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Anthropogenic Emission Monitoring with the Copernicus CO2 Monitoring Mission

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Editorial: Anthropogenic emission monitoring with the Copernicus CO2 monitoring mission
Editorial25 July 2023
Editorial: Anthropogenic emission monitoring with the Copernicus CO2 monitoring mission

Humanity is facing one of its biggest, contemporary challenges, which is the eminent crisis that results from climate change. Following the Paris Agreement, which was signed in 2015 between UNFCCC parties, the signatories aim to restrict the rise in global temperatures caused by the increased presence of greenhouse gases due to anthropogenic emissions. The two main contributing greenhouse gases are carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4). For the observed increase in atmospheric CO2 concentrations, the largest contributions come from emissions due to the combustion of fossil fuels, production of cement, and land-use change. Reduced uncertainties associated with these anthropogenic emissions at national, regional, and local scales will contribute to better-informed policy decisions and help assess the effectiveness of CO2 emission reduction strategies. As part of the Copernicus Programme, the European Commission (EC), the European Space Agency (ESA), the European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT) and the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are jointly developing a CO2 monitoring and verification support (MVS) capacity to address these needs. ESA develops a dedicated satellite mission to provide the space-based measurements required for fossil CO2 emission monitoring as a component of the overall Copernicus Space Component. In partnership, EUMETSAT develops the operational ground segment and will operate the mission.Satellite and in-situ measurements of CO2, in addition to bottom-up inventories, will enable transparent and consistent quantitative assessment of CO2 emissions and their trends at the scale of large point sources, megacities, regions, countries, and the globe. The MVS capacity will include advanced modelling, data assimilation and inversion tools. It will provide the European Union and other countries with a unique and independent source of information, which can be used to assess the effectiveness of policy measures, and to track their impact towards decarbonizing the world and meeting national emission reduction targets. Furthermore, there will be potential synergies at international level with observing systems under development by third parties.In this paper, we provide a brief overview of the CO2 monitoring mission, its mission objectives, the observational requirements on CO2 and CH4 and auxiliary measurement capabilities, which serves as the editorial introduction to the collection of research papers published under this research topic.

Current satellite missions aim to address the biogenic carbon dioxide cycle. On the other hand, operational monitoring of anthropogenic emissions requires the development of a new and dedicated satellite mission, which is the objective of the Copernicus anthropogenic CO2 Monitoring mission (or CO2M Mission in short). A constellation of 2-3 satellites aims to provide worldwide high precision CO2 (0.7 ppm) and CH4 (10 ppb) observations at 4 km 2 spatial samples over 250 km swath width, which will provide 2-3 days geometrical revisit time at mid latitudes. These observations are supported by (1) multi-angle polarimeter (MAP) observations of aerosol parameters, to minimize biases due to incorrect light path corrections in the retrieval, (2) nitrogen dioxide (NO2) observations, as tracer for high temperature combustion improving emission estimates of the fossil component of CO2, and (3) cloud imager observations to filter out measurements impacted by low clouds and highaltitude cirrus. The mission targets to be operational in 2026. An artists' impression of the CO2M mission is provided in Figure 1.

The EC initiated the design and development for a CO2 MVS capacity for anthropogenic CO2 emissions, which will be a new Copernicus service element. The CO2 Human Emissions (CHE) project successfully coordinated efforts to advance the development of the European capacity. Balsamo et al describe several project achievements. Kaminski et al explored the impact of assimilating, in their Carbon Cycle Fossil Fuel Data Assimilation System (CCFFDAS), simulated CO2M observations of CO2, NO2, and aerosols on estimating CO2 emissions in an area around Berlin. Their assessments showed a considerable contribution of the aerosol observations to the constraint of the CO2 measurements on emissions on all spatial scales. NO2 measurements onboard CO2M also provided a powerful additional constraint. Hakkarainen et al applied an adapted version of their divergence method to derive both CO2 and nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions of cities and power plants from a CO2M satellite constellation by using synthetic observations from the COSMO-GHG model. This makes it a promising, alternative tool for estimating CO2 emissions.

To make use of the added value of MAP aboard the CO2M mission, the Remote sensing of Trace gas and Aerosol Product (RemoTAP) algorithm is developed to perform simultaneous retrieval of trace gas and aerosol properties. Lu et al evaluated the performance of the RemoTAP algorithm based on synthetic orbit measurements of realistic atmospheric and geophysical scenes over land. They demonstrated that a combined retrieval method is able to reduce the aerosol-induced retrieval error in CO2 by more than a factor of 2. By the inclusion of MAP measurements, the large aerosolinduced biases can be mitigated, resulting in the retrievals that meet the mission requirement (precision < 0.7 ppm and bias < 0.5 ppm). Satellite measurements require careful validation, as for CO2 and CH4, where concentration gradients are minute challenging the goal to quantify and monitor anthropogenic emissions. Butz et al showcase the potential of the mobile EM27/SUN as a valuable asset to contribute to the validation activities for CO2M. Kuhlmann et al analyzed the feasibility of quantifying emissions using synthetic CO2 and NO2 observations for a constellation of CO2M satellites. They demonstrated that NO2 observations were essential for estimating CO2 emissions as they helped detecting and constraining the shape of the plumes. Adding a third satellites would double the number of point sources that could be quantified. Nassar et al demonstrate the capability of using existing satellite observations to quantify CO2 emissions using NASA's Orbiting Carbon Observatory missions (OCO-2 and OCO-3). Their emission estimates reveal consistent trend results that also agree with bottom-up estimates. The results are informative for understanding the expected capability and potential limitations of the CO2M mission.

3,011 views

14 citations

ORIGINAL RESEARCH
28 October 2022
Tracking CO2 emission reductions from space: A case study at Europe’s largest fossil fuel power plant
Ray Nassar, 7 more and David Crisp
Tracking CO2 emission reductions from space: A case study at Europe’s largest fossil fuel power plant
We quantify CO2 emissions from Europe’s largest fossil fuel power plant, the Bełchatόw Power Station in Poland, using CO2 observations from NASA’s Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO) 2 and 3 missions on 10 occasions from March 2017 to June 2022. The space-based CO2 emission estimates reveal emission changes with a trend that is consistent with the independent reported hourly power generation trend that results from both permanent and temporary unit shutdowns. OCO-2 and OCO-3 emission estimates agree with the bottom-up emission estimates within their respective 1 sigma uncertainties for 9 of the 10 occasions. Different methods for defining background values and corresponding uncertainties are explored in order to better understand this important potential error contribution. These results demonstrate the ability of existing space-based CO2 observations to quantify emission reductions for a large facility when adequate coverage and revisits are available. The results are informative for understanding the expected capability and potential limitations of the planned Copernicus Anthropogenic CO2 Monitoring (CO2M) and other future satellites to support monitoring and verification of CO2 emission reductions resulting from climate change mitigation efforts such as the Paris Agreement.

26,127 views

62 citations

ORIGINAL RESEARCH
11 May 2022
Assessing the Impact of Atmospheric CO2 and NO2 Measurements From Space on Estimating City-Scale Fossil Fuel CO2 Emissions in a Data Assimilation System
Thomas Kaminski, 16 more and Yasjka Meijer

5,453 views

10 citations

METHODS
30 September 2021
The CO2 Human Emissions (CHE) Project: First Steps Towards a European Operational Capacity to Monitor Anthropogenic CO2 Emissions
Gianpaolo Balsamo, 22 more and Marko Scholze

8,653 views

24 citations