You're viewing our updated article page. If you need more time to adjust, you can return to the old layout.

ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Immunol., 17 February 2026

Sec. Cancer Immunity and Immunotherapy

Volume 17 - 2026 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fimmu.2026.1695859

Evaluation of six clinical prognostic scores in NSCLC patients undergoing first line chemoimmunotherapy

    JS

    Jiaqi Sun 1,2

    DL

    Dan Li 1

    JL

    Jiayin Liu 1

    LW

    Lan Wang 1

    LW

    Long Wang 1

    JH

    Jing Han 1

    XZ

    Xue Zhang 1

    XZ

    Xinliang Zhou 1

    LF

    Li Feng 1

    ZF

    Zhisong Fan 1

    JZ

    Jing Zuo 1

    YW

    Yudong Wang 1*

  • 1. Department of Medical Oncology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China

  • 2. Department of Respiratory, Beijing Genertec Aerospace Hospital, Beijing, China

Article metrics

View details

140

Views

19

Downloads

Abstract

Background:

The study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of six prognostic scores for predicting the outcomes to first-line chemoimmunotherapy (CIT) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients.

Materials and methods:

NSCLC patients receiving first-line CIT were included. The prognostic scores evaluated were RMH, MDACC, MDACC+NLR, MDA-ICI, LIPI, and GRIm. Survival curves were generated using the Kaplan–Meier method, and univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted via the Cox proportional hazards regression model. The C−index and time−dependent AUC were calculated to comprehensively quantify and compare the predictive performance of each system. The Log−rank test and False Discovery Rate (FDR) correction was employed to compare survival outcomes across different risk groups defined by the six prognostic scoring systems.

Results:

A cohort of 298 NSCLC patients was analyzed. The median overall survival (mOS) of patients receiving first-line CIT was 36.5 months (95%CI: NE-NE), and the median progression-free survival (mPFS) was 14.5 months (95%CI: 11.9-17.1). Multivariate analysis showed that bone metastasis (P = 0.042), and more than two metastatic sites (P = 0.031) as independent predictors of poor OS. In quantitative performance comparison, RMH achieved the highest C-indices for both OS (0.672, 95%CI: 0.531-0.813) and PFS (0.652, 0.564-0.737); MDACC also performed well, with C-indices for OS (0.651, 0.564-0.737) and PFS (0.615, 0.554-0.738). Time-dependent AUC analysis showed that MDA-ICI attained the highest 1-year OS and PFS AUC (0.630 and 0.592), followed by the MDACC+NLR (0.600 and 0.571). Based on log-rank testing and following FDR correction, only the MDACC maintained a statistically significant association with OS (high-risk 14.0 vs. intermediate-risk 34.6 vs. low-risk NR months; P = 0.003, Q = 0.036). For PFS, the MDACC+NLR score showed a marginal significance after FDR correction (Q = 0.054).

Conclusions:

The RMH, MDACC, and MDACC+NLR scoring systems all demonstrate prognostic utility in the NSCLC patients treated with first-line CIT, and the optimal choice among them may depend on the specific clinical context and the outcome metric of primary interest.

1 Introduction

Lung cancer was the most common cancer in China in 2022 (1,060,600 cases) for both sexes combined, the leading cause of cancer death was lung cancer (733,300 deaths) (1). About 80–85% of all lung malignancies, including adenocarcinoma, squamous cell carcinoma, and other histologic subtypes, are classified as non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) (2). Most NSCLC patients are often not diagnosed until the disease has progressed to metastatic or locally advanced stages due to the lack of early clinical symptoms. In individuals who undergo surgical resection for resectable NSCLC, the possibility of postoperative metastatic recurrence cannot be disregarded (3). Common sites of metastasis include the brain, bones, and lungs, among others, leading to a significant decline in both patient quality of life and survival rates. Therefore, improving long-term survival outcomes necessitates early detection and accurate prognostic assessment of patients.

In recent years, immunotherapy, particularly immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), has revolutionized the treatment of anticancer therapies. When combined with chemotherapy, ICIs have shown significant efficacy in slowing disease progression in locally advanced or metastatic NSCLC. As a result, chemoimmunotherapy (CIT) has emerged as the preferred treatment approach for advanced driver-negative NSCLC (4). However, it is important to note that not all patients benefit equally from CIT. Therefore, further research is needed to identify and screen patients who are more likely to respond favorably to CIT. This will enable the development of personalized treatment plans, maximize therapeutic benefits, and minimize the risk of overutilization and potential adverse effects.

Currently, there is a lack of reliable biomarkers that can accurately predict the efficacy and prognosis of CIT in NSCLC patients. However, several composite scoring systems have been developed and validated in various cohorts of advanced NSCLC patients to assist in predicting outcomes. These scoring systems include the Royal Marsden Hospital score (RMH), MD Anderson Cancer Center score (MDACC), MDACC combined with Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), MD Anderson Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor (MDA-ICI) score, Lung Immune Prognostic Index (LIPI), and Gustave Roussy Immune Score (GRIm) (510). These scoring systems serve as valuable tools in identifying patients who may benefit from novel treatments and in assessing the likelihood of survival.

However, it remains unclear how effectively these existing scoring systems can be utilized to evaluate the prognosis and effectiveness of first-line CIT in NSCLC patients. Further research and validation studies are needed to determine the utility of these scoring schemes specifically in the context of first-line CIT for NSCLC patients.

In this study, our goal was to investigate the clinicopathological characteristics and survival outcomes of NSCLC patients who received CIT combinations. Additionally, we aimed to assess the utility of six prognostic scoring systems in evaluating the effectiveness and prognosis of first-line CIT in NSCLC. Our objective was to identify the most reliable prognostic scoring method that could guide the selection of patients who would benefit most from first-line CIT, thereby optimizing personalized treatment strategies.

2 Materials and methods

2.1 Patients

In this study, we conducted a retrospective analysis by reviewing the electronic medical records of NSCLC patients who received first-line CIT combination regimens at the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University. The data collection period spanned from 2019 to 2023. Patients were enrolled if they met all of the following criteria: (1) histologically or cytologically diagnosed with primary NSCLC and clinically diagnosed as inoperable (including patient refusal of surgery) or metastatic; (2) age ≥18 years; (3) no contraindications to ICIs or chemotherapy based on laboratory tests and examinations; (4) having received at least two cycles of first-line chemoimmunotherapy (CIT) with evaluable efficacy; (5) availability of imaging evaluations (e.g., CT, MRI, bone scan) for tumor response assessment; (6) complete clinicopathological data, genetic testing results, baseline peripheral blood test results, treatment records, and available follow-up data; (7) driver gene-negative status (no mutations in EGFR, ALK, ROS1, c-MET, BRAF, RET, HER2, or NTRK), primarily confirmed by next-generation sequencing (NGS, with no restrictions on gene panel size). Patients were excluded based on any of the following: (1) history of a second primary malignancy; (2) concurrent chronic or acute infection, severe autoimmune disease, or ongoing immunosuppressive therapy; (3) presence of severe cardiovascular or cerebrovascular diseases, or dysfunction of major organs such as the liver or kidneys; (4) inability to cooperate during follow-up, or having complex clinical conditions resulting in incomplete data. This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University (approval number: 2022KY435).

2.2 Data

We collected data including clinicopathological features, peripheral blood biomarkers, diagnostic and treatment procedures, and survival status of all patients. The following demographics were recorded for analysis: sex; age; histologic subtype of NSCLC; Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG PS); smoking history; clinical stage; PD-L1 status when available; sites of metastasis; radiotherapy history; immunotherapy modality; efficacy; date of progression, and survival (death or last follow-up). Baseline peripheral blood indicators, defined as the most recent blood samples collected within 1 week prior to the initiation of CIT treatment, were systematically documented in the study database for all enrolled patients. These indicators included white blood cell (WBC) count, absolute neutrophil count (ANC), absolute lymphocyte count (ALC), platelet count, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level, and serum albumin level. During the first-line treatment period, all occurring treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs) were systematically collected and graded according to the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) version 4.0 (Refer to Supplementary Table 1 for details).

PD-L1 expression was assessed using the 22C3 pharmDx assay on the Dako Autostainer Link 48 immunohistochemistry platform. The tumor proportion score (TPS) was used as the evaluation metric, with results categorized as follows: negative (TPS < 1%), low expression (TPS 1%–49%), and high expression (TPS ≥ 50%).

2.3 Therapeutic regimen

All enrolled patients received first-line CIT combination regimens. For patients with squamous cell carcinoma, chemotherapy regimens included taxanes combined with platinum-based agents, single-agent taxanes, and gemcitabine combined with platinum-based agents. For patients with non-squamous carcinoma, chemotherapy regimens included pemetrexed combined with platinum-based agents, taxanes combined with platinum-based agents, single-agent pemetrexed, and single-agent taxanes. Immunotherapeutic agents included nivolumab, pembrolizumab, durvalumab, tislelizumab, camrelizumab, sintilimab and toripalimab. During the treatment course, chemotherapy agents combined with immunotherapeutic agents were continued for 4–6 cycles, followed by maintenance therapy with immunotherapeutic agents until disease progression or the occurrence of unacceptable toxicity.

2.4 Survival assessments

Tumor response was evaluated through computed tomography every two months according to response evaluation criteria in solid tumors criteria (RECIST) V1.1. The overall survival (OS) was measured the time from the start of first-line treatment until death or final follow-up; the progression-free survival (PFS) was measured the time from the start of first-line treatment until disease progression or death. If the patient had not experienced disease progression or death at the time of data cutoff, the date of last follow-up was used as the cutoff value.

2.5 Comparison of six prognostic scoring systems

We calculated RMH, MDACC, MDACC + NLR, MDA-ICI, LIPI, and GRIm prognostic scores for each patient. Patients were categorized into different prognostic risk groups according to the established cut-offs for each score. See Table 1 for full details of each scores.

Table 1

Prognostic scoring system Components Point Risk categories
RMH LDH1 > ULN2 1 Low risk: 0-1
High risk: 2-3
ALB3 < 35g/L 1
> 2 metastatic sites 1
MDACC > 2 metastatic sites 1 Low risk: 0-1
Intermediate risk: 2
High risk: 3-5
ECOG PS4 ≥ 1 1
LDH > ULN 1
ALB < 35g/L 1
Gastrointestinal tumour5 0
MDACC + NLR > 2 metastatic sites 1 Low risk: 0-1
High risk: > 1
ECOG PS ≥ 1 1
LDH > ULN 1
ALB < 35g/L 1
NLR6 >6 1
Gastrointestinal tumor 0
MDA-ICI Age >52 years old 1 Low risk: 0-2
Intermediate risk: 3
Intermediate-high risk: 4
High risk: 5-7
Liver metastasis 1
ECOG PS > 1 1
ANC > 4.9×109/L 1
ALC < 1.8×109/L 1
PLT > 300 counts 1
LDH > 75%ULN7 1
LIPI dNLR8 > 3 counts 1 Low risk: 0
Intermediate risk: 1
High risk: 2
LDH > ULN 1
GRIm NLR >6 1 Low risk: 0-1
High risk: 2-3
LDH > ULN 1
ALB < 35g/L 1

Components and risk categorization of prognostic scoring systems.

1LDH, lactate dehydrogenase. 2ULN, upper limit of normal, in this study, ULN was set at 245U/L. 3ALB, albumin. 4ECOG PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status. 5In this study, the score item of “gastrointestinal tumor” in all patients was recorded as 0. 6NLR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio. 775%ULN, in this study, 75%ULN was set at 183U/L. 8dNLR, derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio.

We established an assessment framework centered on discriminative ability. Specifically, the C-index and the time-dependent AUC were employed as primary metrics to evaluate the models’ discriminatory performance. Complementarily, the log-rank test (with FDR-adjusted Q-values) was employed to formally assess the statistical significance and clinical validity of the survival differences between the predefined risk strata generated by each model.

2.6 Statistical analysis

The software SPSS version 21.0 and R (version 4.4.2; R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria) was used to analyze the data. Values and percentages were used to express the count data, and the chi-square test was used to statistically assess the comparisons. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve method was used to compare the survival times of the groups, and the Log-rank test was used to look for significant differences. The COX regression model was utilized to examine prognostic factors and determine adjusted hazard ratios (HR) along with their 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Variables with P < 0.1 in univariate analysis were entered into multivariable Cox regression models to identify independent prognostic factors. Before conducting the multiple regression analysis, we used the car package to calculate the variance inflation factor (VIF) in order to assess the multicollinearity among the independent variables. A VIF value of less than 5 was set as the threshold to indicate the absence of severe multicollinearity. Apart from that, the proportional hazards (PH) assumption for covariates was assessed using Schoenfeld residuals with the cox.zph function in survival package. A significant p-value (<0.05) indicated a violation of the PH assumption. The survcomp package was used to calculate the C-index, while the timeROC package was utilized to construct time-dependent ROC curves and compute the AUC at different time points. Data visualization was carried out using the ggplot2 package. A statistically significant difference was defined as a test level of P < 0.05. Given the multiple comparisons performed by evaluating six different scoring systems on the same patient cohort, the resulting P values were adjusted for multiple testing using the Benjamini-Hochberg (BH) method to control the False Discovery Rate (FDR). Statistical significance after correction was defined as an FDR-adjusted Q < 0.05.

3 Results

3.1 Patient characteristics

A total of 298 consecutive patients with unresectable/metastatic NSCLC who received first-line chemoimmunotherapy between August 2019 and July 2023 were included. The median age of the patients was 64.0 (range, 32.0-86.0) years. Most of the patients were male (n=253, 84.9%) and former or current smokers (n=194, 65.1%). The ECOG score was 0 in 110 cases (36.9%), 1 in 152 cases (51.0%), and ≥2 in 36 cases (12.1%). 49.3% of the patients were diagnosed as having squamous cell carcinoma. 138 patients (46.3%) with no distant organ metastasis at the initial diagnosis, 76 patients (25.5%) with single distant organ metastasis, and 84 patients (28.2%) with two or more multiple distant metastases; 21.5% of patients had baseline bone metastasis, and 9.1% of patients had baseline liver metastasis. The other clinical characteristics and laboratory parameters are shown in Table 2.

Table 2

Parameters N = 298 (%)
Sex
Female 45 (15.1)
Male 253 (84.9)
Age
≥65 133 (44.6)
<65 165 (55.4)
Median (range) 64 (32-86)
ECOG PS1
0 110 (36.9)
1 152 (51.0)
≥2 36 (12.1)
Pathology
Squamous cell carcinoma 147 (49.3)
Adenocarcinoma 141 (47.3)
Others2 10 (3.4)
Smoking status
Yes 194 (65.1)
No 104 (34.9)
Previous chronic history
Yes 188 (63.1)
No 110 (36.9)
Metastatic site
Brain 43 (14.4)
Bone 64 (21.5)
Lung 57 (19.1)
Pleural 49 (16.4)
Liver 27 (9.1)
Adrenal glands 21 (7.0)
Number of metastasis organs
0 138 (46.3)
1 76 (25.5)
2 49 (16.4)
>2 35 (11.7)
PD-L1 status
<1% 33 (11.1)
1%-49% 64 (21.5)
≥50% 41 (13.7)
Unknown 160 (53.7)
First-line clinical stage
II 14 (4.7)
III 117 (39.3)
IV3 167 (56.0)
Radiotherapy history
Yes 65 (21.8)
No 233 (78.2)

Baseline patient and tumor characteristics.

1ECOG PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status. 2”Others” included adenosquamous carcinoma (n=7), adenocarcinoma with sarcomatosis (n=2), and undifferentiated carcinoma (n=1). 3”Stage IV” included metastatic NSCLC (n=160) and postoperative recurrence (n=7).

3.2 Efficacy and survival

All patients in this study received a first-line CIT combination regimen, and RECIST version 1.1 was applied to evaluate the efficacy of 298 NSCLC patients. The median duration of follow-up was 23.7 (95% CI: 21.5-25.8) months. The results showed that: there was 1 case of CR (0.3%), 138 cases of PR (46.3%), 132 cases of SD (44.3%), and 27 cases of PD (9.1%); the ORR was 46.6% (139/298 cases) and DCR was 90.9% (271/298 cases). The median progression-free survival (mPFS) was 14.5 months (95% CI: 11.9-17.1), and the 1-, 2- and 3-year progression-free survival rates were 53.7%, 33.2%, and 24.6%, respectively; median overall survival (mOS) was 36.5 months (95% CI: NE-NE), and the 1-, 2- and 3-year overall survival rates were 81.9%, 61.6% and 51.9%, respectively. Treatment characteristics are presented in Table 3; Figure 1.

Table 3

Time point Progression-free survival rates(%) Overall survival rates(%)
1-year 53.7 81.9
2-year 33.2 61.6
3-year 24.6 51.9

Progression-free survival rates and overall survival rates.

Figure 1

Kaplan-Meier survival curves with two panels. Panel A shows overall survival percentage over time in months, reporting median overall survival as thirty-six point five months with the number at risk decreasing from two hundred ninety-eight to zero. Panel B displays progression-free survival percentage over time, reporting median progression-free survival as fourteen point five months with the number at risk likewise decreasing. Both charts include confidence intervals and mark fifty percent survival with dotted lines.

Overall survival and progression-free survival in NSCLC patients treated on first-line CIT. (A) Kaplan-Meier survival analysis for overall survival in all patients treated on first-line CIT. (B) Kaplan-Meier survival analysis for progression-free survival in all patients treated on first-line CIT. The median duration of follow-up was 23.7 (95% CI: 21.5-25.8) months.

3.3 Univariate analysis and multivariate analysis

The univariate analysis indicated that advanced age (≥65 years) (HR 1.64, 95% CI: 1.13-2.40, P = 0.010), worse physical strength score (PS≥1) (HR 1.83, 95% CI: 1.17-2.86, P = 0.008) and number of metastatic organs >2 (HR 1.72, 95% CI: 1.04-2.86, P = 0.036) were significantly associated with worse OS outcomes (Table 4). Multivariate analysis showed that no factors reached a statistical significance level of P < 0.05. Given the biological inclusion relationship between specific organ metastasis and the total number of metastatic organs, multivariate Cox regression models were constructed separately for subsequent analysis. The results revealed that, after correcting for other confounding factors, bone metastasis (HR 1.60, 95% CI: 1.02-2.50, P = 0.042) and the number of metastatic organs (HR 1.76, 95% CI: 1.05-2.92, P = 0.031) were both independent predictors of prognosis (Table 4).

Table 4

Characteristic n (%) Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis
HR (95%CI) P HR (95%CI) P
Sex Female 45 (15.1) -* 0.435
Male 253 (84.9) 1.24 (0.72-2.15)
Age <65 165 (55.4) 0.010 0.090
≥65 133 (44.6) 1.64 (1.13-2.40) 1.42 (0.95-2.12)
ECOG PS 0 110 (36.9) 0.008 0.119
≥1 188 (63.1) 1.83 (1.17-2.86) 1.51 (0.90-2.55)
Pathology SCC1 147 (49.3) 0.922
non-SCC2 151 (50.7) 1.02 (0.70-1.49)
Smoking No 104 (34.9) 0.092 0.096
Yes 194 (65.1) 1.41 (0.96-2.08) 1.43 (0.94-2.18)
Previous chronic history No 110 (36.9) 0.081 0.813
Yes 188 (63.1) 1.44 (0.96-2.15) 1.06 (0.67-1.67)
Brain metastasis No 255 (85.6) 0.809
Yes 43 (14.4) 0.94 (0.55-1.60)
Bone metastasis No 234 (78.5) 0.061 0.042
Yes 64 (21.5) 1.50 (0.98-2.30) 1.60 (1.02-2.50)
Pulmonary metastasis No 241 (80.9) 0.529
Yes 57 (19.1) 1.16 (0.74-1.82)
Pleural metastasis No 249 (83.6) 0.285
Yes 49 (16.4) 1.30 (0.81-2.09)
Liver metastasis No 271 (90.9) 0.095 0.220
Yes 27 (9.1) 1.64 (0.81-3.32) 1.46 (0.80-2.67)
Adrenal metastasis No 277 (93.0) 0.147
Yes 21 (7.0) 1.62 (0.85-3.11)
Number of metastatic organs ≤2 263 (88.3) 0.036 0.0313
>2 35 (11.7) 1.72 (1.04-2.86) 1.76 (1.05-2.92)
PD-L1 status4 <1% 33 (23.9) - 0.973
1%-49% 64 (21.5) 1.05 (0.51-2.17)
≥50% 41 (29.7) 0.98 (0.45-2.12)
First-line
clinical stage
II-III 131 (44.0) 0.555
IV 167 (56.0) 1.12 (0.77-1.65)
Radiotherapy history No 233 (78.2) 0.333
Yes 65 (21.8) 0.79 (0.48-1.28)

Univariate analysis of prognostic factors for OS.

*Reference. 1SCC, squamous cell carcinoma. 2non-SCC, non-squamous cell carcinoma, included adenocarcinoma, adenosquamous carcinoma, adenocarcinoma with sarcomatosis, and undifferentiated carcinoma. 3Multivariate analysis of the number of metastatic organs in relation to age, ECOG PS, smoking status, and previous chronic history showed that only the number of metastatic organs was statistically significant. 4In the PD-L1 status subgroup, univariate analysis was performed using only 138 cases with complete PD-L1 data.

The univariate analysis for PFS indicated that bone metastasis (HR 1.41, 95% CI: 1.01-1.97, P = 0.044), lung metastasis (HR 1.46, 95% CI: 1.04-2.05, P = 0.031), liver metastasis (HR 1.69, 95% CI: 1.08-2.64, P = 0.021), and number of metastatic organs >2 (HR 1.76, 95% CI: 1.18-2.61, P = 0.005) were significantly associated with worse PFS outcomes. Similar to the results of the multivariate analysis for OS, we conducted multivariate COX regression analyses for PFS separately for specific organ metastasis and the number of metastatic organs. The results showed that the first-line clinical stage (HR 1.44, 95% CI: 1.05-1.97, P = 0.024) was an independent prognostic risk factor affecting patients’ PFS. Details are shown in Table 5.

Table 5

Characteristic n (%) Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis
HR (95%CI) P HR (95%CI) P
Sex Female 45 (15.1) -* 0.945
Male 253 (84.9) 1.01 (0.68-1.52)
Age <65 165 (55.4) 0.797
≥65 133 (44.6) 1.04 (0.78-1.39)
ECOG PS 0 110 (36.9) 0.516
≥1 188 (63.1) 1.11 (0.82-1.50)
Histology SCC1 147 (49.3) 0.262
non-SCC2 151 (50.7) 1.18 (0.88-1.57)
Smoking No 104 (34.9) 0.952
Yes 194 (65.1) 1.01 (0.75-1.36)
Previous chronic history No 110 (36.9) 0.710
Yes 188 (63.1) 1.06 (0.79-1.43)
Brain metastasis No 255 (85.6) 0.988
Yes 43 (14.4) 1.00 (0.67-1.49)
Bone metastasis No 234 (78.5) 0.044 0.542
Yes 64 (21.5) 1.41 (1.01-1.97) 1.12 (0.78-1.63)
Pulmonary metastasis No 241 (80.9) 0.031 0.399
Yes 57 (19.1) 1.46 (1.04-2.05) 1.18 (0.81-1.71)
Pleural metastasis No 249 (83.6) 0.102
Yes 49 (16.4) 1.36 (0.94-1.95)
Liver metastasis No 271 (90.9) 0.021 0.172
Yes 27 (9.1) 1.69 (1.08-2.64) 1.38 (0.87-2.21)
Adrenal metastasis No 277 (93.0) 0.353
Yes 21 (7.0) 1.28 (0.76-2.18)
Number of metastatic organs ≤2 263 (88.3) 0.005 0.068
>2 35 (11.7) 1.76 (1.18-2.61) 1.48 (0.97-2.25)
PD-L1 status3 <1% 33 (23.9) - 0.135
1%-49% 64 (21.5) 0.81 (0.48-1.36)
≥50% 41 (29.7) 0.57 (0.31-1.00)
First-line
clinical stage
II-III 131 (44.0) 0.003 0.0244
IV 167 (56.0) 1.56 (1.16-2.10) 1.44 (1.05-1.97)
Radiotherapy history No 233 (78.2) 0.799
Yes 65 (21.8) 0.96 (0.68-1.35)

Prognostic factors for PFS (univariate analysis and multivariate analysis).

*Reference. 1SCC, squamous cell carcinoma. 2non-SCC, non-squamous cell carcinoma, included adenocarcinoma, adenosquamous carcinoma, adenocarcinoma with sarcomatosis, and undifferentiated carcinoma. 3In the PD-L1 status subgroup, univariate analysis was performed using only 138 cases with complete PD-L1 data. 4Multivariate analysis of the number of metastatic organs and first-line clinical stage showed that first-line clinical stage was statistically significant.

Prior to multivariable Cox regression analysis, the collinearity diagnostic revealed that the VIF values for all variables included in the multivariable analysis ranged from 1.08 to 1.75, which are well below the threshold of 5, indicating that there are no significant multicollinearity issues in the model (Supplementary Table 2). Therefore, all variables were retained in the final model. The PH assumption was formally assessed for all candidate variables using the Schoenfeld residual test. As detailed in Supplementary Table 3, none of the variables demonstrated a statistically significant violation of the PH assumption for either OS or PFS (all P > 0.05).

3.4 Evaluation of the six prognostic scoring systems

To quantitatively compare predictive performance, we calculated the C-index and time-dependent AUC for each model. For OS, the RMH demonstrated the highest C-index of 0.672 (95% CI: 0.531-0.813), followed by the GRIm (C-index: 0.653, 95% CI: 0.538-0.768), MDACC (C-index: 0.651, 95% CI: 0.564-0.737) and MDACC + NLR (0.646, 95% CI: 0.554–0.738). In terms of 1-year AUC for OS, the MDA-ICI achieved the highest value of 0.630, whereas the MDACC + NLR showed a slightly higher 1-year AUC (0.600) compared to the original MDACC (0.586). However, the AUC values of all systems tended to decrease over time: at 3 years, the OS AUC ranged from 0.439 (LIPI) to 0.530 (RMH), with most systems showing values below 0.550. Regarding PFS, the RMH also exhibited the highest C-index of 0.652 (95% CI: 0.520-0.783). For the 1-year PFS AUC, the MDA-ICI again performed well with a value of 0.592. Similarly, the MDACC+NLR demonstrated a marginally higher 1-year AUC (0.571) than the MDACC (0.563). In general, the PFS AUC values of most systems also declined with prolonged follow-up. Detailed results are presented in Table 6; Figure 2.

Table 6

Prognostic scoring system OS PFS
C-index (95% CI) 1-year AUC 2-year AUC 3-year AUC C-index (95% CI) 1-year AUC 2-year AUC 3-year AUC
RMH 0.672 (0.531-0.813) 0.531 0.530 0.530 0.652 (0.520-0.783) 0.527 0.508 0.493
MDACC 0.651 (0.564-0.737) 0.586 0.556 0.506 0.615 (0.541-0.689) 0.563 0.532 0.452
MDACC + NLR 0.646 (0.554-0.738) 0.600 0.535 0.463 0.605 (0.531-0.679) 0.571 0.526 0.380
MDA-ICI 0.605 (0.535-0.676) 0.630 0.555 0.507 0.555 (0.498-0.611) 0.592 0.501 0.449
LIPI 0.546 (0.458-0.635) 0.549 0.514 0.439 0.539 (0.469-0.675) 0.553 0.535 0.571
GRIm 0.653 (0.538-0.768) 0.536 0.546 0.523 0.564 (0.453-0.684) 0.514 0.485 0.453

Comparison of predictive performance among prognostic scoring systems for PFS and OS.

Figure 2

Figure with one comparative line chart (panel A) showing C-index values for six prognostic models across two endpoints, overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), and six ROC curve graphs (panels B–G) displaying model performance for OS and PFS at one, two, and three years, each curve labeled by model and AUC value.

Comparison of performance across prognostic scoring systems in terms of c-index and time-dependent ROC curves. (A) The line chart compares the C-index values of six prognostic scoring systems—LIPI, MDA−ICI, GRIm, MDACC + NLR score, MDACC, and RMH—in predicting overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Higher C-index values indicate better discriminative ability of the model. (B–G) Time−dependent ROC curves for the 1−, 2−, and 3−year prediction of OS and PFS. The curves illustrate the discriminative performance of each prognostic scoring system over time, with corresponding AUC values annotated. AUC, Area Under Curve. The higher the AUC score, the better the model is able to classify observations into classes. A model with an AUC score of 0.5 is no better than a model that performs random guessing. 0.5 = No discrimination; 0.5-0.7 = Poor discrimination; 0.7-0.8 = Acceptable discrimination; 0.8-0.9 = Excellent discrimination; >0.9 = Outstanding discrimination.

Kaplan-Meier analysis with log-rank testing was performed to evaluate the prognostic stratification of the six scoring systems for both OS and PFS. The groups of risk categories are shown in Table 1. The RMH (20.6 vs. NR months, P = 0.026), MDACC (14.0 vs. 34.6 months vs. NR months, P = 0.003), MDACC+NLR (34.6 vs. 36.5 months, P = 0.028), and GRIm (15.8 vs. 36.5 months, P = 0.032) scores had significant differences in OS between the high-risk group and the low-risk group. For PFS, significant stratification was observed for the MDACC (8.4 vs. 11.2 vs. 17.0 months, P = 0.021) and MDACC+NLR (11.7 vs. 17.7 months, P = 0.009) scores, while the RMH score showed a borderline trend (8.7 vs. 15.3 months, P = 0.052). After adjustment for multiple comparisons using the FDR method, only the MDACC score remained significantly associated with OS (14.0 vs. 34.6 vs. NR months, P = 0.003, Q = 0.036). For PFS, while the MDACC+NLR score showed the strongest nominal association, its corrected Q value (0.054) marginally exceeded the significance threshold. The associations of other scores with either OS or PFS were not significant after FDR correction. Details are shown in Table 7. Kaplan–Meier estimates of OS and PFS stratified by prognostic risk category for each score are presented in Figures 3, 4.

Table 7

Prognostic scoring system Number(%) OS (months) PFS(months)
mOS (95%CI) P-value Q-value mPFS(95%CI) P-value Q-value
RMH 0-1 273 (91.6) NR (NE-NE) 0.026 0.064 15.3 (12.5-18.2) 0.052 0.089
2-3 25 (8.4) 20.6 (10.4-30.9) 8.7 (3.5-13.9)
MDACC 0-1 210 (70.5) NR (NE-NE) 0.003 0.036* 17.0 (12.1-21.9) 0.021 0.064
2 68 (22.8) 34.6 (NE-NE) 11.2 (8.3-14.1)
3-5 20 (6.7) 14.0 (4.4-23.6) 8.4 (4.3-12.5)
MDACC+NLR 0-1 192 (64.4) 36.5 (NE-NE) 0.028 0.064 17.7 (12.9-22.5) 0.009 0.054
>1 106 (35.6) 34.6 (NE-NE) 11.7 (9.9-13.4)
MDA-ICI 0-2 67 (22.5) NR (NE-NE) 0.191 0.287 18.0 (12.9-23.0) 0.400 0.507
3 87 (29.2) 29.4 (23.2-35.5) 16.2 (9.1-23.2)
4 95 (31.9) NR (NE-NE) 12.7 (9.8-15.6)
5-7 49 (16.4) 36.5 (17.6-55.5) 11.7 (9.7-13.6)
LIPI 0 160 (53.7) NR (NE-NE) 0.684 0.684 16.8 (13.2-20.4) 0.434 0.507
1 112 (37.6) 36.5 (NE-NE) 12.5 (9.2-15.7)
2 26 (8.7) NR (NE-NE) 11.2 (8.3-14.1)
GRIm 0-1 260 (87.2) 36.5 (NE-NE) 0.032 0.064 15.3 (12.2-18.5) 0.465 0.507
2-3 38 (12.8) 15.8 (NE-NE) 11.9 (10.0-13.8)

Grouping and survival analysis for prognostic risk groups according to six scoring systems.

P values were derived from log-rank tests comparing survival across risk groups defined by each scoring system. To account for multiple comparisons across six different prognostic models, all P values were adjusted using the Benjamini-Hochberg method to control the false discovery rate (FDR). The resulting Q values are reported. A Q value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant after correction (*).

Figure 3

Six-panel figure of Kaplan-Meier survival curves labeled A to F, each comparing overall survival between risk groups based on different prognostic models in oncology. Each plot includes colored lines for distinct risk categories, median overall survival with confidence intervals, p-values, and tables displaying the number of patients at risk at specified time points.

Kaplan - Meier survival curves for overall survival. (A) RMH high versus low risk. (B) MDACC high versus L versus low risk. (C) MDACC+NLR high versus low risk. (D) MDA-ICI high versus Intermediate-high versus intermediate versus low risk. (E) LIPI high versus intermediate versus low risk. (F) GRIm high versus low risk.

Figure 4

Six Kaplan-Meier survival curves labeled panels A through F compare overall survival by risk level among patient groups based on different prognostic models, each showing time in months on the x-axis and overall survival percentage on the y-axis, with tables below indicating the number at risk for each group and corresponding median progression-free survival values with confidence intervals.

Kaplan–Meier survival curves for progression-free survival. (A) RMH high versus low risk. (B) MDACC high versus intermediate versus low risk. (C) MDACC+NLR high versus low risk. (D) MDA-ICI high versus Intermediate-high versus intermediate versus low risk. (E) LIPI high versus intermediate versus low risk. (F) GRIm high versus low risk.

4 Discussion

NSCLC is a prevalent and aggressive form of cancer that exhibits a wide range of clinicopathological characteristics and has a high likelihood of metastasis (11). Traditional platinum-based chemotherapy has shown limited efficacy in treating patients with advanced NSCLC who do not harbor driver gene mutations (12). However, the emergence of immunotherapeutic agents, known as immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), has revolutionized the treatment landscape and led to improved survival rates when used in combination with chemotherapy (13, 14). Despite these advancements, the overall prognosis for NSCLC patients remains unfavorable. Therefore, it is crucial to identify valuable prognostic factors that can help categorize patients into homogeneous subgroups based on their clinicopathological features. Constructing a prognostic scoring system based on these factors can provide guidance for clinicians in tailoring treatment strategies for individual patients.

Interim data from the CameL study showed that the combination of Camrelizumab and chemotherapy significantly improved mPFS compared to chemotherapy alone (11.3 vs. 8.3 months, HR = 0.60, P = 0.0001) (14). Similarly, the KEYNOTE-189 study demonstrated improved OS and PFS for patients receiving pembrolizumab plus platinum-based chemotherapy, with a mOS of 22.0 months and mPFS of 9.0 months (15). In the KEYNOTE-407 Chinese extension study, the pembrolizumab combination group had an mOS of 30.1 months and mPFS of 8.3 months, compared to 12.7 months and 4.2 months in the placebo group, respectively (16). The 1- and 2-year OS rates were 78.5% and 56.9%, and the 1- and 2-year PFS rates were 35.4% and 24.2% in the pembrolizumab group (16). Although the OS data from our study are still immature, a synthesis of previous evidence-based research indicates a promising trend of significant improvement in mOS and mPFS for driver gene-negative NSCLC patients receiving first-line CIT. These findings align with the conclusions drawn from previous studies.

Although VIF analysis did not indicate significant multicollinearity, specific organ metastasis and the number of metastatic organs may convey overlapping prognostic information. When included simultaneously in the same model, the shared variance between these variables may reduce their apparent independent effects, leading to attenuation of statistical significance. Therefore, we included the specific organ transfer status and the number of transferred organs separately in the final multivariate analysis. The results showed that bone metastasis and more than two metastatic organs were poor prognostic factors for OS, while first-line clinical stage was a risk factor for PFS. Prior research indicates that the percentages of NSCLC paired with single brain, bone, lung, liver, and multi-organ metastases were 15.4%, 22.3%, 20.1%, 6.1%, and 36.1%, respectively (17). Different baseline metastatic organs may affect the immunotherapy response differently. Previous studies have found that the number of distant metastatic organs is a prognostic factor in patients with advanced NSCLC (18, 19). The finding indicates that as the extent of metastasis increases, the risk of mortality rises significantly, which further support the crucial role of tumor burden in survival outcomes. Bauml et al. retrospectively found that baseline bone metastases was independent risk factor for shorter survival (20), which is generally consistent with the results of this study. Poor immunotherapy response has been observed in patients with NSCLC liver metastases, which is mostly associated with the immunosuppressive characteristics of the hepatic immune microenvironment (21). In contrast, liver metastasis did not reach statistical significance in the multivariate analysis in this study (P = 0.220). This may be due to the limited sample size or the fact that the impact of liver metastasis on overall prognosis was attenuated by other factors.

In immunotherapy, prognostic ratings have drawn more attention as a means of forecasting the survival benefit of patients. High expression of PD-L1 (tumor proportion score ≥50%) has been validated as a predictive biomarker for the efficacy of PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitor monotherapy across multiple clinical trials, including KEYNOTE-024 (22) and KEYNOTE-042 (23), indicating that patients with PD-L1 ≥50% derive greater benefit from single-agent immunotherapy. However, in the setting of immune checkpoint inhibitors combined with platinum-based chemotherapy—as demonstrated in phase III trials such as KEYNOTE-189 (24), IMPOWER132 (25), and GEMSTONE-302 (26)—significant improvements in OS and PFS have been observed regardless of PD-L1 expression levels. In the present study, PD-L1 testing was not routinely performed due to factors such as the lack of mandatory guidelines, limited tissue availability, and economic or time constraints, resulting in a high rate of missing PD-L1 expression data. Among the 298 enrolled patients, only 138 (46.3%) underwent PD-L1 testing. Subsequent stratified survival analysis based on PD-L1 TPS categories (<1%, 1–49%, and ≥50%) revealed no significant association between PD-L1 expression levels and treatment outcomes in our cohort (P > 0.1; Tables 4, 5). Given these real-world limitations, this study aimed to explore a more readily available, cost-effective, and clinically accessible assessment tools. The RMH, MDACC, MDACC+NLR, MDA-ICI, LIPI, and GRIm scoring systems, which consist of more readily available clinicopathologic features and peripheral blood biomarker metrics, are applied in the context of clinical phase I trials, but the predictive value of first-line CIT in NSCLC patients’ needs to be further validated.

A direct comparative evaluation of discriminative performance reveals the core differences among the prognostic score systems. Overall, the RMH score appeared to show stronger discrimination for OS and PFS. However, its wide 95% CI indicates considerable uncertainty in this estimate, suggesting potentially unstable performance. The GRIm, MDACC, and MDACC + NLR scores achieved similar and moderate C-indices for OS. In terms of predicting PFS, both the MDACC score and the MDACC+NLR score are second only to the RMH criteria in predictive ability. More importantly, time-dependent AUC analysis uncovered temporal heterogeneity in the predictive efficacy of the models. The MDA-ICI and MDACC+NLR scores excelled in short-term (1-year) OS and PFS prediction, indicating its unique value in identifying patients at immediate high risk. A universal and critical finding was the notable decline in the 3-year AUC for all models, exposing a common limitation of existing static baseline scoring systems in predicting long-term outcomes. Long-term prognosis is likely influenced more by dynamic factors during treatment, such as subsequent therapies and tumor evolution.

After stringent adjustment for multiple comparisons, only the MDACC score emerged as the most robust predictor for OS in our cohort. This finding suggests that, despite not achieving the highest C-index, MDACC provides the most reliable and reproducible survival stratification in this cohort, with the lowest likelihood that observed differences occurred by chance. Conversely, while the RMH score led in discriminative metrics, its Q-values for both OS and PFS did not reach the significance threshold. The MDACC+NLR score showed promise for PFS prediction, where its raw P-value (0.009) and borderline Q-value (0.054).

Based on the integrated evaluation of discriminative performance and statistical robustness, our findings suggest that these prognostic scoring systems should be applied in a context‐dependent manner. When the highest degree of statistical rigor and inferential certainty for OS is paramount, the MDACC score is recommended. This is particularly relevant in contexts such as confirmatory research or pivotal clinical decision-making, as it was the sole model retaining a significant association with OS after strict multiple testing correction. In contrast, the RMH score achieved the highest C-indices for both OS and PFS, indicating superior discriminative ability; however, the limited statistical robustness of its survival stratification and the small proportion of high-risk patients warrant cautious interpretation, particularly when drawing definitive clinical conclusions. The MDACC+NLR score showed particular strength in short-term outcome prediction, with favorable 1-year AUCs for both OS and PFS and a borderline significant association with PFS after multiple testing adjustment, suggesting that this model may be especially useful in clinical scenarios or trial designs focused on early events such as rapid disease progression. Notably, the time-dependent AUCs of all models declined at later time points. This pattern reflects the increasing influence of post-progression treatments, disease evolution, and unmeasured clinical or biological factors on long-term survival outcomes in real-world settings. These findings highlight the intrinsic limitations of static baseline prognostic scores in predicting long-term survival for patients with advanced NSCLC receiving first-line chemo-immunotherapy. Importantly, the aim of this study was not to provide precise individual-level survival prediction, but to perform a head-to-head comparison of widely used prognostic scoring systems under identical clinical conditions. Within this context, relative differences in model performance remain informative for risk stratification and population-level prognostic assessment, despite the modest absolute discrimination.

MDA-ICI, LIPI, and GRIm scores did not demonstrate consistent or robust prognostic performance in this cohort, limiting their utility as standalone tools. The low reproducibility of the MDA-ICI system could be due to the dichotomization of continuous variables to determine thresholds, which is challenging for peripheral blood indicators that exhibit significant fluctuations. Moreover, the original MDA-ICI and GRIm data included advanced cancer patients on ICI monotherapy, unlike the cohort of CIT patients in this study, suggesting the need for further research to assess their predictive utility in NSCLC patients receiving first-line CIT. Regarding LIPI, previous studies have reported heterogeneous results. In some cohorts, patients in the high-risk LIPI group did not demonstrate a significant OS benefit compared with those receiving chemotherapy alone (27). Conversely, a study of advanced NSCLC patients treated with nivolumab monotherapy reported that a poor LIPI score was associated with shorter OS (HR 3.67, 95% CI: 1.96–6.86, P < 0.0001), but not with PFS (HR 1.49, 95% CI: 0.94–2.38, P = 0.090) (28). Hopkins et al. found significantly prolonged OS (mOS: 24 vs. 16 vs. 7 months, P < 0.001) in the low-risk group of LIPI compared to the high-risk group in patients with NSCLC treated with atalizumab in combination with chemotherapy and bevacizumab regimens (29). The disappointing results in this study may be due to differences in treatment regimens and patient characteristics.

Indeed, most statistical models are derived from data-driven sources, leading to possible biases in prognostic scoring model development, assignment of scores, and performance of the resulting risk groups (30). The reliability and generalizability of prognostic scoring systems is precisely established through efficacy testing in diverse settings (31). In this study, we hope to assess the predictive value of the current six prognostic scores in a cohort of NSCLC patients receiving first-line CIT combinations with external data validation, to inform the selection and improvement of prognostic scoring models for subsequent clinical practice, and to help clinicians to make more accurate decisions about the development of immunotherapy regimens and prediction of prognosis for this group of patients.

This study also has many shortcomings. First, this study was a bidirectional cohort study with a total of 298 patients enrolled, all of whom were patients with recurrent or metastatic NSCLC treated with first-line CIT included from a single center, with a limited sample size, which may have a certain selective bias; second, from this study to the final follow-up date of December 31, 2023, a total of 109 cumulative deaths (36.5%) were recorded, and some of the patients were still under treatment, which somewhat affected the acquisition of survival data such as mOS. Due to the limited number of OS events, the results—particularly in smaller subgroups—must be interpreted with caution as they are preliminary and unstable. Third, this study included mainly driver gene-negative NSCLC patients, and due to the different panel of genetic testing methods used by the patients, eight genes, including EGFR, ALK, ROS1, RET, HER-2, c-MET, BRAF, and NTRK, were mainly excluded, and the status of the other concomitant genes was not completely clear. Fourth, the high missing rate of PD-L1 data in this study, due to practical constraints, may limit the interpretation and generalizability of our findings. Fifth, patients in this study received a diverse array of therapeutic agents. This variation in treatment regimens represents a potential confounding factor that may limit comparability.

While this study provides initial insights under real-world constraints, the limitations highlight critical goals for subsequent work. Advancing this field will require prospective, multi-center validation in broader populations, coupled with standardized molecular profiling and systematic biomarker collection. Such efforts are key to translating prognostic tools into reliable clinical applications.

Statements

Data availability statement

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request. All the data is stored by the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University. To protect the privacy of study participants, the data involved in this study is not publicly shared.

Ethics statement

The studies involving humans were approved by The Ethics Committee of the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University. The studies were conducted in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements. Written informed consent for participation was not required from the participants or the participants’ legal guardians/next of kin in accordance with the national legislation and institutional requirements.

Author contributions

JS: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Resources, Software, Visualization, Writing – original draft. DL: Conceptualization, Data curation, Investigation, Writing – review & editing. JL: Investigation, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. LaW: Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Writing – original draft. LoW: Data curation, Writing – review & editing. JH: Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing. XZ: Investigation, Software, Writing – review & editing. XLZ: Investigation, Writing – review & editing. LF: Conceptualization, Writing – review & editing. ZF: Conceptualization, Writing – review & editing. JZ: Conceptualization, Supervision, Writing – review & editing. YW: Funding acquisition, Project administration, Supervision, Writing – review & editing.

Funding

The author(s) declared that financial support was received for this work and/or its publication. This study was supported by the S&T Program of Hebei (No. 236Z7729G); the Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province (No.H2025206698); and the Beijing Xisike Clinical Oncology Research Foundation (No. Y-MSDPU2021-0202). The funding organizations had no involvement in the writing of this manuscript.

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the patients and their families who participated in this study; the faculty and staff in the Department of Medical Oncology at the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University for their participation in this study and patient care.

Conflict of interest

The authors declared that this work was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Generative AI statement

The author(s) declared that generative AI was not used in the creation of this manuscript.

Any alternative text (alt text) provided alongside figures in this article has been generated by Frontiers with the support of artificial intelligence and reasonable efforts have been made to ensure accuracy, including review by the authors wherever possible. If you identify any issues, please contact us.

Publisher’s note

All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.

Supplementary material

The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fimmu.2026.1695859/full#supplementary-material

Supplementary Table 1

Incidence of TRAEs in NSCLC patients receiving first-line CIT. The collection of adverse events in this study relied solely on medical record documentation. Due to the inherent limitations in the completeness of medical records, some adverse events may have been underreported. Therefore, the incidence rates of adverse events reported in this study may not fully reflect the actual clinical incidence.

Supplementary Table 2

Variance inflation factors for variables in the Cox proportional hazards models of OS and PFS. *VIF, Variance Inflation Factor.

Supplementary Table 3

Schoenfeld residual tests for the proportional hazards assumption in the multivariate Cox model of OS and PFS.

References

  • 1

    Han B Zheng R Zeng H Wang S Sun K Chen R et al . Cancer incidence and mortality in China, 2022. Zhonghua Zhong Liu Za Zhi. (2024) 46:221–31. doi: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.01.006

  • 2

    Chen P Liu Y Wen Y Zhou C . Non-small cell lung cancer in China. Cancer Commun (London England). (2022) 42:937–70. doi: 10.1002/cac2.12359

  • 3

    Shimizu R Kinoshita T Sasaki N Uematsu M Sugita Y Shima T et al . Clinicopathological factors related to recurrence patterns of resected non-small cell lung cancer. J Clin Med. (2020) 9:2473. doi: 10.3390/jcm9082473

  • 4

    Mamdani H Matosevic S Khalid AB Durm G Jalal SI . Immunotherapy in lung cancer: current landscape and future directions. Front Immunol. (2022) 13:823618. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2022.823618

  • 5

    Maymani H Hess K Groisberg R Hong DS Naing A Piha-Paul S et al . Predicting outcomes in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer enrolled in early phase immunotherapy trials. Lung Cancer (Amsterdam Netherlands). (2018) 120:137–41. doi: 10.1016/j.lungcan.2018.03.020

  • 6

    Sen S Hess K Hong DS Naing A Piha-Paul S Janku F et al . Development of a prognostic scoring system for patients with advanced cancer enrolled in immune checkpoint inhibitor phase 1 clinical trials. Br J Cancer. (2018) 118:763–9. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2017.480

  • 7

    Bigot F Castanon E Baldini C Hollebecque A Carmona A Postel-Vinay S et al . Prospective validation of a prognostic score for patients in immunotherapy phase I trials: The Gustave Roussy Immune Score (GRIm-Score). Eur J Cancer (Oxford England: 1990). (2017) 84:212–8. doi: 10.1016/j.ejca.2017.07.027

  • 8

    Mezquita L Auclin E Ferrara R Charrier M Remon J Planchard D et al . Association of the lung immune prognostic index with immune checkpoint inhibitor outcomes in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer. JAMA Oncol. (2018) 4:351–7. doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2017.4771

  • 9

    Arkenau H-T Olmos D Ang JE de Bono J Judson I Kaye S et al . Clinical outcome and prognostic factors for patients treated within the context of a phase I study: the Royal Marsden Hospital experience. Br J Cancer. (2008) 98:1029–33. doi: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6604218

  • 10

    Wheler J Tsimberidou AM Hong D Naing A Falchook G Piha-Paul S et al . Survival of 1,181 patients in a phase I clinic: the MD Anderson Clinical Center for targeted therapy experience. Clin Cancer Res. (2012) 18:2922–9. doi: 10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-11-2217

  • 11

    Riihimäki M Hemminki A Fallah M Thomsen H Sundquist K Sundquist J et al . Metastatic sites and survival in lung cancer. Lung Cancer (Amsterdam Netherlands). (2014) 86:7884. doi: 10.1016/j.lungcan.2014.07.020

  • 12

    Molina JR Yang P Cassivi SD Schild SE Adjei AA . Non-small cell lung cancer: epidemiology, risk factors, treatment, and survivorship. Mayo Clinic Proc. (2008) 83:584–94. doi: 10.1016/S0025-6196(11)60735-0

  • 13

    West H McCleod M Hussein M Morabito A Rittmeyer A Conter HJ et al . Atezolizumab in combination with carboplatin plus nab-paclitaxel chemotherapy compared with chemotherapy alone as first-line treatment for metastatic non-squamous non-small-cell lung cancer (IMpower130): a multicentre, randomised, open-label, phase 3 trial. Lancet Oncol. (2019) 20:924–37. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(19)30167-6

  • 14

    Zhou C Chen G Huang Y Zhou J Lin L Feng J et al . Camrelizumab plus carboplatin and pemetrexed versus chemotherapy alone in chemotherapy-naive patients with advanced non-squamous non-small-cell lung cancer (CameL): a randomised, open-label, multicentre, phase 3 trial. Lancet Respir Med. (2021) 9:305–14. doi: 10.1016/S2213-2600(20)30365-9

  • 15

    Gadgeel S Rodríguez-Abreu D Speranza G Esteban E Felip E Dómine M et al . Updated analysis from KEYNOTE-189: pembrolizumab or placebo plus pemetrexed and platinum for previously untreated metastatic nonsquamous non-small-cell lung cancer. J Clin Oncol. (2020) 38:1505–17. doi: 10.1200/JCO.19.03136

  • 16

    Cheng Y Zhang L Hu J Wang D Hu C Zhou J et al . Pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy for chinese patients with metastatic squamous NSCLC in KEYNOTE-407. JTO Clin Res Rep. (2021) 2:100225. doi: 10.1016/j.jtocrr.2021.100225

  • 17

    Li J Zhu H Sun L Xu W Wang X . Prognostic value of site-specific metastases in lung cancer: A population based study. J Cancer. (2019) 10:3079–86. doi: 10.7150/jca.30463

  • 18

    Gibson AJW Li H D’Silva A Tudor RA Elegbede AA Otsuka SM et al . Impact of number versus location of metastases on survival in stage IV M1b non-small cell lung cancer. Med Oncol. (2018) 35:117. doi: 10.1007/s12032-018-1182-8

  • 19

    Kanaji N Mizoguchi H Inoue T Tadokoro A Watanabe N Ishii T et al . Clinical features of patients with lung cancer accompanied by thromboembolism or disseminated intravascular coagulation. Ther Clin Risk Manage. (2018) 14:1361–8. doi: 10.2147/TCRM.S164700

  • 20

    Bauml J Mick R Zhang Y Watt CD Vachani A Aggarwal C et al . Determinants of survival in advanced non-small-cell lung cancer in the era of targeted therapies. Clin Lung Cancer. (2013) 14:581–91. doi: 10.1016/j.cllc.2013.05.002

  • 21

    Fang Y Su C . Research progress on the microenvironment and immunotherapy of advanced non-small cell lung cancer with liver metastases. Front Oncol. (2022) 12:893716. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2022.893716

  • 22

    Reck M Rodríguez-Abreu D Robinson AG Hui R Csőszi T Fülöp A et al . Five-year outcomes with pembrolizumab versus chemotherapy for metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer with PD-L1 tumor proportion score ≥ 50. J Clin Oncol. (2021) 39:2339–49. doi: 10.1200/JCO.21.00174

  • 23

    de Castro G Kudaba I Wu Y-L Lopes G Kowalski DM Turna HZ et al . Five-year outcomes with pembrolizumab versus chemotherapy as first-line therapy in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer and programmed death ligand-1 tumor proportion score ≥ 1% in the KEYNOTE-042 study. J Clin Oncol. (2023) 41:1986–91. doi: 10.1200/JCO.21.02885

  • 24

    Garassino MC Gadgeel S Speranza G Felip E Esteban E Dómine M et al . Pembrolizumab plus pemetrexed and platinum in nonsquamous non-small-cell lung cancer: 5-year outcomes from the phase 3 KEYNOTE-189 study. J Clin Oncol. (2023) 41:1992–8. doi: 10.1200/JCO.22.01989

  • 25

    Nishio M Barlesi F West H Ball S Bordoni R Cobo M et al . Atezolizumab plus chemotherapy for first-line treatment of nonsquamous NSCLC: results from the randomized phase 3 IMpower132 trial. J Thorac Oncol. (2021) 16:653–64. doi: 10.1016/j.jtho.2020.11.025

  • 26

    Zhou C Wang Z Sun Y Cao L Ma Z Wu R et al . Sugemalimab versus placebo, in combination with platinum-based chemotherapy, as first-line treatment of metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer (GEMSTONE-302): interim and final analyses of a double-blind, randomised, phase 3 clinical trial. Lancet Oncol. (2022) 23:220–33. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(21)00650-1

  • 27

    Kazandjian D Gong Y Keegan P Pazdur R Blumenthal GM . Prognostic value of the lung immune prognostic index for patients treated for metastatic non-small cell lung cancer. JAMA Oncol. (2019) 5:1481–5. doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2019.1747

  • 28

    Ruiz-Bañobre J Areses-Manrique MC Mosquera-Martínez J Cortegoso A Afonso-Afonso FJ de Dios-Álvarez N et al . Evaluation of the lung immune prognostic index in advanced non-small cell lung cancer patients under nivolumab monotherapy. Trans Lung Cancer Res. (2019) 8:1078–85. doi: 10.21037/tlcr.2019.11.07

  • 29

    Hopkins AM Kichenadasse G Abuhelwa AY McKinnon RA Rowland A Sorich MJ et al . Value of the lung immune prognostic index in patients with non-small cell lung cancer initiating first-line atezolizumab combination therapy: subgroup analysis of the IMPOWER150 trial. Cancers. (2021) 13:1176. doi: 10.3390/cancers13051176

  • 30

    Mallett S Royston P Waters R Dutton S Altman DG . Reporting performance of prognostic models in cancer: a review. BMC Med. (2010) 8:21. doi: 10.1186/1741-7015-8-21

  • 31

    Justice AC Covinsky KE Berlin JA . Assessing the generalizability of prognostic information. Ann Internal Med. (1999) 130:515–24. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-130-6-199903160-00016

Summary

Keywords

chemoimmunotherapy, clinical prognostic scores, efficacy, first-line anti-tumor treatment, NSCLC, prognosis

Citation

Sun J, Li D, Liu J, Wang L, Wang L, Han J, Zhang X, Zhou X, Feng L, Fan Z, Zuo J and Wang Y (2026) Evaluation of six clinical prognostic scores in NSCLC patients undergoing first line chemoimmunotherapy. Front. Immunol. 17:1695859. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2026.1695859

Received

30 August 2025

Revised

30 January 2026

Accepted

30 January 2026

Published

17 February 2026

Volume

17 - 2026

Edited by

Joaquim Carreras, Tokai University, Japan

Reviewed by

Kaikai Zhao, Shandong Cancer Hospital, China

Maike Zheng, Chinese Academy of Medical Science, China

Updates

Copyright

*Correspondence: Yudong Wang,

Disclaimer

All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.

Outline

Figures

Cite article

Copy to clipboard


Export citation file


Share article

Article metrics