Abstract
This review considers the available information on the potential impact of key environmental factors and their interactions on the molecular ecology, growth and aflatoxin production by Aspergillus flavus in vitro and in maize grain. The recent studies which have been carried out to examine the impact of water activity × temperature on aflatoxin biosynthesis and phenotypic aflatoxin production are examined. These have shown that there is a direct relationship between the relative expression of key regulatory and structural genes under different environmental conditions which correlate directly with aflatoxin B1 production. A model has been developed to integrate the relative expression of 10 biosynthetic genes in the pathway, growth and aflatoxin B1 (AFB1) production which was validated under elevated temperature and water stress conditions. The effect of interacting conditions of aw × temperature × elevated CO2 (2 × and 3 × existing levels) are detailed for the first time. This suggests that while such interacting environmental conditions have little effect on growth they do have a significant impact on aflatoxin biosynthetic gene expression (structural aflD and regulatory aflR genes) and can significantly stimulate the production of AFB1. While the individual factors alone have an impact, it is the combined effect of these three abiotic factors which have an impact on mycotoxin production. This approach provides data which is necessary to help predict the real impacts of climate change on mycotoxigenic fungi.
Introduction
Food security has become a very important issue world-wide and the potential effects of climate change on yields and quality of food is now receiving significant attention by scientists, especially from a risk analysis perspective. The moldy contamination of staple foods such as cereals has received attention because of their acute and chronic effects in humans and animals. Indeed, the increasing use of staple crops, especially maize for biofuel production, has put further pressure on such key food crops. There is particular interest in maize because it is a key staple food in both developed and developing regions world-wide. Maize is prone to infection by Aspergillus flavus and Aspergillus parasiticus, especially via insect damage during silking and contamination with aflatoxins. Aflatoxins have been rated as class 1A carcinogens by the International Agency for Research of Cancer (IARC, ). They are heat stable and difficult to destroy during processing. Thus exposure, both acute and chronic, can have significant impacts on vulnerable groups, especially babies and children. This has resulted in strict legislative limits in many parts of the world for aflatoxins and mycotoxins in a wide range of foodstuffs (European Commission., ). However, in African countries where legislation is often applied to export crops only, consumption of mycotoxin contaminated staple foods is a significant risk, with rural populations exposed to aflatoxins throughout their lives, with serious impacts on their health (Wagacha and Muthomi, ). This is exemplified by the relatively recent acute outbreak of severe aflatoxicosis in Kenya (Lewis et al., ).
Climate change is expected to have a profound effect on our landscape world-wide. For some areas, climatic models have projected a marked decrease in summer precipitation and increases in temperature, which would result in concomitant drought stress episodes. The environment in which crops will be grown in the next 10–25 years may change markedly with atmospheric CO2 concentrations expected to double or triple (from 350 to 700 or 900–1000 ppm). Thus, there has been a lot of interest in the impact that climate change scenarios may have on economically important crops/mycotoxigenic fungal infection and contamination with mycotoxins (Paterson and Lima, , ; Magan et al., ; Wu et al., ). Indeed, climate change conditions may impact on the interactions between different mycotoxigenic species and indeed other mycobiota and determine the relative mycotoxin composition contaminating staple foods/feeds (Magan et al., ; Paterson and Lima, ). Because of this increase and that of other greenhouse gases, the global temperature is expected to increase by between +2 and +5°C.
The EU green paper on climate change in Europe also suggests that effects will be regional and be either detrimental or advantageous depending on geographical area. Thus, in Southern Europe, changes may equate to an increase of 4–5°C with longer drought periods, resulting in increasing desertification, and a decrease in crop yields. In areas of Western and Atlantic Europe, changes of 2.5–3.5°C with dryer and hotter summers are envisaged. In Central Europe, an increase of 3–4°C, higher rainfall and floods are forecast, although longer growing periods may benefit crop yields. Northern Europe would expect a mean temperature increase of 3–4.5°C, with a significant increase in precipitation of 30–40%. This may lead to increases in crop yields and perhaps new crop cultivation patterns (European Commission., ; Solomon et al., ). Similar impacts have been described in other areas of the world, especially parts of Asia and Central and South America which are important producers of staple crops (IPCC, ). A recent study has predicted that, on a global scale, pests, and diseases are moving to the poles at the rate of 3–5 km/year (Bebber et al., ). This could have further impacts on contamination of staple foods such as maize, as increases in pest reproduction rates will lead to more damage and facilitate more infection by A. flavus and contamination with aflatoxins. However, in the recent predictions by Bebber et al. () no focus on spread of mycotoxigenic fungi or mycotoxins or interactions between pathogens and pests were considered in the context of climate change.
In developing countries drought stress may be particularly important in terms of food security. For example, marginal land where stress tolerant sorghum was previously grown has now been replaced with maize in both West and East Africa. Maize as well as ground nuts are particularly prone to infection when water stress periods occur. This leads to increased aflatoxin contamination of such crops pre-harvest and post-harvest and can significantly impact on the ability to export the crop and also on the nutritional quality when consumed in rural subsistence communities.
Magan et al. () suggested that climate change factors may result in xerophilic fungi such as Wallemia sebi, Xeromyces bisporus, and Chrysosporium species becoming more important as colonizers of food commodities, as they can grow under very dry conditions [0.65–0.75 water activity (aw)] where there is much less competition from the majority of mesophilic fungi (Magan, ; Magan and Aldred, ). For example, W. sebi can produce metabolites such as walleminol and walleminone which can be toxic to animals and humans (Piecková and Kunová, ). Studies also suggest that there are competitive interactions between these xerophilic fungi in dry and hot conditions and that secondary metabolites may play a role (Leong et al., ). This will certainly have an impact on agricultural productivity, especially of essential/staple food crops such as maize and nuts and also influence the interface between plants, insect pests and fungal infection of staple foods (Miraglia et al., ). This could have a profound effect on pre- and post-harvest mycotoxin contamination, especially aflatoxins in developing countries, where food quality and security issues are critical.
Examples of modified weather regimes impacting on mycotoxins were demonstrated by the 2003/2004 and subsequently in 2012 summer seasons in the Mediterranean region such as Northern Italy where drought and elevated temperatures resulted in a switch from Fusarium verticillioides and contamination with fumonisins to significant contamination of maize grain with A. flavus and aflatoxins and entry of aflatoxin M1 into the dairy chain via the animal feed chain (Giorni et al., ). More recently, a survey of Serbian maize samples in 2009–2011 contained no aflatoxins. However, prolonged hot and dry weather in 2012 resulted in 69% of samples containing aflatoxins (Kos et al., ). Similarly in Hungary it has also been shown that an increase in aflatoxins may be due to climate change conditions (Dobolyi et al., ). However, previous to these examples there are only a few concrete examples of such incidences where climate change factors have been implicated (Magan et al., ).
Effect of water stress × temperature stress effects on aflatoxin cluster gene expression, growth, and aflatoxin production
Generally, the aflatoxin biosynthesis genes of A. flavus and A. parasiticus are highly homologous and the order of the genes (approx. 30) within the cluster has been shown to be the same (Yu et al., 1995, 2004). These include key regulatory genes (aflR and aflS) and a series of up and downstream structural genes. It has been shown that both water availability and temperature modifications affect the expression of these clusters of genes, relative growth rate and aflatoxin production in both A. flavus and A. parasiticus (Schmidt-Heydt et al., , 2011). It was shown that there was a good correlation between the expression of an early structural gene (aflD) and aflatoxin B1 (AFB1) (Abdel-Hadi et al., ). It has also been shown that temperature × aw interactions were related to the ratio of the two key regulatory genes (aflR/aflS). The higher the ratio, the higher the relative AFB1 production (Schmidt-Heydt et al., , ; Figure 1). This suggests that under certain interacting conditions of two environmental stress factors significantly influences on the relative amounts of AFB1 produced.
Figure 1
The study by Abdel-Hadi et al. (
Figure 2

Relative expression of aflD (nor1) gene during colonization of peanuts by Aspergillus flavus during storage. Optimum expression occurred at 0.90 aw during the first 2–3 weeks of storage at 25°C (from Abdel-Hadi et al.,
More recent detailed studies using a mycotoxin microarray (Schmidt-Heydt and Geisen,
Figure 3

Effect of water activity and temperature on (A) growth and (B) aflatoxin B1, production by a strain of A. flavus (Abdel-Hadi et al.,
Figure 4

Ternary diagrams of the relationship between the relative expression of the two regulatory genes (aflS,aflR) structural genes (aflD,aflM) on aflatoxin B1 production (μg g−1) (from Abdel-Hadi et al.,
Schmidt-Heydt et al. (
A significant amount of data exists on the effect of interactions between water availability and temperature on the life cycle of mycotoxigenic fungi and mycotoxin production (Sanchis and Magan, 2004; Magan and Aldred,
Table 1
| Growth | Aflatoxin B1 production | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| aw | μ max range/T | μ+3 | μ+5 | aw | τ max range/T | τ +3 | τ +5 |
| 0.95 | 6.9/35 | 5.6 | 5.0 | 0.95 | 3082–2278/37 | 102–138 | 6.1-NP |
| 0.90 | 2.9/37 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.90 | 448.5–331.5/37 | 1-NP | NP |
Changes in growth and toxin production by Aspergillus flavus due to increase in temperature by +3 and +5°C at different water stress conditions.
Key: μ max, Maximum growth rate (mm day−1); μ+3, Growth rate increasing 3°C; μ+5, Growth rate increasing 5°C; τ max, Maximum toxin production (μg g−1); τ+3°C, Predicted toxin increasing +3°C; τ+5°C, Predicted toxin increasing +5°C, NP, No toxin production.
Climate change impacts (aw × temperature × CO2) on aflatoxin gene cluster expression, growth and toxin production
Recently, Medina et al. (
Table 2
| Diametric growth (mm/day) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temperature | 34°C | 37°C | |||||
| Water activity | 0.97 | 0.95 | 0.92 | 0.97 | 0.95 | 0.92 | |
| Carbon dioxide (ppm) | 350 | 12.4 | 11.7 | 6.8 | 10.2 | 9.8 | 7.3 |
| 650 | 12.1 | 11.6 | 6.9 | 11.3 | 10.7 | 7.8 | |
| 1000 | 12.1 | 11.3 | 6.3 | 10.9 | 10.5 | 7.8 | |
Comparison of growth of Aspergillus flavus under different interacting conditions of elevated temperature, drought stress, and elevated CO2in vitro on a conductive yeast-glucose medium (adapted from Medina et al.,
This was compared with the effect of these three-way interactions on the relative expression of both a structural gene and a regulatory gene (aflD, aflR) in modified aw × temperature × 650 and 1000 ppm CO2.
Table 3 summarizes the results of this study and shows the effects of the three-way interacting conditions on relative gene expression (aflD, aflR) and AFB1 production. This clearly shows that under slightly elevated CO2 conditions there was a stimulation of AFB1 production, especially under drought stress at 37°C and 650 and 1000 ppm CO2 exposure. It seems that the interactions between these three factors together are critical in the impact that slightly elevated CO2 has. This is clear from the results obtained at 0.92 and 0.95 aw × 37°C and 650 or 1000 ppm CO2 where a statistically significant increase in AFB1 was observed.
Table 3
| Temperature (°C) | aw | CO2 (ppm) | aflD | aflR | AFB1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.97 | 650 | = | = | = |
| 1000 | = | = | = | ||
| 0.95 | 650 | = | = | = | |
| 1000 | = | ↑(×3.6) | = | ||
| 0.92 | 650 | = | ↑↑(×24.4) | ↑(×2.6) | |
| 1000 | = | ↑(×2.0) | ↑(×2.0) | ||
| 37 | 0.97 | 650 | ↑(×4.6) | = | ↑↑(×30.7) |
| 1000 | ↑(×6.5) | = | ↑↑(×23.8) | ||
| 0.95 | 650 | ↑(×6.4) | ↑↑(×14.6) | ↑↑↑(×79.2) | |
| 1000 | ↑(×3.2) | ↑↑(×43.9) | ↑↑↑(×78.5) | ||
| 0.92 | 650 | = | ↑↑(×40.4) | ↑↑(×15.1) | |
| 1000 | ↑↑(×22.5) | ↑↑↑(×1680) | ↑↑(×23.8) |
Summary of the impact that interactions between the three climate change variables have on relative expression of the structural and regulatory genes (aflD, aflR), and aflatoxin B1 production (from Medina et al.,
=, variation lower than 2-fold. Numbers between brackets refer to the fold-variation with respect to the control.
Discussion and conclusions
This review has considered the impact of different key environmental factors on the growth, gene expression and AFB1 production by A. flavus. This has shown that while there are some examples of the impact that changes in climatic weather conditions may have resulted in a switch with contamination from fumonisins to aflatoxins in maize, there have been few studies to examine the three-way interactions of the key environmental factors. Previous studies have examined water stress × temperature interactions on relative biosynthetic genes involved in aflatoxin production and that by other mycotoxigenic fungi (Abdel-Hadi et al.,
The recent study by Medina et al. (
Additional studies are now required to evaluate whether this is a general stress response or whether the presence of elevated CO2 results in its incorporation into the biosynthetic pathways for enzyme production and secondary metabolite production. Perhaps new studies need to be carried out with the cell wall integrity (CWI) and high-osmolarity glycerol (HOG) pathways to examine whether they are triggered by stimuli of the three interacting factors of water stress × temperature × elevated CO2 or if this is a general stress response per se (Hayes et al.,
Abdel-Hadi et al. (
There are some examples of previous studies using data on drought stress × temperature effects on A. flavus to predict impacts of interacting environmental factors. Work by Chauhan et al. (
Many of the recent reviews which have examined aspects of the impact of climate change have focused on plant breeding, plant diseases and mycotoxins in Europe, Australia, Africa, and the USA (Boken et al.,
Conflict of interest statement
The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
Statements
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
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Summary
Keywords
climate change factors, water activity, temperature, elevated CO2, growth, gene expression, aflatoxin production, ecology
Citation
Medina A, Rodriguez A and Magan N (2014) Effect of climate change on Aspergillus flavus and aflatoxin B1 production. Front. Microbiol. 5:348. doi: 10.3389/fmicb.2014.00348
Received
29 May 2014
Accepted
23 June 2014
Published
22 July 2014
Volume
5 - 2014
Edited by
Mehdi Razzaghi-Abyaneh, Pasteur Institute of Iran, Iran
Reviewed by
Paula Cristina Azevedo Rodrigues, Polytechnic Institute of Braganca, Portugal; Russell Paterson, University of Minho, Portugal
Copyright
© 2014 Medina, Rodriguez and Magan.
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
*Correspondence: Naresh Magan, Applied Mycology Group, Cranfield Soil and AgriFood Institute, School of Applied Science, Cranfield University, Vincent Building, College Road, Cranfield, Bedford MK43 0AL, UK e-mail: n.magan@cranfield.ac.uk
This article was submitted to Food Microbiology, a section of the journal Frontiers in Microbiology.
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