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BRIEF RESEARCH REPORT article

Front. Oncol.

Sec. Hematologic Malignancies

This article is part of the Research TopicPredicting Prognosis in Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia in the Contemporary Targeted Therapy Era: Where Do We Stand?View all 3 articles

Prognostic and Predictive Impact of NOTCH1 Mutations in Patients with Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia: A Tertiary Single-Center Experience

Provisionally accepted
Mattia  D'AntigaMattia D'Antiga1Andrea  SerafinAndrea Serafin1Francesco  AngotziFrancesco Angotzi1Alessandro  CelliniAlessandro Cellini1Arianna  BevilacquaArianna Bevilacqua1Giovanni  LeoneGiovanni Leone1Nicolò  DanesinNicolò Danesin1Chiara  Adele CavarrettaChiara Adele Cavarretta1Francesco  PiazzaFrancesco Piazza1Erich  PiovanErich Piovan1Laura  BonaldiLaura Bonaldi2LIVIO  TRENTINLIVIO TRENTIN1ANDREA  VISENTINANDREA VISENTIN1*
  • 1University of Padua, Padua, Italy
  • 2Istituto Oncologico Veneto IRCCS, Padua, Italy

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

NOTCH1 mutations (NOTCH1m) occur in 6-12% of newly diagnosed chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) patients, increasing to 15-20% in relapsed cases. Despite their clinical relevance, the independent prognostic impact of NOTCH1m remains controversial, particularly in the era of targeted therapies, and routine testing has not been universally adopted. We conducted a retrospective, real-world study of 271 consecutive CLL patients treated at our institution between 1999-2023. We evaluated the association of NOTCH1m with clinical outcomes and response to different treatment modalities, including chemoimmunotherapy (CIT), Bruton's tyrosine kinase inhibitors (BTKi), and venetoclax-based regimens. Primary endpoints included time to first treatment (TTFT), time to second treatment (TT2T), time to next treatment (TTNT), and overall survival (OS). NOTCH1m were detected in 38/271 (14%) patients, predominantly the c.7541_7542delCT deletion (84%). After a median follow-up of 118 months, NOTCH1m patients demonstrated significantly shorter OS compared to NOTCH1 wild-type (NOTCH1wt) patients (244 vs 293 months, HR 1.92, p=0.032), but this was not confirmed in a COX multivariate analysis where immunoglobulin heavy-chain variable region (IGHV) resulted the independent prognostic variable. Importantly, 44% of Richter transformation cases harbored NOTCH1m. Among NOTCH1m patients, targeted therapies showed superior TT2T compared to CIT (NR vs 48 months, p=0.024). No significant difference was observed in TTFT or TTNT between NOTCH1m and wild-type patients. In conclusion NOTCH1m are associated with adverse prognosis in CLL, primarily due to increased risk of Richter transformation. Our findings support incorporating NOTCH1 mutational analysis into routine clinical practice for improved risk stratification and treatment selection.

Keywords: CLL, NOTCH1, overall survival, Prognosis factors, target therapy

Received: 16 Oct 2025; Accepted: 11 Dec 2025.

Copyright: © 2025 D'Antiga, Serafin, Angotzi, Cellini, Bevilacqua, Leone, Danesin, Cavarretta, Piazza, Piovan, Bonaldi, TRENTIN and VISENTIN. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

* Correspondence: ANDREA VISENTIN

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