Optimizing Agricultural Yield: A Predictive Model for Profitable Crop Harvesting Based on Market Dynamics

Nilesh P. Sable^1*Vinod Kumar Shukla²Parikshit N Mahalle³

• ¹Vishwakarma Institute of Information Technology, Pune, India
• ²School of Engineering Architecture & Interior Design, Amity University Dubai, United Arab Emirates, DUBAI, United Arab Emirates
• ³Vishwakarma Institute of Technology, Pune, Maharashtra, India

In agriculture, optimizing harvesting schedules is crucial for maximizing profits while minimizing resource waste. This research introduces a novel forecasting model that forecasts the most profitable months to harvest different crops, to optimize agricultural productivity. Using Machine Learning (ML) techniques, our program takes historical price data, seasonal trends, and market dynamics into account to determine the best harvesting dates. To be more specific, we train and evaluate predictive models using three years' worth of agricultural data from Krushi Utpanna Bazar Samiti in Haveli Pune using several machine learning techniques, such as Random Forest (RF), Decision Trees (DT), Linear Regression (LR), and others. After a thorough study using the Mean Squared Error (MSE) and R² score, it was determined that the DT model performed the best, with an outstanding R² score of 99%. Furthermore, we use Streamlit to create an easy-to-use web application that lets farmers input crop types, years, and desired price estimates to determine the best months to harvest. Our approach gives farmers a data-driven means to make informed decisions that increase revenue and improve the sustainability of agriculture. By developing precision agriculture and decision support systems, we want to enhance agricultural productivity and enable more efficient crop management techniques.