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BRIEF RESEARCH REPORT article

Front. Energy Res.

Sec. Smart Grids

Volume 13 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fenrg.2025.1693639

This article is part of the Research TopicGrid Stability and Optimized Operation in Renewable Energy Grid SystemsView all 7 articles

A Data-driven Framework for Unit Commitment Considering Ramping and Forecasting Information

Provisionally accepted
Sheng  ChenSheng Chen1*Tongfu  FuTongfu Fu1Hai  LanHai Lan1Liping  HaoLiping Hao1Yanfa  YangYanfa Yang2Zehong  WengZehong Weng2
  • 1Guizhou Power Grid Co., Ltd, Guiyang, China
  • 2Dongfang Electronics Co., Ltd, Shandong, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

A data-driven framework was proposed in this paper to enhance the accuracy of load power forecasting and improve the economy and reliability of security-constrained unit commitment (SCUC) scheduling. The loads in each time period are clustered into several distinct scenarios firstly and each scenario exhibits a unique fluctuation boundary, which is quantitatively characterized using the proposed fluctuation indicator. Based on historical data, we evaluated the boundaries of fluctuations at different confidence levels. Then a data-driven framework is proposed to improve the accuracy of evaluating these indices. The effectiveness of this framework is validated using a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network, and the results show that the proposed framework reduced the average error by 45.5% compared to traditional frameworks. Finally, a SCUC optimization model is formulated with these indices results, and case studies were conducted on an IEEE 30-bus system to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Keywords: Load clustering, load forecasting, LSTM network, Security Constrained Unit Commitment, ramping constraint

Received: 27 Aug 2025; Accepted: 20 Oct 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 Chen, Fu, Lan, Hao, Yang and Weng. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: Sheng Chen, shchen_gzcsg@126.com

Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.