ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Oncol.

Sec. Radiation Oncology

Volume 15 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fonc.2025.1633448

This article is part of the Research TopicAI-Based Prognosis Prediction and Dose Optimization Strategy in Radiotherapy for Malignant TumorsView all 5 articles

Radiotherapy Improves Survival in HER2-Positive Breast Cancer with Lung Metastases: A Retrospective Study with Artificial Intelligence-Based Prognostic Modeling

Provisionally accepted
Shanbao  KeShanbao Ke1*Tengfei  RenTengfei Ren1Xiangkun  WangXiangkun Wang1Shengyuan  LuoShengyuan Luo2
  • 1Henan Provincial People's Hospital, Zhengzhou, China
  • 2Changzhi Medical College, Changzhi, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

Human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive breast cancer is an aggressive subtype with a high risk of distant metastasis, particularly to the lungs. While systemic therapies have improved outcomes, the role of radiotherapy (RT) in the management of lung metastases remains uncertain.This retrospective study analyzed 248 HER2-positive breast cancer patients with lung metastases treated at two institutions between 2006 and 2021. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance baseline characteristics between the RT and non-RT groups.Overall survival (OS) was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-Cox model was developed to identify prognostic factors, and its performance was evaluated using risk score visualization, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and decision curve analysis (DCA).RT significantly improved median OS both before (50.4 vs. 34.0 months, p < 0.001) and after PSM (51.5 vs. 32.3 months, p < 0.001). LASSO-Cox analysis confirmed RT as an independent prognostic factor. The predictive model demonstrated good discrimination (1and 3-year AUCs of 0.716 and 0.722, respectively) and clinical utility by DCA.RT offers a significant survival benefit in HER2-positive breast cancer patients with lung metastases. AI-based modeling enhances prognostic accuracy and supports personalized treatment decisions.

Keywords: Radiotherapy, Survival, breast cancer, Lung metastases, artificial intelligence

Received: 22 May 2025; Accepted: 23 Jun 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Ke, Ren, Wang and Luo. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Shanbao Ke, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, Zhengzhou, China

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