Abstract
The early and accurate prediction of the extent of long-term motor recovery is important for establishing specific rehabilitation strategies for stroke patients. Using clinical parameters and brain magnetic resonance images as inputs, we developed a deep learning algorithm to increase the prediction accuracy of long-term motor outcomes in patients with corona radiata (CR) infarct. Using brain magnetic resonance images and clinical data obtained soon after CR infarct, we developed an integrated algorithm to predict hand function and ambulatory outcomes of the patient 6 months after onset. To develop and evaluate the algorithm, we retrospectively recruited 221 patients with CR infarct. The area under the curve of the validation set of the integrated modified Brunnstrom classification prediction model was 0.891 with 95% confidence interval (0.814–0.967) and that of the integrated functional ambulatory category prediction model was 0.919, with 95% confidence interval (0.842–0.995). We demonstrated that an integrated algorithm trained using patients’ clinical data and brain magnetic resonance images obtained soon after CR infarct can promote the accurate prediction of long-term hand function and ambulatory outcomes. Future efforts will be devoted to finding more appropriate input variables to further increase the accuracy of deep learning models in clinical applications.
Introduction
Despite the progress in drug development and disease management, the mortality and disability rates of ischemic strokes remain high (; ). In fact, the overall disability rate has been reported as high as 75% in ischemic stroke survivors (; ). Among the various disabilities after the onset of ischemic stroke, motor deficiency in patients is one of the most critical sequelae (; ).
Among the various ischemic stroke lesions, those affecting the corona radiata (CR) and posterior limb of the internal capsule are often associated with poor motor outcomes (; ). For example, reported that only 5.9% of patients with a CR infarct showed isolated movement recovery of the upper limb, which was much lower than the 75% recovery of patients with cortical infarct. Therefore, patients who suffer from CR infarct require an accurate prediction of the extent of long-term motor recovery at an early stage to ensure that clinicians can establish individual rehabilitation strategies that are conducive to improved motor outcomes.
Deep learning is a recent artificial intelligence technique in which a system learns patterns and rules from the available data (; ; ). Thus, it has been increasingly applied in the clinical field. In particular, deep learning can be applied to accurately predict the long-term motor outcomes of stroke patients (; ).
To develop algorithms including those for deep learning, most existing studies have focused on either clinical or imaging data (; ,). However, developing algorithms using clinical data requires a large number of variables, and each hospital collects different types of clinical data. Consequently, an algorithm developed using specific clinical data is difficult to utilize in general clinical practice. Regarding imaging data, as most hospitals use imaging modalities such as brain magnetic resonance (MR) imaging for diagnosing ischemic stroke, high data consistency and algorithm applicability can be achieved (). Nevertheless, deep learning based only on brain MR images tends to show low prediction accuracy ().
In this study, we used both clinical parameters and brain MR images as inputs to develop a deep learning algorithm that can increase the prediction accuracy of long-term motor abilities of patients with CR infarct.
Materials and Methods
Patients
A total of 221 consecutive patients (mean age, 65.0 ± 11.9 years; 115 males, 106 females; time to transfer or admission, 30.2 ± 72.2 days; initial modified Brunnstrom classification—MBC within 7–30 days of infarct onset, 2.4 ± 1.8; initial functional ambulation category—FAC within 7–30 days of infarct onset, 1.0 ± 1.2) who suffered CR infarct and underwent stroke rehabilitation in a single university hospital from January 2003 to January 2020 were retrospectively recruited in this study (Table 1). The inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) a patient’s first ever stroke; (2) age > 20 years; (3) hemiparesis or hemiplegia hemiparesis after cerebral infarction in their CR; (4) brain MR imaging conducted within 30 days after stroke onset; (4) MBC ≤ 4 and FAC ≤ 3 within 7–30 days of infarct onset; (5) motor function checked 6 months after stroke onset; and (6) absence of other severe medical conditions (e.g., cardiac problems and pneumonia) between the onset and final evaluation.
TABLE 1
| Demographic data | |
| Number of patients, n | 221 |
| Age, years | 65.0 ± 11.9 |
| Clinical data within 7–30 days of infarct onset | |
| MBC | 2.4 ± 1.8 |
| FAC | 1.0 ± 1.2 |
| MRC of shoulder abductor | 1.5 ± 1.4 |
| MRC of elbow flexor | 1.6 ± 1.5 |
| MRC of finger flexor | 1.3 ± 1.5 |
| MRC of finger extensor | 1.1 ± 1.5 |
| MRC of hip flexor | 2.0 ± 1.4 |
| MRC of knee extensor | 2.1 ± 1.5 |
| MRC of ankle dorsiflexor | 1.5 ± 1.5 |
Patient demographic and clinical data collected within 7–30 days of infarct onset.
MBC, modified Brunnstrom classification; FAC, functional ambulation category; MRC, medical research council.
The study protocol was approved by the Institutional Research Board of Yeungnam University Hospital (No. 2019-10-008). The requirement for informed consent was waived because we used de-identified retrospective data, as confirmed by our institutional review board. This study was conducted in accordance with the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki.
Images for the Deep Learning Algorithm
Three T2-axial consecutive brain MR images obtained from every cerebral infarction patient were investigated in our study. The images were taken at the lateral ventricle level of the body so that CR fibers passing above the internal capsule can be observed. The MR images obtained on the day closest to the date of transfer to the physical medicine and rehabilitation department within 30 days after cerebral infarct onset were used for the development of the algorithm.
Clinical Data for the Deep Learning Algorithm
We investigated 11 input variables at the early stage after the onset of CR infarction: age, sex, MBC, FAC, and the Medical Research Council’s score for muscle power of the shoulder abductor, elbow flexor, finger flexor, finger extensor, hip flexor, knee extensor, and ankle dorsiflexor on the affected side. For convenient use in clinical practice, data that could be easily assessed by clinicians were selected.
Motor Outcome at 6 Months
The MBC score was obtained as the motor outcome of the affected hand, and the FAC score, which quantifies ambulation, was obtained from the affected leg.
The MBC quantifies the motor function of the affected upper limb from 1 to 6, with higher scores indicating better hand function (). The MBC scores of the upper limbs were used in the analysis. We separated the MBC score 6 months after infarction onset as follows: favorable outcomes for lower limbs given an MBC score of at least 5, indicating minimal spasticity with slightly increased tone, and those given an MBC score below 5, indicating the ability to initiate non-synergistic movement. Among the 221 patients, one patient’s MBC was not assessed because of an ulnar fracture. Therefore, data from 220 patients were used to train and evaluate the algorithm to predict upper limb motor function.
The FAC score is evaluated based on the degree of assistance required during a 15 m walk (). The FAC is categorized as follows: (0) Non-ambulatory, (1) continuous support from one person necessary, (2) intermittent support from one person necessary, (3) requirement of verbal supervision only, (4) assistance required on stairs and uneven surfaces, and (5) ability to walk independently anywhere. We evaluated the FAC score 6 months after infarction onset as follows: favorable outcomes for lower limbs given by an FAC score of at least 4, indicating the ability to walk without a keeper’s assistance, and a score below 4, indicating poor outcomes for the lower limbs (; ).
Deep Learning Algorithms
For brain MR image analysis, we used a convolutional neural network (CNN) implemented using the Python programming language. TensorFlow 2.4, Keras, and scikit-learn 0.23.2 libraries were used to train the deep learning model. EfficientNet CNN models were used for both MBC and FAC prediction.
For clinical data analysis, we used a sequential neural network with three layers containing 256, 512, and 1,024 neurons. The details of the model and its performance are provided in Table 2. The integrated prediction model was composed of the EfficientNetB0 () CNN model and a sequential neural network. A diagram of the resulting and baseline architectures of EfficientnetB0 are presented in Figures 1, 2. EfficientNet models are known to achieve improved accuracy while reducing the number of parameters compared to other CNNs (). EfficientNetB0 has the advantage of fast learning speed and reduced overfitting in MR image training because it has fewer parameters than other CNN models.
TABLE 2
| MBC prediction model | FAC prediction model | |
| Sample size (patients) | 154 For training (462 images, 70%), 66 for validation (198 images, 30%) Sample ratio: Poor 52.7% (0), good 47.3% (1) | 154 For training (462 images, 70%), 67 for validation (201 images, 30%) Sample ratio: Poor 54.3% (0), good 45.7% (1) |
| CNN model | Model for MR images | |
| - EfficientNetB0 with fine-tuning - SGD optimizer, ReLU activation - Data augmentation and dropout for regularization - Image of size 256 × 256 | - EfficientNetB0 with fine-tuning - RMSProp optimizer, ReLU activation - Data augmentation and dropout for regularization - Image of size 256 × 256 | |
| Sequential neural network model | Model for clinical data - 3 hidden layers with 256-512-1,024 neurons - SGD optimizer, ReLU activation - Batch normalization for regularization - 11 clinical variables as inputs | - 3 hidden layers with 256-512-1,024 neurons - RMSProp optimizer, ReLU activation - Batch normalization for regularization - 11 clinical variables as inputs |
| Integrated prediction model | Concatenated model with CNN and sequential neural network outputs - MBC and FAC prediction with three images and clinical data per patient - Binary classification with sigmoid activation | |
| Decision criteria for integrated prediction model | Poor (0): less than 3 “good” predictions; good (1): 3 “good” predictions | |
| Integrated prediction model performance | MBC prediction accuracy of 90.91% on training data Training AUC of 0.907 with 95% CI [0.861–0.953] MBC prediction accuracy of 89.39% on validation data Validation AUC of 0.891 with 95% CI [0.814–0.967] | FAC prediction accuracy of 91.6% on training data Training AUC of 0.935 with 95% CI [0.896–0.975] FAC prediction accuracy of 91.1% on validation data Validation AUC of 0.919 with 95% CI [0.842–0.995] |
Performance of deep learning algorithm for predicting motor outcome after corona radiata infarct.
MBC, modified Brunnstrom classification; FAC, functional ambulation category; MR, magnetic resonance; CNN, convolutional neural network; SNN, sequential neural network; SGD, stochastic gradient descent; ReLU, rectified linear unit; RMSProp, root mean square propagation; AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval.
FIGURE 1
FIGURE 2
To compare the performance of our integrated prediction model, we used the ResNet50 CNN model (
TABLE 3
| MBC prediction model | FAC prediction model | |
| Integrated model | Integrated model with both MR images and clinical data as input EfficientNetB0 for MR images Sequential neural network with three layers (1024-512-256) for clinical data Accuracy: 90.91% on training data, 89.39% on validation data AUC on validation data: 0.891 with 95% CI [0.814–0.967] | Integrated model with both MR images and clinical data as input EfficientNetB0 for MR images Sequential neural network with three layers (1024-512-256) for clinical data Accuracy: 91.6% on training data, 91.1% on validation data AUC on validation data: 0.919 with 95% CI [0.842–0.995] |
| CNN model for MR images | ResNet50 CNN model with MR images as input Training parameters: SGD optimizer, ReLU activation, learning rate 6e-05, batch size 4, fine tuning with last 10 layers trained, binary classification with sigmoid activation Accuracy: 87.8% on training data, 65.66% on validation data AUC on validation data: 0.636 with 95% CI [0.568–0.704] | ResNet50 CNN model for MR images Training parameters: SGD optimizer, ReLU activation, learning rate 8e-05, batch size 8, full layers trained, binary classification with sigmoid activation Accuracy: 98.05% on training data, 80.1% on validation data AUC on validation data: 0.638 with 95% CI [0.517–0.626] |
| ML model for clinical data | Random forest model with clinical data as input Scikit learn GridSearchCV for hyper parameter optimization Training parameters: Max_depth 4, min_sample_leaf 4, min_smaples_split 12, n_estimators 100, random_state 99 Mean accuracy: 83.66% on training data, 74.24% on validation data AUC on validation data: 0.754 with 95% CI [0.694–0.814] | Random forest model with clinical data as input Scikit learn GridSearchCV for hyper parameter optimization Training parameters: Max_depth 4, min_sample_leaf 14, min_smaples_split 4, n_estimators 10, random_state 99 Mean accuracy: 85.06% on training data, 80.6% on validation data AUC on validation data: 0.638 with 95% CI [0.567–0.710] |
Performance comparison among three models for predicting motor outcome after corona radiata infarct.
ML, machine learning; MBC, modified Brunnstrom classification; FAC, functional ambulation category; MR, magnetic resonance; CNN, convolutional neural network; SGD, stochastic gradient descent; ReLU, rectified linear unit; RMSprop, root mean square propagation; AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval.
To predict the motor outcome of each patient, the integrated prediction model used three brain MR images and the patient’s clinical data as inputs and returned three predictions, one per MR image combined with the clinical data. If the three predictions were accurate, the final judgment was considered suitable, and if any prediction was inaccurate, it was considered poor.
We conducted an ablation study of our model to understand critical components. Two core parts of the proposed integrated model, the image model (CNN) and the clinical data model (SNN), were separately trained using the same parameters as the integrated model, and their performances were compared. Table 4 shows our ablation study results in detail.
TABLE 4
| MBC prediction model | FAC prediction model | |
| Integrated model | Integrated model with both MR images and clinical data as input EfficientNetB0 for MR images Sequential neural network with three layers (1024-512-256) for clinical data Accuracy: 90.91% on training data, 89.39% on validation data AUC: 0.907 on training data, 0.891 on validation data | Integrated model with both MR images and clinical data as input EfficientNetB0 for MR images Sequential neural network with three layers (1024-512-256) for clinical data Accuracy: 91.6% on training data, 91.1% on validation data AUC: 0.935 on training data, 0.919 on validation data |
| CNN model only | EfficientNetB0 CNN model with fine tuning MR images as input Training parameters: SGD optimizer, ReLU activation, lr 8e-06, dr 0.2, bs 64, binary classification with sigmoid activation Accuracy: 73.8% on training data, 63.6% on validation data AUC: 0.974 on training data, 0.619 on validation data | EfficientNetB0 CNN model with fine tuning MR images as input Training parameters: RMSProp optimizer, ReLU activation, lr 8e-06, dr 0.25, bs 64, binary classification with sigmoid activation Accuracy: 72.2% on training data, 63.0% on validation data AUC: 0.852 on training data, 0.662 on validation data: |
| SNN model only | SNN with clinical data 3 Hidden layers with 256-512-1024 neurons Training parameters: SGD optimizer, ReLU activation, lr 8e-06, dr 0.2, bs 64, binary classification with sigmoid activation Batch normalization and dropout for regularization 11 Clinical variables as inputs Accuracy: 94.2% on training data, 83.3% on validation data AUC: 0.980 on training data, 0.845 on validation data | SNN with clinical data 3 Hidden layers with 256-512-1024 neurons Training parameters: RMSProp optimizer, ReLU activation, lr 8e-06, dr 0.25, bs 64, binary classification with sigmoid activation Batch normalization and dropout for regularization 11 Clinical variables as inputs Accuracy: 96.3% on training data, 80.6% on validation data AUC: 0.992 on training data, 0.785 on validation data: |
Ablation study of the integrated prediction model.
ML, machine learning; MBC, modified Brunnstrom classification; FAC, functional ambulation category; MR, magnetic resonance; CNN, convolutional neural network; SNN, sequential neural network; SGD, stochastic gradient descent; ReLU, rectified linear unit; RMSProp, root mean square propagation; AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval; lr, learning rate; dr, dropout rate; bs, batch size.
Statistical Analysis
The analysis for the receiver operating characteristic curve was performed, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated using the scikit-learn library. The confidence interval (CI) for the AUC was calculated using the method developed by
Results
From the 221 patients included in this study, we obtained AUC values for the validation set for the integrated MBC and FAC prediction models of 0.891 with 95% CI (0.814–0.967) and 0.919 with 95% CI (0.842–0.995), respectively (Table 2 and Figure 3).
FIGURE 3

Modified Brunnstrom classification (MBC) and functional ambulation category (FAC) receiver operating characteristic curve and area under the curve (AUC) on the validation set.
Ablation study shows that the clinical data model outperformed the image model. The clinical data model’s prediction accuracy and AUC on validation data are 83.3% and 0.845 for MBC, 80.6%, and 0.785 for FAC. On the other hand, the image model performance on validation data showed an accuracy of 63.6% and AUC 0.619 for MBC, accuracy 63%, and AUC 0.662 for FAC.
Discussion
We evaluated the effectiveness of a deep learning algorithm for predicting motor outcomes of patients 6 months after CR infarct onset. We developed integrated MBC and FAC models by combining a CNN to process brain MR images and a sequential neutral network to process 11 variables of the clinical data. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study conducted on deep learning applied to the prediction of motor outcomes using brain MR images and clinical data. Unlike previous studies, we separately predicted the long-term outcomes of upper and lower limb motor outcomes by developing models for MBC and FAC prediction.
For the prediction of upper limb function 6 months after CR infarct onset, the AUC of the integrated MBC prediction model was 0.891 for the validation set. For the prediction of lower limb function (ambulatory function) 6 months after onset, the AUC of the integrated FAC prediction model was 0.919 for the validation set. Considering that AUC values of 0.7–0.8 are acceptable, 0.8–0.9 are excellent, and those above 0.9 are outstanding, the ability of the proposed prediction models for the prognosis of upper limb function is excellent to outstanding.
To date, for the early prediction of long-term motor outcomes in stroke patients, clinicians have used several tools, such as prognostic scoring systems (e.g., ASTRAL and ICHOP scores), using conventional brain MR images and clinical data (
Artificial intelligence has recently been applied in the prediction of motor outcomes after stroke onset.
Most existing methods predict broad functional scores, such as the modified Rankin score, functional independence measure, or Barthel index, with the exception of
In this study, by using brain MR images and clinical data that can be easily assessed and obtained by clinicians, such as the Medical Research Council’s score of the affected limb, we developed deep learning algorithms with high prediction accuracy and applicability.
Our study was limited in that we used a small sample size of patient data to train the deep learning model. More samples from stroke patients are likely to increase the prediction accuracy of the model. Additionally, only patients with CR infarcts were included in this study. Including the data from patients with various other brain lesions can improve the generalization ability of the proposed deep learning algorithm for predicting long-term motor outcomes after stroke. Finally, we did not include factors affecting motor prognosis after stroke, such as stroke treatment at the acute stage and the duration of rehabilitation, as input variables in the algorithm. In future work, more appropriate input variables to further increase the prediction accuracy of deep learning algorithms should be selected for application in clinical practice.
Conclusion
We demonstrated that integrated deep learning algorithms trained using patients’ clinical data and brain MR images obtained early after CR infarction can contribute to accurately predicting long-term hand function and ambulatory outcomes. The algorithm achieved a suitably high accuracy and thus can support clinicians in the prediction of long-term hand function and ambulatory outcomes.
Publisher’s Note
All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.
Statements
Data availability statement
The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/supplementary material, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author/s.
Ethics statement
The Study Protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Yeungnam University Hospital (protocol number: YUMC 2019-10-008, approval Date: Oct 31, 2019). Written informed consent for participation was not required for this study in accordance with the national legislation and the institutional requirements.
Author contributions
All authors listed have made a substantial, direct, and intellectual contribution to the work, and approved it for publication.
Funding
The present study was supported by a National Research Foundation of Korea Grant funded by the Korean government (Grant No. NRF-2019M3E5D1A02069399). This work was also supported by the 2020 Yeungnam University Research Grant.
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
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Summary
Keywords
artificial intelligence, deep learning, corona radiate, cerebral infarction, motor outcome
Citation
Kim JK, Chang MC and Park D (2022) Deep Learning Algorithm Trained on Brain Magnetic Resonance Images and Clinical Data to Predict Motor Outcomes of Patients With Corona Radiata Infarct. Front. Neurosci. 15:795553. doi: 10.3389/fnins.2021.795553
Received
15 October 2021
Accepted
09 December 2021
Published
03 January 2022
Volume
15 - 2021
Edited by
Jonghye Woo, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, United States
Reviewed by
Eun Jae Ko, University of Ulsan, South Korea; Jong-Moon Hwang, Kyungpook National University Hospital, South Korea
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Copyright
© 2022 Kim, Chang and Park.
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
*Correspondence: Min Cheol Chang, wheel633@gmail.comDonghwi Park, bdome@hanmail.net
This article was submitted to Brain Imaging Methods, a section of the journal Frontiers in Neuroscience
Disclaimer
All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.