Your new experience awaits. Try the new design now and help us make it even better

ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Immunol., 10 November 2025

Sec. Cancer Immunity and Immunotherapy

Volume 16 - 2025 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fimmu.2025.1676768

A tumor immune microenvironment gene expression signature for predicting prognosis, immunotherapy efficacy, and drug candidates in triple-negative breast cancer

Li Bai&#x;Li Bai1†Ziyu Zhou&#x;Ziyu Zhou1†Qingqing YuQingqing Yu2Zhen YeZhen Ye2Qingzhou LiQingzhou Li2Shengrong LiShengrong Li1Congcong LiCongcong Li2Yu HuYu Hu2Yunjie HuYunjie Hu1Xinran TaiXinran Tai2Lei XiangLei Xiang2Sijuan SunSijuan Sun1Jianya DengJianya Deng2Yumei Wang*Yumei Wang2*Dong Wang*Dong Wang2*
  • 1School of Pharmacy, State Key Laboratory of Southwestern Chinese Medicine Resources, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China
  • 2School of Basic Medical Sciences, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China

Background: Immunotherapy has transformed cancer treatment, but its efficacy remains limited in patients with immunologically “cold” tumors. Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC), despite elevated PD-L1 expression and high tumor mutation burden, often exhibits poor T cell infiltration, rendering it largely unresponsive to immune checkpoint blockade. Overcoming the immunosuppressive tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) remains a major challenge in oncology.

Methods: We defined a tumor immune microenvironment gene expression signature (TIME-GES) through transcriptomic analysis of clinical samples. Its performance and relevance were evaluated using representative approaches including enrichment analysis, immune infiltration profiling, receiver operating characteristic analysis, and survival assessment. Based on TIME-GES, we screened 1,865 natural compounds and identified Nitidine Chloride (NCD) as a potential modulator in TNBC. In vivo efficacy of NCD against TNBC was examined by representative assays such as flow cytometry and immunofluorescence. Mechanistic insights into TNBC treatment via TIME-GES were explored through RNA sequencing, quantitative PCR, Western blotting, and cellular thermal shift assay.

Results: TIME-GES effectively characterizes the tumor immune microenvironment across diverse cancer types. It reliably distinguishes tumor immune phenotypes and predicts patient responses to immunotherapy. Moreover, TIME-GES is strongly associated with survival outcomes in patients receiving immunotherapy and remains a significant prognostic marker for overall survival and mortality in TCGA pan-cancer cohorts, regardless of treatment. Guided by TIME-GES, NCD was identified from a natural product library and shown to modulate TIME-GES gene expression and significantly inhibit TNBC growth in vivo. NCD enhances CD8+ T cell–mediated antitumor immunity by upregulating TIME-GES genes and targeting the JAK2-STAT3 signaling pathway, resulting in suppressed tumor growth and reprogramming of the TIME toward a more immunologically active, “hot” phenotype.

Conclusion: This study identified TIME-GES as a novel biomarker capable of distinguishing tumor immune phenotypes, predicting immunotherapy response, and evaluating prognosis in TNBC. Furthermore, TIME-GES-guided screening led to the discovery of NCD, a promising immunomodulatory agent that reprograms the TIME and enhances anti-tumor immunity in TNBC. This study offers both a robust immune gene signature and a candidate therapeutic to improve immunotherapy outcomes in TNBC.

GRAPHICAL ABSTRACT
www.frontiersin.org

Graphical Abstract.

1 Introduction

Tumor immunotherapy, by activating the immune system to precisely target tumor cells, has overcome the limitations of traditional chemotherapy and radiotherapy (1), significantly extending patients’ survival (2). Despite its breakthrough efficacy in various cancers, the response rate among patients varies considerably, largely due to the high heterogeneity of the tumor immune microenvironment (TIME). Studies have demonstrated that the degree of immune cell infiltration within the TIME is a key determinant of immunotherapy efficacy: “hot” tumors, characterized by high tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs), are highly responsive to immunotherapy and associated with better prognosis (3), whereas “cold” tumors, with low TILs infiltration, respond poorly to treatment and have worse outcomes (4). The overall immune landscape of a tumor is shaped by the balance between pro-tumor and anti-tumor immune activities, which collectively determine its immunological phenotype (5). The fundamental distinction between these two phenotypes lies in the ability of T cells to effectively infiltrate tumor tissues. Therefore, enhancing T cell migration into the tumor microenvironment is a critical strategy for converting “cold” tumors into “hot” tumors (3), thereby improving the efficacy of immunotherapy.

Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is the most aggressive subtype of breast cancer (BC). Due to the lack of estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 in TNBC cells, patients do not benefit from endocrine or targeted therapies. Although chemotherapy and radiotherapy remain the main treatment options for TNBC, its aggressive nature, early metastasis (6), and high recurrence rate (7) limit clinical efficacy, necessitating improved patient survival strategies. TNBC is characterized by high PD-L1 expression and tumor mutation burden levels (8), making it more suitable for immunotherapy compared to traditional therapies. However, its typical “cold” tumor phenotype (9) leads to poor immunotherapy outcomes. Therefore, reversing the “cold” tumor phenotype of TNBC through pharmacological means to enhance immunotherapy efficacy represents a therapeutic breakthrough.

Physiological and pathological states are characterized by distinct phenotypic and gene expression profiles. Compared to traditional phenotypic analyses, transcriptional alterations provide deeper insights into the biological mechanisms underlying disease and can inform multiple aspects of clinical decision-making, including treatment strategies, drug development, prognostic evaluation, and diagnostic assessment (1012). Gene expression signatures represent the expression patterns of cells or tissues under specific conditions, linking diseases, genes, and drugs (13). Currently, high-throughput sequencing-based high-throughput screening (HTS2) and other similar technologies, including highly multiplexed and parallel sequencing (HiMAP-seq) (14), which could detect the expression of thousands of genes in thousands of samples per test, have been successfully applied in gene signature guided drug screening (1518). By leveraging the gene expression signatures of “cold” and “hot” tumors, combined with drug perturbed gene expression database, we can perform large-scale screening for drugs with immune microenvironment regulatory potential.

As illustrated in the graphical abstract, this study leverages tumor transcriptomic datasets to define a gene signature representative of TIME. This signature is then integrated with drug induced transcriptome datasets to systematically identify candidate drugs with potential immunotherapeutic efficacy for the treatment of TNBC. First, we established a TIME gene expression signature (TIME-GES) by analyzing datasets of “cold” and “hot” tumors and immunotherapy-treated samples. Subsequently, we systematically evaluated the performance of TIME-GES in distinguishing tumor immune phenotypes, predicting immunotherapy response, and evaluating patient prognosis through immune infiltration analysis, survival analysis, and other bioinformatics approaches. Finally, based on TIME-GES, we screened a transcriptome dataset containing 1,865 natural compounds and identified a potential drug, Nitidine Chloride (NCD). Through in vitro and in vivo experiments, we disclosed that NCD upregulates the TIME-GES genes CXCL10, CXCL11, EBI3, and FLT3LG, promotes CD8+ T cell activation and tumor infiltration, thereby inhibiting the growth of TNBC.

2 Methods

2.1 TIME-GES

To construct the TIME-GES gene set, differential expression analyses were applied to lung adenocarcinoma datasets (19) using the limma package and to anti-PD-1-treated melanoma datasets (20) using DESeq2. Genes with |log2FC| > 1 and P < 0.05 were selected. The intersection of consistently up- or downregulated genes across both datasets yielded a signature. According to prior studies (21), each gene was assigned a score of “+1” or “-1” depending on whether its expression was elevated or reduced in “hot” tumors, and the aggregated score defined the TIME-GES score.

2.2 Enrichment analysis

Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) was carried out using the clusterProfiler package in R. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were analyzed for pathway involvement through enrichKEGG and enrichGO functions, with P < 0.05 as the cutoff.

2.3 Correlation analysis for TIME-GES and immune

Gene expression data and patient clinical information for 30 cancers (including BC) were obtained from the UCSC Xena database (UCSC Xena, https://xena.ucsc.edu/) (22), combined with TILs abundance data from TISIDB (TISIDB, http://cis.hku.hk/TISIDB/) (23). Correlations between TIME-GES genes and 14 immune cell types were analyzed using R’s “cor.test” function. The “Immune Estimation” module of the TIMER2.0 platform (TIMER2.0, http://timer.comp-genomics.org/) (24) was used to evaluate the correlation between TIME-GES genes and CD8+ T cell infiltration across 40 cancer types.

2.4 Evaluation of TIME-GES for distinguishing tumor immune phenotypes

The ROCR package in R was employed to evaluate the predictive performance of TIME-GES for distinguishing “cold” and “hot” tumors in lung adenocarcinoma datasets (19), primarily by calculating the area under the curve (AUC). To enable a comparative analysis, six tumor immune-related gene signatures (2530) and four established immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) response biomarkers were also included for AUC evaluation. In addition, for TIME-GES, precision, recall, and accuracy were further assessed using ROCR to comprehensively characterize its classification performance.

2.5 Clinical data analysis

The R survival package’s “coxph” function was used to analyze the associations between the expression of TIME-GES genes and overall survival (OS). Kaplan–Meier survival analyses were performed for OS, disease-specific survival (DSS), progression-free interval (PFI), and disease-free interval (DFI). Risk scores were derived from Cox regression coefficients, with patients stratified into high or low-risk groups. Immunotherapy datasets GSE181815 (31), GSE210287 (32), GSE91061 (33) and GSE93157 (34) (GEO, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/) (35) were processed using DESeq2. Kaplan–Meier survival analyses as well as univariate Cox regression analyses were performed for melanoma patients with GSE93157 (34) with Progression-Free Survival (PFS) information.

2.6 Drug screening

The drug screening data used in this program was constructed by the lab upfront, based on a database of 1,865 natural compounds perturbation generated using HiMAP-seq technology (14). Gene expression data for TIME-GES–associated genes in TNBC cell lines (MDA-MB-231, 21MT2, HCC1143, and HCC1806) were obtained from DepMap (DepMap, https://depmap.org/portal/) (36). A cutoff of average normalized gene expression >1 was applied to identify highly expressed genes (CXCL10, CXCL11, EBI3 and FLT3LG). Subsequently, probe-based filtering refined the candidate gene set to CXCL11, EBI3 and FLT3LG. To prioritize compounds, drug–gene expression profile similarity was evaluated using the RCSM R package.

2.7 Cell culture

MDA-MB-231 and 4T1 cell lines were sourced from the Chinese Cancer Cell Line Encyclopedia. MDA-MB-231 cells were grown in Dulbecco’s Modified Eagle Medium (DMEM, Gibco) supplemented with 10% fetal bovine serum (FBS, ExCell) and 1% penicillin–streptomycin solution (Hyclone). For 4T1 cells, Roswell Park Memorial Institute (RPMI)-1640 medium (Gibco) with 10% FBS and 1% penicillin–streptomycin was used. All cultures were maintained at 37°C in a humidified incubator with 5% CO2.

2.8 Cell proliferation

Cells were plated in 96-well plates at a density of 5 × 103 cells per well. After 24 hours of incubation, the medium was replaced with fresh medium containing different concentrations of NCD (Push-Herbchem), which were dissolved in dimethyl sulfoxide (DMSO, Solarbio) and incubated for another 24 hours. DMSO-treated wells served as vehicle controls, while wells without cells were used as blanks. Cell viability was measured using the Cell Counting Kit-8 (CCK-8) assay (bgbiotech) following the manufacturer’s instructions.

2.9 Quantitative polymerase chain reaction

Total RNA was isolated with RNA isolater Total RNA Extraction Reagent (Vazyme), followed by reverse transcription using the RT Easy™ II cDNA Synthesis Kit (Foregene). Quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) was then carried out with gene-specific primers listed in Supplementary Table S1.

2.10 Animal experiments

Experiments were carried out in facilities accredited by AAALAC and were approved by the Institutional Animal Care and Use Committee of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine (Approval ID: 20240106). The cages were arranged by the staffs of the laboratory animal research facility of Chengdu University of TCM, the staffs were not aware of the study design. An adaptable environment with a natural light cycle, room temperature (20–23°C), and 50%–60% humidity was provided for seven days prior to the experiment. A total of 2.5 × 104 4T1 cells in 20 μL of RPMI-1640 medium were orthotopically injected into the mammary fat pads of 6-week-old wild-type female BALB/c mice (3 mice per cage). The mice were arranged into groups using a random number method. Mice in the NCD treatment cohorts received daily intraperitoneal injections of 2.5 or 5 mg/kg, prepared in 5% DMSO/PBS, for 3 weeks. A positive control group was treated with cisplatin (1.5 mg/kg), also prepared in 5% DMSO/PBS, administered three times per week over 2 weeks. Two additional control groups were included as negative controls: “Control” consisted of non-tumor-bearing mice, and “Model” consisted of tumor-bearing mice that received vehicle only. Both groups were administered equivalent volumes of 5% DMSO/PBS intraperitoneally, consistent with the treatment groups. Body weight change was assessed daily. Tumor volume was set as the primary endpoint. Tumor dimensions were recorded weekly, and volumes were calculated using the formula: Tumor volume (mm³) = (Width² × Length)/2. At the end of the study, tumors and blood samples were collected for downstream analyses. The animals were sacrificed in the designated dissection facility.

2.11 Flow cytometry

For immunophenotyping, cells were labeled with the following fluorophore-conjugated antibodies: Brilliant Violet™ 421-conjugated anti-CD4, PerCP-Cy5.5-conjugated anti-CD8a, FITC-conjugated anti-CD3, and APC-eFluor 780-conjugated anti-CD45. Cell viability was assessed using Fixable Viability Dye eFluor™ 506. All reagents are from Invitrogen. Samples were analyzed using FlowJo software.

2.12 Biochemistry test

After blood collection from mice, the samples were left to stand at room temperature for 1 hour, followed by centrifugation at 1000 × g for 20 minutes at 4°C. The supernatant serum was carefully collected and subjected to biochemical analysis using an Auto Chemistry Analyzer BS-240 Vet (Mindray). Specific biochemical parameters, including aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), albumin (ALB), creatinine (CREA), and UREA, were measured using corresponding assay kits (Mindray).

2.13 Immunofluorescence and hematoxylin–eosin staining

Tumor tissues and spleen tissues were fixed in 4% paraformaldehyde (Servicebio), embedded in paraffin, and sectioned at 4 μm thickness. For hematoxylin-eosin staining (H&E), tissue sections were stained with Hematoxylin (Sigma-Aldrich) and Eosin Y, free acid (Ruibio). For immunofluorescence (IF), sections underwent antigen retrieval and were incubated with Anti-CD8 alpha antibody (Abcam), followed by fluorescently labeled secondary antibodies. Nuclei were counterstained with DAPI (Servicebio).

2.14 RNA sequencing

A total of 2 × 105 MDA-MB-231 cells were plated in 6-well dishes and exposed to 5 μM NCD for 24 hours. RNA was isolated using RNA isolater Total RNA Extraction Reagent following the manufacturer’s protocol. cDNA libraries were constructed using the Illumina NovaSeq Reagent Kit (Illumina) and subjected to high-throughput sequencing on the NovaSeq X Plus system. Sequencing reads were aligned to the human reference genome using HiSat2, and gene expression levels were quantified via RSEM. Differential gene expression analysis was performed using DESeq2, with cutoff criteria set at |log2FC| > 1 and P < 0.05.

2.15 Western blot analysis

Total protein was extracted from cells using RIPA lysis buffer (Beyotime) supplemented with broad spectrum protease inhibitor cocktail (Boster) and broad-spectrum phosphatase inhibitor cocktail (Boster). Protein concentrations were quantified using a BCA Protein Assay Kit (CWBio). Equal amounts of protein were then loaded onto SDS-PAGE gels prepared with the One-Step PAGE Gel Fast Preparation Kit (Vazyme), electrophoresed, and transferred to an Immobilon®-PSQ PVDF membrane (Millipore). Membranes were blocked and then incubated with the following primary antibodies: Stat3 (124H6) Mouse mAb, Phospho-Stat3 (Tyr705) (D3A7) XP® Rabbit mAb, Jak2 (D2E12) XP® Rabbit mAb, Phospho-Jak2 (Tyr1007/1008) Antibody (all from Cell Signaling Technology), and Alpha Tubulin Monoclonal antibody (Proteintech). Chemiluminescent signals were detected using the UltraSignal hypersensitive ECL chemiluminescence substrate (4A Biotech).

2.16 Plasmids

Lentiviral shRNAs were provided by the Vector Core at Tsinghua University, with specific sequences detailed in Supplementary Table S2.

2.17 Cellular thermal shift assay

Cells were treated with either 20 μM NCD or DMSO for 1.5 hours. Following treatment, three freeze-thaw cycles were applied to lyse the cells. The lysates were then incubated at a range of temperatures and centrifuged at 12,000 rpm for 20 minutes at 4°C. Supernatants were collected and mixed with Omni-Easy™ loading buffer (EpiZyme), heated at 95°C for 10 minutes, and subjected to Western blot analysis to evaluate protein stability.

2.18 Surface plasmon resonance

The binding interaction between NCD and JAK2 protein was evaluated using a Biacore 1K surface plasmon resonance (SPR) system (Cytiva). Recombinant human JAK2 protein (TargetMol) was immobilized on a CM5 sensor chip (Cytiva) through standard amine-coupling chemistry. Briefly, the sensor surface was activated with a mixture of 0.2 M EDC (Cytiva) and 0.05 M NHS (Cytiva), followed by injection of JAK2 at a concentration of 20 μg/mL in 10 mM sodium acetate buffer (pH 4.5) (Cytiva). Unreacted sites were blocked with 1 M ethanolamine (pH 8.5) (Cytiva). Regeneration of the sensor surface was achieved using 10 mM glycine-HCl (pH 2.5) (Cytiva). The compound was prepared in running buffer (PBS with 5% DMSO) at a series of concentrations (0.19, 0.39, 0.78, 1.56, 3.12, 6.25, 12.5 and 25.0 μM) and injected over the immobilized JAK2 surface at a flow rate of 30 μL/min at 25 °C. Each injection included an association phase of 90 s and a dissociation phase of 60 s. Binding responses were recorded in real-time, and the equilibrium dissociation constant (KD) were analyzed using Biacore Evaluation Software (GE Healthcare).

2.19 Statistical analysis

Image quantification was performed using ImageJ software. All data were processed using GraphPad Prism version 8.0. Two-tailed unpaired Student’s t-tests were applied for comparisons between two groups, while differences among multiple groups were assessed using one-way ANOVA. The statistical data were presented as “mean ± standard error”. Significance was indicated as follows: *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01, ***P < 0.001, ****P < 0.0001. Pearson’s correlation was used to examine relationships between variables.

3 Results

3.1 Construction of TIME-GES

To establish a TIME-GES, we integrated transcriptomic data from two independent cohorts: primary lung adenocarcinoma (GSE180347, n=144) (19) and treatment-naïve anti-PD-1-treated melanoma (GSE213145, n=20) (20). In the lung adenocarcinoma cohort, patients were divided into “cold” (n=60) and “hot” (n=84) tumor groups based on histopathological lymphocyte infiltration levels (HPF) counts. In the melanoma cohort, patients were stratified into responders (n=10) and non-responder (n=10) groups according to their immunotherapy response. Based on the analyses, we respectively identified 165 and 1,325 DEGs in the lung adenocarcinoma and melanoma cohorts, respectively (Figures 1A, B). The GSEA analysis revealed significant enrichment of T cell-associated processes in both datasets (Figures 1C, D). We intersected the upregulated and downregulated genes from both cohorts separately and identified 15 overlapped genes exclusively among the upregulated set (CCR5, CD1D, CD3E, CD8B, CXCL10, CXCL11, EBI3, FLT3LG, GZMB, GZMH, IFNG, LAG3, PRF1, SH2D1A and TNFSF13B), which were collectively defined as the TIME-GES (Figure 1E). The TIME-GES illustrated a coordinated high-expression pattern in the “hot” tumor group and the treatment responder group (Supplementary Figures S1A, B). Furthermore, TIME-GES genes were significantly associated with immune-related pathways (Supplementary Figures S1C, D).

Figure 1
Panel A shows a volcano plot comparing “hot” versus “cold” tumors, highlighting genes with significant changes. Panel B presents a similar plot for responders versus non-responders. Panel C includes a running enrichment score graph for T cell-related terms, while Panel D shows enrichment for response to type III interferon and T cell receptor complex. Panel E displays Venn diagrams for up and down-regulated genes in primary lung adenocarcinoma and anti-PD-1-treated melanoma, indicating overlap and unique genes in each condition.

Figure 1. Construction of TIME-GES. (A) Volcano plots showed the DEGs in primary lung adenocarcinoma cohort. (B) Volcano plots showed the DEGs in anti–PD-1-treated melanoma cohort. (C, D) GSEA showed that immune related pathways enriched by DEGs in primary lung adenocarcinoma and anti–PD-1-treated melanoma cohorts, respectively. (E) Venn diagram showing overlapped up-regulated and down-regulated DEGs between primary lung adenocarcinoma and anti–PD-1-treated melanoma cohorts.

3.2 TIME-GES reflects tumor immune microenvironment characteristics

To explore the relationship between TIME-GES and tumor immune status, we performed correlation analyses between TIME-GES and immune cell infiltration in a BC cohort. The results showed that all 15 TIME-GES genes exhibited significant positive correlations (P < 0.05) with 14 immune cell subsets, including activated CD8+ T cell (Act_CD8), effector memory CD8+ T cell (Tem_CD8), activated CD4+ T cell (Act_CD4), effector memory CD4+ T cell (Tem_CD4), Type 1 T helper cell (Th1), natural killer T cell (NKT), activated B cell (Act_B), immature B cell (Imm_B), natural killer cell (NK), Macrophage, Monocyte, Neutrophil, immature dendritic cell (iDC) and plasmacytoid dendritic cell (pDC) (Figure 2A). Among these, T cell subsets (particularly Act_CD8 and Tem_CD8) displayed the strongest correlations with the TIME-GES (mean Pearson’s R > 0.65). And this correlation pattern was consistently observed across 29 additional tumor types (Supplementary Figures S2-S5).

Figure 2
A composite image showing various biological data visualizations: A) A correlation matrix with color-coded circles indicating levels of correlation between genes and cell types. B) A heatmap showing the correlation of genes with various cell profiles. C) Scatter plots display correlations between CD8+ T cells and different genes with correlation coefficients and p-values. D) and E) Scatter plots illustrate relationships between CD8+ T cells and TIME-GES scores, including other T cell types, with correlation values and statistical significance.

Figure 2. TIME-GES reflects TIME characteristics. (A) Correlation of TIME-GES genes expression with the infiltration for 14 immune cell types in BC. (B) Correlation of TIME-GES genes expression with T cells infiltration using multiple algorithms in BC. (C) Correlation between TIME-GES gene expression and CD8+ T cells in BC. (D) Correlation between TIME-GES score and CD8+ T, Act_CD8, and Tem_CD8 in BC. (E) Correlation between TIME-GES score and CD8+ T, Act_CD8 and Tem_CD8 cells in TNBC.

To further elucidate the relationship between TIME-GES and CD8+ T cells infiltration, we employed multiple computational algorithms, including CIBERSORT, xCell, and TIMER, to assess the correlation in BC patients. The analysis revealed that nearly all 15 TIME-GES genes were significantly positively correlated with CD8+ T cells across different algorithms (Figure 2B). This correlation was also observed across 29 other tumor types, including adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC), bladder urothelial carcinoma (BLCA), Cervical squamous cell carcinoma and endocervical adenocarcinoma (CESC) (Supplementary Figures S6-S8). In addition, each TIME-GES gene exhibited significant positive correlations with CD8+ T cells (Figure 2C). What’s more, the TIME-GES composite score showed a strong positive correlation with Act_CD8, Tem_CD8, and overall CD8+ T cell infiltration levels in both BC (R > 0.8, P < 0.001) and TNBC (R > 0.8, P < 0.001) patients (Figures 2D, E). These findings underscore the strong association between TIME-GES and tumor immune status.

3.3 TIME-GES predicts responsiveness to cancer immunotherapy

To assess the predictive capability of TIME-GES in distinguishing tumor immune phenotypes, we utilized the TIME-GES score to generate ROC curves. The analysis showed that the AUC was greater than 0.8, demonstrating strong predictive performance (Figure 3A). Additionally, the precision and recall of TIME-GES were 0.7 and 0.9, respectively (Figure 3B), with an overall accuracy of 71% in classifying tumors as “cold” and “hot” (Figure 3C). To further evaluate the potential of TIME-GES genes as predictors of tumor immune responsiveness, we compared its predictive power against six established tumor immune-related gene signatures (2530), and four widely used ICB response biomarkers (15). The results showed that TIME-GES outperformed existing signatures in identifying “hot” tumors (Figure 3D).

Figure 3
Panel of graphs and charts related to a medical study: A)Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve with an AUC of 0.8061 shows the tradeoffbetween true positive rate and false positive rate. B) Precision-recall curve with amarked point at (0.9, 0.7). C) Stacked bar chart comparing predicted and actual hot and cold groups of patients. D) Bar chart showing various gene signatures, with TIME-GES having the highest value. E) A heatmap of the log₂FC values of TIME-GES genes between immune responders and non-responders, illustrating the differences in TIME-GES gene expression levels between these two groups. F) Forest plot displaying hazard ratios for different genes with p-values. G) Kaplan-Meier survival curve for high and low TIME-GES groups with a p-value of 0.045, showing survival probability over time.

Figure 3. TIME-GES predicts responsiveness to cancer immunotherapy. (A-C) Performance metrics of TIME-GES in predicting “hot” and “cold” tumors in primary lung adenocarcinoma. (D) Comparison of AUC. values among TIME-GES, six immune gene panels, and four known ICB biomarkers. (E) Heatmap for log2FC of TIME-GES genes expression between responders and non-responders across five cohorts (Thymic carcinoma: TC, MM: Melanoma, HNSC: Head and Neck squamous cell carcinoma). Red indicates genes expressed at higher levels in responders, blue indicates lower levels, and white indicates no difference; color intensity reflects the magnitude of difference. (F) Univariate Cox analysis of TIME-GES genes in the melanoma cohort of GSE93157. (G) Kaplan–Meier survival analysis stratified by TIME-GES score in the melanoma samples from GSE93157.

To determine whether TIME-GES could predict tumor response to immunotherapy, we analyzed four independent datasets from patients who had received prior treatments: GSE181815 (31), GSE210287 (32), GSE91061 (33) and GSE93157 (34). Differential expression analysis revealed significantly higher expression for TIME-GES genes in the treatment response group compared to non-responders (Figure 3E). In the GSE93157 (34) dataset, which includes PFS data, univariate Cox regression analysis indicated that high TIME-GES gene expression was significantly associated with prolonged PFS (Figure 3F). Furthermore, patients with high TIME-GES scores had significantly better PFS outcomes than those with low TIME-GES scores (Figure 3G). These findings collectively support the utility of TIME-GES as a biomarker for distinguishing tumor immune phenotypes and predicting tumor immune responses.

3.4 TIME-GES is an independent prognostic biomarker

To elucidate the prognostic significance of TIME-GES genes in BC, we calculated the correlation between individual TIME-GES genes and overall survival (OS). The results revealed that high expression of 12 out of 15 genes (80%) was significantly (P < 0.05) benefited to prolonged OS (Supplementary Figure S9). Univariate Cox proportional hazards regression (HR) further showed the protective role of TIME-GES, with all genes exhibiting HRs below 1.0, indicating a survival benefit (Figure 4A). To further evaluate the prognostic usability of the TIME-GES, we derived a composite TIME-GES score and a corresponding risk score. And found that BC patients with high TIME-GES scores exhibited significantly improved OS, PFI, DSS, and DFI compared to those with low scores (Figure 4B; Supplementary Figures S10A–C). Conversely, patients with low-risk scores displayed superior survival across all measured prognostic indicators (OS, PFI, DSS, DFI) (Figure 4C; Supplementary Figures S10D–F). This trend was consistently observed across 29 additional cancer types (Supplementary Figures S11-S14). Furthermore, BC patients with high-risk scores had significantly higher mortality rates compared to those in the low-risk group (Figures 4D, E). Cross-cancer analyses further confirmed this pattern, indicating that in the remaining 29 tumor types, patients with high-risk scores exhibited significantly worse survival outcomes (Figure 4F). These findings highlight the potential of TIME-GES as a prognostic biomarker and underscore its broader applicability across diverse malignancies.

Figure 4
A collection of graphs and plots analyzing risk scores and survival data. Panel A is a forest plot showing hazard ratios for various genes. Panel B is a Kaplan-Meier survival curve comparing high TIME-GES and low TIME-GES groups, with a significant p-value. Panel C shows a survival curve for high-risk and low-risk groups with a significant p-value. Panel D includes risk scores and survival time data for TCGA-BRCA, with a heat map showing gene expression. Panel E presents bar charts of mortality rates for low-risk and high-risk groups. Panel F shows mortality rates across different cancer types for high-risk and low-risk groups.

Figure 4. TIME-GES is an independent prognostic biomarker. (A) The forest plot showing the result of univariate Cox analysis for TIME-GES genes and OS in BC. (B, C) Kaplan–Meier survival curves based on TIME-GES score and risk score in BC. The patients were divided into the high TIME-GES and low TIME-GES groups based on the TIME-GES score, as well as the high-risk low and risk groups due to risk scores. (D) Top: Risk scores derived from TIME-GES gene expression and coefficients, ranked across 1102 BC patients. Middle: Distribution of overall survival corresponding to the ranked risk scores. Bottom: Expression heatmap of individual TIME-GES genes in the 1102 patients. (E) Correlation between risk scores, and mortality in BC. (F) Correlation of risk score with patient mortality across 29 cancer types.

3.5 TIME-GES guided identification of NCD as an immunotherapeutic candidate for TNBC

Given the strong associations between the TIME-GES and key tumor immune features, we assessed the utility of TIME-GES for drug screening for TNBC immunotherapy. Firstly, we analyzed the expression profiles of the 15 TIME-GES genes in TNBC samples and identified four genes that were consistently highly expressed in TNBC, hereafter referred to as the four-gene subset (CXCL10, CXCL11, EBI3 and FLT3LG). To ensure compatibility with the compound screening platform, we next intersected these highly expressed genes with 3,407 genes detected in large-scale transcriptomic dataset generated from 1,865 natural compounds perturbation, yielding three genes (CXCL11, EBI3 and FLT3LG) for compound scoring (Figure 5A).

Figure 5
A composite image showing multiple scientific data visualizations.A: Venn diagram indicating overlap between a four-gene subset and probe-coveredgenes. B and C: Drug ranking based on gene similarity scoring using the Zhangscore across different concentrations of natural compounds.D: Chemical structure diagram of NCD. E and F: Bar charts depicting cell viabilitypercentages of MDA-MB-231 and 4T1 cells at varying NCD concentrations. G and H: Linegraphs displaying mRNA expression levels of genes CXCL10, CXCL11, EBI3, and FLT3LG inMDA-MB-231 and 4T1 cells at different NCD concentrations.

Figure 5. TIME-GES guided identification of NCD as an immunotherapeutic candidate for TNBC. (A) Venn diagram showing the overlap between 4 highly expressed genes in TNBC from TIME-GES genes and 3,407 genes detected in large-scale transcriptomic dataset generated from 1,865 natural products perturbation. (B, C) The rank of scores for 1,865 natural products at 20 μM and 10 μM concentrations datasets, respectively. (D) Chemical structure of NCD. (E, F) Cell viability assays in MDA-MB-231 and 4T1 cells after 24 h NCD treatment, respectively (n=3). (G, H) mRNA expression of 4 highly expressed genes in BC after NCD treatment in MDA-MB-231 and 4T1 cells, respectively (n=3).

Using the three-gene set, we performed Zhangscore analysis across the natural compound library and identified NCD as a promising candidate, ranking 1st at 20μM and 43rd at 10μM, indicating strong and concentration-dependent modulation of TIME-GES expression (Figures 5B–D). Then, we assessed its cytotoxicity for MDA-MB-231 and 4T1 TNBC cell lines through CCK-8 and found that NCD exhibited moderate cytotoxicity in both cell lines (Figures 5E, F). Moreover, our qPCR results showed that treatment with NCD induced dynamic upregulation of the mRNA expression of the genes, including CXCL10, CXCL11, EBI3 and FLT3LG (Figures 5G, H). These findings highlight NCD as a potential immunomodulatory agent for TNBC, capable of modulating key TIME-GES components and warranting further investigation in preclinical models.

3.6 NCD reprograms TIME and suppresses TNBC tumor growth in vivo

To investigate the therapeutic efficiency of NCD and its impact on CD8+ T cell infiltration in TNBC, we established a tumor-bearing mouse model (Figure 6A). Our results showed that NCD treatment significantly inhibited tumor volume and weight, with the high-dose group exhibiting a more pronounced tumor suppression (Figures 6B, C; Supplementary Figure S15A). Flow Cytometry (FCM) analysis of tumor tissues revealed a significant increase in the proportion of CD8+ T cells following NCD treatment, with a dose-dependent enhancement observed across treatment groups. Correspondingly, the CD4+/CD8+ ratio showed a significant dose-dependent decline (Figures 6E, F; Supplementary Figure S15B). In the spleen, tumor-bearing mice exhibited splenomegaly and an elevated spleen index; however, the spleen index gradually decreased in a dose-dependent manner with increasing NCD dosage (Figure 6D; Supplementary Figure S15C). FCM analysis of splenic immune cells similarly showed a dose-dependent increase in the proportion of CD8+ T cells and a concurrent decrease in the CD4+/CD8+ ratio (Figures 6G, H; Supplementary Figure S15B).

Figure 6
The image contains multiple panels illustrating a scientific experiment on mice. Panel A shows a mouse diagram and experimental timeline. Panel B is a bar chart comparing tumor weight across groups. Panel C is a line graph showing tumor volume over time. Panel D is a bar chart of spleen index percentages. Panels E and G are flow cytometry graphs of CD4 and CD8 cell populations in tumors and spleens. Panels F and H are bar charts of CD8+ T cells and CD4+/CD8+ T cell ratios. Panels I and K show immunofluorescence images, with CD8 markers highlighted. Panel L displays H&E-stained images of spleen tissue. Panel M is a bar chart of white pulp ratios. Statistical significance is indicated with asterisks.

Figure 6. NCD reprograms TIME and suppresses TNBC tumor growth in vivo. (A) Design of animal experiments. (B) Final tumor weight (n=6). (C) Tumor growth curves (n=6). (D) Mouse spleen index (n=6). (E) FCM analysis of CD8+ T cells populations in tumor (n=3). (F) Quantification of CD8+ T cells populations in tumors corresponding to (E) (n=3). (G) FCM analysis of CD8+ T cells populations in spleen (n=3). (H) Quantification of CD8+ T cells populations in spleen corresponding to (G) (n=3). (I) IF staining of CD8+ T cells in tumors from model and high-dose groups (n=3). (J) Quantification of tumor CD8+ T IF staining (n=3). (K) CD8+ T cells IF staining in spleens of model and high-dose groups (n=3). (L) H&E staining of mouse spleen (n=3). (M) Quantification of spleen H&E staining corresponding to (L) (n=3). In all panels, “Control” represents non-tumor-bearing mice, while “Model” indicates mice subjected to tumor induction. Treatment groups are labeled according to NCD dose: “Low” corresponds to 2.5 mg/kg, and “High” to 5 mg/kg. Cisplatin serves as the positive control. *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01, ***P < 0.001.

IF staining further validated the increase in CD8+ T cell infiltration, demonstrating significantly higher CD8+ T cell levels in both tumor and spleen tissues in NCD 5mg/kg (high dose) group compared to the untreated model group (Figures 6I–K). Histological examination via H&E staining revealed a significant decrease in white pulp areas in the spleen tumor induction, which gradually recovered in a dose-dependent manner following NCD treatment (Figures 6L, M).

To assess the safety profile of NCD, we monitored mouse body weight and organ indices. In NCD 5mg/kg (high dose) group, body weight did not increase over time as observed in the control and NCD 2.5mg/kg (low dose) groups; however, the final weight (15.83 +/- 0.58 g) remained close to the initial value (16.58 +/- 0.14 g), indicating minimal weight fluctuation (Supplementary Figure S15D). No significant changes were detected in heart, liver, or lung indices across treatment groups. A modest increase in kidney index was observed at NCD 5mg/kg (high dose) (Supplementary Figure S15E), but this was not accompanied by any abnormalities in serum biochemical parameters (AST, ALT, ALB, CREA, UREA), suggesting preserved renal and hepatic function (Supplementary Figure S15F). Together, the findings indicate that NCD effectively reshapes the TIME and inhibits TNBC tumor growth in vivo, with minimal toxicity, highlighting its potential as a promising immunomodulatory agent for TNBC therapy.

3.7 The immune microenvironment–reprogramming function of NCD is mediated by JAK2 inhibition

To elucidate the mechanism by which NCD mediates immune regulation in TNBC, we performed RNA-seq on MDA-MB-231 cells treated with 5 μM NCD. Comparing to negative control DMSO treatment, NCD treatment resulted in the upregulation of CXCL10, CXCL11, EBI3 and FLT3LG genes (Figure 7A). Gene Ontology (GO) enrichment analysis revealed significantly enrichment of immune-related processes, particularly T cell proliferation and activation (Supplementary Figure S16) in NCD treated cells. Kyoto encyclopedia of genes and genomes (KEGG) enrichment analysis identified multiple enriched pathways, notably the JAK2-STAT3 signaling pathway, which is known to play a critical role in immune regulation (37) (Figure 7B).

Figure 7
The image consists of multiple panels depicting scientific data related to NCD treatment in cancer cell lines. Panel A shows a volcano plot comparing NCD vs. CON, highlighting gene expression changes. Panel B presents KEGG Pathway Enrichment analysis, including pathways like MAPK and JAK-STAT. Panels C and E display Western blot analyses for JAK2, p-JAK2, STAT3, and p-STAT3 in MDA-MB-231 and 4T1 cells, respectively. Panels D and F present quantitative analysis of these proteins. Panel G shows a Western blot analysis of JAK2 in response to siRNA. Panel H depicts quantification of the blot in G. Panel I presents heat maps showing changes in gene expression after siRNA treatments. Panel J shows a Western blot for JAK2 at various temperatures, and Panel K graphs band intensity changes. Panel L illustrates a series of sensorgrams for different NCD concentrations, while Panel M shows a binding affinity graph with a calculated K_D of 3.41 μM.

Figure 7. The immune microenvironment–reprogramming function of NCD is mediated by JAK2 inhibition. (A) Volcano plot of DEGs in MDA-MB-231 cells treated with or without 5 μM NCD. (B) KEGG enrichment analysis of DEGs. (C) Western blot of JAK2, p-JAK2, STAT3, and p-STAT3 in MDA-MB-231 cells treated with increasing doses of NCD (n=3). (D) Quantification of JAK2, p-JAK2, STAT3, and p-STAT3 proteins corresponding to (C) (n = 3). (E) Western blot of JAK2, p-JAK2, STAT3, and p-STAT3 in 4T1 cells treated with increasing doses of NCD (n=3). (F) Quantification of JAK2, p-JAK2, STAT3, and p-STAT3 proteins corresponding to (E) (n = 3). (G) Protein expression levels of JAK2 after knockdown of JAK2 in MDA-MB-231 cell line (n=3). (H) Quantification of JAK2 protein levels corresponding to (G) (n=3). (I) mRNA expression levels of JAK2, CXCL10, CXCL11, EBI3, FLT3LG after knockdown of JAK2 in MDA-MB-231 cell (n=3). (J) Protein stability of JAK2 under thermal gradient with or without NCD (n=3). (K) CETSA Melting Curve (n=3). (L) SPR sensorgrams of JAK2 binding to NCD. (M) Affinity analysis and KD calculation of JAK2-NCD interaction. *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01, ***P < 0.001, ****P < 0.0001

To validate the involvement of JAK2-STAT3 signaling pathway, we conducted Western blot experiments in MDA-MB-231 and 4T1 cell lines. In MDA-MB-231 cells, NCD treatment led to a dose-dependent decrease in both total and phosphorylated JAK2 and STAT3 protein (Figures 7C, D). In 4T1 cells, phosphorylated JAK2 and STAT3 levels were similarly decreased with increasing NCD dosage, while total protein levels remained unchanged (Figures 7E, F). Then, we knocked down the expression of JAK2 using three different shRNA sequences (Figures 7G–I). Our qPCR results showed that JAK2 knockdown upregulated the expression of the four-gene subset (Figure 7I), which is further indicated that the regulation of NCD on the expression of the four-gene set is mediated by JAK2 inhibition. To investigate whether NCD directly targets JAK2 protein, we performed CETSA experiment and our results suggested that JAK2 might be a direct target of NCD, showing enhanced thermal stability of JAK2 upon NCD treatment (Figures 7J, K). Additionally, SPR analysis confirmed a direct interaction between NCD and JAK2, with a measured KD value of 3.41 μM, supporting the notion that NCD binds JAK2 to modulate its activity (Figures 7L, M). Collectively, these results suggest that NCD might exert its immunomodulatory and anti-tumor effects by targeting JAK2 and inhibiting the JAK2-STAT3 signaling pathway, thereby promoting the expression of immune-activating genes in TNBC cells.

4 Discussion

In this study, we integrated transcriptomic and survival data from multiple patient cohorts to define a gene expression–based immune phenotype signature, termed TIME-GES. This multifunctional biomarker demonstrated strong potential for distinction of tumor immune phenotypes, prognostic evaluation, immunotherapy response prediction, and high-throughput drug screening. Guided by TIME-GES, we identified and validated a candidate drug, NCD, for the treatment of TNBC, which might target JAK2 in tumor cells to inhibit the JAK2-STAT3 signaling pathway. This inhibition promotes the secretion of immune-modulatory factors CXCL10, CXCL11, EBI3, and FLT3LG by tumor cells, thereby alleviating immunosuppression and enhancing CD8+ T cell recruitment into the tumor microenvironment and boosting antitumor immunity.

We systematically identified the TIME-GES. Through a combination of computational analyses and experimental validation, we demonstrated its clinical relevance in the following aspects (1): Multifunctional utility of TIME-GES: TIME-GES can serve as a molecular biomarker for tumor immune status, distinction of tumor immune phenotypes, prognosis evaluation, and prediction of response to immunotherapy, thereby supporting personalized treatment strategies (2); TIME-GES–guided targeted drug discovery: Combining TIME-GES with characteristics at the genetic level of different tumors allows the identification of drugs that promote anti-tumor immunity against different cancers. Compared to other immune-related gene signatures, TIME-GES demonstrates superior performance in predicting tumor immunogenicity, particularly in distinguishing between “cold” and “hot” tumors. Unlike most existing signatures that are developed and validated in a single cancer type, TIME-GES has been systematically evaluated across multiple cancer types, highlighting its broad applicability as a multifunctional biomarker. Notably, the predictive potential of TIME-GES has been further validated through both in vitro and in vivo experiments, a step rarely achieved by other immune-related signatures. Looking forward, evaluation of TIME-GES across diverse patient populations—considering genetic background, environmental influences, and ethnic diversity—may provide valuable insights into its predictive capacity and further reinforce its potential as a versatile platform for precision immunotherapy. Collectively, these key features underscore the advantages of TIME-GES in both research and potential clinical applications.

Using the TNBC model, we demonstrated the utility of TIME-GES and its four-gene subset in predicting and identifying candidate immunomodulatory compounds. At present, our screening strategy relies on evaluating gene expression changes induced by compounds from large-scale natural product libraries, which offers the advantages of high throughput and cost-effectiveness. Looking ahead, integrating cell-based phenotypic readouts with advanced image analysis, machine learning, and other artificial intelligence approaches—together with the use of diverse cell line models—could substantially enhance the depth, breadth, and precision of such screening platforms (38). In parallel, systematically expanding to larger and more structurally diverse compound libraries will broaden the chemical space explored and increase the likelihood of identifying compounds with robust immune-modulating activity, thereby improving the generalizability and translational potential of TIME-GES–based drug discovery. However, a limitation of this study is that experimental validation was confined to the TNBC context, and the relevance of TIME-GES to other tumor types remains to be determined. Future studies could extend this approach to a broader range of malignancies to facilitate drug screening and immunotherapy development for immunologically “cold” tumors. Moreover, clinical evaluation of TIME-GES across diverse cancers may help establish it as a robust and versatile biomarker for precision immunotherapy and translational applications. Finally, it remains to be explored whether the identified compound, NCD, can exert similar immunomodulatory effects in other immune-cold tumor types.

NCD is the main bioactive ingredient of the traditional Chinese medicine Zanthoxylum nitidum (Roxb.) DC. and has the classical effects of activating blood circulation and removing blood stasis, detoxifying and subduing swelling (39). Modern pharmacological studies have demonstrated multiple biological activities of NCD (1): Immunosuppressive effects: by modulating NF-κB and other signaling pathways, NCD exerts anti-inflammatory effects in inflammatory diseases such as osteoarthritis (40), inflammatory bowel disease (41), and sepsis (42) (2); Direct antitumor effects: NCD has demonstrated the ability to inhibit the progression of multiple cancers, including—but not limited to—hepatocellular carcinoma (4345) and ovarian cancer (4648). Mechanistically, its antitumor activity is associated with the suppression of epithelial-mesenchymal transition-driven metastasis, induction of apoptosis, and arrest of the cell cycle at the G1/S phase. In our study, we found that NCD significantly modulate the expression of immune-related TIME-GES genes such as CXCL10, CXCL11, EBI3, and FLT3LG, thereby enhancing antitumor immune responses and suppressing TNBC progression. Our findings deepen our understanding about the immunological mechanism of action of NCD in tumor suppression in TNBC.

Importantly, we observed that these effects were closely associated with increased infiltration of CD8+ T cells, underscoring their central role in mediating the immunomodulatory activity of NCD. While our current work focuses on the regulation of CD8+ T cell abundance and upstream molecular pathways, future investigations could further explore functional aspects—such as cytotoxic capacity, persistence, and memory formation—which would yield a more comprehensive understanding of how NCD strengthens CD8+ T cell–driven antitumor immunity. Equally noteworthy, within the dosing regimen and treatment duration applied in our study, NCD did not produce any observable toxicity in mice. Although earlier studies have reported safety concerns at substantially higher equivalent doses in normal rats (49, 50), our findings highlight a favorable therapeutic window within the tested range. Looking ahead, expanding research to include in-depth in vitro and in vivo toxicological and pharmacokinetic evaluations, could further clarify immunological effects and NCD’s safety profile, encompassing its cellular toxicity, systemic tolerance, thereby reinforcing its promise as a candidate for translational immunotherapy.

5 Conclusion

In summary, our study demonstrates that TIME-GES is a clinically relevant tool for distinction of tumor immune phenotypes, prognosis evaluation, and prediction of immunotherapy responses. Moreover, TIME-GES offers a strategic framework for identifying novel tumor immune-modulatory compounds. Using this approach, we identified NCD as a previously unrecognized tumor immunotherapeutic agent capable of reprogramming the tumor immune microenvironment, through upregulating the TIME-GES genes, ultimately enhancing antitumor immunity. This work might expand therapeutic options for immunologically “cold” tumors and supports the feasibility of biomarker-guided discovery of small molecules to potentiate cancer immunotherapy.

Data availability statement

The data presented in the study are deposited in the GEO repository, accession number GSE294840.

Ethics statement

This study used only publicly available, de-identified human data (e.g., TCGA). No institutional review board approval was required. The studies were conducted in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements. Written informed consent for participation was not required from the participants or the participants’ legal guardians/next of kin in accordance with the national legislation and institutional requirements. The animal study was approved by All animal procedures were conducted in compliance with institutional ethical guidelines and were approved by the Institutional Animal Care and Use Committee of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine (Approval ID: 20240106). The study was conducted in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements.

Author contributions

LB: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Visualization, Writing – original draft. ZZ: Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Methodology. QY: Formal analysis, Investigation, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Data curation. ZY: Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Methodology, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft. QL: Methodology, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft. SL: Conceptualization, Methodology, Writing – original draft. CL: Conceptualization, Methodology, Writing – original draft. YH: Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft. YJH: Validation, Writing – original draft, Visualization. XT: Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft. LX: Resources, Writing – original draft. SS: Validation, Writing – original draft. JD: Validation, Writing – original draft. YW: Funding acquisition, Project administration, Supervision, Writing – review & editing. DW: Funding acquisition, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Writing – review & editing.

Funding

The author(s) declare financial support was received for the research and/or publication of this article. This work was supported by National Key R&D Program of China (Grant No.2023YFF0720300), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 82172723), Innovation Team and Talents Cultivation Program of National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine (Grant No. ZYYCXTD-D-202209), 2024 Basic Medical School Research Fund for Inheritance, Innovation, and Development (Grant No. JCZD2404).

Acknowledgments

We sincerely thank Mr. Jiayi Sun, Ms. Lu Yang, and Ms. Pengmei Guo from the Innovative Institute of Chinese Medicine and Pharmacy/Academy of Interdiscipline, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, for their valuable assistance with the immunofluorescence experiments, flow cytometry analysis, and blood biochemical assays, respectively. We also thank Ms. Jilan Chen from the School of Basic Medical Sciences for her support with H&E staining. Graphical abstract was created by BioRender.com (BioRender, https://www.biorender.com/). Chemical structures were drawn using ChemDraw (PerkinElmer).

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Generative AI statement

The author(s) declare that no Generative AI was used in the creation of this manuscript.

Any alternative text (alt text) provided alongside figures in this article has been generated by Frontiers with the support of artificial intelligence and reasonable efforts have been made to ensure accuracy, including review by the authors wherever possible. If you identify any issues, please contact us.

Publisher’s note

All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.

Supplementary material

The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fimmu.2025.1676768/full#supplementary-material

Glossary

ACC: Adrenocortical Carcinoma

Act_B: Activated B Cell

Act_CD4: Activated CD4+ T Cell

Act_CD8: Activated CD8+ T Cell

ALB: Albumin

ALT: Alanine Aminotransferase

AST: Aspartate Aminotransferase

AUC: Area Under the Curve

BC: Breast Cancer

BLCA: Bladder Urothelial Carcinoma

BRCA-Basal: Breast Invasive Carcinoma, Basal-like Subtype

BRCA-Her2: Breast Invasive Carcinoma, HER2-Enriched Subtype

BRCA-LumA: Breast Invasive Carcinoma, Luminal A Subtype

BRCA-LumB: Breast Invasive Carcinoma, Luminal B Subtype

CCK-8: Cell Counting Kit-8

CESC: Cervical Squamous Cell Carcinoma and Endocervical Adenocarcinoma

CHOL: Cholangiocarcinoma

COAD: Colon Adenocarcinoma

CREA: Creatinine

DEGs: Differentially Expressed Genes

DEME: Dulbecco’s Modified Eagle’s Medium

DFI: Disease-Free Interval

DLBC: Lymphoid Neoplasm Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma

DMSO: Dimethyl Sulfoxide

DSS: Disease-Specific Survival

ESCA: Esophageal Carcinoma

FBS: Fetal Bovine Serum

FCM: Flow Cytometry

GBM: Glioblastoma Multiforme

GO: Gene Ontology

GSEA: Gene Set Enrichment Analysis

H&E: Hematoxylin and Eosin

HiMAP-seq: Highly multiplexed and parallel sequencing

HNSC: Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

HNSC-HPV-: Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma, HPV-Negative

HNSC-HPV+: Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma, HPV-Positive

HR: Hazard Ratio

HTS2: high-throughput sequencing-based high-throughput screening

ICB: Immune Checkpoint Blockade

iDC: Immature Dendritic Cell

IF: Immunofluorescence

Imm_B: Immature B cell

KEGG: Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes

KICH: Kidney Chromophobe

KIRC: Kidney Renal Clear Cell Carcinoma

KIRP: Kidney Renal Papillary Cell Carcinoma

LGG: Brain Lower Grade Glioma

LIHC: Liver Hepatocellular Carcinoma

LUAD: Lung Adenocarcinoma

LUSC: Lung Squamous Cell Carcinoma

MESO: Mesothelioma

NCD: Nitidine Chloride

NK: Natural Killer Cell

NKT: Natural Killer T Cell

OS: Overall Survival

OV: Ovarian Serous Cystadenocarcinoma

PAAD: Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma

PCPG: Pheochromocytoma and Paraganglioma

pDC: Plasmacytoid Dendritic

PFI: Progression-Free Interval

PFS: Progression-Free Survival

PRAD: Prostate Adenocarcinoma

qPCR: Quantitative Polymerase Chain Reaction

READ: Rectum Adenocarcinoma

RNA-seq: RNA sequencing

ROC: Receiver Operating Characteristic

RPMI: Roswell Park Memorial Institute

SARC: Sarcoma

SKCM: Skin Cutaneous Melanoma

SKCM-Metastasis: Skin Cutaneous Melanoma, Metastatic

SKCM-Primary: Skin Cutaneous Melanoma, Primary Tumor

SPR: Surface Plasmon Resonance

STAD: Stomach Adenocarcinoma

Tem_CD4: Effector Memory CD4+ T Cell

Tem_CD8: Effector Memory CD8+ T Cell

TGCT: Testicular Germ Cell Tumors

Th1: Type 1 T Helper Cell

THCA: Thyroid Carcinoma

THYM: Thymoma

TIL: Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocyte

TIME: Tumor Immune Microenvironment

TIME-GES: Tumor Immune Microenvironment Gene Expression Signature

TNBC: Triple-Negative Breast Cancer

UCEC: Uterine Corpus Endometrial Carcinoma

UCS: Uterine Carcinosarcoma

UVM: Uveal Melanoma

References

1. Couzin-Frankel J. Breakthrough of the year 2013. Cancer immunotherapy. Sci (N Y NY). (2013) 342:1432–3. doi: 10.1126/science.342.6165.1432

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

2. Chen DS and Mellman I. Elements of cancer immunity and the cancer–immune set point. Nature. (2017) 541:321–30. doi: 10.1038/nature21349

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

3. Galon J and Bruni D. Approaches to treat immune hot, altered and cold tumours with combination immunotherapies. Nat Rev Drug Discov. (2019) 18:197–218. doi: 10.1038/s41573-018-0007-y

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

4. Hu R, Han Q, and Zhang J. STAT3: a key signaling molecule for converting cold to hot tumors. Cancer Lett. (2020) 489:29–40. doi: 10.1016/j.canlet.2020.05.035

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

5. Xu T, Zhang H, Yang BB, Qadir J, Yuan H, and Ye T. Tumor-infiltrating immune cells state-implications for various breast cancer subtypes. Front Immunol. (2025) 16:1550003. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2025.1550003

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

6. Waks AG and Winer EP. Breast cancer treatment: a review. JAMA. (2019) 321:288–300. doi: 10.1001/jama.2018.19323

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

7. Yin L, Duan J-J, Bian X-W, and Yu S. Triple-negative breast cancer molecular subtyping and treatment progress. Breast Cancer Res ;: BCR. (2020) 22:61. doi: 10.1186/s13058-020-01296-5

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

8. Agostinetto E, Losurdo A, Nader-Marta G, Santoro A, Punie K, Barroso R, et al. Progress and pitfalls in the use of immunotherapy for patients with triple negative breast cancer. Expert Opin Investig Drugs. (2022) 31:567–91. doi: 10.1080/13543784.2022.2049232

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

9. Chen C, Li A, Sun P, Xu J, Du W, Zhang J, et al. Efficiently restoring the tumoricidal immunity against resistant Malignancies via an immune nanomodulator. J Control Release: Off J Control Release Soc. (2020) 324:574–85. doi: 10.1016/j.jconrel.2020.05.039

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

10. Ye T, Li J, Feng J, Guo J, Wan X, Xie D, et al. The subtype-specific molecular function of SPDEF in breast cancer and insights into prognostic significance. J Cell Mol Med. (2021) 25:7307–20. doi: 10.1111/jcmm.16760

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

11. Callahan R and Salomon DS. Oncogenes, tumour suppressor genes and growth factors in breast cancer: novel targets for diagnosis, prognosis and therapy. Cancer Surv. (1993) 18:35–56.

PubMed Abstract | Google Scholar

12. van ‘t Veer LJ, Dai H, van de Vijver MJ, He YD, Hart AAM, Mao M, et al. Gene expression profiling predicts clinical outcome of breast cancer. Nature. (2002) 415:530–6. doi: 10.1038/415530a

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

13. Lamb J, Crawford ED, Peck D, Modell JW, Blat IC, Wrobel MJ, et al. The connectivity map: using gene-expression signatures to connect small molecules, genes, and disease. Sci (n Y NY). (2006) 313:1929–35. doi: 10.1126/science.1132939

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

14. Xiang L, Wang Y, Shao W, Li Q, Yu X, Wei M, et al. High-throughput profiling of chemical-induced gene expression across 93,644 perturbations. Nat Methods. (2025) 22:1954–63. doi: 10.1038/s41592-025-02781-5

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

15. Wang H, Li S, Wang Q, Jin Z, Shao W, Gao Y, et al. Tumor immunological phenotype signature-based high-throughput screening for the discovery of combination immunotherapy compounds. Sci Adv. (2021) 7:eabd7851. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.abd7851

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

16. Li H, Zhou H, Wang D, Qiu J, Zhou Y, Li X, et al. Versatile pathway-centric approach based on high-throughput sequencing to anticancer drug discovery. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. (2012) 109:4609–14. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1200305109

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

17. Shao W, Li S, Li L, Lin K, Liu X, Wang H, et al. Chemical genomics reveals inhibition of breast cancer lung metastasis by ponatinib via c-jun. Protein Cell. (2019) 10:161–77. doi: 10.1007/s13238-018-0533-8

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

18. Dai Y, Qiang W, Gui Y, Tan X, Pei T, Lin K, et al. A large-scale transcriptional study reveals inhibition of COVID-19 related cytokine storm by traditional chinese medicines. Sci Bull. (2021) 66:884–8. doi: 10.1016/j.scib.2021.01.005

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

19. Kirfel J, Kümpers CC, Fähnrich A, Heidel C, Jokic M, Vlasic I, et al. PD-L1 dependent immunogenic landscape in hot lung adenocarcinomas identified by transcriptome analysis. Cancers. (2021) 13:4562. doi: 10.3390/cancers13184562

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

20. Hossain SM, Gimenez G, Stockwell PA, Tsai P, Print CG, Rys J, et al. Innate immune checkpoint inhibitor resistance is associated with melanoma sub-types exhibiting invasive and de-differentiated gene expression signatures. Front Immunol. (2022) 13:955063. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2022.955063

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

21. Nagarsheth N, Wicha MS, and Zou W. Chemokines in the cancer microenvironment and their relevance in cancer immunotherapy. Nat Rev Immunol. (2017) 17:559–72. doi: 10.1038/nri.2017.49

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

22. Goldman MJ, Craft B, Hastie M, Repečka K, McDade F, Kamath A, et al. Visualizing and interpreting cancer genomics data via the xena platform. Nat Biotechnol. (2020) 38:675–8. doi: 10.1038/s41587-020-0546-8

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

23. Ru B, Wong CN, Tong Y, Zhong JY, Zhong SSW, Wu WC, et al. TISIDB: an integrated repository portal for tumor-immune system interactions. Bioinform (oxf Engl). (2019) 35:4200–2. doi: 10.1093/bioinformatics/btz210

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

24. Li T, Fu J, Zeng Z, Cohen D, Li J, Chen Q, et al. TIMER2.0 for analysis of tumor-infiltrating immune cells. Nucleic Acids Res. (2020) 48:W509–14. doi: 10.1093/nar/gkaa407

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

25. Tang Y, Guo C, Yang Z, Wang Y, Zhang Y, and Wang D. Identification of a tumor immunological phenotype-related gene signature for predicting prognosis, immunotherapy efficacy, and drug candidates in hepatocellular carcinoma. Front Immunol. (2022) 13:862527. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2022.862527

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

26. He Y, Jiang Z, Chen C, and Wang X. Classification of triple-negative breast cancers based on immunogenomic profiling. J Exp Clin Cancer res: CR. (2018) 37:327. doi: 10.1186/s13046-018-1002-1

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

27. Jin W, Zhang Y, Liu Z, Che Z, Gao M, and Peng H. Exploration of the molecular characteristics of the tumor-immune interaction and the development of an individualized immune prognostic signature for neuroblastoma. J Cell Physiol. (2021) 236:294–308. doi: 10.1002/jcp.29842

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

28. Wang Q, Tang H, Luo X, Chen J, Zhang X, Li X, et al. Immune-associated gene signatures serve as a promising biomarker of immunotherapeutic prognosis for renal clear cell carcinoma. Front Immunol. (2022) 13:890150. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2022.890150

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

29. Zhuang W, Sun H, Zhang S, Zhou Y, Weng W, Wu B, et al. An immunogenomic signature for molecular classification in hepatocellular carcinoma. Mol Ther Nucleic Acids. (2021) 25:105–15. doi: 10.1016/j.omtn.2021.06.024

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

30. Xu F, Zhan X, Zheng X, Xu H, Li Y, Huang X, et al. A signature of immune-related gene pairs predicts oncologic outcomes and response to immunotherapy in lung adenocarcinoma. Genomics. (2020) 112:4675–83. doi: 10.1016/j.ygeno.2020.08.014

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

31. He Y, Ramesh A, Gusev Y, Bhuvaneshwar K, and Giaccone G. Molecular predictors of response to pembrolizumab in thymic carcinoma. Cell Rep Med. (2021) 2:100392. doi: 10.1016/j.xcrm.2021.100392

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

32. Darragh LB, Gadwa J, Pham TT, Van Court B, Neupert B, Olimpo NA, et al. Elective nodal irradiation mitigates local and systemic immunity generated by combination radiation and immunotherapy in head and neck tumors. Nat Commun. (2022) 13:7015. doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-34676-w

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

33. Riaz N, Havel JJ, Makarov V, Desrichard A, Urba WJ, Sims JS, et al. Tumor and microenvironment evolution during immunotherapy with nivolumab. Cell. (2017) 171:934–949.e16. doi: 10.1016/j.cell.2017.09.028

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

34. Prat A, Navarro A, Paré L, Reguart N, Galván P, Pascual T, et al. Immune-related gene expression profiling after PD-1 blockade in non-small cell lung carcinoma, head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, and melanoma. Cancer Res. (2017) 77:3540–50. doi: 10.1158/0008-5472.CAN-16-3556

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

35. Barrett T, Wilhite SE, Ledoux P, Evangelista C, Kim IF, Tomashevsky M, et al. NCBI GEO: archive for functional genomics data sets–update. Nucleic Acids Res. (2013) 41:D991–995. doi: 10.1093/nar/gks1193

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

36. Tsherniak A, Vazquez F, Montgomery PG, Weir BA, Kryukov G, Cowley GS, et al. Defining a cancer dependency map. Cell. (2017) 170:564–576.e16. doi: 10.1016/j.cell.2017.06.010

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

37. Xue C, Yao Q, Gu X, Shi Q, Yuan X, Chu Q, et al. Evolving cognition of the JAK-STAT signaling pathway: autoimmune disorders and cancer. Signal Transduct Target Ther. (2023) 8:204. doi: 10.1038/s41392-023-01468-7

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

38. Pei Q, Luo Y, Chen Y, Li J, Xie D, and Ye T. Artificial intelligence in clinical applications for lung cancer: diagnosis, treatment and prognosis. Clin Chem Lab Med. (2022) 60:1974–83. doi: 10.1515/cclm-2022-0291

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

39. Chinese Pharmacopoeia Commission. Pharmacopoeia of the People’s Republic of China. Beijing, China: China Medical Science Press (2020).

Google Scholar

40. Lin C, Ge L, Tang L, He Y, Moqbel SAA, Xu K, et al. Nitidine chloride alleviates inflammation and cellular senescence in murine osteoarthritis through scavenging ROS. Front Pharmacol. (2022) 13:919940. doi: 10.3389/fphar.2022.919940

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

41. Wu Y-L, Liu X, Liu K-L, Cui X-L, and Wang C-F. Effects of nitidine chloride on ulcerative colitis in mice and its mechanism. Chin J Appl Physiol. (2019) 35:525–9. doi: 10.12047/j.cjap.5827.2019.115

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

42. Yang N, Yue R, Ma J, Li W, Zhao Z, Li H, et al. Nitidine chloride exerts anti-inflammatory action by targeting topoisomerase I and enhancing IL-10 production. Pharmacol Res. (2019) 148:104368. doi: 10.1016/j.phrs.2019.104368

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

43. Xiong D-D, Feng Z-B, Lai Z-F, Qin Y, Liu L-M, Fu H-X, et al. High throughput circRNA sequencing analysis reveals novel insights into the mechanism of nitidine chloride against hepatocellular carcinoma. Cell Death Dis. (2019) 10:658. doi: 10.1038/s41419-019-1890-9

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

44. Liao J, Xu T, Zheng J-X, Lin J-M, Cai Q-Y, Yu D-B, et al. Nitidine chloride inhibits hepatocellular carcinoma cell growth in vivo through the suppression of the JAK1/STAT3 signaling pathway. Int J Mol Med. (2013) 32:79–84. doi: 10.3892/ijmm.2013.1358

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

45. Liu L-M, Xiong D-D, Lin P, Yang H, Dang Y-W, and Chen G. DNA topoisomerase 1 and 2A function as oncogenes in liver cancer and May be direct targets of nitidine chloride. Int J Oncol. (2018) 53:1897–912. doi: 10.3892/ijo.2018.4531

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

46. Sun X, Lin L, Chen Y, Liu T, Liu R, Wang Z, et al. Nitidine chloride inhibits ovarian cancer cell migration and invasion by suppressing MMP-2/9 production via the ERK signaling pathway. Mol Med Rep. (2016) 13(4):31618. doi: 10.3892/mmr.2016.4929

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

47. Mou H, Guo P, Li X, Zhang C, Jiang J, Wang L, et al. Nitidine chloride inhibited the expression of S phase kinase-associated protein 2 in ovarian cancer cells. Cell Cycle (georget Tex),. (2017) 16:1366–75. doi: 10.1080/15384101.2017.1327490

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

48. Chen S, Yang L, and Feng J. Nitidine chloride inhibits proliferation and induces apoptosis in ovarian cancer cells by activating the fas signalling pathway. J Pharm Pharmacol. (2018) 70:778–86. doi: 10.1111/jphp.12901

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

49. Li LP, Song FF, Weng YY, Yang X, Wang K, Lei HM, et al. Role of OCT2 and MATE1 in renal disposition and toxicity of nitidine chloride. Br J Pharmacol. (2016) 173:2543–54. doi: 10.1111/bph.13537

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

50. Li C, Chen YC, Zeng QQ, Lei SW, Zhou H, Jiang HD, et al. Accumulation and mechanism of nitidine chloride in rat heart. Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica. (2019) 54(5):913–8.

Google Scholar

Keywords: tumor immune microenvironment, immunotherapy, gene expression signature, nitidine chloride, JAK-STAT signaling pathway

Citation: Bai L, Zhou Z, Yu Q, Ye Z, Li Q, Li S, Li C, Hu Y, Hu Y, Tai X, Xiang L, Sun S, Deng J, Wang Y and Wang D (2025) A tumor immune microenvironment gene expression signature for predicting prognosis, immunotherapy efficacy, and drug candidates in triple-negative breast cancer. Front. Immunol. 16:1676768. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2025.1676768

Received: 31 July 2025; Accepted: 24 October 2025;
Published: 10 November 2025.

Edited by:

Rao Prabhala, Harvard Medical School, United States

Reviewed by:

Ting Ye, Southwest Medical University, China
Srikanth Talluri, Dana–Farber Cancer Institute, United States
Shiwu Zhang, Nankai University, China
Bishnu Joshi, Gel4Med, Inc. (A Harvard Innovation Labs Company), United States

Copyright © 2025 Bai, Zhou, Yu, Ye, Li, Li, Li, Hu, Hu, Tai, Xiang, Sun, Deng, Wang and Wang. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

*Correspondence: Yumei Wang, eXVtZWl3YW5nQGNkdXRjbS5lZHUuY24=; Dong Wang, ZHdhbmdAY2R1dGNtLmVkdS5jbg==

These authors have contributed equally to this work

Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.