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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Oncol.

Sec. Gastrointestinal Cancers: Hepato Pancreatic Biliary Cancers

Age-dependent Prognostic Significance of Neutrophil-to-HDL ratio in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients

Provisionally accepted
Qingjun  LiQingjun Li1Ting  WangTing Wang1Xiangjun  QianXiangjun Qian1Hang  XingHang Xing2Zhongyi  LiZhongyi Li1Zhengzheng  WangZhengzheng Wang1Shuaiya  MaShuaiya Ma1Bo  MengBo Meng1Xianzhou  ZhangXianzhou Zhang1Feng  HanFeng Han1Hao  WangHao Wang1Jinxue  ZhouJinxue Zhou1Yongmei  LiYongmei Li3Hao  ZhuangHao Zhuang1*
  • 1Henan Cancer Hospital, zhengzhou, China
  • 2Rhode Island Hospital, Providence, United States
  • 3Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

Abstract Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a highly heterogeneous malignancy, with variability in molecular features, clinical presentations, and treatment responses. Postoperative recurrence and disease-free survival (DFS) are important prognostic indicators for patient outcomes. The neutrophil-to-HDL ratio (NHR) is recognized as an inflammatory-lipid marker, however its age-dependent predictive value in HCC remains unclear and is not established in clinical practice. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of NHR in HCC patients undergoing surgical resection, with a focus on its age-dependent effects. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 121 HCC patients undergoing surgical resection and randomly divided them into training (n = 95) and validation (n = 26) cohorts. Multivariate logistic regression, Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and nomogram construction were used to evaluate the prognostic significance of NHR, with age-stratified analyses conducted to explore its differential effects. Results: In the training cohort, both univariate and multivariate analysis identified NHR and age as statistically significant prognostic factors for HCC recurrence (P < 0.05). Age-stratified analysis further demonstrated that the prognostic value of NHR was significant in older patients (OR = 0.087, 95% CI: 0.009 - 0.835, P = 0.034), but not in younger patients. ROC analysis indicated good predictive performance for both NHR (AUC = 0.609) and age (AUC = 0.655). Similar trends were observed using the validation dataset. Conclusions: In this cohort of 121 HCC patients, NHR showed a potential association with prognosis in older patients; However, these findings are preliminary due to limited sample size and lack of stratified analyses by disease stage and prior treatment. Future studies should validate these findings in larger, well-characterized cohorts and investigate underlying mechanisms.

Keywords: Hepatocellular Carcinoma, biomarker, Neutrophil-to-HDL ratio (NHR), Inflammatory-lipid markers, Aging

Received: 30 Apr 2025; Accepted: 09 Dec 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Li, Wang, Qian, Xing, Li, Wang, Ma, Meng, Zhang, Han, Wang, Zhou, Li and Zhuang. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Hao Zhuang

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