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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Clim.

Sec. Climate and Decision Making

This article is part of the Research TopicClimate-Solidary Pathways: Individual Choices and Collective Strategies for a Just TransitionView all articles

Accuracy-directed Climate Reasoning: How Self-efficacy, Interest, Confidence and Judgments Relate to Knowledge and Reasoning Outcomes

Provisionally accepted
  • University of Maryland Department of Human Development and Quantitative Methodology, College Park, United States

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

This study examined how cognitive and motivational factors relate to individuals' reasoning about climate change and sustainability. Specifically, we investigated whether self-efficacy, interest, and confidence in accomplishing environmental sustainability tasks are associated with plausibility judgments, climate change knowledge, and reasoning directionality. A sample of 503 U.S. adults completed measures assessing these constructs. Structural equation modeling showed that interest, self-efficacy, and confidence were positively associated with plausibility judgments, which in turn related to higher levels of climate change knowledge and accuracy-directed reasoning. Participants demonstrating accuracy-directed reasoning exhibited enhanced self-efficacy, greater interest, higher knowledge, and stronger plausibility judgments compared to those engaging in desired outcome-directed reasoning. These findings suggest that self-efficacy, interest, and critical evaluation skills are meaningfully related with epistemic engagement and scientifically grounded reasoning, and may be relevant targets for future efforts at supporting sustainability-oriented action and decision-making.

Keywords: Climate Change, knowledgeconstruction, Motivated reasoning, Motivation, plausibility judgments, sustainability

Received: 15 Sep 2025; Accepted: 26 Jan 2026.

Copyright: © 2026 Hanedar and Lombardi. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Melike Hanedar

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