1 Introduction
The study entitled “The chemoprotective effect of anti-platelet agents on cancer incidence in people with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD): a retrospective cohort study,” published in the BMC Medicine (1), provides novel insights into the potential link between antiplatelet agents and cancer incidence in NAFLD, underscoring the importance of further research. Nevertheless, we have several concerns regarding the study’s design, statistical approach, and interpretation of findings that were not adequately addressed. These issues are likely to challenge other investigators if not being aware of. We provide some recommendations to strengthen the robustness of future studies and identify the underlying protective mechanisms of antiplatelet agents outside cardiovascular areas.
2 Concerns and recommendations
For the study design, the original authors did not adequately adjust for the reasons/indications for prescribing antiplatelet agents. Cardiovascular risk, which usually determines the choice and duration of antiplatelet therapy, was not comprehensively measured in this study. This implies that confounding by indication may still be present. The cut-off for exposure classification (≥1 year of antiplatelet therapy) was not well justified, as shorter durations of use may still have clinical relevance due to the connection between cardiovascular diseases and cancers (2). Given the risk of introducing selection or measurement bias in this approach, we suggest pre-defining an evidence-based threshold or exploring other cut-offs to avoid this issue. Additionally, the 5-year follow-up period seemed to be insufficient for detecting cancers in patients with unknown genetic risks, particularly for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), which usually takes longer than that (3). We suggest increasing the follow-up duration, e.g., up to 10 years, to investigate the long-term effects of antiplatelet agents. Noteworthily, while the original authors have excluded patients with non-alcoholic cirrhosis (ICD-10 K70.2 or K70.3), they did not account for its earlier stages, e.g., fibrosis or sclerosis (ICD-10 K74.0, K74.1, or K74.2). As these conditions are complications of NAFLD, they are likely associated with shorter time-to-HCC events and need adjusting to avoid confounded findings.
For the statistical analysis, while the original authors used a landmark analysis to manage the immortal time bias, this approach is not efficient based on a statistical perspective (4, 5). Landmark analysis mitigates the misclassification of immortal time but at the cost of decreased power, as it excludes patients who experience events before the landmark. Additionally, at the end of the 5-year follow-up duration, there might be a risk of covariate imbalance that could not be controlled with propensity score matching (PSM) (6). We suggest using a time-dependent approach, such as time-dependent Cox regression or g methods, for more robust findings in future observational studies (7, 8). Another issue that could introduce confounding is the subgroup analysis. The PSM only ensured the balance between the exposed and unexposed groups, not within the subgroups. Re-matching or adjusting for potential confounders should be considered to avoid biased estimates. Future investigations should also account for the competing risks in the survival analysis. For example, in this case, death by unknown causes may preclude the occurrence of cancer or the detection of cancer outcomes. To address this issue, we suggest using other methods, such as Fine–Gray subdistribution hazard model or cause-specific hazard models that include common risk factors as covariates (9, 10).
For the interpretation/reporting, subgroup analysis—if used—should be thoroughly reported and interpreted. Although subgroup/stratified results from observational studies are usually not golden evidence that warrants changes in clinical settings (11), they still implicate insights to both expert and non-expert readers. Over conclusion or misinterpretation based on these findings can easily mislead the general readers and stimulate unconfirmed practices. A well-known example of problems with subgroup analysis, although not necessarily relevant to this study, is the ISIS-2 trial, where the benefits of aspirin for acute myocardial infarction could be seen in all astrological birth signs except for Libra or Gemini (12). In this study of Anson et al., the authors did not report the p-values for interaction (1), which are needed to determine whether the differences between subgroups were highly due to chance. Thus, any interpretations implying a difference between males/females or older/younger people were likely overstating and should be treated with caution.
Statements
Author contributions
HP: Formal Analysis, Investigation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. KT: Formal Analysis, Investigation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. MT: Conceptualization, Formal Analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing.
Funding
The author(s) declare that no financial support was received for the research and/or publication of this article.
Conflict of interest
HP reported receiving speaking fees and travel reimbursement from Servier Vietnam Ltd and Pfizer Vietnam Ltd, grants from Servier Vietnam Ltd, and speaking fees from Aguettant Asia Pacific Pte Ltd outside the submitted work. K-HT-N reported receiving travel reimbursement from Pierre Fabre Vietnam Ltd outside the submitted work. M-HT reported receiving travel reimbursement from Pfizer Vietnam Ltd and Viatris Vietnam Ltd, speaking fees and grants from Servier Vietnam Ltd, and speaking fees from Aguettant Asia Pacific Pte Ltd outside the submitted work.
Generative AI statement
The author(s) declare that no Generative AI was used in the creation of this manuscript.
Publisher’s note
All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.
Abbreviations
HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; NAFLD, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease; PSM, propensity score matching.
References
1
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2
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ReigMGambatoMManNKRobertsJPVictorDOrciLAet al. Should patients with NAFLD/NASH be surveyed for HCC? Transplantation. (2019) 103:39–44. doi: 10.1097/tp.0000000000002361
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JonesMFowlerR. Immortal time bias in observational studies of time-to-event outcomes. J Crit Care. (2016) 36:195–9. doi: 10.1016/j.jcrc.2016.07.017
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ZhouZRahmeEAbrahamowiczMPiloteL. Survival bias associated with time-to-treatment initiation in drug effectiveness evaluation: a comparison of methods. Am J Epidemiol. (2005) 162:1016–23. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwi307
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KingGNielsenR. Why propensity scores should not be used for matching. Political Anal. (2019) 27:435–54. doi: 10.1017/pan.2019.11
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PhamHTTruongTHTruong-NguyenKHNguyenBKTranMH. Co-infections and secondary infections amid COVID-19 outbreaks in Vietnam. BMC Infect Dis. (2024) 24:945. doi: 10.1186/s12879-024-09866-0
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TranM-HNguyenHHNguyenQTTranTDMTruong-NguyenK-HPhamHT. Step-based dosing of anticoagulants in COVID-19 treatment. Cureus. (2024) 16:e67256. doi: 10.7759/cureus.67256
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EmuraTShihJHHaIDWilkeRA. Comparison of the marginal hazard model and the sub-distribution hazard model for competing risks under an assumed copula. Stat Methods Med Res. (2020) 29:2307–27. doi: 10.1177/0962280219892295
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FineJPGrayRJ. A proportional hazards model for the subdistribution of a competing risk. J Am Stat Assoc. (1999) 94:496–509. doi: 10.1080/01621459.1999.10474144
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PetoR. Current misconception 3: that subgroup-specific trial mortality results often provide a good basis for individualising patient care. Br J Cancer. (2011) 104:1057–8. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2011.79
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ISIS-2 (Second International Study of Infarct Survival) Collaborative Group. Randomised trial of intravenous streptokinase, oral aspirin, both, or neither among 17,187 cases of suspected acute myocardial infarction: ISIS-2. Lancet. (1988) 332:349–60. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(88)92833-4
Summary
Keywords
antiplatelet agent, cancer, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, confounding, bias
Citation
Pham HT, Truong-Nguyen K-H and Tran M-H (2025) Concerns and recommendations: antiplatelet agents and cancer prevention in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Front. Oncol. 15:1607955. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2025.1607955
Received
09 April 2025
Accepted
30 June 2025
Published
14 July 2025
Volume
15 - 2025
Edited by
Paola Patrignani, University of Studies G. d’Annunzio Chieti and Pescara, Italy
Reviewed by
Stefania Tacconelli, University of Studies G. d’Annunzio Chieti and Pescara, Italy
Shuai Wang, Shandong Second Medical University, China
Updates
Copyright
© 2025 Pham, Truong-Nguyen and Tran.
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
*Correspondence: Minh-Hoang Tran, tmhoang@ntt.edu.vn
Disclaimer
All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.