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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Neurol.

Sec. Stroke

Association between cumulative changes in the Wells score and the risk of stroke-associated pneumonia in patients with acute ischemic stroke: Results from the REMISE study

Provisionally accepted
Dongze  LiDongze Li1*JIng  YuJIng Yu1Jin  ChenJin Chen2Yi  LiuYi Liu1Wei  ZhangWei Zhang1Yan  ZhongYan Zhong1Yan  MaYan Ma3Zhi  ZengZhi Zeng1Qinqin  WuQinqin Wu1Zhi  WanZhi Wan1*
  • 1West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
  • 2Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
  • 3Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

Introduction: The Wells score, a reliable indicator of thrombotic burden, has been associated with stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). However, the impact of changes in dynamic Wells scores on the incidence and severity of SAP remains poorly understood. Methods: A total of 767 participants with AIS were recruited from the Retrospective Multicenter Study for Ischemic Stroke Evaluation. Two Wells score measurements (i.e., at baseline and within the first 3 days) were obtained. Changes in dynamic Wells scores were then estimated using two indices: the cumulative Wells score and dynamic Wells score classes based on K-means analysis. The cumulative Wells score was calculated as the weighted sum of the mean Wells score value for each time interval (value × time). Dynamic Wells score classification was determined using K-means clustering analysis. Logistic regression was employed to analyze the effects of changes in dynamic Wells scores on the incidence of SAP. Results: Among the included patients, 263 developed SAP. Four dynamic Wells score classes were identified. The incidence of SAP increased significantly with increasing cumulative Wells scores. After adjusting for confounders, an elevated cumulative Wells score was significantly associated with an increased incidence of SAP (P < 0.001). Compared with the class 1 group, the class 2, 3, and 4 groups had odds ratios for SAP incidence of 2.01 (P = 0.048), 3.71 (P = 0.001), and 9.90 (P < 0.001), respectively. Adding changes in dynamic Wells scores to a conventional risk model for SAP improved discrimination and calibration. Changes in dynamic Wells scores were positively correlated with the pneumonia severity index. Discussion: Changes in dynamic Wells scores were independently associated with the incidence of SAP. Therefore, dynamic monitoring of changes in the Wells score may assist in the early identification of patients at high risk of developing SAP.

Keywords: ischemic stroke, Pneumonia severity index, Stroke-associated pneumonia, Thrombotic burden, Wells score

Received: 23 Sep 2025; Accepted: 19 Dec 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Li, Yu, Chen, Liu, Zhang, Zhong, Ma, Zeng, Wu and Wan. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence:
Dongze Li
Zhi Wan

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