Two stage coordination planning method of wind power and storage considering uncertainty of distributed source-load

Abstract

Introduction:

With the widespread integration of distributed power sources, the power grid is facing challenges such as increased losses, rising costs, voltage fluctuations, and overload, resulting in greater operational complexity. Traditional scheduling methods are no longer adequate, making reasonable planning of distributed power generation and energy storage configurations particularly crucial.

Methods:

This article proposes a two-stage wind-storage coordination planning method that considers source-load uncertainty. The approach is based on an improved antlion algorithm and incorporates distributed energy storage charging and discharging strategies. The first stage focuses on wind power site selection and capacity determination, using voltage offset, network loss, and comprehensive system cost as evaluation indicators. A multi-objective function model is established to balance grid stability and economic efficiency. The second stage introduces distributed energy storage devices to reduce power fluctuations while minimizing the sum of operation, maintenance, and storage investment costs, thereby optimizing the energy storage charging and discharging strategy. The improved antlion algorithm, enhanced with adaptive Lévy flight and golden sine theory, is used to solve the two-stage planning model.

Results:

The proposed method effectively improved system-level voltage distribution, reduced network losses, and lowered overall system costs. Specifically, it achieved a 27.95% increase in total capacity, a reduction of 32.14 kW in active power loss, and a total cost decrease of 221,200 yuan. The improved antlion algorithm demonstrated strong search capability, fast convergence speed, and high computational accuracy.

Discussion:

The results indicate that the proposed method is better aligned with practical requirements compared to traditional approaches. The improvements in system performance and cost efficiency highlight the effectiveness of the two-stage planning framework and the enhanced optimization algorithm. The method offers a viable solution for the integrated planning of wind power and energy storage systems under uncertainty.

1 Introduction

The integration of distributed power sources injects new voltage power into the distribution network, and the network topology and power flow distribution will also change accordingly. Unreasonable integration may result in problems such as reverse transmission of branch power flow, voltage exceeding limits, and increased line losses, affecting system operation (Fei, 2020). Meanwhile, in distributed power generation, wind and photovoltaic power generation, as the main distributed energy sources, have the advantages of being renewable and environmentally friendly. However, their output power is unstable due to changes in wind speed and light intensity, which may lead to insufficient power supply or resource waste. Therefore, optimizing the configuration of distributed power sources and utilizing energy storage technology to mitigate their adverse effects on the power grid is crucial.

In terms of distributed power generation planning models, Chu and Qiao considered the output efficiency and load rate of distributed power generation units. They formulated a planning model with the objective of minimizing the comprehensive operational cost of the distribution network. Huang et al. calculated power flow and network losses using Monte Carlo sampling and applied a genetic algorithm to optimize costs, network losses, and surplus electricity from distributed power sources. Cao et al. addressed the uncertainties associated with wind, solar, and load variations by employing Latin hypercube sampling combined with an improved synchronous substitution method to generate representative scenarios. The model was solved using an improved particle swarm optimization algorithm, aiming to minimize the annual comprehensive cost. Su et al. proposed a coordinated optimization strategy for wind power, solar power, load demand, and energy storage systems, focusing on determining the optimal power and capacity configuration of energy storage devices. Their objective function included distribution network investment costs, maintenance costs, power purchase costs, and reliability costs, which were optimized using the particle swarm optimization algorithm. Other researchers have also used variables such as network loss as objective functions for analysis and optimization. However, most of the aforementioned studies focus on single-objective optimization, which may overlook the complex interactions in system operations and deviate from practical engineering applications. To address this limitation, scholars both domestically and internationally have conducted further research into multi-objective optimization models. Mohammad et al. constructed a multi-objective function based on indicators such as network loss, voltage deviation, and short-circuit current, and solved it using optimization algorithms. Truong et al. introduced a quasi-adversarial chaotic symbiotic biological search algorithm to address multi-objective optimization problems. Banihashemi et al. developed a multi-objective optimization model aimed at minimizing voltage deviation, line loss, and operational costs, which was solved using an improved genetic algorithm. Li et al. applied the theory of chance-constrained programming and employed the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA) to optimize objectives including minimizing the operational risk of distribution networks and minimizing annual comprehensive costs.

Overall, many literature currently use simple deterministic models to model distributed power generation planning problems, without considering source load uncertainty or the impact of distributed energy storage (Zhenqi, 2021b; Paiva et al., 2017; Ganguly and Samajpati, 2015; Xu et al., 2017; Sivaram et al., 2019; Deyi et al., 2011; Junyang et al., 2018; Chengshan et al., 2006). Therefore, this article will establish a more comprehensive distributed power generation planning model, taking into account the uncertainty of distributed power generation output and the integration of energy storage, to ensure the safety, reliability, and economy of the power system. Therefore, this article proposes a distributed wind storage coordination planning method that takes into account the uncertainty of source load. Firstly, a multi-objective model is established with the constraints of power flow, voltage, and power, aiming to minimize system network losses, voltage deviations, and overall system costs. Taking into account the uncertainty of source and load, a first stage distributed wind power coordination optimization strategy is proposed; Then, taking into account constraints such as power supply, energy storage capacity, and State of charging/discharge, combined with decision variables obtained in the previous stage, a model is established based on system economic indicators, and a second stage distributed energy storage planning method is proposed; Finally, the improved antlion algorithm with adaptive Levy flight and golden sine theory as improvement factors was used to solve the proposed two-stage wind storage coordination planning method. Through simulation verification, it was proved that the proposed method can effectively improve the system voltage distribution level, reduce network losses, and further reduce the overall system cost, bringing good stability and economy to the system operation.

2 Two stage wind storage coordination planning methods

This article considers distributed energy storage charging and discharging strategies and proposes a two-stage wind storage coordination planning method that takes into account source load uncertainty (Chuzhuang, 2017; Weiguo et al., 2016; Zhenqi, 2021a; Haifeng et al., 2016). The specific model diagram is shown in Figure 1.

FIGURE 1

2.1 Distributed wind power planning model

2.1.1 Objective function

The connection of power supply to the distribution network can effectively improve the system voltage level and reduce network losses, but an unreasonable connection scheme can have a significant impact on the operation of the distribution network and disrupt the safe and reliable operation of the system. Therefore, in this section, a multi-objective system for distribution network operation is established based on three indicators of power grid stability and economy, namely, system network loss, node voltage deviation, and annual comprehensive cost, to coordinate and plan the integration of distributed power sources into the distribution network (Yurong et al., 2020). The specific model is as follows:

In the Formula 4, N indicates the number of typical scenarios; indicates probability of occurrence of typical wind load scenarios; indicates operating costs in typical scenarios; indicates investment costs in typical scenarios; indicates Network loss cost in typical scenarios; indicates Environmental benefits and costs in typical scenarios; indicates under typical scenarios, the cost of purchasing electricity online from a large power company; indicates power generation subsidies in typical scenarios. Among them, the cost expressions are as follows:

In the Formula 11, indicates The unit government subsidy fee is 0.4 yuan per kW hour.

2.1.2 Constraint condition

In the Formula 15, indicates maximum capacity of wind turbines; indicates maximum wind power capacity; indicates minimum capacity of wind power.

2.2 Distributed energy storage planning model

2.2.1 Objective function

In the Formula 18, indicates investment cost of energy storage devices; indicates investment coefficient for energy storage devices, etc. , indicate separately unit power and capacity cost of energy storage, the energy storage power and capacity are 5,000 yuan per kilowatt or kW hour; indicates actual power of energy storage; indicates energy storage capacity, The expression for is as follows (Formula 19), where d indicates an annual interest rate of 0.8, indicates the full life cycle of energy storage and other devices is taken as 10 years:

2.2.2 Constraint condition

In the Formula 23, indicates the power of the load.

3 Solution of two-stage wind storage coordination planning method based on improved antlion algorithm

3.1 Principle of antlion algorithm

The Ant Lion Optimization (ALO) algorithm, proposed by Mirjalili in 2015, is a metaheuristic optimization approach inspired by the hunting behavior of ant lions in nature (Jasim et al., 2023). This algorithm simulates several core processes: random walking, trap building, luring ants, capturing prey, and the implementation of an elite mechanism (Assiri et al., 2020). The key innovation of ALO lies in its adaptive boundary contraction strategy, wherein the radius of the ant lion trap decreases progressively with each iteration. This feature enables a smooth transition from global exploration to local exploitation and helps prevent premature convergence. The algorithm offers advantages such as fewer required parameters and a strong capacity for balance (Abualigah et al., 2020). When applied to solve the two-stage wind-storage coordinated planning method presented in this paper, the specific solution procedure is as follows:

3.1.1 Ant random walk model

In the Formula 24, indicates ant random walk normalization route; indicates ants randomly walk along unnormalized routes; , indicate separately the -th ant randomly walks the minimum and maximum values in the -dimensional variable; , indicate the -th ant randomly walks to the minimum and maximum values after the -dimensional variable iteration.

3.1.2 Antlion trap model

Simulate the process using the roulette wheel selection mechanism and define it as:

In the Formula 25, indicates the position of the jth antlion in the -th iteration; , indicate separately the minimum and maximum values of all ants after the -th iteration.

3.1.3 Ant trapped in trap model

The trap range is defined as follows (Formula 26):

In the Formula 27, I indicates the size of the trap range; indicates the calibration coefficient is related to the number of iterations; indicates maximum number of iterations.

3.1.4 Elite antlion model

The antlion with the highest fitness during each iteration is called the elite antlion, In the iteration, the position of the ant is:

In the Formula 28, indicates the position of the ith ant in the -th iteration; , indicate separately the step size of ants randomly walking around the antlion and elite antlion in the -th iteration; (5) Antlions prey on ants and reconstruct new trap models

When the fitness of ants is higher than that of antlions, ants are captured. At this point, the antlion sets the capture location as the reconstruction trap location. The formula for this model is:

In the Formula 29, indicates the position of the -th ant in the -th iteration; indicates the position of the -th antlion in the -th iteration.

3.2 Improvement of antlion algorithm

Actual tests demonstrate that although the traditional ant lion algorithm employs a diversified search strategy, it suffers from limited local search capability and is prone to becoming trapped in local optima, thereby constraining improvements in solution quality. Furthermore, conventional algorithms exhibit inadequate convergence accuracy in high-precision application scenarios. To address these limitations, this study proposes an adaptive Levy flight mechanism. Leveraging its long-step-length jumping characteristic, this mechanism effectively enables individuals to escape local optimal regions, thereby enhancing the algorithm’s global exploration capability and mitigating premature convergence. Additionally, the golden sine theory is incorporated. Utilizing its refined search and rapid convergence properties, this approach facilitates more precise and efficient local exploitation within promising solution regions, significantly improving the algorithm’s convergence accuracy. By integrating an adaptive strategy that dynamically adjusts the balance between Levy flight-based exploration and golden sine-based exploitation, the proposed method intelligently coordinates global search and local development processes, ensuring high-precision convergence while effectively avoiding local optima (Jianfang et al., 2025).

3.2.1 Adaptive levy flight (Tanyildizi and Demir, 2017)

The random walk pattern of Levi’s flight follows the Levi distribution shown in Equation 30:

In the Formula 30, a represents the peak height of the Levi distribution. When a is a non integer positive real number, the position update is performed using the method shown in Formula 31 below:

In the Formula 31, , indicate the position of the -th ant in the -th and +1st iterations; indicates a random search path that follows the Levy distribution. conforms to the following constraints:

In the Formula 32, indicates levy parameter, usually setting at 1.5; μ and ν indicate random numbers that follow a standard normal distribution; The expression for is as follows (Formula 33):

In this section, an adaptive Levy flight mechanism is introduced to mutate ants in their position updates, making their updated positions more diverse. The introduction of this improvement factor makes the search scope more comprehensive, the overall optimization efficiency of the population higher, and effectively avoids the solution results from falling into local optima.

3.2.2 Golden sine algorithm (Ghaemi et al., 2009)

The position update process of the Golden Sine Algorithm is shown in the following Formula 34:

During the position update process, individual positions are randomly generated first, and is used to represent the position of the -th particle in the Tth iteration in -dimensional space, among them , Use to represent the historical best position of the -th particle in the Tth iteration. and are random number, , . and are coefficients obtained through the golden ratios, and golden ratios are , , .

The steps of the improved antlion algorithm based on adaptive Levy flight and golden sine algorithm are shown in Figure 2:

FIGURE 2

4 Example analysis

4.1 Validation of the superiority of the improved antlion algorithm

Based on the objective function and corresponding constraints mentioned in Section 2, this section adopts the antlion algorithm, improved antlion algorithm, and particle swarm algorithm for optimization and solution. The number of iterations for each algorithm mentioned above is set to 100, with a population size of 40. This example uses the MATLAB 2021a simulation platform, with a computer model of Thinkpad X13, a processor model of Intel (R) Core (TM) i5-10210U CPU @ 1.60 GHz, and a memory capacity of 8 GB. The resulting running results are shown in the following figure (Zhou et al., 2024).

From the comparative analysis of Figure 3, it can be seen that compared to the other two algorithms, the improved Antlion algorithm has a longer computation time due to the addition of adaptive Levy flight and golden sine algorithm modules. The initial iteration curves of the three algorithms all approximate a linear descent, indicating that all three algorithms have fast optimization speeds in the initial stage. However, after multiple iterations, the convergence speed of particle swarm optimization algorithm and antlion algorithm is significantly slower than that of the improved antlion algorithm. The improved antlion algorithm obtained the optimal solution in the 18th iteration, the antlion algorithm obtained the optimal solution in the 44th iteration, and the particle swarm optimization algorithm obtained the optimal solution in the 56th iteration. Therefore, it can be seen that the introduction of the improvement factor in the improved antlion algorithm accelerates its convergence speed, enhances its optimization ability, and correspondingly increases its convergence accuracy. Therefore, it can be verified that the improved antlion algorithm used in this article has the advantages of strong search ability, fast convergence speed, and high accuracy in dealing with distributed power planning problems.

FIGURE 3

4.2 Example parameter settings

This section refers to the IEEE 33 node standard distribution network model, and the power flow calculation adopts the forward backward method. The system consists of 33 nodes, 32 branches, a reference voltage level of 12.66KV, a three-phase reference power value of 10MVA, and a balance node that is not connected to distributed power sources. The total load size of the system is 3,715 + j2300KVA, with nodes 1–8 and 17–26 selected for industrial load, and the total load size is 2,150 + j1045KVA; The residential load is taken from nodes 9–16 and 27–33, with a total load size of 1,565 + j1255KVA. Typical wind load scenarios are generated using the couple function and k-means clustering method, as shown in Figure 4.

FIGURE 4

The probabilities of each scenario are shown in Figures 5, 6, and the typical wind load scenario is taken as 10 for solving wind power planning.

FIGURE 5

FIGURE 6

4.3 Phase 1 distributed wind power planning and solution

Based on the above distribution network model and the output probability of the source load scenario, this section adopts the improved antlion algorithm mentioned in Section 2.2, selects 40 individual antlions, and performs optimization operations with a maximum iteration of 100 times. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, this section introduces three additional planning methods for comparative analysis. The results of the four solutions are shown in Table 1 and Figure 7.

FIGURE 7

Compared with the other three schemes, the planning method solved by the improved antlion algorithm has the highest power access capacity and penetration rate, laying a good foundation for the economic and reliable operation of the system. To further verify the effectiveness of the method proposed in this article, this section will analyze it one by one from three aspects: voltage distribution, active power loss and voltage deviation, and system comprehensive cost.

4.3.1 System voltage distribution

Figure 8 shows the system voltage distribution diagrams corresponding to the four schemes. As shown in the figure, the improved antlion algorithm results in the most significant voltage increase effect, further verifying the superiority of the planning method based on the improved antlion algorithm.

FIGURE 8

4.3.2 System active power loss and voltage deviation

The active losses and voltage deviations of each scheme are shown in Table 2. From the table, it can be seen that the improved antlion algorithm has the smallest active power loss and voltage deviation compared to the other three schemes, which can effectively improve the economy and stability of power system operation compared to other schemes。

4.3.3 System comprehensive cost

The system cost diagrams for different schemes are shown in Figure 9:

FIGURE 9

The improved antlion algorithm planning method has the highest power supply capacity and penetration rate, resulting in higher power investment and operating costs compared to other schemes. However, due to the reasonable planning of this scheme, the system line losses, environmental pollution, and power purchase costs are significantly reduced, effectively offsetting the high investment and operation costs. Table 3 shows the comparison of comprehensive costs under different schemes.

The cost of line loss for improving the antlion algorithm planning method is 187,100 yuan, which is the smallest compared to the other three schemes. This indicates that the proposed improved antlion algorithm can effectively assist distributed power generation in reducing line network loss and improving the system’s economic efficiency. In terms of purchasing electricity costs, due to the integration of distributed power sources, the self supply level of the system has increased, and the demand for purchasing electricity from the power grid has correspondingly decreased, thereby reducing the cost of purchasing electricity. Compared with the other three schemes, the introduction of the improved antlion algorithm further reduces the system’s electricity purchase cost, verifying the superiority of this algorithm.

4.4 Phase 2 distributed energy storage planning and solution

Based on the planning model described in Section 1, combined with the improved Antlion algorithm, the following energy storage charging and discharging and configuration planning strategies can be obtained. Table 4 and Figure 10 show the layout results of the energy storage device.

FIGURE 10

According to the particle swarm algorithm and planning methods that do not consider source load uncertainty, the energy storage installation capacity is relatively small. In the solution based on the antlion algorithm, although the energy storage access capacity is large, due to the proximity of the 4 nodes to the front end of the line and the higher economic cost of large energy storage capacity, the antlion algorithm solution is not suitable as the optimal processing method compared to the improved antlion algorithm. The introduction of improved antlion algorithm makes the energy storage installation capacity moderate, with good economic benefits, and the installation location close to distributed power sources, which is in line with the original intention of energy storage installation, that is, to suppress real-time power fluctuations caused by the integration of distributed power sources.

Figure 11 shows the charging and discharging status of energy storage and the charging and discharging power situation. It can be seen from the figure that energy storage is not always working, but indirectly charging and discharging based on the real-time operating status of the system. In order to verify the effectiveness of energy storage access, this section selects typical days as shown in Figure 12 for validity verification.

FIGURE 11

FIGURE 12

As shown in Figure 13, with the addition of distributed energy storage devices, the load curve fluctuation of the system on typical days shows a significant easing trend compared to before the addition of energy storage devices, and the peak valley difference of load output is significantly reduced, suppressing power fluctuations.

FIGURE 13

Based on the energy storage charging and discharging strategy in Figure 11, it can be seen that during peak load operation, the energy storage device serves as a power source to assist distributed wind power in providing electricity to the system. However, during low load periods, the energy storage device acts as a load and plays a charging role. The integration of distributed energy storage devices is coordinated with distributed wind power generation. When wind power output is low, energy storage serves as a power source to supply power to the load, achieving reliable operation of the system.

5 Summary

This article introduces a distributed energy storage charging and discharging strategy, and proposes a two-stage wind storage coordination planning method, which is solved by an improved antlion algorithm. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) The improved antlion algorithm with adaptive Levy flight and golden sine algorithm can effectively improve the voltage distribution level of the system, reduce network losses, and further reduce the overall cost of the system, bringing good stability and economy to the system operation. (2) The integration of distributed energy storage effectively suppresses power fluctuations caused by the uncertainty of distributed power generation output, and cooperates with distributed wind power to provide power supply. Although the cost of the method proposed in this paper is not optimal, it combines economy and reliability, providing decision-makers with more diverse and reasonable planning methods to choose from.

This study is subject to certain limitations. First, the cost-benefit trade-off of the proposed method in specific application scenarios needs to be more accurately quantified. Second, the algorithm’s solution efficiency and its application potential in large-scale systems require further in-depth validation. Future research will focus on the coordinated planning of wind power and energy storage systems, incorporating multi-time-scale and multi-type flexible resources. Additionally, the adaptability of the planning framework to uncertainties and extreme operating conditions will be enhanced.

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