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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Immunol.

Sec. Autoimmune and Autoinflammatory Disorders : Autoimmune Disorders

Volume 16 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2025.1703839

Peripheral blood gene expression stratifies rate of progression to type 1 diabetes in autoantibody-positive children in the TEDDY study

Provisionally accepted
  • 1The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
  • 2DeepLife, Vernon, France
  • 3The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

In type 1 diabetes, autoimmune destruction of pancreatic beta cells results in insulin deficiency, leading to hyperglycaemia. Islet autoantibodies, which precede autoimmune progression, usually develop years before diabetes onset, although some individuals develop diabetes without them. However, children developing islet antibodies do not all progress to diabetes, and neither do they progress at the same rate. Genomic markers may help identify high risk children for early intervention. Using gene expression profiles derived from peripheral blood mononuclear cells collected from 62 high-risk islet autoantibody-positive children in the TEDDY cohort study, of whom 56 progressed to diabetes, we identified differentially expressed genes, pathways, and protein-protein interactions associated with progression from islet autoantibody seropositivity to clinical onset of diabetes. After seroconversion, progressors were distinguished by a peripheral blood gene expression profile enriched for MHC class II-related functions and immune response pathways. Within protein-protein interaction (PPI) networks, we identified SMARCA4 as the central hub and found that its expression stratified progression to type 1 diabetes after seroconversion. Differentially expressed genes in the PPI networks were also highly connected to type 1 diabetes drug-gene targets, particularly JAK2. The enrichment of MHC class II-related functions and immune response pathways after seroconversion highlights immune activation in progressors, whose rate of progression could be stratified as fast or slow based on an 20-gene signature, which warrants confirmation in an independent cohort.

Keywords: autoimmune disease, Gene Expression, pathway analysis, Protein-protein interaction analysis, seroconversion, type 1 diabetes, type 1 diabetes progression

Received: 12 Sep 2025; Accepted: 17 Oct 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Thomas, Hee, Abraham, Mehdi and Le Cao. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Ranjeny Thomas, ranjeny.thomas@uq.edu.au

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