ORIGINAL RESEARCH article
Front. Vet. Sci.
Sec. Veterinary Epidemiology and Economics
Volume 12 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fvets.2025.1690105
Research on the Accelerating Effect and Driving Mechanism of the African Swine Fever Epidemic on the Capitalization of Hog Farming: Evidence from China
Provisionally accepted
- 1Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou, China
- 2Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, China
Select one of your emails
You have multiple emails registered with Frontiers:
Notify me on publication
Please enter your email address:
If you already have an account, please login
You don't have a Frontiers account ? You can register here
Introduction: The outbreak of African swine fever (ASF) has led to a sharp increase in the price of hogs, accelerating the capitalization process of the hog industry and causing China's hog industry to enter a "super hog cycle", which has attracted much attention. Methods: Based on this, to clarify the mechanism of ASF on the capitalization of hog farming and enrich the relevant theoretical research, this paper uses panel data from 30 provinces in China from 2013 to 2023, and adopts the difference-in-differences model (DID) and the moderation effect model to analyze the impact of the epidemic outbreak on the capitalization of pig farming, providing a new perspective for exploring the influencing factors of hog farming capitalization. Results and discussion: The research found that ASF significantly accelerated the capitalization process of hog farming. This conclusion remained valid after undergoing a series of robustness tests. Moreover, the improvement of industrial agglomeration degree and the strengthening of government support would have a significant positive regulatory effect on it. Heterogeneity analysis revealed that in regions with high agricultural capital stock and non-feed-producing areas, the positive impact of ASF on the capitalization process of hog farming was more significant. Based on this, the article proposed policy suggestions such as strengthening the epidemic prevention and control system, preventing excessive expansion of hog production capacity, coordinating efforts through multiple channels to enhance the capitalization level of the hog industry, and promoting the high-quality development of the hog industry.
Keywords: Hog industry, African Swine Fever, capitalization of hog farming, Industrialagglomeration, government support
Received: 21 Aug 2025; Accepted: 06 Oct 2025.
Copyright: © 2025 Hua, Tian, Jia and Chen. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
* Correspondence: Yunfei Jia, jiayunfei@henau.edu.cn
Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.