ORIGINAL RESEARCH article
Front. Polit. Sci.
Sec. Comparative Governance
This article is part of the Research TopicIs All Politics Local When the Problem is National? The Role of Local Governments in Mitigating Climate ChangeView all 4 articles
GREEN GOVERNANCE AND INSTITUTIONAL RESILIENCE: STRENGTHENING ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES FOR A LOW-CARBON ECONOMY IN MANGROVE ECOSYSTEMS
Provisionally accepted
MIMIN SUNDARI NASUTION1,2*
Zaili Rusli1,2Meyzi Heriyanto1Zulkarnaini Zulkarnaini1
Almasdi Syahza1Mayarni mayarni2Adianto Adianto1Ismandianto Ismandianto2- 1Riau University, Pekanbaru, Indonesia
- 2Universitas Riau, Pekanbaru, Indonesia
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This study addresses a significant empirical gap by examining how institutional resilience mediates the relationship between green governance and environmental policy effectiveness in managing mangrove ecosystems in Indonesia. Employing a mixed-methods design, it integrates Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) and MICMAC analysis to investigate causal relationships and strategic interdependencies. The SEM results indicate that green governance exerts a significant influence on institutional resilience (β = 0.67), environmental policy effectiveness (β = 0.61), and the low-carbon economy (β = 0.52), with institutional resilience and policy effectiveness serving as key mediating variables (Sobel z = 5.98 and 5.47, respectively). MICMAC analysis identifies public participation, regulatory enforcement, and environmental economic instruments as primary driving variables with high influence and low dependency. Institutional resilience also emerges as a critical linkage factor, reflecting its dual function in both shaping and being shaped by governance dynamics. This study offers theoretical, methodological, and practical contributions. Theoretically, it advances the literature by elucidating the mediating role of institutional resilience in connecting green governance to policy effectiveness and the transition toward a low-carbon economy. Methodologically, it contributes by integrating SEM and MICMAC analysis, combining statistical rigor with strategic foresight. Contextually, it provides empirical insights from mangrove ecosystems in Indonesia, representing the Global South, where governance challenges remain both pressing and underexplored. Practically, the findings underscore actionable priorities—such as public participation, regulatory enforcement, and economic instruments—offering evidence-based policy direction to strengthen institutional resilience and advance green governance toward a low-carbon transition.
Keywords: green governance, Institutional resilience, Environmental policy effectiveness, Local climate governance, Sustainability governance
Received: 19 May 2025; Accepted: 27 Oct 2025.
Copyright: © 2025 NASUTION, Rusli, Heriyanto, Zulkarnaini, Syahza, mayarni, Adianto and Ismandianto. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
* Correspondence: MIMIN SUNDARI NASUTION, mimin.sundari@lecturer.unri.ac.id
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