-Cause Mortality/Stroke/Heart failure
Pagidipati et al. (39) 2017 Multiple countries Retrospective cohort study 27,959 63.35 20,068/7,891 Univariate Analysis/Multivariate analysis ACS 2 years PCI/non-PCI Stroke
Kobayashi et al. (41) 2018 Japan Retrospective cohort study 1,308 66.62 1,042/266 Univariate Analysis ACS 2 years PCI/non-PCI Cardiovascular Mortality
Kobayashi et al. (42) 2018 Japan Retrospective cohort study 1,114 66.44 995/119 Multivariate analysis/propensity score adjusted ACS The median follow-up period of 5.5 ± 2.9 years PCI/non-PCI Cardiovascular Mortality
Tscharre et al. (44) 2018 Austria Prospective cohort study 1,215 62.90 805/408 Multivariate analysis ACS 5 years PCI/non-PCI Cardiovascular Mortality/Mace
Lopez et al. (43) 2018 Spain Prospective cohort study 1,119 68.10 830/289 Multivariate analysis STEMI/NSTEMI The median follow-up period of 246.31 ± 49.16 days PCI/non-PCI All-Cause Mortality/Cardiovascular Mortality/Mace
Ye et al. (45) 2018 China Retrospective cohort study 2,296 60.09 1,558/738 Multivariate analysis ACS In-hospital period/1 year PCI All-Cause Mortality
Tai et al. (48) 2019 China Retrospective cohort study 711 78.12 438/273 Multivariate analysis STEMI/NSTEMI The median follow-up of 2.3 ± 1.0 years PCI/non-PCI All-Cause Mortality/Revascularization/Stroke/Heart failure
Guo et al. (46) 2019 China Prospective cohort study 1,005 61.82 849/156 Univariate Analysis STEMI/NSTEMI 1 year PCI All-Cause Mortality
Mandurino et al. (51) 2020 Italy Prospective cohort study 2,369 63.35 1,840/529 Multivariate analysis STEMI In-hospital period PCI All-Cause Mortality
Centola et al. (47) 2020 Italy Retrospective cohort study 1,088 68.7 ± 13.36 830/258 Multivariate analysis ACS The median follow-up of 41.7 months PCI/non-PCI All-Cause Mortality
Ma et al. (50) 2021 China Prospective cohort study 1,179 55.70 867/312 Multivariate analysis STEMI/NSTEMI 30 months PCI/non-PCI Mace/Revascularization/Stroke/Heart failure
Mohammed et al. (52) 2021 China Prospective cohort study 249 62.67 127/122 propensity score adjusted STEMI/NSTEMI The median follow-up of 5.02 (3.07, 7.55) years PCI/non-PCI Mace/Stroke/Heart failure
Kim et al. (53) 2022 Korea Retrospective cohort study 5,888 64.00 4,141/1,744 Multivariate analysis STEMI/NSTEMI In-hospital period PCI All-Cause Mortality/Cardiovascular Mortality/Revascularization/Stroke/Heart failure
Nakahashi et al. (55) 2022 Japan Retrospective cohort study 989 68.00 763/226 Multivariate analysis STEMI/NSTEMI 5 years PCI All-Cause Mortality
Tang et al. (56) 2022 China Prospective cohort study 1,448 - 1,238/210 Multivariate analysis STEMI The median of 4 years PCI All-Cause Mortality/Cardiovascular mortality/Mace/Revascularization/Stroke
Nakahashi et al. (54) 2022 America Retrospective cohort study 1,068 69.00 794/74 Univariate Analysis ACS 3 years PCI All-Cause Mortality
Dyrbuś et al. (49) 2023 Poland Retrospective cohort study 2,824 66.12 1,844/980 Multivariate analysis ACS 1 year PCI/non-PCI All-Cause Mortality
Liang et al. (57) 2023 China Retrospective cohort study 1,396 63.90 1,104/292 Multivariate analysis STEMI 1 year PCI/non-PCI All-Cause Mortality
Nie et al. (6) 2024 China Retrospective cohort study 4,319 63.07 3,144/1,175 Multivariate analysis STEMI/NSTEMI The median follow-up of 64 (46, 79) months PCI/non-PCI All-Cause Mortality/Cardiovascular Mortality
Li et al. (58) 2025 China Retrospective cohort study 526 81.35 327/199 Data analysis methods ACS Follow-up time PCI/non-PCI Mace

Baseline characteristics.

3.3 All-cause mortality

A total of 12 studies assessed all-cause mortality(HR), involving 22,696 patients. Heterogeneity analysis (I2 = 66.1%, p < 0.05) showed significant heterogeneity. The risk of all-cause mortality was significantly higher for the HSUA group than for the non-HSUA group (HR = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.47–2.22, p < 0.001) (Figure 2A and Supplementary Table S5). Subgroup analyses revealed that across multiple clinical categories, the HSUA group had a higher all-cause mortality rate than the non-HSUA group: Middle to long follow-up (11 studies; HR = 1.80, 95% CI: 1.44–2.23, p < 0.001), Short follow-up (2 studies; HR = 1.69, 95% CI: 1.08–2.64, p < 0.001), STEMI (6 studies; HR = 2.07, 95% CI: 1.59–2.70, p < 0.001), ACS (3 studies; HR = 1.84, 95% CI: 1.23–2.76, p < 0.05), STEMI/NSTEMI (3 studies; HR = 1.43, 95% CI: 1.08–1.89, p < 0.05), Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) (6 studies; HR = 1.64, 95% CI: 1.24–2.17, p < 0.05), PCI/non-PCI (6 studies; HR = 1.95, 95% CI: 1.53–2.50, p < 0.001), Europe (4 studies; HR = 2.28, 95% CI: 1.53–3.40, p < 0.001), America (1 study; HR = 1.99, 95% CI: 1.08–3.66, p < 0.05),and Asia (7 studies; HR = 1.55, 95% CI: 1.25–1.92, p < 0.001) (Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S5). The Middle to long follow-up, Short follow-up, STEMI, ACS, STEMI/NSTEMI, PCI/non-PCI, Europe, Asia subgroups showed less heterogeneity (Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S5).

Figure 2

Four forest plots labeled A, B, C, and D compare meta-analytic data with hazard ratios (HR) or odds ratios (OR) and confidence intervals (CI). Each plot lists studies by author and year. Plot A shows an overall HR of 1.81, plot B an overall OR of 1.97, plot C an overall HR of 1.40, and plot D an overall OR of 2.20. Weights and I-squared values indicate variance. The plots use random-effects models with different horizontal scales for ratios and emphasize the pooled result with a diamond symbol.

Meta-analysis on the prognosis of ACS patients with HSUA and Non-HSUA groups. (A) All-cause mortality(HR). (B) All-cause mortality(OR). (C) MACE(HR). (D) MACE(OR).

A total of 7 studies assessed all-cause mortality(OR), involving 7,467 patients. Heterogeneity analysis (I2 = 72.4%, p < 0.05) showed significant heterogeneity. The risk of all-cause mortality was significantly higher for the HSUA group than for the non-HSUA group (OR = 1.97, 95% CI: 1.29–2.99, p < 0.05) (Figure 2B and Supplementary Table S5). Subgroup analyses revealed that across multiple clinical categories, the HSUA group had a higher all-cause mortality rate than the non-HSUA group: Middle to long follow-up (2 studies; OR = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.03–1.32, p < 0.05), Short follow-up (5 studies; OR = 2.67, 95% CI: 1.60–4.45, p < 0.001), ACS (2 studies; OR = 4.69, 95% CI: 1.39–15.85, p < 0.05), STEMI/NSTEMI (3 studies; OR = 1.63, 95% CI: 1.17–2.26, p < 0.05), PCI/non-PCI (5 studies; OR = 2.43, 95% CI: 1.37–4.31, p < 0.05),Asia (3 studies; OR = 1.55, 95% CI: 1.10–2.74, p < 0.05), and Africa (1 study; OR = 1.70, 95% CI: 1.02–2.84, p < 0.05) (Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S5). No notable differences in all-cause mortality were detected among the subgroups of Middle to long follow-up, STEMI, PCI, and Europe (Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S5). The Middle to long follow-up, Short follow-up, STEMI, ACS, STEMI/NSTEMI, PCI, Asia subgroups showed less heterogeneity (Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S5).

3.4 MACE

A total of 7 studies assessed MACE(HR), involving 33,697 patients. Heterogeneity analysis (I2 = 82.1%, p < 0.001) showed significant heterogeneity. In comparison to the non-HSUA group, the HSUA group had a significantly elevated risk of MACE (HR = 1.40, 95% CI: 1.15–1.71, p < 0.05) (Figure 2C and Supplementary Table S5). The subgroup demonstrated that the HSUA group had significantly higher MACE risk compared with the non-HSUA group across multiple categories: ACS (4 studies; HR = 1.55, 95% CI: 1.08–2.22, p < 0.05),STEMI/NSTEMI (2 studies; HR = 1.40, 95% CI: 1.18–1.66, p < 0.001), Asia (4 studies; HR = 1.54, 95% CI: 1.11–2.14, p < 0.05), Others (3 studies; HR = 1.29, 95% CI: 1.00–1.67, p < 0.05). No notable changes were detected in the “STEMI” groupings (Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S5). Reduced heterogeneity was observed in the STEMI/NSTEMI category (Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S5).

A total of 3 studies assessed MACE(OR), involving 2,787 patients. Heterogeneity analysis (I2 = 35.5%, p = 0.207) showed low heterogeneity. In comparison to the non-HSUA group, the HSUA group had a significantly elevated risk of MACE (OR = 2.25, 95% CI: 1.73–2.92, p < 0.001) (Figure 2D and Supplementary Table S5). The subgroup analysis demonstrated that the HSUA group had significantly higher MACE risk compared with the non-HSUA group across different follow-up time: Middle to long follow-up (2 studies; OR = 1.78, 95% CI: 1.21–2.61, p < 0.05), Short follow-up (2 studies; OR = 2.51, 95% CI: 1.86–3.89, p < 0.001). Reduced heterogeneity was observed in both subgroups (Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S5).

3.5 Cardiovascular mortality

A total of 9 studies assessed cardiovascular mortality, involving 19,246 patients. Heterogeneity analysis (I2 = 92.9%, p < 0.001) showed significant heterogeneity. The risk of cardiovascular mortality (HR = 2.58, 95% CI: 1.67–3.98, p < 0.001) substantially increased in the HSUA group compared to the non-HSUA group (Figure 3A and Supplementary Table S5).

Figure 3

Forest plot with four panels labeled A, B, C, and D, each showing meta-analysis results. Panel A presents hazard ratios (HR), panel B and C present relative risks (RR) with different confidence intervals and weights for various studies. Panel D shows RR with a different analysis model. Diamonds at the bottom of each panel represent overall estimates. Each panel includes a measure of heterogeneity.

Meta-analysis on the prognosis of ACS patients with HSUA and Non-HSUA groups. (A) Cardiovascular mortality. (B) Revascularization. (C) Stroke. (D) Heart failure.

The subgroup analysis revealed that the HSUA group exhibited a higher risk of cardiovascular mortality compared to the non-HSUA group in all evaluated categories: STEMI (3 studies; HR = 3.84, 95% CI: 2.34–6.32, p < 0.001), ACS (3 studies; HR = 2.73, 95% CI: 1.43–5.23, p < 0.05), STEMI/NSTEMI (3 studies; HR = 1.68, 95% CI: 1.11–2.53, p < 0.001), PCI/non-PCI (6 studies; HR = 2.68, 95% CI: 1.84–3.89, p < 0.001), Europe (3 studies; HR = 3.50, 95% CI: 1.78–6.88, p < 0.001), and Asia (5 studies; HR = 2.37, 95% CI: 1.33–4.24, p < 0.05). No substantial differences were observed in the PCI subgroup (Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S5). The STEMI subgroups exhibited reduced heterogeneity (Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S5).

3.6 Revascularization

A total of 7 studies assessed revascularization, involving 19,960 patients. Heterogeneity analysis (I2 = 83.6%, p < 0.001) showed significant heterogeneity. In comparison to the non-HSUA group, the HSUA group presented no statistically notable elevation in the risk of revascularization (RR = 1.09, 95% CI: 0.80–1.47, p = 0.594) (Figure 3B and Supplementary Table S5).

In the short-term (RR = 0.67, 95% CI: 0.46–0.96, p < 0.05) and ACS (RR = 0.64, 95% CI: 0.43–0.96, p < 0.001) subgroups, the HSUA group showed a significantly lower revascularization risk compared to the non-HSUA group. No notable differences in revascularization risk were detected among the subgroups of Middle to long follow-up, STEMI, STEMI/NSTEMI, Europe, and Asia (Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S5). Lower heterogeneity was found in the Short follow-up, ACS, STEMI/NSTEMI, and Asia subgroups (Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S5).

3.7 Stroke

A total of 12 studies assessed stroke, involving 44,705 patients. Heterogeneity analysis (I2 = 47.2%, p = 0.035) showed moderate heterogeneity. In comparison to the non-HSUA group, the HSUA group presented a significantly elevated risk of stroke (RR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.08–1.48, p < 0.05) (Figure 3C and Supplementary Table S5).

The subgroup analysis results indicated that the HSUA group had a significantly higher risk of stroke compared with the non-HSUA group in numerous categories: Short follow-up (7 studies; RR = 1.92, 95% CI: 1.10–3.35, p < 0.05), STEMI (6 studies; RR = 2.30, 95% CI: 1.05–5.01, p < 0.05), PCI/non-PCI (9 studies; RR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.06–1.53, p < 0.05), and Europe (2 studies; RR = 2.96, 95% CI: 1.16–7.53, p < 0.05). No substantial differences in stroke risk were noted among the subgroups of Middle to long, ACS, STEMI/non-STEMI, PCI, Asia, and “Others” (Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S5). Lower heterogeneity was found in the Middle to long follow-up, STEMI, ACS, STEMI/NSTEMI, PCI/non-PCI, Europe, and “Others” subgroups (Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S5).

3.8 Heart failure

A total of 10 studies assessed heart failure, involving 15,276 patients. Heterogeneity analysis (I2 = 44.8%, p = 0.061) showed moderate heterogeneity. In comparison to the non-HSUA group, the HSUA group presented a substantially elevated risk of heart failure (RR = 1.90, 95% CI: 1.72–2.11, p < 0.001) (Figure 3D and Supplementary Table S5).

Subgroup analysis found that the prospective risk of heart failure in the listed groups of the HSUA group surpassed that of the non-HSUA group: Middle to long follow-up (4 studies; RR = 1.95, 95% CI: 1.64–2.23, p < 0.001), Short follow-up (6 studies; RR = 1.88, 95% CI: 1.66–2.12, p < 0.001), STEMI (5 studies; RR = 2.32, 95% CI: 1.86–2.74, p < 0.001), STEMI/NSTEMI (5 studies; RR = 1.71, 95% CI: 1.51–1.95, p < 0.001), PCI (2 studies; RR = 1.90, 95% CI: 1.58–2.29, p < 0.001), PCI/non-PCI (8 studies; RR = 1.90, 95% CI: 1.69–2.14, p < 0.001), Europe (3 studies; RR = 2.14, 95% CI: 1.61–2.21, p < 0.001), Asia (5 studies; RR = 1.89, 95% CI: 1.51–1.95, p < 0.001), and “Others” (2 studies; RR = 1.76, 95% CI: 1.48–2.09, p < 0.001) (Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S5). Lower heterogeneity was found in the Middle to long follow-up, STEMI, STEMI/NSTEMI, PCI, Europe, and “Others” subgroups (Supplementary Figure S1 and Supplementary Table S5).

3.9 Dose-response analysis

The dose-response relationships of SUA concentrations with composite all-cause and cardiovascular mortality outcomes were analyzed. The nonlinear test results indicated that all-cause mortality exhibited a nonlinear trend (p = 0.753) (Figure 4A). At 3.978, 5.99, and 8.98 mg/dL, the HR (95% CI) of all-cause mortality were 1.06 (0.95–1.20), 1.16 (0.87–1.52), and 1.41 (1.05–1.84), respectively. Cardiovascular mortality showed a nonlinear trend (p = 0.806) (Figure 4B). At 4.00, 8.99, and 12.02 mg/dL, the HR (95% CI) of cardiovascular mortality were 1.28 (0.94–1.69), 4.83 (1.45–14.25), and 12.03 (1.60–23.75), respectively.

Figure 4

Two line graphs labeled A and B plot hazard ratios (HR) against uric acid levels. Graph A shows a gradual increase in HR from 1.0 to around 3.5 as uric acid levels rise. Graph B shows a steep increase in HR from 1.0 to approximately 40.0, with an accelerated rise at higher uric acid levels. Both graphs include solid and dashed lines indicating different datasets or confidence intervals.

Dose–response meta-analysis between SUA levels and mortality in patients with ACS. (A) All-cause mortality. (B) Cardiovascular mortality.

3.10 Sensitivity analysis and publication bias analysis

By performing a leave-one-out sensitivity analysis, all outcomes demonstrated good robustness. For outcomes with ≥10 studies, funnel plots and Egger's test were conducted to assess publication bias. Egger's test indicated a significant probability of publication bias for the HR for all-cause mortality (P < 0.05). The application of the trim-and-fill method to address this bias resulted in a reversal of the estimated impact sizes for the outcome indicators, suggesting that the original analysis results may have been overestimated due to the small study effect or selective publication of positive findings. Consequently, a cautious interpretation is warranted for the outcome. Conversely, the funnel plots and Egger's test results for stroke, and heart failure exhibited no discernible publication bias, indicating that the associations of these outcomes were relatively reliable. The detailed results are illustrated in Supplementary Figure S2.

4 Discussion

ACS is still one of the main causes of heart disease and death around the world, so we need reliable prognostic biomarkers to help us better manage patients and improve their outcomes. This systematic review and meta-analysis, which included 40 cohort studies and a total of 105,609 patients, shows that there may be a link between HSUA level and bad clinical outcomes in ACS. This shows that SUA could be a very important tool for figuring out who is at risk.

There is a close two-way link between HSUA and ACS. HSUA can happen because of different problems like metabolism issues, oxidative stress, kidney problems, and long-term inflammation (1, 4, 5). Together, these conditions damage the endothelium, change the structure of blood vessels, and promote clot formation. As a result, they can worsen or sustain the development of ACS. Strong inflammation during ACS can make the body respond more to uric acid crystals. The reaction happens through the NLRP3 inflammasome pathway. This response makes more harmful oxygen substances, stops the blood vessels from making nitric oxide, and causes the cells in the blood vessels to die. These problems make it more likely that plaques in the arteries will break and cause heart attacks to become worse. Furthermore, Rebora et al. suggest that elevated UA may act as an index of peripheral hypoperfusion in ACS patients with acute HF, where it could reflect worsened responses to hypoperfusion (potentially influenced by diuretics), serving as an indirect marker of increased mortality rather than a direct causal factor (59). HSUA can also raise the risk of stroke, it does this by promoting blood-brain barrier disruption and cerebrovascular inflammation. People with ACS are more likely to have this if they also have high blood pressure in the lungs or problems with the right side of the heart. People with ACS often also have metabolic problems. These include high blood pressure, diabetes, and being overweight. These problems can make it harder for the kidneys to remove uric acid, especially by changing how a protein called URAT1 works. This leads to higher uric acid levels and creates a cycle that makes inflammation-related ACS get worse. The precise causal sequence of these interactions often hinges on underlying comorbidities and individualized pathophysiological profiles.

The findings of this study reveal that HSUA substantially elevates the risks of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, MACE, stroke, and heart failure among patients with ACS. These results align partially with those of a prior meta-analysis; however, the present investigation extends these insights by incorporating a more expansive evidence base (40 vs. 14 studies) and evaluating additional endpoints, such as stroke and heart failure, which were insufficiently addressed in earlier efforts. The nonlinear dose-response relationships for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality back up the idea of a threshold effect. Risks go up a lot when SUA levels go above a certain point. Because there is no link with revascularization, it seems that the severity of the coronary lesions and the choices made by doctors are the main factors that affect this outcome. The levels of SUA do not have a big effect on it. These ideas are backed up by subgroup analyses. They show that the effect is stronger in people with STEMI. This could mean that uric acid can hurt their hearts more easily.

Because of the considerable heterogeneity revealed in this meta-analysis, we further performed subgroup analyses to explore its sources. When HSUA group was compared with non-HSUA group, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, MACE (HR), and revascularization presented high heterogeneity; whereas stroke and heart failure presented moderate heterogeneity. Subgroup analyses indicated that follow-up time, ACS subtype, treatment method, and geographic region contributed to this high heterogeneity, and reduction of I2 could be observed in certain strata. For all-cause mortality, HSUA patients showed higher risk of acute events in short-term follow-up groups. Mid to long-term follow-up could decrease the risk differences of acute events in HSUA patients, which may weaken overall heterogeneity of all-cause mortality. This may be due to the fact that the nature of acute inflammation in ACS is amplified by HSUA-induced oxidative stress and NLRP3 inflammasome activity, and these effects could cause inconsistent early outcomes like faster myocardial ischemia or stroke (4, 5). Similarly, the large overall I2 of cardiovascular mortality may be correlated to disease subtype. For example, STEMI patients always present more severe ischemia-reperfusion injury and endothelial dysfunction, which may cause more overall I2 than cardiac acute events in NSTEMI patients with mostly chronic plaque instability (26, 44). In addition, the MACE heterogeneity seemed also related to ACS subtype distinctions. For STEMI/NSTEMI subgroup (HR = 1.40, 95% CI: 1.18–1.66; reduced I2), the amplified inflammatory response may increase composite risk in HSUA patients; whereas ACS broader groups also contributed to higher overall I2.Treatment method including PCI vs. non-PCI strategies also contributed substantially to this heterogeneity. Post-interventional inflammatory cascade may differentially modulate the effects of HSUA on vascular remodeling and neurological sequelae, causing discrepant outcome reporting between PCI and non-PCI strategies (35, 51, 56). In addition, geographic region also contributed, and Europe/Asia subgroups indicated different overall I², such as higher HR in Europe for all-cause mortality, 2.28, 95% CI: 1.53–3.40, which may be related to differences in population genetics, dietary urate intake, healthcare access, and comorbid profiles like hypertension and diabetes prevalence. In addition, emerging evidence, including findings from the URRAH project, suggests that lower SUA cut-off values (e.g., >5.1 mg/dL for females and >5.6 mg/dL for males) may more accurately predict cardiovascular events and mortality than traditional thresholds (60). Although diuretic use—a common contributor to hyperuricemia—was adjusted for or reported in the baseline characteristics of many included studies, residual confounding may still be present (61). This could partly explain the heterogeneity observed in our findings and highlights the need for further validation in ACS cohorts.

For stroke and heart failure, differences between studies were smaller. Subgroup analyses elucidated specific influences on these outcomes, particularly follow-up time, ACS subtype, treatment method, and geographic region, with several subgroups showing reduced heterogeneity. Stroke risk showed a HR of 1.45 in short-term follow-up groups and 2.11 in STEMI groups. This may be because HSUA patients have higher risk for blood vessel events during the acute phase. This is caused by differences in thrombogenesis or inflammatory processes. Long-term data may show reduced risk through inflammation control and active medical treatments. In heart failure, patients with HSUA showed consistently higher risk across multiple subgroups, with the association most pronounced in European cohorts. These factors include dietary patterns, lifestyle, or differences in medical intervention standards.

This study highlights SUA as a prognostic marker in ACS, showing its link to adverse outcomes. The heterogeneity observed suggests that HSUA's role in ACS prognosis is influenced by clinical, methodological, and demographic factors. It explains how uric acid contributes to cardiovascular issues through inflammation and oxidative stress. The risks associated with HSUA suggest the potential of urate-lowering therapies in ACS treatment. Future research should use standardized SUA thresholds, consider confounders like diuretic use, and employ larger, diverse prospective cohorts to refine these findings.

5 Conclusion

The clinical value of SUA as a possible target for intervention, HSUA greatly increases the risk of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, MACE, stroke, and heart failure in these patients and has a nonlinear mortality connection. However, other factors may confound these conclusions. There should be more high-quality randomized controlled trials to confirm the effect of controlling blood uric acid on prognosis.

Statements

Data availability statement

The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/Supplementary Material, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding authors.

Author contributions

ZS: Conceptualization, Data curation, Writing – original draft, Methodology. JH: Data curation, Methodology, Writing – original draft. YW: Data curation, Writing – review & editing. JW: Visualization, Writing – review & editing. RH: Visualization, Writing – review & editing. LL: Funding acquisition, Visualization, Writing – review & editing. YC: Writing – review & editing, Supervision. JG: Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Supervision, Writing – review & editing.

Funding

The author(s) declared that financial support was received for this work and/or its publication. This work was supported by the 2023 Natural Science Foundation Project of Jilin Province (YDZJ202301ZYTS163), the 2023 Innovation and Entrepreneurship Talent Funding Project of Jilin Province (2023QN22), and the Weifang Development Plan Project (2022YX014).

Conflict of interest

The author(s) declared that this work was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Generative AI statement

The author(s) declared that generative AI was not used in the creation of this manuscript.

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Supplementary material

The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2025.1670418/full#supplementary-material

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Summary

Keywords

serum uric acid, acute coronary syndrome, prognosis, systematic review, meta-analysis

Citation

Sun Z, Hui J, Wang Y, Wang J, He R, Lyu L, Cui Y and Guo J (2026) Serum uric acid level and prognosis of acute coronary syndrome: a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis. Front. Cardiovasc. Med. 12:1670418. doi: 10.3389/fcvm.2025.1670418

Received

22 July 2025

Revised

31 October 2025

Accepted

15 December 2025

Published

09 January 2026

Volume

12 - 2025

Edited by

Maurizio Giuseppe Abrignani, Asp Trapani, Italy

Reviewed by

Ivica Bosnjak, Osijek Clinical Hospital Center, Croatia

Himanshu Rai, Mater Private Network, Ireland

Updates

Copyright

* Correspondence: Jiajuan Guo Yingzi Cui

Disclaimer

All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.

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