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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Pediatr., 16 December 2025

Sec. Pediatric Infectious Diseases

Volume 13 - 2025 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fped.2025.1704149

Diagnostic performance of chest radiography for pediatric tuberculosis across high- and low-burden settings


Alicia Hernanz-Lobo,,,,&#x;Alicia Hernanz-Lobo1,2,3,4,†Juan J. Gmez-Valverde,,&#x;Juan J. Gómez-Valverde5,6,†ngel LancharroÁngel Lancharro7Ramn Snchez-Jacob,Ramón Sánchez-Jacob8,9Jos Luis RibJosé Luis Ribó10H. Simon SchaafH. Simon Schaaf11Lara García Delgado,Lara García Delgado5,6Daniel Capelln-Martín,Daniel Capellán-Martín5,6David Aguilera-Alonso,,,David Aguilera-Alonso1,2,3,4Daniel Blzquez-Gamero,,Daniel Blázquez-Gamero4,12,13Antoni Noguera-Julian,,,Antoni Noguera-Julian4,14,15,16Paula Rodríguez-Molino,,Paula Rodríguez-Molino3,17,18Laura MinguellLaura Minguell19Matilde Bustillo-AlonsoMatilde Bustillo-Alonso20Antoni Soriano-Arandes,Antoni Soriano-Arandes21,22David Gomez-Pastrana,David Gomez-Pastrana23,24Alberto L. García-Basteiro,,Alberto L. García-Basteiro3,25,26Orvalho Augusto,Orvalho Augusto25,27María J. Ledesma-Carbayo,María J. Ledesma-Carbayo5,6Elisa Lpez-VarelaElisa López-Varela26Begoa Santiago-García,,,
Begoña Santiago-García1,2,3,4* on behalf of pTBred
  • 1Pediatric Infectious Diseases Department, Gregorio Marañón University Hospital, Madrid, Spain
  • 2Gregorio Marañón Research Health Institute (IiSGM), Madrid, Spain
  • 3Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Infecciosas (CIBER INFEC), Carlos III Health Institute, Madrid, Spain
  • 4Translational Research Network in Pediatric Infectious Diseases (RITIP), Madrid, Spain
  • 5Biomedical Image Technologies, ETSI Telecomunicación, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
  • 6Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red en Bioingeniería, Biomateriales y Nanomedicina (CIBER BBN), Carlos III Health Institute, Madrid, Spain
  • 7Pediatric Radiology Department, Gregorio Marañón University Hospital, Madrid, Spain
  • 8George Washington School of Medicine, Washington, DC, United States
  • 9Department of Radiology and Medical Imaging, Children’s National Hospital, Washington, DC, United States
  • 10Radiology Department, Hospital Sant Joan de Déu, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
  • 11Desmond Tutu TB Centre, Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa
  • 12Pediatric Infectious Diseases Unit, Department of Pediatrics, Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain
  • 13Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Hospital 12 de Octubre (imas12), Madrid, Spain
  • 14Infectious Diseases and Systemic Inflammatory Response in Pediatrics, Infectious Diseases Department, Pediatric Research Institute Sant Joan de Déu, Barcelona, Spain
  • 15Department of Surgery and Medico-surgical Specialties, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Barcelona University, Barcelona, Spain
  • 16Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Carlos III Health Institute, Madrid, Spain
  • 17Department of Infectious Diseases and Tropical Pediatrics, La Paz Hospital, Madrid, Spain
  • 18La Paz Research Institute (IdiPAZ), Madrid, Spain
  • 19Department of Pediatrics, University Hospital Arnau de Vilanova, Lleida, Spain
  • 20Pediatric Infectious Diseases Unit, Department of Pediatrics, University Hospital Miguel Servet, Zaragoza, Spain
  • 21Pediatric Infectious Diseases and Immunodeficiencies Unit, Children’s Hospital, Vall D'Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, Barcelona, Spain
  • 22Infection and Immunity in Children, Vall d’Hebron Research Institute, Barcelona, Spain
  • 23Pediatric Neumology Unit, Pediatrics Department, Hospital Jerez de la Frontera, Cádiz, Spain
  • 24Research group UNAIR, Jerez de la Frontera, Cádiz, Spain
  • 25Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça (CISM), Maputo, Moçambique
  • 26Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), Hospital Clínic - Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
  • 27Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States

Background: Chest radiography (CXR) is the most widely used imaging tool in pediatric tuberculosis (TB) diagnostic pathways, and remains central in current WHO algorithms. However, its standalone diagnostic accuracy has not been well established in standardized multicenter evaluations. This study aimed to determine the diagnostic performance and interobserver agreement of CXR for pediatric TB across two epidemiologically distinct settings, and to assess the added value of clinical information and lateral projections.

Methods: We evaluated the diagnostic performance of CXR in two pediatric cohorts from distinct TB-burden settings. The high-burden cohort (Mozambique) included 218 children under 3 years (10 confirmed TB, 95 unconfirmed TB, 113 unlikely TB). The low-burden cohort (Spain) included 674 children under 18 years (145 confirmed TB, 237 unconfirmed TB, 95 with TB infection, 101 with community-acquired pneumonia, and 96 healthy controls). Four independent expert readers (three pediatric radiologists and one pediatric infectious disease specialist), each with over 15 years of experience, interpreted CXRs using a standardized digital platform, blinded to clinical data. In a subset of 75 Spanish cases, re-readings incorporated limited clinical information.

Results: Sensitivity for confirmed TB was low in both settings (31.0% in Mozambique, 46.1% in Spain), while specificity was high (94.7% and 96.5%, respectively). In a subset of 75 Spanish cases, adding limited clinical data increased sensitivity from 39.3% to 50.0% (p = 0.02) and specificity from 88.1% to 97.4% (p < 0.001). Among children with lateral views, sensitivity rose from 39.1% to 53.6% (p = 0.01), without significant change in specificity. Interobserver agreement for TB-related findings was only fair (ICC 0.29–0.31).

Conclusions: This multicenter analysis confirms the limited sensitivity but high specificity of CXR for pediatric TB, even when interpreted by expert readers. These findings highlight that CXR alone cannot reliably confirm or exclude disease and should be integrated with clinical and microbiological data. Future diagnostic pathways, including artificial intelligence–assisted CXR interpretation, will likely need multimodal approaches to overcome the intrinsic limitations of imaging alone.

Introduction

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a leading cause of death from a single infectious agent globally, with 167,000 deaths among children under 15 years reported in 2023. The burden is unevenly distributed: TB incidence ranges from fewer than 10 cases per 100,000 population in low-burden regions to over 400 cases per 100,000 in high-burden settings such as sub-Saharan Africa (1). Diagnosing TB in children presents substantial challenges: clinical and radiological features frequently overlap with other respiratory diseases, and microbiological confirmation is often hindered by the difficulty in obtaining respiratory samples and the limited sensitivity of current tests (2). Moreover, most pediatric TB cases occur in low-resource settings, where undiagnosed disease is a major driver of avoidable mortality (3).

Chest x-ray (CXR) remains a key component of pediatric TB diagnosis and is widely used to assess treatment response and disease severity. Typical radiological findings include mediastinal lymphadenopathy, miliary pattern, and airway compression (4, 5). However, multiple studies have highlighted the limited sensitivity and specificity of CXR (6), with normal imaging reported in up to 15%–20% of children with confirmed TB (7, 8), and substantial variability between readers, especially regarding TB-specific features such as lymphadenopathy (813).

Various reports (5, 1416), including primary research and meta-analyses, have provided key evidence on radiological features of pediatric TB, which informed the development of the most recent WHO guidelines (17). These guidelines emphasize the role of CXR within diagnostic algorithms and for disease severity classification, including criteria to guide treatment decisions and eligibility for shorter treatment regimens. In the current diagnostic landscape, ongoing advances in molecular assays, biomarker discovery, and artificial intelligence–based imaging are reshaping approaches to pediatric TB. Nevertheless, chest radiography remains an essential and irreplaceable component of clinical evaluation—widely accessible, cost-effective, and deeply embedded in diagnostic practice (18).

In this study, we evaluated the diagnostic performance of CXR in two well-characterized pediatric cohorts from high- and low-burden settings, assessing diagnostic accuracy, interobserver agreement, and the incremental value of clinical data and lateral projections.

Methods

Study cohorts

We conducted a retrospective multi-centre multi-group diagnostic study including two cohorts: a high-TB-burden cohort from Mozambique (estimated TB incidence, 400 cases per 100,000 patients/year) and a low-TB-burden cohort from Spain (estimated TB incidence, 10 cases per 100,000 patients/year) (1) (Supplementary Material 1).

The high-burden cohort included children under three years of age enrolled in the prospective ITACA study [Manhiça Health Research Centre, CISM, Mozambique, 2011–2012 (19, 20)]. Eligibility included TB-compatible symptoms or contact with a smear-positive pulmonary TB adult. Only cases with pulmonary involvement were included. Patients were classified as confirmed TB, unconfirmed TB, or unlikely TB following standardized criteria (21, 22).

The low-burden cohort included children under 18 years classified into four groups: TB disease, TB infection (TBI), community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), and healthy controls (HC). All pulmonary TB cases were included from the Spanish Pediatric TB Research Network (pTBred) (23, 24). Patients with TB were eligible for analysis if they were ≤18 years of age at TB diagnosis and had confirmed or unconfirmed TB according to clinicians, for whom anti-TB treatment was initiated. Children with incomplete microbiological or CXR data, as well as those with exclusively extrapulmonary TB, were excluded. TBI cases were identified from hospital registries at Hospital Gregorio Marañón (HGM) and Hospital 12 de Octubre (Madrid, Spain). CAP cases were selected from the HERACLES surveillance cohort, specifically from HGM, Hospital 12 de Octubre, and Hospital La Paz, focusing on laboratory-confirmed invasive pneumococcal disease (25). HC were selected exclusively from the HGM pediatric radiology database among children undergoing CXR between March 2016 and September 2018 for non-infectious reasons (e.g., pre-surgical assessments, evaluation of foreign body ingestion, or thoracic trauma/pain), frequency-matched to TB cases by age group and sex. Children presenting with fever or respiratory symptoms were excluded. After excluding nine participants (5 TBI, 4 HC) due to incomplete data, the final low-burden cohort included all TB cases, 95 TBI, 101 CAP, and 96 HC.

Study definitions

Patients were classified according to international definitions (22). Confirmed TB was defined as clinical and/or radiological signs consistent with pulmonary TB with microbiological confirmation (culture and/or nucleic acid amplification test). Unconfirmed TB was considered when microbiological confirmation was lacking, but the patient met at least two of the following criteria: i) symptoms/signs suggestive of TB, ii) CXR findings consistent with TB, iii) close contact with an infectious TB source patient, or iv) positive response to TB treatment. Unlikely TB applied to children not fulfilling criteria for confirmed or unconfirmed TB. The TB disease group included both confirmed and unconfirmed cases.

TBI was defined as asymptomatic children with a normal CXR and evidence of M. tuberculosis infection (positive TST or IGRA). CAP cases had clinical and radiological features of pneumonia with microbiological confirmation of S. pneumoniae from blood or pleural fluid (25). Severe TB was defined as previously established (16, 17) and included at least one of the following: positive sputum smear for acid-fast bacilli, extrapulmonary TB (excluding isolated peripheral lymph node TB), and severe CXR findings (multilobar involvement, miliary pattern, airway compression, cavities, or complicated pleural effusion).

Clinical data collection

Clinical data were collected retrospectively using standardized forms and included demographics (age, sex), TB contact, HIV status (if available), nutritional status, presenting symptoms (fever, cough), TST/IGRA results, microbiological data, and clinical outcomes. Data sources were the ITACA database for the high-burden cohort, pTBred for TB cases in the low-burden cohort, and hospital records for TBI, CAP, and HC groups.

CXR data collection and assessment

All CXRs were obtained at diagnosis and retrieved from the Picture Archiving and Communication System (PACS) of each participating center in Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine (DICOM) format to ensure optimal image quality. Images were anonymized and uploaded to a purpose-built, secure remote reading platform specifically developed for this study (26). This platform enabled standardized, blinded reading procedures, providing a structured interface, randomized case presentation, and predefined reporting fields.

In the high-burden cohort, all children underwent both posteroanterior (PA) or anteroposterior (AP) and lateral (LAT) projections. In the low-burden cohort, the availability of LAT projections was based on local clinical protocols at each participating hospital, in line with national recommendations (27), but without a standardized imaging protocol within the pTBred registry.

Expert readers assessed image quality (readable/unreadable), TB suggestiveness (suggestive/not suggestive), and the presence of characteristic TB findings and localization (enlarged lymph nodes, airway compression, hyperinflation, collapsed lung/lobe, alveolar opacity, interstitial opacity, miliary pattern, pleural effusion, cavities, calcified parenchymal lesions). Radiological severity was classified post hoc using standardized severity criteria (17).

Four independent readers (three pediatric radiologists and one pediatric TB specialist, all with over 15 years of experience) evaluated the images independently, blinded to clinical data and final diagnosis. In the low-burden cohort, a random subset of 75 CXRs was reassessed after a time gap with access to limited clinical data (age, TB contact, symptoms), while remaining blinded to prior readings and diagnosis. Randomization of image order was maintained during both reading rounds via the platform to minimize recall bias.

Sample size

All eligible cases were included in both cohorts. In the low-burden cohort, approximately 100 patients per comparison group (TBI, CAP, HC) were selected, with final numbers adjusted after exclusion for incomplete data. The second-reading sub-analysis was limited to a randomly selected sample of 75 low-burden cohort patients, chosen to detect a 20% increase in sensitivity with 70% power at a 95% confidence level. This sub-analysis was not performed in the high-burden cohort owing to the limited size of the cohort.

Statistical analysis

High- and low-burden cohorts were analyzed separately due to differences in study design, age distribution, and diagnostic work-up. Diagnostic performance of CXR was evaluated in terms of sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and accuracy, using two reference standards: (a) microbiological confirmation (confirmed TB), and (b) clinical TB case definition (confirmed + unconfirmed TB). Accuracy was defined as the proportion of correctly classified cases (true positives and true negatives) among all participants. Unreadable or missing CXRs were excluded from the corresponding analyses; no imputation was performed.

In the high-burden cohort, diagnostic performance was calculated using children with unlikely TB as the reference (non-TB) group. In the low-burden cohort, all non-TB participants (TBI, CAP, and healthy controls) were used as the denominator. Further subgroup analyses in the low-burden cohort assessed diagnostic performance across age groups (≤3 years, 3–10 years, and ≥11 years) and evaluated the contribution of clinical information to CXR interpretation in a subset of patients.

Inter-reader agreement was assessed using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), chosen for its applicability in multi-rater scenarios with multiple radiological features. ICC values were interpreted as follows: 0.0–0.2 slight agreement, 0.2–0.4 fair, 0.4–0.6 moderate, 0.6–0.8 substantial, and 0.8–1.0 high agreement. All estimates were reported with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Statistical analyses were performed using Python (v3.8.8), with SciPy (v1.10.1) and scikit-learn (v0.24.1) libraries.

Ethics

The study was approved by the Human Research Ethics Committees of HGUGM (Spain) and the National Bioethics Committee for Health (Mozambique). All study procedures adhered to the Declaration of Helsinki.

Results

Study participants and CXR availability

In the high-burden cohort, a total of 218 children were included: 10 with confirmed TB, 95 with unconfirmed TB, and 113 classified as unlikely TB. Among them, 87.1% were malnourished and 18.8% were living with HIV.

In the low-burden cohort, 674 participants were evaluated: 145 with confirmed TB, 237 with unconfirmed TB, 95 with TB infection (TBI), 101 with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), and 96 healthy controls (HC). Malnutrition was reported in 0.5% of participants, and 0.2% were living with HIV. Clinical and demographic characteristics are summarized in Tables 1, 2.

Table 1
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Table 1. Chest x-ray child study participant characteristics, high TB-burden cohort.

Table 2
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Table 2. Chest x-ray child study participant characteristics, low TB-burden cohort.

In the high-burden cohort, both posteroanterior (PA) and lateral (LAT) CXR projections were available for all patients, and all images were rated as readable by the three independent readers.

In the low-burden cohort, PA projection was available for all participants. LAT projection was available in 41.6% of TB cases, 32.6% of TBI cases, 9.1% of CAP cases, and 4.2% of HC. Overall image quality was acceptable for interpretation, with the exception of five CXRs, which were rated unreadable by one of the readers.

Performance of CXR for diagnosis of TB

Compared with other study groups, TB cases were significantly more likely to be interpreted as suggestive of TB on CXR in both cohorts: 18.7% vs. 5.3% in the high-burden cohort (OR = 4.1), and 37.9% vs. 11.8% in the low-burden cohort (OR = 4.5) (Tables 3, 4).

Table 3
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Table 3. Chest x-ray findings, high TB-burden cohort.

Table 4
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Table 4. CXR findings, low-burden cohort.

Despite this difference, the overall sensitivity of CXR for TB diagnosis was low in both settings. In the high-burden cohort, sensitivity was 18.7% when using the TB case definition and increased to 31.0% when using microbiological confirmation as the reference (p < 0.001). In the low-burden cohort, sensitivity improved from 37.9% to 46.1% when using the microbiological standard (p < 0.001) (Table 5, Figure 1).

Table 5
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Table 5. Diagnostic performance of expert readers for TB diagnosis, high and low-burden cohort.

Figure 1
Two line graphs compare chest X-ray sensitivity and specificity percentages for high and low burden tuberculosis cohorts under clinical and microbiological standards. In the high burden cohort, specificity remains at ninety-four point seven percent for both standards, while sensitivity increases from eighteen point seven to thirty-one percent. In the low burden cohort, specificity increases from eighty-eight point one to ninety-six point five percent, and sensitivity from thirty-seven point nine to forty-six point one percent. Sensitivity is represented in blue and specificity in orange. Asterisks indicate statistical significance.

Figure 1. Diagnostic performance of CXR in pediatric TB across high- and low-burden settings. (A) Sensitivity and specificity in a high-burden cohort. (B) Sensitivity and specificity in a low-burden cohort. Sensitivity (blue) and specificity (orange) are shown for children with clinically defined TB and those with microbiologically confirmed disease. Lines connect paired results within each cohort. TB, tuberculosis; CXR, chest x-ray; ***p < 0.001.

Specificity remained high in both cohorts regardless of the reference standard, with values of 94.7% in the high-burden cohort and 96.5% in the low-burden cohort (p > 0.05). The positive predictive value (PPV) was substantially higher in the low-burden cohort (95.2%) than in the high-burden cohort (33.3%), reflecting the differences in pre-test probability.

Subgroup analysis by age was performed in the low-burden cohort. Sensitivity remained consistent across age groups: 36.7% in children <3 years, 36.2% in those aged 3–11 years, and 42.7% in those ≥11 years. Specificity also remained stable, with values of 88.0%, 86.8%, and 90.4%, respectively. No statistically significant differences were observed across age groups.

CXR findings across diagnostic categories

Children with TB showed a higher frequency of radiological features typically associated with the disease (Tables 3, 4). The most common abnormality in both cohorts was alveolar opacity (33.7% in the high-burden cohort and 40.2% in the low-burden cohort), followed by lymphadenopathy (12.1% and 27.7%, respectively) and interstitial opacity (7.9% and 15.5%, respectively).

In the high-burden cohort, TB cases were significantly more likely than unlikely TB cases to present with pleural effusion (OR 35.1; 95% CI 20.6–60.0), miliary pattern (OR 14.3; 95% CI 6.3–32.4), alveolar opacities (OR 8.4; 95% CI 6.6–10.8), and lung or lobe collapse (OR 7.2; 95% CI 4.2–12.4).

In the low-burden cohort, TB cases also showed higher odds of TB-related findings compared to non-TB cases, particularly calcified lesions (OR 25.0; 95% CI 19.2–32.5), lymphadenopathy (OR 6.1; 95% CI 5.3–7.1), and airway compression (OR 3.6; 95% CI 2.9–4.5).

A direct comparison between TB and CAP cases in the low-burden cohort showed that alveolar opacities (40.2% vs. 81.8%; p < 0.001) and pleural effusion (10.6% vs. 57.1%; p < 0.001) were significantly more frequent in CAP than in TB, highlighting some discriminative potential between both conditions.

Added diagnostic value of clinical context and lateral view in CXR interpretation

In a subset of patients from the low-burden cohort, a second CXR reading was performed after providing expert readers with limited clinical information. This addition improved overall diagnostic performance for TB: sensitivity increased from 38.9% to 50.0% (p = 0.02), specificity improved from 87.9% to 97.0% (p < 0.001), and overall accuracy rose from 60.4% to 70.7% (p = 0.02) (Table 6, Figure 2).

Table 6
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Table 6. Diagnostic accuracy of expert readers for TB diagnosis with additional clinical information, low-burden cohort.

Figure 2
Two line graphs compare sensitivity and specificity percentages for TB CXR reading under different conditions. Graph A shows an increase in sensitivity and specificity of chest x ray readings when clinical information is provided: sensitivity rises from 38.9% to 50%, specificity from 87.9% to 97%. Graph B shows sensitivity improvement from 34.3% to 43% with posteroanterior plus lateral images; specificity slightly decreases from 88.3% to 86.4%. Sensitivity and specificity are represented by blue triangles and orange triangles, respectively. Asterisks indicate statistical significance.

Figure 2. Effect of adding clinical information or a CXR lateral view on the diagnostic performance of CXR. (A) Sensitivity and specificity for CXR readings with and without clinical information (low-burden cohort, n = 75). (B) Sensitivity and specificity for CXR readings with and without a lateral projection (both cohorts, ∼200 children with available projections). Sensitivity (blue) and specificity (orange) are displayed for each reading condition. CXR, chest x-ray; PA, posteroanterior view; **p = 0.02; ***p < 0.001.

The inclusion of LAT projections also influenced CXR interpretation. Among patients with both PA and LAT views available, the detection of lymphadenopathy increased significantly (14.3% with PA alone vs. 27.3% with PA + LAT; p < 0.001), and readers more frequently classified images as suggestive of TB (22.4% vs. 36.6%; p < 0.001). Sensitivity improved from 34.3% (PA alone) to 43.0% (PA + LAT; p < 0.001), while specificity remained stable (88.3% vs. 86.4%; p = 0.24). Notably, accuracy decreased from 62.7% to 52.5% (p < 0.001) (Figure 2), likely due to increased false positives among non-TB cases with minor or ambiguous findings on the lateral view.

Interobserver agreement

The interobserver agreement for classifying a CXR as suggestive of TB was fair in both cohorts, with an ICC of 0.29 in the high-burden cohort and 0.31 in the low-burden cohort (Table 7). Agreement was substantial for the identification of alveolar opacities (ICC = 0.62 in the high-burden and 0.65 in the low-burden cohort) and pleural effusion (ICC = 0.59 and 0.80, respectively). However, agreement for most other radiological findings ranged from slight to fair.

Table 7
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Table 7. Inter-reader agreement for TB suspicion, TB-associated findings, and disease severity.

In the high-burden cohort, the evaluation of severity-related findings showed limited consistency, with slight to fair agreement for airway compression, unilateral hyperinflation, lung or lobe collapse, miliary TB, and cavities. In the low-burden cohort, agreement remained poor across most severity variables, except for complicated pleural effusion (moderate, ICC = 0.60) and cavities (moderate, ICC = 0.53).

Discussion

In this large study including two well-characterized pediatric cohorts from high- and low-burden TB settings, we observed consistently low sensitivity and high specificity of chest radiography for the diagnosis of pediatric TB. Even when interpreted by expert readers, agreement was only fair for TB-specific features, underlining the intrinsic limitations of CXR as a stand-alone diagnostic tool. Notably, sensitivity increased when focusing on microbiologically confirmed TB cases and when clinical information or a lateral projection was provided, suggesting that contextual data remain essential for improving radiological performance.

The frequency of radiographic abnormalities was higher in children with confirmed TB across both cohorts. As previously reported (28), alveolar opacification was the most frequent abnormality, followed by enlarged lymph nodes and interstitial opacification. Differences between cohorts likely reflected the younger age and higher prevalence of HIV and malnutrition in the Mozambican cohort, in which cavities and pleural effusions were infrequent, in contrast to older children in the Spanish cohort. In addition, the lower sensitivity observed in the high-burden setting may partly reflect differences in inclusion criteria: in Mozambique, all children with clinical suspicion or TB contact were enrolled regardless of disease severity or radiological findings, leading potentially to the inclusion of many mild or subclinical cases with subtle imaging changes. Frequent comorbidities and technical limitations may have further obscured classical TB features. These findings reinforce the need to interpret radiographic patterns within the clinical and epidemiological background of each population.

Comparison with children presenting with community-acquired pneumonia in the low-burden cohort further highlighted diagnostic overlap. Enlarged lymph nodes and calcifications were more common in TB, whereas alveolar opacification and pleural effusion predominated in CAP. This overlap illustrates the difficulty of relying on CXR to distinguish TB from other respiratory diseases, particularly in children, and underscores the importance of combined diagnostic algorithms.

The limited sensitivity of CXR observed in our study—below 50% in both settings—is consistent with prior evidence (5). Previous reports in high-burden regions showed slightly higher sensitivities, including that of Berteloot et al. (11), who reported sensitivity of 71.4% in a multinational study in children living with HIV, or Kaguthi et al. (10), who reported sensitivities ranging from 50% to 75% in infants in Kenya. his limitation poses a risk of underdiagnosis if CXR is used as the main diagnostic modality. By contrast, specificity remained consistently high, indicating that normal CXR findings in children without TB are generally reliable. Our results also demonstrate that the addition of lateral projections and limited clinical information substantially improved sensitivity and accuracy, in line with WHO recommendations advocating for integrated, algorithm-based approaches (14).

Our study revealed limited consensus among highly skilled readers for interpreting TB-associated findings and establishing a diagnosis of TB. The highest agreement was observed for alveolar opacification (high-burden ICC = 0.62, low-burden ICC = 0.65) and pleural effusion (high-burden ICC = 0.59; low-burden ICC = 0.80), both of which are associated with other respiratory infections, such as CAP. Poor agreement was observed for other TB-specific findings, including enlarged lymph nodes (high-burden ICC = 0.20, low-burden ICC = 0.27), miliary TB (high-burden ICC = 0.16; low-burden ICC = 0.37), and those defining disease severity.

Interobserver agreement in our cohorts was modest overall, with substantial variability across TB-related features. In previous studies, interobserver agreement varies widely but is often poor, ranging from 0.15 to 0.39–13. However, Palmer et al. (7) identified moderate agreement (kappa >0.4) for most CXR features, likely owing to their readers' extensive experience working together. Lozano-Acosta et al. (29) reported an overall kappa agreement of 0.51, although their study had a low percentage of CXRs consistent with TB and lacked comparison with gold standard tests. Additionally, Cleveland et al. (30) investigated HIV-exposed or HIV-positive children and reported moderate to high agreement for specific CXR findings. The use of ICC, which capture multi-rater variability more robustly than pairwise kappa, may partly explain the lower agreement estimates compared to earlier reports, but also strengthens the reliability of our conclusions.

The diagnostic yield of CXR can be enhanced through integration with complementary imaging modalities. Computed tomography (CT) provides superior anatomical detail for radiographic–clinical correlation, though access remains limited in many settings. The growing use of Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) in pediatric infectious diseases offers a practical adjunct for detecting pleural or parenchymal involvement, expanding the interpretive context and complementing CXR-based evaluation. Beyond conventional interpretation, artificial intelligence (AI)–based tools are emerging as promising adjuncts for pediatric TB diagnosis (31, 32). Early studies suggest that pediatric-specific models could improve sensitivity while maintaining high specificity, particularly for features such as mediastinal lymphadenopathy (33). They may also expand access in high-burden, resource-limited settings (34). However, our study shows that even under ideal conditions, CXR sensitivity remains markedly limited, suggesting that AI relying solely on imaging will likely face an intrinsic ceiling of diagnostic performance. Integrating AI with clinical, epidemiological, and microbiological data is therefore essential for meaningful improvements in pediatric TB detection.

Although our analysis focused on Mozambique and Spain, the findings are likely applicable to other low- and middle-income settings. The diagnostic limitations and reader variability observed in our study reflect challenges common to many high-burden pediatric TB contexts, supporting the broader relevance of these results for strengthening diagnostic algorithms and radiological training in LMIC healthcare systems.

Our study presents notable strengths, mainly that it compares the performance of CXR in high and low-burden cohorts and is one of the largest to assess pediatric TB through CXR. We utilized a standardized and remote platform to assess CXR, potentially enhancing accuracy, and conducted a second read incorporating clinical information. The inclusion of HCs and children with microbiologically confirmed CAP adds depth to our comprehensive performance evaluation. Despite these strengths, our study is subject to limitations, including varied original cohort designs, inclusion criteria, and age compositions, all of which hinder direct cohort-to-cohort comparisons. The distinct designs and inclusion criteria of the two cohorts inevitably introduced heterogeneity in age distribution and disease presentation. These differences may have influenced apparent diagnostic performance, particularly sensitivity. To minimize bias, analyses were conducted separately for each cohort, using standardized blinded readings and harmonized data definitions across sites. The retrospective nature of image selection and the limited sample size in the high-burden cohort may constrain the precision of sensitivity estimates. The use of different third radiologists for each cohort introduces potential variability, and the choice of ICC over kappa may impact comparisons with other studies, even though it enhances data quality and robustness. Future research should aim to include larger, prospectively enrolled pediatric cohorts across diverse endemic settings, apply harmonized reading protocols, and explore the integration of AI-assisted and multimodal imaging approaches to improve diagnostic accuracy and reproducibility.

Conclusion

In the current landscape, with WHO guidelines placing CXR at the forefront for evaluating disease severity and initiating short-course regimens in pediatric TB, our study underscores the limitations of CXR as a standalone diagnostic tool, even when interpreted by expert readers. Nonetheless, its consistently high specificity highlights its value for ruling out disease across settings with different TB burdens. Importantly, sensitivity improved when incorporating clinical information or lateral projections, reinforcing the need for integrated diagnostic approaches. Taken together, these findings emphasize that optimal strategies for pediatric TB diagnosis should combine radiological assessment with clinical, microbiological, and, potentially, AI–based tools to overcome the intrinsic limitations of imaging alone and improve patient outcomes.

Data availability statement

The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.

Ethics statement

This study was approved by Gregorio Marañon Research Ethics Committee. The study was conducted in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements. Written informed consent for participation in this study was provided by the participants' legal guardians/next of kin. Written informed consent was obtained from the individual(s), and minor(s)' legal guardian/next of kin, for the publication of any potentially identifiable images or data included in this article.

Author contributions

AH-L: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. JG-V: Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Resources, Software, Supervision, Writing – review & editing. ÁL: Investigation, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. RS-J: Investigation, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. JR: Investigation, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. HS: Investigation, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. LG: Conceptualization, Investigation, Methodology, Validation, Writing – review & editing. DC-M: Investigation, Software, Writing – review & editing. DA-A: Data curation, Investigation, Writing – review & editing. DB-G: Data curation, Investigation, Writing – review & editing. AN-J: Data curation, Investigation, Writing – review & editing. PR: Data curation, Investigation, Writing – review & editing. LM: Data curation, Investigation, Writing – review & editing. MB-A: Data curation, Investigation, Writing – review & editing. AS-A: Data curation, Investigation, Writing – review & editing. DG-P: Data curation, Investigation, Writing – review & editing. AG-B: Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Validation, Writing – review & editing. OA: Data curation, Investigation, Writing – review & editing. ML-C: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – review & editing. EL-V: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – review & editing. BS-G: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing.

Funding

The author(s) declare that financial support was received for the research and/or publication of this article. AH-L was funded by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation—Instituto de Salud Carlos III and Fondos FEDER (Contrato Río Hortega CM20/00128). PR-M was funded by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation- Instituto de Salud Carlos III and Fondos FEDER (Contrato Río Hortega CM21/00174). DC-M PhD fellowship is supported by Universidad Politécnica de Madrid. DB-G was supported by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation—Instituto de Salud Carlos III and Fondos FEDER by “Contratos para la intensificación de la actividad investigadora en el Sistema Nacional de Salud, INT23/00039”. This work was partially supported by a research grant from the Carlos III Institute of Health, Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness (Spain), reference PI23/01700 and PI22/0101607, and by the Spanish Society of Pulmonology and Thoracic Surgery, grant number 169-2022.

Acknowledgments

We thank Thomas O'Boyle for the language editing of this manuscript. We thank Unidad de Investigación Materno Infantil Fundación Familia Alonso (UDIMIFFA) for its valuable support. We also thank all the collaborators (members of the pTBred group who contributed to this work but did not author it): Anna Gamell (Sant Joan de Deu Hospital, Barcelona, Spain). Loreto Vara de Andrés (Gregorio Marañón University Hospital, Madrid, Spain). Teresa Vallmanya (Arnau de Vilanova University Hospital, Lleida, Spain). Miguel Lafuente Hidalgo (Miguel Servet Hospital, Zaragoza, Spain). María Espiau (Vall d'Hebron University Hospital, Barcelona, Spain). Luis Prieto (Doce de Octubre University Hospital, Madrid, Spain). Anabel Piqueras (La Fe Hospital, Valencia, Spain). Elena del Castillo (Mérida Hospital, Mérida, Spain). Elena Colino Gil (Las Palmas University Hospital, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain). María Méndez (Germans Trias I Pujol Hospital, Badalona, Spain). Beatriz Soto (Getafe University Hospital, Getafe, Spain). Cristina Calvo (Leganés Hospital, Leganés, Spain). María Montero (Melilla Hospital, Melilla, Spain). Santiago Rueda (Clínico San Carlos University Hospital, Madrid, Spain). Sonia Rodríguez (Príncipe de Asturias University Hospital, Alcalá de Henares, Spain). Olga Calavia (Joan XXIII Hospital, Tarragona, Spain). Amparo Escribano (Clínico Hospital, Valencia, Spain). Pilar Galán del Río (Fuenlabrada Hospital, Fuenlabrada, Spain). Katie Badillo (Torrejón University Hospital, Torrejón de Ardoz, Spain). Neus Rius-Gordillo (Sant Joan de Reus University Hospital, Reus, Spain). Jara Hurtado-Gallego (La Paz University Hospital, Madrid, Spain). Enrique Otheo (Ramón y Cajal University Hospital, Madrid, Spain). Elvira Cobo-Vázquez (Fundación Alcorcón Hospital, Alcorcón, Spain). Alfredo Tagarro (Infanta Sofía Hospital, San Sebastián de los Reyes, Spain). David Moreno-Pérez (Málaga University Regional Hospital, Málaga, Spain). Cristina Álvarez (Marqués de Valdecilla University Hospital, Santander, Spain). José Antonio Couceiro (Pontevedra Hospital, Pontevedra, Spain). María Queralt (Consorci Sanitari de Terrassa, Terrassa, Spain). Santiago Alfayate (Virgen de la Arrixaca University Hospital, El Palmar, Murcia, Spain). Jaime Carrasco-Colom (La Moraleja Hospital, Madrid, Spain).

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

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Supplementary material

The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fped.2025.1704149/full#supplementary-material

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Keywords: Children, tuberculosis, high-burden, low-burden chest radiography, diagnostic accuracy, interobserver variability clinical predictors

Citation: Hernanz-Lobo A, Gómez-Valverde JJ, Lancharro Á, Sánchez-Jacob R, Ribó JL, Schaaf HS, García Delgado L, Capellán-Martín D, Aguilera-Alonso D, Blázquez-Gamero D, Noguera-Julian A, Rodríguez-Molino P, Minguell L, Bustillo-Alonso M, Soriano-Arandes A, Gomez-Pastrana D, García-Basteiro AL, Augusto O, Ledesma-Carbayo MJ, López-Varela E and Santiago-García B (2025) Diagnostic performance of chest radiography for pediatric tuberculosis across high- and low-burden settings. Front. Pediatr. 13:1704149. doi: 10.3389/fped.2025.1704149

Received: 12 September 2025; Revised: 3 November 2025;
Accepted: 4 November 2025;
Published: 16 December 2025.

Edited by:

Maurizio Aricò, Azienda Sanitaria Locale di Pescara, Italy

Reviewed by:

Soumya Basu, Johns Hopkins University, United States
Peter James Kitonsa, Walimu, Uganda

Copyright: © 2025 Hernanz-Lobo, Gómez-Valverde, Lancharro, Sánchez-Jacob, Ribó, Schaaf, García Delgado, Capellán-Martín, Aguilera-Alonso, Blázquez-Gamero, Noguera-Julian, Rodríguez-Molino, Minguell, Bustillo-Alonso, Soriano-Arandes, Gomez-Pastrana, García-Basteiro, Augusto, Ledesma-Carbayo, López-Varela and Santiago-García. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

*Correspondence: Begoña Santiago-García, YnNhbnRpYWdvZ2FyY2lhQGdtYWlsLmNvbQ==

These authors share first authorship

Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.